The Role of Natural Gas and Gas Infrastructure as an Enabler of the Renewable and Low Carbon Economy. Francisco P. de la Flor

Transcripción

1 The Role of Natural Gas and Gas Infrastructure as an Enabler of the Renewable and Low Carbon Economy Francisco P. de la Flor UNECE, 24 January 212 1

2 Enagas; Basic Infrastruture Operator E&P Licuef. International transmission Maritime transport Technical System Management Transmission Storage Regasification Distribution End consumers 5% 5% Shareholder structure Supply contracts / Supply/ Trading 5% Enagás Regulated activities in Spain 5% 75% 5% LNG terminals Barcelona: 1,95, m 3 (n)/h ; (8 tanks: 84, m 3 LNG) Cartagena: 1,35, m 3 (n)/h ; (5 tanks: 587, m 3 LNG) Huelva : 1,35, m 3 (n)/h ; (5 tanks: 61, m 3 LNG) 4% of Bilbao: 8, m 3 (n)/h ; (2 tanks: 3,m 3 LNG) Transmission network Free float Cajastur Sagane Spain 1% Free float SEPI Oman Oil Corporation BBK >9, km of high pressure pipelines (72-8 bar) (>9% of total) International links to Morocco, France & Portugal (x2) USA 22% Continental Europe 34% Underground storages Serrablo (Total capacity: 1.1 million m 3 (n)) Gaviota (Total capacity: million m 3 (n)) Yela under construction - (212) UK As of 28% June 211 Rest of the world 6% 2

3 Evolution of gas Natural Gas Demand and Infrastructure Development TWh Basic Infrastructures 4 Plantas de Regasificación 35 (Número tanques de GNL) Estaciones de compresión 3 Almacenamientos subterráneos 25 Yacimientos A CORUÑA FERROL BILBAO S. SEBASTIAN OVIEDO SANTANDER LUGO PONTEVEDRA VITORIA PAMPLONA ORENSE LEÓN PALENCIA LOGROÑO BURGOS HUESCA ZAMORA VALLADOLID SORIA ZARAGOZA SALAMANCA SEGOVIA AVILA GUADALAJARA MADRID CUENCA TERUEL CÁCERES TOLEDO VALENCIA GIRONA LLEIDA BARCELONA TARRAGONA CASTELLÓN PALMA DE MALLORCA TWh En operación 2 BADAJOZ CI UDAD REAL ALBACETE SANTA CRUZ DE TENERIFE LAS PALMAS SINES HUELVA SEVILLA CÁDIZ CÓRDOBA CEUTA 1991 MÁLAGA JAÉN GRANADA ALMERÍA MELILLA MURCIA ALICANTE CARTAGENA Doméstico-Comercial Industrial Centrales eléctricas 5 Usos no energéticos TWh Doméstico-Comercial Industrial Centrales eléctricas Usos no energéticos 3 TWh

4 Primary energy and electricity mix (21) Primary energy mix (21) Nuclear; 12,2% Natural gas; 23,3% Electricity generation mix 21 Hydro; 2,6% Other renewables; 8,5% Wind E. 15,3% Eólica 12,3% Biomass, Biomasa, biogas, biogas, USW,.. RSU y otros Solar Solar 1,4% 1,3% 2,1% 2,8% Nuclear Nuclear 17,8% 19,5% Petroleum; 48,5% Source: La Energía en España 21. SEE. Coal; 6,4% Hidroeléctrica Hydro 15,9% 8,9% Bombeo Pumping,9% 1% Natural Gas CCGTs; 22,2% Centrales gas natural 26,8% 3 GWh (e) Natural Cogeneración gas natural cogeneration; 1,4% 9,9% Coal Carbón 8,2% 12,6% Petroleum P. Petrolíferos products 4,5% 1,9% Cogeneration Cogeneración P.Petrolíferos (P. Products) 2,3% 4

5 Installed Capacity 211: wind and CCGTs Map of CCGTs 211 WIND Installed Capacity GW Evolution, aim and tendency of the installed power group 4 Proposed (75 offshore) CCGTs Installed Capacity GW group <4 5

6 Power generation in Spain 3-September-21 Wind Power 1% 6-November-211 Wind Power 59% Wind Gas Wind Gas Interconnection Hydroelectric Nuclear Fuel/Gas Interconnection Hydroelectric Nuclear Fuel/Gas CCGT Wind Power Other Coal CCGT Wind Power Other Coal Source: REE and Enagás 6

7 Wind Power vs CCGTs 36, 6-November , Wind Power 32, Electric system demand 1, 8, 6, 4, 2, High level of wind energy. 4 28, 32 22: 2: 6: 1: 14: 18: 22: 2: 24 24, 12 CCGTs 12, 4 2, 1-January-21 22: 6: 14: 22: 1, 8, 22: 2: 6: 1: 14: 18: 22: 2: 28, Electric system demand 6, 4, 2, Wind Power 24, 22: 2: 6: 1: 14: 18: 22: 2: 3,6 2, 2,8 2, CCGTs 16, 22: 6: 14: 22: 1,2 4 Source: REE 22: 2: 6: 1: 14: 18: 22: 2: 7

8 Correlation between CCGTs and wind power nov-1 31 Winter Winter1-11 max 9-nov-1 (315 GWh) 39% max 3-nov-1 (33 GWh(e) =671 GWh/gas) 36% 6-ene feb-11 3 Nov-1 Dec-1 Jan-11 Feb-11 Mar-11 GWh(e)/day may jun Summer jun GWh(e)/day 3-oct Apr-11 May-11 Jun-11 Jul-11 Aug-11 Sep-11 Oct Nov-11 6-nov Winter Winter nov Dec dic GWh(e)/day 19-dic wind generation CCGT s generation 8

9 Demand variability and IT tools for prediction Forecast demand systems Time frame other agencies involved Delfos Electra del Φos ELECTRICO 1 years conventional demand 24 month conventional demand 1 days conventional demand 1 intraday conventional and electric demand 12 months electric demand 1 days electric demand State Agency of Meteorology Dispatching of renewable energy CECRE The demand provided by these applications are used in network simulation The demand provided by these applications are used in network simulation 9

10 Coordination process Year Month Week Day Day Intraday Shippers Operators Electric Operator CECRE 1

11 Gas infrastructures Infrastructures LNG plants Storage capacity (GWh): Emision Capacity (GWh/day): cross border connections: Portugal (2) France (2) Marocco Argelia 2 Underground storage 1.67 km high preasure pipelines (72-8 bar) 17 compressor stations MUGARDOS MUSEL BILBAO GAVIOTA IRÚN LARRAU SERRABLO TUY BARCELONA FORECAST YELA CASTOR SAGUNTO BADAJOZ HUELVA CARTAGENA MARISMAS TARIFA ALMERÍA Incorporation of infrastructure Operational infrastructure FID No FID 11

12 Tilting at windmills Take care, sir. Those over there are not LNG tanks but windmills. Do you see over yonder, friend Sancho, those hulking LNG tanks? I intend to do battle with them and slay them. 12

13 Thank you for your attention 24 January