Wind Power in Uruguay

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Elvira Vidal Ortega
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1 Wind Power in Uruguay Latin-American Forum: Wind Power in Argentina, Brazil and Uruguay - September 2014 Dr. Eng. Gonzalo Casaravilla UTE Company Montevideo - Uruguay

República Oriental del URUGUAY Area 176.

2 República Oriental del URUGUAY Area km² Population inhab Pop. Density 19 inhab/km² GPD USD millions GPD/inhab USD/inhab 1 Census Gross National Product Year 2013

25.000 MW installed POWERFUL NEIGHBORS WITH THEIR

000 MW installed WE HAVE LEARNED THAT WE MUST

3 MW installed POWERFUL NEIGHBORS WITH THEIR OWN PROBLEMS MW installed WE HAVE LEARNED THAT WE MUST STAND ON OUR OWN THIS REALITY IMPOSED RISKS BUT ALSO OPPORTUNITIES MW installed

4 Energy Policy 2030 Approved in 2008 by the Executive Council of Ministers Approved in 2010 by all the political parties at the parliament State enterprise from year 1912: Generation (in competence) Transmission Distribution Commercialization

2013 Numbers of the Electric Sector Energy

315 GWh/year Energy Consumption / inhabitant 2.

Installed Power Peak demand (22/Julio/2013) 3.

5 2013 Numbers of the Electric Sector Energy Generation & Imported GWh/year Energy Consumption / inhabitant kwh/inhab/year Electrification rate 99,5 % Installed Power Peak demand (22/Julio/2013) MW MW Number of Clients and Services BIOMASS 5% THERMAL WIND 17% 1% HYDRAULIC 77%

6 Quality of electricity supply Source: The Global Competitiveness Report of the World Economic Forum

7 Climate Vulnerability ANUAL ENERGY [GWh] DEMAND DEMAND HYDRAULIC GENERATION 3.5% per YEAR % 50% 100% PROBABILITY

8 Oil Vulnerability

9 Uruguay Options ALTERNATIVE CONVEN NTIONAL SOURCE LEVELIZED COST USD/MWh DISPATCH LOAD INTER MITTENT PEAKING FOLLO WING BASE LOAD PP(*) CV fd fc USD/ MWh USD/ MWh % % SOLAR PV BIOMASS ONSHORE WIND GAS PEAKING , DIESEL PEAKING , COAL GAS COMBINED CYCLE DIESEL COMBINED CYCLE LCoE = PP fd/fc + CV (*) PPs include integration cost Keys of Change: Economy, Strength, Sovereignty and Environmental Care Mayor Objective: MINIMUN GENERATION COST

10 Changing Energy Supply Matrix Fast grow of Wind Energy 1300 MW ending 2016 Build a Combined Cycle of 530 MW TG+TG+TV (2x180+1x170 MW) Build a GNL Regasification unit 10 MM/m3/day (50% for Uruguay) Build a Strong Interconnection with Brazil 500 MW/500kV (50/60 Hz Back-to-Back connection) Increasing transmission capacity of the system

11 Expected Generation Costs % PROBABILITY 1000 to 400: USD/MW Wh MEANS VALUE If we had not radically changed the generation matrix, in 2016 the generation cost would be 40% more

12 Instaled Power POWER [MW] SOLAR WIND BIOMASS THERMIC HYDRAULIC

13 Years of trucks on the road MW eq. Inst. MW eq. % EOL/DEM 30% 25% 20% 15% 10% 5% 0% MW equiv. 01/ / / / / / / / / / / / / / / / / / / / / / / /2015

14 Matrix Generation Changes ANUAL ENERGY [M MWh] EXP IMP HID GNL FUEL + GOIL EOL BIO + SOL DEM 90% RENEWABLE 45% HYD 30% WIND 15 % BIOMASS HYDRAULIC FUEL + GAS OIL EXPORT MEAN YEAR WIND NATURAL GAS BIOMAS + SOLAR PV

15 Windy spring days Optimum Matrix assume SMALL PRICE of the EXPORTS and all the WIND is going to be DISPATCHED and PAYED

16 Automatic Generation Control (AGC) on all the Hydro Generators and Gas Turbines Uruguay has plenty of spinning reserve for the next 20 years

17 Red Prevista 2023 T1 GENERACIÓN EXISTENTE, CONTRATADA, ADJUDICADA PV 5 TOMÁS GOMENSORO ALUR 5 ARTIGAS COLONIA J.P. TERRA 67,2 PV 5 PV 5 LIVRAMENTO 70 MW Distributed Generation, Renewable, LNG, Networks and Interconnections PV 10 5 CONVERSORA DE FRECUENCIA PV 50 SALTO GRANDE ARGENTINA ARAPEY PALOMAS SALTO GRANDE URUGUAY COLONIA RUBIO RENTNG 65 ARERUNGUÁ 80 RIVERA PONLAR 7 BIOENER 11,5 500 MW GEN RENOVABLES PRIVADOS 2000 MW CONCORDIA PV 66 PV 40 PAYSANDÚ SALTO PV 10 PV 0,48 LIDERDAT 4,85 SALTO 50 SAN JAVIER 0 TACUAREMBÓ 150 PV 10 PAMPA 140 MANUEL DÍAZ STEL TACUAREMBÓ BIOENERGY 40 FENIROL 10 WEYERHAEUSER 5 AGUA LEGUAS_100 PALMATIR 50 CONV. MELO 100 MELO TACUARÍ I 9.2 TACUARÍ II 6.6 CONVERSORA MELO BIOMASA NETA (264 MW) BIOMASA FUTURA (40 MW) EÓLICA (93 MW) GEN EÓLICA K39607 Y EXT. EÓLICA 1ª. ETAPA (150 MW) EÓLICA 2ª. ETAPA (192 MW) CASABLANCA CONCEPCIÓN SAN JAVIER YOUNG PV 30 CUCHILLA PERALTA ARBOLITO 50 Ladaner_50 ESTRELLADA Estrellada_ 50 RÍO BRANCO GEN EÓLICA UTE EÓLICA EXISTENTE (20 MW) COLONIA ELÍA PV FRAY BENTOS MERCEDES NUEVA PALMIRA CONCHILLAS UPM 40 UPM - UTE PV 10 DOLORES MONTES DEL PLATA 80 COLONIA CARDONA PV 5 PALMAR COLINIA ARIAS 70 Cadonal_50 Vientos de Pastorale_49,2 COLONIA JUAN LACAZE COLONIA ANDRESITO 50 ROSARIO NUEVA HELVECIA KENTILUX 17,2 BAYGORRIA ASTIDEY TRINIDAD RODRÍGUEZ LIBERTAD Cobra ing. Uy_48,6 Astidey_50 PUNTA DEL TIGRE TOGLEY 7,75 EFICE TERRA DURAZNO PASO SEVERINO H 5 CARDAL 500 S.VÁZQUEZ L.LANAS BLENGIO 0,9 A.CORRIENTES CANELONES LAS PIEDRAS C LUZ DE LOMA 20 PINTADO FLORIDA SUÁREZ VALENTINES 70 Polesine_50 PANDO LUZ DE MAR 18 LUZ DE RÍO 50 VALENTINES CUCP PANDO 50 BIFURCACIÓN CENTRAL GEN. LIBERTADOR I 15 LA FLORESTA MINAS PV 0,48 GALOFER 12,5 TREINTA Y TRES JOSÉ P.VARELA GEN. EOLICA MINAS 42 LAS ROSAS 1 SAN CARLOS LAS TOSCAS B A I NEPTUNIA SOLYMAR PAN DE AZÚCAR MALDONADO JOSÉ IGNACIO R_Del_Sur_50 PUNTA DEL ESTE MONTEVIDEO Molino de Rosas_ 50 CENTRAL BATLLE PV 5 LAS PIEDRAS 0 ENGRAW 1,8 ZENDA 3,2 CTR ARATIRÍ MINERA 170 MW Darinel_50 CENTRAL GEN. LIBERTADOR I 50 Central Gen. Libertador II_50 CARACOLES 20 FINGANO 50 AGROLAND 0,25 LUMIGANOR 9,9 LASCANO ROCHA 116 CONTRATOS FUTUROS BIOMASA 40 F Vengano_40 SAN CARLOS 150 VERGARA CEBOLLATÍ SAN LUIS CHUY CASTILLOS NUEVO MANANTIAL 11,8 ARATIRÍ PUERTO 20 MW ARROZAL 33 RINCÓN DE RAMÍREZ ENRIQUE MARTÍNEZ UTE (137 MW) UTE EN S.A. (390 MW) UTE - ELETROBRÁS (199 MW) UTE EXPANSIÓN (500 MW) GEN PRIVADA CON GAS NATURAL ZENDA (3,2 MW) Eólica 2 y 1/2 (437 MW) 2ª ETAPA: Eólica 2 y ½ (150 MW) PV - Solar Fotovoltaica (257 MW) Proyectos con dificultades MINI HIDRÁULICAS (21 MW)

18 Electricity Sector Investment State by UTE : USD millions (Gen, Dist, Trans, etc.)(*100%) LNG Regasification: 450 USD millions 20 years WIND PPA s (Power Purchase Agreement) UTE ELETROBRAS : 110 USD millions (*50%) 2360: UTE (Trust y S.A.) : 550USD millions (*6%) 100% Private Sector: USD millions Private Solar Photovoltaic: 400 USD millions Private Biomass (pulp and others): 550 USD millions USD millions in 8 years 1.6% of the mean GPD (Gross National Product) ONLY in the Electric Sector 50% of the invests in Renewable 45% of the total invest by the state (UTE*)

19 Why 2.3 billion dollars of non-state investment in wind energy was possible? Confidence in the country and UTE. Uruguay has Investmen Grade Availability of Legal, Regulatory and Commercial instruments Investment Promotion Law Rural Renting Law Adjustments of Electricity Regulatory Framework Adequacy of Environmental Regulations 20 Year Power Purchase Agreement (PPA) Bankable (due diligence & non-recourse project finance) Market conditions (cost of money & technology) Alignment of all related actors Academy, Port&Custom, Transport, Business Organizations UTE playing as Active developer of Projects

20 Competitive Procedure Evolution of the Purchase Price of Wind Energy P37637 K39123 K39607 K41938 K43037 Date 2/2009 7/2009 7/2010 8/2011 2/2012 USD/MWh 90,25 90,25 85,35 63,5 63,5 MW of de PPA % PPI and 40% current INCLUDES NETWORK INTEGRATION COSTS Other PPA s assigned with same o less reference costs: UTE-ELETROBRAS (65 MW) at 63.5 USD/MWh Extensions of successful PPA s (100 MW) at 61.46/60.53 USD/MWh UTE: Trust y SA (280 MW) at 63.5USD/MWh

21 Expected summer daily profile BAD GOOD GOOD

22 Expected winter daily profile BETTER GOOD GOOD/POOR

23 cted anual average expected energy / expe 1,4 1,2 1 0,8 0,6 0,4 0,2 0 Monthly correlation of sources GOOD BAD WIND and DEMAND: GOOD SOLAR and HID in SUMER: GOOD SOLAR and DEMAND in WINTER: BAD Wind Hydro Sun Demand GOOD month

24 Pumping and Accumulation 2030?

25 First 30 electric cars of UTE The biggest fleet in South America Year 2020: BSS until end of battery life

26 10000 Optimum Instaled Power 2040 MW SOLAR WIND BIOMASS THERMAL HYDRAULIC PEAK SOLAR at 94 USD/MWh USD/MWh SOLAR at WIND at 69 USD/MWh CC TG GWh/year GWh/year

the Electric Grid Demand Management (Optimization of Gen&Grid) The Optimization vertical integration of the Operation of business models is a

27 Next 15 years for the Electric Sector State Policy Centralized State Planning Renewals(Hydro, Wind, Biomass, Solar FV) LNG Thermal units Combined Cycle (TG+TG+TV) (in construction) TG (current and future constructions) Regional integration (Interconnections) Smart Management of the Electric Grid Demand Management (Optimization of Gen&Grid) The Optimization vertical integration of the Operation of business models is a strength and an opportunity as it facilitates optimizing the variable generation making demand management Renewable Prediction, Optimum Dispatch and Automation

28 September 2014: 384 MW working Wind Generation Percentage of the demand UTE: We are friends of wind, water and sun.

29 N kw YEAR 2000

30 Juan Pablo Terra Wind Park Agosto MW Artigas - Uruguay

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