Banco de Datos de la Economía Mexicana 1980-2020 Banco Mensual No. 141 / Junio de 2014 Para uso exclusivo de la Universidad del Valle de México CAMACRO, S.C. camacro@camacro.com.mx D.R. CAMACRO, S.C. Derechos reservados, prohibida su reproducción parcial o total para fines de lucro.
ÍNDICE GENERAL Carta de Presentación Resumen Ejecutivo en Gráficas CAPÍTULO I Escenario Macroeconómico: Corto y Mediano Plazo 2011-2016 CAPÍTULO II Escenario Macroeconómico: Largo Plazo 2014-2020 CAPÍTULO III Crecimiento Económico por Sexenios 1982-2018 y Criterios Generales de Política Económica para 2013 y 2014 CAPÍTULO IV Proyecciones Macroeconómicas 2014-2020 CAPÍTULO V Indicadores Económicos de Coyuntura 2013-2014
! Carta de Presentación! El Centro de Análisis Macroeconómico es una empresa de consultoría independiente especializada en estudios de prospectiva macroeconómica, y está conformada por investigadores de diversas disciplinas de las ciencias sociales. Entre los trabajos de investigación que realiza, se encuentra la elaboración mensual del BANCO DE DATOS DE LA ECONOMÍA MEXICANA 1980-2020. El Banco Mensual tiene como objetivo proporcionar información histórica, coyuntural y de índole prospectiva de la economía mexicana, así como de las principales economías avanzadas y emergentes del mundo.!! La información estadística contenida en el BANCO DE DATOS DE LA ECONOMÍA MEXICANA 1980-2020, está organizada de tal manera que su localización resulte fácil, mediante vínculos lógicos, ya que la información está clasificada por temas y subtemas. Además, la información estadística de cada uno de los cuadros está organizada del tal forma que su lectura e interpretación sea sencilla y útil para el análisis macroeconómico. Del total de los 287 cuadros que conforman el Banco de Datos, 220 en específico cubren el periodo que va de 1980 a 2020: la información histórica abarca el lapso 1980-2013, en tanto que el escenario prospectivo base el periodo 2014-2020. Finalmente, los cuadros estadísticos y las proyecciones macroeconómicas se actualizan mensualmente, conforme las instituciones generadoras de información -tanto oficiales como privadas, nacionales e internacionales- la difunden. Las Bases de Datos del presente documento se pueden exportar a Excel mediante el programa Adobe Acrobat versión XI Pro.!!!!
La Economía en Gráficas Gráfica 1. Crecimiento de la Economía Mundial: Países Avanzados y Emergentes Gráfica 2. Crecimiento Económico de los Países Miembros del TLC: Estados Unidos, Canadá y México Gráfica 3. Crecimiento Económico de América Latina y México Gráfica 4. Índice Relativo de Desarrollo Económico de México Gráfica 5. Evolución de la Pobreza en México Gráfica 6. Índice Nacional de Precios al Consumidor Gráfica 7. Inflación Subyacente vs. No Subyacente Gráfica 8. Precio Anual Promedio de la Gasolina: México vs. EUA Gráfica 9. Tasas de Interés en México: Nominal vs. Real Gráfica 10. Índice del Tipo de Cambio Real Bilateral México-EUA Gráfica 11. Exportaciones de la Industria Manufacturera Gráfica 12. Exportación de Mercancías: Petroleras vs. No Petroleras Gráfica 13. Precio Internacional del Petróleo: Mezcla Mexicana vs. WTI Gráfica 14. Producción de Crudo y Plataforma Petrolera de Exportación Grafica 15. Participación en el Mercado de EUA: México vs. China Grafica 16. Balanza de Pagos de México: Cuenta Corriente, de Capital y Reserva Internacional Gráfica 17. Sector Público: Ingreso, Gasto y Balance Fiscal Gráfica 18. Sector Público: Gasto Corriente vs. Inversión Física Presupuestal
Gráfica 1 Crecimiento de la Economía Mundial: Países Avanzados y Emergentes, 2000-2020 (Variación % anual del PIB real) 10.0 8.0 6.0 4.0 % 2.0 0.0-2.0-4.0-6.0 Proyecciones CAMACRO: 2014-2020 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 PIB Mundo PIB Países Avanzados PIB Países Emergentes
Gráfica 2 Crecimiento Económico de los Países Miembros del TLC: Estados Unidos, Canadá y México, 2000-2020 (Variación % anual del PIB real) 8.0 6.0 4.0 2.0 % 0.0-2.0-4.0-6.0 Proyecciones CAMACRO: 2014-2020 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 PIB México PIB Canadá PIB Estados Unidos
Gráfica 3 Crecimiento Económico de América LaIna y México, 2000-2020 (Variación % anual del PIB real) 8.0 6.0 4.0 2.0 % 0.0-2.0-4.0-6.0 Proyecciones CAMACRO: 2014-2020 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 PIB América La-na y el Caribe PIB México
Gráfica 4 Indice RelaIvo de Desarrollo Económico de México, 1980-2020 (PIB Per Cápita Mundial PPP = 100) 210.0 200.0 190.0 Indice PIB Per Cápita Mundo=100 180.0 170.0 160.0 150.0 140.0 130.0 120.0 Proyecciones CAMACRO: 2014-2020
80.00 Gráfica 5 Evolución de la Pobreza en México, 1980-2020 (Porcentajes del total de la población) 70.00 60.00 50.00 % 40.00 30.00 20.00 10.00 0.00 Proyecciones CAMACRO: 2014-2020 Pobreza Alimentaria Pobreza de Capacidades Pobreza de Patrimonio
Gráfica 6 Indice Nacional de Precios al Consumidor, 2000-2020 (Variación % promedio anual) 10.00 9.00 8.00 7.00 6.00 % 5.00 4.00 3.00 2.00 1.00 0.00 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 Datos observados Proyecciones CAMACRO
Gráfica 7 Inflación Subyacente vs. No Subyacente, 2000-2020 (Variación % promedio anual) 10.00 9.00 Meta Inflacionaria del Banco de México: 3.0% (+/- un punto porcentual) 8.00 7.00 % 6.00 5.00 4.00 3.00 2.00 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 Proyecciones CAMACRO: 2014-2020 Inflación Subyacente Inflación No Subyacente
Gráfica 8 Precio Anual Promedio de la Gasolina Automotriz: México vs. EUA, 2003-2020 (Pesos por litro) $18.00 $16.00 $14.00 Pesos por litro $12.00 $10.00 $8.00 $6.00 $4.00 Proyecciones CAMACRO: 2014-2020 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 Precio Gasolina EUA Precio Gasolina Magna en la Frontera Norte Precio Gasolina Premium en la Frontera Norte
Grafica 9 Tasas de Interés en México: Nominal vs. Real, 2000-2020 (Promedio anual en porciento) 16.00 14.00 12.00 10.00 % 8.00 6.00 4.00 2.00 0.00-2.00 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 Proyecciones CAMACRO: 2014-2020 Tasa Nominal Cetes a 28 días Tasa Real Cetes a 28 días
Gráfica 10 Indice del Tipo de Cambio Real Bilateral México- EUA, 1975-2020 (Nivel de equilibrio del.po de cambio peso- dólar 1990=100 ) 150.00 140.00 130.00 120.00 Indice 1990=100 110.00 100.00 Peso subvaluado Peso sobrevaluado 90.00 80.00 70.00 60.00 1975 1976 1977 1978 1979 1980 1981 1982 1983 Perdidad de compe66vidad: menos de 80 puntos 1984 1985 1986 1987 1988 1989 1990 1991 1992 1993 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 Proyecciones CAMACRO: 2014-2020 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020
Gráfica 11 Exportación de Mercancías: Manufacturas vs. Industria Automotriz, 2000-2020 (Variación % anual) 60.0 50.0 40.0 30.0 20.0 % 10.0 0.0-10.0-20.0-30.0 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 Proyecciones CAMACRO: 2014-2020 Manufacturas Industria Automotriz
Gráfica 12 Exportación de Mercancías: Petroleras vs. No Petroleras, 2000-2020 (Variación % anual) 60.0 40.0 % 20.0 0.0-20.0-40.0 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 Exportaciones Petroleras Exportaciones No Petroleras Proyecciones CAMACRO: 2014-2020
Gráfica 13 Precio Internacional del Petróleo: Mezcla Mexicana vs. WTI, 2000-2020 (Dólares por barril) 130 110 Dólares por barril de petróleo crudo 90 70 50 30 10 Proyecciones CAMACRO: 2014-2020 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 West Texas Intermediate Mezcla Mexicana
Gráfica 14 Producción de Crudo y Plataforma Petrolera de Exportación, 1980-2020 (Miles de barriles diarios en promedio) 3,500 3,000 Miles de barriles diarios en promedio 2,500 2,000 1,500 1,000 500 Proyecciones CAMACRO: 2014-2020 1980 1981 1982 1983 1984 1985 1986 1987 1988 1989 1990 1991 1992 1993 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 Producción de Crudo Plataforma Petrolera de Exportación
22.0 Gráfica 15 ParBcipación Porcentual en el Mercado de EUA: México vs. China, 1985-2020 (% en el total de las importaciones de EUA) 20.0 18.0 16.0 14.0 % 12.0 10.0 8.0 6.0 4.0 2.0 0.0 Proyecciones CAMACRO: 2014-2020 1985 1986 1987 1988 1989 1990 1991 1992 1993 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 China México
400,000 Gráfica 16 Balanza de Pagos de México: Cuenta Corriente, de Capital y Reserva Internacional, 2000-2020 (Millones de dólares) 350,000 300,000 250,000 Millones de dólares 200,000 150,000 100,000 50,000 0-50,000-100,000 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 Cuenta Corriente Cuenta de Capital Reserva Internacional Proyecciones CAMACRO: 2014-2020
Gráfica 17 Sector Público: Ingreso, Gasto y Balance Fiscal, 2000-2020 (Porcentajes del PIB) 27.50 25.00 22.50 20.00 17.50 15.00 % del PIB 12.50 10.00 7.50 5.00 2.50 0.00-2.50-5.00 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 Ingreso Presupuestal Gasto Neto Presupuestal Requerimientos Financieros del Sector Público Proyecciones CAMACRO: 2014-2020
Gráfica 18 Sector Público: Gasto Corriente vs. Inversión Física Presupuestal, 2000-2020 (Porcentajes del PIB) 18.0 16.0 14.0 12.0 % del PIB 10.0 8.0 6.0 4.0 2.0 0.0 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 Proyecciones CAMACRO: 2014-2020 Gasto Corriente Inversión Física Presupuestal
CAPÍTULO I Escenario Macroeconómico Corto y Mediano Plazo 2011-2016 Escenario Macroeconómico (Primera Parte) Escenario Macroeconómico (Segunda Parte) Escenario Macroeconómico (Tercera Parte)
Escenario Macroeconómico Corto y Mediano Plazo 2011-2016 Indicadores Datos observados Proyecciones CAMACRO Macroeconómicos 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 Población Total Mls. de Personas 115,683 117,054 118,395 119,713 121,006 122,273 % Var. 1.2 1.2 1.1 1.1 1.1 1.0 Población Económicamente Activa Mls. de Personas 50,019 51,511 52,051 52,981 54,229 55,833 % Var. 2.1 3.0 1.0 1.8 2.4 3.0 Población Ocupada Mls. de Personas 38,172 39,164 39,521 40,008 40,897 42,191 % Var. 1.4 2.6 0.9 1.2 2.2 3.2 Ocupación Parcial y Desocupación Mls. de Personas 5,740 5,928 5,906 6,044 6,002 5,827 % PEA 11.5 11.5 11.3 11.4 11.1 10.4 Empleo Sector Informal Mls. de Personas 13,568 14,080 14,018 14,147 14,246 14,203 % PEA 28.6 28.7 28.3 28.1 27.6 26.7 Laboran en Estados Unidos Mls. de Personas 7,614 7,591 7,557 7,513 7,548 7,657 % PEA de EUA 5.0 4.9 4.9 4.8 4.8 4.7 PIB Nominal Mills. Pesos 14,550,014 15,615,012 16,104,402 17,043,316 18,292,235 19,897,633 % Var. 9.5 7.3 3.1 5.8 7.3 8.8 Deflactor del PIB Indice 2008=100 113.9 117.6 120.0 123.3 127.1 131.4 % Var. 5.3 3.2 2.0 2.8 3.1 3.4 PIB Real Mills. Ps. 2008 12,774,243 13,283,052 13,425,236 13,820,186 14,392,811 15,146,156 % Var. 4.0 4.0 1.1 2.9 4.1 5.2 PIB Agropecuario Mills. Ps. 2008 377,193 404,479 405,640 409,387 400,846 412,742 % Var. -2.3 7.2 0.3 0.9-2.1 3.0 PIB Industrial Mills. Ps. 2008 4,427,598 4,547,999 4,516,803 4,628,814 4,826,424 5,094,242 % Var. 3.4 2.7-0.7 2.5 4.3 5.5 PIB Servicios Mills. Ps. 2008 7,640,629 7,988,600 8,157,158 8,426,137 8,794,884 9,249,132 % Var. 4.7 4.6 2.1 3.3 4.4 5.2 PIB por Habitante Pesos de 2008 110,425 113,478 113,394 115,444 118,943 123,871 % Var. 2.8 2.8-0.1 1.8 3.0 4.1 Consumo Privado Mills. Ps. 2008 8,493,188 8,905,208 9,131,564 9,409,096 9,816,422 10,344,406 % Var. 4.8 4.9 2.5 3.0 4.3 5.4 Continúa I-1
Continuación Indicadores Datos observados Proyecciones CAMACRO Macroeconómicos 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 Inversión Fija Bruta Mills. Ps. 2008 2,804,154 2,930,470 2,878,597 2,950,159 3,120,387 3,383,235 % Var. 7.8 4.5-1.8 2.5 5.8 8.4 Indice Nacional de Precios Consumidor 2q. dic. 2010=100 103.55 107.25 111.51 115.79 119.82 124.20 % Var. Dic./dic. 3.8 3.6 4.0 3.8 3.5 3.7 Tipo de Cambio Peso-Dólar Prom. Anual 12.4354 13.1613 12.7724 13.0893 13.3145 13.4609 % Var. -1.5 5.8-3.0 2.5 1.7 1.1 Indice Tipo de Cambio Real Indice 1990=100 85.7 89.0 84.4 84.7 84.7 84.4 % Var. -1.8 3.8-5.1 0.4 0.1-0.4 % de Sobre (-) o Sub (+) valuación del Peso -14.3-11.0-15.6-15.3-15.3-15.6 Remuneración Media Mensual Real 7,553 7,599 7,655 7,768 7,940 8,146 % Var. Pesos de 2008 2.2 0.6 0.7 1.5 2.2 2.6 Cuenta Corriente Mills. de dólares -12,556-15,058-25,856-22,909-33,269-45,797 Balanza comercial -1,409 18-1,184-4,290-9,849-19,167 Balanza servicios y transferencias -11,088-15,012-24,834-18,741-23,420-26,630 Cuenta de Capital 50,787 54,463 59,460 67,891 65,035 75,190 Endeudamiento externo neto 13,075 14,357 42,591 34,072 28,578 28,394 Inversión extranjera directa 23,354 17,628 38,286 25,076 29,066 34,632 Inversión extranjera de cartera 25,086 56,517 21,030 42,388 46,133 58,060 Activos -10,728-34,039-42,447-33,645-38,742-45,896 Variación de la Reserva Internacional Neta 28,879 21,040 13,006 22,355 13,828 10,292 Saldo de la Reserva Internacional 142,475 163,515 176,522 198,877 212,705 222,997 Deuda Externa Total Millones de dólares 201,344 213,410 240,703 275,104 304,446 333,662 % PIB 18.0 17.1 19.5 21.0 22.2 22.8 Intereses Millones de dólares 17,688 20,296 23,217 26,650 29,651 32,711 % Exportación bienes y servicios 4.6 5.1 5.6 6.1 6.2 6.1 Continúa I-2
Continuación Indicadores Datos observados Proyecciones CAMACRO Macroeconómicos 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 Tasa Valores Privados Promedio anual 4.92 4.73 4.26 3.53 3.49 4.82 % real 1.16 1.22 0.36-0.24 0.07 1.23 Tasa Cetes a 28 días Promedio anual 4.24 4.24 3.75 2.96 2.95 4.25 % real 0.49 0.73-0.15-0.80-0.47 0.65 Tasa Política Monetaria Banxico Promedio anual 4.50 4.50 3.97 3.22 3.23 4.49 % real 0.75 0.99 0.06-0.55-0.19 0.90 Ahorro Financiero Saldo Mills. Ps. 2010 8,367,526 9,278,536 9,750,048 10,619,392 11,803,374 13,371,365 Var.% 12.2 10.9 5.1 8.9 11.1 13.3 Crédito al Sector Privado Saldo Mills. Ps. 2010 1,979,851 2,133,764 2,247,946 2,452,946 2,767,770 3,217,478 Var.% 12.7 7.8 5.4 9.1 12.8 16.2 Ingreso Presupuestal Millones de pesos 3,271,080 3,514,530 3,800,416 4,113,595 4,399,223 4,786,129 Var. % real 6.9 3.2 4.2 4.1 3.2 4.9 Gasto Presupuestal Neto Millones de pesos 3,631,316 3,920,305 4,178,322 4,737,412 4,991,587 5,366,201 Var. % real 5.3 3.7 2.7 9.0 1.6 3.7 Balance Fiscal Amplio RFSP Millones de pesos -388,987-502,126-483,714-723,778-683,535-665,035 % PIB -2.7-3.2-3.0-4.2-3.7-3.3 PIB Real de Estados Unidos Bills. Dls. 2009 15,052 15,471 15,761 16,102 16,570 17,103 Var.% 1.8 2.8 1.9 2.2 2.9 3.2 Producción Industrial Indice 2007=100 93.6 97.1 99.9 103.8 107.7 112.1 Var.% 3.3 3.8 2.9 3.8 3.8 4.1 Indice Precios al Consumidor 2Q Dic. 2010=100 102.4 104.5 106.0 108.0 110.1 112.5 Var.% Promedio anual 3.2 2.1 1.5 1.9 2.0 2.2 Tasa de Desempleo % Fuerza de Trabajo 8.9 8.1 7.4 6.3 5.9 5.6 Cuenta Corriente % del PIB -3.0-2.8-2.4-2.6-2.7-2.8 Balance Fiscal % del PIB -8.4-6.7-4.0-2.8-2.6-2.8 Tasa Política Monetaria FED % Promedio anual 0.10 0.14 0.11 0.09 0.31 1.12 Tasa Libor % Promedio anual 0.34 0.43 0.27 0.24 0.45 1.26 Conclusión I-3
CAPÍTULO II Escenario Macroeconómico Largo Plazo 2016-2020 Escenario Macroeconómico (Primera Parte) Escenario Macroeconómico (Segunda Parte) Escenario Macroeconómico (Tercera Parte)
Escenario Macroeconómico Largo Plazo 2014-2020 Indicadores Datos observados Proyecciones CAMACRO Macroeconómicos 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 Economía Mundial PIB Mundial Var. % real PIB 5.2 3.9 3.2 3.0 3.4 3.9 4.4 4.9 4.6 4.3 4.1 Economías Avanzadas Var. % real PIB 3.0 1.7 1.3 1.2 1.9 2.3 2.8 3.3 3.0 2.6 2.4 Economías Emergentes Var. % real PIB 7.5 6.3 5.1 4.7 4.9 5.4 5.8 6.3 6.0 5.7 5.4 Exportación de Mercancías Var. % 22.1 19.7 0.1 2.1 3.0 5.1 8.8 13.0 11.7 9.7 8.1 Inflación Mundial % 3.6 4.9 3.9 3.6 3.5 3.6 3.8 4.2 4.1 3.8 3.6 Tasa de Interés LIBOR 3 meses % 0.34 0.34 0.43 0.27 0.24 0.45 1.26 2.26 3.27 3.32 2.72 Precio Crudo West Texas Intermediate Dls. Barril 79.40 94.87 94.11 97.91 100.58 95.16 93.08 98.65 103.83 107.64 111.24 Crecimiento Económico de México PIB Real Var. % anual 5.1 4.0 4.0 1.1 2.9 4.1 5.2 6.0 5.8 5.2 4.9 PIB Real por Habitante Var. % anual 3.8 2.8 2.8-0.1 1.8 3.0 4.1 5.0 4.8 4.2 3.9 Participación % en el PIB Mundial % 2.1 2.1 2.2 2.1 2.1 2.1 2.1 2.2 2.2 2.2 2.3 Indice Relativo de Desarrollo Económico México Mundo=100 128.8 129.0 130.0 127.6 127.7 127.9 129.1 131.5 133.7 135.3 136.7 Estados Unidos Mundo=100 442.5 435.9 435.7 432.3 430.8 427.0 423.6 423.6 422.2 418.0 413.2 Población y Ocupación Población Total Mils. Personas 114,256 115,683 117,054 118,395 119,713 121,006 122,273 123,518 124,738 125,929 127,092 Var. % % 1.2 1.2 1.2 1.1 1.1 1.1 1.0 1.0 1.0 1.0 0.9 Población Económicamente Activa Mils. Personas 49,013 50,019 51,511 52,051 52,992 54,237 55,836 57,615 59,363 60,993 62,529 Var. % % 1.4 2.1 3.0 1.0 1.8 2.3 2.9 3.2 3.0 2.7 2.5 Población Ocupada Mils. Personas 37,636 38,172 39,164 39,521 40,054 40,949 42,249 43,823 45,454 46,928 48,301 Var. % % 1.5 1.4 2.6 0.9 1.3 2.2 3.2 3.7 3.7 3.2 2.9 Ocupación Parcial y Desocupación Mils. Personas 5,744 5,740 5,928 5,906 6,039 5,998 5,823 5,486 5,099 4,871 4,693 % PEA % 11.7 11.5 11.5 11.3 11.4 11.1 10.4 9.5 8.6 8.0 7.5 Empleo Sector Informal Mils. Personas 13,004 13,568 14,080 14,018 14,136 14,221 14,171 13,718 13,375 13,201 13,122 % PEA % 26.5 27.1 27.3 26.9 26.7 26.2 25.4 23.8 22.5 21.6 21.0 Laboran en Estados Unidos Mils. Personas 7,788 7,614 7,591 7,557 7,513 7,548 7,657 7,812 7,985 8,134 8,262 % PEA de EUA % 5.1 5.0 4.9 4.9 4.8 4.8 4.7 4.7 4.8 4.8 4.8 Continúa II-1
Continuación Indicadores Datos observados Proyecciones CAMACRO Macroeconómicos 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 Precios al Consumidor INPC Inflación General % Promedio anual 4.2 3.4 4.1 3.8 4.0 3.7 3.7 4.1 4.1 3.9 3.7 Inflación Subyacente % Promedio anual 3.9 3.2 3.4 2.7 3.2 3.1 3.3 3.8 3.9 3.7 3.6 Inflación No Subyacente % Promedio anual 5.0 3.9 6.4 7.3 6.7 5.5 4.8 4.9 4.5 4.3 4.1 Tipo de Cambio Tipo de Cambio Peso-Dólar Promedio anual 12.63 12.44 13.16 12.77 13.09 13.31 13.46 13.68 13.98 14.25 14.48 % Var. % -6.5-1.5 5.8-3.0 2.5 1.7 1.1 1.6 2.2 1.9 1.6 Indice Tipo de Cambio Real Indice 1990=100 87.3 85.7 89.0 84.4 84.7 84.7 84.4 84.5 84.9 85.0 85.0 % Var. % -8.8-1.8 3.8-5.1 0.4 0.1-0.4 0.1 0.5 0.2-0.1 Porcentaje de sobre (-) o sub (+) valuación % -12.7-14.3-11.0-15.6-15.3-15.3-15.6-15.5-15.1-15.0-15.0 Remuneraciones y Salario Mínimo Real Remuneración Media Anual Indice 2008=100 100.0 102.3 102.9 103.6 105.2 107.5 110.3 113.5 116.2 118.7 121.1 Var. % Real % -0.2 2.2 0.6 0.7 1.5 2.2 2.6 2.9 2.4 2.2 2.0 Industria Manufacturera Indice 2008=100 98.7 98.9 99.0 99.1 99.3 100.2 101.8 103.6 105.2 106.5 107.6 Var. % Real % -0.7 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.2 1.0 1.6 1.8 1.5 1.3 1.0 Salario Mínimo General Indice 2008=100 100.0 100.7 100.8 101.3 101.2 101.7 102.4 103.4 104.3 105.0 105.5 Var. % Real % 0.7 0.7 0.1 0.5-0.1 0.5 0.7 1.0 0.8 0.7 0.5 Tasas de Interés Tasa de Política Monetaria Banxico Promedio Anual 4.50 4.50 4.50 3.97 3.22 3.23 4.49 5.68 6.63 6.77 6.27 % Real Anual % 0.18 0.75 0.99 0.06-0.55-0.19 0.90 1.60 2.86 3.08 2.78 Ahorro Financiero y Crédito Bancario Ahorro Financiero Var. % Real 8.1 12.2 10.9 5.1 8.9 11.1 13.3 14.9 13.9 12.4 11.0 Crédito Bancario al Sector Privado Var. % Real 4.0 12.7 7.8 5.4 9.1 12.8 16.2 20.2 17.9 16.0 14.8 Deuda Externa de México Deuda Externa Total Mills. de Dls. 190,143 201,344 213,410 240,703 275,104 304,446 333,662 367,985 405,227 444,705 486,069 % del PIB % 16.8 18.0 17.1 19.5 21.0 22.2 22.8 23.2 23.8 24.3 24.8 Pago de Intereses Mills. de Dls. 14,161 17,688 20,296 23,217 26,650 29,651 32,711 36,439 40,095 43,862 47,767 % Exportación de Bienes y Servicios % 4.3 4.6 5.1 5.6 6.1 6.2 6.1 5.9 5.7 5.6 5.5 Continúa II-2
Continúa Indicadores Datos observados Proyecciones CAMACRO Macroeconómicos 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 Finanzas Públicas Ingreso Presupuestal % del PIB 22.3 22.5 22.5 23.6 24.1 24.0 24.1 24.5 24.8 25.0 25.2 Ingreso Petrolero % del PIB 7.3 7.6 7.6 7.8 8.4 8.2 7.9 7.8 7.6 7.4 7.4 Ingreso No Petrolero % del PIB 15.0 14.9 14.9 15.8 15.7 15.8 16.1 16.7 17.2 17.6 17.9 Gasto Neto Presupuestal % del PIB 25.1 25.0 25.1 25.9 27.8 27.3 27.0 27.0 27.0 27.1 27.4 Gasto Corriente % del PIB 14.7 14.8 15.1 15.2 16.6 16.3 16.1 16.0 15.8 15.8 15.9 Gasto de Capital % del PIB 5.0 4.8 4.7 5.4 5.7 5.6 5.6 5.7 5.7 5.9 5.9 Costo Financiero de la Deuda % del PIB 1.9 1.9 2.0 2.0 2.2 2.3 2.4 2.5 2.6 2.7 2.8 Balance Fiscal Tradicional % del PIB -2.8-2.4-2.6-2.3-3.6-3.2-2.9-2.6-2.1-2.1-2.2 Balance Fiscal Amplio RFSP % del PIB -3.4-2.7-3.2-3.0-4.2-3.7-3.3-2.9-2.4-2.4-2.4 Balanza de Pagos Cuenta Corriente Mills. de Dls. -3,886-12,556-15,058-25,856-22,909-33,269-45,797-56,653-66,849-79,398-93,116 % del PIB Porcentaje -0.4-1.1-1.3-2.1-1.8-2.4-3.1-3.5-3.9-4.3-4.7 Balanza Comercial Mills. de Dls. -3,009-1,409 18-1,184-4,290-9,849-19,167-25,897-31,990-40,827-51,189 Balanza Servicios y Transferencias Mills. de Dls. -877-11,088-15,012-24,834-18,741-23,420-26,630-30,756-34,859-38,571-41,927 Cuenta de Capital Mills. de Dls. 46,388 50,787 54,463 59,460 67,891 65,035 75,190 84,911 95,734 111,991 123,575 Endeudamiento Externo Neto Mills. de Dls. 45,428 13,075 14,357 42,591 34,072 28,578 28,394 32,494 36,735 38,491 40,449 Inversión Extranjera Directa Mills. de Dls. 23,353 23,354 17,628 38,286 25,076 29,066 34,632 38,938 45,212 49,371 54,239 Saldo Reserva Internacional Mills. de Dls. 113,597 142,475 163,515 176,522 198,877 212,705 222,997 230,704 236,822 244,405 247,852 Variación anual Mills. de Dls. 22,759 28,879 21,040 13,006 22,355 13,828 10,292 7,707 6,118 7,583 3,447 Sector Externo y TLC Exportación Total de Mercancías Mills. de Dls. 298,473 349,433 370,770 380,027 396,397 429,765 473,325 543,915 612,285 679,582 745,449 Var. % anual % 29.9 17.1 6.1 2.5 4.3 8.4 10.1 14.9 12.6 11.0 9.7 A Estados Unidos Mills. de Dls. 238,684 274,427 287,842 299,439 316,223 345,837 382,776 441,856 498,756 555,204 611,283 Var. % anual % 28.9 15.0 4.9 4.0 5.6 9.4 10.7 15.4 12.9 11.3 10.1 % de penetración en el mercado de EUA % 12.0 11.9 12.2 12.4 12.2 12.5 12.8 13.2 13.5 13.8 14.2 Importación Total de Mercancías Mills. de Dls. 301,482 350,843 370,752 381,210 400,687 439,614 492,492 569,812 644,275 720,409 796,638 Var. % anual % 28.6 16.4 5.7 2.8 5.1 9.7 12.0 15.7 13.1 11.8 10.6 De Estados Unidos Mills. de Dls. 145,007 174,356 185,110 187,262 197,438 218,488 247,576 290,433 332,188 375,621 420,147 Var. % anual % 29.0 20.2 6.2 1.2 5.4 10.7 13.3 17.3 14.4 13.1 11.9 % Importado de EUA % 48.1 49.7 49.9 49.1 49.3 49.7 50.3 51.0 51.6 52.1 52.7 Balanza Comercial México-EUA Mills. de Dls. 93,677 100,070 102,732 112,178 118,786 127,349 135,200 151,423 166,567 179,583 191,135 Balanza Comercial México-Resto Mundo Mills. de Dls. -96,686-101,480-102,714-113,361-123,076-137,198-154,367-177,320-198,557-220,410-242,325 Conclusión II-3
CAPÍTULO III Crecimiento Económico por Sexenios y Criterios Generales de Política Económica 2013-2014 Evolución de la Economía Mexicana por Sexenios 1982-2018 Evolución de la Economía Mexicana en el Sexenio de Enrique Peña Nieto 2012-2018 Marco Macroeconómico 2014-2019: SHCP vs. CAMACRO Marco Macroeconómico 2013-2014 Oferta y Demanda Agregadas 2013-2014 Finanzas Públicas 2013-2014 / Millones de Pesos Finanzas Públicas 2013-2014 / % del PIB
Evolución de la Economía Mexicana por Sexenios, 1982-2018 (Cifras acumuladas o promedio anual por sexenio) Miguel Carlos Salinas Ernesto Vicente Felipe Enrique Acumulado o Indicadores Macroeconómicos Unidad de medida Periodo de la Madrid de Gortari Zedillo Fox Calderón Peña Nieto Promedio Anual 1983-1988 1989-1994 1995-2000 2001-2006 2007-2012 2013-2018 1983-2018 PIB Mundial Var. % real Promedio Anual Sexenio 3.9 2.9 3.7 4.0 3.3 4.0 3.6 PIB México Var. % real Promedio Anual Sexenio 0.3 4.0 3.2 2.2 2.1 4.2 2.6 PIB Per Cápita Var. % real Promedio Anual Sexenio -1.7 2.2 1.8 1.0 0.8 3.1 1.1 Coeficiente de Inversión Fija Bruta / PIB Porcentaje Promedio Anual Sexenio 18.3 18.7 17.7 20.3 22.1 22.5 19.9 SCNM Nuevos Empleos Miles Personas Acumulado en el Sexenio 452 4,085 4,067 2,600 1,930 6,219 19,353 ENOE Tasa de Desocupación % PEA Acumulado en el Sexenio 5.0 4.8 5.6 3.4 4.5 4.7 4.7 ENOE Tasa de Ocupación Parcial y Desocupación % PEA Promedio Sexenio 9.2 8.8 10.6 8.6 11.1 10.4 9.8 ENOE Tasa Empleo Sector Informal % Población Ocupada Promedio Sexenio 22.5 23.6 27.9 28.3 28.0 26.5 26.1 ENOE Indice Global de Productividad Laboral índice 2008=100 Promedio Anual Sexenio -1.1 1.1 1.8 0.6 0.2 1.5 0.7 Población en Pobreza Miles Personas Acumulado en el Sexenio 10,058 3,001 5,357-7,678 14,801-6,810 18,728 En Pobreza Alimentaria Miles Personas Acumulado en el Sexenio 8,180-455 4,658-9,262 7,941-6,295 4,767 % Población en Pobreza % Población Total Promedio Anual Sexenio 54.2 52.7 63.0 48.0 50.6 50.7 53.2 % Población en Pobreza Alimentaria % Población Total Promedio Anual Sexenio 23.6 21.7 32.5 18.5 19.7 18.7 22.4 Coeficiente de Desigualdad Social Índice de Gini Promedio Anual Sexenio 0.448 0.469 0.469 0.456 0.445 0.438 0.454 Ingreso Factor Trabajo / Ingreso Nacional Disponible % Ingreso Nacional Promedio Anual Sexenio 37.1 34.7 33.2 33.0 31.0 31.7 33.4 Precios al Consumidor INPC % Promedio Anual Sexenio 92.9 16.9 22.0 4.7 4.3 3.9 25.1 Remuneración Media Anual Var. % real Crecimiento en el Sexenio -40.8 35.7-6.5 14.1 5.9 12.9 2.5 Salario Mínimo General Var. % real Crecimiento en el Sexenio -49.1-23.4-22.4 1.7-0.3 3.4-68.3 Tasa Nominal Cetes a plazo de 28 días % Promedio Anual Sexenio 69.56 23.96 26.84 7.97 5.53 4.31 23.03 Tasa Real Anual Cetes a plazo de 28 días % Promedio Anual Sexenio 7.65 9.93 7.05 3.69 1.35 0.55 5.04 Coeficiente de Apertura Comercial % PIB Promedio Anual Sexenio 19.9 26.5 41.8 52.6 58.7 68.4 44.7 Endeudamiento Externo Neto Total Millones Dólares Acumulado en el Sexenio 2,077 47,907 20,316 1,646 117,868 202,864 392,678 Servicio de la Deuda Externa Total Millones Dólares Acumulado en el Sexenio 57,052 60,067 78,358 75,635 98,717 188,762 558,591 Inversión Extranjera Directa Millones Dólares Acumulado en el Sexenio 13,631 30,324 76,539 143,520 142,232 211,210 617,457 Inversión Extranjera de Cartera Millones Dólares Acumulado en el Sexenio 0 45,137-3,599 15,476 122,496 316,406 495,916 Reserva Internacional Banco de México Millones Dólares Acumulado en el Sexenio 4,756-201 27,407 34,125 95,836 73,306 235,229 Ingreso Presupuestal Sector Público % PIB Promedio Anual Sexenio 23.7 20.1 18.4 20.2 22.6 24.2 21.5 Ingresos Petroleros % PIB Promedio Anual Sexenio 10.1 5.4 6.0 6.9 7.7 8.0 7.4 Ingresos No petroleros % PIB Promedio Anual Sexenio 13.6 14.7 12.4 13.3 14.9 16.2 14.2 Gasto Neto Presupuestal Sector Público % PIB Promedio Anual Sexenio 31.0 20.1 19.0 20.7 24.3 27.0 23.7 Gasto Corriente % PIB Promedio Anual Sexenio 12.3 9.9 10.4 12.3 14.4 16.0 12.6 Gasto de Inversión % PIB Promedio Anual Sexenio 3.5 2.5 2.4 2.4 4.0 4.9 3.3 Balance Fiscal Amplio RFSP % PIB Promedio Anual Sexenio -9.5-0.6-3.9-1.7-2.4-3.3-3.5 III-I
Evolución de la Economía Mexicana en el Sexenio de Enrique Peña Nieto, 2012-2018 (Cifras acumuladas o promedio anual en el sexenio) Datos CAMACRO Acumulado o Indicadores Macroeconómicos Unidad de medida Periodo observados Proyecciones Promedio Anual 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2013-2018 PIB Mundial Var. % real Anual 3.0 3.4 3.9 4.4 4.9 4.6 4.0 PIB México Var. % real Anual 1.1 2.9 4.1 5.2 6.0 5.8 4.2 PIB Per Cápita Var. % real Anual -0.1 1.8 3.0 4.1 5.0 4.8 3.1 Coeficiente de Inversión Fija Bruta / PIB Porcentaje Anual 21.4 21.3 21.7 22.3 23.4 24.5 22.5 SCNM Nuevos Empleos Miles Personas Anual 357 488 889 1,294 1,568 1,624 6,219 ENOE Tasa de Desocupación % PEA Anual 4.9 4.9 4.9 4.8 4.6 4.1 4.7 ENOE Tasa de Ocupación Parcial y Desocupación % PEA Anual 11.3 11.4 11.1 10.4 9.5 8.6 10.4 ENOE Tasa Empleo Sector Informal % Población Ocupada Anual 28.3 28.1 27.6 26.7 24.9 23.5 26.5 ENOE Indice Global de Productividad Laboral índice 2008=100 Anual 0.0 1.1 1.7 1.9 2.3 2.3 1.5 Población en Pobreza Miles Personas Anual 64,343 65,719 64,632 62,466 58,524 54,541-6,810 En Pobreza Alimentaria Miles Personas Anual 25,302 25,890 25,102 23,503 20,031 16,794-6,295 % Población en Pobreza % Población Total Anual 54.3 54.8 53.3 51.0 47.3 43.7 50.7 % Población en Pobreza Alimentaria % Población Total Anual 21.3 21.6 20.7 19.2 16.2 13.4 18.7 Coeficiente de Desigualdad Social Índice de Gini Anual 0.441 0.442 0.440 0.438 0.436 0.432 0.438 Ingreso Factor Trabajo / Ingreso Nacional Disponible % Ingreso Nacional Anual 31.3 31.4 31.6 31.8 32.0 32.2 31.7 Precios al Consumidor INPC % Promedio Anual 3.8 4.0 3.7 3.7 4.1 4.1 3.9 Remuneración Media Anual Var. % real Promedio Anual 0.7 1.5 2.2 2.6 2.9 2.4 12.9 Salario Mínimo General Var. % real Promedio Anual 0.5-0.1 0.5 0.7 1.0 0.8 3.4 Tasa Nominal Cetes a plazo de 28 días % Promedio Anual 3.75 2.96 2.95 4.25 5.46 6.44 4.31 Tasa Real Anual Cetes a plazo de 28 días % Promedio Anual -0.15-0.80-0.47 0.65 1.38 2.66 0.55 Coeficiente de Apertura Comercial % PIB Anual 63.0 64.0 66.3 68.9 73.0 75.5 68.4 Endeudamiento Externo Neto Total Millones Dólares Anual 42,591 34,072 28,578 28,394 32,494 36,735 202,864 Servicio de la Deuda Externa Total Millones Dólares Anual 23,217 26,650 29,651 32,711 36,439 40,095 188,762 Inversión Extranjera Directa Millones Dólares Anual 38,286 25,076 29,066 34,632 38,938 45,212 211,210 Inversión Extranjera de Cartera Millones Dólares Anual 21,030 42,388 46,133 58,060 70,112 78,683 316,406 Reserva Internacional Banco de México Millones Dólares Variación anual 13,006 22,355 13,828 10,292 7,707 6,118 73,306 Ingreso Presupuestal Sector Público % PIB Promedio Anual 23.6 24.1 24.0 24.1 24.5 24.8 24.2 Ingresos Petroleros % PIB Promedio Anual 7.8 8.4 8.2 7.9 7.8 7.6 8.0 Ingresos No petroleros % PIB Promedio Anual 15.8 15.7 15.8 16.1 16.7 17.2 16.2 Gasto Neto Presupuestal Sector Público % PIB Promedio Anual 25.9 27.8 27.3 27.0 27.0 27.0 27.0 Gasto Corriente % PIB Promedio Anual 15.2 16.6 16.3 16.1 16.0 15.8 16.0 Gasto de Inversión % PIB Promedio Anual 4.6 5.1 4.9 4.9 4.9 4.9 4.9 Balance Fiscal Amplio RFSP % PIB Promedio Anual -3.0-4.2-3.7-3.3-2.9-2.4-3.3 III-2
Marco Macroeconómico para 2014-2019 Criterios Generales de Política Económica para 2014 vs. Proyecciones CAMACRO Indicadores Fecha de Proyecciones Macroeconómicos proyección 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 PIB de los Estado Unidos Var. % real SHCP Sep. 2013 2.6 3.1 2.9 2.8 2.7 2.6 CAMACRO Jun. 2014 2.2 2.9 3.2 3.6 3.3 2.8 Producción Industrial en EUA Var. % real SHCP Sep. 2013 3.2 3.4 3.1 3.0 2.9 2.9 CAMACRO Jun. 2014 3.8 3.8 4.1 4.8 4.4 4.2 Inflación en EUA Promedio anual SHCP Sep. 2013 1.9 2.3 2.4 2.4 2.4 2.4 CAMACRO Jun. 2014 1.9 2.0 2.2 2.4 2.3 2.1 Tasa LIBOR 3 meses Promedio anual SHCP Sep. 2013 0.5 1.2 2.2 3.2 4.0 4.5 CAMACRO Jun. 2014 0.2 0.4 1.3 2.2 3.3 3.3 PIB de México Var. % real SHCP/Escenario inercial Sep. 2013 3.5 3.8 3.7 3.6 3.5 3.5 SHCP/Con reformas Sep. 2013 3.9 4.7 4.9 5.2 5.3 5.4 CAMACRO/Con reformas Jun. 2014 2.9 4.1 5.2 6.0 5.8 5.2 Inflación Var. % dic./dic. SHCP/Escenario inercial Sep. 2013 3.0 3.0 3.0 3.0 3.0 3.0 CAMACRO/Con reformas Jun. 2014 3.8 3.5 3.7 4.2 3.9 3.8 CETES Tasa de Interés Nominal Promedio anual SHCP/Escenario inercial Sep. 2013 4.00 4.30 4.80 5.30 5.80 6.00 CAMACRO/Con reformas Jun. 2014 2.96 2.95 4.25 5.46 6.44 6.60 CETES Tasa de Interés Real Promedio anual SHCP/Escenario inercial Sep. 2013 1.00 1.30 1.80 2.30 2.80 3.10 CAMACRO/Con reformas Jun. 2014-0.80-0.47 0.65 1.38 2.66 2.91 Precio Petróleo Mexicano Dólares por Barril SHCP/Escenario inercial Sep. 2013 81.00 77.00 77.00 77.00 77.00 77.00 CAMACRO/Con reformas Jun. 2014 94.85 89.86 87.86 94.19 100.32 104.38 Plataforma Exportación Crudo MBD SHCP/Escenario inercial Sep. 2013 1,170 1,259 1,284 1,428 1,616 1,699 CAMACRO/Con reformas Jun. 2014 1,143 1,228 1,245 1,285 1,374 1,461 III-3 Continúa
Continuación Indicadores Fecha de Proyecciones Macroeconómicos proyección 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 Cuenta Corriente % PIB SHCP/Escenario inercial Sep. 2013-1.5-1.7-1.7-1.8-1.9-2.0 CAMACRO/Con reformas Jun. 2014-1.8-2.4-3.1-3.5-3.9-4.3 Exportaciones a precios reales Var. % real SHCP/Escenario inercial Sep. 2013 6.8 7.1 6.7 6.6 6.4 6.4 CAMACRO/Con reformas Jun. 2014 4.3 7.6 8.2 11.5 8.7 6.7 Importaciones a precios reales Var. % real SHCP/Escenario inercial Sep. 2013 8.2 8.1 7.9 7.5 7.3 7.3 CAMACRO/Con reformas Jun. 2014 4.7 8.4 10.3 13.3 10.3 8.7 Consumo Privado y Gobierno Var. % real SHCP/Escenario inercial Sep. 2013 4.0 3.8 3.8 3.6 3.5 3.5 CAMACRO/Con reformas Jun. 2014 2.9 3.9 4.9 5.7 5.5 4.9 Inversión Privada y Pública Var. % real SHCP/Escenario inercial Sep. 2013 5.9 5.7 5.6 5.6 5.5 5.4 CAMACRO/Con reformas Jun. 2014 2.5 5.8 8.4 11.2 10.6 9.2 Ingreso Presupuestal Total % PIB SHCP/Escenario inercial Sep. 2013 21.8 21.8 22.6 23.3 24.0 24.6 CAMACRO/Con reformas Jun. 2014 24.1 24.0 24.1 24.5 24.8 25.0 Ingresos Petroleros % del PIB SHCP/Escenario inercial Sep. 2013 7.0 6.9 7.6 8.2 8.8 9.2 CAMACRO/Con reformas Jun. 2014 8.4 8.2 7.9 7.8 7.6 7.4 Ingresos No Petroleros % del PIB SHCP/Escenario inercial Sep. 2013 14.8 14.9 15.0 15.1 15.2 15.4 CAMACRO/Con reformas Jun. 2014 15.7 15.8 16.1 16.7 17.2 17.6 Déficit Fiscal Tradicional % del PIB SHCP/Escenario inercial Sep. 2013-3.5-3.0-2.5-2.0-2.0-2.0 CAMACRO/Con reformas Jun. 2014-3.6-3.2-2.9-2.6-2.1-2.1 Déficit Fiscal Amplio RFSP % del PIB SHCP/Escenario inercial Sep. 2013-4.1-3.6-3.0-2.5-2.5-2.5 CAMACRO/Con reformas Jun. 2014-4.2-3.7-3.3-2.9-2.4-2.4 III-4 Conclusión
MARCO MACROECONOMICO Criterios Generales de Política Económica para 2013 y 2014 Concepto! 2013 2014 CGPE Datos CGPE Estimación Proyecto Aprobado observados Proyecto CAMACRO (Diciembre 2012) (Junio 2014) (Septiembre 2013) (Junio 2014) Producto Interno Bruto Crecimiento % real 3.5 1.1 3.9 2.9 Nominal (mmp) 16,715.6 16,104.4 17,591.8 17,043.3 Deflactor del PIB Base 2008=100 3.5 2.0 3.8 2.8 Inflación Dic./dic. 3.0 4.0 3.0 3.8 Tipo de Cambio Nominal Promedio anual 12.90 12.77 12.60 13.09 Cetes 28 días Nominal, promedio anual 4.60 3.75 4.00 2.96 Real anual 1.60-0.15 1.00-0.80 Cuenta Corriente Balanza de Pagos Millones de dólares -15,465-25,856-21,477-22,909 % del PIB -1.2-2.1-1.5-1.8 Balance Público % PIB Con inversión de PEMEX -2.0-2.3-3.5-3.6 Sin inversión de PEMEX 0.0-0.3-1.5-1.6 Balance Público Amplio RFSP % del PIB -2.4-3.0-4.1-4.2 PIB EE.UU. Crecimiento % real 2.0 1.9 2.6 2.2 Producción Industrial EE.UU. Crecimiento % real 2.3 2.9 3.2 3.8 Inflación EE.UU. Promedio anual 2.0 1.5 1.9 1.9 Petróleo Precio promedio (dls./barril) 86.00 98.56 81.00 94.85 Plataforma de exportación (mbd) 1,184 1,189 1,170 1,143 Tasa de Interés externa LIBOR 3 meses (%) 0.2 0.3 0.5 0.2 III-5
OFERTA Y DEMANDA AGREGADAS 2013 y 2014 Criterios Generales de Política Económica (Variación % anual real) Concepto! 2013 2014 CGPE Datos CGPE Estimación Proyecto observados Proyecto CAMACRO Oferta Agregada 4.1 1.2 5.0 3.4 PIB 3.5 1.1 3.9 2.9 Importaciones 5.7 1.5 8.2 4.7 Demanda Agregada 4.1 1.2 5.0 3.4 Consumo total 3.4 2.3 4.0 2.9 Formación Bruta de Capital 6.0-1.8 5.9 2.5 Exportaciones 4.1 1.2 6.8 4.3 III-6
FINANZAS PUBLICA, 2013 y 2014 Criterios Generales de Política Económica (Millones de pesos) Concepto! 2013 2014 Proyecto Aprobado Datos Proyecto Aprobado Estimación del Ejecutivo H. Congreso observados del Ejecutivo H. Congreso CAMACRO Ingreso Presupuestal 3,576,000 3,601,072 3,800,191 3,829,476 3,816,748 4,113,595 Sector Petrolero 1,238,066 1,243,000 1,261,702 1,224,734 1,265,725 1,439,856 Sector No Petrolero 2,337,934 2,358,072 2,538,489 2,604,742 2,551,023 2,673,739 Gobierno Federal 1,713,941 1,734,079 1,924,585 1,960,313 1,906,594 2,013,089 Tributarios 1,621,177 1,628,202 1,644,313 1,808,188 1,752,179 1,767,580 Sistema renta 864,325 866,624 946,515 1,039,026 1,006,377 992,888 IVA 617,900 622,626 556,794 632,369 609,393 598,788 IEPS 77,477 77,477 78,572 118,300 117,959 115,042 Importación 28,082 28,082 29,260 26,759 26,759 31,718 Otros impuestos 33,392 33,392 33,171-8,265-8,308 29,144 No Tributarios 92,764 105,878 280,272 152,125 154,415 245,509 Organismos y Empresas 623,993 623,993 613,905 644,429 644,429 660,650 Gasto Neto Presupuestal 3,902,324 3,927,396 4,178,322 4,449,891 4,437,163 4,737,412 Gasto Programable 2,995,118 3,031,810 3,316,609 3,456,822 3,463,609 3,806,624 Corriente 2,305,210 2,330,282 2,440,772 2,649,411 2,656,198 2,828,705 Servicios Personales 963,690 963,690 963,100 1,028,125 1,028,125 1,026,374 Otros 1,341,520 1,366,592 1,477,671 1,651,349 1,658,136 1,802,331 Capital 689,908 701,527 875,837 807,411 807,411 977,919 Inversión Física 669,263 680,883 735,501 783,534 783,534 863,478 Inversión Fínanciera 20,645 20,645 140,337 23,877 23,877 114,441 Gasto No Programable 907,206 895,586 861,713 993,069 973,554 930,788 Costo Financiero 350,387 345,387 314,551 383,365 380,365 371,072 Participaciones a Edos. y Municip. 533,646 535,116 532,456 585,654 577,639 539,946 Adefas y Ajenas Netas 23,173 15,084 14,706 24,050 15,550 19,770 Balance Económico -326,324-326,324-374,456-620,415-620,415-619,726 Inversión PEMEX 326,324 326,324 328,572 357,527 357,527 354,501 Balance Económico sin PEMEX 0 0-45,884-262,888-262,888-265,225 Balance Fiscal Amplio RFSP -401,174-401,174-483,714-721,264-721,264-723,778 III-7
FINANZAS PUBLICAS, 2013 y 2014 Criterios Generales de Política Económica (% del PIB) Concepto! 2013 2014 Proyecto Aprobado Datos Proyecto Aprobado Estimación del Ejecutivo H. Congreso observados del Ejecutivo H. Congreso CAMACRO Ingreso Presupuestal 21.39 21.54 23.60 21.77 21.70 24.14 Sector Petrolero 7.41 7.44 7.83 6.96 7.19 8.45 Sector No Petrolero 13.99 14.11 15.76 14.81 14.50 15.69 Gobierno Federal 10.25 10.37 11.95 11.14 10.84 11.81 Tributarios 9.70 9.74 10.21 10.28 9.96 10.37 Sistema renta 5.17 5.18 5.88 5.91 5.72 5.83 IVA 3.70 3.72 3.46 3.59 3.46 3.51 IEPS 0.46 0.46 0.49 0.67 0.67 0.68 Importación 0.17 0.17 0.18 0.15 0.15 0.19 Otros impuestos 0.20 0.20 0.21-0.05-0.05 0.17 No Tributarios 0.55 0.63 1.74 0.86 0.88 1.44 Organismos y Empresas 3.73 3.73 3.81 3.66 3.66 3.88 Gasto Neto Presupuestal 23.35 23.50 25.95 25.30 25.22 27.80 Gasto Programable 17.92 18.14 20.59 19.65 19.69 22.33 Corriente 13.79 13.94 15.16 15.06 15.10 16.60 Servicios Personales 5.77 5.77 5.98 5.84 5.84 6.02 Otros 8.03 8.18 9.18 9.39 9.43 10.58 Capital 4.13 4.20 5.44 4.59 4.59 5.74 Inversión Física 4.00 4.07 4.57 4.45 4.45 5.07 Inversión Fínanciera 0.12 0.12 0.87 0.14 0.14 0.67 Gasto No Programable 5.43 5.36 5.35 5.65 5.53 5.46 Costo Financiero 2.10 2.07 1.95 2.18 2.16 2.18 Participaciones a Edos. y Municip. 3.19 3.20 3.31 3.33 3.28 3.17 Adefas y Ajenas Netas 0.14 0.09 0.09 0.14 0.09 0.12 Balance Económico -1.95-1.95-2.33-3.53-3.53-3.64 Inversión PEMEX 1.95 1.95 2.04 2.03 2.03 2.08 Balance Económico sin PEMEX 0.00 0.00-0.28-1.49-1.49-1.56 Balance Fiscal Amplio RFSP -2.40-2.40-3.00-4.10-4.10-4.25 III-8
CAPÍTULO IV Proyecciones Macroeconómicas 2014-2020 A. Crecimiento Económico, Ingreso Nacional y Evolución de la Pobreza B. Oferta y Demanda Global C. Producción de Bienes y Servicios por Sectores Económicos D. Población Ocupada Remunerada e Indicadores Estratégicos de Ocupación y Empleo E. Remuneraciones, Productividad y Costo Laboral Unitario F. Indice Nacional de Precios al Consumidor G. Mercado Cambiario H. Tasas de Interés I. Sector Financiero J. Comercio Exterior K. Balanza de Pagos L. Deuda Externa de México M. Finanzas Públicas N. Economía de Estados Unidos O. Tratado de Libre Comercio de América del Norte TLCAN P. Economía Mundial
A. Crecimiento Económico, Ingreso Nacional, Evolución de la Pobreza y Desigualdad Social Cuadro A-1. Producto Interno Bruto 1980-2020 Cuadro A-2. Población y PIB Per Capita 1980-2020 Cuadro A-3. Índice del Grado de Desarrollo Económico de México 1980-2020 Cuadro A-4. Ingreso Nacional Disponible 1980-2020 Cuadro A-5. Consumo Privado Total y Per Cápita 1980-2020 Cuadro A-6. Evolución de la Pobreza y la Desigualdad en México 1980-2020 Cuadro A-7. La Distribución del Ingreso en México 1980-2020
A-1. Producto Interno Bruto: Escenario Base 2014-2020 (Millones de pesos y dólares) Años! PIB Nominal Deflactor del PIB PIB Real PIB en Dólares PIB de México Pesos Var.% 2008=100 Var.% Ps. 2008 Var.% Dólares Var.% Dls. 2008 Var.% % Mundo % EUA 1980 5,882 39.4 0.1 27.6 6,112,050 9.2 256,537 38.3 573,047 26.9 3.0 12.2 1981 8,062 37.1 0.1 26.3 6,633,140 8.5 329,233 28.3 672,647 17.4 3.2 12.9 1982 12,981 61.0 0.2 61.8 6,598,594-0.5 223,763-32.0 430,453-36.0 3.2 13.1 1983 23,381 80.1 0.4 86.6 6,368,539-3.5 155,553-30.5 287,875-33.1 3.0 12.0 1984 38,547 64.9 0.6 59.4 6,585,758 3.4 208,433 34.0 372,515 29.4 3.0 11.6 1985 62,524 62.2 0.9 58.7 6,729,834 2.2 201,508-3.3 348,978-6.3 2.9 11.4 1986 102,625 64.1 1.6 69.4 6,522,625-3.1 161,529-19.8 274,211-21.4 2.7 10.7 1987 253,504 147.0 3.8 142.8 6,634,974 1.7 181,336 12.3 300,174 9.5 2.7 10.5 1988 514,663 103.0 7.7 100.4 6,720,118 1.3 225,031 24.1 359,904 19.9 2.6 10.2 1989 679,422 32.0 9.7 26.8 6,996,013 4.1 273,781 21.7 421,482 17.1 2.6 10.2 1990 916,075 34.8 12.4 28.2 7,358,110 5.2 322,735 17.9 479,120 13.7 2.6 10.5 1991 1,178,365 28.6 15.4 23.4 7,668,237 4.2 390,739 21.1 561,402 17.2 2.7 11.0 1992 1,401,208 18.9 17.6 14.8 7,939,777 3.5 452,812 15.9 636,082 13.3 2.6 11.0 1993 1,570,147 12.1 19.3 9.4 8,132,915 2.4 504,022 11.3 691,561 8.7 2.6 11.0 1994 1,779,754 13.3 20.9 8.2 8,517,387 4.7 527,316 4.6 708,441 2.4 2.6 11.1 1995 2,206,943 24.0 27.5 31.6 8,026,897-5.8 343,814-34.8 452,470-36.1 2.4 10.1 1996 3,020,033 36.8 35.5 29.2 8,498,459 5.9 397,356 15.6 513,554 13.5 2.4 10.3 1997 3,805,272 26.0 41.9 17.8 9,090,197 7.0 480,474 20.9 610,532 18.9 2.5 10.6 1998 4,586,366 20.5 48.2 15.1 9,517,604 4.7 501,209 4.3 630,046 3.2 2.5 10.6 1999 5,539,866 20.8 56.7 17.7 9,771,440 2.7 579,625 15.6 718,360 14.0 2.5 10.4 2000 6,464,302 16.7 62.8 10.8 10,288,982 5.3 683,571 17.9 828,362 15.3 2.5 10.5 2001 6,770,398 4.7 66.2 5.4 10,226,682-0.6 724,956 6.1 858,837 3.7 2.5 10.4 2002 7,160,499 5.8 69.9 5.6 10,240,173 0.1 740,814 2.2 864,341 0.6 2.4 10.2 2003 7,695,624 7.5 74.1 6.0 10,385,857 1.4 712,865-3.8 815,436-5.7 2.3 10.1 2004 8,693,240 13.0 80.3 8.3 10,832,004 4.3 770,277 8.1 857,600 5.2 2.3 10.2 2005 9,441,350 8.6 84.6 5.4 11,160,493 3.0 866,665 12.5 934,928 9.0 2.3 10.1 2006 10,538,115 11.6 89.9 6.3 11,718,672 5.0 966,736 11.5 1,011,778 8.2 2.3 10.3 2007 11,403,263 8.2 94.3 4.9 12,087,602 3.1 1,043,419 7.9 1,063,802 5.1 2.2 10.5 2008 12,256,863 7.5 100.0 6.0 12,256,863 1.4 1,099,071 5.3 1,099,071 3.3 2.2 10.7 2009 12,093,890-1.3 103.5 3.5 11,680,749-4.7 895,337-18.5 888,499-19.2 2.1 10.4 2010 13,282,061 9.8 108.2 4.5 12,277,659 5.1 1,051,604 17.5 1,031,091 16.0 2.1 10.7 2011 14,550,014 9.5 113.9 5.3 12,774,243 4.0 1,170,045 11.3 1,125,125 9.1 2.1 10.9 2012 15,615,012 7.3 117.6 3.2 13,283,052 4.0 1,186,434 1.4 1,121,281-0.3 2.2 11.1 2013 16,104,402 3.1 120.0 2.0 13,425,236 1.1 1,260,877 6.3 1,173,906 4.7 2.1 11.0 2014 17,043,316 5.8 123.3 2.8 13,820,186 2.9 1,302,078 3.3 1,193,993 1.7 2.1 11.1 2015 18,292,235 7.3 127.1 3.1 14,392,811 4.1 1,373,863 5.5 1,238,910 3.8 2.1 11.2 2016 19,897,633 8.8 131.4 3.4 15,146,156 5.2 1,478,178 7.6 1,308,364 5.6 2.1 11.4 2017 21,900,244 10.1 136.4 3.8 16,060,250 6.0 1,600,699 8.3 1,386,473 6.0 2.2 11.6 2018 24,083,382 10.0 141.7 3.9 16,999,241 5.8 1,722,205 7.6 1,459,626 5.3 2.2 11.9 2019 26,278,028 9.1 146.9 3.7 17,883,685 5.2 1,844,287 7.1 1,532,701 5.0 2.2 12.2 2020 28,549,345 8.6 152.2 3.6 18,751,667 4.9 1,971,560 6.9 1,608,220 4.9 2.3 12.5 A-1
A-2. Población Total y PIB Per Cápita: Escenario Base 2014-2020 (Pesos y dólares) Población PIB Per Cápita en Pesos PIB Per Cápita en Dólares Años Total Nominal Real Nominal Real Personas Var.% Pesos Var.% Ps. de 2008 Var.% Dólares Var.% Dls. de 2008 Var.% 1980 71,073,785 2.4 83 36.1 85,996 6.7 3,609 35.0 8,063 23.9 1981 72,666,912 2.2 111 34.1 91,281 6.1 4,531 25.5 9,257 14.8 1982 74,186,037 2.1 175 57.7 88,947-2.6 3,016-33.4 5,802-37.3 1983 75,668,142 2.0 309 76.6 84,164-5.4 2,056-31.8 3,804-34.4 1984 77,166,135 2.0 500 61.7 85,345 1.4 2,701 31.4 4,827 26.9 1985 78,717,744 2.0 794 59.0 85,493 0.2 2,560-5.2 4,433-8.2 1986 80,335,575 2.1 1,277 60.8 81,192-5.0 2,011-21.5 3,413-23.0 1987 82,006,831 2.1 3,091 142.0 80,908-0.4 2,211 10.0 3,660 7.2 1988 83,712,835 2.1 6,148 98.9 80,276-0.8 2,688 21.6 4,299 17.5 1989 85,424,041 2.0 7,954 29.4 81,897 2.0 3,205 19.2 4,934 14.8 1990 87,064,847 1.9 10,522 32.3 84,513 3.2 3,707 15.7 5,503 11.5 1991 88,630,941 1.8 13,295 26.4 86,519 2.4 4,409 18.9 6,334 15.1 1992 90,132,585 1.7 15,546 16.9 88,090 1.8 5,024 14.0 7,057 11.4 1993 91,600,655 1.6 17,141 10.3 88,787 0.8 5,502 9.5 7,550 7.0 1994 93,055,300 1.6 19,126 11.6 91,530 3.1 5,667 3.0 7,613 0.8 1995 94,490,336 1.5 23,356 22.1 84,949-7.2 3,639-35.8 4,789-37.1 1996 95,876,664 1.5 31,499 34.9 88,639 4.3 4,144 13.9 5,356 11.9 1997 97,204,604 1.4 39,147 24.3 93,516 5.5 4,943 19.3 6,281 17.3 1998 98,485,424 1.3 46,569 19.0 96,640 3.3 5,089 3.0 6,397 1.9 1999 99,706,067 1.2 55,562 19.3 98,002 1.4 5,813 14.2 7,205 12.6 2000 100,895,811 1.2 64,069 15.3 101,976 4.1 6,775 16.5 8,210 14.0 2001 102,122,295 1.2 66,297 3.5 100,142-1.8 7,099 4.8 8,410 2.4 2002 103,417,944 1.3 69,238 4.4 99,017-1.1 7,163 0.9 8,358-0.6 2003 104,719,891 1.3 73,488 6.1 99,178 0.2 6,807-5.0 7,787-6.8 2004 105,951,569 1.2 82,049 11.7 102,235 3.1 7,270 6.8 8,094 3.9 2005 107,151,011 1.1 88,113 7.4 104,157 1.9 8,088 11.3 8,725 7.8 2006 108,408,827 1.2 97,207 10.3 108,097 3.8 8,918 10.3 9,333 7.0 2007 109,787,388 1.3 103,867 6.9 110,100 1.9 9,504 6.6 9,690 3.8 2008 111,299,015 1.4 110,126 6.0 110,126 0.0 9,875 3.9 9,875 1.9 2009 112,852,594 1.4 107,165-2.7 103,504-6.0 7,934-19.7 7,873-20.3 2010 114,255,555 1.2 116,249 8.5 107,458 3.8 9,204 16.0 9,024 14.6 2011 115,682,868 1.2 125,775 8.2 110,425 2.8 10,114 9.9 9,726 7.8 2012 117,053,750 1.2 133,400 6.1 113,478 2.8 10,136 0.2 9,579-1.5 2013 118,395,054 1.1 136,023 2.0 113,394-0.1 10,650 5.1 9,915 3.5 2014 119,713,203 1.1 142,368 4.7 115,444 1.8 10,877 2.1 9,974 0.6 2015 121,005,815 1.1 151,168 6.2 118,943 3.0 11,354 4.4 10,238 2.7 2016 122,273,473 1.0 162,731 7.6 123,871 4.1 12,089 6.5 10,700 4.5 2017 123,518,270 1.0 177,304 9.0 130,023 5.0 12,959 7.2 11,225 4.9 2018 124,737,789 1.0 193,072 8.9 136,280 4.8 13,807 6.5 11,702 4.2 2019 125,929,439 1.0 208,673 8.1 142,014 4.2 14,645 6.1 12,171 4.0 2020 127,091,642 0.9 224,636 7.6 147,544 3.9 15,513 5.9 12,654 4.0 A-2
A-3. Indice Relativo del Desarrollo Económico de México: Escenario Base 2014-2020 (Personas y dólares de EUA con ajuste PPP) Población Tamaño de la Economía PIB Per Cápita Indice de Desarrollo Económico Años Mundo % Mundo PIB Mundo % Mundo Mundo Dólares Internacionales PPP PIB Per Cápita PPP Mundo=100 Personas México EUA Canadá M.Mills.Dls. México EUA Canadá Dólares México EUA Canadá México EUA Canadá 1980 4,453,007 1.60 5.16 0.55 11,476 3.04 24.94 2.47 2,577 4,901 12,455 11,557 190.2 483.3 448.5 1981 4,531,799 1.60 5.12 0.55 12,812 3.23 25.06 2.50 2,827 5,689 13,838 12,945 201.2 489.5 457.9 1982 4,612,120 1.61 5.08 0.54 13,683 3.19 24.45 2.42 2,967 5,887 14,279 13,223 198.4 481.3 445.7 1983 4,694,097 1.61 5.04 0.54 14,610 3.00 24.90 2.42 3,112 5,790 15,382 13,979 186.0 494.2 449.1 1984 4,777,828 1.62 5.00 0.53 15,859 2.96 25.48 2.44 3,319 6,080 16,921 15,153 183.2 509.8 456.5 1985 4,863,290 1.62 4.96 0.53 17,009 2.91 25.56 2.46 3,497 6,284 18,027 16,193 179.7 515.4 463.0 1986 4,950,591 1.62 4.92 0.53 17,937 2.73 25.59 2.44 3,623 6,086 18,851 16,699 168.0 520.3 460.9 1987 5,039,478 1.63 4.88 0.53 19,085 2.67 25.52 2.45 3,787 6,221 19,804 17,604 164.3 522.9 464.8 1988 5,129,113 1.63 4.84 0.53 20,631 2.59 25.46 2.46 4,022 6,387 21,147 18,851 158.8 525.7 468.6 1989 5,218,375 1.64 4.81 0.52 22,243 2.60 25.44 2.43 4,262 6,771 22,553 19,812 158.9 529.1 464.8 1990 5,306,425 1.64 4.77 0.52 23,810 2.65 25.11 2.36 4,487 7,245 23,603 20,309 161.5 526.0 452.6 1991 5,392,939 1.64 4.74 0.52 25,100 2.71 24.60 2.27 4,654 7,662 24,135 20,289 164.6 518.6 435.9 1992 5,478,009 1.65 4.71 0.52 28,187 2.55 23.20 2.08 5,146 7,981 25,319 20,687 155.1 492.1 402.0 1993 5,561,744 1.65 4.69 0.52 29,457 2.56 23.35 2.09 5,296 8,247 26,375 21,434 155.7 498.0 404.7 1994 5,644,416 1.65 4.67 0.51 31,040 2.60 23.55 2.12 5,499 8,683 27,740 22,701 157.9 504.4 412.8 1995 5,726,239 1.65 4.65 0.51 32,855 2.37 23.33 2.10 5,738 8,227 28,777 23,571 143.4 501.5 410.8 1996 5,807,212 1.65 4.64 0.51 34,699 2.42 23.34 2.06 5,975 8,741 30,068 24,174 146.3 503.2 404.6 1997 5,887,260 1.65 4.63 0.51 36,763 2.48 23.42 2.06 6,244 9,379 31,574 25,403 150.2 505.6 406.8 1998 5,966,465 1.65 4.63 0.50 38,112 2.53 23.85 2.09 6,388 9,798 32,933 26,507 153.4 515.6 415.0 1999 6,044,931 1.65 4.62 0.50 40,038 2.51 24.14 2.12 6,623 10,078 34,607 27,978 152.2 522.5 422.4 2000 6,122,770 1.65 4.61 0.50 42,875 2.52 24.00 2.13 7,003 10,725 36,424 29,802 153.2 520.2 425.6 2001 6,200,003 1.65 4.61 0.50 44,837 2.45 23.70 2.12 7,232 10,773 37,211 30,699 149.0 514.5 424.5 2002 6,276,722 1.65 4.60 0.50 46,781 2.39 23.47 2.12 7,453 10,816 38,064 31,722 145.1 510.7 425.6 2003 6,353,196 1.65 4.58 0.50 49,523 2.34 23.25 2.08 7,795 11,050 39,521 32,638 141.8 507.0 418.7 2004 6,429,758 1.65 4.57 0.50 53,443 2.34 22.97 2.05 8,312 11,787 41,750 34,243 141.8 502.3 412.0 2005 6,506,649 1.65 4.56 0.50 57,652 2.30 22.71 2.02 8,860 12,356 44,119 36,005 139.5 497.9 406.4 2006 6,583,959 1.65 4.55 0.50 62,474 2.29 22.18 1.97 9,489 13,218 46,260 37,683 139.3 487.5 397.1 2007 6,661,637 1.65 4.54 0.50 67,466 2.25 21.46 1.91 10,128 13,820 47,903 39,042 136.5 473.0 385.5 2008 6,739,610 1.65 4.53 0.49 70,558 2.22 20.86 1.88 10,469 14,093 48,265 39,849 134.6 461.0 380.6 2009 6,817,737 1.66 4.51 0.49 70,627 2.13 20.41 1.84 10,359 13,348 46,859 38,663 128.9 452.3 373.2 2010 6,895,889 1.66 4.50 0.49 75,099 2.13 19.92 1.81 10,890 14,026 48,193 40,046 128.8 442.5 367.7 2011 6,974,036 1.66 4.49 0.49 79,381 2.14 19.57 1.79 11,382 14,685 49,615 41,459 129.0 435.9 364.2 2012 7,052,135 1.66 4.48 0.49 83,258 2.16 19.51 1.77 11,806 15,344 51,441 42,502 130.0 435.7 360.0 2013 7,130,014 1.66 4.47 0.49 86,995 2.12 19.31 1.75 12,201 15,563 52,747 43,610 127.6 432.3 357.4 2014 7,207,460 1.66 4.46 0.49 90,765 2.12 19.20 1.74 12,593 16,086 54,253 44,831 127.7 430.8 356.0 2015 7,284,296 1.66 4.45 0.49 96,038 2.13 18.99 1.72 13,184 16,866 56,300 46,354 127.9 427.0 351.6 2016 7,360,430 1.66 4.44 0.49 102,025 2.14 18.79 1.70 13,861 17,894 58,717 48,227 129.1 423.6 347.9 2017 7,435,810 1.66 4.43 0.49 108,267 2.18 18.76 1.69 14,560 19,150 61,684 50,436 131.5 423.6 346.4 2018 7,510,341 1.66 4.42 0.49 114,953 2.22 18.66 1.67 15,306 20,465 64,626 52,605 133.7 422.2 343.7 2019 7,583,938 1.66 4.41 0.49 121,900 2.25 18.44 1.65 16,074 21,754 67,193 54,599 135.3 418.0 339.7 2020 7,656,528 1.66 4.40 0.49 129,171 2.27 18.19 1.63 16,871 23,054 69,715 56,628 136.7 413.2 335.7 A-3
A-4. Ingreso Nacional Disponible: Escenario Base 2014-2020 (Millones de pesos) Ingreso Nacional Disponible Ingreso del Factor Trabajo Ingreso del Factor Capital y Otros Impues Años Nominal Real Nominal Real Nominal Real Indirectos Pesos % IND Ps. de 2008 % Var. Pesos % IND Ps. de 2008 % Var. Pesos % IND Ps. de 2008 % Var. Pesos 1980 4,973 100.0 5,167,248 8.3 2,131 42.9 2,214,350 3.7 2,644 53.2 2,747,695 9.5 197 1981 6,757 100.0 5,559,434 7.6 3,039 45.0 2,500,603 12.9 3,455 51.1 2,842,757 3.5 263 1982 10,146 100.0 5,157,592-7.2 4,567 45.0 2,321,803-7.2 5,102 50.3 2,593,530-8.8 477 1983 17,664 100.0 4,811,225-6.7 6,915 39.1 1,883,396-18.9 10,068 57.0 2,742,144 5.7 682 1984 29,858 100.0 5,101,217 6.0 11,153 37.4 1,905,571 1.2 17,391 58.2 2,971,344 8.4 1,313 1985 48,534 100.0 5,223,984 2.4 17,961 37.0 1,933,283 1.5 28,058 57.8 3,020,061 1.6 2,514 1986 76,018 100.0 4,831,537-7.5 29,774 39.2 1,892,339-2.1 42,792 56.3 2,719,786-9.9 3,452 1987 189,302 100.0 4,954,609 2.5 68,407 36.1 1,790,420-5.4 110,103 58.2 2,881,739 6.0 10,792 1988 401,289 100.0 5,239,765 5.8 134,888 33.6 1,761,277-1.6 245,145 61.1 3,200,934 11.1 21,257 1989 537,965 100.0 5,539,433 5.7 175,305 32.6 1,805,122 2.5 333,790 62.0 3,437,038 7.4 28,870 1990 737,027 100.0 5,919,960 6.9 234,625 31.8 1,884,558 4.4 461,261 62.6 3,704,949 7.8 41,141 1991 945,964 100.0 6,155,878 4.0 313,231 33.1 2,038,357 8.2 578,061 61.1 3,761,746 1.5 54,671 1992 1,116,357 100.0 6,325,703 2.8 392,881 35.2 2,226,214 9.2 657,736 58.9 3,726,981-0.9 65,740 1993 1,238,544 100.0 6,415,309 1.4 461,841 37.3 2,392,207 7.5 707,831 57.2 3,666,366-1.6 68,872 1994 1,397,307 100.0 6,687,109 4.2 531,216 38.0 2,542,249 6.3 788,884 56.5 3,775,372 3.0 77,207 1995 1,739,601 100.0 6,327,120-5.4 603,782 34.7 2,196,023-13.6 1,029,974 59.2 3,746,130-0.8 105,844 1996 2,431,220 100.0 6,841,524 8.1 774,117 31.8 2,178,387-0.8 1,504,395 61.9 4,233,411 13.0 152,708 1997 3,105,619 100.0 7,418,836 8.4 1,000,064 32.2 2,388,995 9.7 1,902,538 61.3 4,544,864 7.4 203,018 1998 3,777,230 100.0 7,838,489 5.7 1,254,304 33.2 2,602,927 9.0 2,300,552 60.9 4,774,095 5.0 222,373 1999 4,545,091 100.0 8,016,814 2.3 1,523,737 33.5 2,687,629 3.3 2,755,997 60.6 4,861,138 1.8 265,357 2000 5,438,731 100.0 8,656,620 8.0 1,824,063 33.5 2,903,292 8.0 3,266,347 60.1 5,198,919 6.9 348,320 2001 5,756,569 100.0 8,695,294 0.4 2,005,540 34.8 3,029,366 4.3 3,379,354 58.7 5,104,511-1.8 371,676 2002 6,266,903 100.0 8,962,248 3.1 2,166,209 34.6 3,097,879 2.3 3,733,579 59.6 5,339,362 4.6 367,115 2003 6,897,866 100.0 9,309,220 3.9 2,329,800 33.8 3,144,251 1.5 4,122,849 59.8 5,564,113 4.2 445,217 2004 7,863,567 100.0 9,798,210 5.3 2,518,473 32.0 3,138,083-0.2 4,907,019 62.4 6,114,274 9.9 438,075 2005 8,529,597 100.0 10,082,722 2.9 2,701,428 31.7 3,193,322 1.8 5,378,674 63.1 6,358,058 4.0 449,495 2006 9,527,382 100.0 10,594,710 5.1 2,944,694 30.9 3,274,580 2.5 6,118,527 64.2 6,803,969 7.0 464,161 2007 10,284,557 100.0 10,901,759 2.9 3,164,427 30.8 3,354,332 2.4 6,612,872 64.3 7,009,727 3.0 507,258 2008 11,037,180 100.0 11,037,180 1.2 3,421,291 31.0 3,421,291 2.0 7,230,333 65.5 7,230,333 3.1 385,556 2009 10,711,707 100.0 10,345,783-6.3 3,479,948 32.5 3,361,069-1.8 6,650,843 62.1 6,423,643-11.2 580,916 2010 11,894,187 100.0 10,994,737 6.3 3,668,897 30.8 3,391,451 0.9 7,598,158 63.9 7,023,578 9.3 627,132 2011 12,966,394 100.0 11,383,897 3.5 3,933,627 30.3 3,453,544 1.8 8,438,839 65.1 7,408,912 5.5 593,928 2012 13,811,631 100.0 11,748,990 3.2 4,228,773 30.6 3,597,244 4.2 9,016,200 65.3 7,669,713 3.5 566,658 2013 14,265,786 100.0 11,892,497 1.2 4,461,526 31.3 3,719,296 3.4 9,219,363 64.6 7,685,608 0.2 584,897 2014 15,161,551 100.0 12,294,290 3.4 4,766,932 31.4 3,865,438 3.9 9,762,383 64.4 7,916,180 3.0 632,237 2015 16,336,337 100.0 12,853,859 4.6 5,162,991 31.6 4,062,377 5.1 10,493,754 64.2 8,256,761 4.3 679,592 2016 17,799,358 100.0 13,548,941 5.4 5,665,194 31.8 4,312,368 6.2 11,402,610 64.1 8,679,712 5.1 731,554 2017 19,634,171 100.0 14,398,456 6.3 6,292,127 32.0 4,614,247 7.0 12,542,933 63.9 9,198,192 6.0 799,111 2018 21,604,875 100.0 15,249,789 5.9 6,953,472 32.2 4,908,104 6.4 13,782,888 63.8 9,728,644 5.8 868,516 2019 23,519,575 100.0 16,006,402 5.0 7,617,712 32.4 5,184,284 5.6 14,951,672 63.6 10,175,459 4.6 950,191 2020 25,520,428 100.0 16,762,226 4.7 8,291,876 32.5 5,446,237 5.1 16,205,183 63.5 10,643,824 4.6 1,023,369 A-4
Continuación Personal Ocupado Remuneración Total del Personal Ocupado Remuneración Media Anual del Personal Ocupado Años Remunerado Nominal Real Nominal Real Personas % Var. Pesos % Var. % IND Pesos de 2008 % Var. Pesos % Var. Pesos de 2008 % Var. 1980 24,602,687 6.4 2,125 33.4 42.7 2,481,667 5.5 8.64 25.4 10,086.98-0.8 1981 26,121,780 6.2 3,032 42.7 44.9 2,767,928 11.5 11.61 34.4 10,596.24 5.0 1982 26,030,084-0.4 4,554 50.2 44.9 2,615,588-5.5 17.49 50.7 10,048.33-5.2 1983 25,318,960-2.7 6,885 51.2 39.0 1,958,842-25.1 27.19 55.4 7,736.66-23.0 1984 25,927,555 2.4 11,096 61.2 37.2 1,908,142-2.6 42.80 57.4 7,359.51-4.9 1985 26,484,078 2.1 17,845 60.8 36.8 1,945,322 1.9 67.38 57.4 7,345.25-0.2 1986 26,063,667-1.6 29,506 65.3 38.8 1,727,152-11.2 113.21 68.0 6,626.67-9.8 1987 26,299,106 0.9 67,746 129.6 35.8 1,710,576-1.0 257.60 127.5 6,504.31-1.8 1988 26,482,049 0.7 133,645 97.3 33.3 1,575,694-7.9 504.66 95.9 5,950.05-8.5 1989 27,198,534 2.7 173,867 30.1 32.3 1,708,147 8.4 639.25 26.7 6,280.29 5.6 1990 28,402,365 4.4 232,898 34.0 31.6 1,806,603 5.8 819.99 28.3 6,360.75 1.3 1991 29,194,592 2.8 311,374 33.7 32.9 1,969,103 9.0 1,066.55 30.1 6,744.75 6.0 1992 29,592,852 1.4 390,929 25.5 35.0 2,140,290 8.7 1,321.02 23.9 7,232.46 7.2 1993 29,861,321 0.9 459,800 17.6 37.1 2,293,682 7.2 1,539.78 16.6 7,681.11 6.2 1994 30,567,389 2.4 529,089 15.1 37.9 2,467,448 7.6 1,730.89 12.4 8,072.16 5.1 1995 29,635,986-3.0 599,315 13.3 34.5 2,070,348-16.1 2,022.26 16.8 6,985.93-13.5 1996 30,631,556 3.4 768,605 28.2 31.6 1,975,886-4.6 2,509.19 24.1 6,450.49-7.7 1997 31,819,963 3.9 994,672 29.4 32.0 2,119,820 7.3 3,125.94 24.6 6,661.92 3.3 1998 33,186,333 4.3 1,246,299 25.3 33.0 2,291,139 8.1 3,755.46 20.1 6,903.86 3.6 1999 33,943,910 2.3 1,516,646 21.7 33.4 2,391,489 4.4 4,468.09 19.0 7,045.41 2.1 2000 34,634,241 2.0 1,815,053 19.7 33.4 2,613,924 9.3 5,240.63 17.3 7,547.22 7.1 2001 34,388,016-0.7 1,993,857 9.9 34.6 2,699,527 3.3 5,798.12 10.6 7,850.20 4.0 2002 34,096,303-0.8 2,154,451 8.1 34.4 2,777,243 2.9 6,318.72 9.0 8,145.29 3.8 2003 34,244,084 0.4 2,313,438 7.4 33.5 2,852,489 2.7 6,755.73 6.9 8,329.87 2.3 2004 35,608,452 4.0 2,501,182 8.1 31.8 2,945,865 3.3 7,024.12 4.0 8,272.94-0.7 2005 35,847,428 0.7 2,689,951 7.5 31.5 3,046,691 3.4 7,503.89 6.8 8,499.05 2.7 2006 37,233,963 3.9 2,934,059 9.1 30.8 3,206,784 5.3 7,880.06 5.0 8,612.52 1.3 2007 37,917,305 1.8 3,155,457 7.5 30.7 3,317,174 3.4 8,321.94 5.6 8,748.44 1.6 2008 38,486,251 1.5 3,411,300 8.1 30.9 3,411,300 2.8 8,863.68 6.5 8,863.68 1.3 2009 37,096,910-3.6 3,469,532 1.7 32.4 3,294,985-3.4 9,352.62 5.5 8,882.10 0.2 2010 37,636,192 1.5 3,659,093 5.5 30.8 3,336,327 1.3 9,722.27 4.0 8,864.68-0.2 2011 38,171,733 1.4 3,923,847 7.2 30.3 3,459,839 3.7 10,279.46 5.7 9,063.88 2.2 2012 39,163,690 2.6 4,216,570 7.5 30.5 3,571,125 3.2 10,766.53 4.7 9,118.46 0.6 2013 39,520,561 0.9 4,449,742 5.5 31.2 3,630,412 1.7 11,259.31 4.6 9,186.13 0.7 2014 40,008,330 1.2 4,754,317 6.8 31.4 3,729,183 2.7 11,883.32 5.5 9,321.02 1.5 2015 40,896,978 2.2 5,149,481 8.3 31.5 3,896,610 4.5 12,591.35 6.0 9,527.87 2.2 2016 42,191,111 3.2 5,649,958 9.7 31.7 4,124,129 5.8 13,391.35 6.4 9,774.88 2.6 2017 43,758,783 3.7 6,275,497 11.1 32.0 4,402,433 6.7 14,341.11 7.1 10,060.68 2.9 2018 45,383,145 3.7 6,935,410 10.5 32.1 4,674,017 6.2 15,281.91 6.6 10,299.01 2.4 2019 46,852,270 3.2 7,598,027 9.6 32.3 4,929,961 5.5 16,216.99 6.1 10,522.35 2.2 2020 48,220,291 2.9 8,270,413 8.8 32.4 5,174,047 5.0 17,151.31 5.8 10,730.02 2.0 A-5 Conclusión
A-5. Consumo Privado Total y Per Cápita: Escenario Base 2014-2020 (Pesos a precios de 2008) Población Consumo Privado Consumo Consumo Per Cápita Real Años Total Real Indice Real Privado Real Indice Real Personas Var.% Mills. de Ps. Var.% 2008=100 Var.% % PIB Ps. de 2008 Var.% 2008=100 Var.% 1980 71,073,785 2.4 3,804,037 10.3 46.4 10.3 62.2 53,522 7.7 72.7 7.7 1981 72,666,912 2.2 4,065,866 6.9 49.6 6.9 61.3 55,952 4.5 76.0 4.5 1982 74,186,037 2.1 4,025,020-1.0 49.1-1.0 61.0 54,256-3.0 73.7-3.0 1983 75,668,142 2.0 3,856,858-4.2 47.0-4.2 60.6 50,971-6.1 69.2-6.1 1984 77,166,135 2.0 3,966,002 2.8 48.4 2.8 60.2 51,396 0.8 69.8 0.8 1985 78,717,744 2.0 4,086,076 3.0 49.8 3.0 60.7 51,908 1.0 70.5 1.0 1986 80,335,575 2.1 3,999,098-2.1 48.8-2.1 61.3 49,780-4.1 67.6-4.1 1987 82,006,831 2.1 4,005,891 0.2 48.9 0.2 60.4 48,848-1.9 66.3-1.9 1988 83,712,835 2.1 4,057,521 1.3 49.5 1.3 60.4 48,470-0.8 65.8-0.8 1989 85,424,041 2.0 4,353,040 7.3 53.1 7.3 62.2 50,958 5.1 69.2 5.1 1990 87,064,847 1.9 4,632,871 6.4 56.5 6.4 63.0 53,212 4.4 72.2 4.4 1991 88,630,941 1.8 4,849,631 4.7 59.2 4.7 63.2 54,717 2.8 74.3 2.8 1992 90,132,585 1.7 5,076,539 4.7 61.9 4.7 63.9 56,323 2.9 76.5 2.9 1993 91,600,655 1.6 5,182,959 2.1 63.2 2.1 63.7 56,582 0.5 76.8 0.5 1994 93,055,300 1.6 5,422,813 4.6 66.1 4.6 63.7 58,275 3.0 79.1 3.0 1995 94,490,336 1.5 4,947,122-8.8 60.3-8.8 61.6 52,356-10.2 71.1-10.2 1996 95,876,664 1.5 5,161,928 4.3 63.0 4.3 60.7 53,839 2.8 73.1 2.8 1997 97,204,604 1.4 5,473,707 6.0 66.8 6.0 60.2 56,311 4.6 76.4 4.6 1998 98,485,424 1.3 5,789,745 5.8 70.6 5.8 60.8 58,788 4.4 79.8 4.4 1999 99,706,067 1.2 6,062,432 4.7 73.9 4.7 62.0 60,803 3.4 82.5 3.4 2000 100,895,811 1.2 6,420,895 5.9 78.3 5.9 62.4 63,639 4.7 86.4 4.7 2001 102,122,295 1.2 6,550,213 2.0 79.9 2.0 64.1 64,141 0.8 87.1 0.8 2002 103,417,944 1.3 6,641,542 1.4 81.0 1.4 64.9 64,220 0.1 87.2 0.1 2003 104,719,891 1.3 6,715,116 1.1 81.9 1.1 64.7 64,125-0.1 87.0-0.1 2004 105,951,569 1.2 7,088,885 5.6 86.5 5.6 65.4 66,907 4.3 90.8 4.3 2005 107,151,011 1.1 7,400,756 4.4 90.3 4.4 66.3 69,068 3.2 93.8 3.2 2006 108,408,827 1.2 7,808,965 5.5 95.2 5.5 66.6 72,033 4.3 97.8 4.3 2007 109,787,388 1.3 8,046,201 3.0 98.1 3.0 66.6 73,289 1.7 99.5 1.7 2008 111,299,015 1.4 8,198,835 1.9 100.0 1.9 66.9 73,665 0.5 100.0 0.5 2009 112,852,594 1.4 7,669,325-6.5 93.5-6.5 65.7 67,959-7.7 92.3-7.7 2010 114,255,555 1.2 8,103,919 5.7 98.8 5.7 66.0 70,928 4.4 96.3 4.4 2011 115,682,868 1.2 8,493,188 4.8 103.6 4.8 66.5 73,418 3.5 99.7 3.5 2012 117,053,750 1.2 8,905,208 4.9 108.6 4.9 67.0 76,078 3.6 103.3 3.6 2013 118,395,054 1.1 9,131,564 2.5 111.4 2.5 68.0 77,128 1.4 104.7 1.4 2014 119,713,203 1.1 9,409,096 3.0 114.8 3.0 68.1 78,597 1.9 106.7 1.9 2015 121,005,815 1.1 9,816,422 4.3 119.7 4.3 68.2 81,124 3.2 110.1 3.2 2016 122,273,473 1.0 10,344,406 5.4 126.2 5.4 68.3 84,601 4.3 114.8 4.3 2017 123,518,270 1.0 10,981,965 6.2 133.9 6.2 68.4 88,910 5.1 120.7 5.1 2018 124,737,789 1.0 11,634,359 5.9 141.9 5.9 68.4 93,271 4.9 126.6 4.9 2019 125,929,439 1.0 12,247,575 5.3 149.4 5.3 68.5 97,257 4.3 132.0 4.3 2020 127,091,642 0.9 12,847,090 4.9 156.7 4.9 68.5 101,085 3.9 137.2 3.9 A-6
A-6. Evolución de la Pobreza por Nivel de Ingreso y Desigualdad Social: Escenario Base 2014-2020 (Personas, porcentajes e índices) Población Población Pobre Porcentaje de la Población Total Población Indice de Años Total Alimentaria Capacidades Patrimonio Alimentaria Capacidades Patrimonio No Pobre Desigualdad Personas % Personas Personas Personas % % % Personas % de Gini 1980-III 71,332,341 100.0 11,598,639 16,484,904 35,209,644 16.3 23.1 49.4 36,122,698 50.6 0.450 1981-III 72,908,786 100.0 9,288,579 13,932,869 32,196,520 12.7 19.1 44.2 40,712,266 55.8 0.437 1982-III 74,423,101 100.0 12,026,773 16,998,236 35,812,396 16.2 22.8 48.1 38,610,705 51.9 0.442 1983-III 75,903,827 100.0 18,216,918 23,628,861 42,756,626 24.0 31.1 56.3 33,147,201 43.7 0.450 1984-III 77,404,098 100.0 17,415,922 23,376,038 41,024,172 22.5 30.2 53.0 36,379,926 47.0 0.424 1985-III 78,957,485 100.0 16,312,616 21,571,185 38,815,500 20.7 27.3 49.2 40,141,986 50.8 0.431 1986-III 80,577,538 100.0 20,015,461 26,912,898 44,962,266 24.8 33.4 55.8 35,615,272 44.2 0.450 1987-III 82,245,525 100.0 20,898,588 27,889,457 46,312,455 25.4 33.9 56.3 35,933,070 43.7 0.466 1988-III 83,949,682 100.0 20,206,688 26,612,049 45,870,106 24.1 31.7 54.6 38,079,576 45.4 0.467 1989-III 85,658,404 100.0 19,444,458 25,097,912 45,827,246 22.7 29.3 53.5 39,831,158 46.5 0.464 1990-III 87,296,633 100.0 18,812,424 24,443,057 44,992,685 21.6 28.0 51.5 42,303,948 48.5 0.467 1991-III 88,865,524 100.0 18,990,562 25,175,603 45,907,930 21.4 28.3 51.7 42,957,594 48.3 0.466 1992-III 90,371,559 100.0 19,321,439 26,804,204 47,978,261 21.4 29.7 53.1 42,393,298 46.9 0.469 1993-III 91,842,618 100.0 20,113,533 28,287,526 49,686,856 21.9 30.8 54.1 42,155,762 45.9 0.472 1994-III 93,300,175 100.0 19,751,647 27,943,402 48,870,632 21.2 30.0 52.4 44,429,543 47.6 0.474 1995-III 94,738,299 100.0 32,997,350 41,438,532 62,622,016 34.8 43.7 66.1 32,116,283 33.9 0.469 1996-III 96,128,033 100.0 35,942,272 45,055,209 66,337,956 37.4 46.9 69.0 29,790,077 31.0 0.455 1997-III 97,458,591 100.0 33,915,590 42,745,338 63,835,377 34.8 43.9 65.5 33,623,214 34.5 0.464 1998-III 98,741,392 100.0 32,841,387 41,204,783 62,888,393 33.3 41.7 63.7 35,852,999 36.3 0.473 1999-III 99,964,813 100.0 30,289,338 38,416,478 60,038,867 30.3 38.4 60.1 39,925,946 39.9 0.477 2000-III 101,158,779 100.0 24,409,407 32,120,705 54,227,340 24.1 31.8 53.6 46,931,439 46.4 0.479 2001-III 102,388,036 100.0 22,730,144 30,306,859 52,934,615 22.2 29.6 51.7 49,453,421 48.3 0.470 2002-III 103,686,637 100.0 20,705,343 27,845,996 51,821,589 20.0 26.9 50.0 51,865,048 50.0 0.453 2003-III 104,994,747 100.0 20,053,997 27,403,629 51,447,426 19.1 26.1 49.0 53,547,321 51.0 0.455 2004-III 106,218,317 100.0 18,476,280 26,232,861 50,149,830 17.4 24.7 47.2 56,068,487 52.8 0.455 2005-III 107,358,426 100.0 19,578,716 26,515,497 50,506,470 18.2 24.7 47.0 56,851,956 53.0 0.457 2006-III 108,578,347 100.0 15,147,499 22,657,319 46,549,346 14.0 20.9 42.9 62,029,001 57.1 0.445 2007-III 110,055,240 100.0 16,618,341 24,542,319 49,337,590 15.1 22.3 44.8 60,717,650 55.2 0.449 2008-III 111,611,545 100.0 20,789,646 28,486,370 53,381,457 18.6 25.5 47.8 58,230,088 52.2 0.457 2009-III 113,179,581 100.0 30,105,769 38,299,970 63,720,104 26.6 33.8 56.3 49,459,477 43.7 0.448 2010-III 114,559,931 100.0 21,535,243 30,493,420 58,519,936 18.8 26.6 51.1 56,039,995 48.9 0.435 2011-III 115,857,912 100.0 22,175,204 31,165,778 59,388,766 19.1 26.9 51.3 56,469,146 48.7 0.440 2012-III 117,284,429 100.0 23,088,909 32,881,563 61,350,435 19.7 28.0 52.3 55,933,994 47.7 0.440 2013-III 118,585,423 100.0 25,301,686 35,440,137 64,343,389 21.3 29.9 54.3 54,242,034 45.7 0.441 2014-III 119,883,471 100.0 25,890,338 36,379,533 65,719,046 21.6 30.3 54.8 54,164,425 45.2 0.442 2015-III 121,172,178 100.0 25,102,335 35,461,941 64,632,155 20.7 29.3 53.3 56,540,023 46.7 0.440 2016-III 122,436,218 100.0 23,503,166 33,603,532 62,465,863 19.2 27.4 51.0 59,970,356 49.0 0.438 2017-III 123,678,528 100.0 20,031,287 29,739,423 58,523,572 16.2 24.0 47.3 65,154,955 52.7 0.436 2018-III 124,895,214 100.0 16,793,726 26,097,785 54,540,622 13.4 20.9 43.7 70,354,592 56.3 0.432 2019-III 126,084,075 100.0 13,839,307 22,853,678 50,936,838 11.0 18.1 40.4 75,147,237 59.6 0.429 2020-III 127,243,120 100.0 11,498,010 20,340,761 48,173,107 9.0 16.0 37.9 79,070,014 62.1 0.426 A-7
A-7. Distribución del Ingreso en México: Escenario Base 2014-2020 Ingreso Corriente Total Trimestral por Hogar (Millones de pesos constantes de 2012) Ingreso Corriente Total Trimestral Grupos de Ingreso Años Deciles de hogares Bajo Medio Alto TOTAL I II III IV V VI VII VIII IX X I-V VI-VIII IX-X 1980-III 645,431 11,747 19,363 25,236 32,852 38,532 47,826 58,218 75,903 108,045 227,708 127,731 181,947 335,753 1981-III 698,477 12,712 20,954 27,730 35,483 43,864 54,551 68,032 85,354 116,506 233,291 140,743 207,936 349,797 1982-III 592,474 10,605 17,833 23,521 29,505 36,319 45,206 57,115 72,400 99,002 200,967 117,784 174,721 299,970 1983-III 511,941 9,010 14,539 20,017 25,188 30,768 38,498 49,044 61,996 84,880 178,002 99,521 149,538 262,882 1984-III 534,808 9,402 17,016 22,889 28,822 34,659 42,578 52,357 65,247 89,533 172,949 112,789 160,182 262,482 1985-III 559,459 10,406 17,231 22,938 28,756 35,526 44,085 54,715 68,254 93,486 184,062 114,857 167,054 277,548 1986-III 527,362 9,176 15,241 20,409 25,735 31,958 39,869 49,677 62,809 90,864 181,623 102,519 152,355 272,488 1987-III 538,638 8,241 14,357 19,714 24,885 31,133 39,159 51,224 67,007 92,517 190,400 98,331 157,390 282,917 1988-III 594,231 9,151 16,329 21,699 27,869 35,060 43,379 54,966 71,427 98,058 216,293 110,109 169,772 314,351 1989-III 676,902 10,960 19,471 25,745 32,429 40,486 49,937 61,220 77,509 105,812 253,343 129,090 188,666 359,155 1990-III 723,749 11,435 20,482 27,358 34,668 42,846 52,544 65,355 83,376 113,774 271,911 136,789 201,275 385,686 1991-III 793,016 12,530 22,654 30,360 37,906 46,629 57,414 71,689 91,276 127,114 295,443 150,080 220,379 422,557 1992-III 841,153 13,345 23,550 31,669 40,027 48,902 60,579 75,563 95,948 134,787 316,743 157,494 232,090 451,530 1993-III 866,216 14,033 24,081 32,095 40,862 49,981 61,868 76,660 98,489 139,429 328,718 161,051 237,017 468,148 1994-III 920,707 14,827 25,721 34,175 43,019 52,722 65,350 80,928 104,837 148,518 350,555 170,464 251,115 499,073 1995-III 724,487 12,461 20,720 28,400 34,051 42,020 51,584 62,813 80,128 115,747 276,563 137,653 194,525 392,310 1996-III 682,620 12,237 20,567 27,005 33,515 40,862 50,149 61,300 78,312 108,768 249,889 134,187 189,760 358,657 1997-III 734,704 12,123 20,719 27,845 35,560 43,495 53,707 65,976 84,564 117,400 273,316 139,741 204,248 390,716 1998-III 779,327 11,832 21,005 28,673 36,882 45,692 56,545 69,850 89,859 124,477 294,474 144,083 216,253 418,951 1999-III 856,348 13,102 22,755 31,022 39,906 49,411 61,743 76,557 97,709 137,276 326,867 156,196 236,009 464,142 2000-III 954,514 14,540 25,338 34,569 44,072 54,733 68,012 84,759 107,583 152,671 368,171 173,251 260,354 520,842 2001-III 952,453 14,954 26,288 35,336 45,337 55,909 69,243 85,911 109,627 150,460 359,388 177,823 264,782 509,848 2002-III 969,496 16,014 28,365 37,954 47,867 59,514 72,209 89,648 114,842 158,780 344,299 189,715 276,700 503,079 2003-III 999,720 16,595 29,392 38,992 49,686 60,983 74,079 91,274 116,767 161,647 360,304 195,648 282,121 521,951 2004-III 1,047,872 17,333 30,872 41,676 52,170 63,320 77,244 95,764 121,982 168,696 378,800 205,371 294,990 547,497 2005-III 1,083,254 17,786 31,794 42,540 53,245 64,798 79,813 99,042 126,370 173,005 394,839 210,163 305,225 567,844 2006-III 1,199,303 21,396 37,067 48,797 60,821 74,300 89,501 110,761 139,388 189,906 427,365 242,381 339,650 617,272 2007-III 1,202,875 21,171 37,530 48,031 59,903 73,375 88,892 110,544 139,052 192,102 432,274 240,010 338,489 624,376 2008-III 1,194,851 19,891 34,731 46,808 58,499 71,436 87,808 109,773 139,607 192,778 433,520 231,365 337,188 626,297 2009-III 1,102,102 18,846 34,165 44,194 55,436 67,118 82,217 102,385 129,387 178,052 390,302 219,759 313,989 568,354 2010-III 1,110,560 19,605 34,502 46,141 58,078 70,856 85,889 105,238 133,268 180,688 376,295 229,181 324,395 556,983 2011-III 1,151,340 20,609 35,289 46,975 59,524 72,074 87,387 107,996 136,664 185,481 399,342 234,470 332,047 584,823 2012-III 1,203,203 22,083 37,220 49,656 61,583 75,472 91,087 112,257 141,540 192,555 419,749 246,014 344,884 612,304 2013-III 1,188,819 21,755 36,651 48,944 60,713 74,206 89,851 110,845 139,995 190,473 415,385 242,269 340,692 605,858 2014-III 1,209,112 21,982 37,083 49,586 61,532 75,098 91,179 112,544 142,627 194,026 423,455 245,280 346,350 617,481 2015-III 1,259,597 23,088 38,922 51,984 64,617 79,140 95,503 117,558 148,305 201,661 438,818 257,751 361,366 640,480 2016-III 1,337,109 24,563 41,517 55,517 69,008 84,733 101,754 124,966 157,097 213,229 464,726 275,338 383,817 677,954 2017-III 1,427,937 26,345 44,566 59,645 74,181 91,345 109,109 133,598 167,154 227,185 494,809 296,083 409,861 721,994 2018-III 1,515,451 28,309 48,161 64,104 79,258 99,414 116,538 142,149 176,489 240,350 520,679 319,245 435,177 761,029 2019-III 1,597,325 30,157 51,035 68,078 84,003 106,526 123,441 150,724 185,130 252,857 545,375 339,799 459,295 798,231 2020-III 1,679,283 32,225 54,224 72,024 88,717 113,755 130,279 159,045 193,957 264,991 570,066 360,945 483,281 835,057 A-8 Continúa
Continuación Total de Hogares Grupo de Ingreso Años Deciles de hogares Bajo Medio Alto TOTAL I II III IV V VI VII VIII IX X I-V VI-VIII IX-X 1980-III 14,868,228 1,486,823 1,486,823 1,486,823 1,486,823 1,486,823 1,486,823 1,486,823 1,486,823 1,486,823 1,486,823 7,434,114 4,460,468 2,973,646 1981-III 15,300,028 1,530,003 1,530,003 1,530,003 1,530,003 1,530,003 1,530,003 1,530,003 1,530,003 1,530,003 1,530,003 7,650,014 4,590,008 3,060,006 1982-III 15,724,606 1,572,461 1,572,461 1,572,461 1,572,461 1,572,461 1,572,461 1,572,461 1,572,461 1,572,461 1,572,461 7,862,303 4,717,382 3,144,921 1983-III 16,147,885 1,614,789 1,614,789 1,614,789 1,614,789 1,614,789 1,614,789 1,614,789 1,614,789 1,614,789 1,614,789 8,073,943 4,844,366 3,229,577 1984-III 16,581,220 1,658,122 1,658,122 1,658,122 1,658,122 1,658,122 1,658,122 1,658,122 1,658,122 1,658,122 1,658,122 8,290,610 4,974,366 3,316,244 1985-III 17,032,064 1,703,206 1,703,206 1,703,206 1,703,206 1,703,206 1,703,206 1,703,206 1,703,206 1,703,206 1,703,206 8,516,032 5,109,619 3,406,413 1986-III 17,503,728 1,750,373 1,750,373 1,750,373 1,750,373 1,750,373 1,750,373 1,750,373 1,750,373 1,750,373 1,750,373 8,751,864 5,251,118 3,500,746 1987-III 17,992,557 1,799,256 1,799,256 1,799,256 1,799,256 1,799,256 1,799,256 1,799,256 1,799,256 1,799,256 1,799,256 8,996,279 5,397,767 3,598,511 1988-III 18,496,328 1,849,633 1,849,633 1,849,633 1,849,633 1,849,633 1,849,633 1,849,633 1,849,633 1,849,633 1,849,633 9,248,164 5,548,898 3,699,266 1989-III 19,008,347 1,900,835 1,900,835 1,900,835 1,900,835 1,900,835 1,900,835 1,900,835 1,900,835 1,900,835 1,900,835 9,504,174 5,702,504 3,801,669 1990-III 19,512,018 1,951,202 1,951,202 1,951,202 1,951,202 1,951,202 1,951,202 1,951,202 1,951,202 1,951,202 1,951,202 9,756,009 5,853,605 3,902,404 1991-III 20,007,418 2,000,742 2,000,742 2,000,742 2,000,742 2,000,742 2,000,742 2,000,742 2,000,742 2,000,742 2,000,742 10,003,709 6,002,225 4,001,484 1992-III 20,495,835 2,049,584 2,049,584 2,049,584 2,049,584 2,049,584 2,049,584 2,049,584 2,049,584 2,049,584 2,049,584 10,247,918 6,148,751 4,099,167 1993-III 20,983,485 2,098,348 2,098,348 2,098,348 2,098,348 2,098,348 2,098,348 2,098,348 2,098,348 2,098,348 2,098,348 10,491,742 6,295,045 4,196,697 1994-III 21,475,291 2,147,529 2,147,529 2,147,529 2,147,529 2,147,529 2,147,529 2,147,529 2,147,529 2,147,529 2,147,529 10,737,646 6,442,587 4,295,058 1995-III 21,969,974 2,196,997 2,196,997 2,196,997 2,196,997 2,196,997 2,196,997 2,196,997 2,196,997 2,196,997 2,196,997 10,984,987 6,590,992 4,393,995 1996-III 22,460,831 2,246,083 2,246,083 2,246,083 2,246,083 2,246,083 2,246,083 2,246,083 2,246,083 2,246,083 2,246,083 11,230,416 6,738,249 4,492,166 1997-III 22,945,237 2,294,524 2,294,524 2,294,524 2,294,524 2,294,524 2,294,524 2,294,524 2,294,524 2,294,524 2,294,524 11,472,619 6,883,571 4,589,047 1998-III 23,425,752 2,342,575 2,342,575 2,342,575 2,342,575 2,342,575 2,342,575 2,342,575 2,342,575 2,342,575 2,342,575 11,712,876 7,027,726 4,685,150 1999-III 23,899,506 2,389,951 2,389,951 2,389,951 2,389,951 2,389,951 2,389,951 2,389,951 2,389,951 2,389,951 2,389,951 11,949,753 7,169,852 4,779,901 2000-III 24,373,552 2,437,355 2,437,355 2,437,355 2,437,355 2,437,355 2,437,355 2,437,355 2,437,355 2,437,355 2,437,355 12,186,776 7,312,066 4,874,710 2001-III 24,863,619 2,486,362 2,486,362 2,486,362 2,486,362 2,486,362 2,486,362 2,486,362 2,486,362 2,486,362 2,486,362 12,431,809 7,459,086 4,972,724 2002-III 25,378,423 2,537,842 2,537,842 2,537,842 2,537,842 2,537,842 2,537,842 2,537,842 2,537,842 2,537,842 2,537,842 12,689,211 7,613,527 5,075,685 2003-III 25,903,794 2,590,379 2,590,379 2,590,379 2,590,379 2,590,379 2,590,379 2,590,379 2,590,379 2,590,379 2,590,379 12,951,897 7,771,138 5,180,759 2004-III 26,416,597 2,641,660 2,641,660 2,641,660 2,641,660 2,641,660 2,641,660 2,641,660 2,641,660 2,641,660 2,641,660 13,208,299 7,924,979 5,283,319 2005-III 26,916,797 2,691,680 2,691,680 2,691,680 2,691,680 2,691,680 2,691,680 2,691,680 2,691,680 2,691,680 2,691,680 13,458,399 8,075,039 5,383,359 2006-III 27,445,356 2,744,536 2,744,536 2,744,536 2,744,536 2,744,536 2,744,536 2,744,536 2,744,536 2,744,536 2,744,536 13,722,678 8,233,607 5,489,071 2007-III 27,651,306 2,765,131 2,765,131 2,765,131 2,765,131 2,765,131 2,765,131 2,765,131 2,765,131 2,765,131 2,765,131 13,825,653 8,295,392 5,530,261 2008-III 27,874,625 2,787,462 2,787,462 2,787,462 2,787,462 2,787,462 2,787,462 2,787,462 2,787,462 2,787,462 2,787,462 13,937,312 8,362,387 5,574,925 2009-III 28,725,841 2,872,584 2,872,584 2,872,584 2,872,584 2,872,584 2,872,584 2,872,584 2,872,584 2,872,584 2,872,584 14,362,920 8,617,752 5,745,168 2010-III 29,556,772 2,955,677 2,955,677 2,955,677 2,955,677 2,955,677 2,955,677 2,955,677 2,955,677 2,955,677 2,955,677 14,778,386 8,867,032 5,911,354 2011-III 30,520,094 3,052,009 3,052,009 3,052,009 3,052,009 3,052,009 3,052,009 3,052,009 3,052,009 3,052,009 3,052,009 15,260,047 9,156,028 6,104,019 2012-III 31,559,379 3,155,938 3,155,938 3,155,938 3,155,938 3,155,938 3,155,938 3,155,938 3,155,938 3,155,938 3,155,938 15,779,689 9,467,814 6,311,876 2013-III 32,189,787 3,218,979 3,218,979 3,218,979 3,218,979 3,218,979 3,218,979 3,218,979 3,218,979 3,218,979 3,218,979 16,094,894 9,656,936 6,437,957 2014-III 32,830,564 3,283,056 3,283,056 3,283,056 3,283,056 3,283,056 3,283,056 3,283,056 3,283,056 3,283,056 3,283,056 16,415,282 9,849,169 6,566,113 2015-III 33,480,219 3,348,022 3,348,022 3,348,022 3,348,022 3,348,022 3,348,022 3,348,022 3,348,022 3,348,022 3,348,022 16,740,110 10,044,066 6,696,044 2016-III 34,134,721 3,413,472 3,413,472 3,413,472 3,413,472 3,413,472 3,413,472 3,413,472 3,413,472 3,413,472 3,413,472 17,067,361 10,240,416 6,826,944 2017-III 34,795,029 3,479,503 3,479,503 3,479,503 3,479,503 3,479,503 3,479,503 3,479,503 3,479,503 3,479,503 3,479,503 17,397,514 10,438,509 6,959,006 2018-III 35,460,196 3,546,020 3,546,020 3,546,020 3,546,020 3,546,020 3,546,020 3,546,020 3,546,020 3,546,020 3,546,020 17,730,098 10,638,059 7,092,039 2019-III 36,129,728 3,612,973 3,612,973 3,612,973 3,612,973 3,612,973 3,612,973 3,612,973 3,612,973 3,612,973 3,612,973 18,064,864 10,838,918 7,225,946 2020-III 36,803,170 3,680,317 3,680,317 3,680,317 3,680,317 3,680,317 3,680,317 3,680,317 3,680,317 3,680,317 3,680,317 18,401,585 11,040,951 7,360,634 A-9 Continúa
Continuación Participación porcentual en el ingreso corriente total por hogares Grupos de Ingreso Años Deciles de hogares Bajo Medio Alto TOTAL I II III IV V VI VII VIII IX X I-V VI-VIII IX-X 1980-III 100.0 1.82 3.00 3.91 5.09 5.97 7.41 9.02 11.76 16.74 35.28 19.79 28.19 52.02 1981-III 100.0 1.82 3.00 3.97 5.08 6.28 7.81 9.74 12.22 16.68 33.40 20.15 29.77 50.08 1982-III 100.0 1.79 3.01 3.97 4.98 6.13 7.63 9.64 12.22 16.71 33.92 19.88 29.49 50.63 1983-III 100.0 1.76 2.84 3.91 4.92 6.01 7.52 9.58 12.11 16.58 34.77 19.44 29.21 51.35 1984-III 100.0 1.76 3.18 4.28 5.39 6.48 7.96 9.79 12.20 16.74 32.34 21.09 29.95 49.08 1985-III 100.0 1.86 3.08 4.10 5.14 6.35 7.88 9.78 12.20 16.71 32.90 20.53 29.86 49.61 1986-III 100.0 1.74 2.89 3.87 4.88 6.06 7.56 9.42 11.91 17.23 34.44 19.44 28.89 51.67 1987-III 100.0 1.53 2.67 3.66 4.62 5.78 7.27 9.51 12.44 17.18 35.35 18.26 29.22 52.52 1988-III 100.0 1.54 2.75 3.65 4.69 5.90 7.30 9.25 12.02 16.50 36.40 18.53 28.57 52.90 1989-III 100.0 1.62 2.88 3.80 4.79 5.98 7.38 9.04 11.45 15.63 37.43 19.07 27.87 53.06 1990-III 100.0 1.58 2.83 3.78 4.79 5.92 7.26 9.03 11.52 15.72 37.57 18.90 27.81 53.29 1991-III 100.0 1.58 2.86 3.83 4.78 5.88 7.24 9.04 11.51 16.03 37.26 18.93 27.79 53.28 1992-III 100.0 1.59 2.80 3.76 4.76 5.81 7.20 8.98 11.41 16.02 37.66 18.72 27.59 53.68 1993-III 100.0 1.62 2.78 3.71 4.72 5.77 7.14 8.85 11.37 16.10 37.95 18.59 27.36 54.05 1994-III 100.0 1.61 2.79 3.71 4.67 5.73 7.10 8.79 11.39 16.13 38.07 18.51 27.27 54.21 1995-III 100.0 1.72 2.86 3.92 4.70 5.80 7.12 8.67 11.06 15.98 38.17 19.00 26.85 54.15 1996-III 100.0 1.79 3.01 3.96 4.91 5.99 7.35 8.98 11.47 15.93 36.61 19.66 27.80 52.54 1997-III 100.0 1.65 2.82 3.79 4.84 5.92 7.31 8.98 11.51 15.98 37.20 19.02 27.80 53.18 1998-III 100.0 1.52 2.70 3.68 4.73 5.86 7.26 8.96 11.53 15.97 37.79 18.49 27.75 53.76 1999-III 100.0 1.53 2.66 3.62 4.66 5.77 7.21 8.94 11.41 16.03 38.17 18.24 27.56 54.20 2000-III 100.0 1.52 2.65 3.62 4.62 5.73 7.13 8.88 11.27 15.99 38.57 18.15 27.28 54.57 2001-III 100.0 1.57 2.76 3.71 4.76 5.87 7.27 9.02 11.51 15.80 37.73 18.67 27.80 53.53 2002-III 100.0 1.65 2.93 3.91 4.94 6.14 7.45 9.25 11.85 16.38 35.51 19.57 28.54 51.89 2003-III 100.0 1.66 2.94 3.90 4.97 6.10 7.41 9.13 11.68 16.17 36.04 19.57 28.22 52.21 2004-III 100.0 1.65 2.95 3.98 4.98 6.04 7.37 9.14 11.64 16.10 36.15 19.60 28.15 52.25 2005-III 100.0 1.64 2.94 3.93 4.92 5.98 7.37 9.14 11.67 15.97 36.45 19.40 28.18 52.42 2006-III 100.0 1.78 3.09 4.07 5.07 6.20 7.46 9.24 11.62 15.83 35.63 20.21 28.32 51.47 2007-III 100.0 1.76 3.12 3.99 4.98 6.10 7.39 9.19 11.56 15.97 35.94 19.95 28.14 51.91 2008-III 100.0 1.66 2.91 3.92 4.90 5.98 7.35 9.19 11.68 16.13 36.28 19.36 28.22 52.42 2009-III 100.0 1.71 3.10 4.01 5.03 6.09 7.46 9.29 11.74 16.16 35.41 19.94 28.49 51.57 2010-III 100.0 1.77 3.11 4.15 5.23 6.38 7.73 9.48 12.00 16.27 33.88 20.64 29.21 50.15 2011-III 100.0 1.79 3.07 4.08 5.17 6.26 7.59 9.38 11.87 16.11 34.69 20.37 28.84 50.80 2012-III 100.0 1.84 3.09 4.13 5.12 6.27 7.57 9.33 11.76 16.00 34.89 20.45 28.66 50.89 2013-III 100.0 1.83 3.08 4.12 5.11 6.24 7.56 9.32 11.78 16.02 34.94 20.38 28.66 50.96 2014-III 100.0 1.82 3.07 4.10 5.09 6.21 7.54 9.31 11.80 16.05 35.02 20.29 28.65 51.07 2015-III 100.0 1.83 3.09 4.13 5.13 6.28 7.58 9.33 11.77 16.01 34.84 20.46 28.69 50.85 2016-III 100.0 1.84 3.11 4.15 5.16 6.34 7.61 9.35 11.75 15.95 34.76 20.59 28.71 50.70 2017-III 100.0 1.85 3.12 4.18 5.20 6.40 7.64 9.36 11.71 15.91 34.65 20.74 28.70 50.56 2018-III 100.0 1.87 3.18 4.23 5.23 6.56 7.69 9.38 11.65 15.86 34.36 21.07 28.72 50.22 2019-III 100.0 1.89 3.20 4.26 5.26 6.67 7.73 9.44 11.59 15.83 34.14 21.27 28.75 49.97 2020-III 100.0 1.92 3.23 4.29 5.28 6.77 7.76 9.47 11.55 15.78 33.95 21.49 28.78 49.73 A-10 Continúa
Continuación Ingreso Corriente Total Promedio Trimestral por Hogar a Precios Constantes de 2012 Grupos de Ingreso Años Deciles de hogares Bajo Medio Alto TOTAL I II III IV V VI VII VIII IX X I-V VI-VIII IX-X 1980-III 43,410 7,901 13,023 16,973 22,096 25,916 32,167 39,156 51,050 72,669 153,151 17,182 40,791 112,910 1981-III 45,652 8,309 13,696 18,124 23,191 28,669 35,654 44,465 55,787 76,147 152,478 18,398 45,302 114,313 1982-III 37,678 6,744 11,341 14,958 18,764 23,097 28,748 36,322 46,043 62,960 127,804 14,981 37,038 95,382 1983-III 31,703 5,580 9,004 12,396 15,598 19,054 23,841 30,372 38,393 52,564 110,232 12,326 30,868 81,398 1984-III 32,254 5,671 10,262 13,804 17,382 20,903 25,678 31,576 39,350 53,997 104,304 13,604 32,201 79,150 1985-III 32,847 6,110 10,117 13,467 16,884 20,858 25,884 32,125 40,074 54,888 108,068 13,487 32,694 81,478 1986-III 30,129 5,242 8,707 11,660 14,703 18,258 22,777 28,381 35,883 51,911 103,763 11,714 29,014 77,837 1987-III 29,937 4,580 7,979 10,957 13,831 17,303 21,764 28,470 37,241 51,420 105,822 10,930 29,158 78,621 1988-III 32,127 4,948 8,828 11,732 15,068 18,955 23,453 29,717 38,617 53,015 116,938 11,906 30,596 84,977 1989-III 35,611 5,766 10,243 13,544 17,060 21,299 26,271 32,207 40,776 55,666 133,280 13,582 33,085 94,473 1990-III 37,092 5,861 10,497 14,021 17,767 21,959 26,929 33,494 42,731 58,310 139,356 14,021 34,385 98,833 1991-III 39,636 6,263 11,323 15,174 18,946 23,306 28,697 35,831 45,621 63,534 147,667 15,002 36,716 105,600 1992-III 41,040 6,511 11,490 15,452 19,530 23,860 29,557 36,867 46,813 65,763 154,540 15,368 37,746 110,152 1993-III 41,281 6,687 11,476 15,295 19,473 23,819 29,484 36,534 46,936 66,447 156,656 15,350 37,651 111,551 1994-III 42,873 6,904 11,977 15,914 20,032 24,550 30,430 37,684 48,818 69,158 163,237 15,875 38,977 116,197 1995-III 32,976 5,672 9,431 12,927 15,499 19,126 23,479 28,590 36,472 52,684 125,882 12,531 29,514 89,283 1996-III 30,392 5,448 9,157 12,023 14,922 18,193 22,327 27,292 34,866 48,426 111,255 11,949 28,162 79,841 1997-III 32,020 5,283 9,030 12,136 15,498 18,956 23,407 28,754 36,855 51,165 119,117 12,180 29,672 85,141 1998-III 33,268 5,051 8,966 12,240 15,744 19,505 24,138 29,818 38,359 53,137 125,705 12,301 30,771 89,421 1999-III 35,831 5,482 9,521 12,980 16,697 20,675 25,834 32,033 40,883 57,439 136,767 13,071 32,917 97,103 2000-III 39,162 5,965 10,396 14,183 18,082 22,456 27,904 34,775 44,139 62,638 151,054 14,216 35,606 106,846 2001-III 38,307 6,014 10,573 14,212 18,234 22,486 27,849 34,553 44,091 60,514 144,544 14,304 35,498 102,529 2002-III 38,202 6,310 11,177 14,955 18,861 23,451 28,453 35,325 45,252 62,565 135,666 14,951 36,343 99,116 2003-III 38,594 6,407 11,347 15,053 19,181 23,542 28,598 35,236 45,077 62,403 139,093 15,106 36,304 100,748 2004-III 39,667 6,561 11,687 15,776 19,749 23,970 29,241 36,252 46,176 63,860 143,395 15,549 37,223 103,627 2005-III 40,245 6,608 11,812 15,804 19,781 24,073 29,652 36,796 46,948 64,274 146,689 15,616 37,799 105,481 2006-III 43,698 7,796 13,506 17,780 22,161 27,072 32,610 40,357 50,788 69,194 155,715 17,663 41,252 112,455 2007-III 43,502 7,656 13,572 17,370 21,664 26,536 32,148 39,978 50,288 69,473 156,330 17,360 40,804 112,902 2008-III 42,865 7,136 12,460 16,792 20,986 25,628 31,501 39,381 50,084 69,159 155,525 16,600 40,322 112,342 2009-III 38,366 6,561 11,894 15,385 19,298 23,365 28,621 35,642 45,042 61,983 135,871 15,300 36,435 98,927 2010-III 37,574 6,633 11,673 15,611 19,650 23,973 29,059 35,605 45,089 61,132 127,313 15,508 36,584 94,223 2011-III 37,724 6,753 11,562 15,391 19,503 23,615 28,633 35,385 44,778 60,773 130,846 15,365 36,265 95,810 2012-III 38,125 6,997 11,794 15,734 19,513 23,914 28,862 35,570 44,849 61,014 133,003 15,591 36,427 97,008 2013-III 36,932 6,758 11,386 15,205 18,861 23,053 27,913 34,435 43,491 59,172 129,043 15,053 35,279 94,107 2014-III 36,829 6,695 11,295 15,104 18,742 22,874 27,773 34,280 43,443 59,099 128,982 14,942 35,165 94,041 2015-III 37,622 6,896 11,625 15,527 19,300 23,638 28,525 35,113 44,296 60,233 131,068 15,397 35,978 95,650 2016-III 39,172 7,196 12,163 16,264 20,216 24,823 29,810 36,610 46,023 62,467 136,145 16,132 37,481 99,306 2017-III 41,039 7,572 12,808 17,142 21,320 26,252 31,358 38,396 48,040 65,292 142,207 17,019 39,264 103,750 2018-III 42,737 7,983 13,582 18,078 22,351 28,035 32,865 40,087 49,771 67,780 146,835 18,006 40,908 107,308 2019-III 44,211 8,347 14,125 18,843 23,250 29,484 34,166 41,717 51,240 69,986 150,949 18,810 42,375 110,467 2020-III 45,629 8,756 14,734 19,570 24,106 30,909 35,399 43,215 52,701 72,002 154,896 19,615 43,772 113,449 A-11 Continúa
Continuación Variación % anual a Precios Constantes de 2012 del Ingreso Corriente Total Promedio por Hogar Grupos de Ingreso Años Deciles de hogares Bajo Medio Alto TOTAL I II III IV V VI VII VIII IX X I-V VI-VIII IX-X 1980-III -5.6-4.8-5.0-4.9-5.0-5.3-5.2-5.1-5.3-5.1-6.4-5.0-5.2-6.0 1981-III 5.2 5.2 5.2 6.8 5.0 10.6 10.8 13.6 9.3 4.8-0.4 7.1 11.1 1.2 1982-III -17.5-18.8-17.2-17.5-19.1-19.4-19.4-18.3-17.5-17.3-16.2-18.6-18.2-16.6 1983-III -15.9-17.3-20.6-17.1-16.9-17.5-17.1-16.4-16.6-16.5-13.7-17.7-16.7-14.7 1984-III 1.7 1.6 14.0 11.4 11.4 9.7 7.7 4.0 2.5 2.7-5.4 10.4 4.3-2.8 1985-III 1.8 7.7-1.4-2.4-2.9-0.2 0.8 1.7 1.8 1.7 3.6-0.9 1.5 2.9 1986-III -8.3-14.2-13.9-13.4-12.9-12.5-12.0-11.7-10.5-5.4-4.0-13.1-11.3-4.5 1987-III -0.6-12.6-8.4-6.0-5.9-5.2-4.4 0.3 3.8-0.9 2.0-6.7 0.5 1.0 1988-III 7.3 8.0 10.6 7.1 8.9 9.5 7.8 4.4 3.7 3.1 10.5 8.9 4.9 8.1 1989-III 10.8 16.5 16.0 15.4 13.2 12.4 12.0 8.4 5.6 5.0 14.0 14.1 8.1 11.2 1990-III 4.2 1.6 2.5 3.5 4.1 3.1 2.5 4.0 4.8 4.7 4.6 3.2 3.9 4.6 1991-III 6.9 6.9 7.9 8.2 6.6 6.1 6.6 7.0 6.8 9.0 6.0 7.0 6.8 6.8 1992-III 3.5 4.0 1.5 1.8 3.1 2.4 3.0 2.9 2.6 3.5 4.7 2.4 2.8 4.3 1993-III 0.6 2.7-0.1-1.0-0.3-0.2-0.2-0.9 0.3 1.0 1.4-0.1-0.3 1.3 1994-III 3.9 3.2 4.4 4.0 2.9 3.1 3.2 3.1 4.0 4.1 4.2 3.4 3.5 4.2 1995-III -23.1-17.8-21.3-18.8-22.6-22.1-22.8-24.1-25.3-23.8-22.9-21.1-24.3-23.2 1996-III -7.8-3.9-2.9-7.0-3.7-4.9-4.9-4.5-4.4-8.1-11.6-4.6-4.6-10.6 1997-III 5.4-3.0-1.4 0.9 3.9 4.2 4.8 5.4 5.7 5.7 7.1 1.9 5.4 6.6 1998-III 3.9-4.4-0.7 0.9 1.6 2.9 3.1 3.7 4.1 3.9 5.5 1.0 3.7 5.0 1999-III 7.7 8.5 6.2 6.0 6.1 6.0 7.0 7.4 6.6 8.1 8.8 6.3 7.0 8.6 2000-III 9.3 8.8 9.2 9.3 8.3 8.6 8.0 8.6 8.0 9.1 10.4 8.8 8.2 10.0 2001-III -2.2 0.8 1.7 0.2 0.8 0.1-0.2-0.6-0.1-3.4-4.3 0.6-0.3-4.0 2002-III -0.3 4.9 5.7 5.2 3.4 4.3 2.2 2.2 2.6 3.4-6.1 4.5 2.4-3.3 2003-III 1.0 1.5 1.5 0.7 1.7 0.4 0.5-0.3-0.4-0.3 2.5 1.0-0.1 1.6 2004-III 2.8 2.4 3.0 4.8 3.0 1.8 2.2 2.9 2.4 2.3 3.1 2.9 2.5 2.9 2005-III 1.5 0.7 1.1 0.2 0.2 0.4 1.4 1.5 1.7 0.6 2.3 0.4 1.5 1.8 2006-III 8.6 18.0 14.3 12.5 12.0 12.5 10.0 9.7 8.2 7.7 6.2 13.1 9.1 6.6 2007-III -0.4-1.8 0.5-2.3-2.2-2.0-1.4-0.9-1.0 0.4 0.4-1.7-1.1 0.4 2008-III -1.5-6.8-8.2-3.3-3.1-3.4-2.0-1.5-0.4-0.5-0.5-4.4-1.2-0.5 2009-III -10.5-8.1-4.5-8.4-8.0-8.8-9.1-9.5-10.1-10.4-12.6-7.8-9.6-11.9 2010-III -2.1 1.1-1.9 1.5 1.8 2.6 1.5-0.1 0.1-1.4-6.3 1.4 0.4-4.8 2011-III 0.4 1.8-0.9-1.4-0.7-1.5-1.5-0.6-0.7-0.6 2.8-0.9-0.9 1.7 2012-III 1.1 3.6 2.0 2.2 0.1 1.3 0.8 0.5 0.2 0.4 1.6 1.5 0.4 1.3 2013-III -3.1-3.4-3.5-3.4-3.3-3.6-3.3-3.2-3.0-3.0-3.0-3.5-3.2-3.0 2014-III -0.3-0.9-0.8-0.7-0.6-0.8-0.5-0.4-0.1-0.1 0.0-0.7-0.3-0.1 2015-III 2.2 3.0 2.9 2.8 3.0 3.3 2.7 2.4 2.0 1.9 1.6 3.0 2.3 1.7 2016-III 4.1 4.3 4.6 4.7 4.7 5.0 4.5 4.3 3.9 3.7 3.9 4.8 4.2 3.8 2017-III 4.8 5.2 5.3 5.4 5.5 5.8 5.2 4.9 4.4 4.5 4.5 5.5 4.8 4.5 2018-III 4.1 5.4 6.0 5.5 4.8 6.8 4.8 4.4 3.6 3.8 3.3 5.8 4.2 3.4 2019-III 3.4 4.6 4.0 4.2 4.0 5.2 4.0 4.1 3.0 3.3 2.8 4.5 3.6 2.9 2020-III 3.2 4.9 4.3 3.9 3.7 4.8 3.6 3.6 2.9 2.9 2.6 4.3 3.3 2.7 A-12 Conclusión
B. Oferta y Demanda Global Sección: B-I Oferta y Demanda Global 1980-2020 Sección: B-II. Consumo Privado por Tipo de Bien 1980-2020 Sección: B-III. Exportación e Importación de Bienes y Servicios 1980-2020 Sección: B-IV. Formación Bruta de Capital Fijo 1980-2020 Sección: B-V. PIB Trimestral Nominal y Real, Deflactor del PIB y Series Ajustadas por Estacionalidad 2005-2014
Sección: B-I. Oferta y Demanda Global Cuadro B-1. Oferta y Demanda Global Anual Página: B-1 / Millones de pesos constantes y variaciones porcentuales Página: B-2 / Millones de pesos constantes y variaciones porcentuales Página: B-3 / Estructura porcentual del PIB Página: B-4 / Contribución porcentual crecimiento real del PIB Cuadro B-2. Oferta y Demanda Global Trimestral Página: B-5 / Millones de pesos constantes y variaciones porcentuales Página: B-6 / Millones de pesos constantes y variaciones porcentuales Página: B-7 / Estructura porcentual del PIB Página: B-8 / Contribución porcentual al crecimiento real del PIB
Años! B-1. Oferta y Demanda Global Anual: Escenario Base 2014-2020 (Millones de pesos a precios de 2008) Oferta Global Demanda Global TOTAL! Producto Importación de Consumo Oferta = Demanda! Interno Bruto Bienes y Servicios Total Privado Gobierno Pesos Var.% Pesos Var.% Pesos Var.% Pesos Var.% Pesos Var.% Pesos Var.% 1980 6,112,050 9.2 586,848 36.4 6,698,898 11.2 4,357,114 10.2 3,804,037 10.3 553,078 9.5 1981 6,633,140 8.5 684,547 16.6 7,317,687 9.2 4,677,568 7.4 4,065,866 6.9 611,702 10.6 1982 6,598,594-0.5 429,464-37.3 7,028,058-4.0 4,642,225-0.8 4,025,020-1.0 617,205 0.9 1983 6,368,539-3.5 293,690-31.6 6,662,229-5.2 4,485,161-3.4 3,856,858-4.2 628,303 1.8 1984 6,585,758 3.4 346,998 18.2 6,932,756 4.1 4,637,352 3.4 3,966,002 2.8 671,350 6.9 1985 6,729,834 2.2 383,454 10.5 7,113,288 2.6 4,765,523 2.8 4,086,076 3.0 679,447 1.2 1986 6,522,625-3.1 355,232-7.4 6,877,857-3.3 4,686,292-1.7 3,999,098-2.1 687,194 1.1 1987 6,634,974 1.7 379,496 6.8 7,014,470 2.0 4,682,162-0.1 4,005,891 0.2 676,271-1.6 1988 6,720,118 1.3 511,826 34.9 7,231,944 3.1 4,727,194 1.0 4,057,521 1.3 669,672-1.0 1989 6,996,013 4.1 616,103 20.4 7,612,116 5.3 5,037,423 6.6 4,353,040 7.3 684,384 2.2 1990 7,358,110 5.2 725,812 17.8 8,083,922 6.2 5,340,074 6.0 4,632,871 6.4 707,203 3.3 1991 7,668,237 4.2 840,851 15.8 8,509,088 5.3 5,595,205 4.8 4,849,631 4.7 745,574 5.4 1992 7,939,777 3.5 1,006,832 19.7 8,946,609 5.1 5,835,976 4.3 5,076,539 4.7 759,438 1.9 1993 8,132,915 2.4 1,024,345 1.7 9,157,260 2.4 6,305,541 8.0 5,182,959 2.1 1,122,582 47.8 1994 8,517,387 4.7 1,209,001 18.0 9,726,387 6.2 6,570,734 4.2 5,422,813 4.6 1,147,922 2.3 1995 8,026,897-5.8 970,315-19.7 8,997,212-7.5 6,102,234-7.1 4,947,122-8.8 1,155,113 0.6 1996 8,498,459 5.9 1,336,397 37.7 9,834,856 9.3 6,314,690 3.5 5,161,928 4.3 1,152,762-0.2 1997 9,090,197 7.0 1,553,195 16.2 10,643,393 8.2 6,646,002 5.2 5,473,707 6.0 1,172,295 1.7 1998 9,517,604 4.7 1,774,622 14.3 11,292,226 6.1 6,953,121 4.6 5,789,745 5.8 1,163,376-0.8 1999 9,771,440 2.7 2,028,227 14.3 11,799,666 4.5 7,246,246 4.2 6,062,432 4.7 1,183,815 1.8 2000 10,288,982 5.3 2,456,035 21.1 12,745,016 8.0 7,637,571 5.4 6,420,895 5.9 1,216,676 2.8 2001 10,226,682-0.6 2,441,208-0.6 12,667,890-0.6 7,728,765 1.2 6,550,213 2.0 1,178,552-3.1 2002 10,240,173 0.1 2,508,075 2.7 12,748,248 0.6 7,806,067 1.0 6,641,542 1.4 1,164,525-1.2 2003 10,385,857 1.4 2,568,125 2.4 12,953,982 1.6 7,585,653-2.8 6,715,116 1.1 870,537-25.2 2004 10,832,004 4.3 2,817,488 9.7 13,649,492 5.4 8,017,152 5.7 7,088,885 5.6 928,267 6.6 2005 11,160,493 3.0 3,034,699 7.7 14,195,191 4.0 8,622,762 7.6 7,400,756 4.4 1,222,006 31.6 2006 11,718,672 5.0 3,344,013 10.2 15,062,685 6.1 9,072,496 5.2 7,808,965 5.5 1,263,531 3.4 2007 12,087,602 3.1 3,542,255 5.9 15,629,857 3.8 9,340,724 3.0 8,046,201 3.0 1,294,523 2.5 2008 12,256,863 1.4 3,698,252 4.4 15,955,116 2.1 9,532,642 2.1 8,198,835 1.9 1,333,807 3.0 2009 11,680,749-4.7 3,047,831-17.6 14,728,580-7.7 9,033,121-5.2 7,669,325-6.5 1,363,796 2.2 2010 12,277,659 5.1 3,671,446 20.5 15,949,105 8.3 9,491,048 5.1 8,103,919 5.7 1,387,128 1.7 2011 12,774,243 4.0 3,966,992 8.0 16,741,235 5.0 9,914,282 4.5 8,493,188 4.8 1,421,094 2.4 2012 13,283,052 4.0 4,183,838 5.5 17,466,890 4.3 10,375,040 4.6 8,905,208 4.9 1,469,833 3.4 2013 13,425,236 1.1 4,244,597 1.5 17,669,834 1.2 10,618,441 2.3 9,131,564 2.5 1,486,876 1.2 2014 13,820,186 2.9 4,442,189 4.7 18,262,375 3.4 10,930,116 2.9 9,409,096 3.0 1,521,020 2.3 2015 14,392,811 4.1 4,816,034 8.4 19,208,844 5.2 11,358,128 3.9 9,816,422 4.3 1,541,706 1.4 2016 15,146,156 5.2 5,313,960 10.3 20,460,117 6.5 11,919,104 4.9 10,344,406 5.4 1,574,699 2.1 2017 16,060,250 6.0 6,018,369 13.3 22,078,618 7.9 12,598,550 5.7 10,981,965 6.2 1,616,586 2.7 2018 16,999,241 5.8 6,638,717 10.3 23,637,958 7.1 13,290,390 5.5 11,634,359 5.9 1,656,030 2.4 2019 17,883,685 5.2 7,216,160 8.7 25,099,846 6.2 13,940,700 4.9 12,247,575 5.3 1,693,125 2.2 2020 18,751,667 4.9 7,731,270 7.1 26,482,938 5.5 14,574,755 4.5 12,847,090 4.9 1,727,665 2.0 B-1 Continúa
Continuación Años! Formación Bruta de Capital Fijo Demanda Global Variación Total Privada Pública de Pesos Var.% Pesos Var.% Pesos Var.% Existencias Pesos Var.% 1980 1,530,910 13.9 879,865 11.9 651,045 16.8 69,170 557,832 28.9 183,872 1981 1,755,936 14.7 959,461 9.0 796,475 22.3 81,206 646,149 15.8 156,828 1982 1,531,821-12.8 882,290-8.0 649,531-18.4-46,805 801,941 24.1 98,876 1983 1,155,884-24.5 739,017-16.2 416,867-35.8-42,273 891,912 11.2 171,545 1984 1,220,359 5.6 786,774 6.5 433,585 4.0-35,502 933,709 4.7 176,838 1985 1,300,182 6.5 863,203 9.7 436,980 0.8-29,104 885,661-5.1 191,026 1986 1,166,205-10.3 791,404-8.3 374,801-14.2-61,811 900,361 1.7 186,810 1987 1,184,543 1.6 854,842 8.0 329,701-12.0-28,395 975,602 8.4 200,558 1988 1,201,448 1.4 885,059 3.5 316,390-4.0 32,109 1,022,051 4.8 249,142 1989 1,275,671 6.2 949,126 7.2 326,545 3.2 27,853 1,032,205 1.0 238,963 1990 1,385,110 8.6 1,016,269 7.1 368,840 13.0 31,686 1,065,928 3.3 261,124 1991 1,474,539 6.5 1,121,867 10.4 352,673-4.4 51,221 1,119,925 5.1 268,197 1992 1,624,494 10.2 1,289,181 14.9 335,314-4.9 93,267 1,132,834 1.2 260,037 1993 1,395,641-14.1 814,876-36.8 580,765 73.2 79,965 1,229,662 8.5 146,451 1994 1,575,604 12.9 962,403 18.1 613,202 5.6 99,945 1,394,538 13.4 85,566 1995 1,176,832-25.3 562,345-41.6 614,487 0.2 131,122 1,659,114 19.0-72,090 1996 1,365,318 16.0 743,860 32.3 621,459 1.1 181,602 1,961,526 18.2 11,719 1997 1,609,831 17.9 932,137 25.3 677,695 9.0 147,074 2,129,200 8.5 111,285 1998 1,766,181 9.7 1,108,266 18.9 657,915-2.9 152,354 2,289,234 7.5 131,336 1999 1,897,234 7.4 1,294,997 16.8 602,236-8.5 140,240 2,438,692 6.5 77,255 2000 2,053,821 8.3 1,493,365 15.3 560,456-6.9 156,511 2,706,747 11.0 190,367 2001 1,986,059-3.3 1,519,554 1.8 466,505-16.8 95,336 2,614,830-3.4 242,901 2002 1,996,651 0.5 1,574,302 3.6 422,349-9.5 115,935 2,668,608 2.1 160,987 2003 2,055,861 3.0 1,607,055 2.1 448,806 6.3 99,728 2,692,286 0.9 520,454 2004 2,210,486 7.5 1,735,682 8.0 474,804 5.8 130,510 2,938,157 9.1 353,187 2005 2,340,995 5.9 1,821,449 4.9 519,545 9.4 107,802 3,106,033 5.7 17,600 2006 2,544,390 8.7 1,997,410 9.7 546,981 5.3 175,546 3,344,215 7.7-73,962 2007 2,696,835 6.0 2,132,131 6.7 564,704 3.2 123,879 3,466,167 3.6 2,252 2008 2,830,420 5.0 2,143,456 0.5 686,964 21.7 164,703 3,419,442-1.3 7,909 2009 2,568,103-9.3 1,875,390-12.5 692,713 0.8 27,776 3,016,579-11.8 83,002 2010 2,600,823 1.3 1,911,276 1.9 689,546-0.5 112,436 3,636,382 20.5 108,417 2011 2,804,154 7.8 2,142,622 12.1 661,532-4.1 56,148 3,935,141 8.2 31,510 2012 2,930,470 4.5 2,331,648 8.8 598,822-9.5 86,614 4,168,771 5.9-94,005 2013 2,878,597-1.8 2,301,410-1.3 577,187-3.6 66,639 4,217,287 1.2-111,129 2014 2,950,159 2.5 2,362,504 2.7 587,655 1.8 86,447 4,396,593 4.3-100,940 2015 3,120,387 5.8 2,507,773 6.1 612,614 4.2 67,875 4,729,505 7.6-67,051 2016 3,383,235 8.4 2,734,531 9.0 648,704 5.9 90,897 5,115,361 8.2-48,481 2017 3,762,854 11.2 3,066,416 12.1 696,438 7.4 83,890 5,701,512 11.5-68,188 2018 4,161,077 10.6 3,423,908 11.7 737,169 5.8 113,568 6,195,034 8.7-122,110 2019 4,543,630 9.2 3,766,786 10.0 776,844 5.4 96,743 6,612,875 6.7-94,103 2020 4,930,648 8.5 4,116,788 9.3 813,861 4.8 108,346 6,960,784 5.3-91,596 B-2 Exportación de Bienes y Servicios! Discrepancia! Estadística!! Continúa
Continuación Estructura Porcentual del Producto Interno Bruto! Año PIB Consumo Inversión Inversión Bruta Fija Variación de Balanza de Bienes y Servicios Discrepancia! Estadística! Real Total Privado Gobierno Bruta Total Total Privada Pública Existencias Saldo Exportación Importación! 1980 100.0 71.3 62.2 9.0 26.2 25.0 14.4 10.7 1.1-0.5 9.1 9.6 3.0 1981 100.0 70.5 61.3 9.2 27.7 26.5 14.5 12.0 1.2-0.6 9.7 10.3 2.4 1982 100.0 70.4 61.0 9.4 22.5 23.2 13.4 9.8-0.7 5.6 12.2 6.5 1.5 1983 100.0 70.4 60.6 9.9 17.5 18.1 11.6 6.5-0.7 9.4 14.0 4.6 2.7 1984 100.0 70.4 60.2 10.2 18.0 18.5 11.9 6.6-0.5 8.9 14.2 5.3 2.7 1985 100.0 70.8 60.7 10.1 18.9 19.3 12.8 6.5-0.4 7.5 13.2 5.7 2.8 1986 100.0 71.8 61.3 10.5 16.9 17.9 12.1 5.7-0.9 8.4 13.8 5.4 2.9 1987 100.0 70.6 60.4 10.2 17.4 17.9 12.9 5.0-0.4 9.0 14.7 5.7 3.0 1988 100.0 70.3 60.4 10.0 18.4 17.9 13.2 4.7 0.5 7.6 15.2 7.6 3.7 1989 100.0 72.0 62.2 9.8 18.6 18.2 13.6 4.7 0.4 5.9 14.8 8.8 3.4 1990 100.0 72.6 63.0 9.6 19.3 18.8 13.8 5.0 0.4 4.6 14.5 9.9 3.5 1991 100.0 73.0 63.2 9.7 19.9 19.2 14.6 4.6 0.7 3.6 14.6 11.0 3.5 1992 100.0 73.5 63.9 9.6 21.6 20.5 16.2 4.2 1.2 1.6 14.3 12.7 3.3 1993 100.0 77.5 63.7 13.8 18.1 17.2 10.0 7.1 1.0 2.5 15.1 12.6 1.8 1994 100.0 77.1 63.7 13.5 19.7 18.5 11.3 7.2 1.2 2.2 16.4 14.2 1.0 1995 100.0 76.0 61.6 14.4 16.3 14.7 7.0 7.7 1.6 8.6 20.7 12.1-0.9 1996 100.0 74.3 60.7 13.6 18.2 16.1 8.8 7.3 2.1 7.4 23.1 15.7 0.1 1997 100.0 73.1 60.2 12.9 19.3 17.7 10.3 7.5 1.6 6.3 23.4 17.1 1.2 1998 100.0 73.1 60.8 12.2 20.2 18.6 11.6 6.9 1.6 5.4 24.1 18.6 1.4 1999 100.0 74.2 62.0 12.1 20.9 19.4 13.3 6.2 1.4 4.2 25.0 20.8 0.8 2000 100.0 74.2 62.4 11.8 21.5 20.0 14.5 5.4 1.5 2.4 26.3 23.9 1.9 2001 100.0 75.6 64.1 11.5 20.4 19.4 14.9 4.6 0.9 1.7 25.6 23.9 2.4 2002 100.0 76.2 64.9 11.4 20.6 19.5 15.4 4.1 1.1 1.6 26.1 24.5 1.6 2003 100.0 73.0 64.7 8.4 20.8 19.8 15.5 4.3 1.0 1.2 25.9 24.7 5.0 2004 100.0 74.0 65.4 8.6 21.6 20.4 16.0 4.4 1.2 1.1 27.1 26.0 3.3 2005 100.0 77.3 66.3 10.9 21.9 21.0 16.3 4.7 1.0 0.6 27.8 27.2 0.2 2006 100.0 77.4 66.6 10.8 23.2 21.7 17.0 4.7 1.5 0.0 28.5 28.5-0.6 2007 100.0 77.3 66.6 10.7 23.3 22.3 17.6 4.7 1.0-0.6 28.7 29.3 0.0 2008 100.0 77.8 66.9 10.9 24.4 23.1 17.5 5.6 1.3-2.3 27.9 30.2 0.1 2009 100.0 77.3 65.7 11.7 22.2 22.0 16.1 5.9 0.2-0.3 25.8 26.1 0.7 2010 100.0 77.3 66.0 11.3 22.1 21.2 15.6 5.6 0.9-0.3 29.6 29.9 0.9 2011 100.0 77.6 66.5 11.1 22.4 22.0 16.8 5.2 0.4-0.2 30.8 31.1 0.2 2012 100.0 78.1 67.0 11.1 22.7 22.1 17.6 4.5 0.7-0.1 31.4 31.5-0.7 2013 100.0 79.1 68.0 11.1 21.9 21.4 17.1 4.3 0.5-0.2 31.4 31.6-0.8 2014 100.0 79.1 68.1 11.0 22.0 21.3 17.1 4.3 0.6-0.3 31.8 32.1-0.7 2015 100.0 78.9 68.2 10.7 22.2 21.7 17.4 4.3 0.5-0.6 32.9 33.5-0.5 2016 100.0 78.7 68.3 10.4 22.9 22.3 18.1 4.3 0.6-1.3 33.8 35.1-0.3 2017 100.0 78.4 68.4 10.1 24.0 23.4 19.1 4.3 0.5-2.0 35.5 37.5-0.4 2018 100.0 78.2 68.4 9.7 25.1 24.5 20.1 4.3 0.7-2.6 36.4 39.1-0.7 2019 100.0 78.0 68.5 9.5 25.9 25.4 21.1 4.3 0.5-3.4 37.0 40.4-0.5 2020 100.0 77.7 68.5 9.2 26.9 26.3 22.0 4.3 0.6-4.1 37.1 41.2-0.5 B-3 Conclusión
Continuación Años! PIB Contribución al Crecimiento Real del Producto Interno Bruto por Componentes Puntos Porcentuales Real Consumo Inversión Bruta Fija Variación de Sector Externo Total Privado Gobierno Total Privada Pública Existencias Exportación Importación 1980 9.23 7.28 6.41 0.86 3.49 1.72 1.79-0.01 2.63 3.50 1981 8.53 5.19 4.22 0.98 3.89 1.31 2.68 0.21 1.54 1.72 1982-0.52-0.53-0.61 0.08-2.96-1.08-1.82 1.12 2.93-2.43 1983-3.49-2.38-2.53 0.18-4.45-1.88-2.34 0.06 1.57-1.46 1984 3.41 2.39 1.70 0.70 1.03 0.77 0.26 0.09 0.66 0.96 1985 2.19 1.96 1.84 0.12 1.26 1.25 0.05 0.08-0.68 0.60 1986-3.08-1.19-1.31 0.12-1.84-1.01-0.82-1.06 0.23-0.40 1987 1.72-0.06 0.10-0.16 0.28 1.03-0.60 0.23 1.23 0.39 1988 1.28 0.68 0.78-0.10 0.26 0.47-0.19-1.02 0.72 2.66 1989 4.11 4.73 4.53 0.21 1.13 0.98 0.15-0.05 0.15 1.79 1990 5.18 4.36 4.05 0.32 1.61 0.98 0.65 0.06 0.47 1.76 1991 4.21 3.49 2.96 0.53 1.24 1.52-0.20 0.41 0.74 1.74 1992 3.54 3.16 2.99 0.18 2.08 2.42-0.21 0.96 0.16 2.50 1993 2.43 6.24 1.34 6.60-2.42-3.69 5.23-0.14 1.29 0.22 1994 4.73 3.24 2.95 0.30 2.39 2.05 0.40 0.29 2.20 2.56 1995-5.76-5.42-5.41 0.09-3.71-2.91 0.02 0.51 3.92-2.39 1996 5.87 2.59 2.64-0.03 2.57 2.83 0.08 0.82 4.21 5.93 1997 6.96 3.84 3.64 0.22 3.17 2.60 0.67-0.31 2.00 2.77 1998 4.70 3.38 3.51-0.09 1.80 2.20-0.20 0.06 1.81 2.66 1999 2.67 3.13 2.92 0.21 1.44 2.23-0.52-0.11 1.63 2.97 2000 5.30 4.01 3.69 0.33 1.65 2.22-0.38 0.18 2.89 5.03 2001-0.61 0.90 1.29-0.36-0.64 0.26-0.76-0.36-0.87-0.14 2002 0.13 0.76 0.90-0.14 0.10 0.55-0.39 0.24 0.54 0.67 2003 1.42-2.06 0.72-2.12 0.59 0.32 0.27-0.13 0.23 0.59 2004 4.30 4.21 3.64 0.57 1.53 1.28 0.25 0.37 2.48 2.53 2005 3.03 5.84 2.92 3.46 1.24 0.81 0.44-0.17 1.59 2.10 2006 5.00 4.04 3.68 0.37 1.89 1.65 0.25 0.94 2.19 2.91 2007 3.15 2.28 2.02 0.26 1.34 1.19 0.15-0.30 1.05 1.74 2008 1.40 1.60 1.27 0.33 1.14 0.09 1.21 0.44-0.38 1.33 2009-4.70-4.05-4.24 0.26-2.04-2.01 0.05-0.20-3.04-4.59 2010 5.11 3.92 3.74 0.19 0.27 0.30-0.03 2.79 6.09 6.12 2011 4.04 3.46 3.19 0.27 1.72 2.03-0.21-0.22 2.53 2.50 2012 3.98 3.63 3.25 0.38 0.99 1.55-0.43 0.35 1.86 1.72 2013 1.07 1.86 1.73 0.13-0.38-0.22-0.16-0.11 0.37 0.46 2014 2.94 2.32 2.07 0.25 0.53 0.45 0.08 0.19 1.35 1.50 2015 4.14 3.09 2.95 0.15 1.25 1.07 0.18-0.10 2.49 2.82 2016 5.23 3.89 3.67 0.22 1.88 1.63 0.25 0.20 2.76 3.63 2017 6.04 4.47 4.21 0.27 2.63 2.32 0.32-0.04 4.07 4.97 2018 5.85 4.29 4.07 0.24 2.59 2.35 0.25 0.24 3.15 4.03 2019 5.20 3.81 3.61 0.21 2.34 2.11 0.23-0.08 2.49 3.51 2020 4.85 3.54 3.35 0.19 2.24 2.04 0.21 0.07 1.95 2.94 B-4 Conclusión
B-2. Oferta y Demanda Global Trimestral: Escenario Base 2013-2014 (Millones de pesos a precios de 2008) Años! Oferta Global Demanda Global Producto Importación de TOTAL Consumo Interno Bruto Bienes y Servicios Total Privado Gobierno Pesos Var.% Pesos Var.% Pesos Var.% Pesos Var.% Pesos Var.% Pesos Var.% 2011 12,774,243 4.0 3,966,992 8.0 16,741,235 5.0 9,914,282 4.5 8,493,188 4.8 1,421,094 2.4 I 12,377,242 4.5 3,672,443 11.5 16,049,684 6.0 9,473,038 4.3 8,074,566 4.7 1,398,472 2.2 II 12,597,463 3.2 3,974,782 9.3 16,572,245 4.6 9,662,704 3.6 8,260,915 4.2 1,401,789 0.6 III 12,813,924 4.2 4,136,837 8.5 16,950,761 5.2 10,041,391 5.7 8,637,785 6.2 1,403,606 2.8 IV 13,308,342 4.3 4,083,907 3.5 17,392,249 4.1 10,479,995 4.1 8,999,485 4.1 1,480,510 4.2 2012 13,283,052 4.0 4,183,838 5.5 17,466,890 4.3 10,375,040 4.6 8,905,208 4.9 1,469,833 3.4 I 12,982,273 4.9 3,910,999 6.5 16,893,273 5.3 10,143,150 7.1 8,683,059 7.5 1,460,091 4.4 II 13,164,150 4.5 4,189,901 5.4 17,354,051 4.7 10,114,431 4.7 8,649,508 4.7 1,464,923 4.5 III 13,222,137 3.2 4,229,304 2.2 17,451,441 3.0 10,359,594 3.2 8,918,646 3.3 1,440,948 2.7 IV 13,763,649 3.4 4,405,147 7.9 18,168,796 4.5 10,882,987 3.8 9,369,618 4.1 1,513,370 2.2 2013 13,425,236 1.1 4,244,597 1.5 17,669,834 1.2 10,618,441 2.3 9,131,564 2.5 1,486,876 1.2 I 13,064,767 0.6 3,874,075-0.9 16,938,842 0.3 10,315,948 1.7 8,851,356 1.9 1,464,592 0.3 II 13,374,408 1.6 4,373,398 4.4 17,747,806 2.3 10,461,626 3.4 8,993,566 4.0 1,468,059 0.2 III 13,406,776 1.4 4,338,324 2.6 17,745,100 1.7 10,647,376 2.8 9,177,206 2.9 1,470,170 2.0 IV 13,854,994 0.7 4,392,593-0.3 18,247,587 0.4 11,048,813 1.5 9,504,129 1.4 1,544,684 2.1 2014 13,820,186 2.9 4,442,189 4.7 18,262,375 3.4 10,930,116 2.9 9,409,096 3.0 1,521,020 2.3 I 13,304,823 1.8 4,042,795 4.4 17,347,618 2.4 10,480,671 1.6 8,974,293 1.4 1,506,378 2.9 II e/ 13,638,970 2.0 4,421,426 1.1 18,060,397 1.8 10,698,114 2.3 9,191,885 2.2 1,506,229 2.6 III e/ 13,904,563 3.7 4,539,761 4.6 18,444,324 3.9 11,010,616 3.4 9,511,630 3.6 1,498,985 2.0 IV e/ 14,432,388 4.2 4,764,775 8.5 19,197,162 5.2 11,531,062 4.4 9,958,573 4.8 1,572,489 1.8 Fuente: INEGI. Sistema de Cuentas Nacionales de México. e/ Estimación Modelo Prospectivo de la Economía Mexicana MOPEM. Continúa B-5
Continuación Años! Demanda Global Formación Bruta de Capital Fijo Variación Exportación de Total Privada Pública de Bienes y Servicios Pesos Var.% Pesos Var.% Pesos Var.% Existencias Pesos Var.% Discrepancia! Estadística!! 2011 2,804,154 7.8 2,142,622 12.1 661,532-4.1 56,148 3,935,141 8.2 31,510 I 2,591,602 7.6 1,968,051 9.9 623,551 0.7-32,831 3,778,293 14.4 239,583 II 2,719,159 7.7 2,081,460 12.0 637,699-4.2 128,181 3,971,122 9.3 91,078 III 2,861,819 8.7 2,191,239 13.1 670,579-3.8 36,340 3,951,762 6.5 59,449 IV 3,044,036 7.4 2,329,739 13.2 714,297-8.0 92,900 4,039,388 3.5-264,069 2012 2,930,470 4.5 2,331,648 8.8 598,822-9.5 86,614 4,168,771 5.9-94,005 I 2,745,166 5.9 2,173,552 10.4 571,614-8.3 13,635 4,081,785 8.0-90,463 II 2,853,108 4.9 2,256,948 8.4 596,160-6.5 230,473 4,502,649 13.4-346,610 III 2,976,148 4.0 2,379,092 8.6 597,056-11.0-23,244 4,092,466 3.6 46,477 IV 3,147,459 3.4 2,517,000 8.0 630,458-11.7 125,590 3,998,186-1.0 14,574 2013 2,878,597-1.8 2,301,410-1.3 577,187-3.6 66,639 4,217,287 1.2-111,129 I 2,718,286-1.0 2,184,217 0.5 534,069-6.6-69,534 3,899,657-4.5 74,485 II 2,875,954 0.8 2,312,510 2.5 563,444-5.5 173,400 4,417,822-1.9-180,995 III 2,867,098-3.7 2,289,141-3.8 577,957-3.2-16,808 4,321,481 5.6-74,047 IV 3,053,050-3.0 2,419,773-3.9 633,277 0.4 179,497 4,230,187 5.8-263,960 2014 2,950,159 2.5 2,362,504 2.7 587,655 1.8 86,447 4,396,593 4.3-100,940 I 2,696,759-0.8 2,208,271 1.1 488,488-8.5 52,489 4,181,966 7.2-64,267 II e/ 2,859,662-0.6 2,306,497-0.3 553,164-1.8 186,563 4,663,704 5.6-347,646 III e/ 2,995,887 4.5 2,380,936 4.0 614,952 6.4-13,987 4,340,385 0.4 111,423 IV e/ 3,248,328 6.4 2,554,312 5.6 694,016 9.6 120,725 4,400,316 4.0-103,269 Fuente: INEGI. Sistema de Cuentas Nacionales de México. e/ Estimación Modelo Prospectivo de la Economía Mexicana MOPEM. Continúa B-6
Continuación Estructura Porcentual del Producto Interno Bruto Años PIB Consumo Inversión Inversión Bruta Fija Variación de Balanza de Bienes y Servicios Discrepancia Real Total Privado Gobierno Bruta Total Total Privada Pública Existencias Saldo Exportación Importación Estadística 2011 100.0 77.6 66.5 11.1 22.4 22.0 16.8 5.2 0.4-0.2 30.8 31.1 0.2 I 100.0 76.5 65.2 11.3 20.7 20.9 15.9 5.0-0.3 0.9 30.5 29.7 1.9 II 100.0 76.7 65.6 11.1 22.6 21.6 16.5 5.1 1.0 0.0 31.5 31.6 0.7 III 100.0 78.4 67.4 11.0 22.6 22.3 17.1 5.2 0.3-1.4 30.8 32.3 0.5 IV 100.0 78.7 67.6 11.1 23.6 22.9 17.5 5.4 0.7-0.3 30.4 30.7-2.0 2012 100.0 78.1 67.0 11.1 22.7 22.1 17.6 4.5 0.7-0.1 31.4 31.5-0.7 I 100.0 78.1 66.9 11.2 21.3 21.1 16.7 4.4 0.1 1.3 31.4 30.1-0.7 II 100.0 76.8 65.7 11.1 23.4 21.7 17.1 4.5 1.8 2.4 34.2 31.8-2.6 III 100.0 78.4 67.5 10.9 22.3 22.5 18.0 4.5-0.2-1.0 31.0 32.0 0.4 IV 100.0 79.1 68.1 11.0 23.8 22.9 18.3 4.6 0.9-3.0 29.0 32.0 0.1 2013 100.0 79.1 68.0 11.1 21.9 21.4 17.1 4.3 0.5-0.2 31.4 31.6-0.8 I 100.0 79.0 67.7 11.2 20.3 20.8 16.7 4.1-0.5 0.2 29.8 29.7 0.6 II 100.0 78.2 67.2 11.0 22.8 21.5 17.3 4.2 1.3 0.3 33.0 32.7-1.4 III 100.0 79.4 68.5 11.0 21.3 21.4 17.1 4.3-0.1-0.1 32.2 32.4-0.6 IV 100.0 79.7 68.6 11.1 23.3 22.0 17.5 4.6 1.3-1.2 30.5 31.7-1.9 2014 100.0 79.1 68.1 11.0 22.0 21.3 17.1 4.3 0.6-0.3 31.8 32.1-0.7 I 100.0 78.8 67.5 11.3 20.7 20.3 16.6 3.7 0.4 1.0 31.4 30.4-0.5 II e/ 100.0 78.4 67.4 11.0 22.3 21.0 16.9 4.1 1.4 1.8 34.2 32.4-2.5 III e/ 100.0 79.2 68.4 10.8 21.4 21.5 17.1 4.4-0.1-1.4 31.2 32.6 0.8 IV e/ 100.0 79.9 69.0 10.9 23.3 22.5 17.7 4.8 0.8-2.5 30.5 33.0-0.7 Fuente: INEGI. Sistema de Cuentas Nacionales de México. e/ Estimación Modelo Prospectivo de la Economía Mexicana MOPEM. Continúa C-7
Continuación Años! Contribución al Crecimiento Real del Producto Interno Bruto por Componentes PIB Puntos Porcentuales Real Consumo Inversión Bruta Fija Variación de Sector Externo Total Privado Gobierno Total Privada Pública Existencias Exportación Importación 2011 4.04 3.46 3.19 0.27 1.72 2.03-0.21-0.22 2.53 2.50 I 4.45 3.32 3.08 0.25 1.58 1.58 0.04 0.39 4.40 3.42 II 3.23 2.79 2.73 0.07 1.66 1.98-0.21-0.43 2.94 2.94 III 4.17 4.48 4.18 0.30 1.94 2.25-0.20 1.24 2.01 2.75 IV 4.32 3.26 2.80 0.46 1.68 2.30-0.43-0.28 1.07 1.08 2012 3.98 3.63 3.25 0.38 0.99 1.55-0.43 0.35 1.86 1.72 I 4.89 5.53 5.04 0.50 1.25 1.75-0.37-0.15 2.53 1.96 II 4.50 3.59 3.09 0.50 1.07 1.45-0.29 1.40 4.58 1.72 III 3.19 2.48 2.19 0.29 0.90 1.54-0.50 0.29 1.10 0.71 IV 3.42 3.04 2.80 0.24 0.78 1.47-0.54 0.32-0.30 2.52 2013 1.07 1.86 1.73 0.13-0.38-0.22-0.16-0.11 0.37 0.46 I 0.64 1.35 1.31 0.03-0.20 0.08-0.27 3.25-1.33-0.28 II 1.60 2.69 2.67 0.02 0.17 0.43-0.23-0.32-0.62 1.43 III 1.40 2.21 1.98 0.22-0.78-0.65-0.14 0.03 1.80 0.83 IV 0.66 1.22 0.98 0.23-0.66-0.67 0.02 0.56 1.77-0.09 2014 2.94 2.32 2.07 0.25 0.53 0.45 0.08 0.19 1.35 1.50 I 1.84 1.26 0.94 0.32-0.16 0.18-0.31-0.69 2.28 1.32 II e/ 1.98 1.77 1.49 0.29-0.12-0.04-0.07 0.10 1.90 0.36 III e/ 3.71 2.70 2.49 0.21 0.97 0.69 0.28 0.02 0.14 1.52 IV e/ 4.17 3.49 3.30 0.20 1.44 0.98 0.46-0.27 1.23 2.80 Fuente: INEGI. Sistema de Cuentas Nacionales de México. e/ Estimación Modelo Prospectivo de la Economía Mexicana MOPEM. Conclusión B-8
Sección: B-II. Gasto Privado en Consumo de los Hogares Cuadro B-3. Consumo Privado Anual por Tipo de Bien Cuadro B-4. Consumo Privado Trimestral por Tipo de Bien
Años! B-3. Consumo Privado Anual por Tipo de Bien: Escenario Base 2014-2020 (Millones de pesos a precios de 2008) Gastos de Consumo Privado por Tipo de Bien Total Total Bienes Total Compras Netas Bienes y Servicios Bienes Duraderos Semiduraderos No Duraderos Servicios en el Exterior Pesos Var.% Pesos Var.% Pesos Var.% Pesos Var.% Pesos Var.% Pesos Var.% Pesos 1980 3,716,233 9.5 2,136,998 7.4 278,557 9.2 216,519 6.9 1,641,922 7.2 1,591,050 6.2-11,816 1981 3,937,767 6.0 2,160,406 1.1 298,408 7.1 215,179-0.6 1,646,819 0.3 1,701,604 6.9 75,757 1982 3,947,507 0.2 2,257,862 4.5 295,120-1.1 228,587 6.2 1,734,155 5.3 1,754,551 3.1-64,905 1983 3,848,101-2.5 2,323,666 2.9 276,224-6.4 241,325 5.6 1,806,118 4.1 1,762,592 0.5-238,158 1984 3,954,707 2.8 2,417,109 4.0 284,861 3.1 251,575 4.2 1,880,673 4.1 1,770,695 0.5-233,096 1985 4,061,240 2.7 2,477,580 2.5 296,902 4.2 256,783 2.1 1,923,895 2.3 1,787,760 1.0-204,100 1986 4,004,604-1.4 2,496,208 0.8 285,706-3.8 261,681 1.9 1,948,821 1.3 1,785,587-0.1-277,190 1987 4,052,743 1.2 2,593,360 3.9 279,104-2.3 275,782 5.4 2,038,475 4.6 1,845,088 3.3-385,705 1988 4,087,490 0.9 2,549,404-1.7 279,004 0.0 270,084-2.1 2,000,315-1.9 1,880,163 1.9-342,077 1989 4,323,570 5.8 2,545,933-0.1 297,274 6.5 265,595-1.7 1,983,064-0.9 1,973,944 5.0-196,307 1990 4,565,866 5.6 2,599,221 2.1 311,553 4.8 269,374 1.4 2,018,293 1.8 2,071,376 4.9-104,731 1991 4,772,035 4.5 2,693,656 3.6 322,624 3.6 279,216 3.7 2,091,816 3.6 2,163,138 4.4-84,760 1992 4,942,324 3.6 2,642,233-1.9 331,771 2.8 270,503-3.1 2,039,959-2.5 2,238,464 3.5 61,627 1993 5,044,125 2.1 2,753,757 4.2 326,363-1.6 286,210 5.8 2,141,184 5.0 2,295,147 2.5-4,779 1994 5,270,117 4.5 2,873,373 4.3 356,651 9.3 295,082 3.1 2,221,640 3.8 2,409,909 5.0-13,165 1995 4,816,495-8.6 2,555,917-11.0 239,654-32.8 279,627-5.2 2,036,635-8.3 2,310,860-4.1-50,282 1996 4,912,470 2.0 2,614,866 2.3 265,664 10.9 281,550 0.7 2,067,651 1.5 2,344,456 1.5-46,851 1997 5,210,107 6.1 2,812,060 7.5 330,140 24.3 292,962 4.1 2,188,958 5.9 2,449,301 4.5-51,255 1998 5,482,898 5.2 2,982,835 6.1 370,912 12.3 306,174 4.5 2,305,749 5.3 2,554,249 4.3-54,186 1999 5,715,295 4.2 3,109,735 4.3 389,449 5.0 318,591 4.1 2,401,695 4.2 2,654,361 3.9-48,801 2000 6,163,569 7.8 3,416,673 9.9 466,043 19.7 341,606 7.2 2,609,025 8.6 2,794,509 5.3-47,614 2001 6,325,616 2.6 3,487,869 2.1 448,541-3.8 354,737 3.8 2,684,591 2.9 2,875,277 2.9-37,531 2002 6,418,865 1.5 3,518,617 0.9 463,757 3.4 355,376 0.2 2,699,485 0.6 2,932,408 2.0-32,160 2003 6,715,116 4.6 3,765,482 7.0 456,130-1.6 519,488 46.2 2,789,864 3.3 2,991,140 2.0-41,506 2004 7,088,885 5.6 4,037,351 7.2 490,522 7.5 563,080 8.4 2,983,748 6.9 3,103,588 3.8-52,054 2005 7,400,756 4.4 4,265,689 5.7 550,519 12.2 613,659 9.0 3,101,511 3.9 3,184,402 2.6-49,335 2006 7,808,965 5.5 4,385,136 2.8 668,412 21.4 661,367 7.8 3,055,357-1.5 3,468,955 8.9-45,126 2007 8,046,201 3.0 4,474,332 2.0 657,160-1.7 672,053 1.6 3,145,120 2.9 3,619,537 4.3-47,669 2008 8,198,835 1.9 4,546,201 1.6 722,609 10.0 652,234-2.9 3,171,358 0.8 3,704,695 2.4-52,061 2009 7,669,325-6.5 4,053,259-10.8 467,851-35.3 566,091-13.2 3,019,317-4.8 3,685,138-0.5-69,071 2010 8,103,919 5.7 4,361,566 7.6 649,211 38.8 660,555 16.7 3,051,800 1.1 3,803,150 3.2-60,797 2011 8,493,188 4.8 4,624,637 6.0 710,411 9.4 765,512 15.9 3,148,714 3.2 3,916,384 3.0-47,834 2012 8,905,208 4.9 4,822,600 4.3 736,015 3.6 819,508 7.1 3,267,077 3.8 4,137,402 5.6-54,794 2013 9,131,564 2.5 4,942,803 2.5 795,126 8.0 872,886 6.5 3,274,791 0.2 4,238,197 2.4-49,436 2014 9,409,096 3.0 5,092,038 3.0 800,353 0.7 903,595 3.5 3,388,090 3.5 4,370,839 3.1-53,782 2015 9,816,422 4.3 5,325,163 4.6 838,770 4.8 956,003 5.8 3,530,390 4.2 4,550,044 4.1-58,785 2016 10,344,406 5.4 5,644,997 6.0 907,046 8.1 1,036,690 8.4 3,701,261 4.8 4,763,896 4.7-64,487 2017 10,981,965 6.2 6,015,580 6.6 985,052 8.6 1,127,919 8.8 3,902,609 5.4 5,037,343 5.7-70,958 2018 11,634,359 5.9 6,393,900 6.3 1,068,191 8.4 1,218,603 8.0 4,107,106 5.2 5,316,412 5.5-75,952 2019 12,247,575 5.3 6,770,924 5.9 1,153,646 8.0 1,303,174 6.9 4,314,104 5.0 5,556,714 4.5-80,063 2020 12,847,090 4.9 7,141,858 5.5 1,241,784 7.6 1,385,796 6.3 4,514,278 4.6 5,788,985 4.2-83,753 B-9 Continúa
B-4. Consumo Privado Trimestral por Tipo de Bien: Escenario Base 2013-2014 (Millones de pesos a precios de 2008) Años! Gastos de Consumo Privado por Tipo de Bien Total Total Bienes Total Compras Netas Bienes y Servicios Bienes Duraderos Semiduraderos No Duraderos Servicios en el Exterior Pesos Var.% Pesos Var.% Pesos Var.% Pesos Var.% Pesos Var.% Pesos Var.% Pesos 2011 8,493,188 4.8 4,624,637 6.0 710,411 9.4 765,512 15.9 3,148,714 3.2 3,916,384 3.0-47,834 I 8,074,566 4.7 4,332,160 7.2 640,050 11.2 697,020 14.7 2,995,090 4.8 3,815,988 1.3-73,583 II 8,260,915 4.2 4,453,311 5.5 657,645 11.5 724,773 14.1 3,070,892 2.5 3,846,292 2.1-38,688 III 8,637,785 6.2 4,709,767 7.8 709,220 10.4 810,693 20.5 3,189,854 4.4 3,954,780 3.9-26,762 IV 8,999,485 4.1 5,003,312 3.9 834,727 5.8 829,563 14.2 3,339,021 1.2 4,048,478 4.6-52,304 2012 8,905,208 4.9 4,822,600 4.3 736,015 3.6 819,508 7.1 3,267,077 3.8 4,137,402 5.6-54,794 I 8,683,059 7.5 4,715,765 8.9 669,314 4.6 776,801 11.4 3,269,651 9.2 4,053,278 6.2-85,983 II 8,649,508 4.7 4,653,827 4.5 676,449 2.9 793,337 9.5 3,184,041 3.7 4,054,408 5.4-58,728 III 8,918,646 3.3 4,779,143 1.5 708,884 0.0 856,845 5.7 3,213,414 0.7 4,171,567 5.5-32,064 IV 9,369,618 4.1 5,141,664 2.8 889,413 6.6 851,050 2.6 3,401,201 1.9 4,270,356 5.5-42,402 2013 9,131,564 2.5 4,942,803 2.5 795,126 8.0 872,886 6.5 3,274,791 0.2 4,238,197 2.4-49,436 I 8,851,356 1.9 4,730,490 0.3 732,956 9.5 819,811 5.5 3,177,723-2.8 4,200,557 3.6-79,691 II 8,993,566 4.0 4,871,968 4.7 758,002 12.1 879,264 10.8 3,234,702 1.6 4,168,735 2.8-47,136 III 9,177,206 2.9 4,946,142 3.5 760,731 7.3 902,290 5.3 3,283,121 2.2 4,258,501 2.1-27,436 IV 9,504,129 1.4 5,222,613 1.6 928,816 4.4 890,179 4.6 3,403,618 0.1 4,324,996 1.3-43,480 2014 9,409,096 3.0 5,092,038 3.0 800,353 0.7 903,595 3.5 3,388,090 3.5 4,370,839 3.1-53,782 I 8,974,293 1.4 4,823,739 2.0 700,317-4.5 853,493 4.1 3,269,929 2.9 4,251,007 1.2-100,453 II e/ 9,191,885 2.2 4,945,498 1.5 745,876-1.6 905,026 2.9 3,294,596 1.9 4,286,312 2.8-39,924 III e/ 9,511,630 3.6 5,121,914 3.6 783,220 3.0 933,971 3.5 3,404,724 3.7 4,415,506 3.7-25,790 IV e/ 9,958,573 4.8 5,477,000 4.9 972,001 4.6 921,889 3.6 3,583,111 5.3 4,530,531 4.8-48,958 Fuente: INEGI. Sistema de Cuentas Nacionales de México. e/ Estimación Modelo Prospectivo de la Economía Mexicana MOPEM. B-10
Sección: B-III. Exportación e Importación de Bienes y Servicios Cuadro B-5. Exportación e Importación Anual de Bienes y Servicios Página: B-68 / Exportaciones Anuales Página: B-69 / Importaciones Anuales Cuadro B-6. Exportación e Importación Trimestral de Bienes y Servicios Página: B-70 / Exportaciones Trimestrales Página: B-71 / Importaciones Trimestrales
B-5. Exportación e Importación de Bienes y Servicios Anual: Escenario Base 2014-2020 (Millones de pesos a precios de 2008) Años! Exportación Exportaciones de Bienes FOB Exportación TOTAL Total Exportaciones No Petroleras Exportaciones Total de Bienes Total Manufacturas Otras Petroleras de Servicios Pesos Var.% Pesos Var.% Pesos Var.% Pesos Var.% Pesos Var.% Pesos Var.% Pesos Var.% 1980 557,832 28.9 473,839 33.6 149,287-4.4 105,277-8.2 44,010 6.3 324,552 63.5 83,993 7.4 1981 646,149 15.8 571,605 20.6 153,416 2.8 106,359 1.0 47,057 6.9 418,189 28.9 74,544-11.2 1982 801,941 24.1 711,578 24.5 148,924-2.9 104,827-1.4 44,098-6.3 562,653 34.5 90,363 21.2 1983 891,912 11.2 781,997 9.9 207,056 39.0 161,439 54.0 45,617 3.4 574,942 2.2 109,915 21.6 1984 933,709 4.7 828,220 5.9 262,493 26.8 209,148 29.6 53,345 16.9 565,728-1.6 105,488-4.0 1985 885,661-5.1 779,539-5.9 254,674-3.0 203,403-2.7 51,271-3.9 524,865-7.2 106,122 0.6 1986 900,361 1.7 784,323 0.6 310,581 22.0 252,861 24.3 57,721 12.6 473,741-9.7 116,038 9.3 1987 975,602 8.4 850,771 8.5 360,608 16.1 303,258 19.9 57,350-0.6 490,163 3.5 124,830 7.6 1988 1,022,051 4.8 898,017 5.6 418,389 16.0 359,715 18.6 58,674 2.3 479,629-2.1 124,034-0.6 1989 1,032,205 1.0 897,004-0.1 430,389 2.9 376,037 4.5 54,352-7.4 466,615-2.7 135,202 9.0 1990 1,065,928 3.3 928,588 3.5 464,450 7.9 404,943 7.7 59,507 9.5 464,138-0.5 137,340 1.6 1991 1,119,925 5.1 985,360 6.1 487,450 5.0 427,933 5.7 59,517 0.0 497,910 7.3 134,565-2.0 1992 1,132,834 1.2 1,000,050 1.5 504,000 3.4 456,186 6.6 47,814-19.7 496,050-0.4 132,784-1.3 1993 1,229,662 8.5 1,037,905 3.8 601,471 19.3 536,106 17.5 65,364 36.7 436,434-12.0 191,757 44.4 1994 1,394,538 13.4 1,191,095 14.8 717,804 19.3 645,625 20.4 72,179 10.4 473,291 8.4 203,443 6.1 1995 1,659,114 19.0 1,395,574 17.2 933,736 30.1 844,697 30.8 89,039 23.4 461,838-2.4 263,540 29.5 1996 1,961,526 18.2 1,706,028 22.2 1,128,031 20.8 1,039,913 23.1 88,118-1.0 577,997 25.2 255,498-3.1 1997 2,129,200 8.5 1,901,566 11.5 1,292,603 14.6 1,200,372 15.4 92,231 4.7 608,963 5.4 227,634-10.9 1998 2,289,234 7.5 2,054,277 8.0 1,476,171 14.2 1,363,643 13.6 112,528 22.0 578,106-5.1 234,957 3.2 1999 2,438,692 6.5 2,228,339 8.5 1,665,518 12.8 1,561,227 14.5 104,291-7.3 562,821-2.6 210,353-10.5 2000 2,706,747 11.0 2,487,282 11.6 1,926,149 15.6 1,830,153 17.2 95,996-8.0 561,134-0.3 219,464 4.3 2001 2,614,830-3.4 2,425,573-2.5 1,858,451-3.5 1,770,196-3.3 88,256-8.1 567,122 1.1 189,256-13.8 2002 2,668,608 2.1 2,482,725 2.4 1,891,143 1.8 1,799,254 1.6 91,889 4.1 591,581 4.3 185,883-1.8 2003 2,692,286 0.9 2,524,703 1.7 1,906,872 0.8 1,810,894 0.6 95,978 4.4 617,831 4.4 167,583-9.8 2004 2,938,157 9.1 2,753,203 9.1 2,126,547 11.5 2,017,137 11.4 109,410 14.0 626,656 1.4 184,954 10.4 2005 3,106,033 5.7 2,906,532 5.6 2,297,925 8.1 2,186,143 8.4 111,781 2.2 608,607-2.9 199,501 7.9 2006 3,344,215 7.7 3,152,039 8.4 2,550,246 11.0 2,430,098 11.2 120,149 7.5 601,793-1.1 192,177-3.7 2007 3,466,167 3.6 3,263,911 3.5 2,700,709 5.9 2,576,499 6.0 124,210 3.4 563,202-6.4 202,256 5.2 2008 3,419,442-1.3 3,216,396-1.5 2,748,221 1.8 2,623,917 1.8 124,304 0.1 468,175-16.9 203,045 0.4 2009 3,016,579-11.8 2,820,464-12.3 2,411,025-12.3 2,288,021-12.8 123,004-1.0 409,439-12.5 196,115-3.4 2010 3,636,382 20.5 3,450,267 22.3 2,991,279 24.1 2,854,183 24.7 137,096 11.5 458,989 12.1 186,114-5.1 2011 3,935,141 8.2 3,754,422 8.8 3,303,707 10.4 3,152,413 10.4 151,293 10.4 450,715-1.8 180,719-2.9 2012 4,168,771 5.9 3,978,186 6.0 3,554,914 7.6 3,382,987 7.3 171,927 13.6 423,272-6.1 190,586 5.5 2013 4,217,287 1.2 4,005,593 0.7 3,611,569 1.6 3,453,223 2.1 158,346-7.9 394,024-6.9 211,694 11.1 2014 4,396,593 4.3 4,163,930 4.0 3,789,463 4.9 3,625,507 5.0 163,956 3.5 374,467-5.0 232,663 9.9 2015 4,729,505 7.6 4,472,903 7.4 4,074,588 7.5 3,907,209 7.8 167,379 2.1 398,315 6.4 256,602 10.3 2016 5,115,361 8.2 4,826,477 7.9 4,426,718 8.6 4,242,057 8.6 184,661 10.3 399,759 0.4 288,884 12.6 2017 5,701,512 11.5 5,370,245 11.3 4,962,534 12.1 4,762,133 12.3 200,401 8.5 407,711 2.0 331,267 14.7 2018 6,195,034 8.7 5,818,816 8.4 5,387,138 8.6 5,167,867 8.5 219,271 9.4 431,678 5.9 376,218 13.6 2019 6,612,875 6.7 6,191,706 6.4 5,738,130 6.5 5,506,879 6.6 231,251 5.5 453,577 5.1 421,169 11.9 2020 6,960,784 5.3 6,495,364 4.9 6,022,867 5.0 5,774,513 4.9 248,354 7.4 472,497 4.2 465,420 10.5 Continúa B-11
Continuación Años! Importación Importaciones de Bienes CIF Importación Balanza TOTAL Total Bienes Bienes Bienes Total de Bienes de Bienes de Consumo Intermedios de Capital de Servicios y Servicios Pesos Var.% Pesos Var.% Pesos Var.% Pesos Var.% Pesos Var.% Pesos Var.% Pesos % PIB 1980 586,848 36.4 453,267 36.4 37,823 66.5 325,889 33.2 89,555 37.7 133,581 36.6-29,016-0.5 1981 684,547 16.6 523,040 15.4 43,459 14.9 365,205 12.1 114,376 27.7 161,508 20.9-38,398-0.6 1982 429,464-37.3 315,667-39.6 26,527-39.0 225,075-38.4 64,065-44.0 113,797-29.5 372,477 5.6 1983 293,690-31.6 212,718-32.6 13,510-49.1 167,931-25.4 31,278-51.2 80,972-28.8 598,222 9.4 1984 346,998 18.2 257,606 21.1 17,609 30.3 204,890 22.0 35,108 12.2 89,392 10.4 586,710 8.9 1985 383,454 10.5 293,681 14.0 21,672 23.1 230,933 12.7 41,076 17.0 89,773 0.4 502,207 7.5 1986 355,232-7.4 270,130-8.0 18,577-14.3 214,109-7.3 37,445-8.8 85,101-5.2 545,129 8.4 1987 379,496 6.8 294,609 9.1 16,731-9.9 244,451 14.2 33,427-10.7 84,887-0.3 596,106 9.0 1988 511,826 34.9 418,148 41.9 31,939 90.9 333,862 36.6 52,347 56.6 93,678 10.4 510,225 7.6 1989 616,103 20.4 503,955 20.5 55,712 74.4 389,433 16.6 58,810 12.3 112,149 19.7 416,102 5.9 1990 725,812 17.8 592,402 17.6 77,237 38.6 434,809 11.7 80,357 36.6 133,410 19.0 340,116 4.6 1991 840,851 15.8 705,059 19.0 98,746 27.8 506,187 16.4 100,125 24.6 135,792 1.8 279,074 3.6 1992 1,006,832 19.7 866,225 22.9 127,496 29.1 606,892 19.9 131,837 31.7 140,607 3.5 126,002 1.6 1993 1,024,345 1.7 870,523 0.5 93,840-26.4 668,299 10.1 108,385-17.8 153,821 9.4 205,317 2.5 1994 1,209,001 18.0 1,058,134 21.6 135,980 44.9 783,840 17.3 138,313 27.6 150,867-1.9 185,538 2.2 1995 970,315-19.7 859,764-18.7 68,000-50.0 698,128-10.9 93,636-32.3 110,550-26.7 688,799 8.6 1996 1,336,397 37.7 1,218,871 41.8 91,258 34.2 986,986 41.4 140,627 50.2 117,526 6.3 625,129 7.4 1997 1,553,195 16.2 1,420,763 16.6 107,275 17.6 1,129,739 14.5 183,749 30.7 132,432 12.7 576,004 6.3 1998 1,774,622 14.3 1,649,480 16.1 129,457 20.7 1,303,091 15.3 216,932 18.1 125,142-5.5 514,612 5.4 1999 2,028,227 14.3 1,898,528 15.1 171,085 32.2 1,472,531 13.0 254,912 17.5 129,698 3.6 410,465 4.2 2000 2,456,035 21.1 2,305,640 21.4 226,932 32.6 1,781,643 21.0 297,064 16.5 150,395 16.0 250,712 2.4 2001 2,441,208-0.6 2,286,629-0.8 262,541 15.7 1,756,681-1.4 267,407-10.0 154,579 2.8 173,622 1.7 2002 2,508,075 2.7 2,345,362 2.6 289,364 10.2 1,801,383 2.5 254,615-4.8 162,713 5.3 160,533 1.6 2003 2,568,125 2.4 2,403,197 2.5 290,423 0.4 1,857,163 3.1 255,611 0.4 164,928 1.4 124,161 1.2 2004 2,817,488 9.7 2,650,548 10.3 313,997 8.1 2,045,408 10.1 291,142 13.9 166,941 1.2 120,669 1.1 2005 3,034,699 7.7 2,855,841 7.7 362,059 15.3 2,161,754 5.7 332,029 14.0 178,857 7.1 71,334 0.6 2006 3,344,013 10.2 3,167,178 10.9 412,738 14.0 2,376,153 9.9 378,287 13.9 176,835-1.1 202 0.0 2007 3,542,255 5.9 3,359,007 6.1 432,337 4.7 2,513,616 5.8 413,055 9.2 183,248 3.6-76,088-0.6 2008 3,698,252 4.4 3,520,853 4.8 460,132 6.4 2,638,685 5.0 422,036 2.2 177,400-3.2-278,811-2.3 2009 3,047,831-17.6 2,870,353-18.5 345,251-25.0 2,171,654-17.7 353,448-16.3 177,478 0.0-31,252-0.3 2010 3,671,446 20.5 3,494,212 21.7 424,439 22.9 2,719,928 25.2 349,845-1.0 177,234-0.1-35,065-0.3 2011 3,966,992 8.0 3,763,367 7.7 444,474 4.7 2,894,914 6.4 423,979 21.2 203,626 14.9-31,851-0.2 2012 4,183,838 5.5 3,974,385 5.6 465,307 4.7 3,035,456 4.9 473,621 11.7 209,453 2.9-15,066-0.1 2013 4,244,597 1.5 4,029,024 1.4 492,747 5.9 3,038,375 0.1 497,902 5.1 215,574 2.9-27,311-0.2 2014 4,442,189 4.7 4,218,172 4.7 526,129 6.8 3,176,187 4.5 515,856 3.6 224,017 3.9-45,596-0.3 2015 4,816,034 8.4 4,566,852 8.3 576,427 9.6 3,413,131 7.5 577,295 11.9 249,181 11.2-86,529-0.6 2016 5,313,960 10.3 5,029,294 10.1 650,383 12.8 3,711,097 8.7 667,814 15.7 284,666 14.2-198,600-1.3 2017 6,018,369 13.3 5,688,926 13.1 757,436 16.5 4,143,069 11.6 788,422 18.1 329,443 15.7-316,857-2.0 2018 6,638,717 10.3 6,266,019 10.1 873,626 15.3 4,472,857 8.0 919,536 16.6 372,698 13.1-443,683-2.6 2019 7,216,160 8.7 6,803,196 8.6 999,778 14.4 4,746,596 6.1 1,056,823 14.9 412,964 10.8-603,285-3.4 2020 7,731,270 7.1 7,282,762 7.0 1,134,048 13.4 4,950,699 4.3 1,198,014 13.4 448,509 8.6-770,486-4.1 B-12 Conclusión
B-6. Exportación de Bienes y Servicios Trimestral: Escenario Base 2013-2014 (Millones de pesos a precios de 2008) Años! Exportación Exportaciones de Bienes FOB Exportación TOTAL Total Exportaciones No Petroleras Exportaciones Total de Bienes Total Manufacturas Otras Petroleras de Servicios Pesos Var.% Pesos Var.% Pesos Var.% Pesos Var.% Pesos Var.% Pesos Var.% Pesos Var.% 2011 3,935,141 8.2 3,754,422 8.8 3,303,707 10.4 3,152,413 10.4 151,293 10.4 450,715-1.8 180,719-2.9 I 3,778,293 14.4 3,583,988 16.4 3,128,708 17.2 2,962,729 17.5 165,979 11.1 455,280 11.3 194,304-12.9 II 3,971,122 9.3 3,803,856 10.0 3,346,404 11.5 3,186,022 11.8 160,382 6.5 457,451 0.0 167,266-3.6 III 3,951,762 6.5 3,794,739 7.3 3,356,304 9.2 3,229,610 8.8 126,694 20.1 438,436-4.8 157,022-9.9 IV 4,039,388 3.5 3,835,104 2.9 3,383,411 5.1 3,231,292 5.0 152,118 6.5 451,693-11.2 204,284 17.8 2012 4,168,771 5.9 3,978,186 6.0 3,554,914 7.6 3,382,987 7.3 171,927 13.6 423,272-6.1 190,586 5.5 I 4,081,785 8.0 3,867,259 7.9 3,454,112 10.4 3,253,436 9.8 200,676 20.9 413,147-9.3 214,526 10.4 II 4,502,649 13.4 4,305,317 13.2 3,890,770 16.3 3,686,951 15.7 203,819 27.1 414,547-9.4 197,332 18.0 III 4,092,466 3.6 3,920,921 3.3 3,495,367 4.1 3,354,360 3.9 141,007 11.3 425,554-2.9 171,546 9.2 IV 3,998,186-1.0 3,819,247-0.4 3,379,405-0.1 3,237,200 0.2 142,205-6.5 439,842-2.6 178,938-12.4 2013 4,217,287 1.2 4,005,593 0.7 3,611,569 1.6 3,453,223 2.1 158,346-7.9 394,024-6.9 211,694 11.1 I 3,899,657-4.5 3,696,554-4.4 3,301,423-4.4 3,127,415-3.9 174,007-13.3 395,131-4.4 203,103-5.3 II 4,417,822-1.9 4,148,447-3.6 3,768,692-3.1 3,581,368-2.9 187,324-8.1 379,756-8.4 269,374 36.5 III 4,321,481 5.6 4,141,885 5.6 3,750,148 7.3 3,624,648 8.1 125,501-11.0 391,736-7.9 179,597 4.7 IV 4,230,187 5.8 4,035,487 5.7 3,626,014 7.3 3,479,461 7.5 146,553 3.1 409,472-6.9 194,700 8.8 2014 4,396,593 4.3 4,163,930 4.0 3,789,463 4.9 3,625,507 5.0 163,956 3.5 374,467-5.0 232,663 9.9 I 4,181,966 7.2 3,951,185 6.9 3,564,165 8.0 3,366,688 7.7 197,477 13.5 387,020-2.1 230,781 13.6 II e/ 4,663,704 5.6 4,369,365 5.3 4,010,593 6.4 3,817,992 6.6 192,601 2.8 358,772-5.5 294,338 9.3 III e/ 4,340,385 0.4 4,148,787 0.2 3,795,152 1.2 3,662,801 1.1 132,350 5.5 353,636-9.7 191,598 6.7 IV e/ 4,400,316 4.0 4,186,382 3.7 3,787,941 4.5 3,654,547 5.0 133,394-9.0 398,441-2.7 213,935 9.9 Fuente: INEGI. Sistema de Cuentas Nacionales de México. e/ Estimación Modelo Prospectivo de la Economía Mexicana MOPEM. Continúa B-13
Continuación Importación Importaciones de Bienes CIF Importación Balanza Años! TOTAL Total Bienes Bienes Bienes Total de Bienes de Bienes de Consumo Intermedios de Capital de Servicios y Servicios Pesos Var.% Pesos Var.% Pesos Var.% Pesos Var.% Pesos Var.% Pesos Var.% Pesos % PIB 2011 3,047,831-17.6 2,870,353-18.5 345,251-25.0 2,171,654-17.7 353,448-16.3 177,478 0.0-31,252-0.3 I 2,748,306-20.7 2,566,487-22.1 310,031-29.4 1,923,856-22.5 332,600-11.6 181,818 7.2 92,725 0.8 II 2,814,103-25.9 2,660,999-26.3 307,633-30.9 2,033,910-25.4 319,455-27.4 153,105-17.3 26,629 0.2 III 3,181,654-19.2 2,992,608-20.5 351,059-26.4 2,285,694-19.3 355,855-21.5 189,046 7.0-182,519-1.6 IV 3,447,261-4.0 3,261,318-4.4 412,280-13.9 2,443,155-2.9 405,883-3.1 185,943 4.4-61,845-0.5 2012 3,671,446 20.5 3,494,212 21.7 424,439 22.9 2,719,928 25.2 349,845-1.0 177,234-0.1-35,065-0.3 I 3,292,724 19.8 3,124,862 21.8 397,350 28.2 2,430,178 26.3 297,334-10.6 167,862-7.7 9,333 0.1 II 3,635,608 29.2 3,461,343 30.1 396,941 29.0 2,732,494 34.3 331,909 3.9 174,265 13.8-3,216 0.0 III 3,812,225 19.8 3,622,913 21.1 426,979 21.6 2,834,219 24.0 361,716 1.6 189,311 0.1-102,750-0.8 IV 3,945,228 14.4 3,767,730 15.5 476,485 15.6 2,882,823 18.0 408,421 0.6 177,499-4.5-43,626-0.3 2013 3,966,992 8.0 3,763,367 7.7 444,474 4.7 2,894,914 6.4 423,979 21.2 203,626 14.9-31,851-0.2 I 3,672,443 11.5 3,502,533 12.1 403,221 1.5 2,719,275 11.9 380,037 27.8 169,910 1.2 105,850 0.9 II 3,974,782 9.3 3,770,712 8.9 416,100 4.8 2,937,179 7.5 417,432 25.8 204,070 17.1-3,660 0.0 III 4,136,837 8.5 3,909,487 7.9 463,661 8.6 3,002,463 5.9 443,364 22.6 227,350 20.1-185,075-1.4 IV 4,083,907 3.5 3,870,736 2.7 494,915 3.9 2,920,738 1.3 455,083 11.4 213,172 20.1-44,520-0.3 2014 4,183,838 5.5 3,974,385 5.6 465,307 4.7 3,035,456 4.9 473,621 11.7 209,453 2.9-15,066-0.1 I 3,910,999 6.5 3,724,649 6.3 435,176 7.9 2,840,416 4.5 449,056 18.2 186,351 9.7 170,785 1.3 II e/ 4,189,901 5.4 3,982,764 5.6 433,399 4.2 3,089,563 5.2 459,803 10.2 207,137 1.5 312,748 2.4 III e/ 4,229,304 2.2 4,010,352 2.6 467,477 0.8 3,068,244 2.2 474,631 7.1 218,952-3.7-136,837-1.0 IV e/ 4,405,147 7.9 4,179,773 8.0 525,177 6.1 3,143,601 7.6 510,995 12.3 225,374 5.7-406,961-3.0 Fuente: INEGI. Sistema de Cuentas Nacionales de México. e/ Estimación Modelo Prospectivo de la Economía Mexicana MOPEM. Conclusión B-14
Sección: B-IV. Formación Bruta de Capital Fijo Cuadro B-7. Formación Bruta de Capital Fijo Anual por Origen y Tipo de Bien Cuadro B-8. Formación Bruta de Capital Fijo Trimestral por Origen y Tipo de Bien Cuadro B-9. Formación Bruta de Capital Fijo Anual por Tipo de Bien y de Comprador Cuadro B-10. Formación Bruta de Capital Fijo Trimestral por Tipo de Bien y de Comprador
B-7. Formación Bruta de Capital Fijo Anual por Origen y Tipo de Bien: Escenario Base 2014-2020 (Millones de pesos a precios de 2008) Sector de la Maquinaria y Equipo Estructura Porcentual Años TOTAL! Construcción Suma Nacional Importado Cons- Maquinaria y Equipo TOTAL Pesos Var.% Pesos Var.% Pesos Var.% Pesos Var.% Pesos Var.% trucción Total Nacional Importado 1980 1,530,910 13.9 1,110,758 11.2 420,152 22.1 168,867 13.0 251,285 29.0 100.0 72.6 27.4 11.0 16.4 1981 1,755,936 14.7 1,246,493 12.2 509,443 21.3 190,003 12.5 319,440 27.1 100.0 71.0 29.0 10.8 18.2 1982 1,531,821-12.8 1,180,615-5.3 351,206-31.1 160,789-15.4 190,417-40.4 100.0 77.1 22.9 10.5 12.4 1983 1,155,884-24.5 944,434-20.0 211,450-39.8 115,387-28.2 96,063-49.6 100.0 81.7 18.3 10.0 8.3 1984 1,220,359 5.6 984,683 4.3 235,677 11.5 128,048 11.0 107,628 12.0 100.0 80.7 19.3 10.5 8.8 1985 1,300,182 6.5 1,030,294 4.6 269,888 14.5 147,565 15.2 122,323 13.7 100.0 79.2 20.8 11.3 9.4 1986 1,166,205-10.3 936,517-9.1 229,689-14.9 121,916-17.4 107,773-11.9 100.0 80.3 19.7 10.5 9.2 1987 1,184,543 1.6 972,246 3.8 212,297-7.6 120,784-0.9 91,513-15.1 100.0 82.1 17.9 10.2 7.7 1988 1,201,448 1.4 959,365-1.3 242,083 14.0 133,993 10.9 108,090 18.1 100.0 79.9 20.1 11.2 9.0 1989 1,275,671 6.2 999,937 4.2 275,734 13.9 147,909 10.4 127,825 18.3 100.0 78.4 21.6 11.6 10.0 1990 1,385,110 8.6 1,057,375 5.7 327,734 18.9 170,983 15.6 156,751 22.6 100.0 76.3 23.7 12.3 11.3 1991 1,474,539 6.5 1,104,037 4.4 370,503 13.0 188,727 10.4 181,775 16.0 100.0 74.9 25.1 12.8 12.3 1992 1,624,494 10.2 1,205,303 9.2 419,192 13.1 193,912 2.7 225,280 23.9 100.0 74.2 25.8 11.9 13.9 1993 1,395,641-14.1 1,091,383-9.5 304,257-27.4 142,655-26.4 161,603-28.3 100.0 78.2 21.8 10.2 11.6 1994 1,575,604 12.9 1,223,142 12.1 352,462 15.8 145,646 2.1 206,816 28.0 100.0 77.6 22.4 9.2 13.1 1995 1,176,832-25.3 920,217-24.8 256,616-27.2 117,137-19.6 139,479-32.6 100.0 78.2 21.8 10.0 11.9 1996 1,365,318 16.0 1,014,412 10.2 350,906 36.7 140,364 19.8 210,543 50.9 100.0 74.3 25.7 10.3 15.4 1997 1,609,831 17.9 1,159,003 14.3 450,829 28.5 175,832 25.3 274,997 30.6 100.0 72.0 28.0 10.9 17.1 1998 1,766,181 9.7 1,252,575 8.1 513,607 13.9 189,681 7.9 323,926 17.8 100.0 70.9 29.1 10.7 18.3 1999 1,897,234 7.4 1,316,585 5.1 580,649 13.1 199,862 5.4 380,787 17.6 100.0 69.4 30.6 10.5 20.1 2000 2,053,821 8.3 1,397,217 6.1 656,604 13.1 211,365 5.8 445,239 16.9 100.0 68.0 32.0 10.3 21.7 2001 1,986,059-3.3 1,384,260-0.9 601,799-8.3 202,163-4.4 399,636-10.2 100.0 69.7 30.3 10.2 20.1 2002 1,996,651 0.5 1,413,070 2.1 583,582-3.0 201,249-0.5 382,333-4.3 100.0 70.8 29.2 10.1 19.1 2003 2,055,862 3.0 1,472,541 4.2 583,321 0.0 201,026-0.1 382,295 0.0 100.0 71.6 28.4 9.8 18.6 2004 2,210,485 7.5 1,557,690 5.8 652,795 11.9 218,199 8.5 434,596 13.7 100.0 70.5 29.5 9.9 19.7 2005 2,340,995 5.9 1,610,565 3.4 730,430 11.9 235,433 7.9 494,997 13.9 100.0 68.8 31.2 10.1 21.1 2006 2,544,390 8.7 1,729,477 7.4 814,913 11.6 251,621 6.9 563,292 13.8 100.0 68.0 32.0 9.9 22.1 2007 2,696,835 6.0 1,817,910 5.1 878,925 7.9 264,745 5.2 614,180 9.0 100.0 67.4 32.6 9.8 22.8 2008 2,830,420 5.0 1,930,440 6.2 899,980 2.4 272,221 2.8 627,758 2.2 100.0 68.2 31.8 9.6 22.2 2009 2,568,103-9.3 1,820,622-5.7 747,480-16.9 224,436-17.6 523,044-16.7 100.0 70.9 29.1 8.7 20.4 2010 2,600,823 1.3 1,817,498-0.2 783,325 4.8 266,920 18.9 516,405-1.3 100.0 69.9 30.1 10.3 19.9 2011 2,804,154 7.8 1,872,916 3.0 931,238 18.9 306,890 15.0 624,348 20.9 100.0 66.8 33.2 10.9 22.3 2012 2,930,470 4.5 1,902,365 1.6 1,028,105 10.4 331,402 8.0 696,703 11.6 100.0 64.9 35.1 11.3 23.8 2013 2,878,597-1.8 1,807,464-5.0 1,071,133 4.2 338,240 2.1 732,893 5.2 100.0 62.8 37.2 11.8 25.5 2014 2,950,159 2.5 1,830,117 1.3 1,120,042 4.6 346,371 2.4 773,670 5.6 100.0 62.0 38.0 11.7 26.2 2015 3,120,387 5.8 1,910,460 4.4 1,209,928 8.0 497,880 43.7 712,047-8.0 100.0 61.2 38.8 16.0 22.8 2016 3,383,235 8.4 2,038,424 6.7 1,344,811 11.1 556,717 11.8 788,094 10.7 100.0 60.3 39.7 16.5 23.3 2017 3,762,854 11.2 2,199,337 7.9 1,563,517 16.3 637,034 14.4 926,483 17.6 100.0 58.4 41.6 16.9 24.6 2018 4,161,077 10.6 2,371,756 7.8 1,789,321 14.4 712,470 11.8 1,076,851 16.2 100.0 57.0 43.0 17.1 25.9 2019 4,543,630 9.2 2,533,986 6.8 2,009,644 12.3 783,864 10.0 1,225,780 13.8 100.0 55.8 44.2 17.3 27.0 2020 4,930,648 8.5 2,688,189 6.1 2,242,460 11.6 870,076 11.0 1,372,383 12.0 100.0 54.5 45.5 17.6 27.8 B-15
B-8. Formación Bruta de Capital Fijo Trimestral por Origen y Tipo de Bien: Escenario Base 2013-2014 (Millones de pesos a precios de 2008) Sector de la Maquinaria y Equipo Estructura Porcentual TOTAL! Años Construcción Suma Nacional Importado Cons- Maquinaria y Equipo Pesos Var.% Pesos Var.% Pesos Var.% Pesos Var.% Pesos Var.% TOTAL trucción Total Nacional Importado 2011 2,804,154 7.8 1,872,916 3.0 931,238 18.9 306,890 15.0 624,348 20.9 100.0 66.8 33.2 10.9 22.3 I 2,591,602 7.6 1,743,159 0.4 848,443 25.9 288,319 23.0 560,124 27.5 100.0 67.3 32.7 11.1 21.6 II 2,719,159 7.7 1,809,371 1.2 909,789 23.4 295,946 19.7 613,842 25.2 100.0 66.5 33.5 10.9 22.6 III 2,861,819 8.7 1,898,779 3.8 963,040 19.8 310,170 14.9 652,870 22.3 100.0 66.3 33.7 10.8 22.8 IV 3,044,036 7.4 2,040,355 6.4 1,003,681 9.3 333,124 5.4 670,557 11.3 100.0 67.0 33.0 10.9 22.0 2012 2,930,470 4.5 1,902,365 1.6 1,028,105 10.4 331,402 8.0 696,703 11.6 100.0 64.9 35.1 11.3 23.8 I 2,745,166 5.9 1,782,172 2.2 962,994 13.5 302,153 4.8 660,841 18.0 100.0 64.9 35.1 11.0 24.1 II 2,853,108 4.9 1,866,631 3.2 986,477 8.4 309,785 4.7 676,692 10.2 100.0 65.4 34.6 10.9 23.7 III 2,976,148 4.0 1,932,759 1.8 1,043,388 8.3 345,874 11.5 697,514 6.8 100.0 64.9 35.1 11.6 23.4 IV 3,147,459 3.4 2,027,898-0.6 1,119,560 11.5 367,796 10.4 751,764 12.1 100.0 64.4 35.6 11.7 23.9 2013 2,878,597-1.8 1,807,464-5.0 1,071,133 4.2 338,240 2.1 732,893 5.2 100.0 62.8 37.2 11.8 25.5 I 2,718,286-1.0 1,717,055-3.7 1,001,231 4.0 320,328 6.0 680,903 3.0 100.0 63.2 36.8 11.8 25.0 II 2,875,954 0.8 1,790,157-4.1 1,085,797 10.1 325,498 5.1 760,299 12.4 100.0 62.2 37.8 11.3 26.4 III 2,867,098-3.7 1,800,069-6.9 1,067,029 2.3 347,551 0.5 719,478 3.1 100.0 62.8 37.2 12.1 25.1 IV 3,053,050-3.0 1,922,575-5.2 1,130,475 1.0 359,585-2.2 770,890 2.5 100.0 63.0 37.0 11.8 25.2 2014 2,950,159 2.5 1,830,117 1.3 1,120,042 4.6 346,371 2.4 773,670 5.6 100.0 62.0 38.0 11.7 26.2 I 2,696,759-0.8 1,660,485-3.3 1,036,274 3.5 314,619-1.8 721,655 6.0 100.0 61.6 38.4 11.7 26.8 II e/ 2,859,662-0.6 1,760,277-1.7 1,099,384 1.3 331,014 1.7 768,371 1.1 100.0 61.6 38.4 11.6 26.9 III e/ 2,995,887 4.5 1,885,013 4.7 1,110,874 4.1 361,527 4.0 749,347 4.2 100.0 62.9 37.1 12.1 25.0 IV e/ 3,248,328 6.4 2,014,695 4.8 1,233,634 9.1 378,325 5.2 855,309 11.0 100.0 62.0 38.0 11.6 26.3 Fuente: INEGI. Sistema de Cuentas Nacionales de México. e/ Estimación Modelo Prospectivo de la Economía Mexicana MOPEM. B-16
B-9. Formación Bruta de Capital Fijo Anual por Tipo de Bien y de Comprador: Escenario Base 2014-2020 (Millones de pesos a precios de 2008) Años Inversión Total Privada Pública Total Construcción Maquinaria Total Construcción Maquinaria Total Construcción Maquinaria Pesos Var.% Pesos Var.% Pesos Var.% Pesos Var.% Pesos Var.% Pesos Var.% Pesos Var.% Pesos Var.% Pesos Var.% 1980 1,530,910 13.9 1,110,758 11.2 420,152 22.1 879,865 11.9 644,311 6.7 235,555 29.4 651,045 16.8 466,448 18.0 184,597 13.9 1981 1,755,936 14.7 1,246,493 12.2 509,443 21.3 959,461 9.0 687,236 6.7 272,225 15.6 796,475 22.3 559,257 19.9 237,218 28.5 1982 1,531,821-12.8 1,180,615-5.3 351,206-31.1 882,290-8.0 680,818-0.9 201,473-26.0 649,531-18.4 499,797-10.6 149,734-36.9 1983 1,155,884-24.5 944,434-20.0 211,450-39.8 739,017-16.2 604,933-11.1 134,084-33.4 416,867-35.8 339,501-32.1 77,366-48.3 1984 1,220,359 5.6 984,683 4.3 235,677 11.5 786,774 6.5 637,260 5.3 149,514 11.5 433,585 4.0 347,422 2.3 86,162 11.4 1985 1,300,182 6.5 1,030,294 4.6 269,888 14.5 863,203 9.7 686,734 7.8 176,469 18.0 436,980 0.8 343,560-1.1 93,420 8.4 1986 1,166,205-10.3 936,517-9.1 229,689-14.9 791,404-8.3 641,260-6.6 150,144-14.9 374,801-14.2 295,257-14.1 79,544-14.9 1987 1,184,543 1.6 972,246 3.8 212,297-7.6 854,842 8.0 700,468 9.2 154,374 2.8 329,701-12.0 271,777-8.0 57,923-27.2 1988 1,201,448 1.4 959,365-1.3 242,083 14.0 885,059 3.5 689,778-1.5 195,281 26.5 316,390-4.0 269,588-0.8 46,802-19.2 1989 1,275,671 6.2 999,937 4.2 275,734 13.9 949,126 7.2 738,287 7.0 210,840 8.0 326,545 3.2 261,651-2.9 64,894 38.7 1990 1,385,110 8.6 1,057,375 5.7 327,734 18.9 1,016,269 7.1 751,710 1.8 264,559 25.5 368,840 13.0 305,665 16.8 63,175-2.6 1991 1,474,539 6.5 1,104,037 4.4 370,503 13.0 1,121,867 10.4 811,087 7.9 310,780 17.5 352,673-4.4 292,950-4.2 59,723-5.5 1992 1,624,494 10.2 1,205,303 9.2 419,192 13.1 1,289,181 14.9 924,810 14.0 364,370 17.2 335,314-4.9 280,492-4.3 54,822-8.2 1993 1,395,641-14.1 1,091,383-9.5 304,257-27.4 814,876-36.8 532,462-42.4 282,414-22.5 580,765 73.2 558,921 99.3 21,844-60.2 1994 1,575,604 12.9 1,223,142 12.1 352,462 15.8 962,403 18.1 636,064 19.5 326,338 15.6 613,202 5.6 587,078 5.0 26,124 19.6 1995 1,176,832-25.3 920,217-24.8 256,616-27.2 562,345-41.6 326,678-48.6 235,667-27.8 614,487 0.2 593,539 1.1 20,949-19.8 1996 1,365,318 16.0 1,014,412 10.2 350,906 36.7 743,860 32.3 419,425 28.4 324,434 37.7 621,459 1.1 594,987 0.2 26,472 26.4 1997 1,609,831 17.9 1,159,003 14.3 450,829 28.5 932,137 25.3 509,102 21.4 423,035 30.4 677,695 9.0 649,901 9.2 27,794 5.0 1998 1,766,181 9.7 1,252,575 8.1 513,607 13.9 1,108,266 18.9 624,206 22.6 484,060 14.4 657,915-2.9 628,368-3.3 29,546 6.3 1999 1,897,234 7.4 1,316,585 5.1 580,649 13.1 1,294,997 16.8 745,726 19.5 549,272 13.5 602,236-8.5 570,859-9.2 31,377 6.2 2000 2,053,821 8.3 1,397,217 6.1 656,604 13.1 1,493,365 15.3 875,305 17.4 618,060 12.5 560,456-6.9 521,912-8.6 38,544 22.8 2001 1,986,059-3.3 1,384,260-0.9 601,799-8.3 1,519,554 1.8 945,052 8.0 574,502-7.0 466,505-16.8 439,208-15.8 27,297-29.2 2002 1,996,651 0.5 1,413,070 2.1 583,582-3.0 1,574,302 3.6 1,021,373 8.1 552,928-3.8 422,349-9.5 391,696-10.8 30,653 12.3 2003 2,055,862 3.0 1,472,541 4.2 583,321 0.0 1,607,056 2.1 1,072,234 5.0 534,821-3.3 448,806 6.3 400,307 2.2 48,499 58.2 2004 2,210,486 7.5 1,557,690 5.8 652,795 11.9 1,735,682 8.0 1,126,624 5.1 609,058 13.9 474,804 5.8 431,067 7.7 43,737-9.8 2005 2,340,995 5.9 1,610,565 3.4 730,430 11.9 1,821,449 4.9 1,154,801 2.5 666,649 9.5 519,545 9.4 455,764 5.7 63,781 45.8 2006 2,544,390 8.7 1,729,477 7.4 814,913 11.6 1,997,410 9.7 1,257,005 8.9 740,405 11.1 546,981 5.3 472,472 3.7 74,508 16.8 2007 2,696,835 6.0 1,817,910 5.1 878,925 7.9 2,132,131 6.7 1,304,376 3.8 827,756 11.8 564,704 3.2 513,535 8.7 51,169-31.3 2008 2,830,420 5.0 1,930,440 6.2 899,980 2.4 2,143,456 0.5 1,319,373 1.1 824,083-0.4 686,964 21.7 611,068 19.0 75,896 48.3 2009 2,568,103-9.3 1,820,622-5.7 747,480-16.9 1,875,390-12.5 1,182,401-10.4 692,989-15.9 692,713 0.8 638,221 4.4 54,492-28.2 2010 2,600,823 1.3 1,817,498-0.2 783,325 4.8 1,911,276 1.9 1,200,349 1.5 710,928 2.6 689,546-0.5 617,149-3.3 72,397 32.9 2011 2,804,154 7.8 1,872,916 3.0 931,238 18.9 2,142,622 12.1 1,288,127 7.3 854,495 20.2 661,532-4.1 584,789-5.2 76,743 6.0 2012 2,930,470 4.5 1,902,365 1.6 1,028,105 10.4 2,331,648 8.8 1,366,043 6.0 965,605 13.0 598,822-9.5 536,322-8.3 62,500-18.6 2013 2,878,597-1.8 1,807,464-5.0 1,071,133 4.2 2,301,410-1.3 1,314,681-3.8 986,729 2.2 577,187-3.6 492,783-8.1 84,404 35.0 2014 2,950,159 2.5 1,830,117 1.3 1,120,042 4.6 2,362,504 2.7 1,330,377 1.2 1,032,127 4.6 587,655 1.8 499,740 1.4 87,915 4.2 2015 3,120,387 5.8 1,910,460 4.4 1,209,928 8.0 2,507,773 6.1 1,394,727 4.8 1,113,046 7.8 612,614 4.2 515,732 3.2 96,882 10.2 2016 3,383,235 8.4 2,038,424 6.7 1,344,811 11.1 2,734,531 9.0 1,497,937 7.4 1,236,594 11.1 648,704 5.9 540,487 4.8 108,217 11.7 2017 3,762,854 11.2 2,199,337 7.9 1,563,517 16.3 3,066,416 12.1 1,628,258 8.7 1,438,158 16.3 696,438 7.4 571,079 5.7 125,359 15.8 2018 4,161,077 10.6 2,371,756 7.8 1,789,321 14.4 3,423,908 11.7 1,775,778 9.1 1,648,130 14.6 737,169 5.8 595,978 4.4 141,192 12.6 2019 4,543,630 9.2 2,533,986 6.8 2,009,644 12.3 3,766,786 10.0 1,914,289 7.8 1,852,498 12.4 776,844 5.4 619,698 4.0 157,146 11.3 2020 4,930,648 8.5 2,688,189 6.1 2,242,460 11.6 4,116,788 9.3 2,048,289 7.0 2,068,499 11.7 813,861 4.8 639,900 3.3 173,961 10.7 B-17
B-10. Formación Bruta de Capital Fijo Trimestral por Tipo de Bien y de Comprador: Escenario Base 2013-2014 (Millones de pesos a precios de 2008) Años Inversión Total Privada Pública Total Construcción Maquinaria Total Construcción Maquinaria Total Construcción Maquinaria Pesos Var.% Pesos Var.% Pesos Var.% Pesos Var.% Pesos Var.% Pesos Var.% Pesos Var.% Pesos Var.% Pesos Var.% 2011 2,804,154 7.8 1,872,916 3.0 931,238 18.9 2,142,622 12.1 1,288,127 7.3 854,495 20.2 661,532-4.1 584,789-5.2 76,743 6.0 I 2,591,602 7.6 1,743,159 0.4 848,443 25.9 1,968,051 9.9 1,189,614 0.9 778,437 27.5 623,551 0.7 553,545-0.5 70,006 11.0 II 2,719,159 7.7 1,809,371 1.2 909,789 23.4 2,081,460 12.0 1,246,017 4.7 835,443 24.8 637,699-4.2 563,354-5.7 74,346 9.4 III 2,861,819 8.7 1,898,779 3.8 963,040 19.8 2,191,239 13.1 1,307,692 8.4 883,548 21.1 670,579-3.8 591,087-5.1 79,492 7.5 IV 3,044,036 7.4 2,040,355 6.4 1,003,681 9.3 2,329,739 13.2 1,409,185 15.0 920,554 10.4 714,297-8.0 631,171-8.8 83,127-1.8 2012 2,930,470 4.5 1,902,365 1.6 1,028,105 10.4 2,331,648 8.8 1,366,043 6.0 965,605 13.0 598,822-9.5 536,322-8.3 62,500-18.6 I 2,745,166 5.9 1,782,172 2.2 962,994 13.5 2,173,552 10.4 1,269,143 6.7 904,409 16.2 571,614-8.3 513,029-7.3 58,585-16.3 II 2,853,108 4.9 1,866,631 3.2 986,477 8.4 2,256,948 8.4 1,330,347 6.8 926,601 10.9 596,160-6.5 536,283-4.8 59,876-19.5 III 2,976,148 4.0 1,932,759 1.8 1,043,388 8.3 2,379,092 8.6 1,398,992 7.0 980,100 10.9 597,056-11.0 533,768-9.7 63,289-20.4 IV 3,147,459 3.4 2,027,898-0.6 1,119,560 11.5 2,517,000 8.0 1,465,690 4.0 1,051,311 14.2 630,458-11.7 562,209-10.9 68,250-17.9 2013 2,878,597-1.8 1,807,464-5.0 1,071,133 4.2 2,301,410-1.3 1,314,681-3.8 986,729 2.2 577,187-3.6 492,783-8.1 84,404 35.0 I 2,718,286-1.0 1,717,055-3.7 1,001,231 4.0 2,184,217 0.5 1,261,902-0.6 922,315 2.0 534,069-6.6 455,153-11.3 78,916 34.7 II 2,875,954 0.8 1,790,157-4.1 1,085,797 10.1 2,312,510 2.5 1,311,520-1.4 1,000,989 8.0 563,444-5.5 478,636-10.7 84,807 41.6 III 2,867,098-3.7 1,800,069-6.9 1,067,029 2.3 2,289,141-3.8 1,307,389-6.5 981,751 0.2 577,957-3.2 492,680-7.7 85,277 34.7 IV 3,053,050-3.0 1,922,575-5.2 1,130,475 1.0 2,419,773-3.9 1,377,913-6.0 1,041,860-0.9 633,277 0.4 544,662-3.1 88,616 29.8 2014 2,950,159 2.5 1,830,117 1.3 1,120,042 4.6 2,362,504 2.7 1,330,377 1.2 1,032,127 4.6 587,655 1.8 499,740 1.4 87,915 4.2 I 2,696,759-0.8 1,660,485-3.3 1,036,274 3.5 2,208,271 1.1 1,248,784-1.0 959,487 4.0 488,488-8.5 411,701-9.5 76,787-2.7 II e/ 2,859,662-0.6 1,760,277-1.7 1,099,384 1.3 2,306,497-0.3 1,295,756-1.2 1,010,741 1.0 553,164-1.8 464,521-2.9 88,643 4.5 III e/ 2,995,887 4.5 1,885,013 4.7 1,110,874 4.1 2,380,936 4.0 1,360,639 4.1 1,020,296 3.9 614,952 6.4 524,374 6.4 90,578 6.2 IV e/ 3,248,328 6.4 2,014,695 4.8 1,233,634 9.1 2,554,312 5.6 1,416,329 2.8 1,137,983 9.2 694,016 9.6 598,365 9.9 95,651 7.9 Fuente: INEGI. Sistema de Cuentas Nacionales de México. e/ Estimación Modelo Prospectivo de la Economía Mexicana MOPEM. B-18
Sección: B-V. Cuadro B-11. PIB Trimestral Nominal y Real, Deflactor del PIB y Series Ajustadas por Estacionalidad, 2005-2014
B-11. PIB Trimestral, Deflactor del PIB y Series Ajustadas por Estacionalidad: Escenario Base 2013-2014 (Millones de pesos) Años! PIB Nominal Deflactor del PIB PIB Real PIB Real PIB Real Serie original Serie original Serie original Corregida por efecto calendario Serie desestacionalizada Precios Var. % Indice Var. % Precios Var. % Precios Var. % Precios Var. % Corrientes anual 2008=100 anual de 2008 anual de 2008 anual de 2008 trimestral 2005-1 9,024,574 8.4 83.2 6.8 10,842,331 1.5 10,962,050 3.7 11,052,133 0.7 2005-2 9,391,885 8.9 84.0 5.2 11,179,667 3.5 11,085,754 2.3 11,047,267 0.0 2005-3 9,447,420 8.9 85.4 5.3 11,067,923 3.4 11,067,923 3.4 11,184,939 1.2 2005-4 9,901,521 8.3 85.7 4.5 11,552,049 3.7 11,552,049 3.7 11,369,002 1.6 2006-1 10,097,729 11.9 88.0 5.8 11,469,030 5.8 11,459,302 4.5 11,570,377 1.8 2006-2 10,552,368 12.4 90.0 7.1 11,725,051 4.9 11,764,913 6.1 11,728,705 1.4 2006-3 10,603,134 12.2 90.9 6.5 11,665,657 5.4 11,665,657 5.4 11,776,250 0.4 2006-4 10,899,227 10.1 90.7 5.8 12,014,949 4.0 12,014,949 4.0 11,807,595 0.3 2007-1 10,923,208 8.2 92.5 5.1 11,804,324 2.9 11,794,312 2.9 11,934,982 1.1 2007-2 11,258,213 6.7 93.5 3.8 12,047,218 2.7 12,088,175 2.7 12,062,809 1.1 2007-3 11,402,682 7.5 94.8 4.2 12,033,956 3.2 12,033,956 3.2 12,129,420 0.6 2007-4 12,028,950 10.4 96.5 6.4 12,464,910 3.7 12,464,910 3.7 12,224,299 0.8 2008-1 11,836,739 8.4 98.2 6.1 12,057,842 2.1 12,067,488 2.3 12,242,322 0.1 2008-2 12,480,722 10.9 100.5 7.5 12,418,358 3.1 12,314,039 1.9 12,305,550 0.5 2008-3 12,376,958 8.5 101.2 6.8 12,225,310 1.6 12,225,310 1.6 12,300,093 0.0 2008-4 12,333,035 2.5 100.1 3.7 12,325,944-1.1 12,325,944-1.1 12,067,483-1.9 2009-1 11,727,045-0.9 102.6 4.5 11,427,213-5.2 11,417,520-5.4 11,599,698-3.9 2009-2 11,789,875-5.5 103.1 2.6 11,432,364-7.9 11,471,232-6.8 11,486,270-1.0 2009-3 12,084,469-2.4 103.6 2.3 11,666,112-4.6 11,666,112-4.6 11,722,768 2.1 2009-4 12,774,172 3.6 104.7 4.7 12,197,308-1.0 12,197,308-1.0 11,920,185 1.7 2010-1 12,750,150 8.7 107.6 4.8 11,849,859 3.7 11,874,875 4.0 12,076,667 1.3 2010-2 13,081,655 11.0 107.2 3.9 12,203,118 6.7 12,208,446 6.4 12,241,933 1.4 2010-3 13,299,160 10.1 108.1 4.4 12,300,747 5.4 12,300,747 5.4 12,354,042 0.9 2010-4 13,997,278 9.6 109.7 4.8 12,756,911 4.6 12,756,911 4.6 12,451,042 0.8 2011-1 13,916,943 9.2 112.4 4.5 12,377,242 4.5 12,366,743 4.1 12,579,053 1.0 2011-2 14,166,987 8.3 112.5 4.9 12,597,463 3.2 12,640,291 3.5 12,692,025 0.9 2011-3 14,513,567 9.1 113.3 4.8 12,813,924 4.2 12,813,924 4.2 12,869,112 1.4 2011-4 15,602,560 11.5 117.2 6.8 13,308,342 4.3 13,308,342 4.3 12,972,296 0.8 2012-1 15,277,111 9.8 117.7 4.7 12,982,273 4.9 12,839,863 3.8 13,063,473 0.7 2012-2 15,405,174 8.7 117.0 4.1 13,164,150 4.5 13,208,905 4.5 13,272,757 1.6 2012-3 15,584,705 7.4 117.9 4.1 13,222,137 3.2 13,222,137 3.2 13,282,746 0.1 2012-4 16,193,058 3.8 117.7 0.4 13,763,649 3.4 13,763,649 3.4 13,403,753 0.9 2013-1 15,659,556 2.5 119.9 1.9 13,064,767 0.6 13,209,025 2.9 13,436,904 0.2 2013-2 15,921,660 3.4 119.0 1.7 13,374,408 1.6 13,262,058 0.4 13,338,083-0.7 2013-3 16,111,808 3.4 120.2 2.0 13,406,776 1.4 13,406,776 1.4 13,467,580 1.0 2013-4 16,724,584 3.3 120.7 2.6 13,854,994 0.7 13,854,994 0.7 13,485,493 0.1 2014-1 16,451,895 5.1 123.7 3.2 13,304,823 1.8 13,293,538 0.6 13,522,870 0.3 2014-2 e/ 16,770,303 5.3 123.0 3.3 13,638,970 2.0 13,678,970 3.1 13,660,920 1.0 2014-3 e/ 17,170,009 6.6 123.5 2.8 13,904,563 3.7 13,904,563 3.7 13,952,742 2.1 2014-4 e/ 17,781,055 6.3 123.2 2.1 14,432,388 4.2 14,432,388 4.2 14,172,565 1.6 Fuente: INEGI, Sistema de Cuentas Nacionales de México. e/ Estimación Modelo Prospectivo de la Economía Mexicana MOPEM. B-19
C. Producto Interno Bruto por Sectores Económicos Cuadro C-1. PIB Anual y por Grandes Sectores de Actividad Económica 1980-2020 Cuadro C-2. PIB Anual del Sector Industrial por Actividad Económica 1980-2020 Cuadro C-3. PIB Anual del Sector Servicios por Actividad Económica 1980-2020 Cuadro C-4. PIB Anual de la Industria Manufacturera por Actividad Económica 1980-2020 Cuadro C-5. PIB Anual del Sector Industrial por Subsectores y Ramas Económicas 1980-2020 Cuadro C-6. PIB Anual del Sector Servicios por Subsectores y Ramas Económicas 1980-2020 Cuadro C-7. PIB Trimestral y por Grandes Sectores de Actividad Económica 2013-2014 Cuadro C-8. PIB Trimestral del Sector Industrial por Actividad Económica 2013-2014 Cuadro C-9. PIB Trimestral del Sector Servicios por Actividad Económica 2013-2014 Cuadro C-10. PIB Trimestral de la Industria Manufacturera por Actividad Económica 2013-2014 Cuadro C-11. PIB Trimestral del Sector Industrial por Subsectores y Ramas Económicas 2013-2014 Cuadro C-12. PIB Trimestral del Sector Servicios por Subsectores y Ramas Económicas 2013-2014
C-1. PIB Anual Total y por Grandes Sectores de Actividad Económica: Escenario Base 2014-2020 (Millones de pesos de 2008) Años! PIB Total Impuestos Valor PIB Agropecuario PIB Industrial PIB Servicios Pesos Var.% Netos Agregado Bruto Pesos Var.% Pesos Var.% Pesos Var.% 1980 6,112,050 9.2 157,140 5,954,910 246,303 7.2 2,372,847 11.5 3,288,256 8.8 1981 6,633,140 8.5 170,537 6,462,602 265,412 7.8 2,628,510 10.8 3,560,851 8.3 1982 6,598,594-0.5 169,649 6,428,945 259,416-2.3 2,627,147-0.1 3,610,421 1.4 1983 6,368,539-3.5 163,734 6,204,805 264,608 2.0 2,410,180-8.3 3,596,704-0.4 1984 6,585,758 3.4 169,319 6,416,439 268,339 1.4 2,515,015 4.3 3,710,835 3.2 1985 6,729,834 2.2 173,023 6,556,811 276,459 3.0 2,598,403 3.3 3,740,128 0.8 1986 6,522,625-3.1 167,696 6,354,930 272,776-1.3 2,446,266-5.9 3,686,345-1.4 1987 6,634,974 1.7 170,584 6,464,389 276,196 1.3 2,536,496 3.7 3,733,959 1.3 1988 6,720,118 1.3 172,773 6,547,344 266,845-3.4 2,578,789 1.7 3,777,483 1.2 1989 6,996,013 4.1 179,867 6,816,146 263,080-1.4 2,676,946 3.8 3,917,134 3.7 1990 7,358,110 5.2 189,176 7,168,934 282,186 7.3 2,831,870 5.8 4,083,694 4.3 1991 7,668,237 4.2 197,149 7,471,087 288,511 2.2 2,900,329 2.4 4,281,023 4.8 1992 7,939,777 3.5 204,131 7,735,646 282,082-2.2 3,002,201 3.5 4,433,827 3.6 1993 8,132,915 2.4 209,096 7,923,819 295,607 4.8 3,017,474 0.5 4,610,738 4.0 1994 8,517,387 4.7 218,981 8,298,406 305,806 3.5 3,153,261 4.5 4,839,339 5.0 1995 8,026,897-5.8 206,370 7,820,527 303,126-0.9 2,894,599-8.2 4,622,802-4.5 1996 8,498,459 5.9 218,494 8,279,965 318,216 5.0 3,165,539 9.4 4,796,210 3.8 1997 9,090,197 7.0 233,708 8,856,489 319,109 0.3 3,462,150 9.4 5,075,230 5.8 1998 9,517,604 4.7 244,696 9,272,908 324,162 1.6 3,655,577 5.6 5,293,169 4.3 1999 9,771,440 2.7 251,222 9,520,217 335,935 3.6 3,715,256 1.6 5,469,027 3.3 2000 10,288,982 5.3 264,528 10,024,453 341,617 1.7 3,890,134 4.7 5,792,703 5.9 2001 10,226,682-0.6 262,927 9,963,756 350,545 2.6 3,832,380-1.5 5,780,831-0.2 2002 10,240,173 0.1 263,273 9,976,900 349,156-0.4 3,832,918 0.0 5,794,825 0.2 2003 10,385,857 1.4 267,019 10,118,838 359,230 2.9 3,884,165 1.3 5,875,443 1.4 2004 10,832,004 4.3 278,292 10,553,712 372,649 3.7 4,043,151 4.1 6,137,912 4.5 2005 11,160,493 3.0 287,007 10,873,486 354,836-4.8 4,142,410 2.5 6,376,239 3.9 2006 11,718,672 5.0 301,379 11,417,293 379,391 6.9 4,322,843 4.4 6,715,059 5.3 2007 12,087,602 3.1 311,150 11,776,452 387,883 2.2 4,385,686 1.5 7,002,883 4.3 2008 12,256,863 1.4 315,664 11,941,199 392,984 1.3 4,365,207-0.5 7,183,008 2.6 2009 11,680,749-4.7 300,809 11,379,940 383,159-2.5 4,094,017-6.2 6,902,764-3.9 2010 12,277,659 5.1 316,480 11,961,179 386,056 0.8 4,280,609 4.6 7,294,514 5.7 2011 12,774,243 4.0 328,823 12,445,420 377,193-2.3 4,427,598 3.4 7,640,629 4.7 2012 13,283,052 4.0 341,975 12,941,077 404,479 7.2 4,547,999 2.7 7,988,600 4.6 2013 13,425,236 1.1 345,636 13,079,601 405,640 0.3 4,516,803-0.7 8,157,158 2.1 2014 13,820,186 2.9 355,849 13,464,337 409,387 0.9 4,628,814 2.5 8,426,137 3.3 2015 14,392,811 4.1 370,656 14,022,155 400,846-2.1 4,826,424 4.3 8,794,884 4.4 2016 15,146,156 5.2 390,040 14,756,116 412,742 3.0 5,094,242 5.5 9,249,132 5.2 2017 16,060,250 6.0 413,550 15,646,700 403,221-2.3 5,463,936 7.3 9,779,542 5.7 2018 16,999,241 5.8 437,710 16,561,531 416,122 3.2 5,844,328 7.0 10,301,082 5.3 2019 17,883,685 5.2 460,500 17,423,185 412,074-1.0 6,193,852 6.0 10,817,260 5.0 2020 18,751,667 4.9 482,823 18,268,844 423,224 2.7 6,528,444 5.4 11,317,176 4.6 C-1
C-2. PIB Anual del Sector Industrial por Actividad Económica: Escenario Base 2014-2020 (Millones de pesos de 2008) PIB Sector Industrial Años Total Minería Manufacturas Construcción Electricidad Pesos Var.% Pesos Var.% Pesos Var.% Pesos Var.% Pesos Var.% 1980 2,372,847 11.5 672,006 21.7 1,073,030 5.8 560,739 12.4 67,072 6.3 1981 2,628,510 10.8 767,822 14.3 1,144,267 6.6 641,562 14.4 74,860 11.6 1982 2,627,147-0.1 833,453 8.5 1,115,342-2.5 596,258-7.1 82,094 9.7 1983 2,410,180-8.3 810,378-2.8 1,034,930-7.2 481,847-19.2 83,025 1.1 1984 2,515,015 4.3 830,248 2.5 1,089,886 5.3 507,702 5.4 87,179 5.0 1985 2,598,403 3.3 829,792-0.1 1,152,673 5.8 521,513 2.7 94,425 8.3 1986 2,446,266-5.9 786,874-5.2 1,093,826-5.1 467,707-10.3 97,859 3.6 1987 2,536,496 3.7 825,992 5.0 1,128,210 3.1 480,775 2.8 101,519 3.7 1988 2,578,789 1.7 827,913 0.2 1,164,418 3.2 478,826-0.4 107,632 6.0 1989 2,676,946 3.8 825,504-0.3 1,251,813 7.5 487,186 1.7 112,443 4.5 1990 2,831,870 5.8 853,520 3.4 1,331,022 6.3 531,977 9.2 115,352 2.6 1991 2,900,329 2.4 862,423 1.0 1,364,162 2.5 557,947 4.9 115,797 0.4 1992 3,002,201 3.5 873,247 1.3 1,414,360 3.7 595,244 6.7 119,349 3.1 1993 3,017,474 0.5 887,277 1.6 1,399,033-1.1 608,861 2.3 122,303 2.5 1994 3,153,261 4.5 894,508 0.8 1,442,957 3.1 685,325 12.6 130,471 6.7 1995 2,894,599-8.2 884,310-1.1 1,367,675-5.2 509,442-25.7 133,172 2.1 1996 3,165,539 9.4 964,807 9.1 1,495,132 9.3 566,263 11.2 139,337 4.6 1997 3,462,150 9.4 1,013,369 5.0 1,652,075 10.5 649,096 14.6 147,610 5.9 1998 3,655,577 5.6 1,039,744 2.6 1,769,095 7.1 691,561 6.5 155,176 5.1 1999 3,715,256 1.6 998,138-4.0 1,817,048 2.7 731,040 5.7 169,028 8.9 2000 3,890,134 4.7 1,022,932 2.5 1,922,051 5.8 774,359 5.9 170,791 1.0 2001 3,832,380-1.5 1,052,383 2.9 1,862,165-3.1 747,924-3.4 169,908-0.5 2002 3,832,918 0.0 1,052,252 0.0 1,849,633-0.7 763,711 2.1 167,322-1.5 2003 3,884,165 1.3 1,101,350 4.7 1,824,420-1.4 787,139 3.1 171,256 2.4 2004 4,043,151 4.1 1,118,537 1.6 1,889,526 3.6 842,252 7.0 192,836 12.6 2005 4,142,410 2.5 1,119,429 0.1 1,941,123 2.7 872,476 3.6 209,383 8.6 2006 4,322,843 4.4 1,111,413-0.7 2,028,482 4.5 948,296 8.7 234,651 12.1 2007 4,385,686 1.5 1,095,487-1.4 2,047,910 1.0 992,914 4.7 249,375 6.3 2008 4,365,207-0.5 1,054,691-3.7 2,027,255-1.0 1,030,710 3.8 252,552 1.3 2009 4,094,017-6.2 1,012,072-4.0 1,857,907-8.4 968,200-6.1 255,838 1.3 2010 4,280,609 4.6 1,020,993 0.9 2,016,704 8.5 975,507 0.8 267,405 4.5 2011 4,427,598 3.4 1,017,204-0.4 2,109,315 4.6 1,015,099 4.1 285,979 6.9 2012 4,547,999 2.7 1,026,249 0.9 2,193,069 4.0 1,035,854 2.0 292,826 2.4 2013 4,516,803-0.7 1,009,276-1.7 2,224,839 1.4 989,417-4.5 293,271 0.2 2014 4,629,292 2.5 1,009,139 0.0 2,315,280 4.1 1,004,633 1.5 300,240 2.4 2015 4,826,424 4.3 1,025,349 1.6 2,439,815 5.4 1,052,034 4.7 309,226 3.0 2016 5,094,242 5.5 1,052,075 2.6 2,599,545 6.5 1,122,890 6.7 319,733 3.4 2017 5,463,936 7.3 1,114,085 5.9 2,805,867 7.9 1,212,688 8.0 331,297 3.6 2018 5,844,328 7.0 1,181,703 6.1 3,008,916 7.2 1,311,952 8.2 341,756 3.2 2019 6,193,852 6.0 1,225,026 3.7 3,213,005 6.8 1,404,995 7.1 350,826 2.7 2020 6,528,444 5.4 1,267,033 3.4 3,410,961 6.2 1,491,014 6.1 359,436 2.5 C-2
C-3. PIB Anual del Sector Servicios por Actividad Económica: Escenario Base 2014-2020 (Millones de pesos de 2008) Años! PIB Sector Servicios Comercio, Transporte, Almacenaje Servicios Financieros, Servicios Comunales, Total Restaurantes y Hoteles y Comunicaciones Seguros e Inmuebles Sociales y Personales Pesos Var.% Pesos Var.% Pesos Var.% Pesos Var.% Pesos Var.% 1980 3,288,256 8.8 926,476 13.2 332,687 10.9 658,507 4.7 1,370,587 7.5 1981 3,560,851 8.3 1,019,259 10.0 366,152 10.1 703,874 6.9 1,471,566 7.4 1982 3,610,421 1.4 1,014,739-0.4 337,855-7.7 740,030 5.1 1,517,796 3.1 1983 3,596,704-0.4 940,843-7.3 328,960-2.6 770,012 4.1 1,556,889 2.6 1984 3,710,835 3.2 953,113 1.3 345,837 5.1 814,914 5.8 1,596,971 2.6 1985 3,740,128 0.8 951,286-0.2 355,674 2.8 843,362 3.5 1,589,807-0.4 1986 3,686,345-1.4 892,186-6.2 343,106-3.5 874,345 3.7 1,576,708-0.8 1987 3,733,959 1.3 899,849 0.9 352,989 2.9 905,159 3.5 1,575,962 0.0 1988 3,777,483 1.2 914,221 1.6 360,547 2.1 918,013 1.4 1,584,703 0.6 1989 3,917,134 3.7 956,480 4.6 377,429 4.7 950,105 3.5 1,633,119 3.1 1990 4,083,694 4.3 1,015,910 6.2 390,902 3.6 992,345 4.4 1,684,537 3.1 1991 4,281,023 4.8 1,077,714 6.1 404,302 3.4 1,038,970 4.7 1,760,037 4.5 1992 4,433,827 3.6 1,134,825 5.3 425,696 5.3 1,086,593 4.6 1,786,713 1.5 1993 4,610,738 4.0 1,115,928-1.7 449,723 5.6 1,141,042 5.0 1,904,044 6.6 1994 4,839,339 5.0 1,217,268 9.1 479,142 6.5 1,201,013 5.3 1,941,917 2.0 1995 4,622,802-4.5 1,086,085-10.8 450,190-6.0 1,207,641 0.6 1,878,887-3.2 1996 4,796,210 3.8 1,199,580 10.4 481,315 6.9 1,217,512 0.8 1,897,803 1.0 1997 5,075,230 5.8 1,354,514 12.9 524,390 8.9 1,230,431 1.1 1,965,896 3.6 1998 5,293,169 4.3 1,451,162 7.1 555,711 6.0 1,257,894 2.2 2,028,402 3.2 1999 5,469,027 3.3 1,516,397 4.5 582,628 4.8 1,285,352 2.2 2,084,651 2.8 2000 5,792,703 5.9 1,683,292 11.0 624,735 7.2 1,319,325 2.6 2,165,350 3.9 2001 5,780,831-0.2 1,658,216-1.5 618,929-0.9 1,350,663 2.4 2,153,023-0.6 2002 5,794,825 0.2 1,651,678-0.4 614,815-0.7 1,376,958 1.9 2,151,374-0.1 2003 5,875,443 1.4 1,681,963 1.8 614,867 0.0 1,420,338 3.2 2,158,275 0.3 2004 6,137,912 4.5 1,779,876 5.8 638,168 3.8 1,493,107 5.1 2,226,761 3.2 2005 6,376,239 3.9 1,866,229 4.9 650,555 1.9 1,548,423 3.7 2,311,032 3.8 2006 6,715,059 5.3 1,982,570 6.2 677,734 4.2 1,641,050 6.0 2,413,705 4.4 2007 7,002,883 4.3 2,060,861 3.9 701,085 3.4 1,722,687 5.0 2,518,250 4.3 2008 7,183,008 2.6 2,063,763 0.1 700,557-0.1 1,838,926 6.7 2,579,762 2.4 2009 6,902,764-3.9 1,814,588-12.1 650,008-7.2 1,867,976 1.6 2,570,192-0.4 2010 7,294,514 5.7 2,004,943 10.5 700,120 7.7 1,993,162 6.7 2,596,290 1.0 2011 7,640,629 4.7 2,178,883 8.7 728,423 4.0 2,071,827 3.9 2,661,496 2.5 2012 7,988,600 4.6 2,283,726 4.8 758,126 4.1 2,156,309 4.1 2,790,439 4.8 2013 8,157,158 2.1 2,345,218 2.7 769,345 1.5 2,201,540 2.1 2,841,055 1.8 2014 8,426,137 3.3 2,424,915 3.4 791,818 2.9 2,281,423 3.6 2,927,980 3.1 2015 8,794,884 4.4 2,546,012 5.0 834,259 5.4 2,384,173 4.5 3,030,440 3.5 2016 9,249,132 5.2 2,718,594 6.8 887,151 6.3 2,495,139 4.7 3,148,248 3.9 2017 9,779,542 5.7 2,926,869 7.7 949,784 7.1 2,620,275 5.0 3,282,615 4.3 2018 10,301,082 5.3 3,133,865 7.1 1,013,515 6.7 2,742,146 4.7 3,411,557 3.9 2019 10,817,260 5.0 3,345,918 6.8 1,078,177 6.4 2,859,316 4.3 3,533,848 3.6 2020 11,317,176 4.6 3,562,363 6.5 1,141,142 5.8 2,964,275 3.7 3,649,395 3.3 C-3
C-4. PIB Anual de la Industria Manufacturera por Actividad Económica: Escenario Base 2014-2020 (Millones de pesos de 2008) Industria Alimentos, Textiles, Madera Imprenta Años Manufacturera Bebidas y Tabaco Vestidos y Cuero y sus Productos y Editoriales Pesos Var.% Pesos Var.% Pesos Var.% Pesos Var.% Pesos Var.% 1980 1,073,030 5.8 263,284 4.8 114,203 2.2 52,229 6.1 27,015 11.1 1981 1,144,267 6.6 275,013 4.5 120,830 5.8 51,941-0.6 28,677 6.2 1982 1,115,342-2.5 288,241 4.8 115,066-4.8 51,234-1.4 28,721 0.2 1983 1,034,930-7.2 280,472-2.7 108,869-5.4 47,357-7.6 26,053-9.3 1984 1,089,886 5.3 284,378 1.4 110,044 1.1 48,852 3.2 27,370 5.1 1985 1,152,673 5.8 295,991 4.1 113,061 2.7 50,597 3.6 29,979 9.5 1986 1,093,826-5.1 293,611-0.8 107,586-4.8 49,325-2.5 28,846-3.8 1987 1,128,210 3.1 293,996 0.1 102,288-4.9 50,931 3.3 29,119 0.9 1988 1,164,418 3.2 297,352 1.1 103,176 0.9 49,741-2.3 30,455 4.6 1989 1,251,813 7.5 320,918 7.9 108,171 4.8 49,787 0.1 33,415 9.7 1990 1,331,022 6.3 335,472 4.5 114,426 5.8 49,597-0.4 36,102 8.0 1991 1,364,162 2.5 346,287 3.2 117,418 2.6 49,935 0.7 37,489 3.8 1992 1,414,360 3.7 360,424 4.1 117,312-0.1 51,333 2.8 38,784 3.5 1993 1,399,033-1.1 375,655 4.2 114,417-2.5 43,878-14.5 36,906-4.8 1994 1,442,957 3.1 387,106 3.0 113,575-0.7 44,425 1.2 37,823 2.5 1995 1,367,675-5.2 388,310 0.3 102,733-9.5 40,605-8.6 37,365-1.2 1996 1,495,132 9.3 399,782 3.0 113,360 10.3 43,269 6.6 39,697 6.2 1997 1,652,075 10.5 410,927 2.8 120,382 6.2 49,264 13.9 44,245 11.5 1998 1,769,095 7.1 432,920 5.4 122,776 2.0 51,604 4.7 46,605 5.3 1999 1,817,048 2.7 449,141 3.7 124,358 1.3 51,975 0.7 49,210 5.6 2000 1,922,051 5.8 465,499 3.6 128,999 3.7 55,123 6.1 50,245 2.1 2001 1,862,165-3.1 473,084 1.6 119,618-7.3 51,779-6.1 48,977-2.5 2002 1,849,633-0.7 482,268 1.9 115,365-3.6 48,300-6.7 48,621-0.7 2003 1,824,420-1.4 488,339 1.3 107,620-6.7 48,067-0.5 48,433-0.4 2004 1,889,526 3.6 506,715 3.8 109,406 1.7 48,847 1.6 49,925 3.1 2005 1,941,123 2.7 522,765 3.2 106,699-2.5 48,801-0.1 51,219 2.6 2006 2,028,482 4.5 535,307 2.4 108,368 1.6 48,884 0.2 54,290 6.0 2007 2,047,910 1.0 547,744 2.3 105,139-3.0 49,317 0.9 55,459 2.2 2008 2,027,255-1.0 555,064 1.3 102,791-2.2 46,515-5.7 57,170 3.1 2009 1,857,907-8.4 554,117-0.2 95,472-7.1 43,845-5.7 55,851-2.3 2010 2,016,704 8.5 562,265 1.5 101,104 5.9 46,665 6.4 58,907 5.5 2011 2,109,315 4.6 576,989 2.6 99,984-1.1 47,976 2.8 59,258 0.6 2012 2,193,069 4.0 590,398 2.3 100,854 0.9 51,418 7.2 60,545 2.2 2013 2,224,839 1.4 593,783 0.6 102,504 1.6 49,149-4.4 60,478-0.1 2014 2,315,280 4.1 605,071 1.9 102,611 0.1 49,464 0.6 61,955 2.4 2015 2,439,815 5.4 624,792 3.3 105,316 2.6 51,635 4.4 64,148 3.5 2016 2,599,545 6.5 650,466 4.1 108,054 2.6 54,462 5.5 66,814 4.2 2017 2,805,867 7.9 680,252 4.6 111,301 3.0 57,892 6.3 69,987 4.7 2018 3,008,916 7.2 707,150 4.0 114,139 2.5 61,142 5.6 72,888 4.1 2019 3,213,005 6.8 733,233 3.7 116,925 2.4 64,214 5.0 75,685 3.8 2020 3,410,961 6.2 757,450 3.3 119,494 2.2 67,086 4.5 78,347 3.5 C-4 (Continúa)
(Continuación) Químicos, Minerales Industrias Maquinaria Otras Años Petróleo y Caucho No Metálicos Metálicas Básicas y Equipo Industrias Pesos Var.% Pesos Var.% Pesos Var.% Pesos Var.% Pesos Var.% 1980 215,548 9.7 54,681 8.1 118,656 3.5 201,598 9.6 25,816-20.0 1981 237,232 10.1 56,408 3.2 124,700 5.1 220,281 9.3 29,186 13.1 1982 241,787 1.9 55,023-2.5 112,490-9.8 194,734-11.6 28,046-3.9 1983 238,590-1.3 50,777-7.7 105,384-6.3 154,623-20.6 22,804-18.7 1984 253,245 6.1 53,674 5.7 117,359 11.4 169,573 9.7 25,391 11.3 1985 266,907 5.4 57,807 7.7 119,205 1.6 191,638 13.0 27,489 8.3 1986 257,577-3.5 54,089-6.4 111,481-6.5 166,192-13.3 25,117-8.6 1987 268,993 4.4 59,338 9.7 125,807 12.9 173,412 4.3 24,327-3.1 1988 273,946 1.8 58,437-1.5 132,032 4.9 193,937 11.8 25,344 4.2 1989 299,714 9.4 61,214 4.8 135,218 2.4 215,289 11.0 28,086 10.8 1990 312,733 4.3 65,180 6.5 144,976 7.2 239,354 11.2 33,183 18.1 1991 315,757 1.0 67,496 3.6 138,052-4.8 258,802 8.1 32,926-0.8 1992 321,374 1.8 71,759 6.3 140,187 1.5 274,963 6.2 38,223 16.1 1993 308,496-4.0 78,921 10.0 135,662-3.2 269,514-2.0 35,582-6.9 1994 317,728 3.0 82,754 4.9 142,868 5.3 281,350 4.4 35,327-0.7 1995 322,605 1.5 70,317-15.0 133,114-6.8 240,810-14.4 31,817-9.9 1996 337,667 4.7 76,178 8.3 166,006 24.7 282,997 17.5 36,174 13.7 1997 366,025 8.4 83,270 9.3 187,343 12.9 351,966 24.4 38,653 6.9 1998 382,618 4.5 89,772 7.8 198,004 5.7 405,816 15.3 38,980 0.8 1999 380,952-0.4 92,790 3.4 201,689 1.9 426,795 5.2 40,139 3.0 2000 390,334 2.5 96,829 4.4 210,393 4.3 483,403 13.3 41,228 2.7 2001 377,052-3.4 93,414-3.5 192,936-8.3 463,369-4.1 41,936 1.7 2002 382,402 1.4 98,007 4.9 194,879 1.0 437,721-5.5 42,071 0.3 2003 388,031 1.5 97,916-0.1 196,600 0.9 409,243-6.5 40,172-4.5 2004 400,503 3.2 102,190 4.4 207,205 5.4 424,142 3.6 40,593 1.0 2005 405,129 1.2 109,213 6.9 217,117 4.8 437,714 3.2 42,465 4.6 2006 416,116 2.7 115,781 6.0 224,969 3.6 479,707 9.6 45,061 6.1 2007 419,158 0.7 118,151 2.0 219,369-2.5 488,473 1.8 45,099 0.1 2008 410,480-2.1 113,690-3.8 217,238-1.0 478,362-2.1 45,945 1.9 2009 397,264-3.2 102,979-9.4 183,209-15.7 381,284-20.3 43,887-4.5 2010 396,638-0.2 107,780 4.7 203,776 11.2 494,849 29.8 44,719 1.9 2011 397,318 0.2 111,756 3.7 214,273 5.2 554,750 12.1 47,011 5.1 2012 402,607 1.3 114,457 2.4 220,332 2.8 605,313 9.1 47,145 0.3 2013 405,747 0.8 111,517-2.6 220,578 0.1 633,492 4.7 47,592 0.9 2014 414,712 2.2 113,378 1.7 234,250 6.2 683,972 8.0 49,867 4.8 2015 427,343 3.0 117,188 3.4 243,227 3.8 754,454 10.3 51,712 3.7 2016 444,656 4.1 122,532 4.6 254,860 4.8 843,940 11.9 53,760 4.0 2017 465,823 4.8 129,099 5.4 269,092 5.6 965,939 14.5 56,480 5.1 2018 486,122 4.4 135,296 4.8 282,509 5.0 1,090,614 12.9 59,055 4.6 2019 506,284 4.1 141,466 4.6 295,378 4.6 1,218,213 11.7 61,607 4.3 2020 524,594 3.6 147,492 4.3 307,703 4.2 1,344,872 10.4 63,923 3.8 C-5 (Conclusión)
C-5. PIB Anual del Sector Industrial por Subsectores Económicos: Escenario Base 2014-2020 (Millones de pesos de 2008) Minería Electricidad Construcción Total Minería de minerales Generación, Agua y sumistro Construcción Trabajos Años Sector Extracción metálicos y no transmisión de gas por ductos de obras de especializados Industrial de petróleo metálicos, excepto y suministro de al consumidor ingeniería para la Total subsector y gas petróleo y gas Total subsector energía eléctrica final Total subsector Edificación civil construcción Pesos Var.% Pesos Var.% Pesos Var.% Pesos Var.% Pesos Var.% Pesos Var.% Pesos Var.% Pesos Var.% Pesos Var.% Pesos Var.% Pesos Var.% 1980 2,372,847 11.5 672,006 21.7 67,072 6.3 560,739 12.4 1981 2,628,510 10.8 767,822 14.3 74,860 11.6 641,562 14.4 1982 2,627,147-0.1 833,453 8.5 82,094 9.7 596,258-7.1 1983 2,410,180-8.3 810,378-2.8 83,025 1.1 481,847-19.2 1984 2,515,015 4.3 830,248 2.5 87,179 5.0 507,702 5.4 1985 2,598,403 3.3 829,792-0.1 94,425 8.3 521,513 2.7 1986 2,446,266-5.9 786,874-5.2 97,859 3.6 467,707-10.3 1987 2,536,496 3.7 825,992 5.0 101,519 3.7 480,775 2.8 1988 2,578,789 1.7 827,913 0.2 107,632 6.0 478,826-0.4 1989 2,676,946 3.8 825,504-0.3 112,443 4.5 487,186 1.7 1990 2,831,870 5.8 853,520 3.4 115,352 2.6 531,977 9.2 1991 2,900,329 2.4 862,423 1.0 115,797 0.4 557,947 4.9 1992 3,002,201 3.5 873,247 1.3 119,349 3.1 595,244 6.7 1993 3,017,474 0.5 887,277 1.6 814,563 64,421 122,303 2.5 91,836 30,467 608,861 2.3 447,012 101,500 60,350 1994 3,153,261 4.5 894,508 0.8 819,257 0.6 67,904 5.4 130,471 6.7 99,242 8.1 31,228 2.5 685,325 12.6 502,146 12.3 114,265 12.6 68,914 14.2 1995 2,894,599-8.2 884,310-1.1 805,930-1.6 68,236 0.5 133,172 2.1 101,547 2.3 31,625 1.3 509,442-25.7 374,721-25.4 85,170-25.5 49,551-28.1 1996 3,165,539 9.4 964,807 9.1 880,656 9.3 72,799 6.7 139,337 4.6 107,386 5.8 31,952 1.0 566,263 11.2 411,483 9.8 94,487 10.9 60,294 21.7 1997 3,462,150 9.4 1,013,369 5.0 923,585 4.9 77,646 6.7 147,610 5.9 114,818 6.9 32,792 2.6 649,096 14.6 468,211 13.8 109,810 16.2 71,076 17.9 1998 3,655,577 5.6 1,039,744 2.6 940,584 1.8 81,002 4.3 155,176 5.1 121,512 5.8 33,664 2.7 691,561 6.5 501,890 7.2 117,979 7.4 71,692 0.9 1999 3,715,256 1.6 998,138-4.0 896,903-4.6 80,920-0.1 169,028 8.9 134,672 10.8 34,357 2.1 731,040 5.7 525,073 4.6 124,189 5.3 81,778 14.1 2000 3,890,134 4.7 1,022,932 2.5 919,479 2.5 82,209 1.6 170,791 1.0 135,962 1.0 34,829 1.4 774,359 5.9 559,111 6.5 130,692 5.2 84,556 3.4 2001 3,832,380-1.5 1,052,383 2.9 937,940 2.0 78,666-4.3 169,908-0.5 134,831-0.8 35,078 0.7 747,924-3.4 539,948-3.4 127,690-2.3 80,285-5.1 2002 3,832,918 0.0 1,052,252 0.0 941,707 0.4 74,915-4.8 167,322-1.5 132,035-2.1 35,287 0.6 763,711 2.1 553,748 2.6 129,120 1.1 80,842 0.7 2003 3,884,165 1.3 1,101,350 4.7 980,154 4.1 76,228 1.8 171,256 2.4 135,871 2.9 35,385 0.3 787,139 3.1 568,622 2.7 134,183 3.9 84,334 4.3 2004 4,043,151 4.1 1,118,537 1.6 990,920 1.1 78,940 3.6 192,836 12.6 157,170 15.7 35,666 0.8 842,252 7.0 608,602 7.0 141,213 5.2 92,438 9.6 2005 4,142,410 2.5 1,119,429 0.1 982,928-0.8 86,795 10.0 209,383 8.6 172,403 9.7 36,979 3.7 872,476 3.6 622,942 2.4 155,953 10.4 93,581 1.2 2006 4,322,843 4.4 1,111,413-0.7 976,049-0.7 84,357-2.8 234,651 12.1 196,402 13.9 38,249 3.4 948,296 8.7 690,907 10.9 160,551 2.9 96,838 3.5 2007 4,385,686 1.5 1,095,487-1.4 945,288-3.2 92,787 10.0 249,375 6.3 209,832 6.8 39,543 3.4 992,914 4.7 714,821 3.5 178,583 11.2 99,509 2.8 2008 4,365,207-0.5 1,054,691-3.7 892,297-5.6 91,216-1.7 252,552 1.3 216,101 3.0 36,451-7.8 1,030,710 3.8 729,230 2.0 214,301 20.0 87,178-12.4 2009 4,094,017-6.2 1,012,072-4.0 848,201-4.9 89,526-1.9 255,838 1.3 216,899 0.4 38,940 6.8 968,200-6.1 648,259-11.1 228,611 6.7 91,330 4.8 2010 4,280,609 4.6 1,020,993 0.9 842,720-0.6 103,512 15.6 267,405 4.5 227,974 5.1 39,431 1.3 975,507 0.8 645,603-0.4 236,795 3.6 93,109 1.9 2011 4,427,598 3.4 1,017,204-0.4 828,271-1.7 114,388 10.5 285,979 6.9 246,384 8.1 39,595 0.4 1,015,099 4.1 673,091 4.3 243,728 2.9 98,280 5.6 2012 4,547,999 2.7 1,026,249 0.9 824,549-0.4 124,822 9.1 292,826 2.4 252,554 2.5 40,273 1.7 1,035,854 2.0 687,151 2.1 246,223 1.0 102,480 4.3 2013 4,516,803-0.7 1,009,276-1.7 814,914-1.2 123,687-0.9 293,271 0.2 252,803 0.1 40,468 0.5 989,417-4.5 653,530-4.9 235,782-4.2 100,105-2.3 2014 4,629,292 2.5 1,009,139 0.0 811,914-0.4 127,634 3.2 300,240 2.4 258,484 2.2 41,756 3.2 1,004,633 1.5 664,898 1.7 235,202-0.2 104,533 4.4 2015 4,826,424 4.3 1,025,349 1.6 822,591 1.3 131,080 2.7 309,226 3.0 266,497 3.1 42,729 2.3 1,052,034 4.7 696,148 4.7 246,021 4.6 109,865 5.1 2016 5,094,242 5.5 1,052,075 2.6 841,181 2.3 136,062 3.8 319,733 3.4 275,931 3.5 43,802 2.5 1,122,890 6.7 743,765 6.8 262,603 6.7 116,522 6.1 2017 5,463,936 7.3 1,114,085 5.9 891,231 6.0 143,681 5.6 331,297 3.6 286,251 3.7 45,046 2.8 1,212,688 8.0 805,051 8.2 283,191 7.8 124,446 6.8 2018 5,844,328 7.0 1,181,703 6.1 948,252 6.4 150,003 4.4 341,756 3.2 295,526 3.2 46,230 2.6 1,311,952 8.2 872,353 8.4 306,243 8.1 133,356 7.2 2019 6,193,852 6.0 1,225,026 3.7 981,536 3.5 155,703 3.8 350,826 2.7 303,505 2.7 47,321 2.4 1,404,995 7.1 936,559 7.4 326,639 6.7 141,798 6.3 2020 6,528,444 5.4 1,267,033 3.4 1,014,123 3.3 160,997 3.4 359,436 2.5 311,093 2.5 48,343 2.2 1,491,014 6.1 993,876 6.1 347,315 6.3 149,823 5.7 C-6 Continúa
Continuación Manufacturas Industrias alimentaria, de las bebidas y del tabaco Textiles, prendas de vestir y productos de cuero Total Confección de Fabricación de cuero, Años Subsector Industria Fabricación productos textiles, Fabricación piel y materiales Manufacturero Industria de las bebidas de insumos excepto prendas de prendas sucedáneos, excepto Total rama alimentaria y del tabaco Total rama textiles de vestir de vestir prendas de vestir Pesos Var.% Pesos Var.% Pesos Var.% Pesos Var.% Pesos Var.% Pesos Var.% Pesos Var.% Pesos Var.% Pesos Var.% 1980 1,073,030 5.8 263,284 4.8 114,203 2.2 1981 1,144,267 6.6 275,013 4.5 120,830 5.8 1982 1,115,342-2.5 288,241 4.8 115,066-4.8 1983 1,034,930-7.2 280,472-2.7 108,869-5.4 1984 1,089,886 5.3 284,378 1.4 110,044 1.1 1985 1,152,673 5.8 295,991 4.1 113,061 2.7 1986 1,093,826-5.1 293,611-0.8 107,586-4.8 1987 1,128,210 3.1 293,996 0.1 102,288-4.9 1988 1,164,418 3.2 297,352 1.1 103,176 0.9 1989 1,251,813 7.5 320,918 7.9 108,171 4.8 1990 1,331,022 6.3 335,472 4.5 114,426 5.8 1991 1,364,162 2.5 346,287 3.2 117,418 2.6 1992 1,414,360 3.7 360,424 4.1 117,312-0.1 1993 1,399,033-1.1 375,655 4.2 314,033 61,623 114,417-2.5 18,290 8,926 66,917 20,284 1994 1,442,957 3.1 387,106 3.0 323,534 3.0 63,572 3.2 113,575-0.7 18,085-1.1 8,958 0.4 67,227 0.5 19,305-4.8 1995 1,367,675-5.2 388,310 0.3 325,547 0.6 62,763-1.3 102,733-9.5 16,821-7.0 9,015 0.6 60,106-10.6 16,791-13.0 1996 1,495,132 9.3 399,782 3.0 333,402 2.4 66,381 5.8 113,360 10.3 19,216 14.2 10,200 13.1 65,282 8.6 18,663 11.1 1997 1,652,075 10.5 410,927 2.8 342,234 2.6 68,693 3.5 120,382 6.2 20,751 8.0 11,812 15.8 67,884 4.0 19,935 6.8 1998 1,769,095 7.1 432,920 5.4 357,928 4.6 74,992 9.2 122,776 2.0 21,408 3.2 12,791 8.3 68,959 1.6 19,618-1.6 1999 1,817,048 2.7 449,141 3.7 370,762 3.6 78,379 4.5 124,358 1.3 22,007 2.8 13,104 2.4 69,610 0.9 19,636 0.1 2000 1,922,051 5.8 465,499 3.6 384,800 3.8 80,699 3.0 128,999 3.7 22,319 1.4 15,285 16.6 72,010 3.4 19,385-1.3 2001 1,862,165-3.1 473,084 1.6 392,481 2.0 80,603-0.1 119,618-7.3 20,167-9.6 13,544-11.4 68,292-5.2 17,616-9.1 2002 1,849,633-0.7 482,268 1.9 400,232 2.0 82,036 1.8 115,365-3.6 19,937-1.1 13,517-0.2 64,372-5.7 17,539-0.4 2003 1,824,420-1.4 488,339 1.3 405,815 1.4 82,524 0.6 107,620-6.7 18,280-8.3 12,426-8.1 59,821-7.1 17,093-2.5 2004 1,889,526 3.6 506,715 3.8 418,711 3.2 88,004 6.6 109,406 1.7 19,134 4.7 13,283 6.9 59,679-0.2 17,311 1.3 2005 1,941,123 2.7 522,765 3.2 429,717 2.6 93,048 5.7 106,699-2.5 18,259-4.6 13,248-0.3 57,300-4.0 17,892 3.4 2006 2,028,482 4.5 535,307 2.4 436,794 1.6 98,512 5.9 108,368 1.6 18,500 1.3 13,693 3.4 57,620 0.6 18,556 3.7 2007 2,047,910 1.0 547,744 2.3 446,531 2.2 101,213 2.7 105,139-3.0 17,876-3.4 13,993 2.2 55,123-4.3 18,147-2.2 2008 2,027,255-1.0 555,064 1.3 451,440 1.1 103,625 2.4 102,791-2.2 16,624-7.0 12,884-7.9 55,986 1.6 17,297-4.7 2009 1,857,907-8.4 554,117-0.2 450,167-0.3 103,950 0.3 95,472-7.1 15,400-7.4 11,880-7.8 51,725-7.6 16,468-4.8 2010 2,016,704 8.5 562,265 1.5 457,724 1.7 104,541 0.6 101,104 5.9 17,085 10.9 12,174 2.5 54,102 4.6 17,743 7.7 2011 2,109,315 4.6 576,989 2.6 467,612 2.2 109,377 4.6 99,984-1.1 16,328-4.4 11,821-2.9 54,214 0.2 17,622-0.7 2012 2,193,069 4.0 590,398 2.3 478,163 2.3 112,234 2.6 100,854 0.9 16,840 3.1 11,807-0.1 53,964-0.5 18,242 3.5 2013 2,224,839 1.4 593,783 0.6 480,416 0.5 113,367 1.0 102,504 1.6 16,312-3.1 12,156 3.0 55,645 3.1 18,391 0.8 2014 2,315,280 4.1 605,071 1.9 489,250 1.8 115,821 2.2 102,611 0.1 15,872-2.7 12,254 0.8 55,866 0.4 18,619 1.2 2015 2,439,815 5.4 624,792 3.3 505,102 3.2 119,690 3.3 105,316 2.6 16,119 1.6 12,786 4.3 57,352 2.7 19,059 2.4 2016 2,599,545 6.5 650,466 4.1 526,013 4.1 124,453 4.0 108,054 2.6 16,503 2.4 13,267 3.8 58,717 2.4 19,568 2.7 2017 2,805,867 7.9 680,252 4.6 549,999 4.6 130,253 4.7 111,301 3.0 16,958 2.8 13,792 4.0 60,384 2.8 20,166 3.1 2018 3,008,916 7.2 707,150 4.0 571,999 4.0 135,150 3.8 114,139 2.5 17,358 2.4 14,281 3.5 61,809 2.4 20,691 2.6 2019 3,213,005 6.8 733,233 3.7 593,163 3.7 140,070 3.6 116,925 2.4 17,740 2.2 14,756 3.3 63,250 2.3 21,179 2.4 2020 3,410,961 6.2 757,450 3.3 613,094 3.4 144,356 3.1 119,494 2.2 18,106 2.1 15,208 3.1 64,552 2.1 21,628 2.1 C-7 (Continúa)
Continuación Manufacturas Madera y sus productos Impresión e industrias conexas Químicos, petróleo y caucho Fabricación Fabricación de Años de muebles Impresión productos derivados Indus Industria y productos Industria e industrias del petróleo Industria del plás Total rama de la madera relacionados Total rama del papel conexas Total rama y del carbón química y del h Pesos Var.% Pesos Var.% Pesos Var.% Pesos Var.% Pesos Var.% Pesos Var.% Pesos Var.% Pesos Var.% Pesos Var.% Pesos 1980 52,229 6.1 27,015 11.1 215,548 9.7 1981 51,941-0.6 28,677 6.2 237,232 10.1 1982 51,234-1.4 28,721 0.2 241,787 1.9 1983 47,357-7.6 26,053-9.3 238,590-1.3 1984 48,852 3.2 27,370 5.1 253,245 6.1 1985 50,597 3.6 29,979 9.5 266,907 5.4 1986 49,325-2.5 28,846-3.8 257,577-3.5 1987 50,931 3.3 29,119 0.9 268,993 4.4 1988 49,741-2.3 30,455 4.6 273,946 1.8 1989 49,787 0.1 33,415 9.7 299,714 9.4 1990 49,597-0.4 36,102 8.0 312,733 4.3 1991 49,935 0.7 37,489 3.8 315,757 1.0 1992 51,333 2.8 38,784 3.5 321,374 1.8 1993 43,878-14.5 20,960 22,918 36,906-4.8 23,866 13,040 308,496-4.0 66,229 196,034 46,233 1994 44,425 1.2 20,843-0.6 23,583 2.9 37,823 2.5 24,610 3.1 13,213 1.3 317,728 3.0 73,303 10.7 198,716 1.4 45,710 1995 40,605-8.6 20,069-3.7 20,536-12.9 37,365-1.2 24,913 1.2 12,452-5.8 322,605 1.5 71,747-2.1 207,841 4.6 43,018 1996 43,269 6.6 21,892 9.1 21,377 4.1 39,697 6.2 27,394 10.0 12,303-1.2 337,667 4.7 70,761-1.4 219,534 5.6 47,372 1997 49,264 13.9 23,488 7.3 25,776 20.6 44,245 11.5 29,304 7.0 14,940 21.4 366,025 8.4 76,409 8.0 237,742 8.3 51,873 1998 51,604 4.7 24,437 4.0 27,167 5.4 46,605 5.3 30,712 4.8 15,893 6.4 382,618 4.5 86,725 13.5 241,744 1.7 54,149 1999 51,975 0.7 24,722 1.2 27,253 0.3 49,210 5.6 32,664 6.4 16,546 4.1 380,952-0.4 84,861-2.1 243,686 0.8 52,404 2000 55,123 6.1 26,068 5.4 29,055 6.6 50,245 2.1 33,574 2.8 16,670 0.7 390,334 2.5 83,333-1.8 251,873 3.4 55,127 2001 51,779-6.1 23,536-9.7 28,243-2.8 48,977-2.5 33,341-0.7 15,636-6.2 377,052-3.4 83,804 0.6 241,442-4.1 51,805 2002 48,300-6.7 20,248-14.0 28,053-0.7 48,621-0.7 33,834 1.5 14,787-5.4 382,402 1.4 84,310 0.6 245,234 1.6 52,857 2003 48,067-0.5 20,037-1.0 28,029-0.1 48,433-0.4 34,182 1.0 14,251-3.6 388,031 1.5 87,579 3.9 247,941 1.1 52,511 2004 48,847 1.6 20,096 0.3 28,751 2.6 49,925 3.1 36,146 5.7 13,779-3.3 400,503 3.2 90,464 3.3 255,830 3.2 54,209 2005 48,801-0.1 19,846-1.2 28,955 0.7 51,219 2.6 37,117 2.7 14,102 2.3 405,129 1.2 89,171-1.4 261,335 2.2 54,623 2006 48,884 0.2 20,099 1.3 28,785-0.6 54,290 6.0 38,710 4.3 15,580 10.5 416,116 2.7 88,514-0.7 271,741 4.0 55,861 2007 49,317 0.9 20,821 3.6 28,496-1.0 55,459 2.2 39,781 2.8 15,678 0.6 419,158 0.7 86,968-1.7 275,102 1.2 57,089 2008 46,515-5.7 19,213-7.7 27,302-4.2 57,170 3.1 40,732 2.4 16,438 4.8 410,480-2.1 86,728-0.3 268,686-2.3 55,066 2009 43,845-5.7 18,315-4.7 25,530-6.5 55,851-2.3 40,487-0.6 15,364-6.5 397,264-3.2 87,153 0.5 260,318-3.1 49,794 2010 46,665 6.4 19,319 5.5 27,346 7.1 58,907 5.5 42,001 3.7 16,907 10.0 396,638-0.2 80,852-7.2 259,264-0.4 56,522 2011 47,976 2.8 20,299 5.1 27,677 1.2 59,258 0.6 41,646-0.8 17,612 4.2 397,318 0.2 77,923-3.6 259,084-0.1 60,312 2012 51,418 7.2 22,941 13.0 28,477 2.9 60,545 2.2 43,646 4.8 16,899-4.0 402,607 1.3 78,656 0.9 258,635-0.2 65,317 2013 49,149-4.4 22,313-2.7 26,836-5.8 60,478-0.1 44,784 2.6 15,694-7.1 405,747 0.8 80,512 2.4 260,351 0.7 64,884 2014 49,464 0.6 22,729 1.9 26,735-0.4 61,955 2.4 46,054 2.8 15,901 1.3 414,712 2.2 81,550 1.3 265,399 1.9 67,763 2015 51,635 4.4 23,788 4.7 27,847 4.2 64,148 3.5 47,602 3.4 16,547 4.1 427,343 3.0 84,942 4.2 272,565 2.7 69,837 2016 54,462 5.5 25,039 5.3 29,423 5.7 66,814 4.2 49,496 4.0 17,318 4.7 444,656 4.1 88,883 4.6 283,031 3.8 72,742 2017 57,892 6.3 26,539 6.0 31,353 6.6 69,987 4.7 51,793 4.6 18,194 5.1 465,823 4.8 93,310 5.0 296,164 4.6 76,350 2018 61,142 5.6 28,015 5.6 33,128 5.7 72,888 4.1 53,864 4.0 19,023 4.6 486,122 4.4 97,602 4.6 308,780 4.3 79,740 2019 64,214 5.0 29,483 5.2 34,731 4.8 75,685 3.8 55,836 3.7 19,849 4.3 506,284 4.1 101,926 4.4 321,317 4.1 83,041 2020 67,086 4.5 30,851 4.6 36,235 4.3 78,347 3.5 57,712 3.4 20,635 4.0 524,594 3.6 105,758 3.8 332,756 3.6 86,080 C-8 C
Continuación Manufacturas Fabricación de Industrias metálicas Maquinaria y equipo productos a base Fabricación equipo Fabricación de equipo Años de minerales Industrias Fabricación Fabricación de computación, de generación Fabricación Otras no metálicos metálicas de productos de maquinaria comunicación y eléctrica y accesorios de equipo industrias Total rama Total rama básicas metálicos Total rama y equipo otros electrónicos eléctricos de transporte Total rama Pesos Var.% Pesos Var.% Pesos Var.% Pesos Var.% Pesos Var.% Pesos Var.% Pesos Var.% Pesos Var.% Pesos Var.% Pesos Var.% 1980 54,681 8.1 118,656 3.5 201,598 9.6 25,816-20.0 1981 56,408 3.2 124,700 5.1 220,281 9.3 29,186 13.1 1982 55,023-2.5 112,490-9.8 194,734-11.6 28,046-3.9 1983 50,777-7.7 105,384-6.3 154,623-20.6 22,804-18.7 1984 53,674 5.7 117,359 11.4 169,573 9.7 25,391 11.3 1985 57,807 7.7 119,205 1.6 191,638 13.0 27,489 8.3 1986 54,089-6.4 111,481-6.5 166,192-13.3 25,117-8.6 1987 59,338 9.7 125,807 12.9 173,412 4.3 24,327-3.1 1988 58,437-1.5 132,032 4.9 193,937 11.8 25,344 4.2 1989 61,214 4.8 135,218 2.4 215,289 11.0 28,086 10.8 1990 65,180 6.5 144,976 7.2 239,354 11.2 33,183 18.1 1991 67,496 3.6 138,052-4.8 258,802 8.1 32,926-0.8 1992 71,759 6.3 140,187 1.5 274,963 6.2 38,223 16.1 1993 78,921 10.0 135,662-3.2 90,277 45,385 269,514-2.0 45,921 60,374 37,842 125,377 35,582-6.9 1994 82,754 4.9 142,868 5.3 94,663 4.9 48,205 6.2 281,350 4.4 48,260 5.1 65,983 9.3 39,236 3.7 127,871 2.0 35,327-0.7 1995 70,317-15.0 133,114-6.8 93,147-1.6 39,967-17.1 240,810-14.4 41,390-14.2 58,596-11.2 36,067-8.1 104,757-18.1 31,817-9.9 1996 76,178 8.3 166,006 24.7 118,984 27.7 47,022 17.7 282,997 17.5 47,616 15.0 56,678-3.3 41,822 16.0 136,882 30.7 36,174 13.7 1997 83,270 9.3 187,343 12.9 132,827 11.6 54,516 15.9 351,966 24.4 58,388 22.6 83,170 46.7 50,682 21.2 159,726 16.7 38,653 6.9 1998 89,772 7.8 198,004 5.7 140,011 5.4 57,993 6.4 405,816 15.3 61,002 4.5 105,526 26.9 58,100 14.6 181,188 13.4 38,980 0.8 1999 92,790 3.4 201,689 1.9 140,600 0.4 61,089 5.3 426,795 5.2 58,213-4.6 111,476 5.6 61,448 5.8 195,657 8.0 40,139 3.0 2000 96,829 4.4 210,393 4.3 144,931 3.1 65,461 7.2 483,403 13.3 59,654 2.5 133,594 19.8 66,460 8.2 223,695 14.3 41,228 2.7 2001 93,414-3.5 192,936-8.3 133,291-8.0 59,645-8.9 463,369-4.1 57,455-3.7 125,723-5.9 62,987-5.2 217,204-2.9 41,936 1.7 2002 98,007 4.9 194,879 1.0 135,109 1.4 59,770 0.2 437,721-5.5 58,043 1.0 106,473-15.3 59,658-5.3 213,547-1.7 42,071 0.3 2003 97,916-0.1 196,600 0.9 138,256 2.3 58,344-2.4 409,243-6.5 55,111-5.1 92,841-12.8 60,623 1.6 200,668-6.0 40,172-4.5 2004 102,190 4.4 207,205 5.4 144,748 4.7 62,457 7.1 424,142 3.6 61,211 11.1 87,766-5.5 65,057 7.3 210,108 4.7 40,593 1.0 2005 109,213 6.9 217,117 4.8 150,983 4.3 66,134 5.9 437,714 3.2 64,778 5.8 89,657 2.2 65,246 0.3 218,033 3.8 42,465 4.6 2006 115,781 6.0 224,969 3.6 153,823 1.9 71,146 7.6 479,707 9.6 67,035 3.5 97,087 8.3 69,264 6.2 246,319 13.0 45,061 6.1 2007 118,151 2.0 219,369-2.5 148,349-3.6 71,020-0.2 488,473 1.8 65,847-1.8 98,288 1.2 67,508-2.5 256,830 4.3 45,099 0.1 2008 113,690-3.8 217,238-1.0 146,715-1.1 70,523-0.7 478,362-2.1 65,930 0.1 89,746-8.7 65,710-2.7 256,976 0.1 45,945 1.9 2009 102,979-9.4 183,209-15.7 122,612-16.4 60,597-14.1 381,284-20.3 52,778-19.9 80,628-10.2 58,690-10.7 189,188-26.4 43,887-4.5 2010 107,780 4.7 203,776 11.2 137,836 12.4 65,940 8.8 494,849 29.8 77,695 47.2 83,606 3.7 64,607 10.1 268,941 42.2 44,719 1.9 2011 111,756 3.7 214,273 5.2 143,710 4.3 70,563 7.0 554,750 12.1 88,015 13.3 89,224 6.7 63,926-1.1 313,585 16.6 47,011 5.1 2012 114,457 2.4 220,332 2.8 146,991 2.3 73,341 3.9 605,313 9.1 92,730 5.4 89,682 0.5 65,082 1.8 357,819 14.1 47,145 0.3 2013 111,517-2.6 220,578 0.1 147,005 0.0 73,572 0.3 633,492 4.7 91,147-1.7 101,980 13.7 63,630-2.2 376,735 5.3 47,592 0.9 2014 113,378 1.7 234,250 6.2 159,477 8.5 74,772 1.6 683,972 8.0 92,861 1.9 109,317 7.2 66,648 4.7 415,146 10.2 49,867 4.8 2015 117,188 3.4 243,227 3.8 165,793 4.0 77,434 3.6 754,454 10.3 96,817 4.3 120,949 10.6 68,887 3.4 467,801 12.7 51,712 3.7 2016 122,532 4.6 254,860 4.8 173,817 4.8 81,043 4.7 843,940 11.9 102,974 6.4 130,818 8.2 72,194 4.8 537,954 15.0 53,760 4.0 2017 129,099 5.4 269,092 5.6 183,690 5.7 85,403 5.4 965,939 14.5 110,450 7.3 143,874 10.0 76,309 5.7 635,306 18.1 56,480 5.1 2018 135,296 4.8 282,509 5.0 193,058 5.1 89,451 4.7 1,090,614 12.9 118,005 6.8 156,247 8.6 80,353 5.3 736,009 15.9 59,055 4.6 2019 141,466 4.6 295,378 4.6 202,054 4.7 93,324 4.3 1,218,213 11.7 125,475 6.3 168,372 7.8 84,371 5.0 839,996 14.1 61,607 4.3 2020 147,492 4.3 307,703 4.2 210,824 4.3 96,880 3.8 1,344,872 10.4 132,953 6.0 179,939 6.9 88,303 4.7 943,677 12.3 63,923 3.8 C-9 Conclusión
C-6. PIB Anual del Sector Servicios por Subsectores Económicos: Escenario Base 2014-2020 (Millones de pesos de 2008) Comercio, restaurantes y hoteles Servicios financieros, seguros y actividades inmobiliarias Total Servicios de Transporte, Servicios Años Sector alojamiento temporal almacenaje y Servicios inmobiliarios y Servicios y de preparación de comunicaciones financieros de alquiler de bienes Total subsector Comercio alimentos y bebidas Total subsector Total subsector y de seguros muebles e intangibles Pesos Var.% Pesos Var.% Pesos Var.% Pesos Var.% Pesos Var.% Pesos Var.% Pesos Var.% Pesos Var.% 1980 3,288,256 8.8 926,476 13.2 332,687 10.9 658,507 4.7 1981 3,560,851 8.3 1,019,259 10.0 366,152 10.1 703,874 6.9 1982 3,610,421 1.4 1,014,739-0.4 337,855-7.7 740,030 5.1 1983 3,596,704-0.4 940,843-7.3 328,960-2.6 770,012 4.1 1984 3,710,835 3.2 953,113 1.3 345,837 5.1 814,914 5.8 1985 3,740,128 0.8 951,286-0.2 355,674 2.8 843,362 3.5 1986 3,686,345-1.4 892,186-6.2 343,106-3.5 874,345 3.7 1987 3,733,959 1.3 899,849 0.9 352,989 2.9 905,159 3.5 1988 3,777,483 1.2 914,221 1.6 360,547 2.1 918,013 1.4 1989 3,917,134 3.7 956,480 4.6 377,429 4.7 950,105 3.5 1990 4,083,694 4.3 1,015,910 6.2 390,902 3.6 992,345 4.4 1991 4,281,023 4.8 1,077,714 6.1 404,302 3.4 1,038,970 4.7 1992 4,433,827 3.6 1,134,825 5.3 425,696 5.3 1,086,593 4.6 1993 4,610,738 4.0 1,115,928-1.7 863,664 252,264 449,723 5.6 1,141,042 5.0 238,613 902,429 1994 4,839,339 5.0 1,217,268 9.1 947,268 9.7 270,000 7.0 479,142 6.5 1,201,013 5.3 265,377 11.2 935,637 3.7 1995 4,622,802-4.5 1,086,085-10.8 849,313-10.3 236,771-12.3 450,190-6.0 1,207,641 0.6 241,610-9.0 966,031 3.2 1996 4,796,210 3.8 1,199,580 10.4 961,319 13.2 238,261 0.6 481,315 6.9 1,217,512 0.8 220,701-8.7 996,811 3.2 1997 5,075,230 5.8 1,354,514 12.9 1,099,582 14.4 254,932 7.0 524,390 8.9 1,230,431 1.1 209,607-5.0 1,020,824 2.4 1998 5,293,169 4.3 1,451,162 7.1 1,187,973 8.0 263,190 3.2 555,711 6.0 1,257,894 2.2 216,785 3.4 1,041,109 2.0 1999 5,469,027 3.3 1,516,397 4.5 1,253,643 5.5 262,754-0.2 582,628 4.8 1,285,352 2.2 210,549-2.9 1,074,803 3.2 2000 5,792,703 5.9 1,683,292 11.0 1,408,846 12.4 274,447 4.5 624,735 7.2 1,319,325 2.6 203,788-3.2 1,115,537 3.8 2001 5,780,831-0.2 1,658,216-1.5 1,392,468-1.2 265,748-3.2 618,929-0.9 1,350,663 2.4 198,285-2.7 1,152,377 3.3 2002 5,794,825 0.2 1,651,678-0.4 1,396,958 0.3 254,721-4.1 614,815-0.7 1,376,958 1.9 187,214-5.6 1,189,744 3.2 2003 5,875,443 1.4 1,681,963 1.8 1,431,039 2.4 250,925-1.5 614,867 0.0 1,420,338 3.2 190,060 1.5 1,230,278 3.4 2004 6,137,912 4.5 1,779,876 5.8 1,519,689 6.2 260,187 3.7 638,168 3.8 1,493,107 5.1 218,828 15.1 1,274,280 3.6 2005 6,376,239 3.9 1,866,229 4.9 1,602,195 5.4 264,034 1.5 650,555 1.9 1,548,423 3.7 245,337 12.1 1,303,086 2.3 2006 6,715,059 5.3 1,982,570 6.2 1,713,187 6.9 269,382 2.0 677,734 4.2 1,641,050 6.0 283,784 15.7 1,357,266 4.2 2007 7,002,883 4.3 2,060,861 3.9 1,783,203 4.1 277,658 3.1 701,085 3.4 1,722,687 5.0 320,270 12.9 1,402,417 3.3 2008 7,183,008 2.6 2,063,763 0.1 1,785,940 0.2 277,822 0.1 700,557-0.1 1,838,926 6.7 390,550 21.9 1,448,376 3.3 2009 6,902,764-3.9 1,814,588-12.1 1,563,520-12.5 251,067-9.6 650,008-7.2 1,867,976 1.6 403,945 3.4 1,464,031 1.1 2010 7,294,514 5.7 2,004,943 10.5 1,749,038 11.9 255,905 1.9 700,120 7.7 1,993,162 6.7 488,618 21.0 1,504,544 2.8 2011 7,640,629 4.7 2,178,883 8.7 1,919,062 9.7 259,820 1.5 728,423 4.0 2,071,827 3.9 523,318 7.1 1,548,510 2.9 2012 7,988,600 4.6 2,283,726 4.8 2,009,661 4.7 274,065 5.5 758,126 4.1 2,156,309 4.1 567,904 8.5 1,588,406 2.6 2013 8,157,158 2.1 2,345,218 2.7 2,065,369 2.8 279,849 2.1 769,345 1.5 2,201,540 2.1 589,595 3.8 1,611,945 1.5 2014 8,426,137 3.3 2,424,915 3.4 2,137,140 3.5 287,775 2.8 791,818 2.9 2,281,423 3.6 621,286 5.4 1,660,137 3.0 2015 8,794,884 4.4 2,546,012 5.0 2,247,417 5.2 298,595 3.8 834,259 5.4 2,384,173 4.5 668,255 7.6 1,715,918 3.4 2016 9,249,132 5.2 2,718,594 6.8 2,406,084 7.1 312,510 4.7 887,151 6.3 2,495,139 4.7 710,756 6.4 1,784,383 4.0 2017 9,779,542 5.7 2,926,869 7.7 2,597,609 8.0 329,260 5.4 949,784 7.1 2,620,275 5.0 758,093 6.7 1,862,182 4.4 2018 10,301,082 5.3 3,133,865 7.1 2,788,273 7.3 345,592 5.0 1,013,515 6.7 2,742,146 4.7 809,946 6.8 1,932,200 3.8 2019 10,817,260 5.0 3,345,918 6.8 2,984,568 7.0 361,351 4.6 1,078,177 6.4 2,859,316 4.3 860,649 6.3 1,998,668 3.4 2020 11,317,176 4.6 3,562,363 6.5 3,185,727 6.7 376,636 4.2 1,141,142 5.8 2,964,275 3.7 908,845 5.6 2,055,430 2.8 Continuación C-10
Continuación Servicios Servicios comunales, sociales y personales Servicios de profesionales, Dirección apoyo a los negocios y Años científicos de corporativos manejo de desechos y Servicios Total subsector y técnicos y empresas servicios de remediación educativos Pesos Var.% Pesos Var.% Pesos Var.% Pesos Var.% Pesos Var.% 1980 1,370,587 7.5 1981 1,471,566 7.4 1982 1,517,796 3.1 1983 1,556,889 2.6 1984 1,596,971 2.6 1985 1,589,807-0.4 1986 1,576,708-0.8 1987 1,575,962 0.0 1988 1,584,703 0.6 1989 1,633,119 3.1 1990 1,684,537 3.1 1991 1,760,037 4.5 1992 1,786,713 1.5 1993 1,904,044 6.6 208,650 49,725 297,731 350,321 1994 1,941,917 2.0 216,214 3.6 50,412 1.4 301,146 1.1 358,197 2.2 1995 1,878,887-3.2 204,214-5.6 45,294-10.2 287,825-4.4 369,025 3.0 1996 1,897,803 1.0 209,671 2.7 46,982 3.7 301,649 4.8 377,760 2.4 1997 1,965,896 3.6 218,494 4.2 52,154 11.0 307,588 2.0 386,261 2.3 1998 2,028,402 3.2 226,306 3.6 52,900 1.4 324,343 5.4 395,900 2.5 1999 2,084,651 2.8 231,104 2.1 51,650-2.4 333,575 2.8 407,286 2.9 2000 2,165,350 3.9 243,052 5.2 53,486 3.6 343,714 3.0 417,675 2.6 2001 2,153,023-0.6 241,314-0.7 52,757-1.4 341,722-0.6 426,092 2.0 2002 2,151,374-0.1 242,774 0.6 53,127 0.7 340,999-0.2 436,821 2.5 2003 2,158,275 0.3 247,027 1.8 56,110 5.6 339,674-0.4 442,838 1.4 2004 2,226,761 3.2 254,742 3.1 58,045 3.4 351,789 3.6 448,837 1.4 2005 2,311,032 3.8 262,461 3.0 60,645 4.5 364,852 3.7 457,137 1.8 2006 2,413,705 4.4 270,417 3.0 68,291 12.6 378,364 3.7 459,204 0.5 2007 2,518,250 4.3 280,117 3.6 69,163 1.3 390,362 3.2 466,809 1.7 2008 2,579,762 2.4 288,855 3.1 74,350 7.5 398,773 2.2 472,159 1.1 2009 2,570,192-0.4 274,463-5.0 68,244-8.2 370,787-7.0 473,027 0.2 2010 2,596,290 1.0 274,171-0.1 71,835 5.3 373,416 0.7 473,852 0.2 2011 2,661,496 2.5 288,288 5.1 74,383 3.5 395,696 6.0 481,281 1.6 2012 2,790,439 4.8 291,560 1.1 79,409 6.8 413,124 4.4 491,994 2.2 2013 2,841,055 1.8 288,578-1.0 74,925-5.6 429,115 3.9 497,357 1.1 2014 2,927,980 3.1 292,867 1.5 78,732 5.1 444,921 3.7 508,203 2.2 2015 3,030,440 3.5 300,657 2.7 82,164 4.4 463,964 4.3 522,382 2.8 2016 3,148,248 3.9 311,360 3.6 85,993 4.7 484,564 4.4 540,091 3.4 2017 3,282,615 4.3 324,936 4.4 90,431 5.2 506,660 4.6 560,830 3.8 2018 3,411,557 3.9 338,128 4.1 94,554 4.6 527,737 4.2 580,796 3.6 2019 3,533,848 3.6 350,436 3.6 98,488 4.2 548,002 3.8 600,136 3.3 2020 3,649,395 3.3 361,860 3.3 102,092 3.7 566,853 3.4 617,900 3.0 Continúa C-11
Continuación Servicios de esparcimiento, Servicios comunales, sociales y personales Servicios culturales y deportivos, Otros servicios Años de salud y otros servicios Información en excepto actividades Actividades y de asistencia social recreativos medios masivos del gobierno del gobierno Pesos Var.% Pesos Var.% Pesos Var.% Pesos Var.% Pesos Var.% 1980 1981 1982 1983 1984 1985 1986 1987 1988 1989 1990 1991 1992 1993 198,832 49,985 91,109 194,858 462,833 1994 203,197 2.2 50,128 0.3 92,479 1.5 197,521 1.4 472,622 2.1 1995 200,863-1.1 45,693-8.8 86,559-6.4 171,412-13.2 468,002-1.0 1996 199,421-0.7 43,649-4.5 84,803-2.0 170,927-0.3 462,941-1.1 1997 201,579 1.1 46,351 6.2 94,016 10.9 185,652 8.6 473,801 2.3 1998 205,416 1.9 48,883 5.5 118,587 26.1 194,630 4.8 461,439-2.6 1999 208,996 1.7 50,056 2.4 128,492 8.4 204,061 4.8 469,432 1.7 2000 212,999 1.9 51,779 3.4 139,006 8.2 216,315 6.0 487,324 3.8 2001 216,296 1.5 50,894-1.7 146,681 5.5 218,733 1.1 458,532-5.9 2002 216,100-0.1 51,842 1.9 149,803 2.1 223,015 2.0 436,893-4.7 2003 214,680-0.7 51,501-0.7 156,175 4.3 222,665-0.2 427,605-2.1 2004 217,743 1.4 52,347 1.6 186,656 19.5 228,663 2.7 427,940 0.1 2005 222,057 2.0 52,101-0.5 218,672 17.2 235,712 3.1 437,395 2.2 2006 241,525 8.8 54,610 4.8 254,096 16.2 243,354 3.2 443,844 1.5 2007 246,940 2.2 57,194 4.7 306,153 20.5 252,390 3.7 449,122 1.2 2008 250,109 1.3 57,353 0.3 324,484 6.0 255,615 1.3 458,064 2.0 2009 255,234 2.0 55,024-4.1 351,963 8.5 254,098-0.6 467,351 2.0 2010 254,938-0.1 57,296 4.1 355,337 1.0 256,674 1.0 478,770 2.4 2011 260,344 2.1 56,876-0.7 371,055 4.4 261,470 1.9 472,103-1.4 2012 265,943 2.2 58,547 2.9 432,576 16.6 267,043 2.1 490,243 3.8 2013 271,270 2.0 58,598 0.1 455,520 5.3 271,523 1.7 494,171 0.8 2014 277,631 2.3 59,872 2.2 481,519 5.7 277,466 2.2 506,770 2.5 2015 285,350 2.8 62,362 4.2 510,699 6.1 285,957 3.1 516,905 2.0 2016 293,853 3.0 65,268 4.7 543,690 6.5 295,565 3.4 527,863 2.1 2017 303,961 3.4 68,819 5.4 580,444 6.8 307,269 4.0 539,265 2.2 2018 313,567 3.2 72,301 5.1 616,431 6.2 318,208 3.6 549,835 2.0 2019 322,409 2.8 75,670 4.7 651,568 5.7 327,627 3.0 559,512 1.8 2020 330,276 2.4 78,818 4.2 687,013 5.4 336,342 2.7 568,240 1.6 Conclusión C-12
C-7. PIB Trimestral Total y por Grandes Sectores de Actividad Económica: Escenario Base 2013-2014 (Millones de pesos de 2008) Años! PIB Total Impuestos Valor PIB Agropecuario PIB Industrial PIB Servicios Pesos Var.% Netos Agregado Bruto Pesos Var.% Pesos Var.% Pesos Var.% 2011 12,774,243 4.0 328,823 12,445,420 377,193-2.3 4,427,598 3.4 7,640,629 4.7 I 12,377,242 4.5 318,604 12,058,638 345,247 0.2 4,271,320 3.8 7,442,071 5.0 II 12,597,463 3.2 324,272 12,273,190 379,831-11.1 4,376,663 3.3 7,516,696 4.0 III 12,813,924 4.2 329,844 12,484,080 334,263 3.3 4,481,218 2.8 7,668,600 5.1 IV 13,308,342 4.3 342,571 12,965,771 449,430 0.2 4,581,191 3.9 7,935,150 4.8 2012 13,283,052 4.0 341,975 12,941,077 404,479 7.2 4,547,999 2.7 7,988,600 4.6 I 12,982,273 4.9 334,231 12,648,042 365,321 5.8 4,445,953 4.1 7,836,768 5.3 II 13,164,150 4.5 338,914 12,825,236 430,877 13.4 4,530,071 3.5 7,864,289 4.6 III 13,222,137 3.2 340,407 12,881,731 334,022-0.1 4,592,713 2.5 7,954,996 3.7 IV 13,763,649 3.4 354,348 13,409,301 487,694 8.5 4,623,261 0.9 8,298,346 4.6 2013 13,425,236 1.1 345,636 13,079,601 405,640 0.3 4,516,803-0.7 8,157,158 2.1 I 13,064,767 0.6 336,355 12,728,412 357,268-2.2 4,373,297-1.6 7,997,847 2.1 II 13,374,408 1.6 344,327 13,030,081 441,953 2.6 4,517,278-0.3 8,070,849 2.6 III 13,406,776 1.4 345,160 13,061,616 336,809 0.8 4,570,450-0.5 8,154,357 2.5 IV 13,854,994 0.7 356,700 13,498,295 486,531-0.2 4,606,185-0.4 8,405,578 1.3 2014 13,820,186 2.9 355,849 13,464,337 409,387 0.9 4,628,814 2.5 8,426,137 3.3 I 13,304,823 1.8 342,535 12,962,288 374,624 4.9 4,442,553 1.6 8,145,110 1.8 II e/ 13,638,970 2.0 351,260 13,287,710 431,714-2.3 4,557,094 0.9 8,298,902 2.8 III e/ 13,904,563 3.7 358,020 13,546,543 331,634-1.5 4,742,666 3.8 8,472,244 3.9 IV e/ 14,432,388 4.2 371,580 14,060,808 499,576 2.7 4,772,941 3.6 8,788,290 4.6 Fuente: INEGI, Sistema de Cuentas Nacionales de México. e/ Estimación Modelo Prospectivo de la Economía Mexicana MOPEM. C-13
C-8. PIB Trimestral del Sector Industrial por Actividad Económica: Escenario Base 2013-2014 (Millones de pesos de 2008) PIB Sector Industrial Años Total Minería Manufacturas Construcción Electricidad Pesos Var.% Pesos Var.% Pesos Var.% Pesos Var.% Pesos Var.% 2011 4,427,598 3.4 1,017,204-0.4 2,109,315 4.6 1,015,099 4.1 285,979 6.9 I 4,271,320 3.8 1,003,668-0.7 2,049,526 6.1 945,243 2.0 272,883 11.3 II 4,376,663 3.3 1,019,076-1.3 2,106,925 4.0 982,869 4.8 267,794 12.0 III 4,481,218 2.8 1,014,430-1.4 2,129,636 4.2 1,032,554 4.7 304,598 1.0 IV 4,581,191 3.9 1,031,643 1.9 2,151,174 4.2 1,099,730 4.6 298,643 5.2 2012 4,547,999 2.7 1,026,249 0.9 2,193,069 4.0 1,035,854 2.0 292,826 2.4 I 4,445,953 4.1 1,013,310 1.0 2,174,041 6.1 972,742 2.9 285,859 4.8 II 4,530,071 3.5 1,024,100 0.5 2,213,207 5.0 1,017,870 3.6 274,893 2.7 III 4,592,713 2.5 1,031,834 1.7 2,197,238 3.2 1,053,876 2.1 309,764 1.7 IV 4,623,261 0.9 1,035,753 0.4 2,187,792 1.7 1,098,928-0.1 300,788 0.7 2013 4,516,803-0.7 1,009,276-1.7 2,224,839 1.4 989,417-4.5 293,271 0.2 I 4,373,297-1.6 994,990-1.8 2,151,765-1.0 943,874-3.0 282,668-1.1 II 4,517,278-0.3 1,002,847-2.1 2,257,593 2.0 981,580-3.6 275,259 0.1 III 4,570,450-0.5 1,012,890-1.8 2,261,276 2.9 984,028-6.6 312,255 0.8 IV 4,606,185-0.4 1,026,375-0.9 2,228,723 1.9 1,048,185-4.6 302,902 0.7 2014 4,628,814 2.5 1,009,366 0.0 2,315,280 4.1 1,004,692 1.5 299,476 2.1 I 4,442,553 1.6 994,712 0.0 2,243,517 4.3 917,579-2.8 286,745 1.4 II e/ 4,557,094 0.9 1,001,787-0.1 2,309,792 2.3 965,317-1.7 280,198 1.8 III e/ 4,742,666 3.8 1,014,234 0.1 2,374,571 5.0 1,033,925 5.1 319,936 2.5 IV e/ 4,772,941 3.6 1,026,730 0.0 2,333,239 4.7 1,101,947 5.1 311,026 2.7 Fuente: INEGI. Sistema de Cuentas Nacionales de México. e/ Estimación Modelo Prospectivo de la Economía Mexicana MOPEM. Continúa C-14
C-9. PIB Trimestral del Sector Servicios por Actividad Económica: Escenario Base 2013-2014 (Millones de pesos de 2008) Años! PIB Sector Servicios Comercio, Transporte, Almacenaje Servicios Financieros, Servicios Comunales, Total Restaurantes y Hoteles y Comunicaciones Seguros e Inmuebles Sociales y Personales Pesos Var.% Pesos Var.% Pesos Var.% Pesos Var.% Pesos Var.% 2011 7,640,629 4.7 2,178,883 8.7 728,423 4.0 2,071,827 3.9 2,661,496 2.5 I 7,442,071 5.0 2,078,640 10.3 703,262 4.7 2,062,611 5.3 2,597,558 1.1 II 7,516,696 4.0 2,163,664 8.6 725,789 3.4 2,009,937 2.9 2,617,306 1.5 III 7,668,600 5.1 2,202,214 9.3 733,069 4.2 2,069,210 3.2 2,664,107 3.4 IV 7,935,150 4.8 2,271,012 6.7 751,572 3.9 2,145,552 4.3 2,767,013 4.0 2012 7,988,600 4.6 2,283,726 4.8 758,126 4.1 2,156,309 4.1 2,790,439 4.8 I 7,836,768 5.3 2,222,259 6.9 746,547 6.2 2,152,064 4.3 2,715,898 4.6 II 7,864,289 4.6 2,278,054 5.3 757,534 4.4 2,097,035 4.3 2,731,666 4.4 III 7,954,996 3.7 2,260,051 2.6 755,102 3.0 2,158,454 4.3 2,781,388 4.4 IV 8,298,346 4.6 2,374,540 4.6 773,319 2.9 2,217,684 3.4 2,932,802 6.0 2013 8,157,158 2.1 2,345,218 2.7 769,345 1.5 2,201,540 2.1 2,841,055 1.8 I 7,997,847 2.1 2,243,200 0.9 750,042 0.5 2,202,140 2.3 2,802,464 3.2 II 8,070,849 2.6 2,356,185 3.4 771,473 1.8 2,161,553 3.1 2,781,638 1.8 III 8,154,357 2.5 2,352,131 4.1 772,525 2.3 2,199,236 1.9 2,830,465 1.8 IV 8,405,578 1.3 2,429,356 2.3 783,338 1.3 2,243,232 1.2 2,949,652 0.6 2014 8,426,137 3.3 2,424,915 3.4 791,818 2.9 2,281,423 3.6 2,927,980 3.1 I 8,145,110 1.8 2,290,070 2.1 762,251 1.6 2,248,488 2.1 2,844,302 1.5 II e/ 8,298,902 2.8 2,410,278 2.3 788,445 2.2 2,228,824 3.1 2,871,355 3.2 III e/ 8,472,244 3.9 2,449,089 4.1 800,336 3.6 2,294,931 4.4 2,927,888 3.4 IV e/ 8,788,290 4.6 2,550,224 5.0 816,238 4.2 2,353,451 4.9 3,068,377 4.0 Fuente: INEGI. Sistema de Cuentas Nacionales de México. e/ Estimación Modelo Prospectivo de la Economía Mexicana MOPEM. C-15
C-10. PIB Trimestral de la Industria Manufacturera por Actividad Económica: Escenario Base 2013-2014 (Millones de pesos de 2008) Industria Alimentos, Textiles, Madera Imprenta Años Manufacturera Bebidas y Tabaco Vestidos y Cuero y sus Productos y Editoriales Pesos Var.% Pesos Var.% Pesos Var.% Pesos Var.% Pesos Var.% 2011 2,109,315 4.6 576,989 2.6 99,984-1.1 47,976 2.8 59,258 0.6 I 2,049,526 6.1 571,012 3.2 97,054 2.1 45,122 6.8 57,503 1.7 II 2,106,925 4.0 574,117 2.1 98,973-1.0 48,067 4.7 59,435-1.2 III 2,129,636 4.2 572,435 2.7 102,372-2.3 44,500-8.1 59,988 0.6 IV 2,151,174 4.2 590,391 2.5 101,538-2.9 54,213 8.2 60,107 1.4 2012 2,193,069 4.0 590,398 2.3 100,854 0.9 51,418 7.2 60,545 2.2 I 2,174,041 6.1 592,118 3.7 97,940 0.9 47,400 5.1 58,539 1.8 II 2,213,207 5.0 590,984 2.9 98,078-0.9 51,204 6.5 62,834 5.7 III 2,197,238 3.2 578,051 1.0 104,006 1.6 52,456 17.9 61,619 2.7 IV 2,187,792 1.7 600,437 1.7 103,391 1.8 54,610 0.7 59,189-1.5 2013 2,224,839 1.4 593,783 0.6 102,504 1.6 49,149-4.4 60,478-0.1 I 2,151,765-1.0 588,852-0.6 96,346-1.6 45,765-3.4 58,512 0.0 II 2,257,593 2.0 601,438 1.8 104,344 6.4 48,730-4.8 62,306-0.8 III 2,261,276 2.9 584,325 1.1 105,732 1.7 48,435-7.7 60,774-1.4 IV 2,228,723 1.9 600,517 0.0 103,593 0.2 53,664-1.7 60,319 1.9 2014 2,315,280 4.1 605,071 1.9 102,611 0.1 49,464 0.6 61,955 2.4 I 2,243,517 4.3 594,706 1.0 96,582 0.2 44,875-1.9 59,707 2.0 II e/ 2,309,792 2.3 610,297 1.5 98,137-5.9 46,856-3.8 62,393 0.1 III e/ 2,374,571 5.0 605,187 3.6 107,386 1.6 50,087 3.4 62,986 3.6 IV e/ 2,333,239 4.7 610,095 1.6 108,340 4.6 56,037 4.4 62,734 4.0 Continúa C-16
Continuación Químicos, Minerales Industrias Maquinaria Otras Años Petróleo y Caucho No Metálicos Metálicas Básicas y Equipo Industrias Pesos Var.% Pesos Var.% Pesos Var.% Pesos Var.% Pesos Var.% 2011 397,318 0.2 111,756 3.7 214,273 5.2 554,750 12.1 47,011 5.1 I 393,137-0.1 102,662 4.7 206,404 5.1 531,387 17.3 45,246 2.7 II 403,658-0.4 115,639 4.2 214,223 3.9 545,538 10.7 47,274 10.3 III 403,243 0.6 113,840 4.9 220,684 6.0 565,233 10.6 47,341 5.7 IV 389,236 0.7 114,883 1.2 215,781 5.6 576,844 10.4 48,182 2.1 2012 402,607 1.3 114,457 2.4 220,332 2.8 605,313 9.1 47,145 0.3 I 402,750 2.4 107,350 4.6 218,570 5.9 602,915 13.5 46,457 2.7 II 410,541 1.7 116,494 0.7 226,630 5.8 608,667 11.6 47,776 1.1 III 402,340-0.2 118,523 4.1 221,504 0.4 611,196 8.1 47,543 0.4 IV 394,798 1.4 115,462 0.5 214,625-0.5 598,474 3.7 46,805-2.9 2013 405,747 0.8 111,517-2.6 220,578 0.1 633,492 4.7 47,592 0.9 I 394,765-2.0 105,191-2.0 214,695-1.8 602,701 0.0 44,938-3.3 II 410,806 0.1 116,455 0.0 220,025-2.9 646,072 6.1 47,418-0.8 III 417,256 3.7 113,178-4.5 228,287 3.1 656,462 7.4 46,826-1.5 IV 400,162 1.4 111,242-3.7 219,304 2.2 628,734 5.1 51,186 9.4 2014 414,712 2.2 113,378 1.7 234,250 6.2 683,972 8.0 49,867 4.8 I 399,825 1.3 106,919 1.6 234,752 9.3 658,318 9.2 47,833 6.4 II e/ 403,133-1.9 118,075 1.4 232,904 5.9 687,894 6.5 50,103 5.7 III e/ 435,904 4.5 117,111 3.5 237,690 4.1 709,595 8.1 48,624 3.8 IV e/ 419,985 5.0 111,408 0.1 231,652 5.6 680,081 8.2 52,907 3.4 Fuente: INEGI. Sistema de Cuentas Nacionales de México. e/ Estimación Modelo Prospectivo de la Economía Mexicana MOPEM. Conclusión C-17
C-11. PIB Trimestral del Sector Industrial por Subsectores Económicos: Escenario Base 2013-2014 (Millones de pesos de 2008) Minería Electricidad Construcción Total Minería de minerales Generación, Agua y sumistro Construcción Trabajos Años Sector Extracción metálicos y no transmisión de gas por ductos de obras de especializados Industrial de petróleo metálicos, excepto y suministro de al consumidor ingeniería para la Total subsector y gas petróleo y gas Total subsector energía eléctrica final Total subsector Edificación civil construcción Pesos Var.% Pesos Var.% Pesos Var.% Pesos Var.% Pesos Var.% Pesos Var.% Pesos Var.% Pesos Var.% Pesos Var.% Pesos Var.% Pesos Var.% 2011 4,427,598 3.4 1,017,204-0.4 828,271-1.7 114,388 10.5 285,979 6.9 246,384 8.1 39,595 0.4 1,015,099 4.1 673,091 4.3 243,728 2.9 98,280 5.6 I 4,271,320 3.8 1,003,668-0.7 827,624-1.0 107,949 10.8 272,883 11.3 233,790 13.6 39,093-0.6 945,243 2.0 631,257 0.9 219,889 4.0 94,097 4.7 II 4,376,663 3.3 1,019,076-1.3 830,742-1.0 116,527 13.5 267,794 12.0 228,125 14.3 39,669 0.4 982,869 4.8 648,408 6.1 236,521 1.0 97,939 6.1 III 4,481,218 2.8 1,014,430-1.4 826,751-2.8 112,996 8.1 304,598 1.0 264,891 1.0 39,707 0.7 1,032,554 4.7 685,740 5.4 246,805 3.0 100,009 4.4 IV 4,581,191 3.9 1,031,643 1.9 827,969-2.0 120,080 9.8 298,643 5.2 258,730 5.9 39,913 1.2 1,099,730 4.6 726,959 4.6 271,695 3.7 101,076 7.0 2012 4,547,999 2.7 1,026,249 0.9 824,549-0.4 124,822 9.1 292,826 2.4 252,554 2.5 40,273 1.7 1,035,854 2.0 687,151 2.1 246,223 1.0 102,480 4.3 I 4,445,953 4.1 1,013,310 1.0 818,838-1.1 122,141 13.1 285,859 4.8 246,154 5.3 39,705 1.6 972,742 2.9 650,204 3.0 225,389 2.5 97,149 3.2 II 4,530,071 3.5 1,024,100 0.5 820,062-1.3 128,304 10.1 274,893 2.7 234,658 2.9 40,235 1.4 1,017,870 3.6 675,166 4.1 240,576 1.7 102,128 4.3 III 4,592,713 2.5 1,031,834 1.7 828,271 0.2 124,536 10.2 309,764 1.7 269,280 1.7 40,484 2.0 1,053,876 2.1 693,722 1.2 252,893 2.5 107,261 7.3 IV 4,623,261 0.9 1,035,753 0.4 831,026 0.4 124,307 3.5 300,788 0.7 260,122 0.5 40,667 1.9 1,098,928-0.1 729,513 0.4 266,035-2.1 103,381 2.3 2013 4,516,803-0.7 1,009,276-1.7 814,914-1.2 123,687-0.9 293,271 0.2 252,803 0.1 40,468 0.5 989,417-4.5 653,530-4.9 235,782-4.2 100,105-2.3 I 4,373,297-1.6 994,990-1.8 811,125-0.9 118,659-2.9 282,668-1.1 242,797-1.4 39,870 0.4 943,874-3.0 631,596-2.9 216,739-3.8 95,538-1.7 II 4,517,278-0.3 1,002,847-2.1 808,083-1.5 124,204-3.2 275,259 0.1 234,801 0.1 40,458 0.6 981,580-3.6 648,988-3.9 231,179-3.9 101,412-0.7 III 4,570,450-0.5 1,012,890-1.8 816,539-1.4 122,312-1.8 312,255 0.8 271,534 0.8 40,721 0.6 984,028-6.6 643,200-7.3 237,980-5.9 102,848-4.1 IV 4,606,185-0.4 1,026,375-0.9 823,907-0.9 129,574 4.2 302,902 0.7 262,081 0.8 40,822 0.4 1,048,185-4.6 690,334-5.4 257,230-3.3 100,622-2.7 2014 4,628,814 2.5 1,009,139 0.0 811,914-0.4 127,634 3.2 300,240 2.4 258,484 2.2 41,756 3.2 1,004,633 1.5 664,898 1.7 235,202-0.2 104,533 4.4 I 4,442,553 1.6 994,712 0.0 800,901-1.3 127,809 7.7 286,745 1.4 246,410 1.5 40,336 1.2 917,579-2.8 610,660-3.3 205,566-5.2 101,354 6.1 II e/ 4,557,094 0.9 1,001,490-0.1 808,554 0.1 130,065 4.7 280,983 2.1 239,376 1.9 41,607 2.8 965,096-1.7 646,166-0.4 217,019-6.1 101,911 0.5 III e/ 4,742,666 3.8 1,014,125 0.1 816,634 0.0 125,171 2.3 320,896 2.8 278,611 2.6 42,285 3.8 1,033,907 5.1 677,277 5.3 248,109 4.3 108,521 5.5 IV e/ 4,772,941 3.6 1,026,229 0.0 821,567-0.3 127,492-1.6 312,338 3.1 269,541 2.8 42,797 4.8 1,101,951 5.1 725,489 5.1 270,114 5.0 106,347 5.7 Fuente: INEGI. Sistema de Cuentas Nacionales de México. e/ Estimación Modelo Prospectivo de la Economía Mexicana MOPEM. Continúa C-18
Continuación Manufacturas Industrias alimentaria, de las bebidas y del tabaco Textiles, prendas de vestir y productos de cuero Total Confección de Fabricación de cuero, Años Subsector Industria Fabricación productos textiles, Fabricación piel y materiales Manufacturero Industria de las bebidas de insumos excepto prendas de prendas sucedáneos, excepto Total rama alimentaria y del tabaco Total rama textiles de vestir de vestir prendas de vestir Pesos Var.% Pesos Var.% Pesos Var.% Pesos Var.% Pesos Var.% Pesos Var.% Pesos Var.% Pesos Var.% Pesos Var.% 2011 2,109,315 4.6 576,989 2.6 467,612 2.2 109,377 4.6 99,984-1.1 16,328-4.4 11,821-2.9 54,214 0.2 17,622-0.7 I 2,049,526 6.1 571,012 3.2 472,572 2.2 98,439 8.2 97,054 2.1 16,284 2.7 11,360 0.2 51,990 3.3 17,421-0.5 II 2,106,925 4.0 574,117 2.1 457,734 1.0 116,383 6.8 98,973-1.0 16,124-4.1 11,374-5.0 53,748 1.0 17,727-1.6 III 2,129,636 4.2 572,435 2.7 459,734 2.7 112,701 2.6 102,372-2.3 16,927-7.3 12,206-3.6 55,187-0.8 18,052-0.9 IV 2,151,174 4.2 590,391 2.5 480,408 2.8 109,983 1.5 101,538-2.9 15,977-8.2 12,342-3.0 55,930-2.3 17,289 0.3 2012 2,193,069 4.0 590,398 2.3 478,163 2.3 112,234 2.6 100,854 0.9 16,840 3.1 11,807-0.1 53,964-0.5 18,242 3.5 I 2,174,041 6.1 592,118 3.7 488,695 3.4 103,423 5.1 97,940 0.9 16,010-1.7 11,302-0.5 52,016 0.1 18,613 6.8 II 2,213,207 5.0 590,984 2.9 473,111 3.4 117,874 1.3 98,078-0.9 16,781 4.1 11,504 1.1 51,745-3.7 18,048 1.8 III 2,197,238 3.2 578,051 1.0 463,538 0.8 114,513 1.6 104,006 1.6 17,905 5.8 12,433 1.9 55,106-0.1 18,562 2.8 IV 2,187,792 1.7 600,437 1.7 487,309 1.4 113,128 2.9 103,391 1.8 16,665 4.3 11,990-2.8 56,989 1.9 17,746 2.6 2013 2,224,839 1.4 593,783 0.6 480,416 0.5 113,367 1.0 102,504 1.6 16,312-3.1 12,156 3.0 55,645 3.1 18,391 0.8 I 2,151,765-1.0 588,852-0.6 486,773-0.4 102,079-1.3 96,346-1.6 15,840-1.1 11,876 5.1 50,744-2.4 17,886-3.9 II 2,257,593 2.0 601,438 1.8 480,976 1.7 120,462 2.2 104,344 6.4 16,959 1.1 12,315 7.1 56,372 8.9 18,699 3.6 III 2,261,276 2.9 584,325 1.1 466,717 0.7 117,608 2.7 105,732 1.7 16,828-6.0 13,018 4.7 57,124 3.7 18,762 1.1 IV 2,228,723 1.9 600,517 0.0 487,198 0.0 113,319 0.2 103,593 0.2 15,621-6.3 11,415-4.8 58,341 2.4 18,215 2.6 2014 2,315,280 4.1 605,071 1.9 489,250 1.8 115,821 2.2 102,611 0.1 15,872-2.7 12,254 0.8 55,866 0.4 18,619 1.2 I 2,243,517 4.3 594,706 1.0 491,670 1.0 103,036 0.9 96,582 0.2 15,794-0.3 11,983 0.9 50,935 0.4 17,871-0.1 II e/ 2,309,792 2.3 610,297 1.5 487,254 1.3 123,043 2.1 98,137-5.9 15,705-7.4 11,712-4.9 52,892-6.2 17,828-4.7 IIIe/ 2,374,571 5.0 605,187 3.6 483,176 3.5 122,011 3.7 107,386 1.6 16,678-0.9 13,654 4.9 57,588 0.8 19,465 3.7 IV e/ 2,333,239 4.7 610,095 1.6 494,901 1.6 115,194 1.7 108,340 4.6 15,309-2.0 11,669 2.2 62,049 6.4 19,313 6.0 Fuente: INEGI. Sistema de Cuentas Nacionales de México. e/ Estimación Modelo Prospectivo de la Economía Mexicana MOPEM. Continúa C-19
Continuación Manufacturas Madera y sus productos Impresión e industrias conexas Químicos, petróleo y caucho Fabricación Fabricación de Años de muebles Impresión productos derivados Industria Industria y productos Industria e industrias del petróleo Industria del plástico Total rama de la madera relacionados Total rama del papel conexas Total rama y del carbón química y del hule Pesos Var.% Pesos Var.% Pesos Var.% Pesos Var.% Pesos Var.% Pesos Var.% Pesos Var.% Pesos Var.% Pesos Var.% Pesos Var.% 2011 47,976 2.8 47,976 5.1 27,677 1.2 59,258 0.6 41,646-0.8 17,612 4.2 397,318 0.2 77,923-3.6 259,084-0.1 60,312 6.7 I 45,122 6.8 45,122 8.4 25,499 5.6 57,503 1.7 41,922 1.5 15,581 2.0 393,137-0.1 77,955-7.0 257,502 0.1 57,679 9.6 II 48,067 4.7 48,067 6.8 25,949 3.0 59,435-1.2 42,309-1.5 17,127-0.4 403,658-0.4 77,761-7.6 265,567 0.5 60,329 6.0 III 44,500-8.1 44,500 6.9 24,394-17.6 59,988 0.6 41,430-2.0 18,557 7.1 403,243 0.6 77,361-5.5 263,634 1.2 62,248 5.9 IV 54,213 8.2 54,213-1.6 34,865 14.5 60,107 1.4 40,925-1.3 19,183 7.6 389,236 0.7 78,612 6.8 249,631-2.2 60,993 5.6 2012 51,418 7.2 51,418 13.0 28,477 2.9 60,545 2.2 43,646 4.8 16,899-4.0 402,607 1.3 78,656 0.9 258,635-0.2 65,317 8.3 I 47,400 5.1 47,400 4.0 27,001 5.9 58,539 1.8 42,421 1.2 16,118 3.4 402,750 2.4 78,548 0.8 259,662 0.8 64,540 11.9 II 51,204 6.5 51,204 8.7 27,158 4.7 62,834 5.7 45,296 7.1 17,538 2.4 410,541 1.7 81,070 4.3 263,293-0.9 66,178 9.7 III 52,456 17.9 52,456 13.4 29,663 21.6 61,619 2.7 43,381 4.7 18,238-1.7 402,340-0.2 76,911-0.6 259,216-1.7 66,213 6.4 IV 54,610 0.7 54,610 26.8 30,087-13.7 59,189-1.5 43,486 6.3 15,703-18.1 394,798 1.4 78,093-0.7 252,370 1.1 64,335 5.5 2013 49,149-4.4 49,149-2.7 26,836-5.8 60,478-0.1 44,784 2.6 15,694-7.1 405,747 0.8 80,512 2.4 260,351 0.7 64,884-0.7 I 45,765-3.4 45,765 6.2 24,100-10.7 58,512 0.0 44,050 3.8 14,462-10.3 394,765-2.0 77,698-1.1 254,580-2.0 62,487-3.2 II 48,730-4.8 48,730-3.6 25,544-5.9 62,306-0.8 46,150 1.9 16,157-7.9 410,806 0.1 84,654 4.4 260,304-1.1 65,848-0.5 III 48,435-7.7 48,435-4.1 26,579-10.4 60,774-1.4 44,452 2.5 16,322-10.5 417,256 3.7 79,950 4.0 270,728 4.4 66,577 0.6 IV 53,664-1.7 53,664-8.1 31,122 3.4 60,319 1.9 44,483 2.3 15,837 0.9 400,162 1.4 79,747 2.1 255,793 1.4 64,622 0.4 2014 49,464 0.6 49,464 1.9 26,735-0.4 61,955 2.4 46,054 2.8 15,901 1.3 414,712 2.2 81,550 1.3 265,399 1.9 64,884 4.4 I 44,875-1.9 44,875-1.9 23,622-2.0 59,707 2.0 45,306 2.9 14,402-0.4 399,825 1.3 75,443-2.9 258,587 1.6 65,794 5.3 II e/ 46,856-3.8 46,856-2.0 24,138-5.5 62,393 0.1 47,092 2.0 15,300-5.3 403,133-1.9 81,970-3.2 253,370-2.7 67,794 3.0 III e/ 50,087 3.4 50,087 4.0 27,347 2.9 62,986 3.6 45,801 3.0 17,185 5.3 435,904 4.5 85,314 6.7 281,666 4.0 68,923 3.5 IV e/ 56,037 4.4 56,037 7.4 31,831 2.3 62,734 4.0 46,017 3.4 16,717 5.6 419,985 5.0 83,471 4.7 267,972 4.8 68,542 6.1 Fuente: INEGI. Sistema de Cuentas Nacionales de México. e/ Estimación Modelo Prospectivo de la Economía Mexicana MOPEM. Continúa C-20
Continuación Manufacturas Fabricación de Industrias metálicas Maquinaria y equipo productos a base Fabricación equipo Fabricación de equipo Años de minerales Industrias Fabricación Fabricación de computación, de generación Fabricación Otras no metálicos metálicas de productos de maquinaria comunicación y eléctrica y accesorios de equipo industrias Total rama Total rama básicas metálicos Total rama y equipo otros electrónicos eléctricos de transporte Total rama Pesos Var.% Pesos Var.% Pesos Var.% Pesos Var.% Pesos Var.% Pesos Var.% Pesos Var.% Pesos Var.% Pesos Var.% Pesos Var.% 2011 111,756 3.7 214,273 5.2 143,710 4.3 70,563 7.0 554,750 12.1 88,015 13.3 89,224 6.7 63,926-1.1 313,585 16.6 47,011 5.1 I 102,662 4.7 206,404 5.1 137,719 2.5 68,685 10.7 531,387 17.3 79,315 17.5 82,752 3.9 63,239 4.1 306,081 24.9 45,246 2.7 II 115,639 4.2 214,223 3.9 145,043 3.8 69,180 4.0 545,538 10.7 91,525 14.7 85,394 2.9 63,804-3.2 304,815 15.4 47,274 10.3 III 113,840 4.9 220,684 6.0 147,644 5.3 73,040 7.4 565,233 10.6 91,015 11.1 91,784 7.5 63,990-4.2 318,442 14.9 47,341 5.7 IV 114,883 1.2 215,781 5.6 144,434 5.4 71,346 6.2 576,844 10.4 90,206 10.6 96,966 12.2 64,672-0.5 325,000 12.3 48,182 2.1 2012 114,457 2.4 220,332 2.8 146,991 2.3 73,341 3.9 605,313 9.1 92,730 5.4 89,682 0.5 65,082 1.8 357,819 14.1 47,145 0.3 I 107,350 4.6 218,570 5.9 146,346 6.3 72,225 5.2 602,915 13.5 95,486 20.4 87,360 5.6 63,243 0.0 356,827 16.6 46,457 2.7 II 116,494 0.7 226,630 5.8 151,639 4.5 74,991 8.4 608,667 11.6 97,284 6.3 89,659 5.0 64,296 0.8 357,427 17.3 47,776 1.1 III 118,523 4.1 221,504 0.4 146,207-1.0 75,297 3.1 611,196 8.1 91,879 0.9 90,107-1.8 66,730 4.3 362,480 13.8 47,543 0.4 IV 115,462 0.5 214,625-0.5 143,775-0.5 70,851-0.7 598,474 3.7 86,270-4.4 91,604-5.5 66,059 2.1 354,541 9.1 46,805-2.9 2013 111,517-2.6 220,578 0.1 147,005 0.0 73,572 0.3 633,492 4.7 91,147-1.7 101,980 13.7 63,630-2.2 376,735 5.3 47,592 0.9 I 105,191-2.0 214,695-1.8 142,705-2.5 71,990-0.3 602,701 0.0 87,230-8.6 97,534 11.6 60,636-4.1 357,301 0.1 44,938-3.3 II 116,455 0.0 220,025-2.9 144,481-4.7 75,543 0.7 646,072 6.1 96,515-0.8 102,737 14.6 64,308 0.0 382,512 7.0 47,418-0.8 III 113,178-4.5 228,287 3.1 153,534 5.0 74,754-0.7 656,462 7.4 94,521 2.9 109,050 21.0 65,118-2.4 387,772 7.0 46,826-1.5 IV 111,242-3.7 219,304 2.2 147,301 2.5 72,003 1.6 628,734 5.1 86,321 0.1 98,598 7.6 64,460-2.4 379,355 7.0 51,186 9.4 2014 113,378 1.7 234,250 6.2 159,477 8.5 74,772 1.6 683,972 8.0 92,861 1.9 109,317 7.2 66,648 4.7 415,146 10.2 49,867 4.8 I 106,919 1.6 234,752 9.3 162,794 14.1 71,958 0.0 658,318 9.2 88,901 1.9 101,659 4.2 65,370 7.8 402,387 12.6 47,833 6.4 II e/ 118,075 1.4 232,904 5.9 156,464 8.3 76,440 1.2 687,894 6.5 93,889-2.7 104,710 1.9 66,021 2.7 423,274 10.7 50,103 5.7 III e/ 117,111 3.5 237,690 4.1 161,726 5.3 75,964 1.6 709,595 8.1 100,113 5.9 120,452 10.5 67,882 4.2 421,147 8.6 48,624 3.8 IV e/ 111,408 0.1 231,652 5.6 156,925 6.5 74,727 3.8 680,081 8.2 88,540 2.6 110,448 12.0 67,318 4.4 413,775 9.1 52,907 3.4 Fuente: INEGI. Sistema de Cuentas Nacionales de México. e/ Estimación Modelo Prospectivo de la Economía Mexicana MOPEM. Conclusión C-21
C-12. PIB Trimestral del Sector Servicios por Subsector Económico: Escenario Base 2013-2014 (Millones de pesos de 2008) Comercio, restaurantes y hoteles Servicios financieros, seguros y actividades inmobiliarias Total Servicios de Transporte, Servicios Sector alojamiento temporal almacenaje y Servicios inmobiliarios y Años Servicios y de preparación de comunicaciones financieros de alquiler de bienes Total subsector Comercio alimentos y bebidas Total subsector Total subsector y de seguros muebles e intangibles Pesos Var.% Pesos Var.% Pesos Var.% Pesos Var.% Pesos Var.% Pesos Var.% Pesos Var.% Pesos Var.% 2011 7,640,629 4.7 2,178,883 8.7 1,919,062 9.7 259,820 1.5 728,423 4.0 2,071,827 3.9 523,318 7.1 1,548,510 2.9 I 7,442,071 5.0 2,078,640 10.3 1,825,406 12.0 253,234-0.8 703,262 4.7 2,062,611 5.3 504,814 10.8 1,557,797 3.7 II 7,516,696 4.0 2,163,664 8.6 1,908,926 9.7 254,737 0.7 725,789 3.4 2,009,937 2.9 497,145 3.7 1,512,792 2.6 III 7,668,600 5.1 2,202,214 9.3 1,937,574 10.4 264,640 2.3 733,069 4.2 2,069,210 3.2 526,743 5.6 1,542,466 2.5 IV 7,935,150 4.8 2,271,012 6.7 2,004,343 7.1 266,669 3.8 751,572 3.9 2,145,552 4.3 564,568 8.5 1,580,984 2.9 2012 7,988,600 4.6 2,283,726 4.8 2,009,661 4.7 274,065 5.5 758,126 4.1 2,156,309 4.1 567,904 8.5 1,588,406 2.6 I 7,836,768 5.3 2,222,259 6.9 1,955,460 7.1 266,799 5.4 746,547 6.2 2,152,064 4.3 553,936 9.7 1,598,128 2.6 II 7,864,289 4.6 2,278,054 5.3 2,009,846 5.3 268,208 5.3 757,534 4.4 2,097,035 4.3 545,916 9.8 1,551,118 2.5 III 7,954,996 3.7 2,260,051 2.6 1,980,733 2.2 279,318 5.5 755,102 3.0 2,158,454 4.3 572,388 8.7 1,586,066 2.8 IV 8,298,346 4.6 2,374,540 4.6 2,092,603 4.4 281,937 5.7 773,319 2.9 2,217,684 3.4 599,375 6.2 1,618,309 2.4 2013 8,157,158 2.1 2,345,218 2.7 2,065,369 2.8 279,849 2.1 769,345 1.5 2,201,540 2.1 589,595 3.8 1,611,945 1.5 I 7,997,847 2.1 2,243,200 0.9 1,965,977 0.5 277,223 3.9 750,042 0.5 2,202,140 2.3 575,112 3.8 1,627,028 1.8 II 8,070,849 2.6 2,356,185 3.4 2,085,006 3.7 271,179 1.1 771,473 1.8 2,161,553 3.1 585,158 7.2 1,576,396 1.6 III 8,154,357 2.5 2,352,131 4.1 2,068,086 4.4 284,044 1.7 772,525 2.3 2,199,236 1.9 590,065 3.1 1,609,171 1.5 IV 8,405,578 1.3 2,429,356 2.3 2,142,405 2.4 286,951 1.8 783,338 1.3 2,243,232 1.2 608,046 1.4 1,635,186 1.0 2014 8,426,137 3.3 2,424,915 3.4 2,137,140 3.5 287,775 2.8 791,818 2.9 2,281,423 3.6 621,286 5.4 1,660,137 3.0 I 8,145,110 1.8 2,290,070 2.1 2,007,783 2.1 282,286 1.8 762,251 1.6 2,248,488 2.1 585,670 1.8 1,662,817 2.2 II e/ 8,298,902 2.8 2,410,278 2.3 2,130,042 2.2 280,236 3.3 788,445 2.2 2,228,824 3.1 616,171 5.3 1,612,653 2.3 III e/ 8,472,244 3.9 2,449,089 4.1 2,157,232 4.3 291,857 2.8 800,336 3.6 2,294,931 4.4 627,829 6.4 1,667,101 3.6 IV e/ 8,788,290 4.6 2,550,224 5.0 2,253,504 5.2 296,721 3.4 816,238 4.2 2,353,451 4.9 655,474 7.8 1,697,977 3.8 Fuente: INEGI. Sistema de Cuentas Nacionales de México. e/ Estimación Modelo Prospectivo de la Economía Mexicana MOPEM. Continuación C-22
Continuación Servicios Servicios comunales, sociales y personales Servicios de profesionales, Dirección apoyo a los negocios y Años científicos de corporativos manejo de desechos y Servicios Total subsector y técnicos y empresas servicios de remediación educativos Pesos Var.% Pesos Var.% Pesos Var.% Pesos Var.% Pesos Var.% 2011 2,661,496 2.5 288,288 5.1 74,383 3.5 395,696 6.0 481,281 1.6 I 2,597,558 1.1 278,549 4.5 69,587 0.1 386,082 4.5 485,049-0.3 II 2,617,306 1.5 287,160 5.6 73,079 1.6 388,921 6.0 459,777 0.8 III 2,664,107 3.4 280,142 4.3 73,985 3.0 398,828 7.2 480,045 3.1 IV 2,767,013 4.0 307,302 6.2 80,881 9.1 408,954 6.2 500,251 2.7 2012 2,790,439 4.8 291,560 1.1 79,409 6.8 413,124 4.4 491,994 2.2 I 2,715,898 4.6 280,957 0.9 71,581 2.9 397,173 2.9 501,155 3.3 II 2,731,666 4.4 282,585-1.6 77,556 6.1 404,578 4.0 467,538 1.7 III 2,781,388 4.4 287,990 2.8 81,398 10.0 410,395 2.9 488,873 1.8 IV 2,932,802 6.0 314,706 2.4 87,099 7.7 440,351 7.7 510,411 2.0 2013 2,841,055 1.8 288,578-1.0 74,925-5.6 429,115 3.9 497,357 1.1 I 2,802,464 3.2 283,724 1.0 70,781-1.1 422,087 6.3 499,975-0.2 II 2,781,638 1.8 280,766-0.6 75,352-2.8 419,893 3.8 475,853 1.8 III 2,830,465 1.8 279,225-3.0 79,838-1.9 421,879 2.8 495,334 1.3 IV 2,949,652 0.6 310,595-1.3 73,727-15.4 452,600 2.8 518,266 1.5 2014 2,927,980 3.1 292,867 1.5 78,732 5.1 444,921 3.7 508,203 2.2 I 2,844,302 1.5 283,164-0.2 74,117 4.7 419,058-0.7 513,656 2.7 II e/ 2,871,355 3.2 285,258 1.6 78,216 3.8 435,849 3.8 486,322 2.2 III e/ 2,927,888 3.4 285,927 2.4 83,191 4.2 445,926 5.7 505,241 2.0 IV e/ 3,068,377 4.0 317,118 2.1 79,404 7.7 478,851 5.8 527,595 1.8 Fuente: INEGI. Sistema de Cuentas Nacionales de México. e/ Estimación Modelo Prospectivo de la Economía Mexicana MOPEM. Continúa C-23
Continuación Servicios de esparcimiento, Servicios comunales, sociales y personales Servicios culturales y deportivos, Otros servicios Años de salud y otros servicios Información en excepto actividades Actividades y de asistencia social recreativos medios masivos del gobierno del gobierno Pesos Var.% Pesos Var.% Pesos Var.% Pesos Var.% Pesos Var.% 2011 260,344 2.1 56,876-0.7 371,055 4.4 261,470 1.9 472,103-1.4 I 263,136 2.7 55,263 0.8 347,615-0.7 255,712 0.7 456,565-1.3 II 250,462 2.5 54,907 0.3 364,808 2.2 256,799 2.4 481,393-4.4 III 266,167 2.7 56,576-1.9 385,131 8.3 264,552 2.2 458,680-2.0 IV 261,610 0.6 60,756-1.8 386,665 7.8 268,818 2.2 491,774 2.3 2012 265,943 2.2 58,547 2.9 432,576 16.6 267,043 2.1 490,243 3.8 I 267,217 1.6 54,484-1.4 405,157 16.6 262,383 2.6 475,791 4.2 II 254,462 1.6 55,884 1.8 417,765 14.5 261,381 1.8 509,918 5.9 III 272,905 2.5 59,201 4.6 438,969 14.0 270,316 2.2 471,341 2.8 IV 269,188 2.9 64,618 6.4 468,414 21.1 274,092 2.0 503,924 2.5 2013 271,270 2.0 58,598 0.1 455,520 5.3 271,523 1.7 494,171 0.8 I 276,561 3.5 56,030 2.8 449,165 10.9 268,577 2.4 475,564 0.0 II 261,064 2.6 54,915-1.7 444,216 6.3 266,561 2.0 503,017-1.4 III 275,439 0.9 58,841-0.6 460,521 4.9 275,002 1.7 484,385 2.8 IV 272,017 1.1 64,605 0.0 468,176-0.1 275,950 0.7 513,717 1.9 2014 277,631 2.3 59,872 2.2 481,519 5.7 277,466 2.2 506,770 2.5 I 277,155 0.2 53,919-3.8 463,008 3.1 266,975-0.6 493,250 3.7 II e/ 267,852 2.6 56,673 3.2 465,095 4.7 273,758 2.7 522,333 3.8 III e/ 284,253 3.2 61,253 4.1 489,534 6.3 284,353 3.4 488,210 0.8 IV e/ 281,265 3.4 67,641 4.7 508,439 8.6 284,780 3.2 523,285 1.9 Fuente: INEGI. Sistema de Cuentas Nacionales de México. e/ Estimación Modelo Prospectivo de la Economía Mexicana MOPEM. Conclusión C-24
D. Población Ocupada Indicadores Estratégicos de Ocupación y Empleo Sección: D-I. Población Ocupada, PEA y Tasa de Ocupación Parcial y Desocupación 1980-2020 Sección: D-II. Asegurados Permanentes y Eventuales Urbanos en el IMSS 1980-2020 Sección: D-III. ENOE Población Ocupada por Sectores Económicos 1980-2020 Sección: D-IV. ENOE Población Ocupada, PEA y Tasas de Ocupación Parcial y Desocupación 1980-2020 Sección: D-V. ENOE Informalidad Laboral en México 1980-2020 Sección: D-VI. ENOE Indicadores Trimestrales Estratégicos de Ocupación y Empleo 2013-2014 Sección: D-VII. INEGI Indicadores de Ocupación por Sectores Económicos 1980-2020
Sección: D-I. Población Ocupada Cuadro D-1. Población Ocupada, PEA y Tasa de Ocupación Parcial y Desocupación 1980-2020 Cuadro D-2. Personal Ocupado por Grandes Sectores Económicos 1980-2020 Cuadro D-3. Personal Ocupado en el Sector Industrial por Actividad Económica 1980-2020 Cuadro D-4. Personal Ocupado en el Sector Servicios por Actividad Económica 1980-2020 Cuadro D-5. Personal Ocupado en la Industria Manufacturera por Actividad Económica 1980-2020 Cuadro D-6. Personal Ocupado en el Sector Industrial por Subsectores y Ramas Económicas 1980-2020 Cuadro D-7. Personal Ocupado en el Sector Servicios por Subsectores Económicos 1980-2020
D-1. Población Ocupada, PEA y Tasa de Ocupación Parcial y Desocupación: Escenario Base 2014-2020 (Miles de personas) Población Ocupada Remunerada Población Ocupación Parcial Empleo en el Laboran en EUA Años Total Nuevos Con IMSS / ISSSTE Nuevos % con Económicamente Activa y Desocupación Sector Informal Total Flujo % PEA Personas Var.% Empleos Personas Var.% Asegurados Seguro Social Personas Var.% % PEA Personas % PEA Personas % PEA Personas Anual de EUA 1980 24,603 6.4 1,477 7,409 12.6 827 30.1 27,998 4.7 100.0 2,854 10.2 5,656 20.2 1,309 56 1.22 1981 26,122 6.2 1,519 8,193 10.6 784 31.4 29,219 4.4 100.0 1,843 6.3 5,156 17.6 1,371 61 1.26 1982 26,030-0.4-92 8,215 0.3 22 31.6 29,746 1.8 100.0 2,497 8.4 5,551 18.7 1,441 70 1.31 1983 25,319-2.7-711 8,246 0.4 31 32.6 29,424-1.1 100.0 2,947 10.0 5,997 20.4 1,518 77 1.36 1984 25,928 2.4 609 8,939 8.4 693 34.5 30,081 2.2 100.0 2,380 7.9 6,174 20.5 1,600 82 1.41 1985 26,484 2.1 557 9,494 6.2 556 35.8 31,004 3.1 100.0 2,470 8.0 6,366 20.5 1,692 92 1.47 1986 26,064-1.6-420 9,459-0.4-35 36.3 31,160 0.5 100.0 3,113 10.0 6,812 21.9 1,793 101 1.52 1987 26,299 0.9 235 10,272 8.6 813 39.1 31,806 2.1 100.0 3,134 9.9 7,118 22.4 1,911 118 1.59 1988 26,482 0.7 183 10,423 1.5 151 39.4 32,522 2.3 100.0 3,042 9.4 7,306 22.5 2,091 180 1.72 1989 27,199 2.7 716 10,909 4.7 487 40.1 33,238 2.2 100.0 2,701 8.1 7,521 22.6 2,313 222 1.87 1990 28,402 4.4 1,204 11,620 6.5 711 40.9 34,760 4.6 100.0 2,724 7.8 7,640 22.0 2,578 265 2.05 1991 29,195 2.8 792 12,105 4.2 485 41.5 35,822 3.1 100.0 2,701 7.5 7,879 22.0 2,861 282 2.26 1992 29,593 1.4 398 12,061-0.4-44 40.8 36,444 1.7 100.0 3,029 8.3 8,226 22.6 3,163 302 2.47 1993 29,861 0.9 268 11,914-1.2-147 39.9 37,473 2.8 100.0 3,722 9.9 8,516 22.7 3,465 303 2.68 1994 30,567 2.4 706 12,102 1.6 188 39.6 38,790 3.5 100.0 4,175 10.8 8,802 22.7 3,775 309 2.88 1995 29,636-3.0-931 11,313-6.5-789 38.2 37,278-3.9 100.0 5,598 15.0 9,500 25.5 4,204 429 3.18 1996 30,632 3.4 996 12,146 7.4 833 39.7 37,946 1.8 100.0 4,475 11.8 9,733 25.6 4,034-170 3.01 1997 31,820 3.9 1,188 12,741 4.9 595 40.0 39,447 4.0 100.0 4,260 10.8 10,179 25.8 4,415 381 3.24 1998 33,186 4.3 1,366 13,447 5.5 706 40.5 40,289 2.1 100.0 4,100 10.2 10,953 27.2 4,578 163 3.33 1999 33,944 2.3 758 14,146 5.2 699 41.7 40,095-0.5 100.0 3,195 8.0 10,857 27.1 4,619 41 3.31 2000 34,634 2.0 690 14,725 4.1 579 42.5 41,006 2.3 100.0 3,267 8.0 11,272 27.5 5,005 387 3.51 2001 34,388-0.7-246 14,480-1.7-245 42.1 41,084 0.2 100.0 3,057 7.4 11,281 27.5 5,335 329 3.71 2002 34,096-0.8-292 14,556 0.5 77 42.7 41,266 0.4 100.0 3,115 7.5 11,357 27.5 6,349 1,014 4.38 2003 34,244 0.4 148 14,570 0.1 14 42.5 42,068 1.9 100.0 3,564 8.5 11,752 27.9 6,458 110 4.41 2004 35,608 4.0 1,364 14,927 2.4 356 41.9 43,195 2.7 100.0 4,084 9.5 11,994 27.8 6,726 268 4.56 2005 35,847 0.7 239 15,370 3.0 443 42.9 43,997 1.9 100.0 4,126 9.4 11,959 27.2 6,937 210 4.65 2006 37,234 3.9 1,387 15,999 4.1 630 43.0 45,342 3.1 100.0 4,285 9.5 11,896 26.2 7,151 214 4.72 2007 37,917 1.8 683 16,591 3.7 591 43.8 46,290 2.1 100.0 4,658 10.1 12,138 26.2 7,663 512 5.00 2008 38,486 1.5 569 16,605 0.1 14 43.1 47,130 1.8 100.0 4,781 10.1 12,408 26.3 7,630-33 4.95 2009 37,097-3.6-1,389 16,464-0.8-141 44.4 48,340 2.6 100.0 5,627 11.6 12,942 26.8 7,720 90 5.01 2010 37,636 1.5 539 17,256 4.8 792 45.8 49,013 1.4 100.0 5,744 11.7 13,004 26.5 7,788 69 5.06 2011 38,172 1.4 536 17,883 3.6 627 46.8 50,019 2.1 100.0 5,740 11.5 13,568 27.1 7,614-174 4.96 2012 39,164 2.6 992 18,627 4.2 745 47.6 51,511 3.0 100.0 5,928 11.5 14,080 27.3 7,591-24 4.90 2013 39,521 0.9 357 19,111 2.6 484 48.4 52,051 1.0 100.0 5,906 11.3 14,018 26.9 7,557-34 4.86 2014 40,008 1.2 488 19,739 3.3 628 49.3 52,981 1.8 100.0 6,044 11.4 14,147 28.1 7,513-44 4.80 2015 40,897 2.2 889 20,520 4.0 781 50.2 54,229 2.4 100.0 6,002 11.1 14,246 27.6 7,548 35 4.76 2016 42,191 3.2 1,294 21,516 4.9 996 51.0 55,833 3.0 100.0 5,827 10.4 14,203 26.7 7,657 109 4.74 2017 43,759 3.7 1,568 22,739 5.7 1,223 52.0 57,621 3.2 100.0 5,490 9.5 13,763 24.9 7,812 156 4.75 2018 45,383 3.7 1,624 23,955 5.3 1,216 52.8 59,381 3.1 100.0 5,103 8.6 13,426 23.5 7,985 173 4.78 2019 46,852 3.2 1,469 25,090 4.7 1,135 53.6 61,028 2.8 100.0 4,876 8.0 13,258 22.5 8,134 148 4.80 2020 48,220 2.9 1,368 26,207 4.5 1,117 54.3 62,585 2.6 100.0 4,698 7.5 13,185 21.8 8,262 128 4.82 D-1
D-2. Personal Ocupado por Grandes Sectores Económicos: Escenario Base 2014-2020 (Puestos de trabajo ocupados remunerados) Población Ocupada por Sectores Económicos Estructura Porcentual Años Total Sector Agropecuario Sector Industrial Sector Servicios Total Primario Secundario Terciario Personas Var.% Personas Var.% Personas Var.% Personas Var.% % % % % 1980 24,602,687 6.4 5,480,791 3.5 6,992,209 8.0 12,129,687 6.8 100.0 22.3 28.4 49.3 1981 26,121,780 6.2 5,634,952 2.8 7,570,168 8.3 12,916,660 6.5 100.0 21.6 29.0 49.4 1982 26,030,084-0.4 5,448,835-3.3 7,411,375-2.1 13,169,874 2.0 100.0 20.9 28.5 50.6 1983 25,318,960-2.7 5,678,026 4.2 6,620,132-10.7 13,020,803-1.1 100.0 22.4 26.1 51.4 1984 25,927,555 2.4 5,742,952 1.1 6,875,983 3.9 13,308,621 2.2 100.0 22.1 26.5 51.3 1985 26,484,078 2.1 5,893,187 2.6 7,084,137 3.0 13,506,753 1.5 100.0 22.3 26.7 51.0 1986 26,063,667-1.6 5,748,103-2.5 6,877,150-2.9 13,438,415-0.5 100.0 22.1 26.4 51.6 1987 26,299,106 0.9 5,835,026 1.5 6,928,079 0.7 13,536,002 0.7 100.0 22.2 26.3 51.5 1988 26,482,049 0.7 5,981,898 2.5 6,948,143 0.3 13,552,007 0.1 100.0 22.6 26.2 51.2 1989 27,198,534 2.7 5,858,050-2.1 7,318,921 5.3 14,021,563 3.5 100.0 21.5 26.9 51.6 1990 28,402,365 4.4 5,952,809 1.6 7,799,203 6.6 14,650,354 4.5 100.0 21.0 27.5 51.6 1991 29,194,592 2.8 5,937,717-0.3 7,959,547 2.1 15,297,328 4.4 100.0 20.3 27.3 52.4 1992 29,592,852 1.4 5,883,435-0.9 8,014,596 0.7 15,694,821 2.6 100.0 19.9 27.1 53.0 1993 29,861,321 0.9 5,966,736 1.4 7,972,564-0.5 15,922,021 1.4 100.0 20.0 26.7 53.3 1994 30,567,389 2.4 6,037,268 1.2 8,085,237 1.4 16,444,885 3.3 100.0 19.8 26.5 53.8 1995 29,635,986-3.0 5,917,653-2.0 7,395,642-8.5 16,322,691-0.7 100.0 20.0 25.0 55.1 1996 30,631,556 3.4 6,028,340 1.9 8,043,230 8.8 16,559,987 1.5 100.0 19.7 26.3 54.1 1997 31,819,963 3.9 5,843,954-3.1 8,843,118 9.9 17,132,891 3.5 100.0 18.4 27.8 53.8 1998 33,186,333 4.3 6,062,875 3.7 9,382,921 6.1 17,740,538 3.5 100.0 18.3 28.3 53.5 1999 33,943,910 2.3 6,107,305 0.7 9,657,090 2.9 18,179,515 2.5 100.0 18.0 28.5 53.6 2000 34,634,241 2.0 6,006,207-1.7 9,993,388 3.5 18,634,645 2.5 100.0 17.3 28.9 53.8 2001 34,388,016-0.7 6,073,331 1.1 9,538,150-4.6 18,776,535 0.8 100.0 17.7 27.7 54.6 2002 34,096,303-0.8 6,001,847-1.2 9,273,947-2.8 18,820,510 0.2 100.0 17.6 27.2 55.2 2003 34,244,084 0.4 6,110,151 1.8 9,267,295-0.1 18,866,638 0.2 100.0 17.8 27.1 55.1 2004 35,608,452 4.0 6,627,532 8.5 9,811,426 5.9 19,169,494 1.6 100.0 18.6 27.6 53.8 2005 35,847,428 0.7 6,351,669-4.2 9,981,776 1.7 19,513,983 1.8 100.0 17.7 27.8 54.4 2006 37,233,963 3.9 6,701,007 5.5 10,572,446 5.9 19,960,510 2.3 100.0 18.0 28.4 53.6 2007 37,917,305 1.8 6,697,303-0.1 10,710,564 1.3 20,509,438 2.8 100.0 17.7 28.2 54.1 2008 38,486,251 1.5 6,668,835-0.4 10,942,142 2.2 20,875,274 1.8 100.0 17.3 28.4 54.2 2009 37,096,910-3.6 6,522,941-2.2 9,975,607-8.8 20,598,362-1.3 100.0 17.6 26.9 55.5 2010 37,636,192 1.5 6,804,995 4.3 9,969,962-0.1 20,861,235 1.3 100.0 18.1 26.5 55.4 2011 38,171,733 1.4 6,524,460-4.1 10,355,583 3.9 21,291,690 2.1 100.0 17.1 27.1 55.8 2012 39,163,690 2.6 6,888,105 5.6 10,486,247 1.3 21,789,338 2.3 100.0 17.6 26.8 55.6 2013 39,520,561 0.9 7,069,750 2.6 10,328,836-1.5 22,121,974 1.5 100.0 17.9 26.1 56.0 2014 40,008,330 1.2 6,948,280-1.7 10,471,843 1.4 22,588,207 2.1 100.0 17.4 26.2 56.5 2015 40,896,978 2.2 6,843,083-1.5 10,924,537 4.3 23,129,358 2.4 100.0 16.7 26.7 56.6 2016 42,191,111 3.2 6,856,908 0.2 11,518,642 5.4 23,815,561 3.0 100.0 16.3 27.3 56.4 2017 43,758,783 3.7 6,832,504-0.4 12,290,072 6.7 24,636,207 3.4 100.0 15.6 28.1 56.3 2018 45,383,145 3.7 6,906,237 1.1 13,099,713 6.6 25,377,195 3.0 100.0 15.2 28.9 55.9 2019 46,852,270 3.2 6,909,524 0.0 13,871,001 5.9 26,071,745 2.7 100.0 14.7 29.6 55.6 2020 48,220,291 2.9 6,924,278 0.2 14,572,118 5.1 26,723,895 2.5 100.0 14.4 30.2 55.4 D-2 Continúa
D-3. Personal Ocupado en el Sector Industrial por Actividad Económica: Escenario Base 2014-2020 (Puestos de trabajo ocupados remunerados) Personal Ocupado Años Total Minería Manufacturas Construcción Electricidad Personas Var.% Personas Var.% Personas Var.% Personas Var.% Personas Var.% 1980 6,992,209 8.0 242,366 9.1 4,481,777 5.9 2,155,122 12.7 112,944 8.6 1981 7,570,168 8.3 259,135 6.9 4,676,538 4.3 2,514,490 16.7 120,005 6.3 1982 7,411,375-2.1 274,952 6.1 4,563,975-2.4 2,448,040-2.6 124,407 3.7 1983 6,620,132-10.7 276,052 0.4 4,241,289-7.1 1,976,805-19.2 125,985 1.3 1984 6,875,983 3.9 287,225 4.0 4,348,781 2.5 2,109,213 6.7 130,763 3.8 1985 7,084,137 3.0 299,284 4.2 4,463,444 2.6 2,183,346 3.5 138,063 5.6 1986 6,877,150-2.9 298,354-0.3 4,326,394-3.1 2,111,744-3.3 140,658 1.9 1987 6,928,079 0.7 312,846 4.9 4,351,734 0.6 2,118,903 0.3 144,596 2.8 1988 6,948,143 0.3 320,326 2.4 4,353,902 0.0 2,125,746 0.3 148,170 2.5 1989 7,318,921 5.3 301,719-5.8 4,477,427 2.8 2,387,851 12.3 151,924 2.5 1990 7,799,203 6.6 311,708 3.3 4,558,116 1.8 2,770,856 16.0 158,523 4.3 1991 7,959,547 2.1 307,221-1.4 4,567,961 0.2 2,922,197 5.5 162,168 2.3 1992 8,014,596 0.7 260,098-15.3 4,594,805 0.6 2,995,989 2.5 163,704 0.9 1993 7,972,564-0.5 229,018-11.9 4,468,832-2.7 3,109,752 3.8 164,962 0.8 1994 8,085,237 1.4 218,635-4.5 4,357,115-2.5 3,346,165 7.6 163,321-1.0 1995 7,395,642-8.5 216,258-1.1 4,113,677-5.6 2,899,211-13.4 166,495 1.9 1996 8,043,230 8.8 216,283 0.0 4,355,211 5.9 3,302,707 13.9 169,029 1.5 1997 8,843,118 9.9 220,932 2.1 4,672,002 7.3 3,777,014 14.4 173,170 2.4 1998 9,382,921 6.1 225,981 2.3 4,901,226 4.9 4,075,845 7.9 179,869 3.9 1999 9,657,090 2.9 225,883 0.0 5,042,038 2.9 4,194,870 2.9 194,299 8.0 2000 9,993,388 3.5 229,529 1.6 5,232,032 3.8 4,335,507 3.4 196,321 1.0 2001 9,538,150-4.6 225,095-1.9 5,008,628-4.3 4,101,980-5.4 202,446 3.1 2002 9,273,947-2.8 221,887-1.4 4,703,619-6.1 4,138,580 0.9 209,860 3.7 2003 9,267,295-0.1 222,051 0.1 4,586,888-2.5 4,240,373 2.5 217,983 3.9 2004 9,811,426 5.9 228,360 2.8 4,595,544 0.2 4,769,203 12.5 218,319 0.2 2005 9,981,776 1.7 227,695-0.3 4,606,913 0.2 4,926,621 3.3 220,547 1.0 2006 10,572,446 5.9 232,306 2.0 4,619,041 0.3 5,496,485 11.6 224,614 1.8 2007 10,710,564 1.3 249,252 7.3 4,508,624-2.4 5,725,208 4.2 227,480 1.3 2008 10,942,142 2.2 257,311 3.2 4,312,031-4.4 6,145,436 7.3 227,364-0.1 2009 9,975,607-8.8 255,956-0.5 3,920,174-9.1 5,583,899-9.1 215,578-5.2 2010 9,969,962-0.1 257,876 0.8 3,977,811 1.5 5,539,036-0.8 195,239-9.4 2011 10,355,583 3.9 261,343 1.3 3,995,456 0.4 5,893,241 6.4 205,543 5.3 2012 10,486,247 1.3 266,488 2.0 4,028,781 0.8 5,979,254 1.5 211,724 3.0 2013 10,328,836-1.5 271,193 1.8 4,053,965 0.6 5,787,382-3.2 216,297 2.2 2014 10,471,843 1.4 280,968 3.6 4,146,547 2.3 5,820,808 0.6 223,520 3.3 2015 10,924,537 4.3 287,419 2.3 4,287,624 3.4 6,115,543 5.1 233,951 4.7 2016 11,518,642 5.4 296,918 3.3 4,470,971 4.3 6,503,751 6.3 247,002 5.6 2017 12,290,072 6.7 310,183 4.5 4,696,999 5.1 7,020,328 7.9 262,563 6.3 2018 13,099,713 6.6 323,832 4.4 4,904,358 4.4 7,593,311 8.2 278,212 6.0 2019 13,871,001 5.9 335,462 3.6 5,101,132 4.0 8,141,158 7.2 293,249 5.4 2020 14,572,118 5.1 347,471 3.6 5,281,515 3.5 8,635,541 6.1 307,591 4.9 C-3
D-4. Personal Ocupado en el Sector Servicios por Actividad Económica: Escenario Base 2014-2020 (Puestos de trabajo ocupados remunerados) Años! Personal Ocupado Comercio, Transporte, Almacenaje Servicios Financieros, Servicios Comunales, Total Restaurantes y Hoteles y Comunicaciones Seguros e Inmuebles Sociales y Personales Personas Var.% Personas Var.% Personas Var.% Personas Var.% Personas Var.% 1980 12,129,687 6.8 3,353,314 4.1 1,043,694 16.3 282,591 8.8 7,450,088 6.8 1981 12,916,660 6.5 3,569,113 6.4 1,121,710 7.5 310,035 9.7 7,915,801 6.3 1982 13,169,874 2.0 3,601,144 0.9 1,196,524 6.7 341,973 10.3 8,030,233 1.4 1983 13,020,803-1.1 3,503,694-2.7 1,142,374-4.5 350,857 2.6 8,023,878-0.1 1984 13,308,621 2.2 3,566,855 1.8 1,160,986 1.6 373,467 6.4 8,207,312 2.3 1985 13,506,753 1.5 3,589,748 0.6 1,187,246 2.3 376,940 0.9 8,352,820 1.8 1986 13,438,415-0.5 3,544,311-1.3 1,194,480 0.6 377,744 0.2 8,321,879-0.4 1987 13,536,002 0.7 3,594,616 1.4 1,217,944 2.0 384,525 1.8 8,338,916 0.2 1988 13,552,007 0.1 3,650,160 1.5 1,188,243-2.4 391,119 1.7 8,322,485-0.2 1989 14,021,563 3.5 3,862,456 5.8 1,253,855 5.5 397,833 1.7 8,507,420 2.2 1990 14,650,354 4.5 4,193,159 8.6 1,348,397 7.5 404,043 1.6 8,704,755 2.3 1991 15,297,328 4.4 4,441,731 5.9 1,392,214 3.2 418,342 3.5 9,045,042 3.9 1992 15,694,821 2.6 4,631,993 4.3 1,395,540 0.2 425,672 1.8 9,241,616 2.2 1993 15,922,021 1.4 4,676,715 1.0 1,404,932 0.7 432,259 1.5 9,408,115 1.8 1994 16,444,885 3.3 4,818,235 3.0 1,480,560 5.4 439,594 1.7 9,706,496 3.2 1995 16,322,691-0.7 4,825,704 0.2 1,425,833-3.7 433,677-1.3 9,637,477-0.7 1996 16,559,987 1.5 4,831,375 0.1 1,523,096 6.8 443,917 2.4 9,761,598 1.3 1997 17,132,891 3.5 5,010,624 3.7 1,592,922 4.6 466,053 5.0 10,063,292 3.1 1998 17,740,538 3.5 5,197,428 3.7 1,678,824 5.4 473,008 1.5 10,391,278 3.3 1999 18,179,515 2.5 5,368,784 3.3 1,740,699 3.7 476,137 0.7 10,593,895 1.9 2000 18,634,645 2.5 5,517,932 2.8 1,813,034 4.2 478,605 0.5 10,825,075 2.2 2001 18,776,535 0.8 5,657,739 2.5 1,840,146 1.5 483,796 1.1 10,794,854-0.3 2002 18,820,510 0.2 5,638,679-0.3 1,798,565-2.3 487,708 0.8 10,895,558 0.9 2003 18,866,638 0.2 5,692,094 0.9 1,782,893-0.9 486,185-0.3 10,905,466 0.1 2004 19,169,494 1.6 5,813,712 2.1 1,815,075 1.8 505,434 4.0 11,035,273 1.2 2005 19,513,983 1.8 5,955,333 2.4 1,849,715 1.9 521,460 3.2 11,187,475 1.4 2006 19,960,510 2.3 6,146,744 3.2 1,892,970 2.3 553,714 6.2 11,367,082 1.6 2007 20,509,438 2.8 6,305,687 2.6 1,942,380 2.6 582,912 5.3 11,678,459 2.7 2008 20,875,274 1.8 6,455,048 2.4 1,953,159 0.6 581,999-0.2 11,885,068 1.8 2009 20,598,362-1.3 6,287,384-2.6 1,933,453-1.0 558,999-4.0 11,818,526-0.6 2010 20,861,235 1.3 6,388,974 1.6 1,972,327 2.0 572,884 2.5 11,927,050 0.9 2011 21,291,690 2.1 6,545,465 2.4 2,003,670 1.6 595,862 4.0 12,146,693 1.8 2012 21,789,338 2.3 6,728,563 2.8 1,995,158-0.4 602,838 1.2 12,462,779 2.6 2013 22,121,974 1.5 6,821,935 1.4 1,984,983-0.5 607,786 0.8 12,707,270 2.0 2014 22,588,207 2.1 6,995,397 2.5 1,979,619-0.3 619,692 2.0 12,993,499 2.3 2015 23,129,358 2.4 7,169,456 2.5 2,005,506 1.3 644,239 4.0 13,310,157 2.4 2016 23,815,561 3.0 7,402,629 3.3 2,048,660 2.2 679,298 5.4 13,684,974 2.8 2017 24,636,207 3.4 7,690,533 3.9 2,115,039 3.2 729,930 7.5 14,100,705 3.0 2018 25,377,195 3.0 7,930,899 3.1 2,178,531 3.0 776,720 6.4 14,491,045 2.8 2019 26,071,745 2.7 8,159,048 2.9 2,234,832 2.6 821,607 5.8 14,856,258 2.5 2020 26,723,895 2.5 8,379,628 2.7 2,285,359 2.3 863,199 5.1 15,195,709 2.3 C-4
D-5. Personal Ocupado en la Industria Manufacturera por Actividad Económica: Escenario Base 2014-2020 (Puestos de trabajo ocupados remunerados) Industria Alimentos, Textiles, Madera Imprenta Años Manufacturera Bebidas y Tabaco Vestidos y Cuero y sus Productos y Editoriales Personas Var.% Personas Var.% Personas Var.% Personas Var.% Personas Var.% 1980 4,481,777 5.9 930,755 3.8 666,034 4.1 483,141 8.4 187,537 6.9 1981 4,676,538 4.3 967,692 4.0 696,405 4.6 478,264-1.0 193,759 3.3 1982 4,563,975-2.4 997,222 3.1 678,476-2.6 449,467-6.0 189,685-2.1 1983 4,241,289-7.1 980,556-1.7 630,831-7.0 383,447-14.7 173,970-8.3 1984 4,348,781 2.5 993,909 1.4 632,960 0.3 389,755 1.6 178,713 2.7 1985 4,463,444 2.6 1,020,354 2.7 645,134 1.9 401,395 3.0 187,484 4.9 1986 4,326,394-3.1 1,033,533 1.3 629,316-2.5 382,410-4.7 186,339-0.6 1987 4,351,734 0.6 1,030,425-0.3 620,306-1.4 403,352 5.5 186,585 0.1 1988 4,353,902 0.0 1,026,617-0.4 604,165-2.6 392,805-2.6 187,433 0.5 1989 4,477,427 2.8 1,061,039 3.4 610,795 1.1 389,679-0.8 197,449 5.3 1990 4,558,116 1.8 1,079,544 1.7 610,617 0.0 380,959-2.2 209,449 6.1 1991 4,567,961 0.2 1,102,793 2.2 614,583 0.6 379,048-0.5 215,300 2.8 1992 4,594,805 0.6 1,131,993 2.6 599,823-2.4 383,253 1.1 219,243 1.8 1993 4,468,832-2.7 1,143,624 1.0 597,036-0.5 357,984-6.6 215,434-1.7 1994 4,357,115-2.5 1,124,632-1.7 575,720-3.6 351,530-1.8 207,286-3.8 1995 4,113,677-5.6 1,096,342-2.5 557,801-3.1 316,940-9.8 192,816-7.0 1996 4,355,211 5.9 1,113,587 1.6 634,230 13.7 340,204 7.3 190,995-0.9 1997 4,672,002 7.3 1,124,423 1.0 717,649 13.2 362,722 6.6 199,068 4.2 1998 4,901,226 4.9 1,154,283 2.7 760,632 6.0 380,706 5.0 203,623 2.3 1999 5,042,038 2.9 1,184,388 2.6 815,027 7.2 378,571-0.6 206,382 1.4 2000 5,232,032 3.8 1,181,100-0.3 865,161 6.2 390,530 3.2 208,658 1.1 2001 5,008,628-4.3 1,182,932 0.2 804,736-7.0 360,394-7.7 204,372-2.1 2002 4,703,619-6.1 1,179,750-0.3 713,061-11.4 320,026-11.2 197,877-3.2 2003 4,586,888-2.5 1,179,152-0.1 664,983-6.7 310,430-3.0 192,410-2.8 2004 4,595,544 0.2 1,186,459 0.6 650,623-2.2 311,507 0.3 187,758-2.4 2005 4,606,913 0.2 1,188,684 0.2 631,756-2.9 305,103-2.1 186,337-0.8 2006 4,619,041 0.3 1,204,280 1.3 606,491-4.0 306,665 0.5 184,104-1.2 2007 4,508,624-2.4 1,181,165-1.9 567,919-6.4 304,014-0.9 177,401-3.6 2008 4,312,031-4.4 1,173,320-0.7 513,348-9.6 279,577-8.0 171,797-3.2 2009 3,920,174-9.1 1,169,036-0.4 467,266-9.0 257,848-7.8 166,240-3.2 2010 3,977,811 1.5 1,158,589-0.9 472,242 1.1 262,107 1.7 166,714 0.3 2011 3,995,456 0.4 1,173,924 1.3 449,173-4.9 254,488-2.9 169,018 1.4 2012 4,028,781 0.8 1,184,674 0.9 443,962-1.2 255,750 0.5 158,918-6.0 2013 4,053,965 0.6 1,190,111 0.5 439,965-0.9 250,906-1.9 151,331-4.8 2014 4,146,547 2.3 1,197,523 0.6 433,916-1.4 251,598 0.3 152,245 0.6 2015 4,287,624 3.4 1,219,782 1.9 441,860 1.8 258,948 2.9 155,361 2.0 2016 4,470,971 4.3 1,254,178 2.8 453,942 2.7 269,498 4.1 159,719 2.8 2017 4,696,999 5.1 1,294,111 3.2 469,335 3.4 283,386 5.2 165,391 3.6 2018 4,904,358 4.4 1,328,119 2.6 483,274 3.0 296,123 4.5 170,078 2.8 2019 5,101,132 4.0 1,358,157 2.3 496,152 2.7 309,092 4.4 174,434 2.6 2020 5,281,515 3.5 1,383,966 1.9 508,312 2.5 320,791 3.8 178,243 2.2 C-5 Continúa
Continuación Químicos, Minerales Industrias Maquinaria Otras Años Petróleo y Caucho No Metálicos Metálicas Básicas y Equipo Industrias Personas Var.% Personas Var.% Personas Var.% Personas Var.% Personas Var.% 1980 372,385 6.0 311,621 8.1 673,404 5.4 781,274 8.2 75,626 0.2 1981 402,107 8.0 325,048 4.3 704,826 4.7 829,132 6.1 79,306 4.9 1982 416,357 3.5 311,666-4.1 681,420-3.3 762,903-8.0 76,778-3.2 1983 407,674-2.1 292,854-6.0 656,138-3.7 643,070-15.7 72,750-5.2 1984 420,764 3.2 308,814 5.4 694,783 5.9 653,720 1.7 75,363 3.6 1985 428,757 1.9 330,852 7.1 681,544-1.9 689,117 5.4 78,808 4.6 1986 429,054 0.1 314,903-4.8 609,889-10.5 657,006-4.7 83,944 6.5 1987 443,337 3.3 337,475 7.2 573,231-6.0 666,089 1.4 90,934 8.3 1988 450,758 1.7 327,168-3.1 584,803 2.0 682,225 2.4 97,929 7.7 1989 463,170 2.8 348,259 6.4 548,206-6.3 735,514 7.8 123,316 25.9 1990 479,492 3.5 370,887 6.5 499,785-8.8 780,241 6.1 147,141 19.3 1991 489,319 2.0 371,586 0.2 462,188-7.5 788,222 1.0 144,920-1.5 1992 481,259-1.6 380,169 2.3 397,034-14.1 838,003 6.3 164,030 13.2 1993 467,441-2.9 379,957-0.1 335,806-15.4 808,806-3.5 162,745-0.8 1994 451,668-3.4 362,803-4.5 317,174-5.5 803,718-0.6 162,584-0.1 1995 424,530-6.0 311,148-14.2 298,220-6.0 757,611-5.7 158,268-2.7 1996 444,986 4.8 304,959-2.0 315,773 5.9 834,548 10.2 175,929 11.2 1997 467,922 5.2 316,533 3.8 333,026 5.5 951,322 14.0 199,336 13.3 1998 482,312 3.1 326,527 3.2 341,065 2.4 1,041,667 9.5 210,410 5.6 1999 487,632 1.1 327,060 0.2 333,230-2.3 1,094,690 5.1 215,058 2.2 2000 494,584 1.4 334,034 2.1 336,082 0.9 1,185,910 8.3 235,971 9.7 2001 479,829-3.0 322,783-3.4 324,083-3.6 1,096,066-7.6 233,432-1.1 2002 460,870-4.0 309,011-4.3 305,988-5.6 1,002,762-8.5 214,274-8.2 2003 442,055-4.1 302,176-2.2 305,056-0.3 971,332-3.1 219,294 2.3 2004 419,889-5.0 302,953 0.3 317,226 4.0 1,001,900 3.1 217,229-0.9 2005 409,579-2.5 319,157 5.3 321,309 1.3 1,022,741 2.1 222,247 2.3 2006 397,160-3.0 321,729 0.8 330,331 2.8 1,040,078 1.7 228,203 2.7 2007 387,946-2.3 320,245-0.5 323,299-2.1 1,023,602-1.6 223,033-2.3 2008 375,370-3.2 301,322-5.9 318,710-1.4 958,718-6.3 219,869-1.4 2009 345,240-8.0 262,591-12.9 276,637-13.2 774,655-19.2 200,661-8.7 2010 349,611 1.3 281,320 7.1 275,268-0.5 810,185 4.6 201,775 0.6 2011 351,995 0.7 277,191-1.5 282,147 2.5 830,497 2.5 207,023 2.6 2012 349,953-0.6 276,404-0.3 281,691-0.2 864,493 4.1 212,936 2.9 2013 348,493-0.4 278,493 0.8 287,112 1.9 889,105 2.8 218,449 2.6 2014 357,583 2.6 282,296 1.4 300,920 4.8 939,729 5.7 230,738 5.6 2015 364,456 1.9 284,387 0.7 311,824 3.6 1,012,447 7.7 238,559 3.4 2016 374,377 2.7 288,414 1.4 324,303 4.0 1,099,030 8.6 247,511 3.8 2017 387,578 3.5 295,022 2.3 338,684 4.4 1,207,804 9.9 255,688 3.3 2018 399,510 3.1 301,055 2.0 352,467 4.1 1,310,335 8.5 263,397 3.0 2019 410,991 2.9 306,806 1.9 365,763 3.8 1,408,754 7.5 270,982 2.9 2020 421,416 2.5 312,379 1.8 377,710 3.3 1,501,137 6.6 277,563 2.4 C-6 Conclusión
D-6. Personal Ocupado en el Sector Industrial por Subsectores Económicos: Escenario Base 2014-2020 (Puestos de trabajo ocupados remunerados) Minería Electricidad Construcción Total Minería de minerales Generación, Agua y sumistro Construcción Trabajos Años Sector Extracción metálicos y no transmisión de gas por ductos de obras de especializados Industrial de petróleo metálicos, excepto y suministro de al consumidor ingeniería para la Total subsector y gas petróleo y gas Total subsector energía eléctrica final Total subsector Edificación civil construcción Personas Var.% Personas Var.% Personas Var.% Personas Var.% Personas Var.% Personas Var.% Personas Var.% Personas Var.% Personas Var.% Personas Var.% Personas Var.% 1980 6,992,209 8.0 242,366 9.1 112,944 8.6 2,155,122 12.7 1981 7,570,168 8.3 259,135 6.9 120,005 6.3 2,514,490 16.7 1982 7,411,375-2.1 274,952 6.1 124,407 3.7 2,448,040-2.6 1983 6,620,132-10.7 276,052 0.4 125,985 1.3 1,976,805-19.2 1984 6,875,983 3.9 287,225 4.0 130,763 3.8 2,109,213 6.7 1985 7,084,137 3.0 299,284 4.2 138,063 5.6 2,183,346 3.5 1986 6,877,150-2.9 298,354-0.3 140,658 1.9 2,111,744-3.3 1987 6,928,079 0.7 312,846 4.9 144,596 2.8 2,118,903 0.3 1988 6,948,143 0.3 320,326 2.4 148,170 2.5 2,125,746 0.3 1989 7,318,921 5.3 301,719-5.8 151,924 2.5 2,387,851 12.3 1990 7,799,203 6.6 311,708 3.3 158,523 4.3 2,770,856 16.0 1991 7,959,547 2.1 307,221-1.4 162,168 2.3 2,922,197 5.5 1992 8,014,596 0.7 260,098-15.3 163,704 0.9 2,995,989 2.5 1993 7,972,564-0.5 229,018-11.9 164,962 0.8 3,109,752 3.8 1994 8,085,237 1.4 218,635-4.5 163,321-1.0 3,346,165 7.6 1995 7,395,642-8.5 216,258-1.1 166,495 1.9 2,899,211-13.4 1996 8,043,230 8.8 216,283 0.0 169,029 1.5 3,302,707 13.9 1997 8,843,118 9.9 220,932 2.1 173,170 2.4 3,777,014 14.4 1998 9,382,921 6.1 225,981 2.3 179,869 3.9 4,075,845 7.9 1999 9,657,090 2.9 225,883 0.0 194,299 8.0 4,194,870 2.9 2000 9,993,388 3.5 229,529 1.6 196,321 1.0 4,335,507 3.4 2001 9,538,150-4.6 225,095-1.9 202,446 3.1 4,101,980-5.4 2002 9,273,947-2.8 221,887-1.4 209,860 3.7 4,138,580 0.9 2003 9,267,295-0.1 222,051 0.1 46,646 175,405 217,983 3.9 118,039 99,944 4,240,373 2.5 3,180,720 626,746 432,907 2004 9,811,426 5.9 228,360 2.8 47,833 2.5 180,527 2.9 218,319 0.2 118,099 0.1 100,220 0.3 4,769,203 12.5 3,601,424 13.2 672,080 7.2 495,699 14.5 2005 9,981,776 1.7 227,695-0.3 48,945 2.3 178,750-1.0 220,547 1.0 119,060 0.8 101,487 1.3 4,926,621 3.3 3,706,376 2.9 710,046 5.6 510,199 2.9 2006 10,572,446 5.9 232,306 2.0 49,144 0.4 183,162 2.5 224,614 1.8 120,342 1.1 104,272 2.7 5,496,485 11.6 4,214,954 13.7 748,763 5.5 532,768 4.4 2007 10,710,564 1.3 249,252 7.3 49,399 0.5 199,853 9.1 227,480 1.3 121,473 0.9 106,007 1.7 5,725,208 4.2 4,349,128 3.2 827,039 10.5 549,041 3.1 2008 10,942,142 2.2 257,311 3.2 50,418 2.1 206,893 3.5 227,364-0.1 124,131 2.2 103,233-2.6 6,145,436 7.3 4,516,620 3.9 1,114,475 34.8 514,341-6.3 2009 9,975,607-8.8 255,956-0.5 51,409 2.0 204,547-1.1 215,578-5.2 111,155-10.5 104,423 1.2 5,583,899-9.1 3,951,883-12.5 1,091,719-2.0 540,297 5.0 2010 9,969,962-0.1 257,876 0.8 50,773-1.2 207,103 1.2 195,239-9.4 88,529-20.4 106,710 2.2 5,539,036-0.8 3,892,861-1.5 1,098,455 0.6 547,720 1.4 2011 10,355,583 3.9 261,343 1.3 50,866 0.2 210,477 1.6 205,543 5.3 95,934 8.4 109,609 2.7 5,893,241 6.4 4,164,045 7.0 1,143,748 4.1 585,448 6.9 2012 10,486,247 1.3 266,488 2.0 51,872 2.0 214,616 2.0 211,724 3.0 98,262 2.4 113,462 3.5 5,979,254 1.5 4,254,632 2.2 1,113,015-2.7 611,607 4.5 2013 10,328,836-1.5 271,193 1.8 52,851 1.9 218,342 1.7 216,297 2.2 99,959 1.7 116,338 2.5 5,787,382-3.2 4,087,331-3.9 1,071,174-3.8 628,877 2.8 2014 10,471,843 1.4 280,968 3.6 53,841 1.9 227,126 4.0 223,520 3.3 103,237 3.3 120,283 3.4 5,820,808 0.6 4,117,260 0.7 1,045,536-2.4 658,012 4.6 2015 10,924,537 4.3 287,419 2.3 56,469 4.9 230,949 1.7 233,951 4.7 108,610 5.2 125,342 4.2 6,115,543 5.1 4,323,743 5.0 1,092,538 4.5 699,263 6.3 2016 11,518,642 5.4 296,918 3.3 61,431 8.8 235,487 2.0 247,002 5.6 116,292 7.1 130,710 4.3 6,503,751 6.3 4,591,935 6.2 1,162,687 6.4 749,129 7.1 2017 12,290,072 6.7 310,183 4.5 69,686 13.4 240,497 2.1 262,563 6.3 125,537 8.0 137,025 4.8 7,020,328 7.9 4,955,444 7.9 1,255,096 7.9 809,788 8.1 2018 13,099,713 6.6 323,832 4.4 78,877 13.2 244,955 1.9 278,212 6.0 135,005 7.5 143,207 4.5 7,593,311 8.2 5,353,658 8.0 1,361,345 8.5 878,308 8.5 2019 13,871,001 5.9 335,462 3.6 86,673 9.9 248,790 1.6 293,249 5.4 144,127 6.8 149,122 4.1 8,141,158 7.2 5,741,945 7.3 1,454,921 6.9 944,292 7.5 2020 14,572,118 5.1 347,471 3.6 95,266 9.9 252,205 1.4 307,591 4.9 152,772 6.0 154,820 3.8 8,635,541 6.1 6,081,190 5.9 1,548,566 6.4 1,005,785 6.5 Continúa D-7
Continuación Manufacturas Industrias alimentaria, de las bebidas y del tabaco Textiles, prendas de vestir y productos de cuero Total Confección de Fabricación de cuero, Años Subsector Industria Fabricación productos textiles, Fabricación piel y materiales Manufacturero Industria de las bebidas de insumos excepto prendas de prendas sucedáneos, excepto Total rama alimentaria y del tabaco Total rama textiles de vestir de vestir prendas de vestir Personas Var.% Personas Var.% Personas Var.% Personas Var.% Personas Var.% Personas Var.% Personas Var.% Personas Var.% Personas Var.% 1980 4,481,777 5.9 930,755 3.8 666,034 4.1 1981 4,676,538 4.3 967,692 4.0 696,405 4.6 1982 4,563,975-2.4 997,222 3.1 678,476-2.6 1983 4,241,289-7.1 980,556-1.7 630,831-7.0 1984 4,348,781 2.5 993,909 1.4 632,960 0.3 1985 4,463,444 2.6 1,020,354 2.7 645,134 1.9 1986 4,326,394-3.1 1,033,533 1.3 629,316-2.5 1987 4,351,734 0.6 1,030,425-0.3 620,306-1.4 1988 4,353,902 0.0 1,026,617-0.4 604,165-2.6 1989 4,477,427 2.8 1,061,039 3.4 610,795 1.1 1990 4,558,116 1.8 1,079,544 1.7 610,617 0.0 1991 4,567,961 0.2 1,102,793 2.2 614,583 0.6 1992 4,594,805 0.6 1,131,993 2.6 599,823-2.4 1993 4,468,832-2.7 1,143,624 1.0 597,036-0.5 1994 4,357,115-2.5 1,124,632-1.7 575,720-3.6 1995 4,113,677-5.6 1,096,342-2.5 557,801-3.1 1996 4,355,211 5.9 1,113,587 1.6 634,230 13.7 1997 4,672,002 7.3 1,124,423 1.0 717,649 13.2 1998 4,901,226 4.9 1,154,283 2.7 760,632 6.0 1999 5,042,038 2.9 1,184,388 2.6 815,027 7.2 2000 5,232,032 3.8 1,181,100-0.3 865,161 6.2 2001 5,008,628-4.3 1,182,932 0.2 804,736-7.0 2002 4,703,619-6.1 1,179,750-0.3 713,061-11.4 2003 4,586,888-2.5 1,179,152-0.1 997,499 181,653 664,983-6.7 92,108 61,205 374,229 137,441 2004 4,595,544 0.2 1,186,459 0.6 1,011,289 1.4 175,170-3.6 650,623-2.2 89,190-3.2 61,112-0.2 365,140-2.4 135,181-1.6 2005 4,606,913 0.2 1,188,684 0.2 1,026,936 1.5 161,748-7.7 631,756-2.9 86,660-2.8 58,634-4.1 347,887-4.7 138,575 2.5 2006 4,619,041 0.3 1,204,280 1.3 1,035,542 0.8 168,738 4.3 606,491-4.0 83,568-3.6 58,918 0.5 324,388-6.8 139,617 0.8 2007 4,508,624-2.4 1,181,165-1.9 1,022,866-1.2 158,299-6.2 567,919-6.4 78,039-6.6 55,175-6.4 301,918-6.9 132,787-4.9 2008 4,312,031-4.4 1,173,320-0.7 1,014,829-0.8 158,491 0.1 513,348-9.6 70,780-9.3 47,668-13.6 271,707-10.0 123,193-7.2 2009 3,920,174-9.1 1,169,036-0.4 1,012,994-0.2 156,042-1.5 467,266-9.0 62,481-11.7 41,180-13.6 245,972-9.5 117,633-4.5 2010 3,977,811 1.5 1,158,589-0.9 1,006,489-0.6 152,100-2.5 472,242 1.1 64,075 2.6 39,602-3.8 246,713 0.3 121,852 3.6 2011 3,995,456 0.4 1,173,924 1.3 1,025,757 1.9 148,167-2.6 449,173-4.9 61,152-4.6 38,594-2.5 228,482-7.4 120,945-0.7 2012 4,028,781 0.8 1,184,674 0.9 1,043,064 1.7 141,610-4.4 443,962-1.2 60,731-0.7 39,100 1.3 218,667-4.3 125,464 3.7 2013 4,053,965 0.6 1,190,111 0.5 1,056,429 1.3 133,681-5.6 439,965-0.9 58,475-3.7 39,312 0.5 212,715-2.7 129,463 3.2 2014 4,146,547 2.3 1,197,523 0.6 1,063,099 0.6 134,425 0.6 433,916-1.4 56,056-4.1 39,749 1.1 204,363-3.9 133,749 3.3 2015 4,287,624 3.4 1,219,782 1.9 1,083,458 1.9 136,324 1.4 441,860 1.8 54,583-2.6 41,893 5.4 205,685 0.6 139,699 4.4 2016 4,470,971 4.3 1,254,178 2.8 1,114,934 2.9 139,244 2.1 453,942 2.7 55,715 2.1 44,085 5.2 208,083 1.2 146,058 4.6 2017 4,696,999 5.1 1,294,111 3.2 1,150,814 3.2 143,296 2.9 469,335 3.4 56,912 2.1 46,576 5.7 212,717 2.2 153,131 4.8 2018 4,904,358 4.4 1,328,119 2.6 1,181,488 2.7 146,631 2.3 483,274 3.0 58,138 2.2 48,761 4.7 216,869 2.0 159,505 4.2 2019 5,101,132 4.0 1,358,157 2.3 1,208,287 2.3 149,871 2.2 496,152 2.7 59,240 1.9 50,894 4.4 220,599 1.7 165,420 3.7 2020 5,281,515 3.5 1,383,966 1.9 1,231,642 1.9 152,324 1.6 508,312 2.5 60,279 1.8 52,981 4.1 224,246 1.7 170,805 3.3 Continúa D-8
Continuación Manufacturas Madera y sus productos Impresión e industrias conexas Químicos, petróleo y caucho Fabricación Fabricación de Años de muebles Impresión productos derivados Industria Industria y productos Industria e industrias del petróleo Industria del plástico Total rama de la madera relacionados Total rama del papel conexas Total rama y del carbón química y del hule Personas Var.% Personas Var.% Personas Var.% Personas Var.% Personas Var.% Personas Var.% Personas Var.% Personas Var.% Personas Var.% Personas Var.% 1980 483,141 8.4 187,537 6.9 372,385 6.0 1981 478,264-1.0 193,759 3.3 402,107 8.0 1982 449,467-6.0 189,685-2.1 416,357 3.5 1983 383,447-14.7 173,970-8.3 407,674-2.1 1984 389,755 1.6 178,713 2.7 420,764 3.2 1985 401,395 3.0 187,484 4.9 428,757 1.9 1986 382,410-4.7 186,339-0.6 429,054 0.1 1987 403,352 5.5 186,585 0.1 443,337 3.3 1988 392,805-2.6 187,433 0.5 450,758 1.7 1989 389,679-0.8 197,449 5.3 463,170 2.8 1990 380,959-2.2 209,449 6.1 479,492 3.5 1991 379,048-0.5 215,300 2.8 489,319 2.0 1992 383,253 1.1 219,243 1.8 481,259-1.6 1993 357,984-6.6 215,434-1.7 467,441-2.9 1994 351,530-1.8 207,286-3.8 451,668-3.4 1995 316,940-9.8 192,816-7.0 424,530-6.0 1996 340,204 7.3 190,995-0.9 444,986 4.8 1997 362,722 6.6 199,068 4.2 467,922 5.2 1998 380,706 5.0 203,623 2.3 482,312 3.1 1999 378,571-0.6 206,382 1.4 487,632 1.1 2000 390,530 3.2 208,658 1.1 494,584 1.4 2001 360,394-7.7 204,372-2.1 479,829-3.0 2002 320,026-11.2 197,877-3.2 460,870-4.0 2003 310,430-3.0 144,750 165,680 192,410-2.8 96,064 96,346 442,055-4.1 32,595 226,796 182,664 2004 311,507 0.3 141,355-2.3 170,152 2.7 187,758-2.4 95,036-1.1 92,722-3.8 419,889-5.0 31,727-2.7 209,001-7.8 179,161-1.9 2005 305,103-2.1 136,166-3.7 168,937-0.7 186,337-0.8 94,191-0.9 92,146-0.6 409,579-2.5 32,085 1.1 201,947-3.4 175,547-2.0 2006 306,665 0.5 136,755 0.4 169,910 0.6 184,104-1.2 94,211 0.0 89,893-2.4 397,160-3.0 32,161 0.2 194,951-3.5 170,048-3.1 2007 304,014-0.9 140,713 2.9 163,301-3.9 177,401-3.6 88,211-6.4 89,190-0.8 387,946-2.3 30,994-3.6 188,798-3.2 168,154-1.1 2008 279,577-8.0 126,876-9.8 152,701-6.5 171,797-3.2 86,739-1.7 85,058-4.6 375,370-3.2 31,545 1.8 181,187-4.0 162,638-3.3 2009 257,848-7.8 122,693-3.3 135,155-11.5 166,240-3.2 83,592-3.6 82,648-2.8 345,240-8.0 31,071-1.5 176,063-2.8 138,106-15.1 2010 262,107 1.7 125,452 2.2 136,655 1.1 166,714 0.3 84,813 1.5 81,901-0.9 349,611 1.3 31,304 0.7 175,522-0.3 142,785 3.4 2011 254,488-2.9 122,424-2.4 132,064-3.4 169,018 1.4 84,332-0.6 84,686 3.4 351,995 0.7 32,104 2.6 176,007 0.3 143,884 0.8 2012 255,750 0.5 120,162-1.8 135,588 2.7 158,918-6.0 83,443-1.1 75,475-10.9 349,953-0.6 31,472-2.0 173,870-1.2 144,611 0.5 2013 250,906-1.9 116,406-3.1 134,499-0.8 151,331-4.8 81,931-1.8 69,399-8.0 348,493-0.4 30,681-2.5 172,268-0.9 145,544 0.6 2014 251,598 0.3 116,253-0.1 135,345 0.6 152,245 0.6 82,766 1.0 69,479 0.1 357,583 2.6 31,775 3.6 174,560 1.3 151,248 3.9 2015 258,948 2.9 120,465 3.6 138,483 2.3 155,361 2.0 84,200 1.7 71,161 2.4 364,456 1.9 33,911 6.7 176,973 1.4 153,572 1.5 2016 269,498 4.1 126,046 4.6 143,452 3.6 159,719 2.8 86,342 2.5 73,377 3.1 374,377 2.7 36,394 7.3 180,697 2.1 157,287 2.4 2017 283,386 5.2 132,931 5.5 150,455 4.9 165,391 3.6 89,365 3.5 76,025 3.6 387,578 3.5 38,986 7.1 186,103 3.0 162,488 3.3 2018 296,123 4.5 139,347 4.8 156,776 4.2 170,078 2.8 91,838 2.8 78,240 2.9 399,510 3.1 41,527 6.5 190,788 2.5 167,195 2.9 2019 309,092 4.4 146,356 5.0 162,737 3.8 174,434 2.6 94,163 2.5 80,271 2.6 410,991 2.9 43,893 5.7 195,215 2.3 171,882 2.8 2020 320,791 3.8 152,688 4.3 168,102 3.3 178,243 2.2 96,268 2.2 81,975 2.1 421,416 2.5 46,004 4.8 199,177 2.0 176,235 2.5 D-9 Continúa
Continuación Manufacturas Fabricación de Industrias metálicas Maquinaria y equipo productos a base Fabricación equipo Fabricación de equipo Años de minerales Industrias Fabricación Fabricación de computación, de generación Fabricación Otras no metálicos metálicas de productos de maquinaria comunicación y eléctrica y accesorios de equipo industrias Total rama Total rama básicas metálicos Total rama y equipo otros electrónicos eléctricos de transporte Total rama Personas Var.% Personas Var.% Personas Var.% Personas Var.% Personas Var.% Personas Var.% Personas Var.% Personas Var.% Personas Var.% Personas Var.% 1980 311,621 8.1 673,404 5.4 781,274 8.2 75,626 0.2 1981 325,048 4.3 704,826 4.7 829,132 6.1 79,306 4.9 1982 311,666-4.1 681,420-3.3 762,903-8.0 76,778-3.2 1983 292,854-6.0 656,138-3.7 643,070-15.7 72,750-5.2 1984 308,814 5.4 694,783 5.9 653,720 1.7 75,363 3.6 1985 330,852 7.1 681,544-1.9 689,117 5.4 78,808 4.6 1986 314,903-4.8 609,889-10.5 657,006-4.7 83,944 6.5 1987 337,475 7.2 573,231-6.0 666,089 1.4 90,934 8.3 1988 327,168-3.1 584,803 2.0 682,225 2.4 97,929 7.7 1989 348,259 6.4 548,206-6.3 735,514 7.8 123,316 25.9 1990 370,887 6.5 499,785-8.8 780,241 6.1 147,141 19.3 1991 371,586 0.2 462,188-7.5 788,222 1.0 144,920-1.5 1992 380,169 2.3 397,034-14.1 838,003 6.3 164,030 13.2 1993 379,957-0.1 335,806-15.4 808,806-3.5 162,745-0.8 1994 362,803-4.5 317,174-5.5 803,718-0.6 162,584-0.1 1995 311,148-14.2 298,220-6.0 757,611-5.7 158,268-2.7 1996 304,959-2.0 315,773 5.9 834,548 10.2 175,929 11.2 1997 316,533 3.8 333,026 5.5 951,322 14.0 199,336 13.3 1998 326,527 3.2 341,065 2.4 1,041,667 9.5 210,410 5.6 1999 327,060 0.2 333,230-2.3 1,094,690 5.1 215,058 2.2 2000 334,034 2.1 336,082 0.9 1,185,910 8.3 235,971 9.7 2001 322,783-3.4 324,083-3.6 1,096,066-7.6 233,432-1.1 2002 309,011-4.3 305,988-5.6 1,002,762-8.5 214,274-8.2 2003 302,176-2.2 305,056-0.3 64,268 240,788 971,332-3.1 93,720 283,187 189,899 404,526 219,294 2.3 2004 302,953 0.3 317,226 4.0 64,386 0.2 252,840 5.0 1,001,900 3.1 99,637 6.3 297,408 5.0 196,378 3.4 408,477 1.0 217,229-0.9 2005 319,157 5.3 321,309 1.3 64,588 0.3 256,721 1.5 1,022,741 2.1 101,106 1.5 305,012 2.6 193,699-1.4 422,924 3.5 222,247 2.3 2006 321,729 0.8 330,331 2.8 64,498-0.1 265,833 3.5 1,040,078 1.7 105,745 4.6 317,996 4.3 187,138-3.4 429,199 1.5 228,203 2.7 2007 320,245-0.5 323,299-2.1 63,081-2.2 260,218-2.1 1,023,602-1.6 107,627 1.8 315,922-0.7 173,898-7.1 426,155-0.7 223,033-2.3 2008 301,322-5.9 318,710-1.4 62,522-0.9 256,188-1.5 958,718-6.3 111,511 3.6 296,338-6.2 160,162-7.9 390,707-8.3 219,869-1.4 2009 262,591-12.9 276,637-13.2 57,209-8.5 219,428-14.3 774,655-19.2 100,309-10.0 250,045-15.6 139,984-12.6 284,317-27.2 200,661-8.7 2010 281,320 7.1 275,268-0.5 57,053-0.3 218,215-0.6 810,185 4.6 108,106 7.8 255,700 2.3 147,769 5.6 298,610 5.0 201,775 0.6 2011 277,191-1.5 282,147 2.5 59,045 3.5 223,102 2.2 830,497 2.5 114,510 5.9 242,636-5.1 142,277-3.7 331,074 10.9 207,023 2.6 2012 276,404-0.3 281,691-0.2 60,356 2.2 221,335-0.8 864,493 4.1 116,820 2.0 240,101-1.0 144,886 1.8 362,686 9.5 212,936 2.9 2013 278,493 0.8 287,112 1.9 61,468 1.8 225,644 1.9 889,105 2.8 119,610 2.4 237,619-1.0 142,223-1.8 389,653 7.4 218,449 2.6 2014 282,296 1.4 300,920 4.8 67,630 10.0 233,290 3.4 939,729 5.7 124,984 4.5 230,304-3.1 148,522 4.4 435,919 11.9 230,738 5.6 2015 284,387 0.7 311,824 3.6 71,670 6.0 240,154 2.9 1,012,447 7.7 129,018 3.2 235,715 2.3 151,543 2.0 496,171 13.8 238,559 3.4 2016 288,414 1.4 324,303 4.0 76,672 7.0 247,631 3.1 1,099,030 8.6 134,270 4.1 245,144 4.0 155,246 2.4 564,370 13.7 247,511 3.8 2017 295,022 2.3 338,684 4.4 82,345 7.4 256,339 3.5 1,207,804 9.9 141,194 5.2 259,739 6.0 159,781 2.9 647,090 14.7 255,688 3.3 2018 301,055 2.0 352,467 4.1 87,684 6.5 264,783 3.3 1,310,335 8.5 148,184 5.0 271,750 4.6 163,986 2.6 726,415 12.3 263,397 3.0 2019 306,806 1.9 365,763 3.8 92,791 5.8 272,972 3.1 1,408,754 7.5 154,931 4.6 282,662 4.0 167,822 2.3 803,340 10.6 270,982 2.9 2020 312,379 1.8 377,710 3.3 97,697 5.3 280,013 2.6 1,501,137 6.6 161,420 4.2 292,148 3.4 171,358 2.1 876,211 9.1 277,563 2.4 D-10 Conclusión
D-7. Personal Ocupado en el Sector Servicios por Subsectores Económicos: Escenario Base 2014-2020 (Puestos de trabajo ocupados remunerados) Comercio, restaurantes y hoteles Servicios financieros, seguros y actividades inmobiliarias Total Servicios de Transporte, Servicios Años Sector alojamiento temporal almacenaje y Servicios inmobiliarios y Servicios y de preparación de comunicaciones financieros de alquiler de bienes Total subsector Comercio alimentos y bebidas Total subsector Total subsector y de seguros muebles e intangibles Personas Var.% Personas Var.% Personas Var.% Personas Var.% Personas Var.% Personas Var.% Personas Var.% Personas Var.% 1980 12,129,687 6.8 3,353,314 4.1 1,043,694 16.3 282,591 8.8 1981 12,916,660 6.5 3,569,113 6.4 1,121,710 7.5 310,035 9.7 1982 13,169,874 2.0 3,601,144 0.9 1,196,524 6.7 341,973 10.3 1983 13,020,803-1.1 3,503,694-2.7 1,142,374-4.5 350,857 2.6 1984 13,308,621 2.2 3,566,855 1.8 1,160,986 1.6 373,467 6.4 1985 13,506,753 1.5 3,589,748 0.6 1,187,246 2.3 376,940 0.9 1986 13,438,415-0.5 3,544,311-1.3 1,194,480 0.6 377,744 0.2 1987 13,536,002 0.7 3,594,616 1.4 1,217,944 2.0 384,525 1.8 1988 13,552,007 0.1 3,650,160 1.5 1,188,243-2.4 391,119 1.7 1989 14,021,563 3.5 3,862,456 5.8 1,253,855 5.5 397,833 1.7 1990 14,650,354 4.5 4,193,159 8.6 1,348,397 7.5 404,043 1.6 1991 15,297,328 4.4 4,441,731 5.9 1,392,214 3.2 418,342 3.5 1992 15,694,821 2.6 4,631,993 4.3 1,395,540 0.2 425,672 1.8 1993 15,922,021 1.4 4,676,715 1.0 1,404,932 0.7 432,259 1.5 1994 16,444,885 3.3 4,818,235 3.0 1,480,560 5.4 439,594 1.7 1995 16,322,691-0.7 4,825,704 0.2 1,425,833-3.7 433,677-1.3 1996 16,559,987 1.5 4,831,375 0.1 1,523,096 6.8 443,917 2.4 1997 17,132,891 3.5 5,010,624 3.7 1,592,922 4.6 466,053 5.0 1998 17,740,538 3.5 5,197,428 3.7 1,678,824 5.4 473,008 1.5 1999 18,179,515 2.5 5,368,784 3.3 1,740,699 3.7 476,137 0.7 2000 18,634,645 2.5 5,517,932 2.8 1,813,034 4.2 478,605 0.5 2001 18,776,535 0.8 5,657,739 2.5 1,840,146 1.5 483,796 1.1 2002 18,820,510 0.2 5,638,679-0.3 1,798,565-2.3 487,708 0.8 2003 18,866,638 0.2 5,692,094 0.9 4,444,857 1,247,237 1,782,893-0.9 486,185-0.3 214,299 271,886 2004 19,169,494 1.6 5,813,712 2.1 4,555,978 2.5 1,257,734 0.8 1,815,075 1.8 505,434 4.0 212,834-0.7 292,600 7.6 2005 19,513,983 1.8 5,955,333 2.4 4,683,545 2.8 1,271,788 1.1 1,849,715 1.9 521,460 3.2 222,405 4.5 299,055 2.2 2006 19,960,510 2.3 6,146,744 3.2 4,875,570 4.1 1,271,174 0.0 1,892,970 2.3 553,714 6.2 234,865 5.6 318,849 6.6 2007 20,509,438 2.8 6,305,687 2.6 5,026,713 3.1 1,278,974 0.6 1,942,380 2.6 582,912 5.3 250,665 6.7 332,247 4.2 2008 20,875,274 1.8 6,455,048 2.4 5,167,461 2.8 1,287,587 0.7 1,953,159 0.6 581,999-0.2 239,608-4.4 342,391 3.1 2009 20,598,362-1.3 6,287,384-2.6 5,027,940-2.7 1,259,444-2.2 1,933,453-1.0 558,999-4.0 242,020 1.0 316,979-7.4 2010 20,861,235 1.3 6,388,974 1.6 5,128,499 2.0 1,260,475 0.1 1,972,327 2.0 572,884 2.5 264,073 9.1 308,811-2.6 2011 21,291,690 2.1 6,545,465 2.4 5,297,739 3.3 1,247,726-1.0 2,003,670 1.6 595,862 4.0 287,465 8.9 308,397-0.1 2012 21,789,338 2.3 6,728,563 2.8 5,467,267 3.2 1,261,296 1.1 1,995,158-0.4 602,838 1.2 291,072 1.3 311,766 1.1 2013 22,121,974 1.5 6,821,935 1.4 5,550,549 1.5 1,271,386 0.8 1,984,983-0.5 607,786 0.8 294,532 1.2 313,254 0.5 2014 22,588,207 2.1 6,995,397 2.5 5,703,506 2.8 1,291,891 1.6 1,979,619-0.3 619,692 2.0 303,089 2.9 316,604 1.1 2015 23,129,358 2.4 7,169,456 2.5 5,862,959 2.8 1,306,497 1.1 2,005,506 1.3 644,239 4.0 320,238 5.7 324,001 2.3 2016 23,815,561 3.0 7,402,629 3.3 6,076,364 3.6 1,326,266 1.5 2,048,660 2.2 679,298 5.4 344,046 7.4 335,253 3.5 2017 24,636,207 3.4 7,690,533 3.9 6,344,335 4.4 1,346,198 1.5 2,115,039 3.2 729,930 7.5 381,454 10.9 348,476 3.9 2018 25,377,195 3.0 7,930,899 3.1 6,567,029 3.5 1,363,870 1.3 2,178,531 3.0 776,720 6.4 415,863 9.0 360,857 3.6 2019 26,071,745 2.7 8,159,048 2.9 6,778,542 3.2 1,380,506 1.2 2,234,832 2.6 821,607 5.8 449,081 8.0 372,525 3.2 2020 26,723,895 2.5 8,379,628 2.7 6,983,992 3.0 1,395,636 1.1 2,285,359 2.3 863,199 5.1 480,476 7.0 382,722 2.7 Continúa D-11
Continuación Servicios comunales, sociales y personales Servicios Servicios de Años profesionales, Dirección apoyo a los negocios y científicos de corporativos manejo de desechos y Servicios Total subsector y técnicos y empresas servicios de remediación educativos Personas Var.% Personas Var.% Personas Var.% Personas Var.% Personas Var.% 1980 7,450,088 6.8 1981 7,915,801 6.3 1982 8,030,233 1.4 1983 8,023,878-0.1 1984 8,207,312 2.3 1985 8,352,820 1.8 1986 8,321,879-0.4 1987 8,338,916 0.2 1988 8,322,485-0.2 1989 8,507,420 2.2 1990 8,704,755 2.3 1991 9,045,042 3.9 1992 9,241,616 2.2 1993 9,408,115 1.8 1994 9,706,496 3.2 1995 9,637,477-0.7 1996 9,761,598 1.3 1997 10,063,292 3.1 1998 10,391,278 3.3 1999 10,593,895 1.9 2000 10,825,075 2.2 2001 10,794,854-0.3 2002 10,895,558 0.9 2003 10,905,466 0.1 488,933 12,691 2,619,762 2,077,008 2004 11,035,273 1.2 497,029 1.7 12,902 1.7 2,698,826 3.0 2,100,024 1.1 2005 11,187,475 1.4 508,232 2.3 13,004 0.8 2,659,811-1.4 2,134,963 1.7 2006 11,367,082 1.6 514,448 1.2 13,567 4.3 2,704,834 1.7 2,147,633 0.6 2007 11,678,459 2.7 525,034 2.1 14,120 4.1 2,800,640 3.5 2,179,126 1.5 2008 11,885,068 1.8 530,776 1.1 14,452 2.4 2,899,851 3.5 2,198,153 0.9 2009 11,818,526-0.6 514,744-3.0 16,683 15.4 2,782,079-4.1 2,204,043 0.3 2010 11,927,050 0.9 518,554 0.7 19,067 14.3 2,782,340 0.0 2,210,010 0.3 2011 12,146,693 1.8 521,685 0.6 19,322 1.3 2,919,588 4.9 2,230,479 0.9 2012 12,462,779 2.6 517,734-0.8 19,585 1.4 3,070,419 5.2 2,258,973 1.3 2013 12,707,270 2.0 508,877-1.7 18,424-5.9 3,198,862 4.2 2,276,766 0.8 2014 12,993,499 2.3 509,813 0.2 19,418 5.4 3,326,670 4.0 2,307,954 1.4 2015 13,310,157 2.4 514,625 0.9 20,428 5.2 3,465,586 4.2 2,341,901 1.5 2016 13,684,974 2.8 523,522 1.7 21,750 6.5 3,612,234 4.2 2,380,818 1.7 2017 14,100,705 3.0 533,543 1.9 23,435 7.7 3,765,655 4.2 2,423,766 1.8 2018 14,491,045 2.8 543,253 1.8 25,055 6.9 3,910,574 3.8 2,463,250 1.6 2019 14,856,258 2.5 552,529 1.7 26,629 6.3 4,052,635 3.6 2,500,272 1.5 2020 15,195,709 2.3 561,557 1.6 28,110 5.6 4,187,858 3.3 2,533,740 1.3 D-12 Continúa
Continuación Servicios de esparcimiento, Servicios comunales, sociales y personales Servicios culturales y deportivos, Otros servicios Años de salud y otros servicios Información en excepto actividades Actividades y de asistencia social recreativos medios masivos del gobierno del gobierno Personas Var.% Personas Var.% Personas Var.% Personas Var.% Personas Var.% 1980 1981 1982 1983 1984 1985 1986 1987 1988 1989 1990 1991 1992 1993 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 925,305 102,498 174,255 2,359,831 2,145,183 2004 930,021 0.5 100,902-1.6 180,091 3.3 2,380,414 0.9 2,135,064-0.5 2005 934,809 0.5 101,422 0.5 188,942 4.9 2,502,935 5.1 2,143,357 0.4 2006 936,061 0.1 104,372 2.9 188,853 0.0 2,569,683 2.7 2,187,631 2.1 2007 968,537 3.5 105,948 1.5 200,872 6.4 2,688,530 4.6 2,195,652 0.4 2008 979,287 1.1 107,526 1.5 204,773 1.9 2,707,394 0.7 2,242,856 2.1 2009 991,065 1.2 106,013-1.4 205,200 0.2 2,727,213 0.7 2,271,486 1.3 2010 1,008,911 1.8 110,933 4.6 194,247-5.3 2,797,811 2.6 2,285,177 0.6 2011 1,020,451 1.1 109,640-1.2 194,386 0.1 2,838,690 1.5 2,292,452 0.3 2012 1,029,284 0.9 110,565 0.8 193,655-0.4 2,917,917 2.8 2,344,647 2.3 2013 1,034,385 0.5 111,441 0.8 190,585-1.6 2,975,793 2.0 2,392,136 2.0 2014 1,044,025 0.9 111,631 0.2 192,603 1.1 3,025,806 1.7 2,455,578 2.7 2015 1,057,712 1.3 113,550 1.7 196,608 2.1 3,087,521 2.0 2,512,226 2.3 2016 1,074,193 1.6 116,855 2.9 201,840 2.7 3,175,385 2.8 2,578,377 2.6 2017 1,096,886 2.1 121,271 3.8 207,997 3.1 3,278,183 3.2 2,649,970 2.8 2018 1,117,026 1.8 125,401 3.4 213,629 2.7 3,374,638 2.9 2,718,219 2.6 2019 1,134,908 1.6 129,178 3.0 218,804 2.4 3,464,135 2.7 2,777,168 2.2 2020 1,149,950 1.3 132,563 2.6 223,770 2.3 3,549,182 2.5 2,828,979 1.9 Conclusión C-13
Sección: D-II. Asegurados Permanentes y Eventuales en el IMSS Cuadro D-8. Asegurados Permanentes y Eventuales Urbanos en el IMSS por Sectores Económicos 1980-2020 Cuadro 8.1 Total de Asegurados Cuadro 8.2 Variación Anual Absoluta Cuadro 8.3 Variación Porcentual Anual
D-8.1. Asegurados Permanentes y Eventuales Urbanos en el IMSS: Escenario Base 2014-2020 (Número de trabajadores afiliados al IMSS al cierre de año) Sector Secundario Sector Servicios Industrias Industria Transportes Servicios para Servicios Años Total Sector Industrias de la Eléctrica y y Empresas, Sociales Primario Total Extractivas Transformación Construcción Suministro Total Comercio Comunicaciones Personas y de Agua y el Hogar Comunales 1980 5,974,071 457,073 2,836,734 71,021 2,593,814 61,473 110,426 2,680,264 943,958 265,397 1,266,974 203,935 1981 6,661,151 506,840 3,212,482 90,402 2,943,347 70,791 107,942 2,941,829 1,133,054 296,933 1,302,426 209,417 1982 6,630,881 653,249 2,803,648 95,641 2,479,535 128,924 99,548 3,173,983 1,330,249 442,221 1,211,006 190,508 1983 6,595,360 622,970 2,756,743 94,377 2,444,235 122,387 95,744 3,215,647 1,318,381 427,432 1,040,541 429,293 1984 7,110,349 625,908 2,972,425 99,940 2,638,494 134,997 98,994 3,512,016 1,386,847 434,106 1,131,392 559,671 1985 7,636,691 627,301 3,205,509 101,690 2,848,484 150,653 104,682 3,803,881 1,489,463 461,468 1,203,070 649,880 1986 7,454,904 594,264 3,042,655 93,321 2,694,111 155,658 99,565 3,817,985 1,470,110 455,788 1,243,578 648,509 1987 8,176,666 631,877 3,371,148 102,883 2,984,478 176,617 107,170 4,173,640 1,586,977 493,841 1,370,923 721,899 1988 8,324,174 537,915 3,487,408 93,286 3,099,566 197,587 96,969 4,298,852 1,569,147 496,263 1,490,547 742,895 1989 8,811,933 532,355 3,696,077 96,107 3,282,710 215,074 102,186 4,583,501 1,679,254 503,326 1,592,116 808,805 1990 9,607,999 558,524 3,952,090 97,159 3,482,080 263,880 108,971 5,097,385 1,848,892 545,017 1,778,949 924,527 1991 10,086,532 566,410 4,107,156 91,573 3,604,145 297,695 113,742 5,412,967 1,957,449 583,992 1,888,036 983,489 1992 10,015,344 493,535 3,982,292 80,730 3,458,684 323,919 118,959 5,539,517 1,995,140 574,541 1,910,471 1,059,365 1993 9,806,889 477,385 3,791,371 69,377 3,279,925 322,358 119,711 5,538,133 1,965,878 557,659 1,920,022 1,094,575 1994 9,952,105 461,864 3,866,562 74,531 3,339,201 328,613 124,218 5,623,679 2,005,553 564,626 1,961,512 1,091,987 1995 9,132,267 431,953 3,516,874 66,620 3,083,846 244,988 121,420 5,183,440 1,800,880 518,989 1,796,582 1,066,989 1996 9,957,490 454,442 3,967,123 72,841 3,488,764 280,493 125,026 5,535,925 1,931,920 538,155 1,946,054 1,119,796 1997 10,520,396 425,540 4,531,461 72,759 3,620,575 702,671 135,456 5,563,395 1,923,263 552,990 1,943,285 1,143,857 1998 11,171,891 401,056 4,896,202 67,830 3,887,543 802,731 138,098 5,874,633 2,058,960 589,552 2,073,523 1,152,598 1999 11,841,237 388,010 5,246,428 67,570 4,175,628 862,448 140,782 6,206,799 2,185,560 617,828 2,188,612 1,214,799 2000 12,386,783 364,334 5,432,314 70,220 4,324,053 894,257 143,784 6,590,135 2,328,306 657,213 2,327,387 1,277,229 2001 12,111,003 365,305 4,989,621 65,848 3,907,900 868,260 147,613 6,756,077 2,407,625 663,345 2,343,164 1,341,943 2002 12,183,784 352,964 4,916,411 64,067 3,823,002 878,413 150,929 6,914,409 2,465,459 668,138 2,391,378 1,389,434 2003 12,202,712 345,005 4,819,694 66,572 3,697,414 902,596 153,112 7,038,013 2,460,747 666,508 2,447,437 1,463,321 2004 12,547,425 353,750 4,908,128 68,381 3,753,945 931,163 154,639 7,285,549 2,514,465 679,667 2,577,645 1,513,772 2005 12,971,301 351,281 5,023,179 69,472 3,780,250 1,015,931 157,526 7,596,841 2,603,239 701,393 2,737,184 1,555,025 2006 13,574,701 345,080 5,187,843 75,218 3,852,272 1,098,591 161,762 8,041,778 2,720,799 733,073 2,970,651 1,617,255 2007 14,100,087 347,634 5,264,108 83,083 3,874,861 1,141,473 164,691 8,488,345 2,853,882 761,229 3,214,336 1,658,898 2008 14,062,552 343,686 4,983,045 94,703 3,617,186 1,099,430 171,726 8,735,821 2,924,108 765,065 3,349,936 1,696,712 2009 13,881,281 339,862 4,780,149 103,655 3,504,165 1,042,572 129,757 8,761,270 2,905,026 747,140 3,373,275 1,735,829 2010 14,611,629 354,786 5,155,128 104,706 3,778,374 1,128,104 143,944 9,101,715 3,041,994 771,980 3,504,456 1,783,285 2011 15,202,426 365,767 5,386,397 117,450 3,936,742 1,183,717 148,488 9,450,262 3,188,294 817,800 3,609,618 1,834,550 2012 15,901,832 378,917 5,658,873 132,729 4,133,785 1,241,451 150,908 9,864,042 3,349,687 848,138 3,782,680 1,883,537 2013 16,355,551 377,417 5,842,119 136,192 4,289,760 1,266,890 149,277 10,136,015 3,440,624 873,582 3,888,512 1,933,297 2014 16,951,835 384,211 6,077,988 140,005 4,448,481 1,337,836 151,665 10,489,637 3,554,165 913,767 4,024,610 1,997,096 2015 17,697,360 391,511 6,431,984 147,155 4,709,999 1,419,687 155,143 10,873,865 3,673,585 953,607 4,177,696 2,068,978 2016 18,654,741 413,435 6,888,181 158,348 5,032,484 1,538,021 159,328 11,353,125 3,841,100 1,009,298 4,351,250 2,151,478 2017 19,832,079 418,810 7,462,137 175,598 5,436,938 1,685,625 163,975 11,951,133 4,070,030 1,083,582 4,552,067 2,245,454 2018 21,006,152 443,101 8,035,999 194,158 5,824,950 1,848,886 168,004 12,527,052 4,271,089 1,158,457 4,768,341 2,329,165 2019 22,103,143 435,125 8,597,343 208,072 6,208,395 2,009,589 171,287 13,070,675 4,452,183 1,233,526 4,981,626 2,403,340 2020 23,185,514 445,742 9,157,555 219,368 6,597,108 2,166,787 174,292 13,582,217 4,618,695 1,306,797 5,184,415 2,472,310 Continúa D-14
D-8.2. Asegurados Permanentes y Eventuales Urbanos en el IMSS: Escenario Base 2014-2020 (Variación anual absoluta) Sector Secundario Sector Servicios Industrias Industria Transportes Servicios para Servicios Años Total Sector Industrias de la Eléctrica y y Empresas, Sociales Primario Total Extractivas Transformación Construcción Suministro Total Comercio Comunicaciones Personas y de Agua y el Hogar Comunales 1980 799,580 48,997 440,662 13,272 394,619 11,837 20,935 309,921 155,313 37,373 103,549 13,686 1981 687,080 49,767 375,748 19,381 349,533 9,317-2,483 261,566 189,096 31,536 35,452 5,482 1982-30,270 146,410-408,834 5,240-463,812 58,133-8,394 232,154 197,195 145,288-91,420-18,909 1983-35,521-30,279-46,905-1,264-35,300-6,537-3,804 41,663-11,868-14,789-170,465 238,785 1984 514,989 2,938 215,682 5,563 194,259 12,610 3,250 296,369 68,466 6,674 90,851 130,378 1985 526,342 1,393 233,084 1,750 209,990 15,656 5,688 291,866 102,617 27,362 71,678 90,208 1986-181,787-33,036-162,854-8,369-154,373 5,005-5,117 14,103-19,354-5,680 40,508-1,371 1987 721,762 37,613 328,493 9,563 290,367 20,959 7,605 355,656 116,867 38,052 127,345 73,390 1988 147,508-93,963 116,259-9,597 115,087 20,970-10,201 125,211-17,830 2,422 119,624 20,995 1989 487,759-5,560 208,670 2,821 183,145 17,488 5,217 284,649 110,107 7,063 101,569 65,910 1990 796,066 26,169 256,013 1,052 199,370 48,806 6,785 513,884 169,638 41,691 186,833 115,722 1991 478,533 7,886 155,066-5,585 122,065 33,815 4,771 315,582 108,557 38,975 109,087 58,962 1992-71,188-72,875-124,864-10,843-145,461 26,223 5,217 126,551 37,691-9,451 22,434 75,876 1993-208,455-16,150-190,921-11,354-178,759-1,561 752-1,384-29,263-16,883 9,552 35,210 1994 145,216-15,520 75,191 5,154 59,276 6,254 4,507 85,546 39,675 6,968 41,490-2,587 1995-819,838-29,911-349,688-7,911-255,355-83,624-2,798-440,239-204,673-45,638-164,930-24,998 1996 825,223 22,488 450,249 6,221 404,918 35,504 3,606 352,485 131,040 19,166 149,472 52,807 1997 562,906-28,902 564,338-82 131,811 422,178 10,430 27,470-8,657 14,835-2,769 24,061 1998 651,495-24,484 364,741-4,929 266,968 100,060 2,642 311,238 135,697 36,562 130,238 8,741 1999 669,346-13,046 350,226-260 288,085 59,717 2,684 332,166 126,600 28,276 115,089 62,201 2000 545,546-23,676 185,886 2,650 148,425 31,809 3,002 383,336 142,746 39,385 138,775 62,430 2001-275,780 971-442,693-4,372-416,153-25,997 3,829 165,942 79,319 6,132 15,777 64,714 2002 72,781-12,341-73,210-1,781-84,898 10,153 3,316 158,332 57,834 4,793 48,214 47,491 2003 18,928-7,959-96,717 2,505-125,588 24,183 2,183 123,604-4,712-1,630 56,059 73,887 2004 344,713 8,745 88,434 1,809 56,531 28,567 1,527 247,536 53,718 13,159 130,208 50,451 2005 423,876-2,469 115,051 1,091 26,305 84,768 2,887 311,292 88,774 21,726 159,539 41,253 2006 603,400-6,201 164,664 5,746 72,022 82,660 4,236 444,937 117,560 31,680 233,467 62,230 2007 525,386 2,554 76,265 7,865 22,589 42,882 2,929 446,567 133,083 28,156 243,685 41,643 2008-37,535-3,948-281,063 11,620-257,675-42,043 7,035 247,476 70,226 3,836 135,600 37,814 2009-181,271-3,824-202,896 8,952-113,021-56,858-41,969 25,449-19,082-17,925 23,339 39,117 2010 730,348 14,924 374,979 1,051 274,209 85,532 14,187 340,445 136,968 24,840 131,181 47,456 2011 590,797 10,981 231,269 12,744 158,368 55,613 4,544 348,547 146,300 45,820 105,162 51,265 2012 699,406 13,150 272,476 15,279 197,043 57,734 2,420 413,780 161,393 30,338 173,062 48,987 2013 453,719-1,500 183,246 3,463 155,975 25,439-1,631 271,973 90,937 25,444 105,832 49,760 2014 596,284 6,794 235,869 3,813 158,721 70,946 2,388 353,622 113,541 40,185 136,098 63,799 2015 745,525 7,300 353,997 7,149 261,518 81,852 3,478 384,228 119,420 39,840 153,087 71,882 2016 957,381 21,925 456,196 11,193 322,485 118,333 4,185 479,260 167,515 55,691 173,553 82,500 2017 1,177,338 5,375 573,956 17,251 404,454 147,604 4,647 598,008 228,930 74,284 200,818 93,976 2018 1,174,072 24,291 573,862 18,560 388,013 163,261 4,029 575,919 201,059 74,876 216,273 83,711 2019 1,096,991-7,976 561,344 13,914 383,444 160,703 3,283 543,622 181,094 75,068 213,285 74,175 2020 1,082,372 10,617 560,212 11,296 388,713 157,198 3,005 511,542 166,512 73,271 202,790 68,969 Continúa D-15
D-8.3. Asegurados Permanentes y Eventuales Urbanos en el IMSS: Escenario Base 2014-2020 (Variación % anual) Sector Secundario Sector Servicios Industrias Industria Transportes Servicios para Servicios Años Total Sector Industrias de la Eléctrica y y Empresas, Sociales Primario Total Extractivas Transformación Construcción Suministro Total Comercio Comunicaciones Personas y de Agua y el Hogar Comunales 1980 15.5 12.0 18.4 23.0 17.9 23.8 23.4 13.1 19.7 16.4 8.9 7.2 1981 11.5 10.9 13.2 27.3 13.5 15.2-2.2 9.8 20.0 11.9 2.8 2.7 1982-0.5 28.9-12.7 5.8-15.8 82.1-7.8 7.9 17.4 48.9-7.0-9.0 1983-0.5-4.6-1.7-1.3-1.4-5.1-3.8 1.3-0.9-3.3-14.1 125.3 1984 7.8 0.5 7.8 5.9 7.9 10.3 3.4 9.2 5.2 1.6 8.7 30.4 1985 7.4 0.2 7.8 1.8 8.0 11.6 5.7 8.3 7.4 6.3 6.3 16.1 1986-2.4-5.3-5.1-8.2-5.4 3.3-4.9 0.4-1.3-1.2 3.4-0.2 1987 9.7 6.3 10.8 10.2 10.8 13.5 7.6 9.3 7.9 8.3 10.2 11.3 1988 1.8-14.9 3.4-9.3 3.9 11.9-9.5 3.0-1.1 0.5 8.7 2.9 1989 5.9-1.0 6.0 3.0 5.9 8.9 5.4 6.6 7.0 1.4 6.8 8.9 1990 9.0 4.9 6.9 1.1 6.1 22.7 6.6 11.2 10.1 8.3 11.7 14.3 1991 5.0 1.4 3.9-5.7 3.5 12.8 4.4 6.2 5.9 7.2 6.1 6.4 1992-0.7-12.9-3.0-11.8-4.0 8.8 4.6 2.3 1.9-1.6 1.2 7.7 1993-2.1-3.3-4.8-14.1-5.2-0.5 0.6 0.0-1.5-2.9 0.5 3.3 1994 1.5-3.3 2.0 7.4 1.8 1.9 3.8 1.5 2.0 1.2 2.2-0.2 1995-8.2-6.5-9.0-10.6-7.6-25.4-2.3-7.8-10.2-8.1-8.4-2.3 1996 9.0 5.2 12.8 9.3 13.1 14.5 3.0 6.8 7.3 3.7 8.3 4.9 1997 5.7-6.4 14.2-0.1 3.8 150.5 8.3 0.5-0.4 2.8-0.1 2.1 1998 6.2-5.8 8.0-6.8 7.4 14.2 2.0 5.6 7.1 6.6 6.7 0.8 1999 6.0-3.3 7.2-0.4 7.4 7.4 1.9 5.7 6.1 4.8 5.6 5.4 2000 4.6-6.1 3.5 3.9 3.6 3.7 2.1 6.2 6.5 6.4 6.3 5.1 2001-2.2 0.3-8.1-6.2-9.6-2.9 2.7 2.5 3.4 0.9 0.7 5.1 2002 0.6-3.4-1.5-2.7-2.2 1.2 2.2 2.3 2.4 0.7 2.1 3.5 2003 0.2-2.3-2.0 3.9-3.3 2.8 1.4 1.8-0.2-0.2 2.3 5.3 2004 2.8 2.5 1.8 2.7 1.5 3.2 1.0 3.5 2.2 2.0 5.3 3.4 2005 3.4-0.7 2.3 1.6 0.7 9.1 1.9 4.3 3.5 3.2 6.2 2.7 2006 4.7-1.8 3.3 8.3 1.9 8.1 2.7 5.9 4.5 4.5 8.5 4.0 2007 3.9 0.7 1.5 10.5 0.6 3.9 1.8 5.6 4.9 3.8 8.2 2.6 2008-0.3-1.1-5.3 14.0-6.6-3.7 4.3 2.9 2.5 0.5 4.2 2.3 2009-1.3-1.1-4.1 9.5-3.1-5.2-24.4 0.3-0.7-2.3 0.7 2.3 2010 5.3 4.4 7.8 1.0 7.8 8.2 10.9 3.9 4.7 3.3 3.9 2.7 2011 4.0 3.1 4.5 12.2 4.2 4.9 3.2 3.8 4.8 5.9 3.0 2.9 2012 4.6 3.6 5.1 13.0 5.0 4.9 1.6 4.4 5.1 3.7 4.8 2.7 2013 2.9-0.4 3.2 2.6 3.8 2.0-1.1 2.8 2.7 3.0 2.8 2.6 2014 3.6 1.8 4.0 2.8 3.7 5.6 1.6 3.5 3.3 4.6 3.5 3.3 2015 4.4 1.9 5.8 5.1 5.9 6.1 2.3 3.7 3.4 4.4 3.8 3.6 2016 5.4 5.6 7.1 7.6 6.8 8.3 2.7 4.4 4.6 5.8 4.2 4.0 2017 6.3 1.3 8.3 10.9 8.0 9.6 2.9 5.3 6.0 7.4 4.6 4.4 2018 5.9 5.8 7.7 10.6 7.1 9.7 2.5 4.8 4.9 6.9 4.8 3.7 2019 5.2-1.8 7.0 7.2 6.6 8.7 2.0 4.3 4.2 6.5 4.5 3.2 2020 4.9 2.4 6.5 5.4 6.3 7.8 1.8 3.9 3.7 5.9 4.1 2.9 Conclusión D-16
Sección: D-III. ENOE Población Ocupada por Sectores Económicos Cuadro D-9. ENOE Población Ocupada por Sectores Económicos 1980-2020 Cuadro D-9.1. Población Ocupada Cuadro D-9.2. Variación % Anual Cuadro D-9.3. Estructura Porcentual
D-9.1. ENOE Población Ocupada por Sectores Económicos: Escenario Base 2014-2020 (Personas) Población Ocupada por Sectores Económicos Sector Secundario Sector Servicios Industria Transportes, Servicios Gobierno Años TOTAL Sector Total extractiva Total Restaurantes comunicaciones, profesionales, y Primario y de la Industria y servicios correo y financieros y Servicios Servicios organismos No electricidad manufacturera Construcción Comercio de alojamiento almacenamiento corporativos sociales diversos internacionales especificado 1980 26,430,989 5,303,105 7,955,184 230,876 5,989,410 1,734,898 13,172,700 5,307,833 989,488 1,417,969 722,674 1,799,058 1,874,422 1,048,886 12,369 1981 28,151,386 5,590,149 8,486,778 248,669 6,201,771 2,036,339 14,074,459 5,596,336 1,066,029 1,509,783 803,698 1,928,610 2,032,832 1,122,844 14,327 1982 28,348,589 5,550,856 8,264,079 264,417 6,002,882 1,996,779 14,533,654 5,702,522 1,090,521 1,595,382 898,543 1,974,813 2,106,941 1,148,059 16,874 1983 27,803,043 5,928,660 7,425,660 268,834 5,530,438 1,626,387 14,448,724 5,610,935 1,077,368 1,507,227 935,366 1,992,010 2,151,626 1,156,335 17,856 1984 28,740,960 6,150,598 7,655,257 282,189 5,626,359 1,746,709 14,935,106 5,779,415 1,114,028 1,516,711 1,009,673 2,056,474 2,248,150 1,192,020 18,635 1985 29,613,830 6,471,412 7,848,104 298,080 5,729,697 1,820,327 15,294,315 5,891,640 1,140,116 1,535,850 1,034,208 2,112,470 2,337,467 1,222,690 19,874 1986 29,447,643 6,480,349 7,583,497 302,195 5,507,929 1,773,372 15,383,797 5,899,552 1,146,208 1,529,849 1,051,926 2,124,713 2,380,233 1,227,942 23,374 1987 30,080,411 6,746,834 7,605,827 317,904 5,496,125 1,791,798 15,727,750 6,062,230 1,181,961 1,544,603 1,086,589 2,149,248 2,437,471 1,240,280 25,368 1988 30,838,697 7,092,075 7,593,787 328,765 5,454,894 1,810,127 16,152,836 6,393,511 1,219,136 1,491,490 1,121,521 2,165,431 2,486,293 1,247,758 27,696 1989 31,721,098 7,129,636 7,933,633 321,630 5,566,017 2,045,987 16,657,829 6,486,261 1,308,329 1,558,932 1,157,596 2,234,120 2,596,239 1,285,467 30,885 1990 33,224,031 7,430,334 8,346,882 336,607 5,621,795 2,388,480 17,446,815 6,774,225 1,438,665 1,660,887 1,193,030 2,307,167 2,713,578 1,325,568 33,696 1991 34,292,671 7,604,686 8,463,989 339,370 5,588,963 2,535,655 18,223,996 7,008,056 1,542,652 1,698,250 1,253,145 2,419,276 2,879,356 1,387,991 35,269 1992 34,747,612 7,732,885 8,504,336 309,804 5,577,096 2,617,436 18,510,390 6,940,571 1,627,244 1,685,325 1,293,901 2,494,837 3,005,278 1,429,260 33,974 1993 35,424,734 8,043,427 8,405,825 291,102 5,379,576 2,735,147 18,975,482 7,115,760 1,660,854 1,679,814 1,333,330 2,563,486 3,125,538 1,466,444 30,256 1994 36,508,930 8,347,636 8,449,410 285,130 5,202,054 2,962,227 19,711,884 7,340,856 1,727,721 1,753,440 1,375,956 2,669,141 3,293,428 1,524,685 26,658 1995 34,080,888 7,853,735 7,555,992 213,108 4,820,037 2,522,848 18,671,161 6,578,940 1,714,062 1,679,787 1,354,762 2,619,212 3,206,932 1,491,100 26,367 1996 35,439,153 7,621,558 8,173,178 316,758 5,347,738 2,508,683 19,644,417 6,363,565 1,760,352 1,564,143 1,488,371 2,758,514 3,893,866 1,793,538 22,069 1997 37,429,368 8,608,796 8,528,187 279,510 5,753,583 2,495,095 20,292,384 6,762,918 1,723,502 1,634,456 1,613,866 2,892,980 3,887,891 1,764,900 11,872 1998 38,464,114 7,287,762 9,728,143 309,577 6,420,116 2,998,450 21,448,209 7,012,616 2,011,935 1,829,985 1,561,048 3,014,304 4,194,528 1,801,050 22,743 1999 38,826,189 7,734,390 10,043,488 302,472 6,760,617 2,980,399 21,048,310 6,808,051 1,967,285 1,852,001 1,476,055 2,831,430 4,189,539 1,910,576 13,374 2000 39,677,479 6,765,277 10,776,137 306,603 7,080,313 3,389,221 22,136,064 7,233,280 2,066,358 1,906,971 1,693,803 3,097,478 4,158,692 1,969,697 9,785 2001 39,601,183 6,734,608 10,583,067 318,017 7,039,674 3,225,375 22,283,509 7,323,345 2,124,966 1,900,051 1,714,448 3,092,856 4,117,068 1,998,694 12,082 2002 40,049,306 6,967,016 10,673,802 301,100 7,142,191 3,230,511 22,408,487 7,396,485 2,123,854 1,951,619 1,677,080 3,162,727 4,125,973 1,963,401 7,350 2003 40,647,004 6,727,632 10,733,037 314,325 7,116,429 3,302,283 23,186,335 7,788,023 2,243,267 2,006,564 1,684,916 3,252,035 4,211,326 1,992,916 7,288 2004 41,519,311 6,527,886 10,949,492 348,741 7,232,482 3,368,269 24,041,933 8,041,102 2,335,769 2,069,999 1,759,001 3,402,549 4,368,011 2,058,950 6,552 2005 42,430,926 6,346,048 10,823,052 372,849 7,103,943 3,346,261 25,261,826 8,333,290 2,521,106 2,126,318 2,260,676 3,449,510 4,261,145 1,990,194 319,588 2006 43,725,714 6,253,756 11,252,016 371,282 7,323,678 3,557,056 26,219,943 8,576,066 2,598,789 2,228,367 2,420,434 3,551,390 4,420,115 2,087,632 337,151 2007 44,605,873 6,177,911 11,486,351 396,412 7,354,361 3,735,578 26,941,611 8,825,623 2,728,268 2,172,385 2,592,245 3,607,967 4,526,637 2,153,122 335,365 2008 45,294,695 6,237,375 11,351,418 404,214 7,199,176 3,748,028 27,705,903 8,936,702 2,883,861 2,239,473 2,756,473 3,673,476 4,633,660 2,228,714 353,544 2009 45,745,675 6,328,855 10,909,989 428,665 6,871,760 3,609,565 28,506,831 9,114,004 3,000,439 2,335,407 2,831,090 3,835,412 4,766,930 2,311,513 312,036 2010 46,406,174 6,471,357 11,096,487 365,365 7,117,862 3,613,260 28,838,330 9,189,637 3,070,791 2,259,414 2,903,913 3,861,109 4,921,805 2,330,167 301,494 2011 47,425,601 6,501,516 11,274,613 361,809 7,241,704 3,671,100 29,649,472 9,368,444 3,230,662 2,279,708 3,123,489 3,887,274 5,078,171 2,365,884 315,841 2012 48,977,199 6,714,249 11,525,446 417,208 7,468,270 3,639,969 30,737,505 9,652,533 3,364,667 2,346,301 3,305,828 4,042,097 5,282,572 2,403,840 339,667 2013 49,483,638 6,753,437 11,784,893 432,728 7,743,075 3,609,089 30,945,308 9,720,650 3,432,956 2,425,917 3,362,323 4,065,128 5,277,881 2,370,382 290,072 2014 50,380,356 6,865,609 12,169,464 448,113 8,038,795 3,682,556 31,345,284 9,863,942 3,526,283 2,487,902 3,454,741 4,099,757 5,259,730 2,391,113 261,816 2015 51,610,116 6,727,335 12,699,073 467,141 8,432,879 3,799,053 32,183,709 10,129,104 3,642,234 2,577,657 3,557,042 4,166,872 5,309,016 2,435,039 366,744 2016 53,291,009 6,720,744 13,359,989 489,682 8,894,679 3,975,629 33,210,276 10,478,793 3,789,829 2,679,521 3,704,372 4,259,211 5,405,429 2,493,870 399,252 2017 55,253,188 6,676,662 14,146,836 516,612 9,442,187 4,188,037 34,429,690 10,875,856 3,959,962 2,793,135 3,898,983 4,384,341 5,526,395 2,559,655 431,363 2018 57,180,115 6,768,744 14,971,688 543,814 9,981,780 4,446,094 35,439,683 11,194,027 4,099,570 2,896,535 4,094,328 4,496,941 5,640,694 2,617,714 399,874 2019 58,935,397 6,751,659 15,746,820 566,814 10,502,054 4,677,952 36,436,918 11,493,658 4,229,801 2,988,772 4,261,336 4,605,779 5,749,010 2,670,599 437,963 2020 60,583,551 6,786,331 16,457,350 589,437 10,999,445 4,868,468 37,339,870 11,781,403 4,352,613 3,068,299 4,396,090 4,706,410 5,845,875 2,712,926 476,252 D-17 Continúa
D-9.2. ENOE Población Ocupada por Sectores Económicos: Escenario Base 2014-2020 (Variación % anual) Variación % anual de la Población Ocupada por Sectores Económicos Sector Secundario Sector Servicios Industria Transportes, Servicios Gobierno Años TOTAL Sector Total extractiva Total Restaurantes comunicaciones, profesionales, y Primario y de la Industria y servicios correo y financieros y Servicios Servicios organismos No electricidad manufacturera Construcción Comercio de alojamiento almacenamiento corporativos sociales diversos internacionales especificado 1980 6.6 6.1 6.9 9.9 5.1 13.4 6.6 3.1 5.3 15.3 10.3 7.7 9.0 7.6.. 1981 6.5 5.4 6.7 7.7 3.5 17.4 6.8 5.4 7.7 6.5 11.2 7.2 8.5 7.1.. 1982 0.7-0.7-2.6 6.3-3.2-1.9 3.3 1.9 2.3 5.7 11.8 2.4 3.6 2.2.. 1983-1.9 6.8-10.1 1.7-7.9-18.5-0.6-1.6-1.2-5.5 4.1 0.9 2.1 0.7.. 1984 3.4 3.7 3.1 5.0 1.7 7.4 3.4 3.0 3.4 0.6 7.9 3.2 4.5 3.1.. 1985 3.0 5.2 2.5 5.6 1.8 4.2 2.4 1.9 2.3 1.3 2.4 2.7 4.0 2.6.. 1986-0.6 0.1-3.4 1.4-3.9-2.6 0.6 0.1 0.5-0.4 1.7 0.6 1.8 0.4.. 1987 2.1 4.1 0.3 5.2-0.2 1.0 2.2 2.8 3.1 1.0 3.3 1.2 2.4 1.0.. 1988 2.5 5.1-0.2 3.4-0.8 1.0 2.7 5.5 3.1-3.4 3.2 0.8 2.0 0.6.. 1989 2.9 0.5 4.5-2.2 2.0 13.0 3.1 1.5 7.3 4.5 3.2 3.2 4.4 3.0.. 1990 4.7 4.2 5.2 4.7 1.0 16.7 4.7 4.4 10.0 6.5 3.1 3.3 4.5 3.1.. 1991 3.2 2.3 1.4 0.8-0.6 6.2 4.5 3.5 7.2 2.2 5.0 4.9 6.1 4.7.. 1992 1.3 1.7 0.5-8.7-0.2 3.2 1.6-1.0 5.5-0.8 3.3 3.1 4.4 3.0.. 1993 1.9 4.0-1.2-6.0-3.5 4.5 2.5 2.5 2.1-0.3 3.0 2.8 4.0 2.6.. 1994 3.1 3.8 0.5-2.1-3.3 8.3 3.9 3.2 4.0 4.4 3.2 4.1 5.4 4.0.. 1995-6.7-5.9-10.6-25.3-7.3-14.8-5.3-10.4-0.8-4.2-1.5-1.9-2.6-2.2.. 1996 4.0-3.0 8.2 48.6 10.9-0.6 5.2-3.3 2.7-6.9 9.9 5.3 21.4 20.3.. 1997 5.6 13.0 4.3-11.8 7.6-0.5 3.3 6.3-2.1 4.5 8.4 4.9-0.2-1.6.. 1998 2.8-15.3 14.1 10.8 11.6 20.2 5.7 3.7 16.7 12.0-3.3 4.2 7.9 2.0.. 1999 0.9 6.1 3.2-2.3 5.3-0.6-1.9-2.9-2.2 1.2-5.4-6.1-0.1 6.1.. 2000 2.2-12.5 7.3 1.4 4.7 13.7 5.2 6.2 5.0 3.0 14.8 9.4-0.7 3.1.. 2001-0.2-0.5-1.8 3.7-0.6-4.8 0.7 1.2 2.8-0.4 1.2-0.1-1.0 1.5.. 2002 1.1 3.5 0.9-5.3 1.5 0.2 0.6 1.0-0.1 2.7-2.2 2.3 0.2-1.8.. 2003 1.5-3.4 0.6 4.4-0.4 2.2 3.5 5.3 5.6 2.8 0.5 2.8 2.1 1.5.. 2004 2.1-3.0 2.0 10.9 1.6 2.0 3.7 3.2 4.1 3.2 4.4 4.6 3.7 3.3.. 2005 2.2-2.8-1.2 6.9-1.8-0.7 5.1 3.6 7.9 2.7 28.5 1.4-2.4-3.3.. 2006 3.1-1.5 4.0-0.4 3.1 6.3 3.8 2.9 3.1 4.8 7.1 3.0 3.7 4.9.. 2007 2.0-1.2 2.1 6.8 0.4 5.0 2.8 2.9 5.0-2.5 7.1 1.6 2.4 3.1.. 2008 1.5 1.0-1.2 2.0-2.1 0.3 2.8 1.3 5.7 3.1 6.3 1.8 2.4 3.5.. 2009 1.0 1.5-3.9 6.0-4.5-3.7 2.9 2.0 4.0 4.3 2.7 4.4 2.9 3.7.. 2010 1.4 2.3 1.7-14.8 3.6 0.1 1.2 0.8 2.3-3.3 2.6 0.7 3.2 0.8.. 2011 2.2 0.5 1.6-1.0 1.7 1.6 2.8 1.9 5.2 0.9 7.6 0.7 3.2 1.5.. 2012 3.3 3.3 2.2 15.3 3.1-0.8 3.7 3.0 4.1 2.9 5.8 4.0 4.0 1.6.. 2013 1.0 0.6 2.3 3.7 3.7-0.8 0.7 0.7 2.0 3.4 1.7 0.6-0.1-1.4.. 2014 1.8 1.7 3.3 3.6 3.8 2.0 1.3 1.5 2.7 2.6 2.7 0.9-0.3 0.9.. 2015 2.4-2.0 4.4 4.2 4.9 3.2 2.7 2.7 3.3 3.6 3.0 1.6 0.9 1.8.. 2016 3.3-0.1 5.2 4.8 5.5 4.6 3.2 3.5 4.1 4.0 4.1 2.2 1.8 2.4.. 2017 3.7-0.7 5.9 5.5 6.2 5.3 3.7 3.8 4.5 4.2 5.3 2.9 2.2 2.6.. 2018 3.5 1.4 5.8 5.3 5.7 6.2 2.9 2.9 3.5 3.7 5.0 2.6 2.1 2.3.. 2019 3.1-0.3 5.2 4.2 5.2 5.2 2.8 2.7 3.2 3.2 4.1 2.4 1.9 2.0.. 2020 2.8 0.5 4.5 4.0 4.7 4.1 2.5 2.5 2.9 2.7 3.2 2.2 1.7 1.6.. D-18 Continúa
D-9.3. ENOE Población Ocupada por Sectores Económicos: Escenario Base 2014-2020 (Estructura porcentual) Estructura Porcentual de la Población Ocupada por Sectores Económicos Sector Secundario Sector Servicios Industria Transportes, Servicios Gobierno Años TOTAL Sector Total extractiva Total Restaurantes comunicaciones, profesionales, y Primario y de la Industria y servicios correo y financieros y Servicios Servicios organismos No electricidad manufacturera Construcción Comercio de alojamiento almacenamiento corporativos sociales diversos internacionales especificado 1980 100.0 20.1 30.1 0.9 22.7 6.6 49.8 20.1 3.7 5.4 2.7 6.8 7.1 4.0 0.0 1981 100.0 19.9 30.1 0.9 22.0 7.2 50.0 19.9 3.8 5.4 2.9 6.9 7.2 4.0 0.1 1982 100.0 19.6 29.2 0.9 21.2 7.0 51.3 20.1 3.8 5.6 3.2 7.0 7.4 4.0 0.1 1983 100.0 21.3 26.7 1.0 19.9 5.8 52.0 20.2 3.9 5.4 3.4 7.2 7.7 4.2 0.1 1984 100.0 21.4 26.6 1.0 19.6 6.1 52.0 20.1 3.9 5.3 3.5 7.2 7.8 4.1 0.1 1985 100.0 21.9 26.5 1.0 19.3 6.1 51.6 19.9 3.8 5.2 3.5 7.1 7.9 4.1 0.1 1986 100.0 22.0 25.8 1.0 18.7 6.0 52.2 20.0 3.9 5.2 3.6 7.2 8.1 4.2 0.1 1987 100.0 22.4 25.3 1.1 18.3 6.0 52.3 20.2 3.9 5.1 3.6 7.1 8.1 4.1 0.1 1988 100.0 23.0 24.6 1.1 17.7 5.9 52.4 20.7 4.0 4.8 3.6 7.0 8.1 4.0 0.1 1989 100.0 22.5 25.0 1.0 17.5 6.4 52.5 20.4 4.1 4.9 3.6 7.0 8.2 4.1 0.1 1990 100.0 22.4 25.1 1.0 16.9 7.2 52.5 20.4 4.3 5.0 3.6 6.9 8.2 4.0 0.1 1991 100.0 22.2 24.7 1.0 16.3 7.4 53.1 20.4 4.5 5.0 3.7 7.1 8.4 4.0 0.1 1992 100.0 22.3 24.5 0.9 16.1 7.5 53.3 20.0 4.7 4.9 3.7 7.2 8.6 4.1 0.1 1993 100.0 22.7 23.7 0.8 15.2 7.7 53.6 20.1 4.7 4.7 3.8 7.2 8.8 4.1 0.1 1994 100.0 22.9 23.1 0.8 14.2 8.1 54.0 20.1 4.7 4.8 3.8 7.3 9.0 4.2 0.1 1995 100.0 23.0 22.2 0.6 14.1 7.4 54.8 19.3 5.0 4.9 4.0 7.7 9.4 4.4 0.1 1996 100.0 21.5 23.1 0.9 15.1 7.1 55.4 18.0 5.0 4.4 4.2 7.8 11.0 5.1 0.1 1997 100.0 23.0 22.8 0.7 15.4 6.7 54.2 18.1 4.6 4.4 4.3 7.7 10.4 4.7 0.0 1998 100.0 18.9 25.3 0.8 16.7 7.8 55.8 18.2 5.2 4.8 4.1 7.8 10.9 4.7 0.1 1999 100.0 19.9 25.9 0.8 17.4 7.7 54.2 17.5 5.1 4.8 3.8 7.3 10.8 4.9 0.0 2000 100.0 17.1 27.2 0.8 17.8 8.5 55.8 18.2 5.2 4.8 4.3 7.8 10.5 5.0 0.0 2001 100.0 17.0 26.7 0.8 17.8 8.1 56.3 18.5 5.4 4.8 4.3 7.8 10.4 5.0 0.0 2002 100.0 17.4 26.7 0.8 17.8 8.1 56.0 18.5 5.3 4.9 4.2 7.9 10.3 4.9 0.0 2003 100.0 16.6 26.4 0.8 17.5 8.1 57.0 19.2 5.5 4.9 4.1 8.0 10.4 4.9 0.0 2004 100.0 15.7 26.4 0.8 17.4 8.1 57.9 19.4 5.6 5.0 4.2 8.2 10.5 5.0 0.0 2005 100.0 15.0 25.5 0.9 16.7 7.9 59.5 19.6 5.9 5.0 5.3 8.1 10.0 4.7 0.8 2006 100.0 14.3 25.7 0.8 16.7 8.1 60.0 19.6 5.9 5.1 5.5 8.1 10.1 4.8 0.8 2007 100.0 13.8 25.8 0.9 16.5 8.4 60.4 19.8 6.1 4.9 5.8 8.1 10.1 4.8 0.8 2008 100.0 13.8 25.1 0.9 15.9 8.3 61.2 19.7 6.4 4.9 6.1 8.1 10.2 4.9 0.8 2009 100.0 13.8 23.8 0.9 15.0 7.9 62.3 19.9 6.6 5.1 6.2 8.4 10.4 5.1 0.7 2010 100.0 13.9 23.9 0.8 15.3 7.8 62.1 19.8 6.6 4.9 6.3 8.3 10.6 5.0 0.6 2011 100.0 13.7 23.8 0.8 15.3 7.7 62.5 19.8 6.8 4.8 6.6 8.2 10.7 5.0 0.7 2012 100.0 13.7 23.5 0.9 15.2 7.4 62.8 19.7 6.9 4.8 6.7 8.3 10.8 4.9 0.7 2013 100.0 13.6 23.8 0.9 15.6 7.3 62.5 19.6 6.9 4.9 6.8 8.2 10.7 4.8 0.6 2014 100.0 13.6 24.2 0.9 16.0 7.3 62.2 19.6 7.0 4.9 6.9 8.1 10.4 4.7 0.5 2015 100.0 13.0 24.6 0.9 16.3 7.4 62.4 19.6 7.1 5.0 6.9 8.1 10.3 4.7 0.7 2016 100.0 12.6 25.1 0.9 16.7 7.5 62.3 19.7 7.1 5.0 7.0 8.0 10.1 4.7 0.7 2017 100.0 12.1 25.6 0.9 17.1 7.6 62.3 19.7 7.2 5.1 7.1 7.9 10.0 4.6 0.8 2018 100.0 11.8 26.2 1.0 17.5 7.8 62.0 19.6 7.2 5.1 7.2 7.9 9.9 4.6 0.7 2019 100.0 11.5 26.7 1.0 17.8 7.9 61.8 19.5 7.2 5.1 7.2 7.8 9.8 4.5 0.7 2020 100.0 11.2 27.2 1.0 18.2 8.0 61.6 19.4 7.2 5.1 7.3 7.8 9.6 4.5 0.8 D-19 Conclusión
Sección: D-IV. ENOE Población Ocupada, PEA y Tasas de Ocupación Parcial y Desocupación Cuadro D-10. ENOE Población Ocupada, PEA y Tasas de Ocupación Parcial y Desocupación 1980-2020
D-10. ENOE Población Ocupada, PEA y Tasas de Ocupación Parcial y Desocupación: Escenario Base 2014-2020 (Personas, variación % anual y porcentajes de la población ocupada y de la PEA) Población Población Ocupada Ocupación Parcial Población Económicamente Sector Sector y Desocupación Años Total Activa Total Formal Informal Total Ocupación Parcial Desocupación Personas Var. % Personas Var. % % Personas Var. % % Personas % POC Personas % POC Personas % PEA Personas % PEA Personas % PEA 1980 71,073,785 2.4 27,998,214 4.7 100.0 26,430,989 6.6 100.0 20,774,626 78.6 5,656,363 21.4 2,854,468 10.2 1,287,243 4.6 1,567,225 5.6 1981 72,666,912 2.2 29,219,041 4.4 100.0 28,151,386 6.5 100.0 22,995,061 81.7 5,156,325 18.3 1,843,120 6.3 775,465 2.7 1,067,655 3.7 1982 74,186,037 2.1 29,745,757 1.8 100.0 28,348,589 0.7 100.0 22,797,848 80.4 5,550,741 19.6 2,496,878 8.4 1,099,710 3.7 1,397,168 4.7 1983 75,668,142 2.0 29,423,838-1.1 100.0 27,803,043-1.9 100.0 21,806,169 78.4 5,996,874 21.6 2,947,352 10.0 1,326,557 4.5 1,620,795 5.5 1984 77,166,135 2.0 30,081,208 2.2 100.0 28,740,960 3.4 100.0 22,567,433 78.5 6,173,527 21.5 2,379,684 7.9 1,039,436 3.5 1,340,248 4.5 1985 78,717,744 2.0 31,003,678 3.1 100.0 29,613,830 3.0 100.0 23,248,134 78.5 6,365,696 21.5 2,469,659 8.0 1,079,811 3.5 1,389,848 4.5 1986 80,335,575 2.1 31,159,987 0.5 100.0 29,447,643-0.6 100.0 22,636,055 76.9 6,811,588 23.1 3,113,088 10.0 1,400,744 4.5 1,712,344 5.5 1987 82,006,831 2.1 31,806,427 2.1 100.0 30,080,411 2.1 100.0 22,962,154 76.3 7,118,257 23.7 3,133,968 9.9 1,407,952 4.4 1,726,016 5.4 1988 83,712,835 2.1 32,522,380 2.3 100.0 30,838,697 2.5 100.0 23,532,841 76.3 7,305,856 23.7 3,042,142 9.4 1,358,459 4.2 1,683,683 5.2 1989 85,424,041 2.0 33,237,766 2.2 100.0 31,721,098 2.9 100.0 24,200,402 76.3 7,520,696 23.7 2,700,958 8.1 1,184,290 3.6 1,516,668 4.6 1990 87,064,847 1.9 34,759,745 4.6 100.0 33,224,031 4.7 100.0 25,583,803 77.0 7,640,228 23.0 2,723,831 7.8 1,188,117 3.4 1,535,714 4.4 1991 88,630,941 1.8 35,822,253 3.1 100.0 34,292,671 3.2 100.0 26,413,746 77.0 7,878,925 23.0 2,700,941 7.5 1,171,359 3.3 1,529,582 4.3 1992 90,132,585 1.7 36,444,139 1.7 100.0 34,747,612 1.3 100.0 26,521,216 76.3 8,226,396 23.7 3,028,613 8.3 1,332,086 3.7 1,696,527 4.7 1993 91,600,655 1.6 37,472,916 2.8 100.0 35,424,734 1.9 100.0 26,908,319 76.0 8,516,415 24.0 3,721,635 9.9 1,673,453 4.5 2,048,182 5.5 1994 93,055,300 1.6 38,790,182 3.5 100.0 36,508,930 3.1 100.0 27,706,943 75.9 8,801,987 24.1 4,174,602 10.8 1,893,350 4.9 2,281,252 5.9 1995 94,490,336 1.5 37,278,497-3.9 100.0 34,080,888-6.7 100.0 24,580,699 72.1 9,500,189 27.9 5,597,959 15.0 2,400,350 6.4 3,197,609 8.6 1996 95,876,664 1.5 37,946,152 1.8 100.0 35,439,153 4.0 100.0 25,706,260 72.5 9,732,893 27.5 4,475,334 11.8 1,968,335 5.2 2,506,999 6.6 1997 97,204,604 1.4 39,446,816 4.0 100.0 37,429,368 5.6 100.0 27,249,939 72.8 10,179,430 27.2 4,260,388 10.8 2,242,941 5.7 2,017,447 5.1 1998 98,485,424 1.3 40,289,061 2.1 100.0 38,464,114 2.8 100.0 27,511,176 71.5 10,952,938 28.5 4,100,434 10.2 2,275,487 5.6 1,824,947 4.5 1999 99,706,067 1.2 40,094,817-0.5 100.0 38,826,189 0.9 100.0 27,969,021 72.0 10,857,167 28.0 3,194,672 8.0 1,926,043 4.8 1,268,629 3.2 2000 100,895,811 1.2 41,005,518 2.3 100.0 39,677,479 2.2 100.0 28,405,341 71.6 11,272,137 28.4 3,266,631 8.0 1,938,591 4.7 1,328,039 3.2 2001 102,122,295 1.2 41,083,906 0.2 100.0 39,601,183-0.2 100.0 28,319,697 71.5 11,281,486 28.5 3,056,880 7.4 1,574,158 3.8 1,482,723 3.6 2002 103,417,944 1.3 41,266,365 0.4 100.0 40,049,306 1.1 100.0 28,692,651 71.6 11,356,655 28.4 3,115,229 7.5 1,898,170 4.6 1,217,060 2.9 2003 104,719,891 1.3 42,068,495 1.9 100.0 40,647,004 1.5 100.0 28,895,161 71.1 11,751,843 28.9 3,564,044 8.5 2,142,553 5.1 1,421,490 3.4 2004 105,951,569 1.2 43,194,696 2.7 100.0 41,519,311 2.1 100.0 29,525,147 71.1 11,994,164 28.9 4,083,533 9.5 2,408,148 5.6 1,675,385 3.9 2005 107,151,011 1.1 43,997,183 1.9 100.0 42,430,926 2.2 100.0 30,471,864 71.8 11,959,062 28.2 4,126,290 9.4 2,560,033 5.8 1,566,258 3.6 2006 108,408,827 1.2 45,341,667 3.1 100.0 43,725,714 3.1 100.0 31,829,292 72.8 11,896,423 27.2 4,284,856 9.5 2,668,904 5.9 1,615,952 3.6 2007 109,787,388 1.3 46,290,446 2.1 100.0 44,605,873 2.0 100.0 32,467,375 72.8 12,138,498 27.2 4,658,459 10.1 2,973,886 6.4 1,684,573 3.6 2008 111,299,015 1.4 47,130,219 1.8 100.0 45,294,695 1.5 100.0 32,887,138 72.6 12,407,557 27.4 4,781,206 10.1 2,945,682 6.3 1,835,524 3.9 2009 112,852,594 1.4 48,339,846 2.6 100.0 45,745,675 1.0 100.0 32,803,895 71.7 12,941,780 28.3 5,626,916 11.6 3,032,745 6.3 2,594,171 5.4 2010 114,255,555 1.2 49,013,369 1.4 100.0 46,406,174 1.4 100.0 33,402,380 72.0 13,003,794 28.0 5,743,762 11.7 3,136,567 6.4 2,607,196 5.3 2011 115,682,868 1.2 50,018,965 2.1 100.0 47,425,601 2.2 100.0 33,857,896 71.4 13,567,706 28.6 5,740,315 11.5 3,146,951 6.3 2,593,364 5.2 2012 117,053,750 1.2 51,511,199 3.0 100.0 48,977,199 3.3 100.0 34,897,548 71.3 14,079,652 28.7 5,927,626 11.5 3,393,626 6.6 2,534,000 4.9 2013 118,395,054 1.1 52,050,930 1.0 100.0 49,483,638 1.0 100.0 35,465,259 71.7 14,018,378 28.3 5,905,660 11.3 3,338,367 6.4 2,567,293 4.9 2014 119,713,203 1.1 52,980,997 1.8 100.0 50,380,356 1.8 100.0 36,233,592 71.9 14,146,764 28.1 6,044,361 11.4 3,443,721 6.5 2,600,640 4.9 2015 121,005,815 1.1 54,228,636 2.4 100.0 51,610,116 2.4 100.0 37,364,325 72.4 14,245,791 27.6 6,001,663 11.1 3,383,143 6.2 2,618,520 4.8 2016 122,273,473 1.0 55,833,365 3.0 100.0 53,291,009 3.3 100.0 39,087,955 73.3 14,203,054 26.7 5,827,296 10.4 3,284,940 5.9 2,542,356 4.6 2017 123,518,270 1.0 57,620,556 3.2 100.0 55,253,188 3.7 100.0 41,490,429 75.1 13,762,759 24.9 5,489,565 9.5 3,122,197 5.4 2,367,368 4.1 2018 124,737,789 1.0 59,381,085 3.1 100.0 57,180,115 3.5 100.0 43,754,543 76.5 13,425,572 23.5 5,102,638 8.6 2,901,667 4.9 2,200,971 3.7 2019 125,929,439 1.0 61,028,463 2.8 100.0 58,935,397 3.1 100.0 45,677,645 77.5 13,257,752 22.5 4,875,753 8.0 2,782,687 4.6 2,093,066 3.4 2020 127,091,642 0.9 62,584,960 2.6 100.0 60,583,551 2.8 100.0 47,398,717 78.2 13,184,834 21.8 4,697,512 7.5 2,696,103 4.3 2,001,410 3.2 D-20
Sección: D-V. ENOE Informalidad Laboral en México Cuadro D-11.1. ENOE Informalidad Laboral en México 1980-2020 Cuadro D-11.2. ENOE Tasa de Informalidad Laboral TIL y Tasa de Ocupación en el Sector Informal TOSI 1980-2020
D-11.1. ENOE Informalidad Laboral en México: Escenario Base 2014-2020 (Personas y tasas en porciento de la población ocupada) Población Ocupada Desglose Ocupación Informal Tasas calculadas contra la población ocupada Desglose Ocupación Informal Años Total Ocupación Ocupación Sector Ámbito Empresas Trabajo Total Ocupación Ocupación Sector Ámbito Empresas Trabajo Formal Informal Informal Agropecuario y Gobierno Doméstico Formal Informal Informal Agropecuario y Gobierno Doméstico 1980 26,430,989 12,626,990 13,804,000 5,656,363 4,684,233 2,768,746 694,658 100.0 47.8 52.2 21.4 17.7 10.5 2.6 1981 28,151,386 14,492,017 13,659,368 5,156,325 4,934,424 2,836,578 732,041 100.0 51.5 48.5 18.3 17.5 10.1 2.6 1982 28,348,589 14,186,324 14,162,265 5,550,741 4,896,410 2,932,366 782,748 100.0 50.0 50.0 19.6 17.3 10.3 2.8 1983 27,803,043 12,662,083 15,140,960 5,996,874 5,233,228 3,087,622 823,236 100.0 45.5 54.5 21.6 18.8 11.1 3.0 1984 28,740,960 13,063,834 15,677,126 6,173,527 5,423,597 3,213,787 866,215 100.0 45.5 54.5 21.5 18.9 11.2 3.0 1985 29,613,830 13,293,340 16,320,490 6,365,696 5,701,961 3,322,748 930,085 100.0 44.9 55.1 21.5 19.3 11.2 3.1 1986 29,447,643 12,489,595 16,958,048 6,811,588 5,718,260 3,465,333 962,867 100.0 42.4 57.6 23.1 19.4 11.8 3.3 1987 30,080,411 12,381,187 17,699,224 7,118,257 5,963,527 3,588,696 1,028,744 100.0 41.2 58.8 23.7 19.8 11.9 3.4 1988 30,838,697 12,516,679 18,322,018 7,305,856 6,260,174 3,662,147 1,093,841 100.0 40.6 59.4 23.7 20.3 11.9 3.5 1989 31,721,098 13,069,585 18,651,513 7,520,696 6,285,487 3,721,568 1,123,762 100.0 41.2 58.8 23.7 19.8 11.7 3.5 1990 33,224,031 14,033,551 19,190,481 7,640,228 6,556,527 3,823,159 1,170,567 100.0 42.2 57.8 23.0 19.7 11.5 3.5 1991 34,292,671 14,486,902 19,805,769 7,878,925 6,720,261 3,995,214 1,211,369 100.0 42.2 57.8 23.0 19.6 11.7 3.5 1992 34,747,612 14,357,768 20,389,844 8,226,396 6,819,632 4,087,582 1,256,234 100.0 41.3 58.7 23.7 19.6 11.8 3.6 1993 35,424,734 14,274,894 21,149,839 8,516,415 7,089,476 4,196,585 1,347,363 100.0 40.3 59.7 24.0 20.0 11.8 3.8 1994 36,508,930 14,511,989 21,996,942 8,801,987 7,484,491 4,288,568 1,421,896 100.0 39.7 60.3 24.1 20.5 11.7 3.9 1995 34,080,888 11,723,272 22,357,616 9,500,189 6,984,326 4,376,360 1,496,741 100.0 34.4 65.6 27.9 20.5 12.8 4.4 1996 35,439,153 12,718,000 22,721,153 9,732,893 6,839,586 4,523,674 1,625,000 100.0 35.9 64.1 27.5 19.3 12.8 4.6 1997 37,429,368 13,212,468 24,216,900 10,179,430 7,727,256 4,676,757 1,633,458 100.0 35.3 64.7 27.2 20.6 12.5 4.4 1998 38,464,114 14,411,819 24,052,295 10,952,938 6,626,033 4,773,687 1,699,636 100.0 37.5 62.5 28.5 17.2 12.4 4.4 1999 38,826,189 14,208,324 24,617,864 10,857,167 7,120,280 4,890,636 1,749,781 100.0 36.6 63.4 28.0 18.3 12.6 4.5 2000 39,677,479 15,426,749 24,250,729 11,272,137 6,238,262 4,968,974 1,771,356 100.0 38.9 61.1 28.4 15.7 12.5 4.5 2001 39,601,183 15,529,475 24,071,708 11,281,486 5,867,190 5,040,874 1,882,158 100.0 39.2 60.8 28.5 14.8 12.7 4.8 2002 40,049,306 15,589,390 24,459,915 11,356,655 6,057,124 5,120,078 1,926,058 100.0 38.9 61.1 28.4 15.1 12.8 4.8 2003 40,647,004 15,851,308 24,795,696 11,751,843 5,880,623 5,201,868 1,961,362 100.0 39.0 61.0 28.9 14.5 12.8 4.8 2004 41,519,311 16,356,858 25,162,453 11,994,164 5,837,889 5,353,878 1,976,522 100.0 39.4 60.6 28.9 14.1 12.9 4.8 2005 42,430,926 16,588,694 25,842,232 11,959,062 6,109,104 5,519,901 2,254,166 100.0 39.1 60.9 28.2 14.4 13.0 5.3 2006 43,725,714 17,742,917 25,982,797 11,896,423 5,981,240 5,633,070 2,472,064 100.0 40.6 59.4 27.2 13.7 12.9 5.7 2007 44,605,873 18,481,609 26,124,264 12,138,498 5,922,371 5,859,672 2,203,723 100.0 41.4 58.6 27.2 13.3 13.1 4.9 2008 45,294,695 18,820,571 26,474,124 12,407,557 5,858,724 6,197,592 2,010,251 100.0 41.6 58.4 27.4 12.9 13.7 4.4 2009 45,745,675 18,584,253 27,161,421 12,941,780 5,858,719 6,458,986 1,901,937 100.0 40.6 59.4 28.3 12.8 14.1 4.2 2010 46,406,174 18,687,750 27,718,424 13,003,794 5,873,298 6,822,387 2,018,945 100.0 40.3 59.7 28.0 12.7 14.7 4.4 2011 47,425,601 19,132,107 28,293,494 13,567,706 5,907,032 6,753,669 2,065,087 100.0 40.3 59.7 28.6 12.5 14.2 4.4 2012 48,977,199 19,666,550 29,310,650 14,079,652 6,130,363 6,956,592 2,144,043 100.0 40.2 59.8 28.7 12.5 14.2 4.4 2013 49,483,638 20,293,420 29,190,217 14,018,378 6,120,316 6,884,660 2,166,864 100.0 41.0 59.0 28.3 12.4 13.9 4.4 2014 50,380,356 20,925,924 29,454,432 14,146,764 6,210,920 6,918,130 2,178,618 100.0 41.5 58.5 28.1 12.3 13.7 4.3 2015 51,610,116 21,837,553 29,772,563 14,245,791 6,316,506 7,001,148 2,209,118 100.0 42.3 57.7 27.6 12.2 13.6 4.3 2016 53,291,009 23,309,706 29,981,303 14,203,054 6,430,203 7,099,164 2,248,883 100.0 43.7 56.3 26.7 12.1 13.3 4.2 2017 55,253,188 25,457,515 29,795,673 13,762,759 6,526,656 7,205,651 2,300,607 100.0 46.1 53.9 24.9 11.8 13.0 4.2 2018 57,180,115 27,499,397 29,680,717 13,425,572 6,611,502 7,299,325 2,344,318 100.0 48.1 51.9 23.5 11.6 12.8 4.1 2019 58,935,397 29,229,627 29,705,770 13,257,752 6,684,229 7,379,617 2,384,172 100.0 49.6 50.4 22.5 11.3 12.5 4.0 2020 60,583,551 30,791,441 29,792,110 13,184,834 6,751,071 7,438,654 2,417,550 100.0 50.8 49.2 21.8 11.1 12.3 4.0 D-21
D-11.2. ENOE Tasa de Informalidad Labora TIL y Tasa de Ocupación en el Sector Informal TOSI: Escenario Base 2014-2020 (Personas y tasas en porciento) Población ocupada Población ocupada no agropecuaria Población % de la población ocupada % de la población ocupada no agropecuaria por condición de informalidad por condición de informalidad ocupada Tasa de ocupación Tasa de informalidad Tasa de ocupación Tasa de informalidad Años Ocupación Ocupación Ocupación Ocupación en el sector sector informal laboral sector informal laboral Total formal informal Total formal informal informal TOSI 1 TIL 1 TOSI 2 TIL 2 1980 26,430,989 12,626,990 13,804,000 21,127,884 12,008,117 9,119,767 5,656,363 21.40 52.23 26.77 43.16 1981 28,151,386 14,492,017 13,659,368 22,561,237 13,836,293 8,724,944 5,156,325 18.32 48.52 22.85 38.67 1982 28,348,589 14,186,324 14,162,265 22,797,733 13,531,878 9,265,855 5,550,741 19.58 49.96 24.35 40.64 1983 27,803,043 12,662,083 15,140,960 21,874,383 11,966,651 9,907,732 5,996,874 21.57 54.46 27.42 45.29 1984 28,740,960 13,063,834 15,677,126 22,590,363 12,336,834 10,253,529 6,173,527 21.48 54.55 27.33 45.39 1985 29,613,830 13,293,340 16,320,490 23,142,419 12,523,890 10,618,529 6,365,696 21.50 55.11 27.51 45.88 1986 29,447,643 12,489,595 16,958,048 22,967,294 11,727,506 11,239,788 6,811,588 23.13 57.59 29.66 48.94 1987 30,080,411 12,381,187 17,699,224 23,333,577 11,597,880 11,735,697 7,118,257 23.66 58.84 30.51 50.30 1988 30,838,697 12,516,679 18,322,018 23,746,623 11,684,779 12,061,844 7,305,856 23.69 59.41 30.77 50.79 1989 31,721,098 13,069,585 18,651,513 24,591,462 12,225,436 12,366,026 7,520,696 23.71 58.80 30.58 50.29 1990 33,224,031 14,033,551 19,190,481 25,793,697 13,159,743 12,633,954 7,640,228 23.00 57.76 29.62 48.98 1991 34,292,671 14,486,902 19,805,769 26,687,985 13,602,477 13,085,508 7,878,925 22.98 57.76 29.52 49.03 1992 34,747,612 14,357,768 20,389,844 27,014,727 13,444,515 13,570,212 8,226,396 23.67 58.68 30.45 50.23 1993 35,424,734 14,274,894 21,149,839 27,381,307 13,320,944 14,060,363 8,516,415 24.04 59.70 31.10 51.35 1994 36,508,930 14,511,989 21,996,942 28,161,294 13,648,843 14,512,451 8,801,987 24.11 60.25 31.26 51.53 1995 34,080,888 11,723,272 22,357,616 26,227,153 10,853,863 15,373,290 9,500,189 27.88 65.60 36.22 58.62 1996 35,439,153 12,718,000 22,721,153 27,817,595 11,936,028 15,881,567 9,732,893 27.46 64.11 34.99 57.09 1997 37,429,368 13,212,468 24,216,900 28,820,572 12,330,927 16,489,645 10,179,430 27.20 64.70 35.32 57.21 1998 38,464,114 14,411,819 24,052,295 31,176,352 13,750,091 17,426,261 10,952,938 28.48 62.53 35.13 55.90 1999 38,826,189 14,208,324 24,617,864 31,091,798 13,594,214 17,497,584 10,857,167 27.96 63.41 34.92 56.28 2000 39,677,479 15,426,749 24,250,729 32,912,201 14,899,734 18,012,467 11,272,137 28.41 61.12 34.25 54.73 2001 39,601,183 15,529,475 24,071,708 32,866,576 14,662,058 18,204,518 11,281,486 28.49 60.79 34.33 55.39 2002 40,049,306 15,589,390 24,459,915 33,082,289 14,679,498 18,402,791 11,356,655 28.36 61.07 34.33 55.63 2003 40,647,004 15,851,308 24,795,696 33,919,373 15,004,300 18,915,073 11,751,843 28.91 61.00 34.65 55.76 2004 41,519,311 16,356,858 25,162,453 34,991,424 15,666,861 19,324,564 11,994,164 28.89 60.60 34.28 55.23 2005 42,430,926 16,588,694 25,842,232 36,084,877 16,364,977 19,719,900 11,959,062 28.18 60.90 33.14 54.65 2006 43,725,714 17,742,917 25,982,797 37,471,959 17,622,530 19,849,429 11,896,423 27.21 59.42 31.75 52.97 2007 44,605,873 18,481,609 26,124,264 38,427,962 18,290,555 20,137,407 12,138,498 27.21 58.57 31.59 52.40 2008 45,294,695 18,820,571 26,474,124 39,057,321 18,456,070 20,601,250 12,407,557 27.39 58.45 31.77 52.75 2009 45,745,675 18,584,253 27,161,421 39,416,819 18,124,165 21,292,654 12,941,780 28.29 59.37 32.83 54.02 2010 46,406,174 18,687,750 27,718,424 39,934,817 18,089,690 21,845,126 13,003,794 28.02 59.73 32.56 54.70 2011 47,425,601 19,132,107 28,293,494 40,924,085 18,534,950 22,389,135 13,567,706 28.61 59.66 33.15 54.71 2012 48,977,199 19,666,550 29,310,650 42,262,951 19,082,665 23,180,286 14,079,652 28.75 59.85 33.31 54.85 2013 49,483,638 20,293,420 29,190,217 42,730,201 19,660,299 23,069,901 14,018,378 28.33 58.99 32.81 53.99 2014 50,380,356 20,925,924 29,454,432 43,514,748 20,354,690 23,160,057 14,146,764 28.08 58.46 32.51 53.22 2015 51,610,116 21,837,553 29,772,563 44,882,782 21,248,319 23,634,463 14,245,791 27.60 57.69 31.74 52.66 2016 53,291,009 23,309,706 29,981,303 46,570,265 22,681,250 23,889,015 14,203,054 26.65 56.26 30.50 51.30 2017 55,253,188 25,457,515 29,795,673 48,576,526 24,768,283 23,808,243 13,762,759 24.91 53.93 28.33 49.01 2018 57,180,115 27,499,397 29,680,717 50,411,371 26,756,052 23,655,319 13,425,572 23.48 51.91 26.63 46.92 2019 58,935,397 29,229,627 29,705,770 52,183,738 28,439,953 23,743,785 13,257,752 22.50 50.40 25.41 45.50 2020 60,583,551 30,791,441 29,792,110 53,797,220 29,959,766 23,837,454 13,184,834 21.76 49.18 24.51 44.31 D-22
Sección: D-VI. ENOE Indicadores Trimestrales Estratégicos de Ocupación y Empleo Cuadro D-12. ENOE Indicadores Trimestrales Estratégicos de Ocupación y Empleo 2013-2014 Cuadro D-12.1. Población Ocupada Cuadro D-12.2. Variación % anual Cuadro D-12.3. Promedios y Tasas
D-12.1. ENOE: Indicadores Estratégicos de Ocupación y Empleo en México 2013-2014 (Personas) Conceptos! 2013 2014 Promedio Anual I II III IV I II e/ III e/ IV e/ 2013 2014 e/ Población Total 117,898,203 118,229,132 118,564,077 118,896,009 119,824,772 119,752,338 119,622,818 119,652,886 118,396,855 119,713,203 Población de 14 años y más 87,836,305 87,960,006 88,151,969 88,326,076 88,595,829 88,874,790 89,148,086 89,421,319 88,068,589 89,010,006 Población Económicamenta Activa PEA 51,061,902 52,156,700 52,309,335 52,675,784 51,790,637 52,765,393 53,406,857 53,961,099 52,050,930 52,980,997 Población Ocupada 48,564,992 49,549,331 49,576,734 50,243,493 49,305,839 50,150,202 50,638,732 51,426,652 49,483,638 50,380,356 Primario 6,485,411 6,688,635 6,860,345 6,979,357 6,660,593 6,788,965 6,935,809 7,077,068 6,753,437 6,865,609 Agricultura y ganadería 6,485,411 6,688,635 6,860,345 6,979,357 6,660,593 6,788,965 6,935,809 7,077,068 6,753,437 6,865,609 Secundario 11,534,825 11,676,727 11,877,004 12,051,015 11,957,708 11,987,522 12,269,350 12,463,277 11,784,893 12,169,464 Industria extractiva y de la electricidad 428,144 412,456 448,159 442,154 441,366 426,892 468,774 455,419 432,728 448,113 Industria manufacturera 7,525,196 7,675,586 7,819,025 7,952,494 7,894,959 7,928,880 8,100,510 8,230,831 7,743,075 8,038,795 Construcción 3,581,485 3,588,685 3,609,820 3,656,367 3,621,383 3,631,749 3,700,066 3,777,027 3,609,089 3,682,556 Terciario 30,247,515 30,883,639 30,563,813 30,925,976 30,420,552 31,105,822 31,183,354 31,624,144 30,655,236 31,083,468 Comercio 9,522,417 9,729,983 9,748,284 9,881,916 9,605,567 9,837,013 9,923,753 10,089,436 9,720,650 9,863,942 Restaurantes y servicios de alojamiento 3,390,155 3,501,478 3,409,251 3,430,938 3,511,898 3,585,513 3,501,301 3,506,419 3,432,956 3,526,283 Transportes y comunicaciones 2,430,657 2,453,300 2,354,040 2,465,670 2,446,481 2,477,833 2,448,202 2,579,091 2,425,917 2,487,902 Servicios profesionales y financieros 3,291,577 3,358,858 3,368,626 3,430,232 3,410,522 3,432,753 3,452,842 3,522,848 3,362,323 3,454,741 Servicios sociales 4,041,446 4,142,511 4,013,661 4,062,892 3,981,389 4,167,366 4,093,934 4,156,339 4,065,128 4,099,757 Servicios diversos 5,238,787 5,313,323 5,288,202 5,271,210 5,135,060 5,228,310 5,341,084 5,334,465 5,277,881 5,259,730 Gobierno y organismos internacionales 2,332,476 2,384,186 2,381,749 2,383,118 2,329,635 2,377,033 2,422,239 2,435,547 2,370,382 2,391,113 No especificado 297,241 300,330 275,572 287,145 266,986 267,894 250,219 262,163 290,072 261,816 Población Desocupada 2,496,910 2,607,369 2,732,601 2,432,291 2,484,798 2,615,191 2,768,125 2,534,447 2,567,293 2,600,640 Población No Económicamente Activa PNEA 36,774,403 35,803,306 35,842,634 35,650,292 36,805,192 36,109,397 35,741,229 35,460,220 36,017,659 36,029,010 Población Ocupada 48,564,992 49,549,331 49,576,734 50,243,493 49,305,839 50,150,202 50,638,732 51,426,652 49,483,638 50,380,356 Empresas y negocios 23,811,985 24,186,736 24,238,031 24,897,945 24,771,424 24,608,688 24,697,916 25,572,794 24,283,674 24,912,705 Empresas constituidas en sociedad 11,507,657 11,792,841 12,001,284 12,248,337 12,196,407 12,146,626 12,448,932 12,750,519 11,887,530 12,385,621 Negocios no constituidos en sociedad 12,304,328 12,393,895 12,236,747 12,649,608 12,575,017 12,462,061 12,248,984 12,822,275 12,396,145 12,527,084 Instituciones 6,668,531 6,769,687 6,732,269 6,771,122 6,591,694 6,850,976 6,838,444 6,943,984 6,735,402 6,806,274 Privadas 938,585 961,984 968,046 995,409 942,136 998,539 999,992 1,083,005 966,006 1,005,918 Públicas 5,729,946 5,807,703 5,764,223 5,775,713 5,649,558 5,852,437 5,838,452 5,860,979 5,769,396 5,800,356 Administradas por los gobiernos 5,401,742 5,441,492 5,415,102 5,413,054 5,291,937 5,474,141 5,474,668 5,478,011 5,417,848 5,429,689 No administradas por los gobiernos 328,204 366,211 349,121 362,659 357,621 378,296 363,784 382,968 351,549 370,667 Sector de los hogares 18,084,476 18,592,908 18,606,434 18,574,426 17,942,721 18,708,304 19,146,754 18,947,365 18,464,561 18,686,286 Sector informal 13,922,882 14,176,963 13,946,457 14,027,211 13,736,968 14,233,671 14,378,797 14,237,619 14,018,378 14,146,764 Trabajo doméstico remunerado 2,203,390 2,206,740 2,227,083 2,276,726 2,209,821 2,214,310 2,241,698 2,315,047 2,228,485 2,245,219 Agricultura de autosubsistencia 1,671,151 1,909,506 2,164,320 1,991,280 1,733,751 1,978,248 2,276,865 2,144,609 1,934,064 2,033,368 Situaciones de carácter especial y no especificadas 287,053 299,699 268,574 279,209 262,181 282,074 249,394 250,091 283,634 260,935 Continúa e/ Estimaciones del Centro de Análisis Macroeconómico CAMACRO. Fuente: CAMACRO, con datos del INEGI, "Encuesta Nacional de Ocupación y Empleo". D-23
D-12.2. ENOE: Indicadores Estratégicos de Ocupación y Empleo en México 2013-2014 (Variación % anual) Conceptos! 2013 2014 Promedio Anual I II III IV I II e/ III e/ IV e/ 2013 2014 e/ Población Total 1.2 1.2 1.1 1.1 1.6 1.3 0.9 0.6 1.1 1.1 Población de 14 años y más 1.7 1.3 1.1 0.9 0.9 1.0 1.1 1.2 1.2 1.1 Población Económicamenta Activa PEA 1.2 0.8 0.1 2.1 1.4 1.2 2.1 2.4 1.0 1.8 Población Ocupada 1.2 0.5 0.0 2.4 1.5 1.2 2.1 2.4 1.0 1.8 Primario 1.5 0.3 0.5 0.0 2.7 1.5 1.1 1.4 0.6 1.7 Agricultura y ganadería 1.5 0.3 0.5 0.0 2.7 1.5 1.1 1.4 0.6 1.7 Secundario 1.3 1.8 1.7 4.2 3.7 2.7 3.3 3.4 2.3 3.3 Industria extractiva y de la electricidad 11.0 3.4-0.3 1.7 3.1 3.5 4.6 3.0 3.7 3.6 Industria manufacturera 2.0 3.7 3.8 5.3 4.9 3.3 3.6 3.5 3.7 3.8 Construcción -1.0-2.2-2.2 2.2 1.1 1.2 2.5 3.3-0.8 2.0 Terciario 1.3 0.3-0.6 2.4 0.6 0.7 2.0 2.3 0.8 1.4 Comercio 0.9-0.6-1.4 4.0 0.9 1.1 1.8 2.1 0.7 1.5 Restaurantes y servicios de alojamiento 2.5 2.6 0.9 2.2 3.6 2.4 2.7 2.2 2.0 2.7 Transportes y comunicaciones 3.6 4.4 1.6 3.9 0.7 1.0 4.0 4.6 3.4 2.6 Servicios profesionales y financieros 3.1 2.0-3.1 5.2 3.6 2.2 2.5 2.7 1.7 2.7 Servicios sociales 2.0 0.8 0.0-0.5-1.5 0.6 2.0 2.3 0.6 0.9 Servicios diversos 0.7-1.3-0.4 0.7-2.0-1.6 1.0 1.2-0.1-0.3 Gobierno y organismos internacionales -2.9-2.7 0.5-0.4-0.1-0.3 1.7 2.2-1.4 0.9 No especificado -14.6-15.9-16.0-11.7-10.2-10.8-9.2-8.7-14.6-9.7 Población Desocupada 0.9 4.9 2.4-3.0-0.5 0.3 1.3 4.2 1.3 1.3 Población No Económicamente Activa PNEA 2.3 2.2 2.5-0.9 0.1 0.9-0.3-0.5 1.5 0.0 Población Ocupada 1.2 0.5 0.0 2.4 1.5 1.2 2.1 2.4 1.0 1.8 Empresas y negocios 1.4 1.9 1.7 4.1 4.0 1.7 1.9 2.7 2.3 2.6 Empresas constituidas en sociedad 5.0 5.1 6.3 4.7 6.0 3.0 3.7 4.1 5.3 4.2 Negocios no constituidos en sociedad -1.8-0.9-2.5 3.5 2.2 0.6 0.1 1.4-0.4 1.1 Instituciones 0.4-1.9 1.3-0.3-1.2 1.2 1.6 2.6-0.2 1.1 Privadas 2.2-1.0 9.2 8.0 0.4 3.8 3.3 8.8 4.5 4.1 Públicas 0.1-2.1 0.1-1.6-1.4 0.8 1.3 1.5-0.9 0.5 Administradas por los gobiernos 0.0-2.4-0.4-2.0-2.0 0.6 1.1 1.2-1.2 0.2 No administradas por los gobiernos 0.7 2.3 7.8 6.1 9.0 3.3 4.2 5.6 4.2 5.4 Sector de los hogares 1.4-0.3-2.6 1.1-0.8 0.6 2.9 2.0-0.1 1.2 Sector informal 0.7-1.2-3.6 2.6-1.3 0.4 3.1 1.5-0.4 0.9 Trabajo doméstico remunerado 3.6 0.7-0.6-1.2 0.3 0.3 0.7 1.7 0.6 0.8 Agricultura de autosubsistencia 9.4 8.9 4.7-4.2 3.7 3.6 5.2 7.7 4.2 5.1 Situaciones de carácter especial y no especificadas -18.3-15.4-17.6-11.0-8.7-5.9-7.1-10.4-15.7-8.0 Continúa e/ Estimaciones del Centro de Análisis Macroeconómico CAMACRO. Fuente: CAMACRO, con datos del INEGI, "Encuesta Nacional de Ocupación y Empleo". D-24
D-12.3. ENOE: Indicadores Estratégicos de Ocupación y Empleo en México 2013-2014 (Promedios y tasas) Conceptos! 2013 2014 Promedio Anual I II III IV I II e/ III e/ IV e/ 2013 2014 e/ PROMEDIOS Edad promedio de la PEA 38.31 38.25 38.28 38.28 38.44 38.34 38.36 30.37 38.28 36.38 Años de escolaridad de la PEA 9.52 9.54 9.55 9.54 9.57 9.59 9.60 9.62 9.54 9.60 Horas trabajadas a la semana de la población ocupada 42.56 42.30 42.87 42.72 42.51 42.01 43.21 43.19 42.61 42.73 Índice remuneraciones nominales (2008=100) 109.9 109.1 108.0 108.8 112.3 111.2 112.1 113.6 108.9 112.3 Variación % anual 5.1 3.0 2.7 0.9 2.2 1.9 3.8 4.4 2.9 3.1 Índice remuneraciones reales (2008=100) 90.4 89.3 88.2 87.5 88.7 87.8 87.9 87.8 88.9 88.1 Variación % anual 1.3-1.4-0.7-2.7-1.9-1.6-0.4 0.4-0.9-0.9 TASAS Tasas calculadas contra la población en edad de trabajar Tasa de participación 58.13 59.30 59.34 59.64 58.46 59.35 59.39 59.43 59.10 59.16 Tasas calculadas contra la población económicamente activa Tasa de desocupación 4.89 5.00 5.22 4.62 4.80 4.91 5.12 4.61 4.93 4.86 Tasa de ocupación parcial y desocupación 10.83 11.61 11.58 11.35 11.13 11.53 11.48 11.37 11.34 11.38 Tasa de presión general 9.01 9.14 9.17 8.49 8.85 9.10 9.04 9.10 8.95 9.02 Tasas calculadas contra la población ocupada Tasa de trabajo asalariado 62.82 62.53 62.49 62.98 63.53 62.77 62.61 62.68 62.70 62.90 Tasa de subocupación 8.19 8.53 8.49 8.17 8.34 8.44 8.41 8.31 8.35 8.38 Tasa de condiciones críticas de ocupación 11.80 12.03 12.16 11.92 11.70 12.11 12.02 12.00 11.98 11.96 Tasa de Informalidad Laboral 58.90 59.09 59.13 58.84 58.19 58.50 58.59 58.43 58.99 58.43 Tasa de ocupación en el sector informal 28.67 28.61 28.13 27.92 27.86 28.38 28.39 27.69 28.33 28.08 e/ Estimaciones del Centro de Análisis Macroeconómico CAMACRO. Fuente: CAMACRO, con datos del INEGI, "Encuesta Nacional de Ocupación y Empleo". Conclusión D-25
Sección: D-VII. INEGI Indicadores de Ocupación por Sectores Económicos Cuadro D-13. INEGI Indicadores de Ocupación por Sectores Económicos 1980-2020
D-13. Indicadores de Ocupación por Sectores Económicos: Escenario Base 2014-2020 Encuesta Mensual del INEGI Industria Industria Establecimientos Servicios Privados Años Manufacturera de la Construcción Comerciales No Financieros Indice 2008=100 % Indice 2008=100 % Indice 2008=100 % Indice 2008=100 % 1980 152.1 7.2............ 1981 160.5 5.6............ 1982 156.7-2.4............ 1983 141.7-9.6 156.0.......... 1984 140.3-1.0 172.9 10.9........ 1985 143.5 2.3 171.4-0.9........ 1986 137.6-4.1 113.5-33.8 62.7...... 1987 132.4-3.8 140.3 23.5 63.7 1.7.... 1988 132.1-0.2 112.1-20.1 65.9 3.5.... 1989 135.2 2.3 145.3 29.6 67.5 2.4.... 1990 135.3 0.1 184.4 26.9 70.0 3.8.... 1991 133.0-1.7 206.2 11.8 71.9 2.7.... 1992 127.9-3.8 239.5 16.2 73.3 1.9.... 1993 119.1-6.9 231.2-3.5 72.1-1.7.... 1994 115.5-3.0 222.5-3.8 70.4-2.3.... 1995 105.2-8.9 126.6-43.1 66.7-5.3.... 1996 107.7 2.3 132.6 4.7 66.3-0.5.... 1997 112.8 4.7 134.6 1.5 69.0 4.0.... 1998 116.9 3.7 138.4 2.8 72.9 5.7.... 1999 117.7 0.6 135.5-2.1 75.7 3.8.... 2000 118.8 1.0 116.5-14.0 78.2 3.3.... 2001 113.6-4.4 106.0-9.0 82.2 5.0.... 2002 107.9-5.0 93.1-12.2 83.7 1.8.... 2003 104.2-3.4 90.2-3.1 85.6 2.3.... 2004 100.9-3.2 92.4 2.5 88.1 2.9.... 2005 100.0-0.8 96.5 4.4 90.6 2.8 99.4.. 2006 101.5 1.4 100.9 4.5 94.4 4.1 103.7 4.3 2007 101.2-0.2 102.6 1.7 97.3 3.1 105.8 2.0 2008 100.0-1.2 100.0-2.6 100.0 2.8 100.0-5.5 2009 91.3-8.7 94.0-6.0 97.3-2.7 97.8-2.2 2010 94.5 3.5 94.5 0.6 99.2 2.0 97.7-0.1 2011 97.3 3.0 97.2 2.8 102.5 3.3 98.8 1.1 2012 99.5 2.2 99.6 2.5 105.8 3.2 102.2 3.5 2013 101.3 1.8 95.7-3.9 107.4 1.5 102.2 0.0 2014 103.5 2.2 93.0-2.9 110.5 2.9 104.0 1.7 2015 106.0 2.4 96.8 4.1 113.6 2.8 107.0 2.9 2016 108.8 2.7 101.9 5.3 117.7 3.6 111.2 4.0 2017 112.5 3.3 108.9 6.9 122.9 4.4 116.8 5.0 2018 115.7 2.9 116.7 7.1 127.2 3.5 122.2 4.6 2019 118.8 2.7 123.9 6.2 131.3 3.2 127.4 4.2 2020 121.7 2.4 130.2 5.0 135.3 3.0 132.5 4.0 D-26
!!! E. Remuneración Media Mensual,! Productividad Laboral, Costo Laboral Unitario y PTF! Sección: E-I.! Remuneración Mensual Nominal 1980-2020!! Sección: E-II.! Remuneración Mensual Real 1980-2020! Sección: E-III.!! Productividad Media Laboral 1980-2020! Sección: E-IV.! Costo Unitario de la Mano de Obra 1980-2020! Sección: E-V.! Otros Indicadores Salariales 1980-2020! Sección: E-VI.! Índice Global de Productividad Laboral de la Economía 1980-2020! Sección: E-VII.! PTF Productividad Total de los Factores 1991-2011!
Sección: E-I. Remuneración Mensual Nominal Cuadro E-1. Grandes Sectores Económicos Cuadro E-2. Sector Industrial por Actividad Económica Cuadro E-3. Sector Servicios por Actividad Económica Cuadro E-4. Industria Manufacturera Cuadro E-5. Sector Industrial por Subsectores y Ramas Económicas Cuadro E-6. Sector Servicios por Subsectores Económicos
E-1. Remuneración Media Mensual por Grandes Sectores Económicos: Escenario Base 2014-2020 (En pesos nominales por persona) Remuneración Media Mensual Nominal % del Total de las Remuneración de los Asalariados Años Total Sector Agropecuario Sector Industrial Sector Servicios Total Primario Secundario Terciario Nominal Var.% Nominal Var.% Nominal Var.% Nominal Var.% % % % % 1980 7.20 25.4 1.52 21.8 9.75 22.7 8.29 26.0 100.0 4.7 38.5 56.8 1981 9.67 34.4 2.08 36.9 12.84 31.6 11.13 34.3 100.0 4.6 38.5 56.9 1982 14.58 50.7 2.98 43.5 19.21 49.6 16.77 50.6 100.0 4.3 37.5 58.2 1983 22.66 55.4 5.02 68.3 30.51 58.9 26.36 57.2 100.0 5.0 35.2 59.8 1984 35.66 57.4 7.90 57.4 47.25 54.8 41.66 58.0 100.0 4.9 35.1 60.0 1985 56.15 57.4 12.51 58.2 74.92 58.6 65.35 56.9 100.0 5.0 35.7 59.4 1986 94.34 68.0 23.39 87.0 126.37 68.7 108.29 65.7 100.0 5.5 35.3 59.2 1987 214.66 127.5 50.43 115.6 290.69 130.0 246.55 127.7 100.0 5.2 35.7 59.1 1988 420.55 95.9 92.07 82.6 591.92 103.6 477.69 93.8 100.0 4.9 36.9 58.1 1989 532.71 26.7 108.01 17.3 732.79 23.8 605.70 26.8 100.0 4.4 37.0 58.6 1990 683.33 28.3 122.62 13.5 913.98 24.7 788.37 30.2 100.0 3.8 36.7 59.5 1991 888.79 30.1 150.86 23.0 1,152.26 26.1 1,038.13 31.7 100.0 3.5 35.3 61.2 1992 1,100.85 23.9 170.89 13.3 1,388.08 20.5 1,302.79 25.5 100.0 3.1 34.1 62.8 1993 1,283.15 16.6 185.17 8.4 1,541.83 11.1 1,565.09 20.1 100.0 2.9 32.1 65.0 1994 1,442.41 12.4 195.90 5.8 1,694.09 9.9 1,776.29 13.5 100.0 2.7 31.1 66.3 1995 1,685.21 16.8 228.87 16.8 2,000.29 18.1 2,070.44 16.6 100.0 2.7 29.6 67.7 1996 2,091.00 24.1 278.35 21.6 2,480.65 24.0 2,561.60 23.7 100.0 2.6 31.2 66.2 1997 2,604.95 24.6 338.02 21.4 3,012.35 21.4 3,167.90 23.7 100.0 2.4 32.1 65.5 1998 3,129.55 20.1 392.97 16.3 3,600.57 19.5 3,815.66 20.4 100.0 2.3 32.5 65.2 1999 3,723.41 19.0 450.11 14.5 4,242.92 17.8 4,547.09 19.2 100.0 2.2 32.4 65.4 2000 4,367.19 17.3 513.04 14.0 4,918.98 15.9 5,313.53 16.9 100.0 2.0 32.5 65.5 2001 4,831.76 10.6 565.47 10.2 5,479.46 11.4 5,882.69 10.7 100.0 2.1 31.5 66.5 2002 5,265.60 9.0 609.53 7.8 5,865.53 7.0 6,454.80 9.7 100.0 2.0 30.3 67.7 2003 5,629.78 6.9 642.32 5.4 6,178.14 5.3 6,975.66 8.1 100.0 2.0 29.7 68.3 2004 5,853.44 4.0 665.81 3.7 6,442.79 4.3 7,345.33 5.3 100.0 2.1 30.3 67.6 2005 6,253.24 6.8 703.20 5.6 6,728.45 4.4 7,816.66 6.4 100.0 2.0 30.0 68.0 2006 6,566.72 5.0 728.05 3.5 7,001.19 4.1 8,296.71 6.1 100.0 2.0 30.3 67.7 2007 6,934.95 5.6 751.48 3.2 7,319.93 4.6 8,753.10 5.5 100.0 1.9 29.8 68.3 2008 7,386.40 6.5 783.38 4.2 7,655.05 4.6 9,354.99 6.9 100.0 1.8 29.5 68.7 2009 7,793.85 5.5 826.94 5.6 8,011.31 4.7 9,894.76 5.8 100.0 1.9 27.6 70.5 2010 8,101.89 4.0 868.72 5.1 8,203.46 2.4 10,412.83 5.2 100.0 1.9 26.8 71.2 2011 8,566.21 5.7 924.33 6.4 8,557.03 4.3 10,912.40 4.8 100.0 1.8 27.1 71.1 2012 8,972.11 4.7 950.32 2.8 9,073.79 6.0 11,459.04 5.0 100.0 1.9 27.1 71.1 2013 9,382.76 4.6 988.43 4.0 9,511.38 4.8 12,005.37 4.8 100.0 1.9 26.5 71.6 2014 9,902.77 5.5 1,037.56 5.0 9,988.46 5.0 12,590.03 4.9 100.0 1.8 26.4 71.8 2015 10,492.79 6.0 1,097.34 5.8 10,505.25 5.2 13,266.65 5.4 100.0 1.7 26.7 71.5 2016 11,159.46 6.4 1,158.16 5.5 11,106.64 5.7 14,064.55 6.0 100.0 1.7 27.2 71.1 2017 11,950.93 7.1 1,241.14 7.2 11,823.00 6.4 14,984.96 6.5 100.0 1.6 27.8 70.6 2018 12,734.92 6.6 1,316.21 6.0 12,550.91 6.2 15,937.44 6.4 100.0 1.6 28.4 70.0 2019 13,514.16 6.1 1,393.96 5.9 13,257.00 5.6 16,863.06 5.8 100.0 1.5 29.0 69.4 2020 14,292.76 5.8 1,469.25 5.4 13,971.38 5.4 17,790.63 5.5 100.0 1.5 29.5 69.0 E-1 Continúa
E-2. Remuneración Mensual en el Sector Industrial por Actividad Económica: Escenario Base 2014-2020 (En pesos nominales por persona) Remuneración Media Mensual Nominal Años Total Minería Manufacturas Construcción Electricidad Nominal Var.% Nominal Var.% Nominal Var.% Nominal Var.% Nominal Var.% 1980 9.75 22.7 18.24 23.0 8.52 23.2 10.93 20.7 18.25 20.5 1981 12.84 31.6 23.79 30.5 11.26 32.2 14.11 29.1 23.94 31.2 1982 19.21 49.6 33.92 42.6 17.44 54.9 19.85 40.7 38.93 62.6 1983 30.51 58.9 52.77 55.5 27.30 56.5 32.48 63.7 59.02 51.6 1984 47.25 54.8 81.45 54.4 42.40 55.3 50.36 55.0 83.40 41.3 1985 74.92 58.6 141.83 74.1 66.82 57.6 79.13 57.1 125.00 49.9 1986 126.37 68.7 227.10 60.1 114.32 71.1 131.69 66.4 203.59 62.9 1987 290.69 130.0 518.87 128.5 264.76 131.6 294.67 123.8 518.94 154.9 1988 591.92 103.6 1,044.58 101.3 565.61 113.6 553.96 88.0 930.69 79.3 1989 732.79 23.8 1,263.53 21.0 739.54 30.7 626.97 13.2 1,143.22 22.8 1990 913.98 24.7 1,526.35 20.8 932.09 26.0 782.87 24.9 1,480.69 29.5 1991 1,152.26 26.1 2,136.18 40.0 1,173.77 25.9 974.61 24.5 1,883.63 27.2 1992 1,388.08 20.5 2,668.64 24.9 1,428.10 21.7 1,162.89 19.3 2,351.44 24.8 1993 1,541.83 11.1 3,108.06 16.5 1,574.11 10.2 1,310.47 12.7 2,854.42 21.4 1994 1,694.09 9.9 3,234.33 4.1 1,748.44 11.1 1,442.64 10.1 3,333.88 16.8 1995 2,000.29 18.1 4,138.65 28.0 2,057.55 17.7 1,640.42 13.7 4,074.87 22.2 1996 2,480.65 24.0 5,347.08 29.2 2,539.63 23.4 2,082.31 26.9 5,076.35 24.6 1997 3,012.35 21.4 6,503.31 21.6 3,063.75 20.6 2,600.62 24.9 6,152.42 21.2 1998 3,600.57 19.5 7,405.60 13.9 3,666.00 19.7 3,157.24 21.4 7,083.11 15.1 1999 4,242.92 17.8 8,428.31 13.8 4,324.99 18.0 3,722.50 17.9 8,483.39 19.8 2000 4,918.98 15.9 10,833.36 28.5 5,051.17 16.8 4,212.66 13.2 10,079.33 18.8 2001 5,479.46 11.4 12,183.30 12.5 5,650.28 11.9 4,623.26 9.7 11,147.53 10.6 2002 5,865.53 7.0 13,328.72 9.4 6,102.46 8.0 4,869.40 5.3 12,308.60 10.4 2003 6,178.14 5.3 13,422.97 0.7 6,441.33 5.6 5,151.79 5.8 13,225.42 7.4 2004 6,442.79 4.3 14,580.41 8.6 6,801.01 5.6 5,352.05 3.9 14,218.11 7.5 2005 6,728.45 4.4 14,924.94 2.4 7,190.84 5.7 5,548.78 3.7 14,959.40 5.2 2006 7,001.19 4.1 15,972.11 7.0 7,571.65 5.3 5,779.50 4.2 15,888.00 6.2 2007 7,319.93 4.6 17,040.99 6.7 7,944.89 4.9 6,031.03 4.4 16,720.88 5.2 2008 7,655.05 4.6 19,176.86 12.5 8,382.77 5.5 6,280.37 4.1 17,970.82 7.5 2009 8,011.31 4.7 20,867.52 8.8 8,709.07 3.9 6,488.22 3.3 19,509.57 8.6 2010 8,203.46 2.4 20,504.04-1.7 8,897.75 2.2 6,718.83 3.6 19,930.70 2.2 2011 8,557.03 4.3 22,469.19 9.6 9,277.37 4.3 6,995.20 4.1 21,645.92 8.6 2012 9,073.79 6.0 24,334.43 8.3 9,889.53 6.6 7,349.90 5.1 23,027.62 6.4 2013 9,511.38 4.8 25,915.23 6.5 10,272.78 3.9 7,652.43 4.1 24,412.78 6.0 2014 9,988.46 5.0 27,340.87 5.5 10,725.73 4.4 8,013.92 4.7 25,919.05 6.2 2015 10,505.25 5.2 29,250.84 7.0 11,255.15 4.9 8,434.88 5.3 27,852.48 7.5 2016 11,106.64 5.7 31,617.61 8.1 11,866.00 5.4 8,917.99 5.7 30,334.08 8.9 2017 11,823.00 6.4 34,647.95 9.6 12,600.36 6.2 9,489.94 6.4 33,333.10 9.9 2018 12,550.91 6.2 37,949.49 9.5 13,337.97 5.9 10,079.02 6.2 36,578.98 9.7 2019 13,257.00 5.6 41,142.65 8.4 14,040.74 5.3 10,654.89 5.7 39,963.34 9.3 2020 13,971.38 5.4 44,535.63 8.2 14,725.46 4.9 11,227.48 5.4 43,530.74 8.9 E-2
E-3. Remuneración Mensual en el Sector Servicios por Actividad Económica: Escenario Base 2014-2020 (En pesos nominales por persona) Años! Remuneración Media Mensual Nominal Comercio, Transporte, Almacenaje Servicios Financieros, Servicios Comunales, Total Restaurantes y Hoteles y Comunicaciones Seguros e Inmuebles Sociales y Personales Nominal Var.% Nominal Var.% Nominal Var.% Nominal Var.% Nominal Var.% 1980 8.29 26.0 7.03 22.3 9.54 17.9 18.60 24.4 8.30 28.4 1981 11.13 34.3 9.10 29.6 12.83 34.5 24.74 33.0 11.28 35.9 1982 16.77 50.6 12.94 42.1 18.64 45.3 37.19 50.3 17.34 53.8 1983 26.36 57.2 21.45 65.8 31.57 69.3 57.33 54.1 26.41 52.3 1984 41.66 58.0 33.10 54.3 49.42 56.6 90.69 58.2 42.04 59.2 1985 65.35 56.9 51.56 55.8 78.49 58.8 145.12 60.0 65.80 56.5 1986 108.29 65.7 86.71 68.2 134.43 71.3 253.38 74.6 107.15 62.8 1987 246.55 127.7 189.65 118.7 305.94 127.6 609.69 140.6 245.65 129.3 1988 477.69 93.8 359.47 89.5 648.35 111.9 1,187.31 94.7 471.82 92.1 1989 605.70 26.8 466.97 29.9 790.89 22.0 1,487.53 25.3 600.16 27.2 1990 788.37 30.2 613.77 31.4 992.08 25.4 2,070.58 39.2 781.41 30.2 1991 1,038.13 31.7 800.33 30.4 1,293.58 30.4 2,815.33 36.0 1,033.39 32.2 1992 1,302.79 25.5 976.25 22.0 1,600.04 23.7 3,800.77 35.0 1,306.51 26.4 1993 1,565.09 20.1 1,128.85 15.6 1,836.06 14.8 4,633.30 21.9 1,600.51 22.5 1994 1,776.29 13.5 1,240.44 9.9 1,980.10 7.8 5,078.70 9.6 1,861.64 16.3 1995 2,070.44 16.6 1,426.83 15.0 2,420.11 22.2 5,699.38 12.2 2,177.67 17.0 1996 2,561.60 23.7 1,716.51 20.3 2,993.32 23.7 6,618.50 16.1 2,728.01 25.3 1997 3,167.90 23.7 2,067.83 20.5 3,614.99 20.8 8,236.52 24.4 3,410.14 25.0 1998 3,815.66 20.4 2,448.00 18.4 4,268.97 18.1 9,302.28 12.9 4,176.73 22.5 1999 4,547.09 19.2 2,863.70 17.0 5,102.37 19.5 10,238.22 10.1 5,053.18 21.0 2000 5,313.53 16.9 3,322.88 16.0 5,911.73 15.9 10,881.76 6.3 5,981.86 18.4 2001 5,882.69 10.7 3,554.69 7.0 6,383.58 8.0 11,409.31 4.8 6,769.76 13.2 2002 6,454.80 9.7 3,763.09 5.9 6,810.66 6.7 13,134.57 15.1 7,490.07 10.6 2003 6,975.66 8.1 3,933.07 4.5 7,214.59 5.9 12,743.78-3.0 8,267.51 10.4 2004 7,345.33 5.3 4,157.63 5.7 7,720.20 7.0 13,223.95 3.8 8,693.79 5.2 2005 7,816.66 6.4 4,455.98 7.2 8,210.18 6.3 14,355.37 8.6 9,235.78 6.2 2006 8,296.71 6.1 4,646.80 4.3 8,599.45 4.7 15,134.17 5.4 9,886.91 7.1 2007 8,753.10 5.5 4,802.71 3.4 9,084.30 5.6 16,325.51 7.9 10,453.03 5.7 2008 9,354.99 6.9 5,033.05 4.8 9,560.54 5.2 18,680.59 14.4 11,211.90 7.3 2009 9,894.76 5.8 5,156.85 2.5 9,970.76 4.3 19,648.37 5.2 11,941.54 6.5 2010 10,412.83 5.2 5,334.37 3.4 10,518.58 5.5 20,786.79 5.8 12,617.45 5.7 2011 10,912.40 4.8 5,453.55 2.2 11,125.71 5.8 21,449.18 3.2 13,301.93 5.4 2012 11,459.04 5.0 5,615.31 3.0 11,750.82 5.6 22,306.02 4.0 14,042.63 5.6 2013 12,005.37 4.8 5,964.03 6.2 12,361.87 5.2 22,504.71 0.9 14,690.81 4.6 2014 12,590.03 4.9 6,182.48 3.7 13,017.05 5.3 22,899.86 1.8 15,482.95 5.4 2015 13,266.65 5.4 6,341.54 2.6 13,772.03 5.8 23,557.10 2.9 16,422.60 6.1 2016 14,064.55 6.0 6,539.71 3.1 14,667.22 6.5 24,439.73 3.7 17,529.74 6.7 2017 14,984.96 6.5 6,773.28 3.6 15,664.59 6.8 25,682.44 5.1 18,807.90 7.3 2018 15,937.44 6.4 6,999.37 3.3 16,698.45 6.6 26,802.55 4.4 20,132.44 7.0 2019 16,863.06 5.8 7,199.79 2.9 17,650.26 5.7 27,787.67 3.7 21,447.53 6.5 2020 17,790.63 5.5 7,390.16 2.6 18,585.73 5.3 28,645.16 3.1 22,789.77 6.3 E-3
E-4. Remuneración Mensual en la Industria Manufacturera por Actividad Económica: Escenario Base 2014-2020 (En pesos nominales por persona) Industria Alimentos, Textiles, Madera Imprenta Años Manufacturera Bebidas y Tabaco Vestidos y Cuero y sus Productos y Editoriales Nominal Var.% Nominal Var.% Nominal Var.% Nominal Var.% Nominal Var.% 1980 8.52 23.2 6.03 22.1 6.58 22.7 5.40 26.0 11.10 25.2 1981 11.26 32.2 7.82 29.7 8.48 28.7 7.32 35.7 13.89 25.1 1982 17.44 54.9 11.76 50.3 12.92 52.4 10.95 49.5 20.84 50.1 1983 27.30 56.5 18.21 54.9 20.74 60.6 17.86 63.1 32.78 57.3 1984 42.40 55.3 28.41 56.0 31.86 53.6 27.58 54.4 50.13 52.9 1985 66.82 57.6 44.36 56.1 50.05 57.1 42.64 54.6 77.50 54.6 1986 114.32 71.1 75.60 70.4 84.14 68.1 75.38 76.8 131.77 70.0 1987 264.76 131.6 169.88 124.7 188.01 123.5 167.14 121.7 307.35 133.2 1988 565.61 113.6 344.62 102.9 396.75 111.0 325.31 94.6 660.24 114.8 1989 739.54 30.7 464.91 34.9 527.99 33.1 418.00 28.5 806.95 22.2 1990 932.09 26.0 600.99 29.3 664.29 25.8 545.55 30.5 997.54 23.6 1991 1,173.77 25.9 790.46 31.5 826.45 24.4 686.59 25.9 1,239.97 24.3 1992 1,428.10 21.7 978.14 23.7 1,013.23 22.6 814.36 18.6 1,548.62 24.9 1993 1,574.11 10.2 1,143.21 16.9 1,097.76 8.3 898.18 10.3 1,709.88 10.4 1994 1,748.44 11.1 1,284.49 12.4 1,198.18 9.1 1,000.16 11.4 1,924.67 12.6 1995 2,057.55 17.7 1,479.94 15.2 1,301.70 8.6 1,149.42 14.9 2,185.61 13.6 1996 2,539.63 23.4 1,834.82 24.0 1,556.79 19.6 1,409.47 22.6 2,727.28 24.8 1997 3,063.75 20.6 2,212.55 20.6 1,866.15 19.9 1,697.81 20.5 3,127.84 14.7 1998 3,666.00 19.7 2,658.54 20.2 2,237.20 19.9 2,015.55 18.7 3,717.99 18.9 1999 4,324.99 18.0 3,135.33 17.9 2,614.37 16.9 2,457.30 21.9 4,448.10 19.6 2000 5,051.17 16.8 3,647.71 16.3 3,109.50 18.9 2,848.74 15.9 5,119.11 15.1 2001 5,650.28 11.9 4,114.33 12.8 3,448.02 10.9 3,233.58 13.5 5,661.46 10.6 2002 6,102.46 8.0 4,482.40 8.9 3,801.75 10.3 3,539.04 9.4 6,138.07 8.4 2003 6,441.33 5.6 4,720.98 5.3 4,021.78 5.8 3,786.68 7.0 6,466.66 5.4 2004 6,801.01 5.6 5,001.65 5.9 4,256.95 5.8 3,910.02 3.3 6,770.24 4.7 2005 7,190.84 5.7 5,223.35 4.4 4,535.51 6.5 4,137.67 5.8 7,134.92 5.4 2006 7,571.65 5.3 5,519.20 5.7 4,716.06 4.0 4,369.32 5.6 7,196.57 0.9 2007 7,944.89 4.9 5,719.92 3.6 4,827.71 2.4 4,613.55 5.6 7,357.62 2.2 2008 8,382.77 5.5 5,832.95 2.0 5,072.91 5.1 4,876.12 5.7 7,771.77 5.6 2009 8,709.07 3.9 5,956.19 2.1 5,232.21 3.1 4,995.84 2.5 8,134.83 4.7 2010 8,897.75 2.2 6,198.34 4.1 5,376.30 2.8 5,213.84 4.4 8,427.11 3.6 2011 9,277.37 4.3 6,395.71 3.2 5,632.39 4.8 5,463.91 4.8 8,730.83 3.6 2012 9,889.53 6.6 6,748.83 5.5 5,838.53 3.7 5,672.21 3.8 9,334.48 6.9 2013 10,272.78 3.9 7,044.78 4.4 6,051.77 3.7 5,869.60 3.5 9,838.51 5.4 2014 10,725.73 4.4 7,362.85 4.5 6,279.18 3.8 6,054.34 3.1 10,286.34 4.6 2015 11,255.15 4.9 7,724.25 4.9 6,544.19 4.2 6,272.35 3.6 10,798.48 5.0 2016 11,866.00 5.4 8,148.47 5.5 6,826.38 4.3 6,526.00 4.0 11,405.26 5.6 2017 12,600.36 6.2 8,658.02 6.3 7,150.55 4.7 6,829.81 4.7 12,104.49 6.1 2018 13,337.97 5.9 9,173.38 6.0 7,468.64 4.4 7,126.91 4.4 12,805.24 5.8 2019 14,040.74 5.3 9,661.91 5.3 7,759.41 3.9 7,398.06 3.8 13,480.44 5.3 2020 14,725.46 4.9 10,147.66 5.0 8,044.61 3.7 7,654.95 3.5 14,149.57 5.0 E-4 Continúa
Continuación Químicos, Minerales Industrias Maquinaria Otras Años Petróleo y Caucho No Metálicos Metálicas Básicas y Equipo Industrias Nominal Var.% Nominal Var.% Nominal Var.% Nominal Var.% Nominal Var.% 1980 14.49 25.7 6.63 24.8 10.26 22.6 10.85 20.6 8.38 20.2 1981 18.85 30.1 8.67 30.7 13.81 34.6 14.47 33.4 10.89 30.0 1982 28.82 52.9 13.68 57.8 22.33 61.7 22.94 58.6 16.37 50.3 1983 44.96 56.0 21.51 57.2 34.43 54.2 36.00 56.9 26.46 61.6 1984 70.32 56.4 33.29 54.8 53.18 54.4 55.64 54.6 40.85 54.4 1985 114.93 63.4 52.24 56.9 82.45 55.0 89.14 60.2 62.07 51.9 1986 201.54 75.4 92.51 77.1 137.38 66.6 154.59 73.4 109.06 75.7 1987 471.73 134.1 208.03 124.9 345.20 151.3 355.36 129.9 239.89 120.0 1988 1,029.08 118.2 449.09 115.9 750.06 117.3 765.55 115.4 468.64 95.4 1989 1,303.95 26.7 580.69 29.3 1,028.14 37.1 992.21 29.6 597.02 27.4 1990 1,639.54 25.7 724.48 24.8 1,286.47 25.1 1,246.15 25.6 729.09 22.1 1991 2,088.44 27.4 932.34 28.7 1,531.85 19.1 1,578.82 26.7 925.10 26.9 1992 2,562.14 22.7 1,113.97 19.5 1,927.89 25.9 1,890.91 19.8 1,149.96 24.3 1993 2,852.74 11.3 1,233.16 10.7 2,017.77 4.7 2,087.38 10.4 1,313.96 14.3 1994 3,142.83 10.2 1,372.56 11.3 2,251.86 11.6 2,322.49 11.3 1,444.75 10.0 1995 3,827.48 21.8 1,702.03 24.0 2,708.96 20.3 2,775.25 19.5 1,673.50 15.8 1996 4,913.88 28.4 1,963.55 15.4 3,281.97 21.2 3,403.13 22.6 2,090.47 24.9 1997 5,956.03 21.2 2,296.96 17.0 3,880.80 18.2 4,130.75 21.4 2,569.27 22.9 1998 7,206.52 21.0 2,702.89 17.7 4,590.90 18.3 4,897.43 18.6 3,077.01 19.8 1999 8,557.74 18.8 3,225.20 19.3 5,206.13 13.4 5,827.33 19.0 3,591.89 16.7 2000 9,947.04 16.2 3,679.09 14.1 5,882.79 13.0 6,835.24 17.3 4,309.85 20.0 2001 10,943.49 10.0 4,289.60 16.6 6,404.07 8.9 7,783.93 13.9 4,683.42 8.7 2002 11,761.92 7.5 4,654.01 8.5 6,858.93 7.1 8,297.12 6.6 5,039.43 7.6 2003 12,797.80 8.8 4,973.92 6.9 7,267.79 6.0 8,584.60 3.5 5,329.98 5.8 2004 13,880.65 8.5 5,258.52 5.7 7,449.74 2.5 8,986.68 4.7 5,859.41 9.9 2005 15,098.43 8.8 5,314.52 1.1 7,764.33 4.2 9,504.93 5.8 6,143.69 4.9 2006 15,832.20 4.9 5,457.23 2.7 8,180.68 5.4 10,135.54 6.6 6,635.54 8.0 2007 16,880.14 6.6 5,678.20 4.0 8,766.91 7.2 10,599.66 4.6 7,010.55 5.7 2008 17,834.40 5.7 6,087.34 7.2 9,219.46 5.2 11,351.97 7.1 7,503.71 7.0 2009 19,606.17 9.9 6,388.26 4.9 9,989.63 8.4 12,055.69 6.2 7,694.15 2.5 2010 19,572.94-0.2 6,421.22 0.5 10,394.42 4.1 12,060.00 0.0 8,030.81 4.4 2011 20,650.15 5.5 6,353.32-1.1 10,802.58 3.9 12,488.00 3.5 8,280.08 3.1 2012 22,187.74 7.4 6,542.05 3.0 12,049.25 11.5 13,371.71 7.1 8,427.81 1.8 2013 22,795.09 2.7 6,699.06 2.4 12,716.39 5.5 13,853.51 3.6 8,512.08 1.0 2014 23,487.94 3.0 6,833.04 2.0 13,465.54 5.9 14,338.34 3.5 8,622.74 1.3 2015 24,566.01 4.6 7,044.87 3.1 14,292.20 6.1 14,948.97 4.3 8,777.95 1.8 2016 25,842.40 5.2 7,305.53 3.7 15,212.56 6.4 15,666.56 4.8 8,971.07 2.2 2017 27,338.93 5.8 7,634.28 4.5 16,277.03 7.0 16,535.41 5.5 9,204.31 2.6 2018 28,836.09 5.5 7,954.92 4.2 17,357.52 6.6 17,415.26 5.3 9,416.01 2.3 2019 30,231.48 4.8 8,249.25 3.7 18,426.27 6.2 18,253.91 4.8 9,604.33 2.0 2020 31,560.01 4.4 8,529.72 3.4 19,503.50 5.8 19,067.10 4.5 9,758.00 1.6 E-5 Conclusión
E-5. Remuneración Mensual en el Sector Industrial por Subsectores y Ramas Económicas: Escenario Base 2014-2020 (En pesos nominales por persona) Minería Electricidad Construcción Años Total Minería de minerales Generación, Agua y sumistro Construcción Trabajos Sector Extracción metálicos y no transmisión de gas por ductos de obras de especializados Industrial de petróleo metálicos, excepto y suministro de al consumidor ingeniería para la Total subsector y gas petróleo y gas Total subsector energía eléctrica final Total subsector Edificación civil construcción Nominal Var.% Nominal Var.% Nominal Var.% Nominal Var.% Nominal Var.% Nominal Var.% Nominal Var.% Nominal Var.% Nominal Var.% Nominal Var.% Nominal Var.% 1980 9.75 22.7 18.24 23.0 18.25 20.5 10.93 20.7 1981 12.84 31.6 23.79 30.5 23.94 31.2 14.11 29.1 1982 19.21 49.6 33.92 42.6 38.93 62.6 19.85 40.7 1983 30.51 58.9 52.77 55.5 59.02 51.6 32.48 63.7 1984 47.25 54.8 81.45 54.4 83.40 41.3 50.36 55.0 1985 74.92 58.6 141.83 74.1 125.00 49.9 79.13 57.1 1986 126.37 68.7 227.10 60.1 203.59 62.9 131.69 66.4 1987 290.69 130.0 518.87 128.5 518.94 154.9 294.67 123.8 1988 591.92 103.6 1,044.58 101.3 930.69 79.3 553.96 88.0 1989 732.79 23.8 1,263.53 21.0 1,143.22 22.8 626.97 13.2 1990 913.98 24.7 1,526.35 20.8 1,480.69 29.5 782.87 24.9 1991 1,152.26 26.1 2,136.18 40.0 1,883.63 27.2 974.61 24.5 1992 1,388.08 20.5 2,668.64 24.9 2,351.44 24.8 1,162.89 19.3 1993 1,541.83 11.1 3,108.06 16.5 2,854.42 21.4 1,310.47 12.7 1994 1,694.09 9.9 3,234.33 4.1 3,333.88 16.8 1,442.64 10.1 1995 2,000.29 18.1 4,138.65 28.0 4,074.87 22.2 1,640.42 13.7 1996 2,480.65 24.0 5,347.08 29.2 5,076.35 24.6 2,082.31 26.9 1997 3,012.35 21.4 6,503.31 21.6 6,152.42 21.2 2,600.62 24.9 1998 3,600.57 19.5 7,405.60 13.9 7,083.11 15.1 3,157.24 21.4 1999 4,242.92 17.8 8,428.31 13.8 8,483.39 19.8 3,722.50 17.9 2000 4,918.98 15.9 10,833.36 28.5 10,079.33 18.8 4,212.66 13.2 2001 5,479.46 11.4 12,183.30 12.5 11,147.53 10.6 4,623.26 9.7 2002 5,865.53 7.0 13,328.72 9.4 12,308.60 10.4 4,869.40 5.3 2003 6,178.14 5.3 13,422.97 0.7 26,563.55 9,928.45 13,225.42 7.4 17,610.70 8,046.17 5,151.79 5.8 5,216.22 5,338.15 4,408.57 2004 6,442.79 4.3 14,580.41 8.6 28,017.62 5.5 11,020.05 11.0 14,218.11 7.5 19,154.13 8.8 8,401.52 4.4 5,352.05 3.9 5,413.23 3.8 5,597.80 4.9 4,574.35 3.8 2005 6,728.45 4.4 14,924.94 2.4 26,979.26-3.7 11,624.24 5.5 14,959.40 5.2 20,355.28 6.3 8,629.18 2.7 5,548.78 3.7 5,603.29 3.5 5,846.80 4.4 4,738.02 3.6 2006 7,001.19 4.1 15,972.11 7.0 30,317.37 12.4 12,123.15 4.3 15,888.00 6.2 22,056.58 8.4 8,768.73 1.6 5,779.50 4.2 5,829.82 4.0 6,103.73 4.4 4,925.69 4.0 2007 7,319.93 4.6 17,040.99 6.7 33,801.29 11.5 12,898.23 6.4 16,720.88 5.2 23,449.66 6.3 9,010.41 2.8 6,031.03 4.4 6,060.99 4.0 6,493.95 6.4 5,096.46 3.5 2008 7,655.05 4.6 19,176.86 12.5 36,430.44 7.8 14,972.31 16.1 17,970.82 7.5 24,884.33 6.1 9,657.76 7.2 6,280.37 4.1 6,330.32 4.4 6,524.60 0.5 5,312.46 4.2 2009 8,011.31 4.7 20,867.52 8.8 40,429.04 11.0 15,951.10 6.5 19,509.57 8.6 28,380.04 14.0 10,067.23 4.2 6,488.22 3.3 6,564.36 3.7 6,665.79 2.2 5,572.55 4.9 2010 8,203.46 2.4 20,504.04-1.7 35,896.70-11.2 16,730.40 4.9 19,930.70 2.2 31,562.16 11.2 10,280.98 2.1 6,718.83 3.6 6,881.81 4.8 6,589.79-1.1 5,819.28 4.4 2011 8,557.03 4.3 22,469.19 9.6 43,529.40 21.3 17,379.57 3.9 21,645.92 8.6 34,389.96 9.0 10,491.84 2.1 6,995.20 4.1 7,167.85 4.2 6,828.57 3.6 6,092.77 4.7 2012 9,073.79 6.0 24,334.43 8.3 48,446.18 11.3 18,506.70 6.5 23,027.62 6.4 37,334.71 8.6 10,637.19 1.4 7,349.90 5.1 7,515.24 4.8 7,257.09 6.3 6,368.60 4.5 2013 9,511.38 4.8 25,915.23 6.5 51,934.30 7.2 19,617.10 6.0 24,412.78 6.0 40,396.16 8.2 10,679.74 0.4 7,652.43 4.1 7,845.91 4.4 7,518.35 3.6 6,623.35 4.0 2014 9,988.46 5.0 27,340.87 5.5 55,206.16 6.3 20,735.27 5.7 25,919.05 6.2 43,587.45 7.9 10,754.50 0.7 8,013.92 4.7 8,238.21 5.0 7,826.60 4.1 6,908.15 4.3 2015 10,505.25 5.2 29,250.84 7.0 58,904.97 6.7 22,000.13 6.1 27,852.48 7.5 47,423.15 8.8 10,894.30 1.3 8,434.88 5.3 8,683.07 5.4 8,186.62 4.6 7,288.10 5.5 2016 11,106.64 5.7 31,617.61 8.1 63,087.23 7.1 23,408.13 6.4 30,334.08 8.9 51,975.77 9.6 11,079.51 1.7 8,917.99 5.7 9,186.69 5.8 8,620.51 5.3 7,732.68 6.1 2017 11,823.00 6.4 34,647.95 9.6 67,944.94 7.7 24,999.89 6.8 33,333.10 9.9 57,381.25 10.4 11,301.10 2.0 9,489.94 6.4 9,783.82 6.5 9,129.12 5.9 8,250.76 6.7 2018 12,550.91 6.2 37,949.49 9.5 73,040.81 7.5 26,649.88 6.6 36,578.98 9.7 63,176.76 10.1 11,504.52 1.8 10,079.02 6.2 10,400.20 6.3 9,649.48 5.7 8,787.06 6.5 2019 13,257.00 5.6 41,142.65 8.4 78,153.67 7.0 28,248.87 6.0 39,963.34 9.3 69,241.73 9.6 11,665.58 1.4 10,654.89 5.7 11,003.42 5.8 10,160.90 5.3 9,296.71 5.8 2020 13,971.38 5.4 44,535.63 8.2 83,389.97 6.7 29,859.06 5.7 43,530.74 8.9 75,681.21 9.3 11,805.57 1.2 11,227.48 5.4 11,608.60 5.5 10,658.79 4.9 9,798.74 5.4 Continúa E-6
Continuación Manufacturas Industrias alimentaria, de las bebidas y del tabaco Textiles, prendas de vestir y productos de cuero Total Confección de Fabricación de cuero, Años Subsector Industria Fabricación productos textiles, Fabricación piel y materiales Manufacturero Industria de las bebidas de insumos excepto prendas de prendas sucedáneos, excepto Total rama alimentaria y del tabaco Total rama textiles de vestir de vestir prendas de vestir Nominal Var.% Nominal Var.% Nominal Var.% Nominal Var.% Nominal Var.% Nominal Var.% Nominal Var.% Nominal Var.% Nominal Var.% 1980 8.52 23.2 6.03 22.1 6.58 22.7 1981 11.26 32.2 7.82 29.7 8.48 28.7 1982 17.44 54.9 11.76 50.3 12.92 52.4 1983 27.30 56.5 18.21 54.9 20.74 60.6 1984 42.40 55.3 28.41 56.0 31.86 53.6 1985 66.82 57.6 44.36 56.1 50.05 57.1 1986 114.32 71.1 75.60 70.4 84.14 68.1 1987 264.76 131.6 169.88 124.7 188.01 123.5 1988 565.61 113.6 344.62 102.9 396.75 111.0 1989 739.54 30.7 464.91 34.9 527.99 33.1 1990 932.09 26.0 600.99 29.3 664.29 25.8 1991 1,173.77 25.9 790.46 31.5 826.45 24.4 1992 1,428.10 21.7 978.14 23.7 1,013.23 22.6 1993 1,574.11 10.2 1,143.21 16.9 1,097.76 8.3 1994 1,748.44 11.1 1,284.49 12.4 1,198.18 9.1 1995 2,057.55 17.7 1,479.94 15.2 1,301.70 8.6 1996 2,539.63 23.4 1,834.82 24.0 1,556.79 19.6 1997 3,063.75 20.6 2,212.55 20.6 1,866.15 19.9 1998 3,666.00 19.7 2,658.54 20.2 2,237.20 19.9 1999 4,324.99 18.0 3,135.33 17.9 2,614.37 16.9 2000 5,051.17 16.8 3,647.71 16.3 3,109.50 18.9 2001 5,650.28 11.9 4,114.33 12.8 3,448.02 10.9 2002 6,102.46 8.0 4,482.40 8.9 3,801.75 10.3 2003 6,441.33 5.6 4,720.98 5.3 4,344.87 6,786.29 4,021.78 5.8 2,659.02 9,720.07 3,504.98 3,804.66 2004 6,801.01 5.6 5,001.65 5.9 4,560.19 5.0 7,550.28 11.3 4,256.95 5.8 2,931.01 10.2 10,036.22 3.3 3,686.94 5.2 4,058.76 6.7 2005 7,190.84 5.7 5,223.35 4.4 4,732.28 3.8 8,341.16 10.5 4,535.51 6.5 3,097.35 5.7 11,236.37 12.0 3,877.22 5.2 4,252.21 4.8 2006 7,571.65 5.3 5,519.20 5.7 4,992.88 5.5 8,749.26 4.9 4,716.06 4.0 3,459.26 11.7 10,606.55-5.6 4,080.50 5.2 4,459.22 4.9 2007 7,944.89 4.9 5,719.92 3.6 5,173.86 3.6 9,248.32 5.7 4,827.71 2.4 3,518.54 1.7 10,613.20 0.1 4,214.44 3.3 4,587.55 2.9 2008 8,382.77 5.5 5,832.95 2.0 5,318.06 2.8 9,129.86-1.3 5,072.91 5.1 3,540.31 0.6 11,428.00 7.7 4,549.63 8.0 4,648.53 1.3 2009 8,709.07 3.9 5,956.19 2.1 5,471.57 2.9 9,102.25-0.3 5,232.21 3.1 3,469.05-2.0 12,188.36 6.7 4,752.57 4.5 4,736.48 1.9 2010 8,897.75 2.2 6,198.34 4.1 5,762.11 5.3 9,085.03-0.2 5,376.30 2.8 3,299.52-4.9 13,393.68 9.9 4,891.31 2.9 4,844.67 2.3 2011 9,277.37 4.3 6,395.71 3.2 5,955.85 3.4 9,440.92 3.9 5,632.39 4.8 3,515.83 6.6 13,620.42 1.7 5,129.14 4.9 5,104.25 5.4 2012 9,889.53 6.6 6,748.83 5.5 6,249.14 4.9 10,429.47 10.5 5,838.53 3.7 3,773.47 7.3 13,497.44-0.9 5,351.36 4.3 5,300.33 3.8 2013 10,272.78 3.9 7,044.78 4.4 6,524.10 4.4 11,159.53 7.0 6,051.77 3.7 4,022.52 6.6 13,362.47-1.0 5,586.82 4.4 5,512.34 4.0 2014 10,725.73 4.4 7,362.85 4.5 6,798.11 4.2 11,829.10 6.0 6,279.18 3.8 4,247.78 5.6 13,522.82 1.2 5,810.30 4.0 5,694.25 3.3 2015 11,255.15 4.9 7,724.25 4.9 7,124.42 4.8 12,491.53 5.6 6,544.19 4.2 4,477.16 5.4 13,793.27 2.0 6,042.71 4.0 5,916.32 3.9 2016 11,866.00 5.4 8,148.47 5.5 7,523.39 5.6 13,153.58 5.3 6,826.38 4.3 4,732.36 5.7 14,165.69 2.7 6,296.50 4.2 6,164.81 4.2 2017 12,600.36 6.2 8,658.02 6.3 8,004.89 6.4 13,903.34 5.7 7,150.55 4.7 5,021.03 6.1 14,647.33 3.4 6,579.84 4.5 6,454.55 4.7 2018 13,337.97 5.9 9,173.38 6.0 8,493.18 6.1 14,654.12 5.4 7,468.64 4.4 5,312.25 5.8 15,101.39 3.1 6,862.78 4.3 6,745.01 4.5 2019 14,040.74 5.3 9,661.91 5.3 8,951.81 5.4 15,386.82 5.0 7,759.41 3.9 5,599.12 5.4 15,494.03 2.6 7,123.56 3.8 7,001.32 3.8 2020 14,725.46 4.9 10,147.66 5.0 9,408.36 5.1 16,125.39 4.8 8,044.61 3.7 5,884.67 5.1 15,865.89 2.4 7,380.01 3.6 7,253.36 3.6 Continúa E-7
Continuación Manufacturas Madera y sus productos Impresión e industrias conexas Químicos, petróleo y caucho Fabricación Fabricación de Años de muebles Impresión productos derivados Industria Industria y productos Industria e industrias del petróleo Industria del plástico Total rama de la madera relacionados Total rama del papel conexas Total rama y del carbón química y del hule Nominal Var.% Nominal Var.% Nominal Var.% Nominal Var.% Nominal Var.% Nominal Var.% Nominal Var.% Nominal Var.% Nominal Var.% Nominal Var.% 1980 5.40 26.0 11.10 25.2 14.49 25.7 1981 7.32 35.7 13.89 25.1 18.85 30.1 1982 10.95 49.5 20.84 50.1 28.82 52.9 1983 17.86 63.1 32.78 57.3 44.96 56.0 1984 27.58 54.4 50.13 52.9 70.32 56.4 1985 42.64 54.6 77.50 54.6 114.93 63.4 1986 75.38 76.8 131.77 70.0 201.54 75.4 1987 167.14 121.7 307.35 133.2 471.73 134.1 1988 325.31 94.6 660.24 114.8 1,029.08 118.2 1989 418.00 28.5 806.95 22.2 1,303.95 26.7 1990 545.55 30.5 997.54 23.6 1,639.54 25.7 1991 686.59 25.9 1,239.97 24.3 2,088.44 27.4 1992 814.36 18.6 1,548.62 24.9 2,562.14 22.7 1993 898.18 10.3 1,709.88 10.4 2,852.74 11.3 1994 1,000.16 11.4 1,924.67 12.6 3,142.83 10.2 1995 1,149.42 14.9 2,185.61 13.6 3,827.48 21.8 1996 1,409.47 22.6 2,727.28 24.8 4,913.88 28.4 1997 1,697.81 20.5 3,127.84 14.7 5,956.03 21.2 1998 2,015.55 18.7 3,717.99 18.9 7,206.52 21.0 1999 2,457.30 21.9 4,448.10 19.6 8,557.74 18.8 2000 2,848.74 15.9 5,119.11 15.1 9,947.04 16.2 2001 3,233.58 13.5 5,661.46 10.6 10,943.49 10.0 2002 3,539.04 9.4 6,138.07 8.4 11,761.92 7.5 2003 3,786.68 7.0 3,571.68 3,974.53 6,466.66 5.4 7,553.99 5,382.51 12,797.80 8.8 28,792.76 15,078.16 7,112.33 2004 3,910.02 3.3 3,667.48 2.7 4,111.52 3.4 6,770.24 4.7 7,861.93 4.1 5,651.30 5.0 13,880.65 8.5 29,724.95 3.2 16,969.22 12.5 7,471.86 5.1 2005 4,137.67 5.8 3,888.02 6.0 4,338.90 5.5 7,134.92 5.4 8,460.65 7.6 5,779.78 2.3 15,098.43 8.8 32,956.73 10.9 18,562.21 9.4 7,849.75 5.1 2006 4,369.32 5.6 4,123.55 6.1 4,567.12 5.3 7,196.57 0.9 8,546.42 1.0 5,781.87 0.0 15,832.20 4.9 36,441.65 10.6 19,013.75 2.4 8,286.88 5.6 2007 4,613.55 5.6 4,399.62 6.7 4,797.89 5.1 7,357.62 2.2 8,726.24 2.1 6,004.04 3.8 16,880.14 6.6 43,653.61 19.8 19,877.06 4.5 8,580.43 3.5 2008 4,876.12 5.7 4,726.40 7.4 5,000.51 4.2 7,771.77 5.6 9,215.39 5.6 6,299.62 4.9 17,834.40 5.7 45,112.80 3.3 21,168.28 6.5 8,829.42 2.9 2009 4,995.84 2.5 4,871.92 3.1 5,108.33 2.2 8,134.83 4.7 9,522.44 3.3 6,731.36 6.9 19,606.17 9.9 48,874.62 8.3 22,642.46 7.0 9,150.58 3.6 2010 5,213.84 4.4 5,052.40 3.7 5,362.04 5.0 8,427.11 3.6 9,848.14 3.4 6,955.55 3.3 19,572.94-0.2 49,612.94 1.5 22,588.81-0.2 9,279.69 1.4 2011 5,463.91 4.8 5,205.27 3.0 5,703.67 6.4 8,730.83 3.6 10,289.69 4.5 7,178.48 3.2 20,650.15 5.5 50,904.87 2.6 23,890.62 5.8 9,935.67 7.1 2012 5,672.21 3.8 5,442.65 4.6 5,875.64 3.0 9,334.48 6.9 10,740.87 4.4 7,779.62 8.4 22,187.74 7.4 60,561.77 19.0 24,803.49 3.8 10,691.33 7.6 2013 5,869.60 3.5 5,638.59 3.6 6,069.54 3.3 9,838.51 5.4 11,213.46 4.4 8,215.28 5.6 22,795.09 2.7 60,804.02 0.4 25,746.03 3.8 11,290.04 5.6 2014 6,054.34 3.1 5,824.66 3.3 6,251.63 3.0 10,286.34 4.6 11,673.22 4.1 8,634.26 5.1 23,487.94 3.0 61,594.47 1.3 26,621.39 3.4 11,865.83 5.1 2015 6,272.35 3.6 6,051.82 3.9 6,464.18 3.4 10,798.48 5.0 12,233.53 4.8 9,100.51 5.4 24,566.01 4.6 62,703.17 1.8 27,712.87 4.1 12,518.45 5.5 2016 6,526.00 4.0 6,324.16 4.5 6,703.36 3.7 11,405.26 5.6 12,930.84 5.7 9,610.13 5.6 25,842.40 5.2 64,396.15 2.7 29,043.09 4.8 13,244.52 5.8 2017 6,829.81 4.7 6,646.69 5.1 6,991.60 4.3 12,104.49 6.1 13,719.62 6.1 10,205.96 6.2 27,338.93 5.8 66,456.83 3.2 30,698.54 5.7 14,105.42 6.5 2018 7,126.91 4.4 6,972.37 4.9 7,264.27 3.9 12,805.24 5.8 14,515.36 5.8 10,797.91 5.8 28,836.09 5.5 68,450.54 3.0 32,356.26 5.4 14,979.95 6.2 2019 7,398.06 3.8 7,272.19 4.3 7,511.26 3.4 13,480.44 5.3 15,270.16 5.2 11,380.99 5.4 30,231.48 4.8 70,024.90 2.3 33,974.08 5.0 15,818.83 5.6 2020 7,654.95 3.5 7,548.53 3.8 7,751.62 3.2 14,149.57 5.0 16,003.13 4.8 11,972.81 5.2 31,560.01 4.4 71,285.35 1.8 35,570.86 4.7 16,657.23 5.3 E-8 Continúa
Continuación Manufacturas Fabricación de Industrias metálicas Maquinaria y equipo productos a base Fabricación equipo Fabricación de equipo Años de minerales Industrias Fabricación Fabricación de computación, de generación Fabricación Otras no metálicos metálicas de productos de maquinaria comunicación y eléctrica y accesorios de equipo industrias Total rama Total rama básicas metálicos Total rama y equipo otros electrónicos eléctricos de transporte Total rama Nominal Var.% Nominal Var.% Nominal Var.% Nominal Var.% Nominal Var.% Nominal Var.% Nominal Var.% Nominal Var.% Nominal Var.% Nominal Var.% 1980 6.63 24.8 10.26 22.6 10.85 20.6 8.38 20.2 1981 8.67 30.7 13.81 34.6 14.47 33.4 10.89 30.0 1982 13.68 57.8 22.33 61.7 22.94 58.6 16.37 50.3 1983 21.51 57.2 34.43 54.2 36.00 56.9 26.46 61.6 1984 33.29 54.8 53.18 54.4 55.64 54.6 40.85 54.4 1985 52.24 56.9 82.45 55.0 89.14 60.2 62.07 51.9 1986 92.51 77.1 137.38 66.6 154.59 73.4 109.06 75.7 1987 208.03 124.9 345.20 151.3 355.36 129.9 239.89 120.0 1988 449.09 115.9 750.06 117.3 765.55 115.4 468.64 95.4 1989 580.69 29.3 1,028.14 37.1 992.21 29.6 597.02 27.4 1990 724.48 24.8 1,286.47 25.1 1,246.15 25.6 729.09 22.1 1991 932.34 28.7 1,531.85 19.1 1,578.82 26.7 925.10 26.9 1992 1,113.97 19.5 1,927.89 25.9 1,890.91 19.8 1,149.96 24.3 1993 1,233.16 10.7 2,017.77 4.7 2,087.38 10.4 1,313.96 14.3 1994 1,372.56 11.3 2,251.86 11.6 2,322.49 11.3 1,444.75 10.0 1995 1,702.03 24.0 2,708.96 20.3 2,775.25 19.5 1,673.50 15.8 1996 1,963.55 15.4 3,281.97 21.2 3,403.13 22.6 2,090.47 24.9 1997 2,296.96 17.0 3,880.80 18.2 4,130.75 21.4 2,569.27 22.9 1998 2,702.89 17.7 4,590.90 18.3 4,897.43 18.6 3,077.01 19.8 1999 3,225.20 19.3 5,206.13 13.4 5,827.33 19.0 3,591.89 16.7 2000 3,679.09 14.1 5,882.79 13.0 6,835.24 17.3 4,309.85 20.0 2001 4,289.60 16.6 6,404.07 8.9 7,783.93 13.9 4,683.42 8.7 2002 4,654.01 8.5 6,858.93 7.1 8,297.12 6.6 5,039.43 7.6 2003 4,973.92 6.9 7,267.79 6.0 11,799.55 6,058.23 8,584.60 3.5 8,616.98 8,453.78 7,355.66 9,245.59 5,329.98 5.8 2004 5,258.52 5.7 7,449.74 2.5 12,300.81 4.2 6,214.40 2.6 8,986.68 4.7 9,266.97 7.5 8,759.57 3.6 7,762.67 5.5 9,672.11 4.6 5,859.41 9.9 2005 5,314.52 1.1 7,764.33 4.2 13,228.72 7.5 6,389.56 2.8 9,504.93 5.8 10,120.57 9.2 9,211.93 5.2 8,255.94 6.4 10,141.10 4.8 6,143.69 4.9 2006 5,457.23 2.7 8,180.68 5.4 14,287.26 8.0 6,699.07 4.8 10,135.54 6.6 10,199.06 0.8 10,071.41 9.3 8,847.75 7.2 10,728.90 5.8 6,635.54 8.0 2007 5,678.20 4.0 8,766.91 7.2 15,143.23 6.0 7,221.19 7.8 10,599.66 4.6 10,700.54 4.9 10,427.42 3.5 9,368.04 5.9 11,204.45 4.4 7,010.55 5.7 2008 6,087.34 7.2 9,219.46 5.2 15,593.18 3.0 7,663.97 6.1 11,351.97 7.1 11,418.90 6.7 10,889.03 4.4 10,323.40 10.2 12,105.62 8.0 7,503.71 7.0 2009 6,388.26 4.9 9,989.63 8.4 16,444.09 5.5 8,306.83 8.4 12,055.69 6.2 12,072.70 5.7 11,691.23 7.4 10,568.47 2.4 13,102.45 8.2 7,694.15 2.5 2010 6,421.22 0.5 10,394.42 4.1 16,765.11 2.0 8,728.78 5.1 12,060.00 0.0 12,603.37 4.4 11,499.80-1.6 10,652.32 0.8 13,039.58-0.5 8,030.81 4.4 2011 6,353.32-1.1 10,802.58 3.9 17,355.41 3.5 9,068.35 3.9 12,488.00 3.5 13,380.93 6.2 11,632.99 1.2 10,787.06 1.3 13,536.75 3.8 8,280.08 3.1 2012 6,542.05 3.0 12,049.25 11.5 19,440.21 12.0 10,033.81 10.6 13,371.71 7.1 14,368.97 7.4 13,074.36 12.4 11,579.22 7.3 13,963.41 3.2 8,427.81 1.8 2013 6,699.06 2.4 12,716.39 5.5 20,353.90 4.7 10,635.84 6.0 13,853.51 3.6 15,130.53 5.3 13,152.81 0.6 12,042.39 4.0 14,549.87 4.2 8,512.08 1.0 2014 6,833.04 2.0 13,465.54 5.9 21,208.76 4.2 11,220.81 5.5 14,338.34 3.5 15,887.05 5.0 13,310.64 1.2 12,427.74 3.2 15,088.22 3.7 8,622.74 1.3 2015 7,044.87 3.1 14,292.20 6.1 22,290.41 5.1 11,905.28 6.1 14,948.97 4.3 16,792.62 5.7 13,630.09 2.4 12,900.00 3.8 15,721.92 4.2 8,777.95 1.8 2016 7,305.53 3.7 15,212.56 6.4 23,471.80 5.3 12,655.31 6.3 15,666.56 4.8 17,850.55 6.3 13,998.11 2.7 13,467.60 4.4 16,476.58 4.8 8,971.07 2.2 2017 7,634.28 4.5 16,277.03 7.0 24,833.17 5.8 13,528.53 6.9 16,535.41 5.5 19,046.54 6.7 14,516.04 3.7 14,100.58 4.7 17,399.26 5.6 9,204.31 2.6 2018 7,954.92 4.2 17,357.52 6.6 26,223.82 5.6 14,421.41 6.6 17,415.26 5.3 20,265.52 6.4 15,009.58 3.4 14,735.10 4.5 18,338.82 5.4 9,416.01 2.3 2019 8,249.25 3.7 18,426.27 6.2 27,535.02 5.0 15,329.96 6.3 18,253.91 4.8 21,440.92 5.8 15,459.87 3.0 15,309.77 3.9 19,237.43 4.9 9,604.33 2.0 2020 8,529.72 3.4 19,503.50 5.8 28,829.16 4.7 16,249.76 6.0 19,067.10 4.5 22,620.17 5.5 15,877.29 2.7 15,860.92 3.6 20,103.11 4.5 9,758.00 1.6 E-9 Conclusión
E-6. Remuneración Mensual en el Sector Servicios por Subsectores Económicos: Escenario Base 2014-2020 (En pesos nominales por persona) Comercio, restaurantes y hoteles Servicios financieros, seguros y actividades inmobiliarias Total Servicios de Transporte, Servicios Años Sector alojamiento temporal almacenaje y Servicios inmobiliarios y Servicios y de preparación de comunicaciones financieros de alquiler de bienes Total subsector Comercio alimentos y bebidas Total subsector Total subsector y de seguros muebles e intangibles Nominal Var.% Nominal Var.% Nominal Var.% Nominal Var.% Nominal Var.% Nominal Var.% Nominal Var.% Nominal Var.% 1980 8.29 26.0 7.03 22.3 9.54 17.9 18.60 24.4 1981 11.13 34.3 9.10 29.6 12.83 34.5 24.74 33.0 1982 16.77 50.6 12.94 42.1 18.64 45.3 37.19 50.3 1983 26.36 57.2 21.45 65.8 31.57 69.3 57.33 54.1 1984 41.66 58.0 33.10 54.3 49.42 56.6 90.69 58.2 1985 65.35 56.9 51.56 55.8 78.49 58.8 145.12 60.0 1986 108.29 65.7 86.71 68.2 134.43 71.3 253.38 74.6 1987 246.55 127.7 189.65 118.7 305.94 127.6 609.69 140.6 1988 477.69 93.8 359.47 89.5 648.35 111.9 1,187.31 94.7 1989 605.70 26.8 466.97 29.9 790.89 22.0 1,487.53 25.3 1990 788.37 30.2 613.77 31.4 992.08 25.4 2,070.58 39.2 1991 1,038.13 31.7 800.33 30.4 1,293.58 30.4 2,815.33 36.0 1992 1,302.79 25.5 976.25 22.0 1,600.04 23.7 3,800.77 35.0 1993 1,565.09 20.1 1,128.85 15.6 1,836.06 14.8 4,633.30 21.9 1994 1,776.29 13.5 1,240.44 9.9 1,980.10 7.8 5,078.70 9.6 1995 2,070.44 16.6 1,426.83 15.0 2,420.11 22.2 5,699.38 12.2 1996 2,561.60 23.7 1,716.51 20.3 2,993.32 23.7 6,618.50 16.1 1997 3,167.90 23.7 2,067.83 20.5 3,614.99 20.8 8,236.52 24.4 1998 3,815.66 20.4 2,448.00 18.4 4,268.97 18.1 9,302.28 12.9 1999 4,547.09 19.2 2,863.70 17.0 5,102.37 19.5 10,238.22 10.1 2000 5,313.53 16.9 3,322.88 16.0 5,911.73 15.9 10,881.76 6.3 2001 5,882.69 10.7 3,554.69 7.0 6,383.58 8.0 11,409.31 4.8 2002 6,454.80 9.7 3,763.09 5.9 6,810.66 6.7 13,134.57 15.1 2003 6,975.66 8.1 3,933.07 4.5 4,093.35 3,361.90 7,214.59 5.9 12,743.78-3.0 23,073.68 4,601.81 2004 7,345.33 5.3 4,157.63 5.7 4,334.84 5.9 3,515.71 4.6 7,720.20 7.0 13,223.95 3.8 24,774.39 7.4 4,822.28 4.8 2005 7,816.66 6.4 4,455.98 7.2 4,668.58 7.7 3,673.04 4.5 8,210.18 6.3 14,355.37 8.6 26,995.80 9.0 4,954.77 2.7 2006 8,296.71 6.1 4,646.80 4.3 4,855.31 4.0 3,847.03 4.7 8,599.45 4.7 15,134.17 5.4 28,563.57 5.8 5,242.03 5.8 2007 8,753.10 5.5 4,802.71 3.4 5,005.79 3.1 4,004.58 4.1 9,084.30 5.6 16,325.51 7.9 30,790.76 7.8 5,412.14 3.2 2008 9,354.99 6.9 5,033.05 4.8 5,241.08 4.7 4,198.16 4.8 9,560.54 5.2 18,680.59 14.4 37,288.68 21.1 5,658.49 4.6 2009 9,894.76 5.8 5,156.85 2.5 5,351.11 2.1 4,381.30 4.4 9,970.76 4.3 19,648.37 5.2 37,664.59 1.0 5,892.61 4.1 2010 10,412.83 5.2 5,334.37 3.4 5,506.34 2.9 4,634.69 5.8 10,518.58 5.5 20,786.79 5.8 37,849.38 0.5 6,196.08 5.1 2011 10,912.40 4.8 5,453.55 2.2 5,599.94 1.7 4,831.99 4.3 11,125.71 5.8 21,449.18 3.2 37,472.68-1.0 6,513.25 5.1 2012 11,459.04 5.0 5,615.31 3.0 5,751.18 2.7 5,026.38 4.0 11,750.82 5.6 22,306.02 4.0 38,989.78 4.0 6,729.67 3.3 2013 12,005.37 4.8 5,964.03 6.2 6,137.36 6.7 5,207.33 3.6 12,361.87 5.2 22,504.71 0.9 39,067.76 0.2 6,931.56 3.0 2014 12,590.03 4.9 6,182.48 3.7 6,364.44 3.7 5,379.17 3.3 13,017.05 5.3 22,899.86 1.8 39,341.23 0.7 7,160.31 3.3 2015 13,266.65 5.4 6,341.54 2.6 6,504.46 2.2 5,610.47 4.3 13,772.03 5.8 23,557.10 2.9 39,813.33 1.2 7,489.68 4.6 2016 14,064.55 6.0 6,539.71 3.1 6,680.08 2.7 5,896.61 5.1 14,667.22 6.5 24,439.73 3.7 40,569.78 1.9 7,886.63 5.3 2017 14,984.96 6.5 6,773.28 3.6 6,880.48 3.0 6,268.09 6.3 15,664.59 6.8 25,682.44 5.1 41,543.46 2.4 8,320.40 5.5 2018 15,937.44 6.4 6,999.37 3.3 7,073.13 2.8 6,644.18 6.0 16,698.45 6.6 26,802.55 4.4 42,457.41 2.2 8,761.38 5.3 2019 16,863.06 5.8 7,199.79 2.9 7,235.81 2.3 7,022.90 5.7 17,650.26 5.7 27,787.67 3.7 43,221.65 1.8 9,181.92 4.8 2020 17,790.63 5.5 7,390.16 2.6 7,387.77 2.1 7,402.13 5.4 18,585.73 5.3 28,645.16 3.1 43,826.75 1.4 9,585.93 4.4 Continúa E-10
Continuación Servicios comunales, sociales y personales Servicios Servicios de Años profesionales, Dirección apoyo a los negocios y científicos de corporativos manejo de desechos y Servicios Total subsector y técnicos y empresas servicios de remediación educativos Nominal Var.% Nominal Var.% Nominal Var.% Nominal Var.% Nominal Var.% 1980 8.30 28.4 1981 11.28 35.9 1982 17.34 53.8 1983 26.41 52.3 1984 42.04 59.2 1985 65.80 56.5 1986 107.15 62.8 1987 245.65 129.3 1988 471.82 92.1 1989 600.16 27.2 1990 781.41 30.2 1991 1,033.39 32.2 1992 1,306.51 26.4 1993 1,600.51 22.5 1994 1,861.64 16.3 1995 2,177.67 17.0 1996 2,728.01 25.3 1997 3,410.14 25.0 1998 4,176.73 22.5 1999 5,053.18 21.0 2000 5,981.86 18.4 2001 6,769.76 13.2 2002 7,490.07 10.6 2003 8,267.51 10.4 9,834.17 44,848.06 5,857.15 11,342.24 2004 8,693.79 5.2 10,147.46 3.2 44,502.14-0.8 6,080.67 3.8 11,785.50 3.9 2005 9,235.78 6.2 10,632.28 4.8 47,120.12 5.9 6,429.59 5.7 12,813.61 8.7 2006 9,886.91 7.1 11,147.87 4.8 61,988.65 31.6 6,789.11 5.6 13,938.83 8.8 2007 10,453.03 5.7 11,798.12 5.8 50,914.78-17.9 7,132.00 5.1 14,838.17 6.5 2008 11,211.90 7.3 12,462.73 5.6 60,902.76 19.6 7,456.30 4.5 16,073.99 8.3 2009 11,941.54 6.5 13,004.52 4.3 48,392.58-20.5 7,819.93 4.9 16,956.45 5.5 2010 12,617.45 5.7 13,716.35 5.5 49,492.14 2.3 8,203.20 4.9 17,967.23 6.0 2011 13,301.93 5.4 14,413.07 5.1 55,303.97 11.7 8,593.08 4.8 19,115.59 6.4 2012 14,042.63 5.6 14,993.54 4.0 58,518.42 5.8 8,984.96 4.6 20,777.66 8.7 2013 14,690.81 4.6 15,533.31 3.6 61,502.86 5.1 9,371.31 4.3 22,024.32 6.0 2014 15,482.95 5.4 16,045.91 3.3 64,885.52 5.5 9,802.39 4.6 23,411.85 6.3 2015 16,422.60 6.1 16,816.11 4.8 69,038.19 6.4 10,302.31 5.1 25,050.68 7.0 2016 17,529.74 6.7 17,757.82 5.6 74,008.94 7.2 10,920.45 6.0 27,004.63 7.8 2017 18,807.90 7.3 18,858.80 6.2 79,929.66 8.0 11,619.36 6.4 29,192.01 8.1 2018 20,132.44 7.0 19,990.33 6.0 86,004.31 7.6 12,339.76 6.2 31,468.98 7.8 2019 21,447.53 6.5 21,089.80 5.5 92,196.62 7.2 13,043.13 5.7 33,766.22 7.3 2020 22,789.77 6.3 22,207.55 5.3 98,466.00 6.8 13,747.46 5.4 36,129.85 7.0 E-11 Continúa
Continuación Servicios comunales, sociales y personales Servicios de esparcimiento, Años Servicios culturales y deportivos, Otros servicios de salud y otros servicios Información en excepto actividades Actividades y de asistencia social recreativos medios masivos del gobierno del gobierno Nominal Var.% Nominal Var.% Nominal Var.% Nominal Var.% Nominal Var.% 1980 1981 1982 1983 1984 1985 1986 1987 1988 1989 1990 1991 1992 1993 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 11,527.82 7,831.05 21,107.00 2,340.56 11,752.22 2004 12,280.73 6.5 8,006.12 2.2 23,887.92 13.2 2,455.63 4.9 12,544.59 6.7 2005 12,732.81 3.7 8,366.03 4.5 26,116.04 9.3 2,573.61 4.8 13,401.10 6.8 2006 13,493.69 6.0 8,947.96 7.0 28,727.81 10.0 2,754.98 7.0 14,372.09 7.2 2007 14,086.28 4.4 9,676.92 8.1 30,236.09 5.3 2,880.26 4.5 15,652.75 8.9 2008 15,892.43 12.8 9,882.11 2.1 31,334.70 3.6 3,005.93 4.4 16,774.71 7.2 2009 16,975.68 6.8 10,579.68 7.1 33,112.82 5.7 3,088.47 2.7 18,198.84 8.5 2010 18,314.38 7.9 11,534.74 9.0 35,294.84 6.6 3,183.56 3.1 19,421.11 6.7 2011 19,899.37 8.7 11,986.96 3.9 36,605.86 3.7 3,279.45 3.0 20,596.29 6.1 2012 21,211.67 6.6 12,500.19 4.3 35,495.68-3.0 3,421.19 4.3 21,967.56 6.7 2013 22,272.25 5.0 12,950.20 3.6 36,773.53 3.6 3,523.83 3.0 23,219.71 5.7 2014 23,497.23 5.5 13,325.75 2.9 38,575.43 4.9 3,647.16 3.5 24,682.55 6.3 2015 25,071.54 6.7 13,792.15 3.5 40,735.66 5.6 3,793.05 4.0 26,410.33 7.0 2016 27,002.05 7.7 14,316.25 3.8 43,220.53 6.1 3,959.94 4.4 28,417.51 7.6 2017 29,324.23 8.6 14,903.22 4.1 45,986.64 6.4 4,146.06 4.7 30,804.58 8.4 2018 31,728.81 8.2 15,484.45 3.9 48,837.82 6.2 4,332.63 4.5 33,299.76 8.1 2019 34,171.93 7.7 15,995.43 3.3 51,523.90 5.5 4,505.94 4.0 35,830.54 7.6 2020 36,700.66 7.4 16,491.29 3.1 54,203.14 5.2 4,668.15 3.6 38,482.00 7.4 Conclusión E-12
Sección: E-II. Remuneración Mensual Real Cuadro E-7. Grandes Sectores Económicos Cuadro E-8. Sector Industrial por Actividad Económica Cuadro E-9. Sector Servicios por Actividad Económica Cuadro E-10. Industria Manufacturera Cuadro E-11. Sector Industrial por Subsectores y Ramas Económicas Cuadro E-12. Sector Servicios por Subsectores Económicos
E-7. Remuneración Media Mensual por Grandes Sectores Económicos: Escenario Base 2014-2020 (En pesos reales de 2008 por persona) Remuneración Media Mensual Real Indice de las Remuneraciones Reales 1980=100 Años Total Sector Agropecuario Sector Industrial Sector Servicios Total Primario Secundario Terciario Real Var.% Real Var.% Real Var.% Real Var.% 1980=100 1980=100 1980=100 1980=100 1980 8,405.81-0.8 1,773.71-3.6 11,389.04-2.9 9,682.83-0.3 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 1981 8,830.20 5.0 1,897.99 7.0 11,716.30 2.9 10,162.93 5.0 105.0 107.0 102.9 105.0 1982 8,373.60-5.2 1,714.44-9.7 11,032.65-5.8 9,632.35-5.2 99.6 96.7 96.9 99.5 1983 6,447.22-23.0 1,429.01-16.6 8,681.71-21.3 7,499.44-22.1 76.7 80.6 76.2 77.5 1984 6,132.93-4.9 1,359.07-4.9 8,125.53-6.4 7,163.46-4.5 73.0 76.6 71.3 74.0 1985 6,121.04-0.2 1,363.25 0.3 8,167.10 0.5 7,123.80-0.6 72.8 76.9 71.7 73.6 1986 5,522.22-9.8 1,369.22 0.4 7,397.20-9.4 6,339.09-11.0 65.7 77.2 65.0 65.5 1987 5,420.26-1.8 1,273.44-7.0 7,339.90-0.8 6,225.33-1.8 64.5 71.8 64.4 64.3 1988 4,958.37-8.5 1,085.55-14.8 6,978.77-4.9 5,631.99-9.5 59.0 61.2 61.3 58.2 1989 5,233.58 5.6 1,061.18-2.2 7,199.29 3.2 5,950.70 5.7 62.3 59.8 63.2 61.5 1990 5,300.62 1.3 951.19-10.4 7,089.80-1.5 6,115.43 2.8 63.1 53.6 62.3 63.2 1991 5,620.63 6.0 954.00 0.3 7,286.82 2.8 6,565.04 7.4 66.9 53.8 64.0 67.8 1992 6,027.05 7.2 935.62-1.9 7,599.56 4.3 7,132.64 8.6 71.7 52.7 66.7 73.7 1993 6,400.93 6.2 923.72-1.3 7,691.34 1.2 7,807.35 9.5 76.1 52.1 67.5 80.6 1994 6,726.80 5.1 913.59-1.1 7,900.52 2.7 8,283.88 6.1 80.0 51.5 69.4 85.6 1995 5,821.61-13.5 790.65-13.5 6,910.06-12.5 7,152.37-13.7 69.3 44.6 60.7 73.9 1996 5,375.41-7.7 715.57-9.5 6,377.10-7.7 6,585.21-7.9 63.9 40.3 56.0 68.0 1997 5,551.60 3.3 720.37 0.7 6,419.85 0.7 6,751.36 2.5 66.0 40.6 56.4 69.7 1998 5,753.22 3.6 722.42 0.3 6,619.12 3.1 7,014.53 3.9 68.4 40.7 58.1 72.4 1999 5,871.18 2.1 709.74-1.8 6,690.36 1.1 7,169.98 2.2 69.8 40.0 58.7 74.0 2000 6,289.35 7.1 738.84 4.1 7,084.00 5.9 7,652.21 6.7 74.8 41.7 62.2 79.0 2001 6,541.83 4.0 765.60 3.6 7,418.76 4.7 7,964.71 4.1 77.8 43.2 65.1 82.3 2002 6,787.74 3.8 785.73 2.6 7,561.09 1.9 8,320.70 4.5 80.8 44.3 66.4 85.9 2003 6,941.56 2.3 791.99 0.8 7,617.70 0.7 8,601.04 3.4 82.6 44.7 66.9 88.8 2004 6,894.11-0.7 784.18-1.0 7,588.25-0.4 8,651.24 0.6 82.0 44.2 66.6 89.3 2005 7,082.54 2.7 796.46 1.6 7,620.78 0.4 8,853.30 2.3 84.3 44.9 66.9 91.4 2006 7,177.10 1.3 795.72-0.1 7,651.96 0.4 9,067.90 2.4 85.4 44.9 67.2 93.6 2007 7,290.37 1.6 790.00-0.7 7,695.08 0.6 9,201.70 1.5 86.7 44.5 67.6 95.0 2008 7,386.40 1.3 783.38-0.8 7,655.05-0.5 9,355.00 1.7 87.9 44.2 67.2 96.6 2009 7,401.75 0.2 785.34 0.2 7,608.27-0.6 9,396.97 0.4 88.1 44.3 66.8 97.0 2010 7,387.23-0.2 792.10 0.9 7,479.84-1.7 9,494.33 1.0 87.9 44.7 65.7 98.1 2011 7,553.23 2.2 815.02 2.9 7,545.14 0.9 9,621.97 1.3 89.9 46.0 66.2 99.4 2012 7,598.72 0.6 804.85-1.2 7,684.83 1.9 9,704.97 0.9 90.4 45.4 67.5 100.2 2013 7,655.11 0.7 806.43 0.2 7,760.05 1.0 9,794.82 0.9 91.1 45.5 68.1 101.2 2014 7,767.51 1.5 813.84 0.9 7,834.73 1.0 9,875.35 0.8 92.4 45.9 68.8 102.0 2015 7,939.89 2.2 830.36 2.0 7,949.32 1.5 10,038.87 1.7 94.5 46.8 69.8 103.7 2016 8,145.73 2.6 845.39 1.8 8,107.18 2.0 10,266.27 2.3 96.9 47.7 71.2 106.0 2017 8,383.90 2.9 870.69 3.0 8,294.16 2.3 10,512.36 2.4 99.7 49.1 72.8 108.6 2018 8,582.51 2.4 887.04 1.9 8,458.50 2.0 10,740.80 2.2 102.1 50.0 74.3 110.9 2019 8,768.63 2.2 904.47 2.0 8,601.77 1.7 10,941.56 1.9 104.3 51.0 75.5 113.0 2020 8,941.68 2.0 919.18 1.6 8,740.63 1.6 11,129.99 1.7 106.4 51.8 76.7 114.9 E-13
E-8. Remuneración Mensual en el Sector Industrial por Actividad Económica: Escenario Base 2014-2020 (En pesos reales de 2008 por persona) Remuneración Media Mensual Real Años Total Minería Manufacturas Construcción Electricidad Real Var.% Real Var.% Real Var.% Real Var.% Real Var.% 1980 11,389.04-2.9 21,294.62-2.7 9,944.10-2.5 12,760.26-4.5 21,305.17-4.6 1981 11,716.30 2.9 21,715.67 2.0 10,277.97 3.4 12,877.25 0.9 21,849.85 2.6 1982 11,032.65-5.8 19,485.27-10.3 10,018.11-2.5 11,399.17-11.5 22,358.71 2.3 1983 8,681.71-21.3 15,012.96-23.0 7,767.30-22.5 9,242.61-18.9 16,791.70-24.9 1984 8,125.53-6.4 14,007.01-6.7 7,290.96-6.1 8,659.93-6.3 14,342.14-14.6 1985 8,167.10 0.5 15,461.15 10.4 7,284.61-0.1 8,626.07-0.4 13,627.21-5.0 1986 7,397.20-9.4 13,293.50-14.0 6,691.65-8.1 7,708.59-10.6 11,917.15-12.5 1987 7,339.90-0.8 13,101.42-1.4 6,685.24-0.1 7,440.47-3.5 13,103.26 10.0 1988 6,978.77-4.9 12,315.67-6.0 6,668.66-0.2 6,531.32-12.2 10,972.92-16.3 1989 7,199.29 3.2 12,413.53 0.8 7,265.55 9.0 6,159.65-5.7 11,231.53 2.4 1990 7,089.80-1.5 11,840.03-4.6 7,230.29-0.5 6,072.81-1.4 11,485.84 2.3 1991 7,286.82 2.8 13,509.02 14.1 7,422.84 2.7 6,163.35 1.5 11,911.90 3.7 1992 7,599.56 4.3 14,610.48 8.2 7,818.67 5.3 6,366.66 3.3 12,873.84 8.1 1993 7,691.34 1.2 15,504.35 6.1 7,852.36 0.4 6,537.22 2.7 14,239.11 10.6 1994 7,900.52 2.7 15,083.56-2.7 8,154.01 3.8 6,727.86 2.9 15,547.81 9.2 1995 6,910.06-12.5 14,297.07-5.2 7,107.84-12.8 5,666.85-15.8 14,076.74-9.5 1996 6,377.10-7.7 13,745.98-3.9 6,528.73-8.1 5,353.08-5.5 13,049.98-7.3 1997 6,419.85 0.7 13,859.68 0.8 6,529.38 0.0 5,542.37 3.5 13,111.89 0.5 1998 6,619.12 3.1 13,614.11-1.8 6,739.40 3.2 5,804.13 4.7 13,021.26-0.7 1999 6,690.36 1.1 13,289.99-2.4 6,819.77 1.2 5,869.74 1.1 13,376.84 2.7 2000 7,084.00 5.9 15,601.51 17.4 7,274.37 6.7 6,066.80 3.4 14,515.61 8.5 2001 7,418.76 4.7 16,495.24 5.7 7,650.04 5.2 6,259.54 3.2 15,092.89 4.0 2002 7,561.09 1.9 17,181.69 4.2 7,866.51 2.8 6,277.01 0.3 15,866.68 5.1 2003 7,617.70 0.7 16,550.64-3.7 7,942.22 1.0 6,352.20 1.2 16,307.06 2.8 2004 7,588.25-0.4 17,172.65 3.8 8,010.15 0.9 6,303.58-0.8 16,745.93 2.7 2005 7,620.78 0.4 16,904.28-1.6 8,144.49 1.7 6,284.66-0.3 16,943.31 1.2 2006 7,651.96 0.4 17,456.74 3.3 8,275.44 1.6 6,316.71 0.5 17,364.81 2.5 2007 7,695.08 0.6 17,914.33 2.6 8,352.06 0.9 6,340.12 0.4 17,577.83 1.2 2008 7,655.05-0.5 19,176.86 7.0 8,382.77 0.4 6,280.37-0.9 17,970.82 2.2 2009 7,608.27-0.6 19,817.71 3.3 8,270.93-1.3 6,161.81-1.9 18,528.07 3.1 2010 7,479.84-1.7 18,695.40-5.7 8,112.89-1.9 6,126.17-0.6 18,172.63-1.9 2011 7,545.14 0.9 19,812.14 6.0 8,180.29 0.8 6,168.00 0.7 19,086.22 5.0 2012 7,684.83 1.9 20,609.48 4.0 8,375.71 2.4 6,224.83 0.9 19,502.71 2.2 2013 7,760.05 1.0 21,143.46 2.6 8,381.26 0.1 6,243.39 0.3 19,917.66 2.1 2014 7,834.73 1.0 21,445.59 1.4 8,413.03 0.4 6,285.94 0.7 20,330.34 2.1 2015 7,949.32 1.5 22,134.10 3.2 8,516.76 1.2 6,382.67 1.5 21,075.96 3.7 2016 8,107.18 2.0 23,078.95 4.3 8,661.47 1.7 6,509.60 2.0 22,142.05 5.1 2017 8,294.16 2.3 24,306.48 5.3 8,839.50 2.1 6,657.45 2.3 23,384.09 5.6 2018 8,458.50 2.0 25,575.50 5.2 8,988.93 1.7 6,792.61 2.0 24,651.86 5.4 2019 8,601.77 1.7 26,695.30 4.4 9,110.30 1.4 6,913.40 1.8 25,930.12 5.2 2020 8,740.63 1.6 27,861.91 4.4 9,212.38 1.1 7,024.02 1.6 27,233.23 5.0 E-14
E-9. Remuneración Mensual en el Sector Servicios por Actividad Económica: Escenario Base 2014-2020 (En pesos reales de 2008 por persona) Años! Remuneración Media Mensual Real Comercio, Transporte, Almacenaje Servicios Financieros, Servicios Comunales, Total Restaurantes y Hoteles y Comunicaciones Seguros e Inmuebles Sociales y Personales Real Var.% Real Var.% Real Var.% Real Var.% Real Var.% 1980 9,682.83-0.3 8,205.49-3.2 11,141.81-6.7 21,724.04-1.5 9,686.66 1.6 1981 10,162.93 5.0 8,309.21 1.3 11,709.82 5.1 22,582.77 4.0 10,293.10 6.3 1982 9,632.35-5.2 7,429.58-10.6 10,707.20-8.6 21,362.37-5.4 9,960.49-3.2 1983 7,499.44-22.1 6,101.88-17.9 8,981.02-16.1 16,310.85-23.6 7,513.48-24.6 1984 7,163.46-4.5 5,692.10-6.7 8,498.44-5.4 15,596.19-4.4 7,230.33-3.8 1985 7,123.80-0.6 5,620.68-1.3 8,556.88 0.7 15,820.55 1.4 7,173.64-0.8 1986 6,339.09-11.0 5,075.63-9.7 7,869.11-8.0 14,831.72-6.3 6,272.09-12.6 1987 6,225.33-1.8 4,788.76-5.7 7,725.05-1.8 15,394.75 3.8 6,202.72-1.1 1988 5,631.99-9.5 4,238.19-11.5 7,644.18-1.0 13,998.51-9.1 5,562.81-10.3 1989 5,950.70 5.7 4,587.74 8.2 7,770.07 1.6 14,614.19 4.4 5,896.23 6.0 1990 6,115.43 2.8 4,761.03 3.8 7,695.62-1.0 16,061.62 9.9 6,061.42 2.8 1991 6,565.04 7.4 5,061.24 6.3 8,180.52 6.3 17,803.95 10.8 6,535.05 7.8 1992 7,132.64 8.6 5,344.87 5.6 8,760.03 7.1 20,808.75 16.9 7,153.01 9.5 1993 7,807.35 9.5 5,631.20 5.4 9,159.07 4.6 23,112.93 11.1 7,984.03 11.6 1994 8,283.88 6.1 5,784.89 2.7 9,234.38 0.8 23,684.91 2.5 8,681.90 8.7 1995 7,152.37-13.7 4,929.01-14.8 8,360.34-9.5 19,688.65-16.9 7,522.81-13.4 1996 6,585.21-7.9 4,412.71-10.5 7,695.06-8.0 17,014.47-13.6 7,013.01-6.8 1997 6,751.36 2.5 4,406.91-0.1 7,704.18 0.1 17,553.46 3.2 7,267.59 3.6 1998 7,014.53 3.9 4,500.30 2.1 7,847.88 1.9 17,100.89-2.6 7,678.32 5.7 1999 7,169.98 2.2 4,515.56 0.3 8,045.55 2.5 16,143.92-5.6 7,967.99 3.8 2000 7,652.21 6.7 4,785.41 6.0 8,513.69 5.8 15,671.21-2.9 8,614.70 8.1 2001 7,964.71 4.1 4,812.78 0.6 8,642.87 1.5 15,447.32-1.4 9,165.73 6.4 2002 8,320.70 4.5 4,850.90 0.8 8,779.44 1.6 16,931.41 9.6 9,655.25 5.3 2003 8,601.04 3.4 4,849.51 0.0 8,895.65 1.3 15,713.19-7.2 10,193.92 5.6 2004 8,651.24 0.6 4,896.81 1.0 9,092.77 2.2 15,575.02-0.9 10,239.45 0.4 2005 8,853.30 2.3 5,046.93 3.1 9,299.02 2.3 16,259.17 4.4 10,460.63 2.2 2006 9,067.90 2.4 5,078.72 0.6 9,398.78 1.1 16,540.91 1.7 10,805.91 3.3 2007 9,201.70 1.5 5,048.85-0.6 9,549.87 1.6 17,162.19 3.8 10,988.75 1.7 2008 9,355.00 1.7 5,033.05-0.3 9,560.54 0.1 18,680.59 8.8 11,211.90 2.0 2009 9,396.97 0.4 4,897.41-2.7 9,469.15-1.0 18,659.89-0.1 11,340.78 1.1 2010 9,494.33 1.0 4,863.83-0.7 9,590.75 1.3 18,953.20 1.6 11,504.47 1.4 2011 9,621.97 1.3 4,808.65-1.1 9,810.06 2.3 18,912.74-0.2 11,728.93 2.0 2012 9,704.97 0.9 4,755.76-1.1 9,952.09 1.4 18,891.56-0.1 11,893.08 1.4 2013 9,794.82 0.9 4,865.87 2.3 10,085.68 1.3 18,360.92-2.8 11,985.79 0.8 2014 9,875.35 0.8 4,849.40-0.3 10,210.29 1.2 17,962.15-2.2 12,144.49 1.3 2015 10,038.87 1.7 4,798.64-1.0 10,421.29 2.1 17,825.64-0.8 12,426.98 2.3 2016 10,266.27 2.3 4,773.59-0.5 10,706.18 2.7 17,839.53 0.1 12,795.65 3.0 2017 10,512.36 2.4 4,751.64-0.5 10,989.14 2.6 18,016.94 1.0 13,194.26 3.1 2018 10,740.80 2.2 4,717.12-0.7 11,253.67 2.4 18,063.18 0.3 13,567.96 2.8 2019 10,941.56 1.9 4,671.57-1.0 11,452.33 1.8 18,029.96-0.2 13,916.18 2.6 2020 11,129.99 1.7 4,623.35-1.0 11,627.40 1.5 17,920.68-0.6 14,257.49 2.5 E-15
E-10. Remuneración Mensual en la Industria Manufacturera por Actividad Económica: Escenario Base 2014-2020 (En pesos reales de 2008 por persona) Industria Alimentos, Textiles, Madera Imprenta Años Manufacturera Bebidas y Tabaco Vestidos y Cuero y sus Productos y Editoriales Real Var.% Real Var.% Real Var.% Real Var.% Real Var.% 1980 9,944.10-2.5 7,041.84-3.4 7,688.73-2.9 6,301.10-0.3 12,963.70-0.9 1981 10,277.97 3.4 7,140.91 1.4 7,736.32 0.6 6,682.77 6.1 12,676.74-2.2 1982 10,018.11-2.5 6,752.09-5.4 7,418.12-4.1 6,288.34-5.9 11,971.05-5.6 1983 7,767.30-22.5 5,180.96-23.3 5,901.98-20.4 5,080.61-19.2 9,326.52-22.1 1984 7,290.96-6.1 4,885.14-5.7 5,479.27-7.2 4,742.75-6.7 8,620.85-7.6 1985 7,284.61-0.1 4,835.42-1.0 5,455.64-0.4 4,648.58-2.0 8,448.21-2.0 1986 6,691.65-8.1 4,425.43-8.5 4,925.19-9.7 4,412.70-5.1 7,713.22-8.7 1987 6,685.24-0.1 4,289.47-3.1 4,747.36-3.6 4,220.32-4.4 7,760.53 0.6 1988 6,668.66-0.2 4,063.17-5.3 4,677.68-1.5 3,835.40-9.1 7,784.25 0.3 1989 7,265.55 9.0 4,567.53 12.4 5,187.17 10.9 4,106.63 7.1 7,927.81 1.8 1990 7,230.29-0.5 4,661.94 2.1 5,152.96-0.7 4,231.88 3.0 7,737.95-2.4 1991 7,422.84 2.7 4,998.81 7.2 5,226.41 1.4 4,341.97 2.6 7,841.47 1.3 1992 7,818.67 5.3 5,355.18 7.1 5,547.32 6.1 4,458.55 2.7 8,478.52 8.1 1993 7,852.36 0.4 5,702.82 6.5 5,476.12-1.3 4,480.52 0.5 8,529.61 0.6 1994 8,154.01 3.8 5,990.31 5.0 5,587.80 2.0 4,664.32 4.1 8,975.85 5.2 1995 7,107.84-12.8 5,112.50-14.7 4,496.77-19.5 3,970.69-14.9 7,550.24-15.9 1996 6,528.73-8.1 4,716.84-7.7 4,002.12-11.0 3,623.38-8.7 7,011.13-7.1 1997 6,529.38 0.0 4,715.34 0.0 3,977.10-0.6 3,618.33-0.1 6,665.98-4.9 1998 6,739.40 3.2 4,887.34 3.6 4,112.77 3.4 3,705.29 2.4 6,834.99 2.5 1999 6,819.77 1.2 4,943.87 1.2 4,122.40 0.2 3,874.73 4.6 7,013.88 2.6 2000 7,274.37 6.7 5,253.20 6.3 4,478.11 8.6 4,102.58 5.9 7,372.22 5.1 2001 7,650.04 5.2 5,570.48 6.0 4,668.35 4.2 4,378.02 6.7 7,665.17 4.0 2002 7,866.51 2.8 5,778.14 3.7 4,900.74 5.0 4,562.08 4.2 7,912.41 3.2 2003 7,942.22 1.0 5,821.01 0.7 4,958.89 1.2 4,669.01 2.3 7,973.45 0.8 2004 8,010.15 0.9 5,890.89 1.2 5,013.78 1.1 4,605.18-1.4 7,973.92 0.0 2005 8,144.49 1.7 5,916.07 0.4 5,137.00 2.5 4,686.41 1.8 8,081.15 1.3 2006 8,275.44 1.6 6,032.22 2.0 5,154.43 0.3 4,775.45 1.9 7,865.50-2.7 2007 8,352.06 0.9 6,013.06-0.3 5,075.13-1.5 4,849.99 1.6 7,734.70-1.7 2008 8,382.77 0.4 5,832.95-3.0 5,072.91 0.0 4,876.12 0.5 7,771.77 0.5 2009 8,270.93-1.3 5,656.54-3.0 4,968.98-2.0 4,744.50-2.7 7,725.57-0.6 2010 8,112.89-1.9 5,651.59-0.1 4,902.06-1.3 4,753.93 0.2 7,683.76-0.5 2011 8,180.29 0.8 5,639.40-0.2 4,966.34 1.3 4,817.79 1.3 7,698.38 0.2 2012 8,375.71 2.4 5,715.77 1.4 4,944.80-0.4 4,803.94-0.3 7,905.62 2.7 2013 8,381.26 0.1 5,747.63 0.6 4,937.46-0.1 4,788.83-0.3 8,026.95 1.5 2014 8,413.03 0.4 5,775.26 0.5 4,925.25-0.2 4,748.90-0.8 8,068.38 0.5 2015 8,516.76 1.2 5,844.94 1.2 4,951.99 0.5 4,746.28-0.1 8,171.21 1.3 2016 8,661.47 1.7 5,947.90 1.8 4,982.85 0.6 4,763.59 0.4 8,325.16 1.9 2017 8,839.50 2.1 6,073.84 2.1 5,016.31 0.7 4,791.30 0.6 8,491.63 2.0 2018 8,988.93 1.7 6,182.27 1.8 5,033.38 0.3 4,803.08 0.2 8,629.90 1.6 2019 9,110.30 1.4 6,269.11 1.4 5,034.68 0.0 4,800.21-0.1 8,746.75 1.4 2020 9,212.38 1.1 6,348.47 1.3 5,032.78 0.0 4,789.01-0.2 8,852.10 1.2 E-16 Continúa
Continuación Químicos, Minerales Industrias Maquinaria Otras Años Petróleo y Caucho No Metálicos Metálicas Básicas y Equipo Industrias Real Var.% Real Var.% Real Var.% Real Var.% Real Var.% 1980 16,919.11-0.5 7,744.08-1.2 11,980.60-3.0 12,665.73-4.5 9,781.33-4.9 1981 17,207.44 1.7 7,914.52 2.2 12,607.22 5.2 13,205.81 4.3 9,937.03 1.6 1982 16,555.86-3.8 7,857.92-0.7 12,828.07 1.8 13,178.09-0.2 9,401.07-5.4 1983 12,791.92-22.7 6,118.84-22.1 9,796.98-23.6 10,242.58-22.3 7,527.12-19.9 1984 12,092.07-5.5 5,725.64-6.4 9,144.46-6.7 9,568.53-6.6 7,025.60-6.7 1985 12,528.58 3.6 5,695.18-0.5 8,987.90-1.7 9,717.18 1.6 6,766.87-3.7 1986 11,797.39-5.8 5,415.29-4.9 8,041.78-10.5 9,048.86-6.9 6,384.11-5.7 1987 11,911.12 1.0 5,252.78-3.0 8,716.25 8.4 8,972.95-0.8 6,057.13-5.1 1988 12,133.04 1.9 5,294.82 0.8 8,843.26 1.5 9,025.89 0.6 5,525.31-8.8 1989 12,810.62 5.6 5,705.01 7.7 10,100.88 14.2 9,747.94 8.0 5,865.41 6.2 1990 12,718.05-0.7 5,619.80-1.5 9,979.27-1.2 9,666.48-0.8 5,655.59-3.6 1991 13,207.14 3.8 5,896.06 4.9 9,687.30-2.9 9,984.34 3.3 5,850.23 3.4 1992 14,027.43 6.2 6,098.85 3.4 10,554.97 9.0 10,352.51 3.7 6,295.90 7.6 1993 14,230.71 1.4 6,151.53 0.9 10,065.54-4.6 10,412.77 0.6 6,554.60 4.1 1994 14,656.84 3.0 6,401.04 4.1 10,501.74 4.3 10,831.13 4.0 6,737.73 2.8 1995 13,222.10-9.8 5,879.71-8.1 9,358.18-10.9 9,587.17-11.5 5,781.14-14.2 1996 12,632.31-4.5 5,047.79-14.1 8,437.10-9.8 8,748.58-8.7 5,374.06-7.0 1997 12,693.34 0.5 4,895.22-3.0 8,270.66-2.0 8,803.36 0.6 5,475.56 1.9 1998 13,248.13 4.4 4,968.87 1.5 8,439.70 2.0 9,003.21 2.3 5,656.64 3.3 1999 13,494.08 1.9 5,085.58 2.3 8,209.17-2.7 9,188.69 2.1 5,663.79 0.1 2000 14,325.10 6.2 5,298.39 4.2 8,472.02 3.2 9,843.68 7.1 6,206.78 9.6 2001 14,816.63 3.4 5,807.79 9.6 8,670.61 2.3 10,538.83 7.1 6,340.99 2.2 2002 15,161.96 2.3 5,999.36 3.3 8,841.66 2.0 10,695.59 1.5 6,496.19 2.4 2003 15,779.80 4.1 6,132.89 2.2 8,961.25 1.4 10,584.89-1.0 6,571.92 1.2 2004 16,348.48 3.6 6,193.42 1.0 8,774.22-2.1 10,584.41 0.0 6,901.15 5.0 2005 17,100.78 4.6 6,019.33-2.8 8,794.04 0.2 10,765.47 1.7 6,958.46 0.8 2006 17,303.82 1.2 5,964.49-0.9 8,941.09 1.7 11,077.65 2.9 7,252.32 4.2 2007 17,745.25 2.6 5,969.21 0.1 9,216.21 3.1 11,142.89 0.6 7,369.84 1.6 2008 17,834.40 0.5 6,087.34 2.0 9,219.46 0.0 11,351.97 1.9 7,503.71 1.8 2009 18,619.81 4.4 6,066.88-0.3 9,487.06 2.9 11,449.19 0.9 7,307.07-2.6 2010 17,846.43-4.2 5,854.81-3.5 9,477.53-0.1 10,996.20-4.0 7,322.42 0.2 2011 18,208.20 2.0 5,602.02-4.3 9,525.14 0.5 11,011.26 0.1 7,300.93-0.3 2012 18,791.39 3.2 5,540.64-1.1 10,204.84 7.1 11,324.86 2.8 7,137.73-2.2 2013 18,597.83-1.0 5,465.57-1.4 10,374.92 1.7 11,302.66-0.2 6,944.76-2.7 2014 18,423.43-0.9 5,359.69-1.9 10,562.08 1.8 11,246.68-0.5 6,763.49-2.6 2015 18,589.09 0.9 5,330.85-0.5 10,814.90 2.4 11,311.88 0.6 6,642.27-1.8 2016 18,863.40 1.5 5,332.60 0.0 11,104.25 2.7 11,435.65 1.1 6,548.34-1.4 2017 19,179.01 1.7 5,355.66 0.4 11,418.79 2.8 11,600.04 1.4 6,457.08-1.4 2018 19,433.66 1.3 5,361.10 0.1 11,697.85 2.4 11,736.76 1.2 6,345.78-1.7 2019 19,615.62 0.9 5,352.51-0.2 11,955.84 2.2 11,844.01 0.9 6,231.75-1.8 2020 19,744.24 0.7 5,336.28-0.3 12,201.57 2.1 11,928.56 0.7 6,104.70-2.0 E-17 Conclusión
E-11. Remuneración Mensual en el Sector Industrial por Subsectores y Ramas Económicas: Escenario Base 2014-2020 (En pesos reales de 2008 por persona) Minería Electricidad Construcción Años Total Minería de minerales Generación, Agua y sumistro Construcción Trabajos Sector Extracción metálicos y no transmisión de gas por ductos de obras de especializados Industrial de petróleo metálicos, excepto y suministro de al consumidor ingeniería para la Total subsector y gas petróleo y gas Total subsector energía eléctrica final Total subsector Edificación civil construcción Real Var.% Real Var.% Real Var.% Real Var.% Real Var.% Real Var.% Real Var.% Real Var.% Real Var.% Real Var.% Real Var.% 1980 11,389.04-2.9 21,294.62-2.7 21,305.17-4.6 12,760.26-4.5 1981 11,716.30 2.9 21,715.67 2.0 21,849.85 2.6 12,877.25 0.9 1982 11,032.65-5.8 19,485.27-10.3 22,358.71 2.3 11,399.17-11.5 1983 8,681.71-21.3 15,012.96-23.0 16,791.70-24.9 9,242.61-18.9 1984 8,125.53-6.4 14,007.01-6.7 14,342.14-14.6 8,659.93-6.3 1985 8,167.10 0.5 15,461.15 10.4 13,627.21-5.0 8,626.07-0.4 1986 7,397.20-9.4 13,293.50-14.0 11,917.15-12.5 7,708.59-10.6 1987 7,339.90-0.8 13,101.42-1.4 13,103.26 10.0 7,440.47-3.5 1988 6,978.77-4.9 12,315.67-6.0 10,972.92-16.3 6,531.32-12.2 1989 7,199.29 3.2 12,413.53 0.8 11,231.53 2.4 6,159.65-5.7 1990 7,089.80-1.5 11,840.03-4.6 11,485.84 2.3 6,072.81-1.4 1991 7,286.82 2.8 13,509.02 14.1 11,911.90 3.7 6,163.35 1.5 1992 7,599.56 4.3 14,610.48 8.2 12,873.84 8.1 6,366.66 3.3 1993 7,691.34 1.2 15,504.35 6.1 14,239.11 10.6 6,537.22 2.7 1994 7,900.52 2.7 15,083.56-2.7 15,547.81 9.2 6,727.86 2.9 1995 6,910.06-12.5 14,297.07-5.2 14,076.74-9.5 5,666.85-15.8 1996 6,377.10-7.7 13,745.98-3.9 13,049.98-7.3 5,353.08-5.5 1997 6,419.85 0.7 13,859.68 0.8 13,111.89 0.5 5,542.37 3.5 1998 6,619.12 3.1 13,614.11-1.8 13,021.26-0.7 5,804.13 4.7 1999 6,690.36 1.1 13,289.99-2.4 13,376.84 2.7 5,869.74 1.1 2000 7,084.00 5.9 15,601.51 17.4 14,515.61 8.5 6,066.80 3.4 2001 7,418.76 4.7 16,495.24 5.7 15,092.89 4.0 6,259.54 3.2 2002 7,561.09 1.9 17,181.69 4.2 15,866.68 5.1 6,277.01 0.3 2003 7,617.70 0.7 16,550.64-3.7 32,753.09 12,241.87 16,307.06 2.8 21,714.15 9,921.00 6,352.20 1.2 6,431.64 6,581.99 5,435.80 2004 7,588.25-0.4 17,172.65 3.8 32,998.85 0.8 12,979.30 6.0 16,745.93 2.7 22,559.52 3.9 9,895.22-0.3 6,303.58-0.8 6,375.64-0.9 6,593.02 0.2 5,387.62-0.9 2005 7,620.78 0.4 16,904.28-1.6 30,557.24-7.4 13,165.85 1.4 16,943.31 1.2 23,054.79 2.2 9,773.58-1.2 6,284.66-0.3 6,346.40-0.5 6,622.21 0.4 5,366.38-0.4 2006 7,651.96 0.4 17,456.74 3.3 33,135.41 8.4 13,250.01 0.6 17,364.81 2.5 24,106.77 4.6 9,583.80-1.9 6,316.71 0.5 6,371.71 0.4 6,671.08 0.7 5,383.54 0.3 2007 7,695.08 0.6 17,914.33 2.6 35,533.60 7.2 13,559.26 2.3 17,577.83 1.2 24,651.45 2.3 9,472.19-1.2 6,340.12 0.4 6,371.61 0.0 6,826.76 2.3 5,357.66-0.5 2008 7,655.05-0.5 19,176.86 7.0 36,430.44 2.5 14,972.31 10.4 17,970.82 2.2 24,884.33 0.9 9,657.76 2.0 6,280.37-0.9 6,330.32-0.6 6,524.60-4.4 5,312.46-0.8 2009 7,608.27-0.6 19,817.71 3.3 38,395.12 5.4 15,148.63 1.2 18,528.07 3.1 26,952.28 8.3 9,560.76-1.0 6,161.81-1.9 6,234.12-1.5 6,330.44-3.0 5,292.21-0.4 2010 7,479.84-1.7 18,695.40-5.7 32,730.28-14.8 15,254.63 0.7 18,172.63-1.9 28,778.09 6.8 9,374.10-2.0 6,126.17-0.6 6,274.77 0.7 6,008.51-5.1 5,305.96 0.3 2011 7,545.14 0.9 19,812.14 6.0 38,381.91 17.3 15,324.38 0.5 19,086.22 5.0 30,323.24 5.4 9,251.14-1.3 6,168.00 0.7 6,320.23 0.7 6,021.07 0.2 5,372.28 1.2 2012 7,684.83 1.9 20,609.48 4.0 41,030.36 6.9 15,673.82 2.3 19,502.71 2.2 31,619.76 4.3 9,008.92-2.6 6,224.83 0.9 6,364.86 0.7 6,146.22 2.1 5,393.74 0.4 2013 7,760.05 1.0 21,143.46 2.6 42,371.64 3.3 16,005.00 2.1 19,917.66 2.1 32,958.02 4.2 8,713.28-3.3 6,243.39 0.3 6,401.24 0.6 6,133.99-0.2 5,403.79 0.2 2014 7,834.73 1.0 21,445.59 1.4 43,302.52 2.2 16,264.30 1.6 20,330.34 2.1 34,189.05 3.7 8,435.59-3.2 6,285.94 0.7 6,461.87 0.9 6,139.01 0.1 5,418.61 0.3 2015 7,949.32 1.5 22,134.10 3.2 44,573.37 2.9 16,647.49 2.4 21,075.96 3.7 35,885.08 5.0 8,243.71-2.3 6,382.67 1.5 6,570.48 1.7 6,194.81 0.9 5,514.90 1.8 2016 8,107.18 2.0 23,078.95 4.3 46,049.88 3.3 17,086.53 2.6 22,142.05 5.1 37,939.18 5.7 8,087.37-1.9 6,509.60 2.0 6,705.73 2.1 6,292.45 1.6 5,644.39 2.3 2017 8,294.16 2.3 24,306.48 5.3 47,665.24 3.5 17,538.11 2.6 23,384.09 5.6 40,254.52 6.1 7,928.03-2.0 6,657.45 2.3 6,863.62 2.4 6,404.33 1.8 5,788.14 2.5 2018 8,458.50 2.0 25,575.50 5.2 49,224.78 3.3 17,960.29 2.4 24,651.86 5.4 42,577.04 5.8 7,753.30-2.2 6,792.61 2.0 7,009.06 2.1 6,503.13 1.5 5,921.91 2.3 2019 8,601.77 1.7 26,695.30 4.4 50,709.82 3.0 18,329.21 2.1 25,930.12 5.2 44,927.33 5.5 7,569.18-2.4 6,913.40 1.8 7,139.54 1.9 6,592.88 1.4 6,032.15 1.9 2020 8,740.63 1.6 27,861.91 4.4 52,169.54 2.9 18,680.11 1.9 27,233.23 5.0 47,346.87 5.4 7,385.67-2.4 7,024.02 1.6 7,262.45 1.7 6,668.24 1.1 6,130.18 1.6 Continúa E-18
Continuación Manufacturas Industrias alimentaria, de las bebidas y del tabaco Textiles, prendas de vestir y productos de cuero Total Confección de Fabricación de cuero, Años Subsector Industria Fabricación productos textiles, Fabricación piel y materiales Manufacturero Industria de las bebidas de insumos excepto prendas de prendas sucedáneos, excepto Total rama alimentaria y del tabaco Total rama textiles de vestir de vestir prendas de vestir Real Var.% Real Var.% Real Var.% Real Var.% Real Var.% Real Var.% Real Var.% Real Var.% Real Var.% 1980 9,944.10-2.5 7,041.84-3.4 7,688.73-2.9 1981 10,277.97 3.4 7,140.91 1.4 7,736.32 0.6 1982 10,018.11-2.5 6,752.09-5.4 7,418.12-4.1 1983 7,767.30-22.5 5,180.96-23.3 5,901.98-20.4 1984 7,290.96-6.1 4,885.14-5.7 5,479.27-7.2 1985 7,284.61-0.1 4,835.42-1.0 5,455.64-0.4 1986 6,691.65-8.1 4,425.43-8.5 4,925.19-9.7 1987 6,685.24-0.1 4,289.47-3.1 4,747.36-3.6 1988 6,668.66-0.2 4,063.17-5.3 4,677.68-1.5 1989 7,265.55 9.0 4,567.53 12.4 5,187.17 10.9 1990 7,230.29-0.5 4,661.94 2.1 5,152.96-0.7 1991 7,422.84 2.7 4,998.81 7.2 5,226.41 1.4 1992 7,818.67 5.3 5,355.18 7.1 5,547.32 6.1 1993 7,852.36 0.4 5,702.82 6.5 5,476.12-1.3 1994 8,154.01 3.8 5,990.31 5.0 5,587.80 2.0 1995 7,107.84-12.8 5,112.50-14.7 4,496.77-19.5 1996 6,528.73-8.1 4,716.84-7.7 4,002.12-11.0 1997 6,529.38 0.0 4,715.34 0.0 3,977.10-0.6 1998 6,739.40 3.2 4,887.34 3.6 4,112.77 3.4 1999 6,819.77 1.2 4,943.87 1.2 4,122.40 0.2 2000 7,274.37 6.7 5,253.20 6.3 4,478.11 8.6 2001 7,650.04 5.2 5,570.48 6.0 4,668.35 4.2 2002 7,866.51 2.8 5,778.14 3.7 4,900.74 5.0 2003 7,942.22 1.0 5,821.01 0.7 5,357.26 8,367.56 4,958.89 1.2 3,278.59 11,984.93 4,321.68 4,691.18 2004 8,010.15 0.9 5,890.89 1.2 5,370.94 0.3 8,892.64 6.3 5,013.78 1.1 3,452.11 5.3 11,820.55-1.4 4,342.44 0.5 4,780.36 1.9 2005 8,144.49 1.7 5,916.07 0.4 5,359.87-0.2 9,447.37 6.2 5,137.00 2.5 3,508.12 1.6 12,726.53 7.7 4,391.41 1.1 4,816.14 0.7 2006 8,275.44 1.6 6,032.22 2.0 5,456.97 1.8 9,562.52 1.2 5,154.43 0.3 3,780.80 7.8 11,592.44-8.9 4,459.79 1.6 4,873.71 1.2 2007 8,352.06 0.9 6,013.06-0.3 5,439.02-0.3 9,722.30 1.7 5,075.13-1.5 3,698.86-2.2 11,157.13-3.8 4,430.43-0.7 4,822.66-1.0 2008 8,382.77 0.4 5,832.95-3.0 5,318.06-2.2 9,129.86-6.1 5,072.91 0.0 3,540.31-4.3 11,428.00 2.4 4,549.63 2.7 4,648.53-3.6 2009 8,270.93-1.3 5,656.54-3.0 5,196.30-2.3 8,644.33-5.3 4,968.98-2.0 3,294.53-6.9 11,575.18 1.3 4,513.48-0.8 4,498.20-3.2 2010 8,112.89-1.9 5,651.59-0.1 5,253.84 1.1 8,283.65-4.2 4,902.06-1.3 3,008.47-8.7 12,212.24 5.5 4,459.85-1.2 4,417.33-1.8 2011 8,180.29 0.8 5,639.40-0.2 5,251.55 0.0 8,324.50 0.5 4,966.34 1.3 3,100.07 3.0 12,009.76-1.7 4,522.60 1.4 4,500.65 1.9 2012 8,375.71 2.4 5,715.77 1.4 5,292.56 0.8 8,832.99 6.1 4,944.80-0.4 3,195.85 3.1 11,431.34-4.8 4,532.21 0.2 4,488.99-0.3 2013 8,381.26 0.1 5,747.63 0.6 5,322.82 0.6 9,104.73 3.1 4,937.46-0.1 3,281.85 2.7 10,902.04-4.6 4,558.12 0.6 4,497.35 0.2 2014 8,413.03 0.4 5,775.26 0.5 5,332.29 0.2 9,278.49 1.9 4,925.25-0.2 3,331.87 1.5 10,607.01-2.7 4,557.47 0.0 4,466.44-0.7 2015 8,516.76 1.2 5,844.94 1.2 5,391.05 1.1 9,452.34 1.9 4,951.99 0.5 3,387.87 1.7 10,437.36-1.6 4,572.52 0.3 4,476.88 0.2 2016 8,661.47 1.7 5,947.90 1.8 5,491.62 1.9 9,601.32 1.6 4,982.85 0.6 3,454.34 2.0 10,340.10-0.9 4,596.07 0.5 4,499.94 0.5 2017 8,839.50 2.1 6,073.84 2.1 5,615.65 2.3 9,753.57 1.6 5,016.31 0.7 3,522.39 2.0 10,275.50-0.6 4,615.94 0.4 4,528.05 0.6 2018 8,988.93 1.7 6,182.27 1.8 5,723.86 1.9 9,875.92 1.3 5,033.38 0.3 3,580.11 1.6 10,177.36-1.0 4,625.07 0.2 4,545.70 0.4 2019 9,110.30 1.4 6,269.11 1.4 5,808.36 1.5 9,983.70 1.1 5,034.68 0.0 3,632.97 1.5 10,053.26-1.2 4,622.11-0.1 4,542.79-0.1 2020 9,212.38 1.1 6,348.47 1.3 5,885.96 1.3 10,088.19 1.0 5,032.78 0.0 3,681.50 1.3 9,925.85-1.3 4,617.00-0.1 4,537.77-0.1 Continúa E-19
Continuación Manufacturas Madera y sus productos Impresión e industrias conexas Químicos, petróleo y caucho Fabricación Fabricación de Años de muebles Impresión productos derivados Industria Industria y productos Industria e industrias del petróleo Industria del plástico Total rama de la madera relacionados Total rama del papel conexas Total rama y del carbón química y del hule Real Var.% Real Var.% Real Var.% Real Var.% Real Var.% Real Var.% Real Var.% Real Var.% Real Var.% Real Var.% 1980 6,301.10-0.3 12,963.70-0.9 16,919.11-0.5 1981 6,682.77 6.1 12,676.74-2.2 17,207.44 1.7 1982 6,288.34-5.9 11,971.05-5.6 16,555.86-3.8 1983 5,080.61-19.2 9,326.52-22.1 12,791.92-22.7 1984 4,742.75-6.7 8,620.85-7.6 12,092.07-5.5 1985 4,648.58-2.0 8,448.21-2.0 12,528.58 3.6 1986 4,412.70-5.1 7,713.22-8.7 11,797.39-5.8 1987 4,220.32-4.4 7,760.53 0.6 11,911.12 1.0 1988 3,835.40-9.1 7,784.25 0.3 12,133.04 1.9 1989 4,106.63 7.1 7,927.81 1.8 12,810.62 5.6 1990 4,231.88 3.0 7,737.95-2.4 12,718.05-0.7 1991 4,341.97 2.6 7,841.47 1.3 13,207.14 3.8 1992 4,458.55 2.7 8,478.52 8.1 14,027.43 6.2 1993 4,480.52 0.5 8,529.61 0.6 14,230.71 1.4 1994 4,664.32 4.1 8,975.85 5.2 14,656.84 3.0 1995 3,970.69-14.9 7,550.24-15.9 13,222.10-9.8 1996 3,623.38-8.7 7,011.13-7.1 12,632.31-4.5 1997 3,618.33-0.1 6,665.98-4.9 12,693.34 0.5 1998 3,705.29 2.4 6,834.99 2.5 13,248.13 4.4 1999 3,874.73 4.6 7,013.88 2.6 13,494.08 1.9 2000 4,102.58 5.9 7,372.22 5.1 14,325.10 6.2 2001 4,378.02 6.7 7,665.17 4.0 14,816.63 3.4 2002 4,562.08 4.2 7,912.41 3.2 15,161.96 2.3 2003 4,669.01 2.3 4,403.91 4,900.63 7,973.45 0.8 9,314.14 6,636.68 15,779.80 4.1 35,501.72 18,591.50 8,769.57 2004 4,605.18-1.4 4,319.52-1.9 4,842.50-1.2 7,973.92 0.0 9,259.70-0.6 6,656.04 0.3 16,348.48 3.6 35,009.72-1.4 19,986.16 7.5 8,800.28 0.4 2005 4,686.41 1.8 4,403.65 1.9 4,914.32 1.5 8,081.15 1.3 9,582.69 3.5 6,546.29-1.6 17,100.78 4.6 37,327.44 6.6 21,023.93 5.2 8,890.78 1.0 2006 4,775.45 1.9 4,506.84 2.3 4,991.64 1.6 7,865.50-2.7 9,340.82-2.5 6,319.31-3.5 17,303.82 1.2 39,828.95 6.7 20,781.11-1.2 9,057.15 1.9 2007 4,849.99 1.6 4,625.10 2.6 5,043.78 1.0 7,734.70-1.7 9,173.45-1.8 6,311.74-0.1 17,745.25 2.6 45,890.85 15.2 20,895.76 0.6 9,020.17-0.4 2008 4,876.12 0.5 4,726.40 2.2 5,000.51-0.9 7,771.77 0.5 9,215.39 0.5 6,299.62-0.2 17,834.40 0.5 45,112.80-1.7 21,168.28 1.3 8,829.43-2.1 2009 4,744.50-2.7 4,626.82-2.1 4,851.34-3.0 7,725.57-0.6 9,043.38-1.9 6,392.71 1.5 18,619.81 4.4 46,415.81 2.9 21,503.35 1.6 8,690.23-1.6 2010 4,753.93 0.2 4,606.73-0.4 4,889.06 0.8 7,683.76-0.5 8,979.44-0.7 6,342.01-0.8 17,846.43-4.2 45,236.62-2.5 20,596.27-4.2 8,461.13-2.6 2011 4,817.79 1.3 4,589.73-0.4 5,029.20 2.9 7,698.38 0.2 9,072.90 1.0 6,329.60-0.2 18,208.20 2.0 44,885.20-0.8 21,065.48 2.3 8,760.74 3.5 2012 4,803.94-0.3 4,609.53 0.4 4,976.24-1.1 7,905.62 2.7 9,096.72 0.3 6,588.77 4.1 18,791.39 3.2 51,291.38 14.3 21,006.74-0.3 9,054.77 3.4 2013 4,788.83-0.3 4,600.36-0.2 4,951.96-0.5 8,026.95 1.5 9,148.73 0.6 6,702.60 1.7 18,597.83-1.0 49,608.18-3.3 21,005.41 0.0 9,211.21 1.7 2014 4,748.90-0.8 4,568.74-0.7 4,903.64-1.0 8,068.38 0.5 9,156.22 0.1 6,772.52 1.0 18,423.43-0.9 48,313.37-2.6 20,881.24-0.6 9,307.30 1.0 2015 4,746.28-0.1 4,579.41 0.2 4,891.44-0.2 8,171.21 1.3 9,257.11 1.1 6,886.35 1.7 18,589.09 0.9 47,447.46-1.8 20,970.32 0.4 9,472.71 1.8 2016 4,763.59 0.4 4,616.25 0.8 4,893.05 0.0 8,325.16 1.9 9,438.74 2.0 7,014.82 1.9 18,863.40 1.5 47,005.32-0.9 21,199.70 1.1 9,667.70 2.1 2017 4,791.30 0.6 4,662.83 1.0 4,904.80 0.2 8,491.63 2.0 9,624.69 2.0 7,159.76 2.1 19,179.01 1.7 46,621.29-0.8 21,535.87 1.6 9,895.34 2.4 2018 4,803.08 0.2 4,698.93 0.8 4,895.65-0.2 8,629.90 1.6 9,782.41 1.6 7,277.09 1.6 19,433.66 1.3 46,131.23-1.1 21,806.02 1.3 10,095.52 2.0 2019 4,800.21-0.1 4,718.54 0.4 4,873.66-0.4 8,746.75 1.4 9,908.01 1.3 7,384.53 1.5 19,615.62 0.9 45,435.48-1.5 22,044.00 1.1 10,264.01 1.7 2020 4,789.01-0.2 4,722.43 0.1 4,849.48-0.5 8,852.10 1.2 10,011.71 1.0 7,490.30 1.4 19,744.24 0.7 44,596.78-1.8 22,253.46 1.0 10,420.92 1.5 E-20 Continúa
Continuación Manufacturas Fabricación de Industrias metálicas Maquinaria y equipo productos a base Fabricación equipo Fabricación de equipo Años de minerales Industrias Fabricación Fabricación de computación, de generación Fabricación Otras no metálicos metálicas de productos de maquinaria comunicación y eléctrica y accesorios de equipo industrias Total rama Total rama básicas metálicos Total rama y equipo otros electrónicos eléctricos de transporte Total rama Real Var.% Real Var.% Real Var.% Real Var.% Real Var.% Real Var.% Real Var.% Real Var.% Real Var.% Real Var.% 1980 7,744.08-1.2 11,980.60-3.0 12,665.73-4.5 9,781.33-4.9 1981 7,914.52 2.2 12,607.22 5.2 13,205.81 4.3 9,937.03 1.6 1982 7,857.92-0.7 12,828.07 1.8 13,178.09-0.2 9,401.07-5.4 1983 6,118.84-22.1 9,796.98-23.6 10,242.58-22.3 7,527.12-19.9 1984 5,725.64-6.4 9,144.46-6.7 9,568.53-6.6 7,025.60-6.7 1985 5,695.18-0.5 8,987.90-1.7 9,717.18 1.6 6,766.87-3.7 1986 5,415.29-4.9 8,041.78-10.5 9,048.86-6.9 6,384.11-5.7 1987 5,252.78-3.0 8,716.25 8.4 8,972.95-0.8 6,057.13-5.1 1988 5,294.82 0.8 8,843.26 1.5 9,025.89 0.6 5,525.31-8.8 1989 5,705.01 7.7 10,100.88 14.2 9,747.94 8.0 5,865.41 6.2 1990 5,619.80-1.5 9,979.27-1.2 9,666.48-0.8 5,655.59-3.6 1991 5,896.06 4.9 9,687.30-2.9 9,984.34 3.3 5,850.23 3.4 1992 6,098.85 3.4 10,554.97 9.0 10,352.51 3.7 6,295.90 7.6 1993 6,151.53 0.9 10,065.54-4.6 10,412.77 0.6 6,554.60 4.1 1994 6,401.04 4.1 10,501.74 4.3 10,831.13 4.0 6,737.73 2.8 1995 5,879.71-8.1 9,358.18-10.9 9,587.17-11.5 5,781.14-14.2 1996 5,047.79-14.1 8,437.10-9.8 8,748.58-8.7 5,374.06-7.0 1997 4,895.22-3.0 8,270.66-2.0 8,803.36 0.6 5,475.56 1.9 1998 4,968.87 1.5 8,439.70 2.0 9,003.21 2.3 5,656.64 3.3 1999 5,085.58 2.3 8,209.17-2.7 9,188.69 2.1 5,663.79 0.1 2000 5,298.39 4.2 8,472.02 3.2 9,843.68 7.1 6,206.78 9.6 2001 5,807.79 9.6 8,670.61 2.3 10,538.83 7.1 6,340.99 2.2 2002 5,999.36 3.3 8,841.66 2.0 10,695.59 1.5 6,496.19 2.4 2003 6,132.89 2.2 8,961.25 1.4 14,548.95 7,469.86 10,584.89-1.0 10,624.81 10,423.58 9,069.60 11,399.90 6,571.92 1.2 2004 6,193.42 1.0 8,774.22-2.1 14,487.76-0.4 7,319.26-2.0 10,584.41 0.0 10,914.54 2.7 10,316.93-1.0 9,142.78 0.8 11,391.70-0.1 6,901.15 5.0 2005 6,019.33-2.8 8,794.04 0.2 14,983.11 3.4 7,236.94-1.1 10,765.47 1.7 11,462.75 5.0 10,433.62 1.1 9,350.84 2.3 11,486.01 0.8 6,958.46 0.8 2006 5,964.49-0.9 8,941.09 1.7 15,615.29 4.2 7,321.76 1.2 11,077.65 2.9 11,147.08-2.8 11,007.56 5.5 9,670.16 3.4 11,726.17 2.1 7,252.32 4.2 2007 5,969.21 0.1 9,216.21 3.1 15,919.32 1.9 7,591.27 3.7 11,142.89 0.6 11,248.94 0.9 10,961.82-0.4 9,848.15 1.8 11,778.68 0.4 7,369.84 1.6 2008 6,087.34 2.0 9,219.46 0.0 15,593.18-2.0 7,663.97 1.0 11,351.97 1.9 11,418.90 1.5 10,889.03-0.7 10,323.40 4.8 12,105.62 2.8 7,503.71 1.8 2009 6,066.88-0.3 9,487.06 2.9 15,616.81 0.2 7,888.92 2.9 11,449.19 0.9 11,465.34 0.4 11,103.06 2.0 10,036.79-2.8 12,443.29 2.8 7,307.07-2.6 2010 5,854.81-3.5 9,477.53-0.1 15,286.28-2.1 7,958.82 0.9 10,996.20-4.0 11,491.64 0.2 10,485.42-5.6 9,712.69-3.2 11,889.37-4.5 7,322.42 0.2 2011 5,602.02-4.3 9,525.14 0.5 15,303.07 0.1 7,995.99 0.5 11,011.26 0.1 11,798.59 2.7 10,257.36-2.2 9,511.45-2.1 11,935.99 0.4 7,300.93-0.3 2012 5,540.64-1.1 10,204.84 7.1 16,464.43 7.6 8,497.90 6.3 11,324.86 2.8 12,169.47 3.1 11,073.02 8.0 9,806.75 3.1 11,825.98-0.9 7,137.73-2.2 2013 5,465.57-1.4 10,374.92 1.7 16,606.14 0.9 8,677.46 2.1 11,302.66-0.2 12,344.55 1.4 10,730.98-3.1 9,825.02 0.2 11,870.81 0.4 6,944.76-2.7 2014 5,359.69-1.9 10,562.08 1.8 16,635.69 0.2 8,801.36 1.4 11,246.68-0.5 12,461.46 0.9 10,440.58-2.7 9,748.05-0.8 11,834.87-0.3 6,763.49-2.6 2015 5,330.85-0.5 10,814.90 2.4 16,867.14 1.4 9,008.72 2.4 11,311.88 0.6 12,706.97 2.0 10,313.89-1.2 9,761.42 0.1 11,896.77 0.5 6,642.27-1.8 2016 5,332.60 0.0 11,104.25 2.7 17,133.00 1.6 9,237.62 2.5 11,435.65 1.1 13,029.83 2.5 10,217.78-0.9 9,830.54 0.7 12,026.91 1.1 6,548.34-1.4 2017 5,355.66 0.4 11,418.79 2.8 17,421.15 1.7 9,490.63 2.7 11,600.04 1.4 13,361.67 2.5 10,183.40-0.3 9,891.94 0.6 12,206.06 1.5 6,457.08-1.4 2018 5,361.10 0.1 11,697.85 2.4 17,673.16 1.4 9,719.10 2.4 11,736.76 1.2 13,657.64 2.2 10,115.49-0.7 9,930.50 0.4 12,359.18 1.3 6,345.78-1.7 2019 5,352.51-0.2 11,955.84 2.2 17,866.03 1.1 9,946.81 2.3 11,844.01 0.9 13,911.89 1.9 10,031.10-0.8 9,933.71 0.0 12,482.16 1.0 6,231.75-1.8 2020 5,336.28-0.3 12,201.57 2.1 18,035.79 1.0 10,166.00 2.2 11,928.56 0.7 14,151.39 1.7 9,932.98-1.0 9,922.74-0.1 12,576.69 0.8 6,104.70-2.0 E-21 Conclusión
E-12. Remuneración Mensual en el Sector Servicios por Subsectores Económicos: Escenario Base 2014-2020 (En pesos reales de 2008 por persona) Comercio, restaurantes y hoteles Servicios financieros, seguros y actividades inmobiliarias Total Servicios de Transporte, Servicios Años Sector alojamiento temporal almacenaje y Servicios inmobiliarios y Servicios y de preparación de comunicaciones financieros de alquiler de bienes Total subsector Comercio alimentos y bebidas Total subsector Total subsector y de seguros muebles e intangibles Real Var.% Real Var.% Real Var.% Real Var.% Real Var.% Real Var.% Real Var.% Real Var.% 1980 9,682.83-0.3 8,205.49-3.2 11,141.81-6.7 21,724.04-1.5 1981 10,162.93 5.0 8,309.21 1.3 11,709.82 5.1 22,582.77 4.0 1982 9,632.35-5.2 7,429.58-10.6 10,707.20-8.6 21,362.37-5.4 1983 7,499.44-22.1 6,101.88-17.9 8,981.02-16.1 16,310.85-23.6 1984 7,163.46-4.5 5,692.10-6.7 8,498.44-5.4 15,596.19-4.4 1985 7,123.80-0.6 5,620.68-1.3 8,556.88 0.7 15,820.55 1.4 1986 6,339.09-11.0 5,075.63-9.7 7,869.11-8.0 14,831.72-6.3 1987 6,225.33-1.8 4,788.76-5.7 7,725.05-1.8 15,394.75 3.8 1988 5,631.99-9.5 4,238.19-11.5 7,644.18-1.0 13,998.51-9.1 1989 5,950.70 5.7 4,587.74 8.2 7,770.07 1.6 14,614.19 4.4 1990 6,115.43 2.8 4,761.03 3.8 7,695.62-1.0 16,061.62 9.9 1991 6,565.04 7.4 5,061.24 6.3 8,180.52 6.3 17,803.95 10.8 1992 7,132.64 8.6 5,344.87 5.6 8,760.03 7.1 20,808.75 16.9 1993 7,807.35 9.5 5,631.20 5.4 9,159.07 4.6 23,112.93 11.1 1994 8,283.88 6.1 5,784.89 2.7 9,234.38 0.8 23,684.91 2.5 1995 7,152.37-13.7 4,929.01-14.8 8,360.34-9.5 19,688.65-16.9 1996 6,585.21-7.9 4,412.71-10.5 7,695.06-8.0 17,014.47-13.6 1997 6,751.36 2.5 4,406.91-0.1 7,704.18 0.1 17,553.46 3.2 1998 7,014.53 3.9 4,500.30 2.1 7,847.88 1.9 17,100.89-2.6 1999 7,169.98 2.2 4,515.56 0.3 8,045.55 2.5 16,143.92-5.6 2000 7,652.21 6.7 4,785.41 6.0 8,513.69 5.8 15,671.21-2.9 2001 7,964.71 4.1 4,812.78 0.6 8,642.87 1.5 15,447.32-1.4 2002 8,320.70 4.5 4,850.90 0.8 8,779.44 1.6 16,931.41 9.6 2003 8,601.04 3.4 4,849.51 0.0 5,047.13 4,145.25 8,895.65 1.3 15,713.19-7.2 28,450.05 5,674.07 2004 8,651.24 0.6 4,896.81 1.0 5,105.52 1.2 4,140.77-0.1 9,092.77 2.2 15,575.02-0.9 29,179.01 2.6 5,679.63 0.1 2005 8,853.30 2.3 5,046.93 3.1 5,287.72 3.6 4,160.16 0.5 9,299.02 2.3 16,259.17 4.4 30,575.97 4.8 5,611.87-1.2 2006 9,067.90 2.4 5,078.72 0.6 5,306.62 0.4 4,204.62 1.1 9,398.78 1.1 16,540.91 1.7 31,218.59 2.1 5,729.29 2.1 2007 9,201.70 1.5 5,048.85-0.6 5,262.34-0.8 4,209.81 0.1 9,549.87 1.6 17,162.19 3.8 32,368.79 3.7 5,689.51-0.7 2008 9,355.00 1.7 5,033.05-0.3 5,241.08-0.4 4,198.16-0.3 9,560.54 0.1 18,680.59 8.8 37,288.68 15.2 5,658.49-0.5 2009 9,396.97 0.4 4,897.41-2.7 5,081.91-3.0 4,160.88-0.9 9,469.15-1.0 18,659.89-0.1 35,769.74-4.1 5,596.16-1.1 2010 9,494.33 1.0 4,863.83-0.7 5,020.63-1.2 4,225.87 1.6 9,590.75 1.3 18,953.20 1.6 34,510.72-3.5 5,649.53 1.0 2011 9,621.97 1.3 4,808.65-1.1 4,937.73-1.7 4,260.59 0.8 9,810.06 2.3 18,912.74-0.2 33,041.41-4.3 5,743.04 1.7 2012 9,704.97 0.9 4,755.76-1.1 4,870.83-1.4 4,256.97-0.1 9,952.09 1.4 18,891.56-0.1 33,021.48-0.1 5,699.54-0.8 2013 9,794.82 0.9 4,865.87 2.3 5,007.29 2.8 4,248.50-0.2 10,085.68 1.3 18,360.92-2.8 31,874.22-3.5 5,655.26-0.8 2014 9,875.35 0.8 4,849.40-0.3 4,992.13-0.3 4,219.30-0.7 10,210.29 1.2 17,962.15-2.2 30,858.41-3.2 5,616.39-0.7 2015 10,038.87 1.7 4,798.64-1.0 4,921.92-1.4 4,245.44 0.6 10,421.29 2.1 17,825.64-0.8 30,126.73-2.4 5,667.44 0.9 2016 10,266.27 2.3 4,773.59-0.5 4,876.05-0.9 4,304.17 1.4 10,706.18 2.7 17,839.53 0.1 29,613.50-1.7 5,756.77 1.6 2017 10,512.36 2.4 4,751.64-0.5 4,826.84-1.0 4,397.24 2.2 10,989.14 2.6 18,016.94 1.0 29,143.87-1.6 5,836.99 1.4 2018 10,740.80 2.2 4,717.12-0.7 4,766.83-1.2 4,477.75 1.8 11,253.67 2.4 18,063.18 0.3 28,613.55-1.8 5,904.60 1.2 2019 10,941.56 1.9 4,671.57-1.0 4,694.94-1.5 4,556.79 1.8 11,452.33 1.8 18,029.96-0.2 28,044.26-2.0 5,957.67 0.9 2020 11,129.99 1.7 4,623.35-1.0 4,621.86-1.6 4,630.84 1.6 11,627.40 1.5 17,920.68-0.6 27,418.42-2.2 5,997.05 0.7 Continúa E-22
Continuación Años Servicios Servicios comunales, sociales y personales Servicios de profesionales, Dirección apoyo a los negocios y científicos de corporativos manejo de desechos y Servicios Total subsector y técnicos y empresas servicios de remediación educativos Real Var.% Real Var.% Real Var.% Real Var.% Real Var.% 1980 9,686.66 1.6 1981 10,293.10 6.3 1982 9,960.49-3.2 1983 7,513.48-24.6 1984 7,230.33-3.8 1985 7,173.64-0.8 1986 6,272.09-12.6 1987 6,202.72-1.1 1988 5,562.81-10.3 1989 5,896.23 6.0 1990 6,061.42 2.8 1991 6,535.05 7.8 1992 7,153.01 9.5 1993 7,984.03 11.6 1994 8,681.90 8.7 1995 7,522.81-13.4 1996 7,013.01-6.8 1997 7,267.59 3.6 1998 7,678.32 5.7 1999 7,967.99 3.8 2000 8,614.70 8.1 2001 9,165.73 6.4 2002 9,655.25 5.3 2003 10,193.92 5.6 12,125.62 55,298.04 7,221.91 13,985.08 2004 10,239.45 0.4 11,951.57-1.4 52,414.14-5.2 7,161.75-0.8 13,880.83-0.7 2005 10,460.63 2.2 12,042.33 0.8 53,369.17 1.8 7,282.28 1.7 14,512.95 4.6 2006 10,805.91 3.3 12,184.08 1.2 67,750.58 26.9 7,420.17 1.9 15,234.47 5.0 2007 10,988.75 1.7 12,402.78 1.8 53,524.15-21.0 7,497.51 1.0 15,598.63 2.4 2008 11,211.90 2.0 12,462.73 0.5 60,902.76 13.8 7,456.30-0.5 16,073.99 3.0 2009 11,340.78 1.1 12,350.28-0.9 45,958.02-24.5 7,426.52-0.4 16,103.40 0.2 2010 11,504.47 1.4 12,506.44 1.3 45,126.48-1.8 7,479.60 0.7 16,382.35 1.7 2011 11,728.93 2.0 12,708.68 1.6 48,764.10 8.1 7,576.92 1.3 16,855.11 2.9 2012 11,893.08 1.4 12,698.43-0.1 49,560.81 1.6 7,609.60 0.4 17,597.15 4.4 2013 11,985.79 0.8 12,673.16-0.2 50,178.35 1.2 7,645.77 0.5 17,968.98 2.1 2014 12,144.49 1.3 12,586.06-0.7 50,894.80 1.4 7,688.78 0.6 18,363.75 2.2 2015 12,426.98 2.3 12,724.75 1.1 52,241.17 2.6 7,795.76 1.4 18,955.84 3.2 2016 12,795.65 3.0 12,962.14 1.9 54,022.07 3.4 7,971.27 2.3 19,711.75 4.0 2017 13,194.26 3.1 13,229.96 2.1 56,072.85 3.8 8,151.30 2.3 20,478.99 3.9 2018 13,567.96 2.8 13,472.19 1.8 57,961.33 3.4 8,316.20 2.0 21,208.06 3.6 2019 13,916.18 2.6 13,684.06 1.6 59,821.55 3.2 8,463.00 1.8 21,909.13 3.3 2020 14,257.49 2.5 13,893.25 1.5 61,601.25 3.0 8,600.54 1.6 22,603.17 3.2 E-23 Continúa
Continuación Años Servicios de esparcimiento, Servicios comunales, sociales y personales Servicios culturales y deportivos, Otros servicios de salud y otros servicios Información en excepto actividades Actividades y de asistencia social recreativos medios masivos del gobierno del gobierno Real Var.% Real Var.% Real Var.% Real Var.% Real Var.% 1980 1981 1982 1983 1984 1985 1986 1987 1988 1989 1990 1991 1992 1993 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 14,213.90 9,655.75 26,025.11 2,885.93 14,490.59 2004 14,464.11 1.8 9,429.52-2.3 28,134.94 8.1 2,892.21 0.2 14,774.88 2.0 2005 14,421.44-0.3 9,475.54 0.5 29,579.54 5.1 2,914.92 0.8 15,178.34 2.7 2006 14,747.95 2.3 9,779.69 3.2 31,398.10 6.1 3,011.06 3.3 15,708.00 3.5 2007 14,808.20 0.4 10,172.86 4.0 31,785.68 1.2 3,027.87 0.6 16,454.96 4.8 2008 15,892.43 7.3 9,882.11-2.9 31,334.70-1.4 3,005.93-0.7 16,774.71 1.9 2009 16,121.66 1.4 10,047.43 1.7 31,446.96 0.4 2,933.09-2.4 17,283.29 3.0 2010 16,698.89 3.6 10,517.27 4.7 32,181.51 2.3 2,902.74-1.0 17,707.99 2.5 2011 17,546.21 5.1 10,569.46 0.5 32,277.10 0.3 2,891.64-0.4 18,160.71 2.6 2012 17,964.73 2.4 10,586.74 0.2 30,062.24-6.9 2,897.50 0.2 18,604.91 2.4 2013 18,171.27 1.1 10,565.68-0.2 30,002.42-0.2 2,874.98-0.8 18,944.27 1.8 2014 18,430.72 1.4 10,452.43-1.1 30,257.73 0.9 2,860.75-0.5 19,360.46 2.2 2015 18,971.63 2.9 10,436.52-0.2 30,824.65 1.9 2,870.20 0.3 19,984.68 3.2 2016 19,709.87 3.9 10,450.00 0.1 31,548.39 2.3 2,890.52 0.7 20,743.07 3.8 2017 20,571.75 4.4 10,455.02 0.0 32,260.89 2.3 2,908.57 0.6 21,610.26 4.2 2018 21,383.17 3.9 10,435.51-0.2 32,913.52 2.0 2,919.91 0.4 22,441.88 3.8 2019 22,172.38 3.7 10,378.60-0.5 33,431.15 1.6 2,923.67 0.1 23,248.56 3.6 2020 22,960.27 3.6 10,317.11-0.6 33,909.99 1.4 2,920.44-0.1 24,074.70 3.6 Conclusión E-24
Sección: E-III. Productividad Media Laboral Cuadro E-13. Grandes Sectores Económicos Cuadro E-14. Sector Industrial por Actividad Económica Cuadro E-15. Sector Servicios por Actividad Económica Cuadro E-16. Industria Manufacturera Cuadro E-17. Sector Industrial por Subsectores y Ramas Económicas Cuadro E-18. Sector Servicios por Subsectores Económicos
E-13. Productividad Media Laboral por Grandes Sectores Económicos: Escenario Base 2014-2020 (Indice 2008=100) Productividad Media Laboral Indice Productividad Media Laboral 1980=100 Años Total Sector Agropecuario Sector Industrial Sector Servicios Total Primario Secundario Terciario Indice 2008 Var.% Indice 2008 Var.% Indice 2008 Indice Indice 2008 Var.% Indice 1980 Indice 1980 Indice 1980 Indice 1980 1980 78.0 2.7 78.7 3.6 85.1 3.2 78.8 1.8 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 1981 79.7 2.2 82.5 4.8 87.0 2.3 80.1 1.7 102.7 103.6 103.2 101.8 1982 79.6-0.2 83.4 1.1 88.9 2.1 79.7-0.6 104.9 108.6 105.6 103.6 1983 79.0-0.8 81.6-2.1 91.3 2.7 80.3 0.8 104.8 109.7 107.8 103.0 1984 79.8 1.0 81.8 0.3 91.7 0.5 81.0 0.9 104.0 107.4 110.7 103.8 1985 79.8 0.0 82.1 0.4 91.9 0.3 80.5-0.7 105.0 107.7 111.2 104.8 1986 78.6-1.5 83.1 1.2 89.2-3.0 79.7-0.9 105.0 108.1 111.5 104.0 1987 79.2 0.8 82.9-0.3 91.8 2.9 80.2 0.6 103.4 109.4 108.1 103.1 1988 79.7 0.6 78.1-5.8 93.0 1.4 81.0 1.0 104.3 109.1 111.3 103.6 1989 80.8 1.4 78.6 0.7 91.7-1.5 81.2 0.2 104.9 102.8 112.8 104.7 1990 81.3 0.7 83.0 5.6 91.0-0.7 81.0-0.2 106.3 103.5 111.2 105.0 1991 82.5 1.4 85.1 2.5 91.3 0.4 81.3 0.4 107.1 109.3 110.4 104.7 1992 84.2 2.1 83.9-1.3 93.9 2.8 82.1 0.9 108.6 112.0 110.8 105.1 1993 85.5 1.5 83.1-1.0 94.9 1.0 84.2 2.5 110.9 110.5 113.9 106.1 1994 87.5 2.3 84.8 2.1 97.8 3.0 85.5 1.6 112.6 109.4 115.1 108.8 1995 85.0-2.8 85.6 1.0 98.1 0.4 82.3-3.8 115.2 111.7 118.6 110.6 1996 87.1 2.4 88.2 3.0 98.7 0.6 84.2 2.3 111.9 112.7 119.0 106.4 1997 89.7 3.0 91.5 3.7 98.1-0.5 86.1 2.3 114.7 116.1 119.7 108.8 1998 90.1 0.4 89.9-1.7 97.7-0.5 86.7 0.7 118.1 120.4 119.0 111.3 1999 90.4 0.4 92.7 3.0 96.4-1.3 87.4 0.8 118.5 118.4 118.4 112.1 2000 93.3 3.2 96.1 3.7 97.6 1.2 90.3 3.3 119.0 122.0 117.0 113.0 2001 93.4 0.1 97.7 1.6 100.7 3.2 89.5-1.0 122.8 126.6 118.3 116.8 2002 94.3 1.0 98.6 0.9 103.6 2.9 89.5 0.0 122.9 128.7 122.2 115.7 2003 95.2 1.0 99.5 0.9 105.1 1.4 90.5 1.1 124.1 129.9 125.7 115.7 2004 95.5 0.3 95.2-4.3 103.3-1.7 93.1 2.8 125.3 131.0 127.4 117.0 2005 97.8 2.3 94.5-0.7 104.0 0.7 95.0 2.0 125.7 125.3 125.3 120.3 2006 98.8 1.1 95.9 1.5 102.5-1.5 97.8 3.0 128.7 124.4 126.2 122.8 2007 100.1 1.3 98.1 2.3 102.6 0.1 99.2 1.5 130.1 126.3 124.3 126.4 2008 100.0-0.1 100.0 1.9 100.0-2.6 100.0 0.8 131.8 129.2 124.5 128.3 2009 98.9-1.1 99.7-0.3 102.9 2.9 97.4-2.6 131.6 131.7 121.3 129.3 2010 102.4 3.6 95.9-3.8 107.6 4.6 101.6 4.3 130.1 131.2 124.8 125.9 2011 105.1 2.6 97.6 1.8 107.2-0.4 104.3 2.6 134.8 126.3 130.5 131.4 2012 106.5 1.3 99.3 1.7 108.7 1.4 106.5 2.2 138.3 128.5 130.0 134.8 2013 106.7 0.2 97.4-1.9 109.6 0.8 107.2 0.6 140.2 130.8 131.9 137.7 2014 108.5 1.7 99.7 2.4 110.8 1.1 108.4 1.2 140.4 128.3 132.9 138.5 2015 110.5 1.9 98.9-0.8 110.7-0.1 110.5 1.9 142.8 131.3 134.4 140.1 2016 112.7 2.0 101.8 2.8 110.9 0.1 112.9 2.1 145.5 130.3 134.3 142.9 2017 115.2 2.2 99.6-2.1 111.4 0.5 115.4 2.2 148.4 134.0 134.5 145.9 2018 117.6 2.1 101.7 2.1 111.8 0.4 118.0 2.3 151.7 131.1 135.2 149.1 2019 119.9 1.9 100.6-1.1 111.9 0.1 120.6 2.2 154.8 133.9 135.6 152.5 2020 122.1 1.9 103.1 2.5 112.3 0.3 123.1 2.1 157.8 132.5 135.8 155.9 E-25
E-14. Productividad Media Laboral en el Sector Industrial por Actividad Económica: Escenario Base 2014-2020 (Indice 2008=100) Productividad Media Laboral Años Total Minería Manufacturas Construcción Electricidad Indice Var.% Indice Var.% Indice Var.% Indice Var.% Indice Var.% 1980 85.1 3.2 67.6 11.6 50.9-0.1 155.1-0.3 53.5-2.1 1981 87.0 2.3 72.3 6.9 52.0 2.2 152.1-1.9 56.2 5.0 1982 88.9 2.1 74.0 2.3 52.0-0.1 145.2-4.5 59.4 5.8 1983 91.3 2.7 71.6-3.2 51.9-0.1 145.3 0.1 59.3-0.1 1984 91.7 0.5 70.5-1.5 53.3 2.7 143.5-1.2 60.0 1.2 1985 91.9 0.3 67.6-4.1 54.9 3.0 142.4-0.8 61.6 2.6 1986 89.2-3.0 64.3-4.9 53.8-2.1 132.1-7.3 62.6 1.7 1987 91.8 2.9 64.4 0.1 55.1 2.5 135.3 2.4 63.2 0.9 1988 93.0 1.4 63.1-2.1 56.9 3.2 134.3-0.7 65.4 3.5 1989 91.7-1.5 66.7 5.9 59.5 4.5 121.6-9.4 66.6 1.9 1990 91.0-0.7 66.8 0.1 62.1 4.4 114.5-5.9 65.5-1.7 1991 91.3 0.4 68.5 2.5 63.5 2.3 113.8-0.5 64.3-1.9 1992 93.9 2.8 81.9 19.6 65.5 3.1 118.5 4.1 65.6 2.1 1993 94.9 1.0 94.5 15.4 66.6 1.7 116.7-1.5 66.7 1.7 1994 97.8 3.0 99.8 5.6 70.4 5.8 122.1 4.6 71.9 7.7 1995 98.1 0.4 99.8-0.1 70.7 0.4 104.8-14.2 72.0 0.1 1996 98.7 0.6 108.8 9.1 73.0 3.3 102.2-2.4 74.2 3.1 1997 98.1-0.5 111.9 2.8 75.2 3.0 102.5 0.2 76.7 3.4 1998 97.7-0.5 112.3 0.3 76.8 2.1 101.2-1.3 77.7 1.2 1999 96.4-1.3 107.8-4.0 76.7-0.2 103.9 2.7 78.3 0.8 2000 97.6 1.2 108.7 0.9 78.1 1.9 106.5 2.5 78.3 0.0 2001 100.7 3.2 114.1 4.9 79.1 1.2 108.7 2.1 75.6-3.5 2002 103.6 2.9 115.7 1.4 83.6 5.8 110.0 1.2 71.8-5.0 2003 105.1 1.4 121.0 4.6 84.6 1.1 110.7 0.6 70.7-1.5 2004 103.3-1.7 119.5-1.2 87.5 3.4 105.3-4.9 79.5 12.4 2005 104.0 0.7 119.9 0.4 89.6 2.5 105.6 0.3 85.5 7.5 2006 102.5-1.5 116.7-2.7 93.4 4.2 102.9-2.6 94.0 10.0 2007 102.6 0.1 107.2-8.1 96.6 3.4 103.4 0.5 98.7 4.9 2008 100.0-2.6 100.0-6.7 100.0 3.5 100.0-3.3 100.0 1.3 2009 102.9 2.9 96.5-3.5 100.8 0.8 103.4 3.4 106.8 6.8 2010 107.6 4.6 96.6 0.1 107.8 7.0 105.0 1.6 123.3 15.4 2011 107.2-0.4 95.0-1.7 112.3 4.1 102.7-2.2 125.3 1.6 2012 108.7 1.4 94.0-1.1 115.8 3.1 103.3 0.6 124.5-0.6 2013 109.6 0.8 90.8-3.4 116.7 0.8 101.9-1.3 122.1-2.0 2014 110.8 1.1 87.6-3.5 118.8 1.7 102.9 1.0 120.9-0.9 2015 110.7-0.1 87.0-0.7 121.0 1.9 102.6-0.3 119.0-1.6 2016 110.9 0.1 86.4-0.7 123.7 2.2 102.9 0.4 116.5-2.1 2017 111.4 0.5 87.6 1.4 127.1 2.7 103.0 0.1 113.6-2.5 2018 111.8 0.4 89.0 1.6 130.5 2.7 103.0 0.0 110.6-2.6 2019 111.9 0.1 89.1 0.1 134.0 2.7 102.9-0.1 107.7-2.6 2020 112.3 0.3 89.0-0.1 137.4 2.5 102.9 0.0 105.2-2.3 E-26
E-15. Productividad Media Laboral en el Sector Servicios por Actividad Económica: Escenario Base 2014-2020 (Indice 2008=100) Años! Productividad Media Laboral Comercio, Transporte, Almacenaje Servicios Financieros, Servicios Comunales, Total Restaurantes y Hoteles y Comunicaciones Seguros e Inmuebles Sociales y Personales Indice Var.% Indice Var.% Indice Var.% Indice Var.% Indice Var.% 1980 78.8 1.8 86.4 8.8 88.9-4.6 73.7-3.8 84.8 0.6 1981 80.1 1.7 89.3 3.4 91.0 2.4 71.9-2.6 85.6 1.1 1982 79.7-0.6 88.1-1.3 78.7-13.5 68.5-4.7 87.1 1.7 1983 80.3 0.8 84.0-4.7 80.3 2.0 69.5 1.4 89.4 2.7 1984 81.0 0.9 83.6-0.5 83.0 3.4 69.1-0.6 89.6 0.3 1985 80.5-0.7 82.9-0.8 83.5 0.6 70.8 2.5 87.7-2.2 1986 79.7-0.9 78.7-5.0 80.1-4.1 73.3 3.5 87.3-0.5 1987 80.2 0.6 78.3-0.6 80.8 0.9 74.5 1.7 87.1-0.3 1988 81.0 1.0 78.3 0.1 84.6 4.7 74.3-0.3 87.7 0.8 1989 81.2 0.2 77.5-1.1 83.9-0.8 75.6 1.7 88.4 0.8 1990 81.0-0.2 75.8-2.2 80.8-3.7 77.7 2.8 89.2 0.8 1991 81.3 0.4 75.9 0.1 81.0 0.2 78.6 1.1 89.6 0.6 1992 82.1 0.9 76.6 1.0 85.0 5.0 80.8 2.8 89.1-0.6 1993 84.2 2.5 74.6-2.6 89.2 4.9 83.5 3.4 93.2 4.7 1994 85.5 1.6 79.0 5.9 90.2 1.1 86.5 3.5 92.2-1.1 1995 82.3-3.8 70.4-10.9 88.0-2.4 88.1 1.9 89.8-2.6 1996 84.2 2.3 77.7 10.3 88.1 0.1 86.8-1.5 89.6-0.3 1997 86.1 2.3 84.6 8.9 91.8 4.2 83.6-3.7 90.0 0.5 1998 86.7 0.7 87.3 3.3 92.3 0.6 84.2 0.7 89.9-0.1 1999 87.4 0.8 88.3 1.2 93.3 1.1 85.4 1.5 90.7 0.8 2000 90.3 3.3 95.4 8.0 96.1 2.9 87.2 2.1 92.2 1.7 2001 89.5-1.0 91.7-3.9 93.8-2.4 88.4 1.3 91.9-0.3 2002 89.5 0.0 91.6-0.1 95.3 1.6 89.4 1.1 91.0-1.0 2003 90.5 1.1 92.4 0.9 96.2 0.9 92.5 3.5 91.2 0.2 2004 93.1 2.8 95.8 3.6 98.0 1.9 93.5 1.1 93.0 2.0 2005 95.0 2.0 98.0 2.4 98.1 0.0 94.0 0.5 95.2 2.4 2006 97.8 3.0 100.9 2.9 99.8 1.8 93.8-0.2 97.8 2.8 2007 99.2 1.5 102.2 1.3 100.6 0.8 93.5-0.3 99.3 1.5 2008 100.0 0.8 100.0-2.2 100.0-0.6 100.0 6.9 100.0 0.7 2009 97.4-2.6 90.3-9.7 93.7-6.3 105.8 5.8 100.2 0.2 2010 101.6 4.3 98.2 8.7 99.0 5.6 110.1 4.1 100.3 0.1 2011 104.3 2.6 104.1 6.1 101.4 2.4 110.0-0.1 100.9 0.7 2012 106.5 2.2 106.2 2.0 105.9 4.5 113.2 2.9 103.2 2.2 2013 107.2 0.6 107.5 1.3 108.1 2.0 114.6 1.3 103.0-0.1 2014 108.4 1.2 108.4 0.8 111.5 3.2 116.5 1.6 103.8 0.8 2015 110.5 1.9 111.1 2.4 116.0 4.0 117.1 0.5 104.9 1.0 2016 112.9 2.1 114.9 3.4 120.7 4.1 116.2-0.7 106.0 1.0 2017 115.4 2.2 119.0 3.6 125.2 3.7 113.6-2.3 107.3 1.2 2018 118.0 2.3 123.6 3.8 129.7 3.6 111.7-1.7 108.5 1.1 2019 120.6 2.2 128.3 3.8 134.5 3.7 110.1-1.4 109.6 1.0 2020 123.1 2.1 133.0 3.7 139.2 3.5 108.7-1.3 110.6 1.0 E-27
E-16. Productividad Media Laboral en la Industria Manufacturera: Escenario Base 2014-2020 (Indice 2008=100) Industria Alimentos, Textiles, Madera Imprenta Años Manufacturera Bebidas y Tabaco Vestidos y Cuero y sus Productos y Editoriales Indice Var.% Indice Var.% Indice Var.% Indice Var.% Indice Var.% 1980 50.9-0.1 59.8 0.9 85.6-1.9 65.0-2.1 43.3 3.9 1981 52.0 2.2 60.1 0.5 86.7 1.2 65.3 0.5 44.5 2.7 1982 52.0-0.1 61.1 1.7 84.7-2.3 68.5 5.0 45.5 2.3 1983 51.9-0.1 60.5-1.0 86.2 1.8 74.2 8.3 45.0-1.1 1984 53.3 2.7 60.5 0.0 86.8 0.7 75.3 1.5 46.0 2.3 1985 54.9 3.0 61.3 1.4 87.5 0.8 75.8 0.6 48.1 4.4 1986 53.8-2.1 60.1-2.1 85.4-2.5 77.5 2.3 46.5-3.2 1987 55.1 2.5 60.3 0.4 82.4-3.5 75.9-2.1 46.9 0.8 1988 56.9 3.2 61.2 1.5 85.3 3.6 76.1 0.3 48.8 4.1 1989 59.5 4.5 63.9 4.4 88.4 3.7 76.8 0.9 50.9 4.2 1990 62.1 4.4 65.7 2.7 93.6 5.8 78.2 1.9 51.8 1.9 1991 63.5 2.3 66.4 1.0 95.4 2.0 79.2 1.2 52.3 1.0 1992 65.5 3.1 67.3 1.4 97.7 2.4 80.5 1.7 53.2 1.6 1993 66.6 1.7 69.4 3.2 95.7-2.0 73.7-8.5 51.5-3.2 1994 70.4 5.8 72.8 4.8 98.5 2.9 76.0 3.1 54.8 6.5 1995 70.7 0.4 74.9 2.9 92.0-6.6 77.0 1.4 58.2 6.2 1996 73.0 3.3 75.9 1.4 89.3-3.0 76.4-0.7 62.5 7.3 1997 75.2 3.0 77.3 1.8 83.8-6.1 81.6 6.8 66.8 6.9 1998 76.8 2.1 79.3 2.6 80.6-3.8 81.5-0.2 68.8 3.0 1999 76.7-0.2 80.2 1.1 76.2-5.5 82.5 1.3 71.7 4.2 2000 78.1 1.9 83.3 3.9 74.5-2.3 84.8 2.8 72.4 1.0 2001 79.1 1.2 84.5 1.5 74.2-0.3 86.4 1.8 72.0-0.5 2002 83.6 5.8 86.4 2.2 80.8 8.8 90.7 5.0 73.8 2.5 2003 84.6 1.1 87.5 1.3 80.8 0.0 93.1 2.6 75.6 2.4 2004 87.5 3.4 90.3 3.1 84.0 3.9 94.2 1.3 79.9 5.6 2005 89.6 2.5 93.0 3.0 84.3 0.4 96.1 2.0 82.6 3.4 2006 93.4 4.2 94.0 1.1 89.2 5.8 95.8-0.3 88.6 7.3 2007 96.6 3.4 98.0 4.3 92.5 3.6 97.5 1.8 93.9 6.0 2008 100.0 3.5 100.0 2.0 100.0 8.2 100.0 2.6 100.0 6.4 2009 100.8 0.8 100.2 0.2 102.0 2.0 102.2 2.2 101.0 1.0 2010 107.8 7.0 102.6 2.4 106.9 4.8 107.0 4.7 106.2 5.2 2011 112.3 4.1 103.9 1.3 111.2 4.0 113.3 5.9 105.4-0.8 2012 115.8 3.1 105.3 1.4 113.4 2.1 120.8 6.6 114.5 8.7 2013 116.7 0.8 105.5 0.1 116.4 2.6 117.7-2.6 120.1 4.9 2014 118.8 1.7 106.8 1.3 118.1 1.5 118.2 0.4 122.3 1.8 2015 121.0 1.9 108.3 1.4 119.0 0.8 119.9 1.4 124.1 1.5 2016 123.7 2.2 109.6 1.3 118.9-0.1 121.5 1.3 125.7 1.3 2017 127.1 2.7 111.1 1.4 118.4-0.4 122.8 1.1 127.2 1.2 2018 130.5 2.7 112.6 1.3 118.0-0.4 124.1 1.1 128.8 1.3 2019 134.0 2.7 114.1 1.4 117.7-0.2 124.9 0.6 130.4 1.2 2020 137.4 2.5 115.7 1.4 117.4-0.2 125.7 0.7 132.1 1.3 E-28 Continúa
Continuación Químicos, Minerales Industrias Maquinaria Otras Años Petróleo y Caucho No Metálicos Metálicas Básicas y Equipo Industrias Indice Var.% Indice Var.% Indice Var.% Indice Var.% Indice Var.% 1980 52.9 3.5 46.5 0.0 25.9-1.8 51.7 1.3 163.4-20.1 1981 54.0 1.9 46.0-1.1 26.0 0.4 53.2 3.0 176.1 7.8 1982 53.1-1.6 46.8 1.7 24.2-6.7 51.2-3.9 174.8-0.7 1983 53.5 0.8 46.0-1.8 23.6-2.7 48.2-5.8 150.0-14.2 1984 55.0 2.8 46.1 0.2 24.8 5.2 52.0 7.9 161.2 7.5 1985 56.9 3.4 46.3 0.5 25.7 3.5 55.7 7.2 166.9 3.5 1986 54.9-3.6 45.5-1.7 26.8 4.5 50.7-9.0 143.2-14.2 1987 55.5 1.1 46.6 2.4 32.2 20.1 52.2 2.9 128.0-10.6 1988 55.6 0.2 47.3 1.6 33.1 2.9 57.0 9.2 123.8-3.3 1989 59.2 6.5 46.6-1.6 36.2 9.3 58.7 3.0 109.0-12.0 1990 59.6 0.8 46.6 0.0 42.6 17.6 61.5 4.8 107.9-1.0 1991 59.0-1.1 48.1 3.4 43.8 3.0 65.8 7.0 108.7 0.7 1992 61.1 3.5 50.0 3.9 51.8 18.2 65.8-0.1 111.5 2.6 1993 60.4-1.2 55.1 10.0 59.3 14.4 66.8 1.6 104.6-6.2 1994 64.3 6.6 60.5 9.8 66.1 11.5 70.2 5.1 104.0-0.6 1995 69.5 8.0 59.9-0.9 65.5-0.9 63.7-9.2 96.2-7.5 1996 69.4-0.1 66.2 10.5 77.1 17.8 68.0 6.7 98.4 2.3 1997 71.5 3.1 69.7 5.3 82.5 7.0 74.1 9.1 92.8-5.7 1998 72.5 1.4 72.9 4.5 85.2 3.2 78.1 5.3 88.7-4.5 1999 71.4-1.5 75.2 3.2 88.8 4.3 78.1 0.1 89.3 0.7 2000 72.2 1.0 76.8 2.2 91.8 3.4 81.7 4.6 83.6-6.4 2001 71.9-0.4 76.7-0.2 87.3-4.9 84.7 3.7 86.0 2.8 2002 75.9 5.6 84.1 9.6 93.4 7.0 87.5 3.3 94.0 9.3 2003 80.3 5.8 85.9 2.2 94.6 1.2 84.4-3.5 87.7-6.7 2004 87.2 8.7 89.4 4.1 95.8 1.4 84.8 0.5 89.4 2.0 2005 90.5 3.7 90.7 1.4 99.1 3.5 85.8 1.1 91.4 2.3 2006 95.8 5.9 95.4 5.2 99.9 0.8 92.4 7.8 94.5 3.3 2007 98.8 3.1 97.8 2.5 99.5-0.4 95.6 3.5 96.8 2.4 2008 100.0 1.2 100.0 2.3 100.0 0.5 100.0 4.6 100.0 3.3 2009 105.2 5.2 103.9 3.9 97.2-2.8 98.6-1.4 104.7 4.7 2010 103.7-1.4 101.5-2.3 108.6 11.8 122.4 24.1 106.1 1.3 2011 103.2-0.5 106.9 5.2 111.4 2.6 133.9 9.4 108.7 2.5 2012 105.2 1.9 109.8 2.7 114.8 3.0 140.3 4.8 106.0-2.5 2013 106.5 1.2 106.1-3.3 112.7-1.8 142.8 1.8 104.3-1.6 2014 106.1-0.4 106.4 0.3 114.2 1.3 145.9 2.2 103.4-0.8 2015 107.2 1.1 109.2 2.6 114.4 0.2 149.3 2.4 103.7 0.3 2016 108.6 1.3 112.6 3.1 115.3 0.8 153.9 3.0 103.9 0.2 2017 109.9 1.2 116.0 3.0 116.6 1.1 160.3 4.1 105.7 1.7 2018 111.3 1.2 119.1 2.7 117.6 0.9 166.8 4.1 107.3 1.5 2019 112.6 1.2 122.2 2.6 118.5 0.8 173.3 3.9 108.8 1.4 2020 113.8 1.1 125.1 2.4 119.5 0.9 179.6 3.6 110.2 1.3 E-29 Conclusión
E-17. Productividad Media Laboral en el Sector Industrial por Subsectores y Ramas Económicas: Escenario Base 2014-2020 (Indice 2008=100) Minería Electricidad Construcción Años Total Minería de minerales Generación, Agua y sumistro Construcción Trabajos Sector Extracción metálicos y no transmisión de gas por ductos de obras de especializados Industrial de petróleo metálicos, excepto y suministro de al consumidor ingeniería para la Total subsector y gas petróleo y gas Total subsector energía eléctrica final Total subsector Edificación civil construcción Indice Var.% Indice Var.% Indice Var.% Indice Var.% Indice Var.% Indice Var.% Indice Var.% Indice Var.% Indice Var.% Indice Var.% Indice Var.% 1980 85.1 3.2 67.6 11.6 53.5-2.1 155.1-0.3 1981 87.0 2.3 72.3 6.9 56.2 5.0 152.1-1.9 1982 88.9 2.1 74.0 2.3 59.4 5.8 145.2-4.5 1983 91.3 2.7 71.6-3.2 59.3-0.1 145.3 0.1 1984 91.7 0.5 70.5-1.5 60.0 1.2 143.5-1.2 1985 91.9 0.3 67.6-4.1 61.6 2.6 142.4-0.8 1986 89.2-3.0 64.3-4.9 62.6 1.7 132.1-7.3 1987 91.8 2.9 64.4 0.1 63.2 0.9 135.3 2.4 1988 93.0 1.4 63.1-2.1 65.4 3.5 134.3-0.7 1989 91.7-1.5 66.7 5.9 66.6 1.9 121.6-9.4 1990 91.0-0.7 66.8 0.1 65.5-1.7 114.5-5.9 1991 91.3 0.4 68.5 2.5 64.3-1.9 113.8-0.5 1992 93.9 2.8 81.9 19.6 65.6 2.1 118.5 4.1 1993 94.9 1.0 94.5 15.4 66.7 1.7 116.7-1.5 1994 97.8 3.0 99.8 5.6 71.9 7.7 122.1 4.6 1995 98.1 0.4 99.8-0.1 72.0 0.1 104.8-14.2 1996 98.7 0.6 108.8 9.1 74.2 3.1 102.2-2.4 1997 98.1-0.5 111.9 2.8 76.7 3.4 102.5 0.2 1998 97.7-0.5 112.3 0.3 77.7 1.2 101.2-1.3 1999 96.4-1.3 107.8-4.0 78.3 0.8 103.9 2.7 2000 97.6 1.2 108.7 0.9 78.3 0.0 106.5 2.5 2001 100.7 3.2 114.1 4.9 75.6-3.5 108.7 2.1 2002 103.6 2.9 115.7 1.4 71.8-5.0 110.0 1.2 2003 105.1 1.4 121.0 4.6 118.7 98.6 70.7-1.5 66.1 100.3 110.7 0.6 110.7 111.3 114.9 2004 103.3-1.7 119.5-1.2 117.1-1.4 99.2 0.6 79.5 12.4 76.4 15.6 100.8 0.5 105.3-4.9 104.7-5.5 109.3-1.9 110.0-4.3 2005 104.0 0.7 119.9 0.4 113.5-3.1 110.1 11.0 85.5 7.5 83.2 8.8 103.2 2.4 105.6 0.3 104.1-0.5 114.2 4.5 108.2-1.6 2006 102.5-1.5 116.7-2.7 112.2-1.1 104.5-5.2 94.0 10.0 93.7 12.7 103.9 0.7 102.9-2.6 101.5-2.5 111.5-2.4 107.2-0.9 2007 102.6 0.1 107.2-8.1 108.1-3.7 105.3 0.8 98.7 4.9 99.2 5.8 105.6 1.7 103.4 0.5 101.8 0.3 112.3 0.7 106.9-0.3 2008 100.0-2.6 100.0-6.7 100.0-7.5 100.0-5.0 100.0 1.3 100.0 0.8 100.0-5.3 100.0-3.3 100.0-1.8 100.0-10.9 100.0-6.5 2009 102.9 2.9 96.5-3.5 93.2-6.8 99.3-0.7 106.8 6.8 112.1 12.1 105.6 5.6 103.4 3.4 101.6 1.6 108.9 8.9 99.7-0.3 2010 107.6 4.6 96.6 0.1 93.8 0.6 113.4 14.2 123.3 15.4 147.9 32.0 104.6-0.9 105.0 1.6 102.7 1.1 112.1 2.9 100.3 0.6 2011 107.2-0.4 95.0-1.7 92.0-1.9 123.3 8.7 125.3 1.6 147.5-0.3 102.3-2.2 102.7-2.2 100.1-2.5 110.8-1.1 99.0-1.2 2012 108.7 1.4 94.0-1.1 89.8-2.4 131.9 7.0 124.5-0.6 147.6 0.1 100.5-1.7 103.3 0.6 100.0-0.1 115.0 3.8 98.9-0.2 2013 109.6 0.8 90.8-3.4 87.1-3.0 128.5-2.6 122.1-2.0 145.3-1.6 98.5-2.0 101.9-1.3 99.0-1.0 114.5-0.5 93.9-5.0 2014 110.8 1.1 87.6-3.5 85.2-2.2 127.5-0.8 120.9-0.9 143.8-1.0 98.3-0.2 102.9 1.0 100.0 1.0 117.0 2.2 93.7-0.2 2015 110.7-0.1 87.0-0.7 82.3-3.4 128.7 1.0 119.0-1.6 140.9-2.0 96.5-1.8 102.6-0.3 99.7-0.3 117.1 0.1 92.7-1.1 2016 110.9 0.1 86.4-0.7 77.4-6.0 131.1 1.8 116.5-2.1 136.3-3.3 94.9-1.7 102.9 0.4 100.3 0.6 117.5 0.3 91.8-1.0 2017 111.4 0.5 87.6 1.4 72.3-6.6 135.5 3.4 113.6-2.5 131.0-3.9 93.1-1.9 103.0 0.1 100.6 0.3 117.3-0.1 90.7-1.2 2018 111.8 0.4 89.0 1.6 67.9-6.0 138.9 2.5 110.6-2.6 125.7-4.0 91.4-1.8 103.0 0.0 100.9 0.3 117.0-0.3 89.6-1.2 2019 111.9 0.1 89.1 0.1 64.0-5.8 142.0 2.2 107.7-2.6 121.0-3.8 89.9-1.7 102.9-0.1 101.0 0.1 116.8-0.2 88.6-1.1 2020 112.3 0.3 89.0-0.1 60.1-6.0 144.8 2.0 105.2-2.3 117.0-3.3 88.4-1.6 102.9 0.0 101.2 0.2 116.6-0.1 87.9-0.8 Continúa E-30
Continuación Manufacturas Industrias alimentaria, de las bebidas y del tabaco Textiles, prendas de vestir y productos de cuero Total Confección de Fabricación de cuero, Años Subsector Industria Fabricación productos textiles, Fabricación piel y materiales Manufacturero Industria de las bebidas de insumos excepto prendas de prendas sucedáneos, excepto Total rama alimentaria y del tabaco Total rama textiles de vestir de vestir prendas de vestir Indice Var.% Indice Var.% Indice Var.% Indice Var.% Indice Var.% Indice Var.% Indice Var.% Indice Var.% Indice Var.% 1980 50.9-0.1 59.8 0.9 85.6-1.9 1981 52.0 2.2 60.1 0.5 86.7 1.2 1982 52.0-0.1 61.1 1.7 84.7-2.3 1983 51.9-0.1 60.5-1.0 86.2 1.8 1984 53.3 2.7 60.5 0.0 86.8 0.7 1985 54.9 3.0 61.3 1.4 87.5 0.8 1986 53.8-2.1 60.1-2.1 85.4-2.5 1987 55.1 2.5 60.3 0.4 82.4-3.5 1988 56.9 3.2 61.2 1.5 85.3 3.6 1989 59.5 4.5 63.9 4.4 88.4 3.7 1990 62.1 4.4 65.7 2.7 93.6 5.8 1991 63.5 2.3 66.4 1.0 95.4 2.0 1992 65.5 3.1 67.3 1.4 97.7 2.4 1993 66.6 1.7 69.4 3.2 95.7-2.0 1994 70.4 5.8 72.8 4.8 98.5 2.9 1995 70.7 0.4 74.9 2.9 92.0-6.6 1996 73.0 3.3 75.9 1.4 89.3-3.0 1997 75.2 3.0 77.3 1.8 83.8-6.1 1998 76.8 2.1 79.3 2.6 80.6-3.8 1999 76.7-0.2 80.2 1.1 76.2-5.5 2000 78.1 1.9 83.3 3.9 74.5-2.3 2001 79.1 1.2 84.5 1.5 74.2-0.3 2002 83.6 5.8 86.4 2.2 80.8 8.8 2003 84.6 1.1 87.5 1.3 91.5 69.5 80.8 0.0 84.5 75.1 77.6 88.6 2004 87.5 3.4 90.3 3.1 93.1 1.8 76.8 10.6 84.0 3.9 91.3 8.1 80.4 7.1 79.3 2.2 91.2 3.0 2005 89.6 2.5 93.0 3.0 94.1 1.1 88.0 14.5 84.3 0.4 89.7-1.8 83.6 4.0 79.9 0.8 92.0 0.8 2006 93.4 4.2 94.0 1.1 94.8 0.8 89.3 1.5 89.2 5.8 94.3 5.1 86.0 2.9 86.2 7.8 94.7 2.9 2007 96.6 3.4 98.0 4.3 98.1 3.5 97.8 9.5 92.5 3.6 97.5 3.5 93.8 9.1 88.6 2.8 97.3 2.8 2008 100.0 3.5 100.0 2.0 100.0 1.9 100.0 2.3 100.0 8.2 100.0 2.5 100.0 6.6 100.0 12.9 100.0 2.7 2009 100.8 0.8 100.2 0.2 99.9-0.1 101.9 1.9 102.0 2.0 104.9 4.9 106.7 6.7 102.1 2.1 99.7-0.3 2010 107.8 7.0 102.6 2.4 102.2 2.3 105.1 3.2 106.9 4.8 113.5 8.2 113.7 6.6 106.4 4.3 103.7 4.0 2011 112.3 4.1 103.9 1.3 102.5 0.2 112.9 7.4 111.2 4.0 113.7 0.1 113.3-0.4 115.2 8.2 103.8 0.1 2012 115.8 3.1 105.3 1.4 103.1 0.6 121.2 7.4 113.4 2.1 118.1 3.9 111.7-1.4 119.8 4.0 103.6-0.2 2013 116.7 0.8 105.5 0.1 102.2-0.8 129.7 7.0 116.4 2.6 118.8 0.6 114.4 2.4 127.0 6.0 101.2-2.3 2014 118.8 1.7 106.8 1.3 103.5 1.2 131.8 1.6 118.1 1.5 120.5 1.5 114.1-0.3 132.7 4.5 99.1-2.0 2015 121.0 1.9 108.3 1.4 104.8 1.3 134.3 1.9 119.0 0.8 125.7 4.3 112.9-1.0 135.3 2.0 97.2-2.0 2016 123.7 2.2 109.6 1.3 106.1 1.2 136.7 1.8 118.9-0.1 126.1 0.3 111.3-1.4 136.9 1.2 95.4-1.8 2017 127.1 2.7 111.1 1.4 107.4 1.3 139.0 1.7 118.4-0.4 126.9 0.6 109.6-1.6 137.8 0.6 93.8-1.7 2018 130.5 2.7 112.6 1.3 108.8 1.3 141.0 1.4 118.0-0.4 127.1 0.2 108.4-1.1 138.3 0.4 92.4-1.5 2019 134.0 2.7 114.1 1.4 110.4 1.4 142.9 1.4 117.7-0.2 127.5 0.3 107.3-1.0 139.1 0.6 91.2-1.3 2020 137.4 2.5 115.7 1.4 111.9 1.4 144.9 1.4 117.4-0.2 127.9 0.3 106.2-1.0 139.7 0.4 90.2-1.1 Continúa E-31
Continuación Manufacturas Madera y sus productos Impresión e industrias conexas Químicos, petróleo y caucho Fabricación Fabricación de Años de muebles Impresión productos derivados Industria Industria y productos Industria e industrias del petróleo Industria del plástico Total rama de la madera relacionados Total rama del papel conexas Total rama y del carbón química y del hule Indice Var.% Indice Var.% Indice Var.% Indice Var.% Indice Var.% Indice Var.% Indice Var.% Indice Var.% Indice Var.% Indice Var.% 1980 65.0-2.1 43.3 3.9 52.9 3.5 1981 65.3 0.5 44.5 2.7 54.0 1.9 1982 68.5 5.0 45.5 2.3 53.1-1.6 1983 74.2 8.3 45.0-1.1 53.5 0.8 1984 75.3 1.5 46.0 2.3 55.0 2.8 1985 75.8 0.6 48.1 4.4 56.9 3.4 1986 77.5 2.3 46.5-3.2 54.9-3.6 1987 75.9-2.1 46.9 0.8 55.5 1.1 1988 76.1 0.3 48.8 4.1 55.6 0.2 1989 76.8 0.9 50.9 4.2 59.2 6.5 1990 78.2 1.9 51.8 1.9 59.6 0.8 1991 79.2 1.2 52.3 1.0 59.0-1.1 1992 80.5 1.7 53.2 1.6 61.1 3.5 1993 73.7-8.5 51.5-3.2 60.4-1.2 1994 76.0 3.1 54.8 6.5 64.3 6.6 1995 77.0 1.4 58.2 6.2 69.5 8.0 1996 76.4-0.7 62.5 7.3 69.4-0.1 1997 81.6 6.8 66.8 6.9 71.5 3.1 1998 81.5-0.2 68.8 3.0 72.5 1.4 1999 82.5 1.3 71.7 4.2 71.4-1.5 2000 84.8 2.8 72.4 1.0 72.2 1.0 2001 86.4 1.8 72.0-0.5 71.9-0.4 2002 90.7 5.0 73.8 2.5 75.9 5.6 2003 93.1 2.6 91.4 94.6 75.6 2.4 75.8 76.5 80.3 5.8 97.7 73.7 84.9 2004 94.2 1.3 93.9 2.7 94.5-0.1 79.9 5.6 81.0 6.9 76.9 0.5 87.2 8.7 103.7 6.1 82.5 12.0 89.4 5.3 2005 96.1 2.0 96.2 2.5 95.9 1.4 82.6 3.4 83.9 3.6 79.2 3.0 90.5 3.7 101.1-2.5 87.3 5.7 91.9 2.8 2006 95.8-0.3 97.1 0.8 94.8-1.2 88.6 7.3 87.5 4.3 89.7 13.2 95.8 5.9 100.1-1.0 94.0 7.7 97.0 5.6 2007 97.5 1.8 97.7 0.7 97.6 3.0 93.9 6.0 96.0 9.8 91.0 1.4 98.8 3.1 102.1 2.0 98.3 4.5 100.3 3.3 2008 100.0 2.6 100.0 2.3 100.0 2.5 100.0 6.4 100.0 4.1 100.0 9.9 100.0 1.2 100.0-2.0 100.0 1.8 100.0-0.3 2009 102.2 2.2 98.6-1.4 105.7 5.7 101.0 1.0 103.1 3.1 96.2-3.8 105.2 5.2 102.0 2.0 99.7-0.3 106.5 6.5 2010 107.0 4.7 101.7 3.2 111.9 5.9 106.2 5.2 105.5 2.2 106.8 11.0 103.7-1.4 93.9-7.9 99.6-0.1 116.9 9.8 2011 113.3 5.9 109.5 7.7 117.2 4.7 105.4-0.8 105.2-0.3 107.6 0.7 103.2-0.5 88.3-6.0 99.3-0.3 123.8 5.9 2012 120.8 6.6 126.1 15.1 117.5 0.2 114.5 8.7 111.4 5.9 115.9 7.7 105.2 1.9 90.9 3.0 100.3 1.1 133.4 7.8 2013 117.7-2.6 126.6 0.4 111.6-5.0 120.1 4.9 116.4 4.5 117.0 1.0 106.5 1.2 95.4 5.0 101.9 1.6 131.7-1.3 2014 118.2 0.4 129.1 2.0 110.5-1.0 122.3 1.8 118.5 1.8 118.4 1.2 106.1-0.4 93.3-2.2 102.5 0.6 132.3 0.5 2015 119.9 1.4 130.4 1.0 112.5 1.8 124.1 1.5 120.4 1.6 120.3 1.6 107.2 1.1 91.1-2.4 103.9 1.3 134.3 1.5 2016 121.5 1.3 131.2 0.6 114.7 2.0 125.7 1.3 122.1 1.4 122.1 1.5 108.6 1.3 88.8-2.5 105.6 1.7 136.6 1.7 2017 122.8 1.1 131.8 0.5 116.6 1.6 127.2 1.2 123.4 1.1 123.8 1.4 109.9 1.2 87.1-2.0 107.3 1.6 138.8 1.6 2018 124.1 1.1 132.8 0.7 118.2 1.4 128.8 1.3 124.9 1.2 125.8 1.6 111.3 1.2 85.5-1.8 109.1 1.7 140.9 1.5 2019 124.9 0.6 133.0 0.2 119.4 1.0 130.4 1.2 126.3 1.1 128.0 1.7 112.6 1.2 84.5-1.2 111.0 1.7 142.7 1.3 2020 125.7 0.7 133.4 0.3 120.6 1.0 132.1 1.3 127.7 1.1 130.3 1.8 113.8 1.1 83.6-1.0 112.7 1.5 144.3 1.1 E-32 Continúa
Continuación Manufacturas Fabricación de Industrias metálicas Maquinaria y equipo productos a base Fabricación equipo Fabricación de equipo Años de minerales Industrias Fabricación Fabricación de computación, de generación Fabricación Otras no metálicos metálicas de productos de maquinaria comunicación y eléctrica y accesorios de equipo industrias Total rama Total rama básicas metálicos Total rama y equipo otros electrónicos eléctricos de transporte Total rama Indice Var.% Indice Var.% Indice Var.% Indice Var.% Indice Var.% Indice Var.% Indice Var.% Indice Var.% Indice Var.% Indice Var.% 1980 46.5 0.0 25.9-1.8 51.7 1.3 163.4-20.1 1981 46.0-1.1 26.0 0.4 53.2 3.0 176.1 7.8 1982 46.8 1.7 24.2-6.7 51.2-3.9 174.8-0.7 1983 46.0-1.8 23.6-2.7 48.2-5.8 150.0-14.2 1984 46.1 0.2 24.8 5.2 52.0 7.9 161.2 7.5 1985 46.3 0.5 25.7 3.5 55.7 7.2 166.9 3.5 1986 45.5-1.7 26.8 4.5 50.7-9.0 143.2-14.2 1987 46.6 2.4 32.2 20.1 52.2 2.9 128.0-10.6 1988 47.3 1.6 33.1 2.9 57.0 9.2 123.8-3.3 1989 46.6-1.6 36.2 9.3 58.7 3.0 109.0-12.0 1990 46.6 0.0 42.6 17.6 61.5 4.8 107.9-1.0 1991 48.1 3.4 43.8 3.0 65.8 7.0 108.7 0.7 1992 50.0 3.9 51.8 18.2 65.8-0.1 111.5 2.6 1993 55.1 10.0 59.3 14.4 66.8 1.6 104.6-6.2 1994 60.5 9.8 66.1 11.5 70.2 5.1 104.0-0.6 1995 59.9-0.9 65.5-0.9 63.7-9.2 96.2-7.5 1996 66.2 10.5 77.1 17.8 68.0 6.7 98.4 2.3 1997 69.7 5.3 82.5 7.0 74.1 9.1 92.8-5.7 1998 72.9 4.5 85.2 3.2 78.1 5.3 88.7-4.5 1999 75.2 3.2 88.8 4.3 78.1 0.1 89.3 0.7 2000 76.8 2.2 91.8 3.4 81.7 4.6 83.6-6.4 2001 76.7-0.2 87.3-4.9 84.7 3.7 86.0 2.8 2002 84.1 9.6 93.4 7.0 87.5 3.3 94.0 9.3 2003 85.9 2.2 94.6 1.2 91.7 88.0 84.4-3.5 99.5 108.3 77.8 75.4 87.7-6.7 2004 89.4 4.1 95.8 1.4 95.8 4.5 89.7 1.9 84.8 0.5 103.9 4.5 97.4-10.0 80.7 3.8 78.2 3.7 89.4 2.0 2005 90.7 1.4 99.1 3.5 99.6 4.0 93.6 4.3 85.8 1.1 108.4 4.3 97.1-0.4 82.1 1.7 78.4 0.2 91.4 2.3 2006 95.4 5.2 99.9 0.8 101.6 2.0 97.2 3.9 92.4 7.8 107.2-1.1 100.8 3.9 90.2 9.9 87.3 11.3 94.5 3.3 2007 97.8 2.5 99.5-0.4 100.2-1.4 99.1 2.0 95.6 3.5 103.5-3.5 102.7 1.9 94.6 4.9 91.6 5.0 96.8 2.4 2008 100.0 2.3 100.0 0.5 100.0-0.2 100.0 0.9 100.0 4.6 100.0-3.4 100.0-2.7 100.0 5.7 100.0 9.1 100.0 3.3 2009 103.9 3.9 97.2-2.8 91.3-8.7 100.3 0.3 98.6-1.4 89.0-11.0 106.5 6.5 102.2 2.2 101.2 1.2 104.7 4.7 2010 101.5-2.3 108.6 11.8 103.0 12.7 109.8 9.4 122.4 24.1 121.6 36.6 108.0 1.4 106.6 4.3 136.9 35.4 106.1 1.3 2011 106.9 5.2 111.4 2.6 103.7 0.7 114.9 4.7 133.9 9.4 130.0 6.9 121.4 12.5 109.5 2.8 144.0 5.2 108.7 2.5 2012 109.8 2.7 114.8 3.0 103.8 0.1 120.4 4.8 140.3 4.8 134.3 3.3 123.3 1.6 109.5 0.0 150.0 4.2 106.0-2.5 2013 106.1-3.3 112.7-1.8 101.9-1.8 118.4-1.6 142.8 1.8 128.9-4.0 141.7 14.9 109.0-0.4 147.0-2.0 104.3-1.6 2014 106.4 0.3 114.2 1.3 100.5-1.4 116.4-1.7 145.9 2.2 125.7-2.5 156.7 10.6 109.4 0.3 144.8-1.5 103.4-0.8 2015 109.2 2.6 114.4 0.2 98.6-1.9 117.1 0.6 149.3 2.4 126.9 1.0 169.4 8.1 110.8 1.3 143.3-1.0 103.7 0.3 2016 112.6 3.1 115.3 0.8 96.6-2.0 118.9 1.5 153.9 3.0 129.7 2.2 176.2 4.0 113.3 2.3 144.9 1.1 103.9 0.2 2017 116.0 3.0 116.6 1.1 95.1-1.6 121.0 1.8 160.3 4.1 132.3 2.0 182.9 3.8 116.4 2.7 149.3 3.0 105.7 1.7 2018 119.1 2.7 117.6 0.9 93.8-1.3 122.7 1.4 166.8 4.1 134.7 1.8 189.9 3.8 119.4 2.6 154.0 3.2 107.3 1.5 2019 122.2 2.6 118.5 0.8 92.8-1.1 124.2 1.2 173.3 3.9 137.0 1.7 196.7 3.6 122.5 2.6 159.0 3.2 108.8 1.4 2020 125.1 2.4 119.5 0.9 92.0-0.9 125.7 1.2 179.6 3.6 139.3 1.7 203.4 3.4 125.6 2.5 163.7 3.0 110.2 1.3 E-33 Conclusión
E-18. Productividad Media Laboral en el Sector Servicios por Subsectores Económicos: Escenario Base 2014-2020 (Indice 2008=100) Años Comercio, restaurantes y hoteles Servicios financieros, seguros y actividades inmobiliarias Total Servicios de Transporte, Servicios Sector alojamiento temporal almacenaje y Servicios inmobiliarios y Servicios y de preparación de comunicaciones financieros de alquiler de bienes Total subsector Comercio alimentos y bebidas Total subsector Total subsector y de seguros muebles e intangibles Indice Var.% Indice Var.% Indice Var.% Indice Var.% Indice Var.% Indice Var.% Indice Var.% Indice Var.% 1980 78.8 1.8 86.4 8.8 88.9-4.6 73.7-3.8 1981 80.1 1.7 89.3 3.4 91.0 2.4 71.9-2.6 1982 79.7-0.6 88.1-1.3 78.7-13.5 68.5-4.7 1983 80.3 0.8 84.0-4.7 80.3 2.0 69.5 1.4 1984 81.0 0.9 83.6-0.5 83.0 3.4 69.1-0.6 1985 80.5-0.7 82.9-0.8 83.5 0.6 70.8 2.5 1986 79.7-0.9 78.7-5.0 80.1-4.1 73.3 3.5 1987 80.2 0.6 78.3-0.6 80.8 0.9 74.5 1.7 1988 81.0 1.0 78.3 0.1 84.6 4.7 74.3-0.3 1989 81.2 0.2 77.5-1.1 83.9-0.8 75.6 1.7 1990 81.0-0.2 75.8-2.2 80.8-3.7 77.7 2.8 1991 81.3 0.4 75.9 0.1 81.0 0.2 78.6 1.1 1992 82.1 0.9 76.6 1.0 85.0 5.0 80.8 2.8 1993 84.2 2.5 74.6-2.6 89.2 4.9 83.5 3.4 1994 85.5 1.6 79.0 5.9 90.2 1.1 86.5 3.5 1995 82.3-3.8 70.4-10.9 88.0-2.4 88.1 1.9 1996 84.2 2.3 77.7 10.3 88.1 0.1 86.8-1.5 1997 86.1 2.3 84.6 8.9 91.8 4.2 83.6-3.7 1998 86.7 0.7 87.3 3.3 92.3 0.6 84.2 0.7 1999 87.4 0.8 88.3 1.2 93.3 1.1 85.4 1.5 2000 90.3 3.3 95.4 8.0 96.1 2.9 87.2 2.1 2001 89.5-1.0 91.7-3.9 93.8-2.4 88.4 1.3 2002 89.5 0.0 91.6-0.1 95.3 1.6 89.4 1.1 2003 90.5 1.1 92.4 0.9 93.2 93.2 96.2 0.9 92.5 3.5 54.4 107.0 2004 93.1 2.8 95.8 3.6 96.5 3.6 95.9 2.8 98.0 1.9 93.5 1.1 63.1 15.9 103.0-3.8 2005 95.0 2.0 98.0 2.4 99.0 2.6 96.2 0.4 98.1 0.0 94.0 0.5 67.7 7.3 103.0 0.1 2006 97.8 3.0 100.9 2.9 101.7 2.7 98.2 2.1 99.8 1.8 93.8-0.2 74.1 9.5 100.6-2.3 2007 99.2 1.5 102.2 1.3 102.6 1.0 100.6 2.4 100.6 0.8 93.5-0.3 78.4 5.7 99.8-0.8 2008 100.0 0.8 100.0-2.2 100.0-2.6 100.0-0.6 100.0-0.6 100.0 6.9 100.0 27.6 100.0 0.2 2009 97.4-2.6 90.3-9.7 90.0-10.0 92.4-7.6 93.7-6.3 105.8 5.8 102.4 2.4 109.2 9.2 2010 101.6 4.3 98.2 8.7 98.7 9.7 94.1 1.8 99.0 5.6 110.1 4.1 113.5 10.9 115.2 5.5 2011 104.3 2.6 104.1 6.1 104.8 6.2 96.5 2.6 101.4 2.4 110.0-0.1 111.7-1.6 118.7 3.1 2012 106.5 2.2 106.2 2.0 106.4 1.5 100.7 4.3 105.9 4.5 113.2 2.9 119.7 7.2 120.4 1.5 2013 107.2 0.6 107.5 1.3 107.7 1.2 102.0 1.3 108.1 2.0 114.6 1.3 122.8 2.6 121.6 1.0 2014 108.4 1.2 108.4 0.8 108.4 0.7 103.2 1.2 111.5 3.2 116.5 1.6 125.8 2.4 124.0 1.9 2015 110.5 1.9 111.1 2.4 110.9 2.3 105.9 2.6 116.0 4.0 117.1 0.5 128.0 1.8 125.2 1.0 2016 112.9 2.1 114.9 3.4 114.6 3.3 109.2 3.1 120.7 4.1 116.2-0.7 126.7-1.0 125.8 0.5 2017 115.4 2.2 119.0 3.6 118.5 3.4 113.4 3.8 125.2 3.7 113.6-2.3 121.9-3.8 126.3 0.4 2018 118.0 2.3 123.6 3.8 122.9 3.7 117.4 3.6 129.7 3.6 111.7-1.7 119.5-2.0 126.6 0.2 2019 120.6 2.2 128.3 3.8 127.4 3.7 121.3 3.3 134.5 3.7 110.1-1.4 117.6-1.6 126.8 0.2 2020 123.1 2.1 133.0 3.7 132.0 3.6 125.1 3.1 139.2 3.5 108.7-1.3 116.0-1.3 127.0 0.1 Continúa E-34
Continuación Años Servicios comunales, sociales y personales Servicios Servicios de profesionales, Dirección apoyo a los negocios y científicos de corporativos manejo de desechos y Servicios Total subsector y técnicos y empresas servicios de remediación educativos Indice Var.% Indice Var.% Indice Var.% Indice Var.% Indice Var.% 1980 84.8 0.6 1981 85.6 1.1 1982 87.1 1.7 1983 89.4 2.7 1984 89.6 0.3 1985 87.7-2.2 1986 87.3-0.5 1987 87.1-0.3 1988 87.7 0.8 1989 88.4 0.8 1990 89.2 0.8 1991 89.6 0.6 1992 89.1-0.6 1993 93.2 4.7 1994 92.2-1.1 1995 89.8-2.6 1996 89.6-0.3 1997 90.0 0.5 1998 89.9-0.1 1999 90.7 0.8 2000 92.2 1.7 2001 91.9-0.3 2002 91.0-1.0 2003 91.2 0.2 92.8 85.9 94.3 99.3 2004 93.0 2.0 94.2 1.4 87.4 1.8 94.8 0.5 99.5 0.2 2005 95.2 2.4 94.9 0.8 90.6 3.7 99.8 5.2 99.7 0.2 2006 97.8 2.8 96.6 1.8 97.8 7.9 101.7 2.0 99.5-0.1 2007 99.3 1.5 98.0 1.5 95.2-2.7 101.4-0.4 99.7 0.2 2008 100.0 0.7 100.0 2.0 100.0 5.0 100.0-1.3 100.0 0.3 2009 100.2 0.2 98.0-2.0 79.5-20.5 96.9-3.1 99.9-0.1 2010 100.3 0.1 97.2-0.8 73.2-7.9 97.6 0.7 99.8-0.1 2011 100.9 0.7 101.5 4.5 74.8 2.2 98.6 1.0 100.5 0.6 2012 103.2 2.2 103.5 1.9 78.8 5.3 97.8-0.7 101.4 0.9 2013 103.0-0.1 104.2 0.7 79.0 0.3 97.6-0.3 101.7 0.3 2014 103.8 0.8 105.6 1.3 78.8-0.3 97.3-0.3 102.5 0.8 2015 104.9 1.0 107.4 1.7 78.2-0.8 97.4 0.1 103.8 1.3 2016 106.0 1.0 109.3 1.8 76.9-1.7 97.5 0.2 105.6 1.7 2017 107.3 1.2 111.9 2.4 75.0-2.4 97.8 0.3 107.7 2.0 2018 108.5 1.1 114.4 2.2 73.4-2.2 98.1 0.3 109.8 1.9 2019 109.6 1.0 116.5 1.9 71.9-2.0 98.3 0.2 111.7 1.8 2020 110.6 1.0 118.4 1.6 70.6-1.8 98.4 0.1 113.5 1.6 E-35 Continúa
Continuación Años Servicios de esparcimiento, Servicios comunales, sociales y personales Servicios culturales y deportivos, Otros servicios de salud y otros servicios Información en excepto actividades Actividades y de asistencia social recreativos medios masivos del gobierno del gobierno Indice Var.% Indice Var.% Indice Var.% Indice Var.% Indice Var.% 1980 1981 1982 1983 1984 1985 1986 1987 1988 1989 1990 1991 1992 1993 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 90.8 94.2 56.6 99.9 97.6 2004 91.7 0.9 97.3 3.3 65.4 15.6 101.7 1.8 98.1 0.6 2005 93.0 1.5 96.3-1.0 73.0 11.7 99.7-2.0 99.9 1.8 2006 101.0 8.6 98.1 1.9 84.9 16.3 100.3 0.6 99.3-0.6 2007 99.8-1.2 101.2 3.2 96.2 13.3 99.4-0.9 100.2 0.8 2008 100.0 0.2 100.0-1.2 100.0 4.0 100.0 0.6 100.0-0.2 2009 100.8 0.8 97.3-2.7 108.2 8.2 98.7-1.3 100.7 0.7 2010 98.9-1.9 96.8-0.5 115.4 6.7 97.2-1.5 102.6 1.8 2011 99.9 1.0 97.3 0.4 120.5 4.3 97.6 0.4 100.8-1.7 2012 101.2 1.3 99.3 2.1 141.0 17.0 96.9-0.6 102.4 1.5 2013 102.7 1.5 98.6-0.7 150.8 7.0 96.6-0.3 101.2-1.2 2014 104.1 1.4 100.6 2.0 157.8 4.6 97.1 0.5 101.0-0.1 2015 105.6 1.5 103.0 2.4 163.9 3.9 98.1 1.0 100.7-0.3 2016 107.1 1.4 104.7 1.7 170.0 3.7 98.6 0.5 100.2-0.5 2017 108.5 1.3 106.4 1.6 176.1 3.6 99.3 0.7 99.6-0.6 2018 109.9 1.3 108.1 1.6 182.1 3.4 99.9 0.6 99.0-0.6 2019 111.2 1.2 109.8 1.6 187.9 3.2 100.2 0.3 98.6-0.4 2020 112.5 1.1 111.5 1.5 193.8 3.1 100.4 0.2 98.4-0.3 E-36 Conclusión
Sección: E-IV. Costo Unitario de la Mano de Obra Cuadro E-19. Grandes Sectores Económicos Cuadro E-20. Sector Industrial por Actividad Económica Cuadro E-21. Sector Servicios por Actividad Económica Cuadro E-22. Industria Manufacturera Cuadro E-23. Sector Industrial por Subsectores y Ramas Económicas Cuadro E-24. Sector Servicios por Subsectores Económicos
E-19. Costo Unitario de la Mano de Obra por Grandes Sectores Económicos: Escenario Base 2014-2020 (Indice 2008=100) Costo Unitario de la Mano de Obra Indice del Costo Unitario de la Mano de Obra 1980=100 Años Total Sector Agropecuario Sector Industrial Sector Servicios Total Primario Secundario Terciario Indice 2008 Var.% Indice 2008 Var.% Indice 2008 Var.% Indice 2008 Var.% Indice 1980 Indice 1980 Indice 1980 Indice 1980 1980 145.9-3.4 287.8-7.0 174.9-5.9 131.4-2.1 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 1981 149.9 2.8 293.8 2.1 175.8 0.5 135.6 3.2 96.6 93.0 94.1 97.9 1982 142.4-5.0 262.6-10.6 162.2-7.8 129.2-4.7 99.3 95.0 94.6 101.1 1983 110.5-22.4 223.6-14.8 124.3-23.4 99.9-22.7 94.3 84.9 87.3 96.3 1984 104.1-5.8 212.1-5.1 115.8-6.8 94.5-5.4 73.2 72.3 66.9 74.4 1985 103.9-0.2 211.9-0.1 116.0 0.2 94.6 0.1 68.9 68.6 62.3 70.4 1986 95.1-8.4 210.4-0.7 108.4-6.6 85.0-10.2 68.8 68.5 62.4 70.5 1987 92.6-2.6 196.2-6.8 104.5-3.6 83.0-2.3 63.0 68.0 58.3 63.3 1988 84.2-9.1 177.4-9.5 98.0-6.2 74.3-10.5 61.4 63.4 56.2 61.9 1989 87.7 4.1 172.3-2.9 102.6 4.7 78.3 5.4 55.8 57.4 52.7 55.4 1990 88.2 0.6 146.3-15.1 101.8-0.8 80.7 3.0 58.1 55.7 55.2 58.4 1991 92.3 4.6 143.2-2.2 104.2 2.4 86.3 6.9 58.4 47.3 54.8 60.1 1992 96.9 5.0 142.3-0.6 105.7 1.4 92.9 7.6 61.1 46.3 56.1 64.3 1993 101.3 4.6 141.9-0.3 105.9 0.2 99.2 6.8 64.1 46.0 56.9 69.2 1994 104.1 2.7 137.5-3.1 105.6-0.3 103.5 4.4 67.1 45.9 57.0 73.9 1995 92.7-11.0 117.9-14.3 92.0-12.8 92.9-10.3 68.9 44.5 56.8 77.2 1996 83.5-9.9 103.6-12.1 84.4-8.2 83.6-10.0 61.4 38.1 49.5 69.2 1997 83.8 0.3 100.5-2.9 85.5 1.2 83.8 0.2 55.3 33.5 45.4 62.3 1998 86.5 3.2 102.5 2.0 88.5 3.6 86.5 3.2 55.5 32.5 46.0 62.5 1999 87.9 1.7 97.8-4.7 90.6 2.4 87.7 1.4 57.3 33.1 47.6 64.4 2000 91.3 3.8 98.1 0.3 94.8 4.6 90.5 3.3 58.2 31.6 48.8 65.3 2001 94.8 3.9 100.0 1.9 96.2 1.5 95.2 5.1 60.5 31.7 51.0 67.5 2002 97.4 2.7 101.7 1.7 95.3-0.9 99.4 4.5 62.8 32.3 51.8 70.9 2003 98.7 1.3 101.6-0.1 94.7-0.7 101.6 2.2 64.5 32.9 51.3 74.1 2004 97.7-1.0 105.2 3.5 96.0 1.3 99.4-2.2 65.4 32.9 51.0 75.7 2005 98.1 0.4 107.6 2.3 95.7-0.3 99.7 0.3 64.7 34.0 51.6 74.1 2006 98.3 0.2 105.9-1.6 97.5 1.9 99.1-0.5 65.0 34.8 51.5 74.3 2007 98.6 0.3 102.8-3.0 97.9 0.4 99.1 0.0 65.1 34.2 52.5 73.9 2008 100.0 1.4 100.0-2.7 100.0 2.1 100.0 0.9 65.3 33.2 52.7 73.9 2009 101.4 1.4 100.6 0.6 96.6-3.4 103.1 3.1 66.2 32.3 53.8 74.5 2010 97.6-3.7 105.4 4.8 90.8-6.0 99.9-3.2 67.1 32.5 52.0 76.9 2011 97.3-0.3 106.6 1.1 92.0 1.3 98.6-1.2 64.7 34.1 48.8 74.4 2012 96.6-0.7 103.4-2.9 92.3 0.4 97.4-1.3 64.5 34.5 49.5 73.5 2013 97.2 0.6 105.7 2.2 92.5 0.1 97.7 0.3 64.0 33.4 49.7 72.6 2014 97.0-0.2 104.2-1.4 92.4-0.1 97.4-0.3 64.4 34.2 49.8 72.8 2015 97.3 0.3 107.1 2.8 93.8 1.5 97.1-0.3 64.2 33.7 49.7 72.6 2016 97.8 0.6 106.1-1.0 95.5 1.9 97.2 0.1 64.4 34.6 50.5 72.4 2017 98.5 0.7 111.6 5.2 97.2 1.8 97.4 0.2 64.8 34.3 51.4 72.5 2018 98.8 0.3 111.3-0.2 98.8 1.6 97.3-0.1 65.2 36.1 52.3 72.6 2019 99.0 0.3 114.8 3.1 100.4 1.6 97.0-0.3 65.4 36.0 53.2 72.5 2020 99.1 0.1 113.8-0.9 101.7 1.3 96.7-0.3 65.6 37.1 54.0 72.3 E-37
E-20. Costo Unitario de la Mano de Obra en el Sector Industrial: Escenario Base 2014-2020 (Indice 2008=100) Costo Unitario de la Mano de Obra Años Total Minería Manufacturas Construcción Electricidad Indice 2008 Var.% Indice 2008 Var.% Indice 2008 Var.% Indice 2008 Var.% Indice 2008 Var.% 1980 174.9-5.9 164.2-12.8 232.9-2.4 131.0-4.2 221.8-2.6 1981 175.8 0.5 156.6-4.6 235.6 1.1 134.8 2.9 216.5-2.4 1982 162.2-7.8 137.4-12.3 229.9-2.4 125.0-7.3 209.4-3.3 1983 124.3-23.4 109.3-20.4 178.5-22.4 101.3-19.0 157.5-24.8 1984 115.8-6.8 103.6-5.2 163.2-8.6 96.1-5.1 133.0-15.6 1985 116.0 0.2 119.2 15.1 158.2-3.0 96.4 0.4 123.2-7.4 1986 108.4-6.6 107.7-9.6 148.4-6.2 92.9-3.6 105.9-14.0 1987 104.5-3.6 106.1-1.6 144.6-2.6 87.6-5.8 115.4 9.0 1988 98.0-6.2 101.8-4.0 139.8-3.3 77.4-11.6 93.4-19.1 1989 102.6 4.7 97.0-4.8 145.7 4.2 80.6 4.1 93.8 0.5 1990 101.8-0.8 92.4-4.7 138.9-4.7 84.5 4.8 97.6 4.0 1991 104.2 2.4 102.9 11.3 139.4 0.4 86.2 2.1 103.1 5.7 1992 105.7 1.4 93.0-9.6 142.5 2.2 85.6-0.7 109.1 5.9 1993 105.9 0.2 85.5-8.0 140.7-1.3 89.2 4.2 118.7 8.8 1994 105.6-0.3 78.8-7.9 138.1-1.8 87.7-1.6 120.3 1.3 1995 92.0-12.8 74.7-5.2 119.9-13.2 86.1-1.8 108.8-9.6 1996 84.4-8.2 65.9-11.9 106.7-11.0 83.4-3.2 97.9-10.0 1997 85.5 1.2 64.6-1.9 103.6-2.9 86.1 3.3 95.1-2.8 1998 88.5 3.6 63.2-2.1 104.7 1.1 91.4 6.1 93.3-1.9 1999 90.6 2.4 64.3 1.6 106.1 1.4 89.9-1.5 95.0 1.9 2000 94.8 4.6 74.8 16.4 111.1 4.6 90.7 0.8 103.1 8.5 2001 96.2 1.5 75.4 0.8 115.4 3.9 91.7 1.1 111.2 7.8 2002 95.3-0.9 77.4 2.7 112.2-2.8 90.8-0.9 123.0 10.7 2003 94.7-0.7 71.3-7.9 112.0-0.2 91.4 0.6 128.3 4.3 2004 96.0 1.3 74.9 5.1 109.3-2.4 95.3 4.3 117.2-8.7 2005 95.7-0.3 73.5-1.9 108.4-0.8 94.8-0.6 110.3-5.9 2006 97.5 1.9 78.0 6.1 105.7-2.5 97.8 3.2 102.7-6.9 2007 97.9 0.4 87.1 11.7 103.1-2.4 97.6-0.2 99.1-3.5 2008 100.0 2.1 100.0 14.8 100.0-3.0 100.0 2.4 100.0 0.9 2009 96.6-3.4 107.1 7.1 97.9-2.1 94.9-5.1 96.5-3.5 2010 90.8-6.0 100.9-5.8 89.7-8.3 92.9-2.1 82.0-15.0 2011 92.0 1.3 108.8 7.8 86.9-3.2 95.6 2.9 84.8 3.4 2012 92.3 0.4 114.4 5.1 86.3-0.7 96.0 0.3 87.2 2.8 2013 92.5 0.1 121.4 6.2 85.7-0.7 97.5 1.6 90.8 4.2 2014 92.4-0.1 127.6 5.1 84.5-1.3 97.3-0.3 93.6 3.0 2015 93.8 1.5 132.6 3.9 83.9-0.7 99.1 1.9 98.6 5.4 2016 95.5 1.9 139.2 5.0 83.5-0.5 100.7 1.6 105.7 7.3 2017 97.2 1.8 144.6 3.9 83.0-0.7 102.9 2.2 114.6 8.3 2018 98.8 1.6 149.8 3.6 82.2-1.0 105.0 2.0 124.0 8.3 2019 100.4 1.6 156.3 4.3 81.1-1.3 107.0 1.9 134.0 8.0 2020 101.7 1.3 163.3 4.5 80.0-1.4 108.6 1.6 144.0 7.5 E-38
E-21. Costo Unitario de la Mano de Obra en el Sector Servicios: Escenario Base 2014-2020 (Indice 2003=100) Años! Costo Unitario de la Mano de Obra Comercio, Transporte, Almacenaje Servicios Financieros, Servicios Comunales, Total Restaurantes y Hoteles y Comunicaciones Seguros e Inmuebles Sociales y Personales Indice 2008 Var.% Indice 2008 Var.% Indice 2008 Var.% Indice 2008 Var.% Indice 2008 Var.% 1980 131.4-2.1 188.7-11.0 131.1-2.1 157.7 2.3 101.9 1.0 1981 135.6 3.2 184.8-2.0 134.6 2.6 168.2 6.7 107.2 5.2 1982 129.2-4.7 167.5-9.4 142.3 5.7 167.0-0.8 102.0-4.8 1983 99.9-22.7 144.3-13.8 117.0-17.8 125.7-24.7 75.0-26.5 1984 94.5-5.4 135.3-6.3 107.0-8.5 120.9-3.8 71.9-4.0 1985 94.6 0.1 134.7-0.4 107.2 0.1 119.6-1.1 73.0 1.4 1986 85.0-10.2 128.1-4.9 102.8-4.1 108.4-9.4 64.1-12.2 1987 83.0-2.3 121.5-5.1 100.0-2.7 110.6 2.1 63.5-0.9 1988 74.3-10.5 107.5-11.5 94.5-5.5 100.9-8.8 56.6-11.0 1989 78.3 5.4 117.7 9.5 96.8 2.5 103.5 2.6 59.5 5.1 1990 80.7 3.0 124.8 6.1 99.6 2.8 110.6 6.9 60.6 2.0 1991 86.3 6.9 132.5 6.1 105.7 6.1 121.3 9.6 65.0 7.2 1992 92.9 7.6 138.6 4.6 107.7 1.9 137.9 13.7 71.6 10.2 1993 99.2 6.8 149.9 8.2 107.3-0.4 148.1 7.4 76.4 6.6 1994 103.5 4.4 145.5-3.0 107.1-0.3 146.6-1.0 84.0 10.0 1995 92.9-10.3 139.1-4.4 99.3-7.2 119.6-18.4 74.7-11.1 1996 83.6-10.0 112.9-18.8 91.4-8.0 104.9-12.3 69.8-6.5 1997 83.8 0.2 103.6-8.3 87.8-3.9 112.5 7.2 72.0 3.1 1998 86.5 3.2 102.4-1.1 88.9 1.3 108.8-3.3 76.2 5.7 1999 87.7 1.4 101.6-0.8 90.2 1.4 101.2-7.0 78.4 2.9 2000 90.5 3.3 99.6-1.9 92.7 2.8 96.2-4.9 83.4 6.4 2001 95.2 5.1 104.3 4.7 96.4 4.0 93.6-2.7 89.0 6.7 2002 99.4 4.5 105.2 0.9 96.4-0.1 101.4 8.4 94.7 6.4 2003 101.6 2.2 104.3-0.9 96.8 0.4 91.0-10.3 99.7 5.3 2004 99.4-2.2 101.6-2.5 97.0 0.3 89.2-2.0 98.2-1.5 2005 99.7 0.3 102.3 0.7 99.2 2.2 92.6 3.9 98.0-0.2 2006 99.1-0.5 100.0-2.2 98.5-0.7 94.4 1.9 98.5 0.5 2007 99.1 0.0 98.1-1.9 99.3 0.8 98.2 4.1 98.7 0.1 2008 100.0 0.9 100.0 1.9 100.0 0.7 100.0 1.8 100.0 1.4 2009 103.1 3.1 107.8 7.8 105.7 5.7 94.4-5.6 101.0 1.0 2010 99.9-3.2 98.5-8.7 101.4-4.1 92.1-2.4 102.3 1.3 2011 98.6-1.2 91.8-6.8 101.2-0.1 92.0-0.2 103.6 1.3 2012 97.4-1.3 89.0-3.0 98.3-2.9 89.3-2.9 102.8-0.8 2013 97.7 0.3 89.9 1.0 97.6-0.6 85.7-4.0 103.8 0.9 2014 97.4-0.3 88.9-1.2 95.8-1.9 82.5-3.7 104.3 0.5 2015 97.1-0.3 85.8-3.4 94.0-1.9 81.5-1.3 105.7 1.3 2016 97.2 0.1 82.6-3.8 92.8-1.3 82.1 0.8 107.7 1.9 2017 97.4 0.2 79.3-3.9 91.8-1.0 84.9 3.3 109.7 1.9 2018 97.3-0.1 75.8-4.4 90.8-1.2 86.5 1.9 111.6 1.7 2019 97.0-0.3 72.4-4.6 89.1-1.9 87.6 1.3 113.3 1.5 2020 96.7-0.3 69.1-4.5 87.4-1.9 88.3 0.7 114.9 1.5 E-39
E-22. Costo Unitario de la Mano de Obral en la Industria Manufacturera: Escenario Base 2014-2020 (Indice 2008=100) Industria Alimentos, Textiles, Madera Imprenta Años Manufacturera Bebidas y Tabaco Vestidos y Cuero y sus Productos y Editoriales Indice 2008 Var.% Indice 2008 Var.% Indice 2008 Var.% Indice 2008 Var.% Indice 2008 Var.% 1980 232.9-2.4 201.9-4.3 177.0-1.1 198.9 1.9 385.3-4.6 1981 235.6 1.1 203.8 0.9 176.0-0.6 210.0 5.6 366.8-4.8 1982 229.9-2.4 189.5-7.0 172.7-1.9 188.2-10.3 338.5-7.7 1983 178.5-22.4 146.9-22.5 135.0-21.8 140.4-25.4 266.7-21.2 1984 163.2-8.6 138.5-5.7 124.4-7.8 129.1-8.0 241.0-9.6 1985 158.2-3.0 135.2-2.4 122.9-1.2 125.8-2.5 226.2-6.1 1986 148.4-6.2 126.3-6.5 113.7-7.5 116.7-7.2 213.3-5.7 1987 144.6-2.6 121.9-3.5 113.6-0.1 114.0-2.3 212.9-0.2 1988 139.8-3.3 113.8-6.7 108.1-4.9 103.3-9.4 205.1-3.7 1989 145.7 4.2 122.5 7.7 115.6 6.9 109.7 6.1 200.6-2.2 1990 138.9-4.7 121.7-0.7 108.5-6.1 110.9 1.1 192.2-4.2 1991 139.4 0.4 129.1 6.1 108.0-0.5 112.5 1.4 192.8 0.3 1992 142.5 2.2 136.4 5.7 112.0 3.7 113.6 1.0 205.2 6.4 1993 140.7-1.3 140.8 3.2 112.8 0.7 124.7 9.8 213.2 3.9 1994 138.1-1.8 141.1 0.2 111.8-0.9 125.9 1.0 210.6-1.2 1995 119.9-13.2 117.1-17.1 96.4-13.8 105.8-16.0 166.8-20.8 1996 106.7-11.0 106.6-9.0 88.4-8.3 97.2-8.1 144.4-13.4 1997 103.6-2.9 104.6-1.8 93.6 5.9 90.9-6.5 128.4-11.1 1998 104.7 1.1 105.7 1.0 100.6 7.5 93.3 2.6 127.9-0.4 1999 106.1 1.4 105.7 0.0 106.6 6.0 96.3 3.2 126.0-1.5 2000 111.1 4.6 108.1 2.2 118.5 11.2 99.2 3.0 131.1 4.1 2001 115.4 3.9 113.0 4.5 124.0 4.6 104.0 4.8 137.0 4.5 2002 112.2-2.8 114.6 1.5 119.6-3.6 103.1-0.8 137.9 0.7 2003 112.0-0.2 114.0-0.6 120.9 1.2 102.9-0.2 135.6-1.6 2004 109.3-2.4 111.9-1.9 117.7-2.7 100.2-2.6 128.4-5.3 2005 108.4-0.8 109.1-2.5 120.1 2.0 100.0-0.2 125.9-2.0 2006 105.7-2.5 110.1 0.9 113.9-5.2 102.2 2.2 114.2-9.3 2007 103.1-2.4 105.2-4.5 108.2-5.0 102.0-0.2 105.9-7.2 2008 100.0-3.0 100.0-4.9 100.0-7.6 100.0-2.0 100.0-5.6 2009 97.9-2.1 96.8-3.2 96.0-4.0 95.2-4.8 98.5-1.5 2010 89.7-8.3 94.4-2.4 90.4-5.8 91.1-4.3 93.1-5.4 2011 86.9-3.2 93.1-1.5 88.1-2.6 87.2-4.3 94.0 1.0 2012 86.3-0.7 93.0 0.0 85.9-2.4 81.5-6.5 88.9-5.5 2013 85.7-0.7 93.4 0.4 83.7-2.6 83.4 2.3 86.0-3.2 2014 84.5-1.3 92.7-0.8 82.2-1.7 82.4-1.2 84.9-1.3 2015 83.9-0.7 92.5-0.2 82.0-0.2 81.2-1.5 84.7-0.2 2016 83.5-0.5 93.0 0.5 82.6 0.8 80.4-1.0 85.2 0.6 2017 83.0-0.7 93.7 0.8 83.5 1.0 80.0-0.5 85.9 0.8 2018 82.2-1.0 94.2 0.5 84.1 0.8 79.4-0.8 86.2 0.3 2019 81.1-1.3 94.2 0.0 84.3 0.2 78.8-0.7 86.3 0.1 2020 80.0-1.4 94.1-0.1 84.5 0.2 78.1-0.9 86.2-0.1 E-40 Continúa
Continuación Químicos, Minerales Industrias Maquinaria Otras Años Petróleo y Caucho No Metálicos Metálicas Básicas y Equipo Industrias Indice 2008 Var.% Indice 2008 Var.% Indice 2008 Var.% Indice 2008 Var.% Indice 2008 Var.% 1980 179.2-3.8 273.5-1.2 502.7-1.2 215.7-5.8 79.8 19.1 1981 178.8-0.2 282.7 3.3 526.8 4.8 218.5 1.3 75.2-5.8 1982 174.8-2.3 275.9-2.4 574.5 9.1 226.9 3.9 71.7-4.7 1983 134.0-23.3 218.7-20.7 451.0-21.5 187.2-17.5 66.9-6.7 1984 123.2-8.1 204.2-6.7 400.2-11.2 162.1-13.4 58.1-13.2 1985 123.4 0.2 202.0-1.1 379.9-5.1 153.6-5.3 54.0-7.0 1986 120.5-2.4 195.4-3.3 325.3-14.4 157.2 2.4 59.4 10.0 1987 120.4-0.1 185.2-5.2 293.6-9.7 151.5-3.7 63.1 6.1 1988 122.4 1.7 183.7-0.8 289.6-1.4 139.6-7.9 59.5-5.7 1989 121.4-0.8 201.2 9.5 302.8 4.5 146.4 4.9 71.7 20.6 1990 119.6-1.5 198.2-1.5 254.3-16.0 138.5-5.4 69.8-2.6 1991 125.5 5.0 201.2 1.5 239.8-5.7 133.7-3.5 71.7 2.7 1992 128.8 2.6 200.3-0.5 221.0-7.8 138.7 3.8 75.2 4.9 1993 132.2 2.6 183.6-8.3 184.2-16.7 137.3-1.0 83.5 11.0 1994 127.8-3.4 173.9-5.2 172.4-6.4 136.0-1.0 86.4 3.4 1995 106.7-16.5 161.3-7.3 155.0-10.1 132.6-2.5 80.1-7.3 1996 102.1-4.3 125.2-22.3 118.7-23.5 113.4-14.5 72.8-9.1 1997 99.5-2.5 115.3-7.9 108.7-8.4 104.6-7.8 78.6 8.0 1998 102.4 2.9 112.0-2.9 107.5-1.1 101.6-2.9 85.0 8.1 1999 105.9 3.4 111.1-0.8 100.3-6.7 103.6 2.0 84.5-0.6 2000 111.3 5.1 113.3 2.0 100.1-0.2 106.1 2.5 98.9 17.1 2001 115.6 3.9 124.4 9.8 107.7 7.6 109.6 3.2 98.3-0.6 2002 112.0-3.1 117.2-5.7 102.6-4.7 107.7-1.7 92.1-6.3 2003 110.2-1.6 117.3 0.1 102.8 0.2 110.4 2.5 99.9 8.4 2004 105.1-4.7 113.8-3.0 99.3-3.4 109.9-0.5 102.8 2.9 2005 106.0 0.9 109.0-4.2 96.2-3.1 110.6 0.6 101.4-1.4 2006 101.3-4.5 102.7-5.8 97.1 0.9 105.6-4.5 102.3 0.9 2007 100.7-0.6 100.3-2.4 100.4 3.5 102.6-2.8 101.5-0.8 2008 100.0-0.7 100.0-0.3 100.0-0.4 100.0-2.6 100.0-1.5 2009 99.2-0.8 95.9-4.1 105.9 5.9 102.2 2.2 93.0-7.0 2010 96.5-2.8 94.7-1.2 94.7-10.6 79.1-22.6 92.0-1.1 2011 98.9 2.5 86.1-9.1 92.7-2.0 72.5-8.4 89.5-2.7 2012 100.2 1.3 82.9-3.7 96.5 4.0 71.1-1.9 89.8 0.3 2013 97.9-2.2 84.6 2.0 99.8 3.5 69.7-1.9 88.8-1.1 2014 97.4-0.6 82.7-2.2 100.3 0.5 67.9-2.6 87.2-1.8 2015 97.2-0.2 80.2-3.1 102.5 2.2 66.7-1.8 85.3-2.1 2016 97.4 0.2 77.8-3.0 104.5 1.9 65.5-1.9 84.0-1.6 2017 97.8 0.5 75.9-2.5 106.3 1.7 63.8-2.6 81.4-3.0 2018 97.9 0.1 73.9-2.5 107.9 1.5 62.0-2.8 78.8-3.2 2019 97.6-0.3 72.0-2.7 109.5 1.4 60.2-2.9 76.3-3.2 2020 97.3-0.4 70.1-2.6 110.7 1.2 58.5-2.8 73.8-3.3 Conclusión E-41
E-23. Costo Unitario de la Mano de Obra en el Sector Industrial por Subsectores y Ramas Económicas: Escenario Base 2014-2020 (Indice 2008=100) Minería Electricidad Construcción Años Total Minería de minerales Generación, Agua y sumistro Construcción Trabajos Sector Extracción metálicos y no transmisión de gas por ductos de obras de especializados Industrial de petróleo metálicos, excepto y suministro de al consumidor ingeniería para la Total subsector y gas petróleo y gas Total subsector energía eléctrica final Total subsector Edificación civil construcción Indice Var.% Indice Var.% Indice Var.% Indice Var.% Indice Var.% Indice Var.% Indice Var.% Indice Var.% Indice Var.% Indice Var.% Indice Var.% 1980 174.9-5.9 164.2-12.8 221.8-2.6 131.0-4.2 1981 175.8 0.5 156.6-4.6 216.5-2.4 134.8 2.9 1982 162.2-7.8 137.4-12.3 209.4-3.3 125.0-7.3 1983 124.3-23.4 109.3-20.4 157.5-24.8 101.3-19.0 1984 115.8-6.8 103.6-5.2 133.0-15.6 96.1-5.1 1985 116.0 0.2 119.2 15.1 123.2-7.4 96.4 0.4 1986 108.4-6.6 107.7-9.6 105.9-14.0 92.9-3.6 1987 104.5-3.6 106.1-1.6 115.4 9.0 87.6-5.8 1988 98.0-6.2 101.8-4.0 93.4-19.1 77.4-11.6 1989 102.6 4.7 97.0-4.8 93.8 0.5 80.6 4.1 1990 101.8-0.8 92.4-4.7 97.6 4.0 84.5 4.8 1991 104.2 2.4 102.9 11.3 103.1 5.7 86.2 2.1 1992 105.7 1.4 93.0-9.6 109.1 5.9 85.6-0.7 1993 105.9 0.2 85.5-8.0 118.7 8.8 89.2 4.2 1994 105.6-0.3 78.8-7.9 120.3 1.3 87.7-1.6 1995 92.0-12.8 74.7-5.2 108.8-9.6 86.1-1.8 1996 84.4-8.2 65.9-11.9 97.9-10.0 83.4-3.2 1997 85.5 1.2 64.6-1.9 95.1-2.8 86.1 3.3 1998 88.5 3.6 63.2-2.1 93.3-1.9 91.4 6.1 1999 90.6 2.4 64.3 1.6 95.0 1.9 89.9-1.5 2000 94.8 4.6 74.8 16.4 103.1 8.5 90.7 0.8 2001 96.2 1.5 75.4 0.8 111.2 7.8 91.7 1.1 2002 95.3-0.9 77.4 2.7 123.0 10.7 90.8-0.9 2003 94.7-0.7 71.3-7.9 75.7 82.9 128.3 4.3 132.0 102.4 91.4 0.6 91.8 90.6 89.0 2004 96.0 1.3 74.9 5.1 77.4 2.2 87.4 5.4 117.2-8.7 118.6-10.1 101.7-0.8 95.3 4.3 96.2 4.9 92.5 2.1 92.2 3.5 2005 95.7-0.3 73.5-1.9 73.9-4.5 79.8-8.7 110.3-5.9 111.4-6.1 98.1-3.5 94.8-0.6 96.3 0.1 88.9-3.9 93.3 1.3 2006 97.5 1.9 78.0 6.1 81.0 9.6 84.7 6.1 102.7-6.9 103.3-7.2 95.5-2.6 97.8 3.2 99.1 2.9 91.7 3.2 94.5 1.2 2007 97.9 0.4 87.1 11.7 90.2 11.3 86.0 1.5 99.1-3.5 99.8-3.4 92.8-2.8 97.6-0.2 98.9-0.3 93.2 1.6 94.3-0.2 2008 100.0 2.1 100.0 14.8 100.0 10.9 100.0 16.3 100.0 0.9 100.0 0.2 100.0 7.7 100.0 2.4 100.0 1.1 100.0 7.3 100.0 6.0 2009 96.6-3.4 107.1 7.1 113.1 13.1 101.9 1.9 96.5-3.5 96.6-3.4 93.7-6.3 94.9-5.1 96.9-3.1 89.1-10.9 99.9-0.1 2010 90.8-6.0 100.9-5.8 95.8-15.3 89.9-11.8 82.0-15.0 78.2-19.1 92.8-1.1 92.9-2.1 96.5-0.4 82.1-7.8 99.6-0.3 2011 92.0 1.3 108.8 7.8 114.5 19.5 83.0-7.6 84.8 3.4 82.6 5.7 93.6 0.9 95.6 2.9 99.7 3.3 83.3 1.4 102.1 2.5 2012 92.3 0.4 114.4 5.1 125.4 9.5 79.4-4.4 87.2 2.8 86.1 4.2 92.8-0.9 96.0 0.3 100.5 0.8 81.9-1.7 102.7 0.6 2013 92.5 0.1 121.4 6.2 133.5 6.5 83.2 4.8 90.8 4.2 91.2 5.9 91.6-1.3 97.5 1.6 102.1 1.6 82.1 0.3 108.3 5.5 2014 92.4-0.1 127.6 5.1 139.5 4.5 85.2 2.4 93.6 3.0 95.5 4.8 88.8-3.0 97.3-0.3 102.1-0.1 80.4-2.1 108.8 0.5 2015 93.8 1.5 132.6 3.9 148.6 6.6 86.4 1.3 98.6 5.4 102.3 7.1 88.4-0.5 99.1 1.9 104.1 2.0 81.1 0.8 112.0 2.9 2016 95.5 1.9 139.2 5.0 163.4 9.9 87.1 0.8 105.7 7.3 111.9 9.3 88.2-0.2 100.7 1.6 105.6 1.4 82.1 1.3 115.8 3.4 2017 97.2 1.8 144.6 3.9 181.1 10.8 86.4-0.7 114.6 8.3 123.5 10.4 88.2-0.1 102.9 2.2 107.8 2.0 83.7 1.9 120.2 3.8 2018 98.8 1.6 149.8 3.6 198.9 9.9 86.4-0.1 124.0 8.3 136.1 10.2 87.8-0.4 105.0 2.0 109.7 1.8 85.2 1.8 124.4 3.6 2019 100.4 1.6 156.3 4.3 217.5 9.4 86.2-0.1 134.0 8.0 149.3 9.7 87.2-0.7 107.0 1.9 111.6 1.8 86.5 1.6 128.2 3.0 2020 101.7 1.3 163.3 4.5 238.1 9.4 86.2-0.1 144.0 7.5 162.7 9.0 86.5-0.8 108.6 1.6 113.3 1.5 87.6 1.2 131.3 2.4 Continúa E-42
Continuación Manufacturas Industrias alimentaria, de las bebidas y del tabaco Textiles, prendas de vestir y productos de cuero Total Confección de Fabricación de cuero, Años Subsector Industria Fabricación productos textiles, Fabricación piel y materiales Manufacturero Industria de las bebidas de insumos excepto prendas de prendas sucedáneos, excepto Total rama alimentaria y del tabaco Total rama textiles de vestir de vestir prendas de vestir Indice Var.% Indice Var.% Indice Var.% Indice Var.% Indice Var.% Indice Var.% Indice Var.% Indice Var.% Indice Var.% 1980 232.9-2.4 201.9-4.3 177.0-1.1 1981 235.6 1.1 203.8 0.9 176.0-0.6 1982 229.9-2.4 189.5-7.0 172.7-1.9 1983 178.5-22.4 146.9-22.5 135.0-21.8 1984 163.2-8.6 138.5-5.7 124.4-7.8 1985 158.2-3.0 135.2-2.4 122.9-1.2 1986 148.4-6.2 126.3-6.5 113.7-7.5 1987 144.6-2.6 121.9-3.5 113.6-0.1 1988 139.8-3.3 113.8-6.7 108.1-4.9 1989 145.7 4.2 122.5 7.7 115.6 6.9 1990 138.9-4.7 121.7-0.7 108.5-6.1 1991 139.4 0.4 129.1 6.1 108.0-0.5 1992 142.5 2.2 136.4 5.7 112.0 3.7 1993 140.7-1.3 140.8 3.2 112.8 0.7 1994 138.1-1.8 141.1 0.2 111.8-0.9 1995 119.9-13.2 117.1-17.1 96.4-13.8 1996 106.7-11.0 106.6-9.0 88.4-8.3 1997 103.6-2.9 104.6-1.8 93.6 5.9 1998 104.7 1.1 105.7 1.0 100.6 7.5 1999 106.1 1.4 105.7 0.0 106.6 6.0 2000 111.1 4.6 108.1 2.2 118.5 11.2 2001 115.4 3.9 113.0 4.5 124.0 4.6 2002 112.2-2.8 114.6 1.5 119.6-3.6 2003 112.0-0.2 114.0-0.6 110.1 131.9 120.9 1.2 109.6 139.6 122.4 113.9 2004 109.3-2.4 111.9-1.9 108.5-1.5 126.8-3.9 117.7-2.7 106.8-2.6 128.6-7.9 120.3-1.7 112.7-1.0 2005 108.4-0.8 109.1-2.5 107.1-1.3 117.6-7.2 120.1 2.0 110.5 3.5 133.2 3.6 120.8 0.3 112.7-0.1 2006 105.7-2.5 110.1 0.9 108.2 1.0 117.3-0.3 113.9-5.2 113.3 2.6 118.0-11.4 113.7-5.8 110.8-1.7 2007 103.1-2.4 105.2-4.5 104.2-3.7 108.9-7.2 108.2-5.0 107.1-5.5 104.0-11.8 109.9-3.4 106.6-3.8 2008 100.0-3.0 100.0-4.9 100.0-4.0 100.0-8.2 100.0-7.6 100.0-6.7 100.0-3.9 100.0-9.0 100.0-6.2 2009 97.9-2.1 96.8-3.2 97.8-2.2 92.9-7.1 96.0-4.0 88.7-11.3 94.9-5.1 97.2-2.8 97.1-2.9 2010 89.7-8.3 94.4-2.4 96.6-1.2 86.3-7.1 90.4-5.8 74.9-15.6 94.0-1.0 92.1-5.2 91.6-5.6 2011 86.9-3.2 93.1-1.5 96.4-0.3 80.8-6.4 88.1-2.6 77.0 2.9 92.7-1.3 86.3-6.3 93.3 1.8 2012 86.3-0.7 93.0 0.0 96.6 0.2 79.8-1.2 85.9-2.4 76.5-0.7 89.5-3.5 83.2-3.6 93.3 0.0 2013 85.7-0.7 93.4 0.4 97.9 1.4 76.9-3.7 83.7-2.6 78.1 2.1 83.4-6.9 78.9-5.1 95.6 2.5 2014 84.5-1.3 92.7-0.8 96.9-1.0 77.1 0.3 82.2-1.7 78.1 0.0 81.4-2.4 75.5-4.3 96.9 1.3 2015 83.9-0.7 92.5-0.2 96.7-0.2 77.1 0.0 82.0-0.2 76.1-2.5 80.9-0.6 74.3-1.6 99.1 2.3 2016 83.5-0.5 93.0 0.5 97.4 0.7 76.9-0.2 82.6 0.8 77.4 1.7 81.3 0.5 73.8-0.7 101.5 2.4 2017 83.0-0.7 93.7 0.8 98.3 0.9 76.8-0.1 83.5 1.0 78.4 1.4 82.1 1.0 73.6-0.2 103.9 2.4 2018 82.2-1.0 94.2 0.5 98.9 0.6 76.7-0.1 84.1 0.8 79.5 1.4 82.2 0.1 73.5-0.2 105.8 1.9 2019 81.1-1.3 94.2 0.0 99.0 0.1 76.5-0.3 84.3 0.2 80.5 1.2 82.0-0.2 73.0-0.7 107.2 1.3 2020 80.0-1.4 94.1-0.1 98.9-0.1 76.2-0.3 84.5 0.2 81.3 1.0 81.8-0.3 72.6-0.5 108.2 1.0 Continúa E-43
Continuación Manufacturas Madera y sus productos Impresión e industrias conexas Químicos, petróleo y caucho Fabricación Fabricación de Años de muebles Impresión productos derivados Industria Industria y productos Industria e industrias del petróleo Industria del plástico Total rama de la madera relacionados Total rama del papel conexas Total rama y del carbón química y del hule Indice Var.% Indice Var.% Indice Var.% Indice Var.% Indice Var.% Indice Var.% Indice Var.% Indice Var.% Indice Var.% Indice Var.% 1980 198.9 1.9 385.3-4.6 179.2-3.8 1981 210.0 5.6 366.8-4.8 178.8-0.2 1982 188.2-10.3 338.5-7.7 174.8-2.3 1983 140.4-25.4 266.7-21.2 134.0-23.3 1984 129.1-8.0 241.0-9.6 123.2-8.1 1985 125.8-2.5 226.2-6.1 123.4 0.2 1986 116.7-7.2 213.3-5.7 120.5-2.4 1987 114.0-2.3 212.9-0.2 120.4-0.1 1988 103.3-9.4 205.1-3.7 122.4 1.7 1989 109.7 6.1 200.6-2.2 121.4-0.8 1990 110.9 1.1 192.2-4.2 119.6-1.5 1991 112.5 1.4 192.8 0.3 125.5 5.0 1992 113.6 1.0 205.2 6.4 128.8 2.6 1993 124.7 9.8 213.2 3.9 132.2 2.6 1994 125.9 1.0 210.6-1.2 127.8-3.4 1995 105.8-16.0 166.8-20.8 106.7-16.5 1996 97.2-8.1 144.4-13.4 102.1-4.3 1997 90.9-6.5 128.4-11.1 99.5-2.5 1998 93.3 2.6 127.9-0.4 102.4 2.9 1999 96.3 3.2 126.0-1.5 105.9 3.4 2000 99.2 3.0 131.1 4.1 111.3 5.1 2001 104.0 4.8 137.0 4.5 115.6 3.9 2002 103.1-0.8 137.9 0.7 112.0-3.1 2003 102.9-0.2 101.9 103.6 135.6-1.6 133.4 137.6 110.2-1.6 80.5 119.1 117.0 2004 100.2-2.6 97.3-4.5 102.5-1.1 128.4-5.3 124.1-7.0 137.4-0.2 105.1-4.7 74.8-7.1 114.4-4.0 111.5-4.7 2005 100.0-0.2 96.8-0.6 102.5 0.0 125.9-2.0 123.9-0.1 131.2-4.5 106.0 0.9 81.9 9.4 113.8-0.5 109.6-1.8 2006 102.2 2.2 98.3 1.5 105.3 2.8 114.2-9.3 115.8-6.5 111.9-14.8 101.3-4.5 88.2 7.7 104.4-8.2 105.7-3.5 2007 102.0-0.2 100.1 1.9 103.3-1.9 105.9-7.2 103.7-10.5 110.2-1.5 100.7-0.6 99.7 13.0 100.5-3.8 101.9-3.6 2008 100.0-2.0 100.0-0.1 100.0-3.2 100.0-5.6 100.0-3.5 100.0-9.2 100.0-0.7 100.0 0.3 100.0-0.5 100.0-1.8 2009 95.2-4.8 99.3-0.7 91.8-8.2 98.5-1.5 95.1-4.9 105.5 5.5 99.2-0.8 100.8 0.8 101.9 1.9 92.4-7.6 2010 91.1-4.3 95.8-3.5 87.4-4.9 93.1-5.4 92.4-2.9 94.2-10.7 96.5-2.8 106.7 5.8 97.7-4.1 82.0-11.3 2011 87.2-4.3 88.7-7.5 85.8-1.8 94.0 1.0 93.6 1.3 93.4-0.9 98.9 2.5 112.7 5.6 100.3 2.6 80.1-2.2 2012 81.5-6.5 77.4-12.8 84.7-1.3 88.9-5.5 88.6-5.3 90.3-3.3 100.2 1.3 125.1 11.0 98.9-1.3 76.9-4.1 2013 83.4 2.3 76.9-0.6 88.7 4.7 86.0-3.2 85.3-3.8 90.9 0.7 97.9-2.2 115.2-7.9 97.4-1.6 79.2 3.1 2014 82.4-1.2 74.9-2.6 88.8 0.0 84.9-1.3 83.9-1.7 90.8-0.2 97.4-0.6 114.7-0.4 96.2-1.2 79.7 0.5 2015 81.2-1.5 74.3-0.8 87.0-2.0 84.7-0.2 83.4-0.5 90.9 0.1 97.2-0.2 115.4 0.6 95.4-0.9 79.9 0.3 2016 80.4-1.0 74.5 0.2 85.3-1.9 85.2 0.6 83.9 0.6 91.2 0.4 97.4 0.2 117.3 1.6 94.8-0.6 80.2 0.4 2017 80.0-0.5 74.8 0.5 84.2-1.3 85.9 0.8 84.6 0.9 91.8 0.7 97.8 0.5 118.7 1.2 94.8 0.0 80.8 0.7 2018 79.4-0.8 74.9 0.1 82.8-1.6 86.2 0.3 85.0 0.4 91.8 0.0 97.9 0.1 119.6 0.8 94.4-0.4 81.2 0.5 2019 78.8-0.7 75.0 0.2 81.6-1.4 86.3 0.1 85.1 0.2 91.6-0.2 97.6-0.3 119.2-0.3 93.8-0.6 81.5 0.4 2020 78.1-0.9 74.9-0.2 80.4-1.5 86.2-0.1 85.1-0.1 91.3-0.4 97.3-0.4 118.2-0.9 93.3-0.5 81.8 0.4 E-44 Continúa
Continuación Manufacturas Fabricación de Industrias metálicas Maquinaria y equipo productos a base Fabricación equipo Fabricación de equipo Años de minerales Industrias Fabricación Fabricación de computación, de generación Fabricación Otras no metálicos metálicas de productos de maquinaria comunicación y eléctrica y accesorios de equipo industrias Total rama Total rama básicas metálicos Total rama y equipo otros electrónicos eléctricos de transporte Total rama Indice Var.% Indice Var.% Indice Var.% Indice Var.% Indice Var.% Indice Var.% Indice Var.% Indice Var.% Indice Var.% Indice Var.% 1980 273.5-1.2 502.7-1.2 215.7-5.8 79.8 19.1 1981 282.7 3.3 526.8 4.8 218.5 1.3 75.2-5.8 1982 275.9-2.4 574.5 9.1 226.9 3.9 71.7-4.7 1983 218.7-20.7 451.0-21.5 187.2-17.5 66.9-6.7 1984 204.2-6.7 400.2-11.2 162.1-13.4 58.1-13.2 1985 202.0-1.1 379.9-5.1 153.6-5.3 54.0-7.0 1986 195.4-3.3 325.3-14.4 157.2 2.4 59.4 10.0 1987 185.2-5.2 293.6-9.7 151.5-3.7 63.1 6.1 1988 183.7-0.8 289.6-1.4 139.6-7.9 59.5-5.7 1989 201.2 9.5 302.8 4.5 146.4 4.9 71.7 20.6 1990 198.2-1.5 254.3-16.0 138.5-5.4 69.8-2.6 1991 201.2 1.5 239.8-5.7 133.7-3.5 71.7 2.7 1992 200.3-0.5 221.0-7.8 138.7 3.8 75.2 4.9 1993 183.6-8.3 184.2-16.7 137.3-1.0 83.5 11.0 1994 173.9-5.2 172.4-6.4 136.0-1.0 86.4 3.4 1995 161.3-7.3 155.0-10.1 132.6-2.5 80.1-7.3 1996 125.2-22.3 118.7-23.5 113.4-14.5 72.8-9.1 1997 115.3-7.9 108.7-8.4 104.6-7.8 78.6 8.0 1998 112.0-2.9 107.5-1.1 101.6-2.9 85.0 8.1 1999 111.1-0.8 100.3-6.7 103.6 2.0 84.5-0.6 2000 113.3 2.0 100.1-0.2 106.1 2.5 98.9 17.1 2001 124.4 9.8 107.7 7.6 109.6 3.2 98.3-0.6 2002 117.2-5.7 102.6-4.7 107.7-1.7 92.1-6.3 2003 117.3 0.1 102.8 0.2 101.8 110.7 110.4 2.5 93.6 88.4 112.9 124.9 99.9 8.4 2004 113.8-3.0 99.3-3.4 97.0-4.7 106.4-3.9 109.9-0.5 92.0-1.7 97.2 10.0 109.7-2.9 120.3-3.6 102.8 2.9 2005 109.0-4.2 96.2-3.1 96.5-0.5 100.9-5.2 110.6 0.6 92.6 0.7 98.7 1.5 110.3 0.6 121.0 0.6 101.4-1.4 2006 102.7-5.8 97.1 0.9 98.5 2.2 98.3-2.6 105.6-4.5 91.0-1.7 100.3 1.6 103.8-5.9 111.0-8.3 102.3 0.9 2007 100.3-2.4 100.4 3.5 101.9 3.4 99.9 1.7 102.6-2.8 95.2 4.6 98.0-2.3 100.8-2.9 106.2-4.3 101.5-0.8 2008 100.0-0.3 100.0-0.4 100.0-1.8 100.0 0.1 100.0-2.6 100.0 5.0 100.0 2.0 100.0-0.8 100.0-5.8 100.0-1.5 2009 95.9-4.1 105.9 5.9 109.7 9.7 102.6 2.6 102.2 2.2 112.8 12.8 95.8-4.2 95.1-4.9 101.6 1.6 93.0-7.0 2010 94.7-1.2 94.7-10.6 95.2-13.2 94.6-7.8 79.1-22.6 82.8-26.6 89.2-6.9 88.3-7.2 71.7-29.4 92.0-1.1 2011 86.1-9.1 92.7-2.0 94.6-0.6 90.8-4.0 72.5-8.4 79.5-4.0 77.6-13.0 84.1-4.7 68.5-4.5 89.5-2.7 2012 82.9-3.7 96.5 4.0 101.7 7.5 92.1 1.4 71.1-1.9 79.4-0.1 82.4 6.3 86.8 3.1 65.1-4.9 89.8 0.3 2013 84.6 2.0 99.8 3.5 104.5 2.7 95.6 3.8 69.7-1.9 83.9 5.7 69.5-15.7 87.3 0.6 66.7 2.4 88.8-1.1 2014 82.7-2.2 100.3 0.5 106.2 1.6 98.6 3.2 67.9-2.6 86.8 3.5 61.2-12.0 86.3-1.1 67.5 1.2 87.2-1.8 2015 80.2-3.1 102.5 2.2 109.7 3.4 100.4 1.7 66.7-1.8 87.7 1.0 55.9-8.6 85.3-1.1 68.6 1.5 85.3-2.1 2016 77.8-3.0 104.5 1.9 113.7 3.6 101.4 1.0 65.5-1.9 88.0 0.3 53.3-4.7 84.0-1.6 68.6 0.0 84.0-1.6 2017 75.9-2.5 106.3 1.7 117.5 3.3 102.3 0.9 63.8-2.6 88.4 0.5 51.1-4.0 82.3-2.0 67.5-1.5 81.4-3.0 2018 73.9-2.5 107.9 1.5 120.8 2.8 103.3 1.0 62.0-2.8 88.8 0.4 48.9-4.3 80.5-2.2 66.3-1.9 78.8-3.2 2019 72.0-2.7 109.5 1.4 123.5 2.2 104.5 1.1 60.2-2.9 88.9 0.2 46.8-4.3 78.5-2.5 64.9-2.1 76.3-3.2 2020 70.1-2.6 110.7 1.2 125.8 1.9 105.5 1.0 58.5-2.8 89.0 0.0 44.9-4.2 76.5-2.5 63.4-2.2 73.8-3.3 E-45 Conclusión
E-24. Costo Unitario de la Mano de Obra en el Sector Servicios por Subsectores Económicos: Escenario Base 2014-2020 (Indice 2008=100) Comercio, restaurantes y hoteles Servicios financieros, seguros y actividades inmobiliarias Total Servicios de Transporte, Servicios Años Sector alojamiento temporal almacenaje y Servicios inmobiliarios y Servicios y de preparación de comunicaciones financieros de alquiler de bienes Total subsector Comercio alimentos y bebidas Total subsector Total subsector y de seguros muebles e intangibles Indice Var.% Indice Var.% Indice Var.% Indice Var.% Indice Var.% Indice Var.% Indice Var.% Indice Var.% 1980 131.4-2.1 188.7-11.0 131.1-2.1 157.7 2.3 1981 135.6 3.2 184.8-2.0 134.6 2.6 168.2 6.7 1982 129.2-4.7 167.5-9.4 142.3 5.7 167.0-0.8 1983 99.9-22.7 144.3-13.8 117.0-17.8 125.7-24.7 1984 94.5-5.4 135.3-6.3 107.0-8.5 120.9-3.8 1985 94.6 0.1 134.7-0.4 107.2 0.1 119.6-1.1 1986 85.0-10.2 128.1-4.9 102.8-4.1 108.4-9.4 1987 83.0-2.3 121.5-5.1 100.0-2.7 110.6 2.1 1988 74.3-10.5 107.5-11.5 94.5-5.5 100.9-8.8 1989 78.3 5.4 117.7 9.5 96.8 2.5 103.5 2.6 1990 80.7 3.0 124.8 6.1 99.6 2.8 110.6 6.9 1991 86.3 6.9 132.5 6.1 105.7 6.1 121.3 9.6 1992 92.9 7.6 138.6 4.6 107.7 1.9 137.9 13.7 1993 99.2 6.8 149.9 8.2 107.3-0.4 148.1 7.4 1994 103.5 4.4 145.5-3.0 107.1-0.3 146.6-1.0 1995 92.9-10.3 139.1-4.4 99.3-7.2 119.6-18.4 1996 83.6-10.0 112.9-18.8 91.4-8.0 104.9-12.3 1997 83.8 0.2 103.6-8.3 87.8-3.9 112.5 7.2 1998 86.5 3.2 102.4-1.1 88.9 1.3 108.8-3.3 1999 87.7 1.4 101.6-0.8 90.2 1.4 101.2-7.0 2000 90.5 3.3 99.6-1.9 92.7 2.8 96.2-4.9 2001 95.2 5.1 104.3 4.7 96.4 4.0 93.6-2.7 2002 99.4 4.5 105.2 0.9 96.4-0.1 101.4 8.4 2003 101.6 2.2 104.3-0.9 103.4 105.9 96.8 0.4 91.0-10.3 140.2 93.7 2004 99.4-2.2 101.6-2.5 100.9-2.4 102.9-2.9 97.0 0.3 89.2-2.0 124.1-11.5 97.5 4.0 2005 99.7 0.3 102.3 0.7 101.9 1.0 103.0 0.1 99.2 2.2 92.6 3.9 121.2-2.3 96.3-1.2 2006 99.1-0.5 100.0-2.2 99.6-2.3 102.0-1.0 98.5-0.7 94.4 1.9 112.9-6.8 100.6 4.5 2007 99.1 0.0 98.1-1.9 97.8-1.8 99.7-2.3 99.3 0.8 98.2 4.1 110.7-1.9 100.8 0.1 2008 100.0 0.9 100.0 1.9 100.0 2.2 100.0 0.3 100.0 0.7 100.0 1.8 100.0-9.7 100.0-0.8 2009 103.1 3.1 107.8 7.8 107.8 7.8 107.3 7.3 105.7 5.7 94.4-5.6 93.7-6.3 90.6-9.4 2010 99.9-3.2 98.5-8.7 97.1-9.9 107.0-0.3 101.4-4.1 92.1-2.4 81.5-13.0 86.7-4.3 2011 98.6-1.2 91.8-6.8 89.9-7.4 105.2-1.7 101.2-0.1 92.0-0.2 79.3-2.7 85.5-1.4 2012 97.4-1.3 89.0-3.0 87.4-2.8 100.7-4.2 98.3-2.9 89.3-2.9 74.0-6.8 83.6-2.2 2013 97.7 0.3 89.9 1.0 88.7 1.6 99.2-1.5 97.6-0.6 85.7-4.0 69.6-5.9 82.2-1.8 2014 97.4-0.3 88.9-1.2 87.9-1.0 97.4-1.9 95.8-1.9 82.5-3.7 65.8-5.5 80.1-2.5 2015 97.1-0.3 85.8-3.4 84.7-3.6 95.5-1.9 94.0-1.9 81.5-1.3 63.1-4.1 80.0-0.1 2016 97.2 0.1 82.6-3.8 81.2-4.1 93.9-1.7 92.8-1.3 82.1 0.8 62.7-0.7 80.9 1.1 2017 97.4 0.2 79.3-3.9 77.7-4.3 92.4-1.6 91.8-1.0 84.9 3.3 64.1 2.3 81.7 1.0 2018 97.3-0.1 75.8-4.4 74.0-4.8 90.8-1.7 90.8-1.2 86.5 1.9 64.2 0.2 82.4 1.0 2019 97.0-0.3 72.4-4.6 70.3-5.0 89.5-1.5 89.1-1.9 87.6 1.3 64.0-0.4 83.0 0.7 2020 96.7-0.3 69.1-4.5 66.8-5.0 88.2-1.4 87.4-1.9 88.3 0.7 63.4-0.9 83.5 0.6 Continúa E-46
Continuación Años Servicios Servicios comunales, sociales y personales Servicios de profesionales, Dirección apoyo a los negocios y científicos de corporativos manejo de desechos y Servicios Total subsector y técnicos y empresas servicios de remediación educativos Indice Var.% Indice Var.% Indice Var.% Indice Var.% Indice Var.% 1980 101.9 1.0 1981 107.2 5.2 1982 102.0-4.8 1983 75.0-26.5 1984 71.9-4.0 1985 73.0 1.4 1986 64.1-12.2 1987 63.5-0.9 1988 56.6-11.0 1989 59.5 5.1 1990 60.6 2.0 1991 65.0 7.2 1992 71.6 10.2 1993 76.4 6.6 1994 84.0 10.0 1995 74.7-11.1 1996 69.8-6.5 1997 72.0 3.1 1998 76.2 5.7 1999 78.4 2.9 2000 83.4 6.4 2001 89.0 6.7 2002 94.7 6.4 2003 99.7 5.3 104.8 105.7 102.7 87.7 2004 98.2-1.5 101.8-2.8 98.4-6.9 101.3-1.4 86.8-1.0 2005 98.0-0.2 101.8 0.0 96.7-1.8 97.9-3.4 90.6 4.4 2006 98.5 0.5 101.2-0.6 113.7 17.6 97.8-0.1 95.2 5.1 2007 98.7 0.1 101.5 0.3 92.3-18.8 99.2 1.4 97.3 2.2 2008 100.0 1.4 100.0-1.5 100.0 8.3 100.0 0.8 100.0 2.8 2009 101.0 1.0 101.1 1.1 94.9-5.1 102.8 2.8 100.3 0.3 2010 102.3 1.3 103.3 2.1 101.2 6.6 102.8 0.0 102.1 1.8 2011 103.6 1.3 100.4-2.8 107.0 5.8 103.1 0.3 104.4 2.2 2012 102.8-0.8 98.5-1.9 103.3-3.5 104.3 1.2 108.0 3.4 2013 103.8 0.9 97.6-0.9 104.2 0.9 105.1 0.8 109.9 1.8 2014 104.3 0.5 95.7-2.0 106.0 1.7 106.0 0.9 111.4 1.4 2015 105.7 1.3 95.1-0.6 109.7 3.5 107.4 1.3 113.6 1.9 2016 107.7 1.9 95.2 0.1 115.4 5.2 109.6 2.0 116.1 2.2 2017 109.7 1.9 94.9-0.3 122.7 6.3 111.7 2.0 118.3 1.9 2018 111.6 1.7 94.5-0.4 129.7 5.7 113.7 1.7 120.2 1.6 2019 113.3 1.5 94.2-0.3 136.6 5.3 115.4 1.6 122.0 1.5 2020 114.9 1.5 94.1-0.1 143.3 4.9 117.2 1.5 123.9 1.5 E-47 Continúa
Continuación Años Servicios de esparcimiento, Servicios comunales, sociales y personales Servicios culturales y deportivos, Otros servicios de salud y otros servicios Información en excepto actividades Actividades y de asistencia social recreativos medios masivos del gobierno del gobierno Indice Var.% Indice Var.% Indice Var.% Indice Var.% Indice Var.% 1980 1981 1982 1983 1984 1985 1986 1987 1988 1989 1990 1991 1992 1993 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 98.5 103.7 146.8 96.1 88.5 2004 99.3 0.8 98.1-5.4 137.3-6.5 94.6-1.6 89.7 1.4 2005 97.6-1.7 99.6 1.5 129.2-5.8 97.2 2.8 90.6 0.9 2006 91.9-5.9 100.9 1.3 118.0-8.7 99.9 2.7 94.3 4.1 2007 93.3 1.6 101.7 0.8 105.5-10.6 101.3 1.4 97.9 3.9 2008 100.0 7.1 100.0-1.7 100.0-5.2 100.0-1.3 100.0 2.1 2009 100.6 0.6 104.5 4.5 92.7-7.3 98.9-1.1 102.3 2.3 2010 106.2 5.6 109.9 5.2 89.0-4.0 99.4 0.5 102.9 0.6 2011 110.5 4.1 110.0 0.1 85.5-3.9 98.6-0.8 107.4 4.3 2012 111.7 1.1 107.9-1.9 68.1-20.4 99.4 0.8 108.3 0.9 2013 111.4-0.3 108.5 0.5 63.5-6.7 99.0-0.5 111.6 3.1 2014 111.4 0.0 105.2-3.0 61.2-3.6 98.0-1.0 114.2 2.3 2015 113.0 1.5 102.6-2.5 60.0-2.0 97.3-0.7 118.3 3.5 2016 115.8 2.5 101.0-1.5 59.2-1.3 97.5 0.2 123.4 4.3 2017 119.3 3.0 99.4-1.5 58.5-1.3 97.5-0.1 129.3 4.8 2018 122.4 2.6 97.7-1.8 57.7-1.3 97.3-0.2 135.1 4.5 2019 125.4 2.5 95.6-2.1 56.8-1.6 97.1-0.2 140.5 4.0 2020 128.5 2.4 93.7-2.1 55.9-1.6 96.8-0.3 145.9 3.9 E-48 Conclusión
Sección E-V. Otros Indicadores Salariales Cuadro E-25. Salario Mínimo General, Salario Base IMSS y Salario Contractual 1980-2020 Cuadro E-26. Encuesta Mensual del INEGI: Industria Manufacturera, Construcción y Establecimientos Comerciales 1980-2020 Cuadro E-27. Sector Manufacturero: Productividad Media Laboral, Costo Unitario de la Mano de Obra y Masa Salarial 1980-2020
E-25. Salario Mínimo General, Salario Base IMSS y Salario Contractual: Escenario Base 2014-2020 (Pesos diarios e indices base 2008=100) Salario Mínimo General Salario Base de Cotización al IMSS Salario Contractual Años Nominal Indice Real Nominal Indice Real Indice Nominal Indice Real Pesos Diarios % 2008=100 % Pesos Diarios % 2008=100 % 2008=100 % 2008=100 % 1980 0.14 17.5 323.1-7.0.... 1.5 22.7 1,805.1-2.9 1981 0.18 30.1 328.6 1.7.... 2.0 30.7 1,843.5 2.1 1982 0.26 40.4 290.4-11.6 0.60. 155.5. 2.6 30.7 1,516.2-17.8 1983 0.43 68.7 242.7-16.4 0.89 47.5 113.7-26.9 3.4 27.5 957.5-36.9 1984 0.67 54.3 226.2-6.8 1.23 38.9 95.4-16.1 4.4 31.5 761.1-20.5 1985 1.04 55.1 222.4-1.7 1.96 58.6 95.9 0.5 5.9 32.3 638.3-16.1 1986 1.79 72.6 206.1-7.3 3.37 72.1 88.6-7.6 7.9 35.8 465.3-27.1 1987 3.88 116.6 192.6-6.6 7.03 108.9 79.8-9.9 10.7 34.8 270.6-41.8 1988 7.22 86.1 167.4-13.1 14.18 101.7 75.2-5.8 13.0 21.2 153.1-43.4 1989 8.14 12.8 157.3-6.0 18.14 28.0 80.2 6.6 14.6 12.6 143.7-6.2 1990 9.41 15.7 143.6-8.7 22.83 25.8 79.7-0.7 17.1 17.0 132.7-7.6 1991 11.00 16.9 136.9-4.7 28.79 26.1 81.9 2.8 20.5 20.0 129.8-2.2 1992 12.08 9.8 130.1-4.9 34.74 20.7 85.6 4.5 23.3 13.4 127.4-1.9 1993 13.06 8.1 128.1-1.5 41.31 18.9 92.7 8.3 25.3 8.9 126.4-0.8 1994 13.97 7.0 128.1 0.0 49.60 20.1 104.1 12.2 26.7 5.4 124.5-1.5 1995 16.43 17.6 111.7-12.9 56.52 14.0 87.8-15.6 29.9 11.9 103.2-17.1 1996 20.39 24.1 103.1-7.7 67.63 19.7 78.2-11.0 35.9 20.1 92.2-10.6 1997 24.30 19.2 101.9-1.2 80.23 18.6 76.9-1.6 42.8 19.3 91.2-1.1 1998 28.30 16.4 102.3 0.4 94.68 18.0 78.3 1.8 50.4 17.8 92.7 1.6 1999 31.91 12.8 99.0-3.3 110.84 17.1 78.6 0.4 58.9 16.9 92.9 0.2 2000 35.12 10.1 99.5 0.5 129.69 17.0 84.0 6.9 66.3 12.5 95.5 2.8 2001 37.57 7.0 100.1 0.6 146.19 12.7 89.0 6.0 72.5 9.3 98.1 2.8 2002 39.74 5.8 100.8 0.7 158.04 8.1 91.6 2.9 76.9 6.1 99.1 1.0 2003 41.53 4.5 100.7 0.0 168.36 6.5 93.4 1.9 80.6 4.9 99.4 0.3 2004 43.30 4.3 100.3-0.4 179.24 6.5 95.0 1.7 84.1 4.4 99.1-0.3 2005 45.24 4.5 100.8 0.5 189.97 6.0 96.8 1.9 87.9 4.5 99.6 0.5 2006 47.05 4.0 101.1 0.4 200.07 5.3 98.4 1.6 91.7 4.3 100.3 0.7 2007 48.88 3.9 101.1-0.1 211.05 5.5 99.8 1.5 95.7 4.3 100.6 0.3 2008 50.84 4.0 100.0-1.1 222.30 5.3 100.0 0.2 100.0 4.5 100.0-0.6 2009 53.19 4.6 99.4-0.6 231.63 4.2 99.0-1.0 104.5 4.5 99.2-0.8 2010 55.77 4.8 100.0 0.7 239.16 3.2 98.1-0.9 109.2 4.6 99.6 0.4 2011 58.06 4.1 100.7 0.7 249.32 4.2 98.9 0.8 114.2 4.5 100.7 1.1 2012 60.52 4.2 100.8 0.1 260.06 4.3 99.1 0.2 119.4 4.6 101.1 0.4 2013 63.12 4.3 101.3 0.5 270.18 3.9 99.2 0.1 124.5 4.3 101.6 0.5 2014 65.58 3.9 101.2-0.1 281.29 4.1 99.3 0.1 129.7 4.1 101.7 0.1 2015 68.31 4.2 101.7 0.5 293.36 4.3 99.9 0.6 135.7 4.6 102.7 0.9 2016 71.30 4.4 102.4 0.7 306.88 4.6 100.8 0.9 142.4 5.0 104.0 1.3 2017 74.96 5.1 103.4 1.0 323.36 5.4 102.0 1.3 150.6 5.7 105.6 1.6 2018 78.65 4.9 104.3 0.8 340.04 5.2 103.1 1.0 158.9 5.5 107.1 1.4 2019 82.25 4.6 105.0 0.7 356.40 4.8 104.0 0.9 167.1 5.2 108.4 1.2 2020 85.75 4.3 105.5 0.5 372.44 4.5 104.8 0.8 175.2 4.8 109.6 1.1 E-49
E-26. Remuneraciones Medias Nominales y Reales por Sectores Económicos: Escenario Base 2014-2020 Encuesta Mensual del INEGI Industria Manufacturera Construcción Establecimientos Comerciales Años Nominal Indice Real Nominal Indice Real Nominal Indice Real Pesos Diarios % 2008=100 % Pesos Diarios % 2008=100 % Pesos Diarios % 2008=100 % 1980 0.25 22.2 105.3-3.2................ 1981 0.34 34.3 110.6 5.0................ 1982 0.53 59.1 110.7 0.1................ 1983 0.82 53.3 84.0-24.1................ 1984 1.26 54.2 78.3-6.8 1.00.. 88.0.......... 1985 2.01 59.4 79.2 1.1 1.57 57.9 88.1 0.1........ 1986 3.48 73.5 73.7-6.9 2.89 83.3 86.7-1.6........ 1987 7.97 128.6 72.7-1.4 5.61 94.2 72.6-16.2........ 1988 16.98 113.2 72.4-0.5 11.04 97.0 66.8-8.0........ 1989 22.19 30.7 78.8 8.9 13.94 26.2 70.2 5.2........ 1990 29.11 31.2 81.6 3.6 18.98 36.2 75.5 7.5 31.90.. 92.3.. 1991 37.88 30.1 86.6 6.1 23.90 25.9 77.5 2.7 41.70 30.7 98.4 6.6 1992 47.59 25.6 94.2 8.8 28.78 20.4 80.8 4.2 51.98 24.6 106.1 7.9 1993 54.58 14.7 98.4 4.5 33.45 16.3 85.6 5.9 59.73 14.9 111.1 4.7 1994 60.81 11.4 102.5 4.2 35.85 7.2 85.8 0.2 55.12-7.7 95.9-13.7 1995 71.76 18.0 89.6-12.6 43.10 20.2 76.4-10.9 64.29 16.6 82.8-13.6 1996 86.89 21.1 80.7-9.9 46.35 7.5 61.1-20.0 78.69 22.4 75.5-8.9 1997 104.21 19.9 80.3-0.6 53.83 16.1 58.8-3.7 96.38 22.5 76.6 1.5 1998 124.23 19.2 82.5 2.8 63.62 18.2 60.0 1.9 113.76 18.0 78.0 1.8 1999 147.03 18.4 83.8 1.5 74.82 17.6 60.5 0.9 132.84 16.8 78.1 0.2 2000 170.60 16.0 88.8 6.0 81.46 8.9 60.2-0.6 154.13 16.0 82.8 6.0 2001 193.66 13.5 94.8 6.7 91.35 12.1 63.4 5.4 165.40 7.3 83.5 0.9 2002 207.19 7.0 96.5 1.9 107.66 17.9 71.2 12.2 176.03 6.4 84.6 1.3 2003 219.54 6.0 97.8 1.4 119.73 11.2 75.7 6.4 195.88 11.3 90.1 6.4 2004 230.45 5.0 98.1 0.3 128.12 7.0 77.4 2.2 229.04 16.9 100.6 11.7 2005 239.05 3.7 97.9-0.2 135.53 5.8 78.7 1.7 247.97 8.3 104.8 4.1 2006 248.60 4.0 98.2 0.4 175.78 29.7 98.5 25.2 248.67 0.3 101.4-3.2 2007 260.97 5.0 99.2 1.0 185.73 5.7 100.1 1.6 256.27 3.1 100.5-0.9 2008 276.37 5.9 100.0 0.9 194.97 5.0 100.0-0.1 268.10 4.6 100.0-0.5 2009 289.41 4.7 99.3-0.7 206.81 6.1 100.7 0.7 274.49 2.4 97.2-2.8 2010 299.62 3.5 98.7-0.7 216.06 4.5 101.0 0.3 282.42 2.9 96.0-1.2 2011 310.17 3.5 98.9 0.2 225.48 4.4 102.0 0.9 287.32 1.7 94.5-1.6 2012 323.15 4.2 99.0 0.1 236.33 4.8 102.7 0.7 294.28 2.4 93.0-1.6 2013 335.90 3.9 99.1 0.1 245.12 3.7 102.6-0.1 314.04 6.7 95.6 2.8 2014 349.93 4.2 99.3 0.2 254.43 3.8 102.4-0.2 326.72 4.0 95.6 0.0 2015 366.24 4.7 100.2 1.0 266.44 4.7 103.4 1.0 343.48 5.1 96.9 1.4 2016 385.57 5.3 101.8 1.6 280.33 5.2 105.0 1.5 362.51 5.5 98.7 1.8 2017 408.48 5.9 103.6 1.8 296.87 5.9 106.8 1.8 383.82 5.9 100.4 1.8 2018 431.64 5.7 105.2 1.5 313.82 5.7 108.5 1.6 405.59 5.7 102.0 1.5 2019 453.95 5.2 106.5 1.3 330.04 5.2 109.8 1.3 427.12 5.3 103.4 1.4 2020 475.56 4.8 107.6 1.0 345.78 4.8 111.0 1.0 448.61 5.0 104.7 1.3 E-50
E-27. Productividad, Costo Unitario y Masa Salarial en la Industria Manufacturera: Escenario Base 2014-2020 Encuesta Mensual del INEGI Industria Manufacturera Productividad Costo Unitario Masa Años Producción Ocupación Remuneración Media Real Media Laboral de la Mano de Obra Salarial 2008=100 Var. % 2008=100 Var. % 2008=100 Var. % 2008=100 Var. % 2008=100 Var. % 2008=100 Var. % 1980 52.9 5.8 152.1 7.2 105.3-3.2 34.8-1.4 302.6-1.8 160.2 3.8 1981 56.4 6.6 160.5 5.6 110.6 5.0 35.2 1.0 314.4 3.9 177.5 10.8 1982 55.0-2.5 156.7-2.4 110.7 0.1 35.1-0.1 315.2 0.2 173.4-2.3 1983 51.1-7.2 141.7-9.6 84.0-24.1 36.0 2.6 233.2-26.0 119.1-31.3 1984 53.8 5.3 140.3-1.0 78.3-6.8 38.3 6.4 204.4-12.4 109.9-7.7 1985 56.9 5.8 143.5 2.3 79.2 1.1 39.6 3.4 199.8-2.3 113.6 3.3 1986 54.0-5.1 137.6-4.1 73.7-6.9 39.2-1.1 188.1-5.8 101.5-10.6 1987 55.7 3.1 132.4-3.8 72.7-1.4 42.0 7.2 173.0-8.0 96.3-5.1 1988 57.4 3.2 132.1-0.2 72.4-0.5 43.5 3.4 166.5-3.8 95.6-0.7 1989 61.7 7.5 135.2 2.3 78.8 8.9 45.7 5.1 172.5 3.6 106.5 11.4 1990 65.7 6.3 135.3 0.1 81.6 3.6 48.5 6.2 168.2-2.5 110.4 3.7 1991 67.3 2.5 133.0-1.7 86.6 6.1 50.6 4.3 171.1 1.7 115.2 4.3 1992 69.8 3.7 127.9-3.8 94.2 8.8 54.5 7.8 172.7 0.9 120.5 4.6 1993 69.0-1.1 119.1-6.9 98.4 4.5 57.9 6.2 169.8-1.6 117.2-2.7 1994 71.2 3.1 115.5-3.0 102.5 4.2 61.6 6.3 166.4-2.0 118.4 1.0 1995 67.5-5.2 105.2-8.9 89.6-12.6 64.1 4.1 139.8-16.0 94.3-20.4 1996 73.8 9.3 107.7 2.3 80.7-9.9 68.5 6.8 117.9-15.7 87.0-7.8 1997 81.5 10.5 112.8 4.7 80.3-0.6 72.3 5.5 111.1-5.8 90.5 4.1 1998 87.3 7.1 116.9 3.7 82.5 2.8 74.6 3.3 110.6-0.4 96.5 6.6 1999 89.6 2.7 117.7 0.6 83.8 1.5 76.2 2.1 110.0-0.5 98.6 2.2 2000 94.8 5.8 118.8 1.0 88.8 6.0 79.8 4.8 111.2 1.1 105.5 7.0 2001 91.9-3.1 113.6-4.4 94.8 6.7 80.9 1.3 117.2 5.3 107.6 2.1 2002 91.2-0.7 107.9-5.0 96.5 1.9 84.5 4.5 114.2-2.6 104.2-3.2 2003 90.0-1.4 104.2-3.4 97.8 1.4 86.4 2.1 113.3-0.8 102.0-2.1 2004 93.2 3.6 100.9-3.2 98.1 0.3 92.4 7.0 106.2-6.3 98.9-3.0 2005 95.8 2.7 100.0-0.8 97.9-0.2 95.7 3.6 102.2-3.7 97.9-1.1 2006 100.1 4.5 101.5 1.4 98.2 0.4 98.6 3.0 99.6-2.6 99.6 1.8 2007 101.0 1.0 101.2-0.2 99.2 1.0 99.8 1.2 99.4-0.2 100.4 0.7 2008 100.0-1.0 100.0-1.2 100.0 0.9 100.0 0.2 100.0 0.6 100.0-0.4 2009 91.6-8.4 91.3-8.7 99.3-0.7 100.4 0.4 98.9-1.1 90.7-9.3 2010 99.5 8.5 94.5 3.5 98.7-0.7 105.3 4.9 93.7-5.3 93.2 2.8 2011 104.0 4.6 97.3 3.0 98.9 0.2 106.9 1.6 92.5-1.3 96.2 3.2 2012 108.2 4.0 99.5 2.2 99.0 0.1 108.8 1.7 91.0-1.6 98.4 2.3 2013 109.7 1.4 101.3 1.8 99.1 0.1 108.4-0.4 91.5 0.5 100.4 2.0 2014 114.2 4.1 103.5 2.2 99.3 0.2 110.4 1.9 89.9-1.7 102.7 2.3 2015 120.4 5.4 106.0 2.4 100.2 1.0 113.5 2.9 88.3-1.8 106.2 3.4 2016 128.2 6.5 108.8 2.7 101.8 1.6 117.8 3.8 86.4-2.1 110.8 4.3 2017 138.4 7.9 112.5 3.3 103.6 1.8 123.1 4.4 84.2-2.5 116.5 5.2 2018 148.4 7.2 115.7 2.9 105.2 1.5 128.3 4.2 82.0-2.6 121.7 4.4 2019 158.5 6.8 118.8 2.7 106.5 1.3 133.4 4.0 79.9-2.6 126.6 4.0 2020 168.3 6.2 121.7 2.4 107.6 1.0 138.2 3.6 77.8-2.5 131.0 3.5 E-51
Sección E-VI. Índice Global de Productividad Laboral de la Economía (Con base en la Población Ocupada ENOE) Cuadro E-28. Índice Global de Productividad Anual 1980-2020 Cuadro E-29. Índice Global de Productividad Trimestral 2004-2014
E-28. Indice Global Anual de Productividad Laboral de la Economía: Escenario Base 2014-2020 (Indice 2008=100) Años Productividad Laboral Total PIB Real Indice Global de Productividad Laboral Población Ocupada Indice 2008 Var. % Indice 2008 Var. % Indice 2008 Var. % Indice 2008 Var. % Indice 2008 Var. % Indice 2008 Var. % 1980 85.5 2.5 49.9 9.2 58.4 6.6 73.7 1.0 62.7 7.2 85.0 6.1 1981 87.1 1.9 54.1 8.5 62.2 6.5 75.4 2.2 67.5 7.8 89.6 5.4 1982 86.0-1.2 53.8-0.5 62.6 0.7 74.2-1.6 66.0-2.3 89.0-0.7 1983 84.6-1.6 52.0-3.5 61.4-1.9 70.8-4.5 67.3 2.0 95.1 6.8 1984 84.7 0.0 53.7 3.4 63.5 3.4 69.2-2.2 68.3 1.4 98.6 3.7 1985 84.0-0.8 54.9 2.2 65.4 3.0 67.8-2.1 70.3 3.0 103.8 5.2 1986 81.9-2.5 53.2-3.1 65.0-0.6 66.8-1.5 69.4-1.3 103.9 0.1 1987 81.5-0.4 54.1 1.7 66.4 2.1 65.0-2.7 70.3 1.3 108.2 4.1 1988 80.5-1.2 54.8 1.3 68.1 2.5 59.7-8.1 67.9-3.4 113.7 5.1 1989 81.5 1.2 57.1 4.1 70.0 2.9 58.6-1.9 66.9-1.4 114.3 0.5 1990 81.8 0.4 60.0 5.2 73.4 4.7 60.3 2.9 71.8 7.3 119.1 4.2 1991 82.6 1.0 62.6 4.2 75.7 3.2 60.2-0.1 73.4 2.2 121.9 2.3 1992 84.4 2.2 64.8 3.5 76.7 1.3 57.9-3.8 71.8-2.2 124.0 1.7 1993 84.8 0.5 66.4 2.4 78.2 1.9 58.3 0.7 75.2 4.8 129.0 4.0 1994 86.2 1.6 69.5 4.7 80.6 3.1 58.1-0.3 77.8 3.5 133.8 3.8 1995 87.0 1.0 65.5-5.8 75.2-6.7 61.3 5.4 77.1-0.9 125.9-5.9 1996 88.6 1.8 69.3 5.9 78.2 4.0 66.3 8.2 81.0 5.0 122.2-3.0 1997 89.7 1.3 74.2 7.0 82.6 5.6 58.8-11.2 81.2 0.3 138.0 13.0 1998 91.4 1.9 77.7 4.7 84.9 2.8 70.6 20.0 82.5 1.6 116.8-15.3 1999 93.0 1.7 79.7 2.7 85.7 0.9 68.9-2.4 85.5 3.6 124.0 6.1 2000 95.8 3.0 83.9 5.3 87.6 2.2 80.1 16.3 86.9 1.7 108.5-12.5 2001 95.4-0.4 83.4-0.6 87.4-0.2 82.6 3.1 89.2 2.6 108.0-0.5 2002 94.5-1.0 83.5 0.1 88.4 1.1 79.5-3.7 88.8-0.4 111.7 3.5 2003 94.4-0.1 84.7 1.4 89.7 1.5 84.7 6.5 91.4 2.9 107.9-3.4 2004 96.4 2.1 88.4 4.3 91.7 2.1 90.6 6.9 94.8 3.7 104.7-3.0 2005 97.2 0.8 91.1 3.0 93.7 2.2 88.7-2.1 90.3-4.8 101.7-2.8 2006 99.0 1.9 95.6 5.0 96.5 3.1 96.3 8.5 96.5 6.9 100.3-1.5 2007 100.1 1.1 98.6 3.1 98.5 2.0 99.7 3.5 98.7 2.2 99.0-1.2 2008 100.0-0.1 100.0 1.4 100.0 1.5 100.0 0.3 100.0 1.3 100.0 1.0 2009 94.4-5.6 95.3-4.7 101.0 1.0 96.1-3.9 97.5-2.5 101.5 1.5 2010 97.8 3.6 100.2 5.1 102.5 1.4 94.7-1.5 98.2 0.8 103.8 2.3 2011 99.5 1.8 104.2 4.0 104.7 2.2 92.1-2.7 96.0-2.3 104.2 0.5 2012 100.2 0.7 108.4 4.0 108.1 3.3 95.6 3.8 102.9 7.2 107.6 3.3 2013 100.3 0.0 109.5 1.1 109.2 1.0 95.3-0.3 103.2 0.3 108.3 0.6 2014 101.4 1.1 112.8 2.9 111.2 1.8 94.6-0.7 104.2 0.9 110.1 1.7 2015 103.1 1.7 117.4 4.1 113.9 2.4 94.6-0.1 102.0-2.1 107.9-2.0 2016 105.0 1.9 123.6 5.2 117.7 3.3 97.5 3.1 105.0 3.0 107.7-0.1 2017 107.4 2.3 131.0 6.0 122.0 3.7 95.9-1.7 102.6-2.3 107.0-0.7 2018 109.9 2.3 138.7 5.8 126.2 3.5 97.6 1.8 105.9 3.2 108.5 1.4 2019 112.1 2.1 145.9 5.2 130.1 3.1 96.9-0.7 104.9-1.0 108.2-0.3 2020 114.4 2.0 153.0 4.9 133.8 2.8 99.0 2.2 107.7 2.7 108.8 0.5 E-52 Sector Primario Productividad Laboral PIB Real Población Ocupada Continúa
Continuación Años Productividad Laboral Sector Industrial PIB Real Indice Global de Productividad Laboral Población Ocupada Indice 2008 Var. % Indice 2008 Var. % Indice 2008 Var. % Indice 2008 Var. % Indice 2008 Var. % Indice 2008 Var. % 1980 77.6 4.3 54.4 11.5 70.1 6.9 95.1 2.0 45.8 8.8 48.2 6.6 1981 80.5 3.8 60.2 10.8 74.8 6.7 96.3 1.4 49.6 8.3 51.5 6.8 1982 82.7 2.6 60.2-0.1 72.8-2.6 94.6-1.8 50.3 1.4 53.1 3.3 1983 84.4 2.1 55.2-8.3 65.4-10.1 94.8 0.2 50.1-0.4 52.8-0.6 1984 85.4 1.2 57.6 4.3 67.4 3.1 94.6-0.2 51.7 3.2 54.6 3.4 1985 86.1 0.8 59.5 3.3 69.1 2.5 93.1-1.6 52.1 0.8 55.9 2.4 1986 83.9-2.6 56.0-5.9 66.8-3.4 91.2-2.0 51.3-1.4 56.2 0.6 1987 86.7 3.4 58.1 3.7 67.0 0.3 90.4-0.9 52.0 1.3 57.5 2.2 1988 88.3 1.8 59.1 1.7 66.9-0.2 89.1-1.5 52.6 1.2 59.1 2.7 1989 87.7-0.6 61.3 3.8 69.9 4.5 89.5 0.6 54.5 3.7 60.9 3.1 1990 88.2 0.5 64.9 5.8 73.5 5.2 89.1-0.5 56.9 4.3 63.8 4.7 1991 89.1 1.0 66.4 2.4 74.6 1.4 89.5 0.4 59.6 4.8 66.6 4.5 1992 91.8 3.0 68.8 3.5 74.9 0.5 91.2 2.0 61.7 3.6 67.7 1.6 1993 93.3 1.7 69.1 0.5 74.1-1.2 92.5 1.4 64.2 4.0 69.4 2.5 1994 97.0 4.0 72.2 4.5 74.4 0.5 93.5 1.0 67.4 5.0 72.1 3.9 1995 99.6 2.7 66.3-8.2 66.6-10.6 94.3 0.9 64.4-4.5 68.3-5.3 1996 100.7 1.1 72.5 9.4 72.0 8.2 93.0-1.4 66.8 3.8 71.8 5.2 1997 105.6 4.8 79.3 9.4 75.1 4.3 95.2 2.4 70.7 5.8 74.2 3.3 1998 97.7-7.4 83.7 5.6 85.7 14.1 94.0-1.3 73.7 4.3 78.4 5.7 1999 96.2-1.6 85.1 1.6 88.5 3.2 98.9 5.3 76.1 3.3 77.0-1.9 2000 93.9-2.4 89.1 4.7 94.9 7.3 99.6 0.7 80.6 5.9 80.9 5.2 2001 94.2 0.3 87.8-1.5 93.2-1.8 98.8-0.9 80.5-0.2 81.5 0.7 2002 93.4-0.8 87.8 0.0 94.0 0.9 98.5-0.3 80.7 0.2 81.9 0.6 2003 94.1 0.8 89.0 1.3 94.6 0.6 96.5-2.0 81.8 1.4 84.8 3.5 2004 96.0 2.0 92.6 4.1 96.5 2.0 97.2 0.7 85.5 4.5 87.9 3.7 2005 99.5 3.7 94.9 2.5 95.3-1.2 96.1-1.1 88.8 3.9 92.4 5.1 2006 99.9 0.4 99.0 4.4 99.1 4.0 97.5 1.5 93.5 5.3 95.9 3.8 2007 99.3-0.6 100.5 1.5 101.2 2.1 99.0 1.5 97.5 4.3 98.5 2.8 2008 100.0 0.7 100.0-0.5 100.0-1.2 98.7-0.3 100.0 2.6 101.3 2.8 2009 97.6-2.4 93.8-6.2 96.1-3.9 92.2-6.6 96.1-3.9 104.2 2.9 2010 100.3 2.8 98.1 4.6 97.8 1.7 96.3 4.5 101.6 5.7 105.4 1.2 2011 102.1 1.8 101.4 3.4 99.3 1.6 98.1 1.9 106.4 4.7 108.4 2.8 2012 102.6 0.5 104.2 2.7 101.5 2.2 99.0 0.9 111.2 4.6 112.4 3.7 2013 99.7-2.9 103.5-0.7 103.8 2.3 100.4 1.4 113.6 2.1 113.1 0.7 2014 98.9-0.8 106.0 2.5 107.2 3.3 102.4 2.0 117.3 3.3 114.6 1.3 2015 98.8-0.1 110.6 4.3 111.9 4.4 104.1 1.7 122.4 4.4 117.7 2.7 2016 99.2 0.3 116.7 5.5 117.7 5.2 106.1 1.9 128.8 5.2 121.4 3.2 2017 100.4 1.3 125.2 7.3 124.6 5.9 108.2 2.0 136.1 5.7 125.9 3.7 2018 101.5 1.1 133.9 7.0 131.9 5.8 110.7 2.3 143.4 5.3 129.6 2.9 2019 102.3 0.8 141.9 6.0 138.7 5.2 113.0 2.1 150.6 5.0 133.2 2.8 2020 103.2 0.9 149.6 5.4 145.0 4.5 115.4 2.1 157.6 4.6 136.5 2.5 E-53 Sector Servicios Productividad Laboral PIB Real Población Ocupada Conclusión
Años E-29. Indice Global Trimestral de Productividad Laboral de la Economía: Escenario Base 2013-2014 (Indice 2008=100) Indice 2008 Var. % Indice 2008 Var. % Indice 2008 Var. % Indice 2008 Var. % Indice 2008 Var. % Indice 2008 Var. % 2004-1 96.2 2.5 87.2 4.2 90.7 1.7 93.3 16.3 96.1 8.0 102.9-7.2 2004-2 95.6 0.7 88.1 4.1 92.2 3.4 91.3 1.3 96.4 2.5 105.6 1.1 2004-3 95.0 2.1 87.3 4.1 91.9 2.0 72.6 0.8 76.9-2.0 105.9-2.8 2004-4 99.0 3.2 90.9 4.7 91.9 1.5 105.5 8.6 109.9 5.6 104.2-2.7 2005-1 95.9-0.3 88.5 1.5 92.2 1.8 89.8-3.8 89.3-7.0 99.4-3.4 2005-2 98.3 2.9 91.2 3.5 92.8 0.6 90.3-1.1 90.1-6.5 99.8-5.5 2005-3 95.7 0.8 90.3 3.4 94.3 2.6 76.1 4.8 80.3 4.4 105.5-0.4 2005-4 98.8-0.1 94.2 3.7 95.4 3.8 99.2-5.9 101.5-7.7 102.3-1.9 2006-1 98.5 2.7 93.6 5.8 95.0 3.0 95.3 6.1 93.2 4.3 97.8-1.7 2006-2 99.5 1.2 95.7 4.9 96.2 3.7 99.0 9.6 99.8 10.7 100.8 1.0 2006-3 98.0 2.4 95.2 5.4 97.2 3.0 78.3 3.0 79.2-1.4 101.0-4.3 2006-4 100.3 1.4 98.0 4.0 97.8 2.5 112.4 13.3 114.1 12.4 101.5-0.7 2007-1 99.5 1.0 96.3 2.9 96.8 1.9 98.5 3.4 95.2 2.2 96.7-1.1 2007-2 100.3 0.8 98.3 2.7 98.0 2.0 105.8 6.8 103.2 3.4 97.6-3.2 2007-3 100.0 2.0 98.2 3.2 98.2 1.1 80.9 3.2 81.0 2.3 100.1-0.9 2007-4 100.9 0.6 101.7 3.7 100.8 3.1 113.3 0.8 115.4 1.2 101.8 0.3 2008-1 99.0-0.4 98.4 2.1 99.3 2.6 95.1-3.5 92.4-3.0 97.1 0.4 2008-2 100.5 0.3 101.3 3.1 100.8 2.8 107.6 1.7 106.5 3.2 99.0 1.5 2008-3 99.4-0.5 99.7 1.6 100.3 2.1 78.1-3.4 79.8-1.4 102.2 2.1 2008-4 101.0 0.1 100.6-1.1 99.6-1.2 119.3 5.3 121.4 5.2 101.7-0.1 2009-1 94.1-5.0 93.2-5.2 99.1-0.2 97.1 2.1 91.9-0.5 94.6-2.6 2009-2 93.2-7.3 93.3-7.9 100.1-0.7 107.4-0.2 105.9-0.5 98.6-0.4 2009-3 93.6-5.8 95.2-4.6 101.6 1.3 75.3-3.6 78.9-1.2 104.7 2.5 2009-4 96.5-4.5 99.5-1.0 103.2 3.6 105.1-11.9 113.4-6.6 107.9 6.1 2010-1 95.6 1.6 96.7 3.7 101.2 2.1 88.8-8.5 87.7-4.6 98.7 4.3 2010-2 96.2 3.2 99.6 6.7 103.5 3.5 103.8-3.3 108.8 2.7 104.7 6.2 2010-3 97.2 3.8 100.4 5.4 103.3 1.6 78.1 3.8 82.4 4.5 105.5 0.7 2010-4 102.2 5.9 104.1 4.6 101.9-1.2 107.5 2.4 114.1 0.7 106.1-1.6 2011-1 98.9 3.5 101.0 4.5 102.1 0.9 89.8 1.1 87.9 0.2 97.9-0.8 2011-2 98.7 2.6 102.8 3.2 104.2 0.6 94.9-8.6 96.7-11.1 101.9-2.7 2011-3 99.4 2.3 104.5 4.2 105.2 1.8 78.3 0.2 85.1 3.3 108.7 3.1 2011-4 101.1-1.1 108.6 4.3 107.4 5.5 105.4-2.0 114.4 0.2 108.5 2.2 2012-1 100.0 1.1 105.9 4.9 105.9 3.8 90.8 1.1 93.0 5.8 102.4 4.6 2012-2 98.7 0.1 107.4 4.5 108.8 4.4 102.6 8.2 109.6 13.4 106.9 4.9 2012-3 98.5-0.9 107.9 3.2 109.5 4.1 77.7-0.7 85.0-0.1 109.4 0.7 2012-4 103.6 2.6 112.3 3.4 108.3 0.8 110.9 5.2 124.1 8.5 111.9 3.1 2013-1 99.4-0.6 106.6 0.6 107.2 1.2 87.4-3.7 90.9-2.2 104.0 1.5 2013-2 99.7 1.0 109.1 1.6 109.4 0.5 104.9 2.2 112.5 2.6 107.2 0.3 2013-3 99.9 1.4 109.4 1.4 109.5 0.0 77.9 0.3 85.7 0.8 110.0 0.5 2013-4 101.9-1.7 113.0 0.7 110.9 2.4 110.6-0.2 123.8-0.2 111.9 0.0 2014-1 99.7 0.3 108.5 1.8 108.9 1.5 89.3 2.1 95.3 4.9 106.8 2.7 2014-2 e/ 100.5 0.8 111.3 2.0 110.7 1.2 100.9-3.8 109.9-2.3 108.8 1.5 2014.3 e/ 101.5 1.5 113.4 3.7 111.8 2.1 75.9-2.6 84.4-1.5 111.2 1.1 2014-4 e/ 103.7 1.8 117.7 4.2 113.5 2.4 112.0 1.3 127.1 2.7 113.5 1.4 e/ Estimación CAMACRO Productividad Laboral Total PIB Real Indice Global de Productividad Laboral Población Ocupada E-54 Sector Primario Productividad Laboral PIB Real Población Ocupada Continúa
Continuación Años Indice 2008 Var. % Indice 2008 Var. % Indice 2008 Var. % Indice 2008 Var. % Indice 2008 Var. % Indice 2008 Var. % 2004-1 94.8 1.8 91.5 4.6 96.5 2.7 97.1-0.2 84.1 3.7 86.6 3.9 2004-2 93.9 1.5 91.7 4.5 97.6 2.9 97.1-0.3 85.5 4.0 88.1 4.3 2004-3 96.6 0.6 93.6 3.5 96.9 2.9 95.7 1.8 84.1 4.9 87.9 3.0 2004-4 98.8 4.3 93.7 3.8 94.9-0.5 99.1 1.6 88.1 5.3 89.0 3.6 2005-1 96.7 2.0 91.9 0.4 95.0-1.5 96.5-0.6 86.3 2.7 89.5 3.3 2005-2 100.5 7.0 95.2 3.8 94.7-3.0 98.1 1.0 88.9 4.0 90.6 2.9 2005-3 99.8 3.3 95.3 1.9 95.5-1.4 96.3 0.6 87.8 4.4 91.2 3.8 2005-4 101.1 2.3 97.2 3.7 96.2 1.4 98.5-0.6 92.0 4.5 93.5 5.1 2006-1 99.5 2.9 96.8 5.4 97.3 2.4 98.1 1.6 91.6 6.1 93.4 4.4 2006-2 100.4-0.1 98.7 3.8 98.3 3.8 99.2 1.2 93.6 5.3 94.3 4.1 2006-3 100.1 0.3 100.7 5.6 100.6 5.3 97.7 1.5 92.7 5.6 94.9 4.0 2006-4 99.5-1.6 99.8 2.7 100.3 4.3 100.1 1.7 96.1 4.3 95.9 2.6 2007-1 97.7-1.9 98.7 1.9 101.0 3.8 99.7 1.7 94.9 3.6 95.2 1.9 2007-2 99.0-1.4 99.7 1.0 100.7 2.4 100.0 0.8 97.1 3.8 97.1 3.0 2007-3 100.6 0.5 101.5 0.8 100.9 0.4 100.3 2.7 97.1 4.7 96.8 2.0 2007-4 99.8 0.3 102.0 2.1 102.1 1.8 100.8 0.7 100.8 4.9 100.0 4.2 2008-1 99.1 1.4 98.9 0.3 99.9-1.1 98.8-0.9 98.4 3.6 99.5 4.5 2008-2 98.5-0.5 101.0 1.2 102.5 1.8 100.7 0.7 101.2 4.2 100.5 3.5 2008-3 100.9 0.3 100.8-0.7 99.9-1.0 100.1-0.3 100.2 3.2 100.1 3.4 2008-4 101.6 1.8 99.3-2.6 97.7-4.3 100.3-0.5 100.2-0.6 99.9-0.1 2009-1 94.4-4.8 91.6-7.4 97.0-2.8 93.3-5.6 94.3-4.1 101.1 1.6 2009-2 96.0-2.6 92.1-8.8 96.0-6.4 91.3-9.4 93.3-7.9 102.2 1.7 2009-3 99.0-1.8 94.5-6.3 95.4-4.5 93.0-7.1 96.5-3.7 103.8 3.7 2009-4 101.0-0.6 97.0-2.3 96.1-1.7 95.3-5.0 100.3 0.1 105.2 5.3 2010-1 96.2 2.0 94.3 3.0 98.0 1.0 95.5 2.4 98.6 4.6 103.3 2.1 2010-2 99.2 3.4 97.0 5.4 97.8 1.9 95.0 4.1 100.6 7.8 105.9 3.5 2010-3 101.3 2.3 99.9 5.7 98.6 3.3 96.9 4.2 101.6 5.3 104.9 1.1 2010-4 104.5 3.5 101.0 4.2 96.7 0.6 102.0 7.0 105.4 5.1 103.3-1.8 2011-1 100.3 4.2 97.8 3.8 97.6-0.4 98.5 3.2 103.6 5.0 105.1 1.8 2011-2 100.1 0.9 100.3 3.3 100.2 2.4 98.1 3.3 104.6 4.0 106.6 0.7 2011-3 103.3 1.9 102.7 2.8 99.4 0.8 99.9 3.2 106.8 5.1 106.9 1.8 2011-4 104.8 0.3 104.9 3.9 100.1 3.6 100.1-1.9 110.5 4.8 110.4 6.9 2012-1 101.6 1.3 101.8 4.1 100.3 2.7 100.0 1.4 109.1 5.3 109.1 3.8 2012-2 102.7 2.6 103.8 3.5 101.1 0.9 97.3-0.9 109.5 4.6 112.5 5.6 2012-3 102.3-1.0 105.2 2.5 102.9 3.5 98.5-1.4 110.7 3.7 112.4 5.2 2012-4 103.9-0.9 105.9 0.9 101.9 1.8 104.6 4.5 115.5 4.6 110.4 0.1 2013-1 98.6-2.9 100.2-1.6 101.6 1.3 100.7 0.7 111.3 2.1 110.6 1.3 2013-2 100.6-2.0 103.5-0.3 102.9 1.8 99.5 2.3 112.4 2.6 112.9 0.3 2013-3 100.1-2.2 104.7-0.5 104.6 1.7 101.6 3.1 113.5 2.5 111.7-0.6 2013-4 99.4-4.4 105.5-0.4 106.2 4.2 103.5-1.1 117.0 1.3 113.1 2.4 2014-1 96.6-2.0 101.8 1.6 105.3 3.7 102.0 1.3 113.4 1.8 111.2 0.6 2014-2 e/ 98.9-1.7 104.4 0.9 105.6 2.7 101.6 2.1 115.5 2.8 113.7 0.7 2014.3 e/ 100.5 0.4 108.6 3.8 108.1 3.3 103.5 1.8 117.9 3.9 114.0 2.0 2014-4 e/ 99.6 0.2 109.3 3.6 109.8 3.4 105.8 2.2 122.3 4.6 115.6 2.3 e/ Estimación CAMACRO Productividad Laboral Sector Industrial PIB Real Indice Global de Productividad Laboral Población Ocupada E-55 Sector Servicios Productividad Laboral PIB Real Población Ocupada Conclusión
!!!!! Sección E-VII.! PTF Productividad Total de los Factores 1991-2011!! (Modelo KLEMS)!! Cuadro E-30.! PTF Total Economía 1991-2011!! Cuadro E-31.! PTF Sector Primario 1991-2011!! Cuadro E-31.! PTF Sector Secundario 1991-2011!! Cuadro E-33.! PTF Sector Terciario 1991-2011!!!
E-30. Productividad Total de los Factores y su contribución al crecimiento de la Economía de México, 1991-2011 (Tasas porcentuales de crecimiento anual) PTF TOTAL ECONOMÍA PTF Años Valor de Servicios de Servicios de Servicios de Servicios Energía Materiales Servicios Contribución Productividad producción capital total capital TIC capital No TIC laborales totales de los factores total de los factores 1991 4.70 1.31 0.17 1.14 0.68 0.26 1.07 0.94 4.27 0.43 1992 3.96 1.78 0.25 1.54 0.73 0.01 1.06 0.87 4.46-0.50 1993 1.84 1.54 0.23 1.31 0.39 0.02 0.40 0.65 2.99-1.16 1994 5.60 1.28 0.22 1.06 0.95 0.32 1.76 1.08 5.40 0.20 1995-5.62 0.50 0.12 0.38-0.39-0.29-0.14-1.66-1.99-3.63 1996 7.55 0.04 0.09-0.05 0.70 0.48 3.13 0.35 4.69 2.86 1997 8.08 1.06 0.28 0.78 1.45 0.05 2.81 1.39 6.76 1.33 1998 6.40 1.80 0.42 1.38 0.36 0.16 2.25 1.14 5.71 0.69 1999 5.08 2.06 0.57 1.50 1.00 0.11 1.72 1.07 5.95-0.87 2000 8.36 2.39 0.76 1.64 0.08 0.20 2.82 1.32 6.81 1.55 2001-1.12 2.15 0.68 1.47 0.39-0.08-1.03 0.31 1.73-2.85 2002 1.35 1.48 0.36 1.12 0.00 0.05 0.38 0.47 2.38-1.02 2003 1.62 1.19 0.21 0.98 0.22 0.27 0.47 0.12 2.26-0.64 2004 5.50 1.42 0.34 1.08 0.64 0.10 1.64 1.01 4.81 0.69 2005 4.62 1.83 0.46 1.37 0.21 0.05 1.32 1.15 4.56 0.06 2006 7.41 2.20 0.56 1.64 0.64-0.16 2.58 1.53 6.80 0.61 2007 4.49 2.47 0.63 1.84 0.48 0.17 1.06 1.23 5.42-0.93 2008 0.87 2.52 0.59 1.93 0.38 0.02-0.24 0.59 3.27-2.40 2009-8.05 1.78 0.43 1.35-0.57-0.17-2.87-0.70-2.52-5.52 2010 8.01 1.11 0.32 0.79 0.20 0.11 2.85 1.13 5.40 2.61 2011 4.58 1.33 0.37 0.96 0.41 0.30 1.34 0.79 4.17 0.41 Promedio 1991-2011 3.53 1.60 0.39 1.20 0.41 0.09 1.17 0.69 3.95-0.43 La PTF emplea como marco conceptual y metodológico al modelo KLEMS. Este marco considera la contribución de los insumos de la producción -capital (K), trabajo (L), energía (E), materias primas (M) y servicios (S)- y su relación con la producción. Así, la PTF se interpreta como el perfil temporal de cómo son combinados los insumos para generar bienes. En la práctica, la PTF refleja el cambio en la eficiencia, las economías de escala, la variación en la utilización de la capacidad, entre otros. Nota 1: Servicios de capital TIC: Tecnologías de la Información y la Comunicación Nota 2: Servicios de capital No TIC: Tecnologías no de la Información y la Comunicación Fuente: INEGI, "Productividad Total de los Factores, Modelo KLEMS, serie anual 1991-2011". E-56
E-31. Productividad Total de los Factores y su contribución al crecimiento de la Economía de México, 1991-2011 (Tasas porcentuales de crecimiento anual) PTF SECTOR PRIMARIO PTF Años Valor de Servicios de Servicios de Servicios de Servicios Energía Materiales Servicios Contribución Productividad producción capital total capital TIC capital No TIC laborales totales de los factores total de los factores 1991 3.79 0.81 0.00 0.81 0.03 0.28 1.04 0.54 2.71 1.08 1992-2.60 1.23 0.00 1.23 0.47-0.17-0.65-0.49 0.39-2.99 1993 2.10 1.22 0.00 1.22 0.41-0.04 0.50 0.15 2.24-0.15 1994 0.82 1.18 0.00 1.18 0.40 0.10 1.89-1.14 2.42-1.61 1995 1.31 0.45 0.00 0.45 0.55-0.22 5.25-3.93 2.10-0.78 1996 3.47-0.09 0.00-0.09 0.76 0.27-1.59 2.24 1.60 1.87 1997 0.11 0.82 0.00 0.81 0.14-0.39 1.98-0.99 1.55-1.45 1998 3.00 1.44 0.00 1.43 0.50 0.26 0.93 0.01 3.14-0.14 1999 1.42 1.47 0.00 1.47 0.36 0.17 3.00-1.43 3.58-2.16 2000 0.67 1.55 0.00 1.54-0.30-0.59 3.41-1.28 2.78-2.11 2001 4.87 1.37 0.00 1.37 0.04 0.06 1.82-0.02 3.27 1.60 2002-0.51 1.14 0.00 1.14-0.15-0.20 0.23 0.09 1.11-1.62 2003 3.09 1.02 0.00 1.02 0.15 0.08 1.62-0.22 2.65 0.44 2004 2.90 0.97 0.00 0.97-0.25-0.14-1.60 1.67 0.66 2.24 2005 0.27 1.06 0.00 1.05-0.27-0.28 0.00 0.82 1.32-1.05 2006 2.90 1.35 0.00 1.35 0.23-0.64 1.05 0.41 2.41 0.49 2007 4.05 1.66 0.00 1.66 0.05 0.21-1.32 1.44 2.04 2.01 2008 1.80 1.61 0.00 1.61-0.15-0.32-2.67 1.81 0.27 1.53 2009-2.98 0.84 0.00 0.84-0.15 0.44 2.22-0.62 2.73-5.71 2010 3.24 0.12 0.00 0.11 0.17-0.33-0.23 0.67 0.40 2.84 2011-0.18 0.29 0.00 0.29 0.03 0.35 1.49 0.29 2.45-2.63 Promedio 1991-2011 1.60 1.02 0.00 1.02 0.14-0.05 0.87 0.00 1.99-0.39 La PTF emplea como marco conceptual y metodológico al modelo KLEMS. Este marco considera la contribución de los insumos de la producción -capital (K), trabajo (L), energía (E), materias primas (M) y servicios (S)- y su relación con la producción. Así, la PTF se interpreta como el perfil temporal de cómo son combinados los insumos para generar bienes. En la práctica, la PTF refleja el cambio en la eficiencia, las economías de escala, la variación en la utilización de la capacidad, entre otros. Nota 1: Servicios de capital TIC: Tecnologías de la Información y la Comunicación Nota 2: Servicios de capital No TIC: Tecnologías no de la Información y la Comunicación Fuente: INEGI, "Productividad Total de los Factores, Modelo KLEMS, serie anual 1991-2011". E-57
E-32. Productividad Total de los Factores y su contribución al crecimiento de la Economía de México, 1991-2011 (Tasas porcentuales de crecimiento anual) PTF SECTOR SECUNDARIO PTF Años Valor de Servicios de Servicios de Servicios de Servicios Energía Materiales Servicios Contribución Productividad producción capital total capital TIC capital No TIC laborales totales de los factores total de los factores 1991 4.33 0.89 0.03 0.86 0.43 0.37 1.62 0.84 4.15 0.18 1992 4.59 1.22 0.04 1.18 0.25-0.09 2.06 0.87 4.33 0.26 1993 0.51 1.03 0.04 0.98 0.06 0.07 0.49 0.12 1.77-1.26 1994 6.30 0.88 0.06 0.82 0.49 0.38 3.23 1.07 6.06 0.24 1995-4.87 0.37 0.07 0.30-0.72-0.34 0.01-1.73-2.41-2.45 1996 12.41 0.09 0.11-0.02 0.68 0.70 6.45 0.95 8.86 3.55 1997 9.99 0.85 0.18 0.67 1.44-0.04 4.75 1.90 8.91 1.08 1998 8.03 1.39 0.22 1.17 0.60 0.22 3.90 1.54 7.65 0.39 1999 5.94 1.54 0.26 1.28 0.62 0.07 2.70 1.51 6.44-0.50 2000 9.63 1.63 0.28 1.35 0.37 0.22 4.78 1.75 8.76 0.87 2001-3.37 1.44 0.23 1.21-0.36-0.14-2.20 0.28-0.98-2.39 2002 1.30 1.03 0.11 0.92-0.24 0.23 0.55 0.53 2.10-0.80 2003 0.80 0.83 0.05 0.78 0.20 0.51 0.65-0.20 1.98-1.18 2004 5.89 0.92 0.06 0.86 0.66 0.20 3.08 0.99 5.85 0.04 2005 4.98 1.13 0.09 1.05-0.02 0.14 2.28 1.38 4.93 0.06 2006 8.62 1.47 0.12 1.35 0.74-0.34 4.60 1.59 8.07 0.55 2007 4.04 1.71 0.14 1.57 0.27 0.20 1.84 1.19 5.22-1.18 2008-0.96 1.79 0.15 1.64 0.14 0.08-0.36 0.13 1.78-2.74 2009-11.05 1.23 0.13 1.10-0.92-0.18-5.11-1.05-6.04-5.02 2010 10.47 0.69 0.09 0.59 0.00 0.10 5.23 1.35 7.36 3.11 2011 3.61 0.88 0.08 0.80 0.29 0.27 1.83 0.39 3.66-0.05 Promedio 1991-2011 3.87 1.10 0.12 0.97 0.24 0.13 2.02 0.73 4.21-0.35 La PTF emplea como marco conceptual y metodológico al modelo KLEMS. Este marco considera la contribución de los insumos de la producción -capital (K), trabajo (L), energía (E), materias primas (M) y servicios (S)- y su relación con la producción. Así, la PTF se interpreta como el perfil temporal de cómo son combinados los insumos para generar bienes. En la práctica, la PTF refleja el cambio en la eficiencia, las economías de escala, la variación en la utilización de la capacidad, entre otros. Nota 1: Servicios de capital TIC: Tecnologías de la Información y la Comunicación Nota 2: Servicios de capital No TIC: Tecnologías no de la Información y la Comunicación Fuente: INEGI, "Productividad Total de los Factores, Modelo KLEMS, serie anual 1991-2011". E-58
E-33. Productividad Total de los Factores y su contribución al crecimiento de la Economía de México, 1991-2011 (Tasas porcentuales de crecimiento anual) PTF SECTOR TERCIARIO PTF Años Valor de Servicios de Servicios de Servicios de Servicios Energía Materiales Servicios Contribución Productividad producción capital total capital TIC capital No TIC laborales totales de los factores total de los factores 1991 5.16 1.81 0.35 1.46 1.15 0.14 0.47 1.06 4.64 0.52 1992 4.03 2.42 0.50 1.91 1.19 0.14 0.29 0.99 5.02-0.99 1993 3.14 2.06 0.47 1.59 0.58-0.02 0.31 1.24 4.17-1.03 1994 5.38 1.69 0.43 1.26 1.42 0.29 0.40 1.29 5.09 0.29 1995-7.03 0.77 0.34 0.43 0.01-0.24-0.77-1.35-1.58-5.45 1996 3.06 0.32 0.46-0.14 0.63 0.28 0.19-0.44 0.98 2.07 1997 6.80 1.71 0.85 0.87 1.76 0.19 0.75 1.14 5.56 1.24 1998 4.88 2.69 1.11 1.58 0.23 0.09 0.56 0.81 4.38 0.49 1999 4.43 3.11 1.41 1.70 1.49 0.14 0.56 0.85 6.15-1.72 2000 7.57 3.72 1.82 1.90 0.02 0.26 0.64 1.09 5.74 1.83 2001 1.08 3.23 1.55 1.67 1.06-0.03 0.07 0.38 4.70-3.61 2002 1.58 2.10 0.84 1.25 0.23-0.10 0.24 0.44 2.91-1.33 2003 2.44 1.65 0.54 1.11 0.10 0.07 0.24 0.56 2.61-0.18 2004 5.29 2.11 0.84 1.27 0.73 0.03 0.40 0.94 4.20 1.09 2005 4.58 2.77 1.11 1.67 0.56-0.01 0.42 0.90 4.64-0.06 2006 6.41 3.18 1.30 1.89 0.57 0.02 0.49 1.55 5.82 0.58 2007 5.04 3.43 1.44 1.98 0.76 0.12 0.37 1.23 5.91-0.87 2008 2.92 3.45 1.36 2.10 0.77-0.01 0.05 1.03 5.30-2.38 2009-5.09 2.49 1.01 1.48-0.08-0.17-0.67-0.26 1.30-6.39 2010 5.81 1.69 0.75 0.94 0.39 0.13 0.51 0.91 3.63 2.18 2011 6.01 1.93 0.85 1.08 0.61 0.31 0.96 1.30 5.11 0.90 Promedio 1991-2011 3.50 2.30 0.92 1.38 0.68 0.08 0.31 0.74 4.11-0.61 La PTF emplea como marco conceptual y metodológico al modelo KLEMS. Este marco considera la contribución de los insumos de la producción -capital (K), trabajo (L), energía (E), materias primas (M) y servicios (S)- y su relación con la producción. Así, la PTF se interpreta como el perfil temporal de cómo son combinados los insumos para generar bienes. En la práctica, la PTF refleja el cambio en la eficiencia, las economías de escala, la variación en la utilización de la capacidad, entre otros. Nota 1: Servicios de capital TIC: Tecnologías de la Información y la Comunicación Nota 2: Servicios de capital No TIC: Tecnologías no de la Información y la Comunicación Fuente: INEGI, "Productividad Total de los Factores, Modelo KLEMS, serie anual 1991-2011". E-59
F. Indice Nacional de Precios al Consumidor INPC Cuadro F-1. Indice Nacional de Precios al Consumidor 1980-2020 Cuadro F-2. Inflación Mensual en México y en Estados unidos 2013-2014 Cuadro F-3. INPC, Inflación Subyacente y Subíndices Complementarios Anual 1980-2020 Cuadro F-4. INPC, Inflación Subyacente y Subíndices Complementarios Mensual 2013-2014 Cuadro F-5. Precios de las Gasolinas Automotrices en México y los EUA 1980-2020
F-1. Indice Nacional de Precios al Consumidor: Escenario Base 2014-2020 (Base 2a. quincena de diciembre de 2010=100) México Brecha Estados Unidos Años Indice Nacional de Precios al Consumidor Inflacionaria Indice de Precios al Consumidor Fin Período Var. % Promedio Var. % México-EUA Fin Período Var. % Promedio Var. % 1980 0.08 29.8 0.08 26.4 12.85 38.92 12.6 37.51 13.5 1981 0.11 28.7 0.10 27.9 17.62 42.65 9.6 41.37 10.3 1982 0.22 98.8 0.16 58.9 52.75 44.61 4.6 43.92 6.2 1983 0.39 80.8 0.31 101.9 98.66 46.06 3.3 45.33 3.2 1984 0.62 59.2 0.52 65.4 61.13 47.93 4.1 47.29 4.3 1985 1.02 63.7 0.82 57.7 54.19 49.61 3.5 48.98 3.6 1986 2.10 105.7 1.52 86.2 84.37 50.25 1.3 49.89 1.9 1987 5.44 159.2 3.53 131.8 128.18 52.53 4.5 51.71 3.6 1988 8.25 51.7 7.56 114.2 110.02 54.76 4.2 53.85 4.1 1989 9.87 19.7 9.07 20.0 15.19 57.31 4.7 56.44 4.8 1990 12.83 29.9 11.49 26.7 21.25 60.90 6.3 59.49 5.4 1991 15.24 18.8 14.09 22.7 18.45 62.72 3.0 61.99 4.2 1992 17.06 11.9 16.27 15.5 12.50 64.63 3.0 63.86 3.0 1993 18.43 8.0 17.86 9.8 6.76 66.36 2.7 65.77 3.0 1994 19.73 7.1 19.10 7.0 4.41 68.14 2.7 67.46 2.6 1995 29.98 52.0 25.79 35.0 32.17 69.91 2.6 69.37 2.8 1996 38.28 27.7 34.66 34.4 31.43 72.19 3.3 71.42 3.0 1997 44.30 15.7 41.80 20.6 18.33 73.51 1.8 73.05 2.3 1998 52.54 18.6 48.46 15.9 14.37 74.65 1.5 74.19 1.6 1999 59.02 12.3 56.50 16.6 14.38 76.60 2.6 75.83 2.2 2000 64.30 9.0 61.86 9.5 6.13 79.24 3.4 78.38 3.4 2001 67.13 4.4 65.80 6.4 3.52 80.75 1.9 80.61 2.8 2002 70.96 5.7 69.11 5.0 3.45 82.52 2.2 81.88 1.6 2003 73.78 4.0 72.26 4.5 2.27 83.98 1.8 83.75 2.3 2004 77.61 5.2 75.64 4.7 2.03 86.94 3.5 85.98 2.7 2005 80.20 3.3 78.66 4.0 0.60 89.94 3.5 88.89 3.4 2006 83.45 4.1 81.52 3.6 0.40 91.72 2.0 91.76 3.2 2007 86.59 3.8 84.75 4.0 1.12 95.67 4.3 94.37 2.8 2008 92.24 6.5 89.09 5.1 1.29 96.69 1.1 98.00 3.8 2009 95.54 3.6 93.81 5.3 5.65 98.47 1.8 97.65-0.4 2010 99.74 4.4 97.71 4.2 2.52 99.59 1.1 99.25 1.6 2011 103.55 3.8 101.04 3.4 0.25 102.97 3.4 102.38 3.2 2012 107.25 3.6 105.20 4.1 2.04 104.79 1.8 104.50 2.1 2013 111.51 4.0 109.20 3.8 2.34 106.08 1.2 106.03 1.5 2014 115.79 3.8 113.58 4.0 2.15 108.19 2.0 108.01 1.9 2015 119.82 3.5 117.74 3.7 1.69 110.48 2.1 110.13 2.0 2016 124.20 3.7 122.06 3.7 1.50 113.25 2.5 112.51 2.2 2017 129.38 4.2 127.00 4.1 1.60 115.51 2.0 115.27 2.4 2018 134.39 3.9 132.20 4.1 1.76 118.66 2.7 117.96 2.3 2019 139.47 3.8 137.31 3.9 1.75 120.75 1.8 120.46 2.1 2020 144.45 3.6 142.41 3.7 1.72 123.27 2.1 122.85 2.0 F-1
F-2. Tasa Mensual de Inflación: Escenario Base 2014 (Base 2a. quincena de diciembre de 2010=100) México Brecha Estados Unidos Meses Indice Variación % Inflacionaria Indice Variación % General Mensual Acumulada Anual México/EUA General Mensual Acumulada Anual 2013 109.20 0.33 3.97 3.81 2.34 106.03 0.12 1.50 1.46 Ene 107.68 0.40 0.40 3.25 1.66 104.82 0.30 0.30 1.59 Feb 108.21 0.49 0.90 3.55 1.58 105.67 0.82 1.12 1.98 Mar 109.00 0.73 1.64 4.25 2.78 105.95 0.26 1.38 1.47 Abr 109.07 0.07 1.70 4.65 3.59 105.84-0.10 1.28 1.06 May 108.71-0.33 1.37 4.63 3.27 106.03 0.18 1.46 1.36 Jun 108.64-0.06 1.30 4.09 2.33 106.28 0.24 1.70 1.75 Jul 108.61-0.03 1.27 3.47 1.51 106.32 0.04 1.74 1.96 Ago 108.92 0.28 1.56 3.46 1.94 106.45 0.12 1.86 1.52 Sep 109.33 0.38 1.94 3.39 2.21 106.58 0.12 1.98 1.18 Oct 109.85 0.48 2.43 3.36 2.40 106.30-0.26 1.72 0.96 Nov 110.87 0.93 3.38 3.62 2.38 106.08-0.20 1.51 1.24 Dic 111.51 0.57 3.97 3.97 2.47 106.08-0.01 1.50 1.50 2014 113.58 0.31 3.84 4.01 2.15 108.01 0.16 2.00 1.86 Ene 112.50 0.89 0.89 4.48 2.90 106.47 0.37 0.37 1.58 Feb 112.79 0.25 1.15 4.23 3.11 106.86 0.37 0.74 1.13 Mar 113.10 0.27 1.43 3.76 2.25 107.55 0.64 1.39 1.51 Abr 112.89-0.19 1.24 3.50 1.54 107.91 0.33 1.73 1.95 May 112.53-0.32 0.91 3.51 1.38 108.28 0.35 2.08 2.13 Jun 112.72 0.17 1.09 3.75 1.74 108.42 0.13 2.21 2.01 Jul e/ 113.14 0.38 1.47 4.18 2.15 108.48 0.06 2.27 2.03 Ago 113.46 0.28 1.75 4.17 2.10 108.66 0.17 2.44 2.08 Sep 114.15 0.60 2.37 4.41 2.41 108.71 0.04 2.48 2.00 Oct 114.55 0.35 2.73 4.28 2.31 108.40-0.29 2.19 1.97 Nov 115.38 0.73 3.48 4.07 2.12 108.15-0.23 1.96 1.95 Dic 115.79 0.35 3.84 3.84 1.84 108.19 0.04 2.00 2.00 e/ Empieza estimación Modelo Prospectivo de la Economía Mexicana MOPEM. NOTA: La inflación mensual de los EUA correspondiente al mes de junio de 2014 es una estimación de CAMACRO. F-2
F-3. INPC, Inflación Subyacente y Subíndices Complementarios Anuales: Escenario Base 2014-2020 (Variación porcentual de diciembre a diciembre de cada año) Años! INPC Inflación Subyacente Indice Nacional Precios Precios de Precios al Total de las Mercancías de los Servicios Consumidor Total Alimentos Otros Total Vivienda Educación Otros 1980 29.85........................ 1981 28.68........................ 1982 98.84........................ 1983 80.78 86.59 94.46...... 73.93... 70.73... 1984 59.16 59.45 63.16...... 52.79... 64.65... 1985 63.75 61.28 59.43...... 64.82... 63.99... 1986 105.75 107.88 118.74...... 87.72... 80.18... 1987 159.17 158.02 162.10...... 149.20... 115.97... 1988 51.66 48.76 38.33...... 72.50... 124.00... 1989 19.70 21.45 11.54...... 39.53... 32.22... 1990 29.93 29.37 23.80...... 37.50... 36.92... 1991 18.79 17.65 15.39...... 20.63... 30.66... 1992 11.94 12.86 9.32...... 17.31... 34.43... 1993 8.01 8.42 6.54...... 10.61... 21.07... 1994 7.05 7.68 7.72...... 7.64... 14.70... 1995 51.97 50.60 63.46...... 37.59... 19.26... 1996 27.70 25.95 27.84 28.30 27.49 23.73 22.64 20.52 25.52 1997 15.72 16.46 15.59 14.44 16.48 17.52 15.57 19.09 19.19 1998 18.61 17.44 18.28 20.34 16.71 16.43 15.99 17.71 16.61 1999 12.32 14.41 14.10 13.67 14.45 14.78 11.96 18.10 16.86 2000 8.96 7.85 6.69 6.70 6.68 9.23 6.93 15.16 10.20 2001 4.40 5.36 3.91 5.42 2.72 7.06 5.68 14.02 6.86 2002 5.70 4.12 1.95 3.77 0.60 6.35 6.03 10.04 5.46 2003 3.98 3.87 2.61 4.70 1.23 4.96 4.12 8.59 4.68 2004 5.19 3.92 3.88 7.04 1.71 3.96 3.70 7.50 3.13 2005 3.33 3.27 2.84 3.69 2.22 3.64 2.55 6.63 3.73 2006 4.05 3.65 3.42 5.10 2.19 3.84 3.73 5.71 3.32 2007 3.76 3.87 4.52 7.52 2.27 3.33 3.01 5.68 2.84 2008 6.53 5.54 6.50 9.46 4.17 4.72 4.22 5.76 4.82 2009 3.57 4.16 5.57 5.73 5.43 2.94 2.65 4.13 2.80 2010 4.40 3.58 3.82 4.35 3.38 3.36 2.64 4.64 3.58 2011 3.82 3.35 4.52 7.32 2.39 2.40 2.04 4.19 2.27 2012 3.57 2.90 5.00 6.11 4.13 1.15 2.05 4.48-0.72 2013 3.97 2.78 1.89 2.67 1.26 3.54 2.19 4.42 4.69 2014 3.84 3.45 2.71 4.19 1.50 4.03 2.53 4.54 3.63 2015 3.48 3.03 2.12 3.68 0.96 3.75 2.68 4.83 3.93 2016 3.66 3.51 2.76 4.31 1.61 4.11 3.14 5.10 4.19 2017 4.17 3.97 3.19 4.76 2.02 4.59 3.69 5.54 4.57 2018 3.87 3.91 3.77 5.34 2.60 4.02 3.04 5.04 4.07 2019 3.78 3.51 3.32 4.90 2.14 3.65 2.67 4.66 3.70 2020 3.57 3.61 3.71 5.27 2.55 3.52 2.55 4.54 3.51 Continuación F-3
Continuación Años! Agropecuarios Inflación No Subyacente Energéticos y Tarifas autorizadas por el Gobierno Total Frutas Carne Energéticos Tarifas del Total! Total!! y Verduras y Huevo! Total Electricidad Gas doméstico Gasolina BO Gasolina AO Gobierno 1980.................. 19.55 1.71......... 1981.................. 19.56 39.29......... 1982.................. 66.03 108.50......... 1983 63.21 68.25 74.01 65.46 56.24 55.00 90.80 59.25...... 59.36 1984 58.13 74.64 71.01 76.48 33.53 35.42 56.53 33.51...... 28.91 1985 72.36 64.08 69.67 61.32 88.50 95.95 54.92 122.24...... 69.35 1986 98.79 77.50 72.62 80.03 134.89 115.63 119.34 231.58...... 192.26 1987 163.08 166.97 141.99 179.37 158.09 147.08 141.73 152.78...... 182.28 1988 61.34 81.44 96.86 74.81 34.70 28.40 28.87 27.92...... 46.82 1989 14.31 14.50 15.30 14.12 13.95 11.16 44.53 11.97...... 18.66 1990 31.76 25.08 30.66 22.35 43.73 29.98 10.28 21.90...... 65.39 1991 22.47 11.86 14.21 10.63 39.04 40.78 54.72 7.85...... 36.89 1992 9.09 9.81 14.33 7.37 8.18 6.72 1.91 28.11...... 10.03 1993 6.71 3.09 2.63 3.35 11.33 12.67 7.22 32.28...... 9.67 1994 5.00 3.03 6.15 1.25 7.34 8.85 5.02 20.75...... 5.42 1995 55.57 58.46 76.83 48.86 52.28 58.27 40.33 76.96...... 45.84 1996 32.77 30.21 11.70 41.99 35.38 33.33 24.50 40.82...... 37.84 1997 13.68 11.80 16.86 9.27 15.53 18.24 15.39 27.71...... 12.39 1998 21.89 24.29 45.32 13.03 19.61 18.68 14.06 7.06...... 20.75 1999 6.69 0.25-3.66 2.94 13.06 15.74 12.95 23.90...... 9.85 2000 12.17 10.07 20.24 3.52 14.02 18.63 9.85 38.68...... 8.20 2001 1.75 1.35-5.97 6.84 2.08-1.26 8.54-16.45...... 6.71 2002 11.33 8.65 22.23-0.10 13.73 16.84 34.97 25.96...... 8.84 2003 4.37 3.65-2.36 8.34 4.82 6.11 7.04 7.75 4.74 2.37 2.72 2004 9.67 10.11 6.43 12.69 9.40 10.02 9.15 18.27 5.42 8.47 8.36 2005 3.53-0.18-1.86 0.93 5.84 7.13 4.27 14.79 4.47 4.39 3.66 2006 5.42 8.30 15.46 3.69 3.72 4.42 5.07 1.53 5.59 8.46 2.51 2007 3.39 3.42 0.15 5.77 3.36 3.41 3.00 1.76 4.79 5.65 3.29 2008 9.80 11.63 10.58 12.34 8.68 8.03 9.45 10.72 4.91 5.77 9.84 2009 1.72 1.66-1.12 3.52 1.76 0.28 1.13-6.43 4.37 4.25 4.36 2010 7.09 6.96 14.00 2.46 7.16 6.44 3.96 1.41 12.74 5.36 8.39 2011 5.34 3.73-4.37 9.76 6.19 8.30 6.51 7.05 11.13 4.96 2.39 2012 5.74 9.18 2.90 13.22 3.84 5.62-2.26 9.27 11.05 7.32 0.45 2013 7.84 6.67 13.89 2.43 8.65 8.30 3.63 7.82 11.24 11.17 9.32 2014 5.36 3.96-6.00 8.67 6.14 7.42 0.01 11.78 9.73 11.19 4.40 2015 4.90 7.10 2.20 9.10 3.42 3.02 3.24 4.82 2.25 2.98 3.84 2016 4.08 5.27-1.30 9.45 3.24 3.18 3.01 2.22 3.53 4.13 3.10 2017 4.74 7.81 3.10 10.17 2.77 2.24 0.84 0.62 3.41 3.97 3.40 2018 3.66 5.80-0.70 9.71 2.18 1.49-1.15-1.68 3.71 4.20 3.10 2019 4.58 8.37 3.60 9.51 2.04 1.50-2.27-2.48 4.37 4.76 2.73 2020 3.29 5.92-1.10 8.86 1.40 0.92-3.16-3.33 3.80 4.19 1.99 Conclusión F-4
F-4. INPC, Inflación Subyacente y Subíndices Complementarios Mensuales: Escenario Base 2014 (Variación % anual de los índices de precios al consumidor) Años! INPC Inflación Subyacente Indice Nacional Precios Precios de Precios al Total de las Mercancías de los Servicios Consumidor Total Alimentos Otros Total Vivienda Educación Otros 2013 3.81 2.72 3.02 3.85 2.36 2.47 2.16 4.47 2.20 Ene 3.25 2.88 4.37 5.23 3.69 1.62 2.07 4.55 0.33 Feb 3.55 2.96 3.86 4.59 3.27 2.21 2.09 4.55 1.66 Mar 4.25 3.02 3.81 4.58 3.21 2.35 2.10 4.56 1.98 Abr 4.65 2.95 3.63 4.48 2.95 2.37 2.10 4.57 2.01 May 4.63 2.88 3.49 4.38 2.79 2.36 2.14 4.40 1.99 Jun 4.09 2.79 3.14 3.94 2.49 2.49 2.21 4.34 2.24 Jul 3.47 2.50 2.64 3.50 1.96 2.38 2.21 4.41 1.97 Ago 3.46 2.37 2.51 3.46 1.75 2.24 2.26 4.55 1.55 Sep 3.39 2.52 2.59 3.36 1.98 2.45 2.21 4.42 2.10 Oct 3.36 2.48 2.41 3.28 1.71 2.54 2.19 4.42 2.34 Nov 3.62 2.56 1.99 2.82 1.33 3.06 2.20 4.43 3.54 Dic 3.97 2.78 1.89 2.67 1.26 3.54 2.19 4.42 4.69 2014 4.01 3.21 2.83 4.51 1.48 3.51 2.28 4.46 3.72 Ene 4.48 3.21 2.93 4.64 1.56 3.47 2.21 4.32 4.53 Feb 4.23 2.98 2.91 4.73 1.45 3.05 2.25 4.38 3.50 Mar 3.76 2.89 2.88 4.58 1.52 2.90 2.24 4.39 3.17 Abr 3.50 3.11 2.97 4.60 1.67 3.23 2.24 4.39 3.94 May 3.51 3.00 3.08 4.76 1.73 2.94 2.21 4.42 3.28 Jun 3.75 3.09 3.24 5.06 1.78 2.96 2.15 4.46 3.40 Jul e/ 4.18 3.11 3.28 4.91 1.96 2.96 2.17 4.44 3.36 Ago 4.17 3.28 2.85 4.63 1.41 3.62 2.21 4.51 3.89 Sep 4.41 3.51 2.31 4.19 0.80 4.47 2.33 4.55 4.20 Oct 4.28 3.40 2.26 3.84 0.97 4.31 2.38 4.54 3.96 Nov 4.07 3.48 2.60 4.06 1.39 4.17 2.42 4.54 3.83 Dic 3.84 3.45 2.71 4.19 1.50 4.03 2.53 4.54 3.63 e/ Empieza estimación Modelo Prospectivo de la Economía Mexicana MOPEM. Continuación F-5
Continuación Años! Agropecuarios Inflación No Subyacente Energéticos y Tarifas autorizadas por el Gobierno Total Frutas Carne Energéticos Tarifas del Total! Total!! y Verduras y Huevo! Total Electricidad Gas doméstico Gasolina Bajo O Gasolina Alto O Gobierno 2013 7.34 7.71 6.47 8.40 7.17 7.60-1.84 9.02 11.46 10.25 6.18 Ene 4.47 5.51-2.21 10.52 3.89 5.60-2.43 9.14 11.12 7.93 0.62 Feb 5.47 7.48 4.66 9.20 4.36 5.48-2.92 9.02 11.22 8.29 2.22 Mar 8.29 14.29 19.85 11.00 5.02 5.86-2.55 8.93 11.68 9.07 3.37 Abr 10.32 17.25 25.13 12.66 6.47 6.48-4.20 9.68 11.55 9.49 6.26 May 10.56 15.30 15.51 15.08 7.75 8.24-4.29 10.17 11.18 9.86 6.51 Jun 8.39 8.99-1.22 15.38 8.06 8.36-4.62 9.67 11.62 10.56 7.15 Jul 6.60 4.22-6.01 10.60 8.12 8.26-5.43 9.38 11.87 10.97 7.50 Ago 7.01 5.19 0.22 8.15 8.16 8.13-5.59 8.81 11.85 11.32 7.87 Sep 6.20 2.33-0.63 4.04 8.66 8.91-3.53 9.07 11.77 11.33 7.87 Oct 6.18 1.67 1.10 1.92 9.07 9.62 3.45 8.41 11.37 11.40 7.83 Nov 7.02 5.53 11.46 2.03 8.01 8.20 3.72 8.25 11.06 11.32 7.65 Dic 7.84 6.67 13.89 2.43 8.65 8.30 3.63 7.82 11.24 11.17 9.32 2014 6.71 4.64 0.11 6.54 8.00 8.66 2.94 11.06 10.94 11.62 6.94 Ene 8.58 6.21 10.54 3.65 10.13 9.67 5.06 10.41 12.25 12.18 11.02 Feb 8.28 5.43 6.73 4.58 10.12 10.10 5.69 11.88 11.97 12.28 10.14 Mar 6.54 1.49-2.81 4.14 9.73 9.83 5.66 11.34 11.49 12.01 9.55 Abr 4.75-1.13-9.90 4.39 8.52 9.45 4.11 10.30 11.66 11.99 6.86 May 5.19 0.67-7.97 5.70 8.14 8.86 14.47 9.62 11.55 11.61 6.89 Jun 5.96 3.37-2.15 6.34 7.59 8.42-0.08 11.31 10.36 10.78 6.18 Jul e/ 7.80 8.35 8.20 7.30 7.46 8.33-0.09 11.29 11.05 11.70 5.99 Ago 7.20 7.04 3.75 7.60 7.32 8.27 0.06 11.47 10.78 11.59 5.71 Sep 7.48 7.97 5.75 7.52 7.20 8.10 0.13 11.60 10.51 11.49 5.69 Oct 7.32 7.72 2.74 9.15 7.03 7.90 0.10 11.81 10.24 11.39 5.70 Nov 6.23 5.20-4.05 9.38 6.78 7.68-0.02 11.75 9.98 11.29 5.74 Dic 5.36 3.96-6.00 8.67 6.14 7.42 0.01 11.78 9.73 11.19 4.40 e/ Empieza estimación Modelo Prospectivo de la Economía Mexicana MOPEM. Conclusión F-6
F-5. Precios de las Gasolinas Automotrices en México y EUA: Escenario Base 2014-2020 (Promedio anual) Años! Precio de la Diferencia de precios México-EUA Precio de la Gasolina en México INPC del INEGI 2003=100 Gasolina en EUA Precios en la Frontera Norte Precios en la Frontera Norte Precios en el Interior del País Gasolinas (Unleaded Regular) Pemex Magna vs. EUA Pemex Premium vs. EUA Pemex Magna Pemex Premium Pemex Magna Pemex Premium Bajo Octanaje Alto Octanaje Pesos/Litro % Absoluta Relativa Absoluta Relativa Pesos/Litro % Pesos/Litro % Pesos/Litro % Pesos/Litro % Indice % Indice % 1980 0.01 39.0........................ 1981 0.01 18.2........................ 1982 0.02 122.7........................ 1983 0.05 148.2........................ 1984 0.06 20.2........................ 1985 0.10 66.3........................ 1986 0.16 58.0........................ 1987 0.35 125.0........................ 1988 0.57 63.2........................ 1989 0.67 17.2........................ 1990 0.87 30.3........................ 1991 0.91 4.0........................ 1992 0.92 1.4........................ 1993 0.91-1.0........................ 1994 0.99 8.7........................ 1995 1.95 96.2........................ 1996 2.47 27.0........................ 1997 2.58 4.4...... 2.97. 3.31. 3.09. 3.40....... 1998 2.56-0.8...... 3.49 17.7 3.84 16.0 3.64 17.6 3.99 17.4...... 1999 2.94 14.9...... 4.34 24.3 4.78 24.3 4.54 24.7 5.00 25.2...... 2000 3.77 28.2...... 4.83 11.2 5.36 12.2 5.05 11.2 5.60 12.1...... 2001 3.60-4.4...... 5.22 8.1 5.85 9.2 5.45 8.0 6.11 9.1...... 2002 3.47-3.8...... 5.40 3.5 6.16 5.4 5.75 5.4 6.44 5.4...... 2003 4.54 30.9 0.75 16.6 1.85 40.7 5.29-2.0 6.38 3.6 5.96 3.6 6.68 3.6 100.0. 100.0. 2004 5.61 23.6 0.19 3.4 1.25 22.3 5.80 9.6 6.86 7.4 6.14 3.1 7.17 7.4 105.0 5.0 106.8 6.8 2005 6.61 17.8-0.55-8.3 0.55 8.3 6.06 4.4 7.15 4.3 6.33 3.2 7.48 4.3 109.2 4.0 111.8 4.7 2006 7.46 12.9-0.03-0.5 0.06 0.8 7.42 22.6 7.52 5.1 6.61 4.4 7.86 5.1 116.5 6.8 118.1 5.6 2007 8.09 8.5-0.69-8.5 0.06 0.7 7.40-0.3 8.14 8.3 6.91 4.6 8.51 8.3 121.4 4.2 127.6 8.1 2008 9.62 19.0-2.14-22.2-0.90-9.3 7.49 1.2 8.73 7.2 7.28 5.3 9.11 7.0 127.0 4.6 135.8 6.5 2009 8.39-12.8-0.67-8.0 0.79 9.5 7.72 3.1 9.18 5.2 7.72 6.1 9.57 5.0 134.0 5.5 143.1 5.4 2010 9.30 10.9-0.98-10.6 0.19 2.0 8.32 7.8 9.49 3.4 8.32 7.7 9.88 3.2 144.6 7.9 148.7 3.9 2011 11.59 24.6-2.31-19.9-1.62-13.9 9.28 11.5 9.97 5.1 9.28 11.5 10.36 4.9 161.2 11.5 156.1 4.9 2012 12.67 9.4-2.36-18.6-2.10-16.6 10.32 11.1 10.57 6.0 10.32 11.1 10.96 5.8 179.2 11.1 165.0 5.7 2013 11.90-6.1-0.37-3.1-0.20-1.7 11.53 11.7 11.70 10.7 11.53 11.7 12.09 10.3 199.7 11.5 181.9 10.2 2014 12.14 2.0 0.67 5.5 1.36 11.2 12.82 11.2 13.51 15.5 12.82 11.2 13.51 11.8 221.6 10.9 203.0 11.6 2015 12.28 1.1 1.19 9.7 2.06 16.8 13.47 5.1 14.34 6.2 13.47 5.1 14.34 6.2 232.9 5.1 215.5 6.2 2016 12.77 4.0 1.10 8.6 2.09 16.3 13.87 3.0 14.86 3.6 13.87 3.0 14.86 3.6 239.8 3.0 223.3 3.6 2017 13.65 6.9 0.70 5.1 1.80 13.2 14.35 3.5 15.46 4.0 14.35 3.5 15.46 4.0 248.1 3.5 232.3 4.0 2018 14.58 6.8 0.28 1.9 1.51 10.3 14.86 3.6 16.09 4.1 14.86 3.6 16.09 4.1 257.0 3.6 241.8 4.1 2019 15.37 5.4 0.09 0.6 1.44 9.4 15.47 4.1 16.81 4.5 15.47 4.1 16.81 4.5 267.4 4.1 252.7 4.5 2020 16.04 4.3 0.05 0.3 1.52 9.5 16.10 4.1 17.56 4.4 16.10 4.1 17.56 4.4 278.3 4.1 264.0 4.4 F-7
G. Mercado Cambiario Cuadro G-1. Tipo de Cambio del Peso respecto al Dólar de EE.UU. 1980-2020 Cuadro G-2. Tipo de Cambio Mensual 2013-2014
G-1. Tipo de Cambio del Peso Respecto al Dólar de EE.UU.: Escenario Básico 2014-2020 (Punto de Equilibrio del Tipo de Cambio 1990=100) Promedio Anual % Sobre (-) Tipo de Fin de Año TDC para solventar Año Nominal Indice Real o sub (+) Cambio Teórico Nominal obligaciones en dólares Pesos/Dólar %Var. 1990=100 % Var. valuación Pesos/Dólar Pesos/Dólar % Var. Pesos/Dólar % Var. 1980 0.0229 0.8 76.7-9.4-23.31 0.0299 0.0233 2.2 0.0233 2.2 1981 0.0245 6.8 70.6-7.9-29.37 0.0347 0.0262 12.4 0.0262 12.4 1982 0.0580 136.9 111.8 58.3 11.77 0.0519 0.1493 470.5 0.0963 267.6 1983 0.1503 159.1 148.1 32.5 48.06 0.1015 0.1612 8.0 0.1436 49.1 1984 0.1849 23.0 114.9-22.4 14.86 0.1610 0.2100 30.2 0.1920 33.7 1985 0.3103 67.8 126.5 10.1 26.51 0.2453 0.4535 116.0 0.3682 91.8 1986 0.6353 104.8 141.7 12.0 41.68 0.4484 0.9135 101.4 0.9151 148.5 1987 1.3980 120.0 139.4-1.6 39.39 1.0030 2.2250 143.6 2.2097 141.5 1988 2.2871 63.6 110.9-20.4 10.88 2.0626 2.2980 3.3 2.2810 3.2 1989 2.4816 8.5 105.1-5.2 5.09 2.3615 2.6855 16.9 2.6410 15.8 1990 2.8385 14.4 100.0-4.8 0.03 2.8376 2.9443 9.6 2.9454 11.5 1991 3.0157 6.2 90.3-9.7-9.71 3.3401 3.0780 4.5 3.0710 4.3 1992 3.0945 2.6 82.6-8.5-17.38 3.7453 3.1209 1.4 3.1154 1.4 1993 3.1152 0.7 78.1-5.5-21.94 3.9910 3.1071-0.4 3.1059-0.3 1994 3.3751 8.3 81.1 3.9-18.92 4.1625 4.9950 60.8 5.3250 71.4 1995 6.4190 90.2 117.5 44.9 17.47 5.4644 7.7396 54.9 7.6425 43.5 1996 7.6003 18.4 106.6-9.3 6.56 7.1324 7.8703 1.7 7.8509 2.7 1997 7.9198 4.2 94.2-11.6-5.83 8.4106 8.0681 2.5 8.0833 3.0 1998 9.1506 15.5 95.3 1.2-4.69 9.6007 9.8963 22.7 9.8650 22.0 1999 9.5577 4.4 87.3-8.4-12.72 10.9512 9.4986-4.0 9.5143-3.6 2000 9.4567-1.1 81.5-6.6-18.48 11.6007 9.6098 1.2 9.5722 0.6 2001 9.3390-1.2 77.8-4.5-22.16 11.9979 9.1695-4.6 9.1423-4.5 2002 9.6657 3.5 77.9 0.1-22.08 12.4054 10.4393 13.8 10.3125 12.8 2003 10.7953 11.7 85.1 9.3-14.87 12.6805 11.2372 7.6 11.2360 9.0 2004 11.2859 4.5 87.3 2.5-12.72 12.9306 11.1495-0.8 11.2648 0.3 2005 10.8939-3.5 83.8-4.0-16.24 13.0057 10.6344-4.6 10.7777-4.3 2006 10.9007 0.1 83.5-0.3-16.51 13.0565 10.8116 1.7 10.8810 1.0 2007 10.9288 0.3 82.8-0.8-17.20 13.1985 10.9157 1.0 10.8662-0.1 2008 11.1520 2.0 83.5 0.8-16.54 13.3619 13.8325 26.7 13.5383 24.6 2009 13.5076 21.1 95.7 14.6-4.34 14.1200 13.0659-5.5 13.0587-3.5 2010 12.6303-6.5 87.3-8.8-12.71 14.4696 12.3496-5.5 12.3571-5.4 2011 12.4354-1.5 85.7-1.8-14.27 14.5048 13.9476 12.9 13.9787 13.1 2012 13.1613 5.8 89.0 3.8-11.04 14.7949 12.9658-7.0 13.0101-6.9 2013 12.7724-3.0 84.4-5.1-15.62 15.1364 13.0843 0.9 13.0765 0.5 2014 13.0893 2.5 84.7 0.4-15.31 15.4563 13.0489-0.3 13.0181-0.4 2015 13.3145 1.7 84.7 0.1-15.26 15.7125 13.3877 2.6 13.3621 2.6 2016 13.4609 1.1 84.4-0.4-15.57 15.9439 13.5713 1.4 13.5973 1.8 2017 13.6817 1.6 84.5 0.1-15.51 16.1932 13.8329 1.9 13.8136 1.6 2018 13.9840 2.2 84.9 0.5-15.10 16.4710 14.1162 2.0 14.1383 2.4 2019 14.2483 1.9 85.0 0.2-14.95 16.7539 14.3645 1.8 14.3387 1.4 2020 14.4806 1.6 85.0-0.1-15.00 17.0370 14.5718 1.4 14.5422 1.4 G-1
G-2. Tipo de Cambio Mensual: Escenario Base 2014 (Punto de Equilibrio del Tipo de Cambio 1990=100) Meses!! Promedio del Mes Fin de Mes Fecha de Determinación FIX Tipo de % Sobre (-) Fecha de Determinación FIX Nominal Indice Real Cambio o sub (+) Nominal Indice Real Pesos/Dólar Var. % 1990=100 Var. % Teórico valuación Pesos/Dólar Var. % 1990=100 Var. % 2013 12.7724-2.95 84.4-5.14 15.1364-15.62 13.0843 0.91 84.7-1.49 Ene 12.6990-1.33 84.1-1.44 15.0989-15.89 12.7094-1.98 84.2-2.08 Feb 12.7229 0.19 84.5 0.51 15.0501-15.46 12.7795 0.55 84.9 0.88 Mar 12.5247-1.56 82.8-2.02 15.1209-17.17 12.3612-3.27 81.7-3.73 Abr 12.2050-2.55 80.6-2.72 15.1466-19.42 12.1456-1.74 80.2-1.91 May 12.3115 0.87 81.7 1.39 15.0694-18.30 12.8035 5.42 85.0 5.96 Jun 12.9596 5.26 86.3 5.58 15.0241-13.74 13.0279 1.75 86.7 2.06 Jul 12.7659-1.49 85.0-1.42 15.0132-14.97 12.8464-1.39 85.6-1.32 Ago 12.9178 1.19 85.9 1.02 15.0379-14.10 13.3415 3.85 88.7 3.68 Sep 13.0759 1.22 86.7 0.96 15.0770-13.27 13.1747-1.25 87.4-1.51 Oct 12.9992-0.59 85.6-1.31 15.1878-14.41 13.0067-1.28 85.6-2.00 Nov 13.0796 0.62 85.1-0.51 15.3607-14.85 13.1101 0.79 85.3-0.34 Dic 13.0076-0.55 84.2-1.13 15.4503-15.81 13.0843-0.20 84.7-0.78 2014 13.0893 2.48 84.7 0.36 15.4563-15.31 13.0489-0.27 83.0-2.04 Ene 13.2230 1.66 85.1 1.13 15.5306-14.86 13.3769 2.24 86.1 3.83 Feb 13.2808 0.44 85.6 0.55 15.5125-14.39 13.2379-1.04 85.3-0.92 Mar 13.1951-0.65 85.4-0.28 15.4554-14.62 13.0549-1.38 84.5-1.02 Abr 13.0708-0.94 85.0-0.43 15.3760-14.99 13.0901 0.27 85.1 0.79 May 12.9247-1.12 84.6-0.45 15.2735-15.38 12.8609-1.75 84.2-1.09 Jun 12.9958 0.55 85.0 0.50 15.2804-14.95 12.9712 0.86 84.9 0.81 Jul e/ 13.0159 0.15 84.9-0.16 15.3290-15.09 13.0437 0.56 85.1 0.24 Ago 13.0326 0.13 84.9 0.01 15.3468-15.08 13.0270-0.13 84.9-0.24 Sep 13.0932 0.47 84.8-0.09 15.4327-15.16 13.0600 0.25 84.6-0.30 Oct 13.1370 0.33 84.6-0.31 15.5318-15.42 13.1183 0.45 84.5-0.19 Nov 13.0733-0.48 83.4-1.43 15.6804-16.63 13.1080-0.08 83.6-1.03 Dic 13.0296-0.33 82.8-0.64 15.7293-17.16 13.0489-0.45 83.0-0.76 e/ Empieza estimación Modelo Prospectivo de la Economía Mexicana MOPEM. G-2
H. Tasas de Interés Cuadro H-1. Tasas Anuales de Interés Nominales y Reales 1980-2020 Cuadro H-2. Tasas Mensuales de Interés 2013-2014
H-1. Tasas Anuales de Interés: Escenario Base 2014-2020 (Promedio anual) Cetes 28 días México Estados Unidos México CCP en MN Tasa Objetivo Tasas Internacionales Años Anual Anual Valores Privados Papel Comercial Vs. Anual Anual BANXICO Estados Unidos Inglaterra Nominal Real Nominal Real Anual Nominal Real Anual EE.UU. Nominal Real Nominal Real Anual PRIME FED Funds LIBOR 1980 22.46-3.79 23.30-3.00 12.72 0.86 10.58 20.71-5.43...... 15.26 13.35 13.96 1981 30.77 5.30 32.31 6.89 15.71 7.32 16.60 28.58 3.07...... 18.87 16.39 16.79 1982 43.19-23.13 48.18-19.34 11.84 8.35 36.34 40.40-25.17...... 14.85 12.24 12.95 1983 56.72-3.72 49.90-9.81 8.87 5.25 41.03 56.65-3.78...... 10.79 9.09 9.50 1984 48.59 1.17 49.61 2.16 10.07 6.35 39.54 51.10 3.63...... 12.04 10.23 10.60 1985 60.18 9.86 76.17 27.80 7.94 4.27 68.23 56.07 5.64...... 9.93 8.10 8.20 1986 86.74 12.30 102.98 30.54 6.61 5.65 96.37 80.88 6.31...... 8.33 6.80 6.90 1987 95.97-2.86 123.49 24.99 6.74 2.41 116.75 94.64-4.05...... 8.21 6.66 7.18 1988 69.15 29.16 55.39 13.32 7.58 3.28 47.81 67.64 27.32...... 9.32 7.57 7.97 1989 45.01 29.96 40.92 24.93 9.11 4.64 31.81 44.61 29.46...... 10.87 9.21 9.28 1990 34.76 8.42 27.06 0.58 8.15 2.22 18.91 37.07 10.88...... 10.01 8.10 8.28 1991 19.28 1.92 21.80 4.48 5.89 2.90 15.91 25.56 8.40...... 8.46 5.69 5.98 1992 15.62 4.33 25.82 15.34 3.71 0.85 22.11 18.78 7.63...... 6.25 3.52 3.83 1993 14.99 7.45 17.98 10.67 3.17 0.45 14.81 18.56 11.31...... 6.00 3.02 3.30 1994 14.10 7.47 19.30 13.13 4.43 1.80 14.87 15.50 8.97...... 7.15 4.21 4.74 1995 48.44 5.80 59.43 17.54 5.93 3.46 53.50 45.12 2.48...... 8.83 5.83 6.04 1996 31.39 6.75 36.39 10.77 5.43 2.19 30.95 31.69 6.05...... 8.27 5.30 5.51 1997 19.80 5.17 22.14 7.62 5.55 3.93 16.59 20.04 5.42...... 8.44 5.46 5.74 1998 24.76 7.73 26.36 9.42 5.42 3.88 20.94 22.39 5.25...... 8.35 5.35 5.56 1999 21.41 10.08 23.74 12.63 5.11 2.48 18.63 20.89 9.52 22.45 11.21 8.00 4.97 5.41 2000 15.24 6.79 16.93 8.58 6.27 2.97 10.66 14.59 6.10 16.16 7.76 9.23 6.24 6.53 2001 11.31 7.19 12.80 8.78 3.79 2.27 9.01 10.95 6.82 11.95 7.87 6.91 3.88 3.78 2002 7.09 1.53 8.21 2.67 1.68-0.67 6.53 6.17 0.61 7.15 1.60 4.67 1.67 1.79 2003 6.23 2.34 7.02 3.15 1.13-0.73 5.90 5.15 1.25 6.15 2.26 4.12 1.13 1.22 2004 6.82 1.75 7.44 2.38 1.40-1.79 6.04 5.41 0.34 6.75 1.68 4.34 1.35 1.62 2005 9.20 6.07 9.70 6.59 3.27-0.09 6.42 7.64 4.43 9.30 6.17 6.19 3.22 3.56 2006 7.19 3.25 7.51 3.58 5.00 2.51 2.51 6.06 2.09 7.23 3.29 7.96 4.97 5.19 2007 7.19 3.54 7.56 3.92 5.07 1.06 2.49 5.99 2.31 7.23 3.58 8.05 5.02 5.30 2008 7.68 1.34 8.71 2.38 2.38 2.31 6.32 6.73 0.39 7.84 1.50 5.09 1.92 2.91 2009 5.43 1.92 7.07 3.61 0.26-2.39 6.81 5.07 1.56 5.42 1.91 3.25 0.16 0.69 2010 4.40 0.09 5.29 0.97 0.20-1.28 5.09 4.17-0.15 4.50 0.18 3.25 0.18 0.34 2011 4.24 0.49 4.92 1.16 0.13-2.75 4.79 4.18 0.43 4.50 0.75 3.25 0.10 0.34 2012 4.24 0.73 4.73 1.22 0.11-1.60 4.62 4.20 0.68 4.50 0.99 3.25 0.14 0.43 2013 3.75-0.15 4.26 0.36 0.09-1.39 4.18 3.86-0.05 3.97 0.06 3.25 0.11 0.27 2014 2.96-0.80 3.53-0.24 0.08-1.88 3.45 3.18-0.59 3.22-0.55 3.25 0.09 0.24 2015 2.95-0.47 3.49 0.07 0.31-1.76 3.18 3.22-0.20 3.23-0.19 3.45 0.31 0.45 2016 4.25 0.65 4.82 1.23 1.15-1.32 3.67 4.49 0.90 4.49 0.90 4.24 1.12 1.26 2017 5.46 1.38 6.04 1.97 2.25 0.27 3.80 5.67 1.59 5.68 1.60 5.23 2.11 2.26 2018 6.44 2.66 7.05 3.29 3.27 0.58 3.79 6.61 2.84 6.63 2.86 6.23 3.12 3.27 2019 6.60 2.91 7.23 3.55 3.35 1.61 3.88 6.75 3.06 6.77 3.08 6.27 3.18 3.32 2020 6.13 2.64 6.80 3.32 2.77 0.71 4.02 6.26 2.77 6.27 2.78 5.65 2.58 2.72 H-1
H-2. Tasas Mensuales de Interés: Escenario Base 2014 (Promedio aritmético en el mes en por ciento anual) Cetes 28 días México Estados Unidos México Tasa Objetivo Tasas Internacionales Años Anual Real Valores Privados Papel Comercial Vs. BANXICO Estados Unidos Inglaterra Nominal Anual Nominal Real Anual Nominal Real Anual EUA Nominal Real Anual PRIME FED Funds LIBOR 2013 3.75-0.15 4.26 0.36 0.09-1.39 4.17 3.97 0.06 3.25 0.11 0.27 Ene 4.15-0.67 4.76-0.07 0.11-3.38 4.64 4.50-0.33 3.25 0.14 0.30 Feb 4.19-1.71 4.76-1.15 0.11-9.22 4.64 4.50-1.40 3.25 0.15 0.29 Mar 3.98-4.68 4.38-4.30 0.11-2.98 4.27 4.11-4.55 3.25 0.14 0.28 Abr 3.82 3.07 4.35 3.61 0.10 1.36 4.25 4.00 3.25 3.25 0.15 0.28 May 3.72 8.02 4.35 8.70 0.09-2.02 4.26 4.00 8.32 3.25 0.11 0.27 Jun 3.78 4.61 4.24 5.09 0.07-2.77 4.17 4.00 4.84 3.25 0.09 0.27 Jul 3.85 4.33 4.43 4.94 0.08-0.39 4.35 4.00 4.49 3.25 0.09 0.27 Ago 3.84 0.42 4.29 0.87 0.07-1.36 4.22 4.00 0.58 3.25 0.08 0.26 Sep 3.64-0.88 4.13-0.39 0.06-1.33 4.07 3.79-0.73 3.25 0.08 0.25 Oct 3.39-2.28 3.89-1.79 0.10 3.25 3.79 3.70-1.97 3.25 0.09 0.24 Nov 3.39-7.45 3.78-7.09 0.07 2.56 3.71 3.50-7.35 3.25 0.08 0.24 Dic 3.29-3.53 3.79-3.04 0.07 0.17 3.72 3.50-3.32 3.25 0.09 0.24 2014 2.96-0.80 3.53-0.24 0.08-1.88 3.45 3.22-0.55 3.25 0.09 0.24 Ene 3.14-7.26 3.83-6.62 0.07-4.29 3.76 3.50-6.93 3.25 0.07 0.24 Feb 3.16 0.13 3.80 0.77 0.07-4.27 3.73 3.50 0.47 3.25 0.07 0.24 Mar 3.17-0.12 3.93 0.64 0.07-7.35 3.86 3.50 0.21 3.25 0.08 0.23 Abr 3.23 5.61 3.88 6.29 0.07-3.81 3.81 3.50 5.89 3.25 0.09 0.23 May 3.28 7.38 3.80 7.94 0.07-4.03 3.73 3.50 7.61 3.25 0.09 0.23 Jun 3.02 0.95 3.44 1.37 0.07-1.45 3.36 3.08 1.01 3.25 0.10 0.24 Jul e/ 2.84-1.64 3.35-1.14 0.08-0.60 3.27 3.00-1.48 3.25 0.10 0.24 Ago 2.73-0.65 3.26-0.12 0.08-1.88 3.17 3.00-0.37 3.25 0.10 0.24 Sep 2.73-4.40 3.26-3.89 0.08-0.44 3.18 3.00-4.14 3.25 0.10 0.24 Oct 2.75-1.47 3.27-0.95 0.09 3.61 3.18 3.00-1.22 3.25 0.10 0.24 Nov 2.76-5.78 3.27-5.30 0.09 2.85 3.18 3.00-5.55 3.25 0.11 0.25 Dic 2.78-1.41 3.30-0.90 0.09-0.36 3.21 3.00-1.19 3.25 0.11 0.25 e/ Empieza estimación Modelo Prospectivo de la Economía Mexicana MOPEM. H-2
I. Sector Financiero Cuadro I-1. Ahorro Financiero y Crédito de la Banca Comercial Al Sector Privado 1980-2020 Cuadro I-2. Base y Oferta Monetaria 1980-2020 Cuadro I-3. Agregados Monetarios 1980-2020 Cuadro I-4. Crédito otorgado por la Banca Comercial al Sector Privado 1980-2020 Cuadro I-5. Banxico: Agregados Monetarios y Actividad Financiera 2013-2014
I-1. Ahorro Financiero y Crédito de la Banca Comercial al Sector Privado: Escenario Base 2014-2020 (Millones de pesos) Ahorro Financiero Crédito de la Banca Comercial al Sector Privado Años Nominal Real Nominal Real Saldo Var.% % PIB Saldo Var.% Saldo Var.% % PIB Saldo Var.% 1980 1,204 46.2 20.5 1,423,381 12.6 719 42.8 12.2 849,535 10.0 1981 1,794 49.0 22.3 1,647,762 15.8 1,070 48.8 13.3 982,522 15.7 1982 3,146 75.3 24.2 1,452,831-11.8 1,551 45.0 11.9 716,339-27.1 1983 5,417 72.2 23.2 1,383,962-4.7 2,673 72.4 11.4 683,032-4.6 1984 9,271 71.1 24.1 1,488,173 7.5 4,769 78.4 12.4 765,598 12.1 1985 13,998 51.0 22.4 1,372,227-7.8 7,328 53.6 11.7 718,340-6.2 1986 29,914 113.7 29.1 1,425,290 3.9 13,584 85.4 13.2 647,240-9.9 1987 76,732 156.5 30.3 1,410,646-1.0 34,917 157.0 13.8 641,911-0.8 1988 114,591 49.3 22.3 1,389,082-1.5 52,550 50.5 10.2 637,020-0.8 1989 182,094 58.9 26.8 1,844,120 32.8 93,816 78.5 13.8 950,104 49.1 1990 269,085 47.8 29.4 2,097,374 13.7 152,449 62.5 16.6 1,188,262 25.1 1991 354,299 31.7 30.1 2,324,658 10.8 234,892 54.1 19.9 1,541,192 29.7 1992 420,372 18.6 30.0 2,464,025 6.0 342,373 45.8 24.4 2,006,829 30.2 1993 536,874 27.7 34.2 2,913,554 18.2 425,739 24.3 27.1 2,310,437 15.1 1994 672,198 25.2 37.8 3,407,650 17.0 535,654 25.8 30.1 2,715,455 17.5 1995 808,554 20.3 36.6 2,697,244-20.8 591,162 10.4 26.8 1,972,049-27.4 1996 1,041,988 28.9 34.5 2,721,866 0.9 595,867 0.8 19.7 1,556,514-21.1 1997 1,329,001 27.5 34.9 3,000,035 10.2 579,247-2.8 15.2 1,307,569-16.0 1998 1,672,082 25.8 36.5 3,182,295 6.1 500,479-13.6 10.9 952,508-27.2 1999 1,975,098 18.1 35.7 3,346,722 5.2 470,401-6.0 8.5 797,074-16.3 2000 2,254,029 14.1 34.9 3,505,308 4.7 482,344 2.5 7.5 750,108-5.9 2001 2,647,266 17.4 39.1 3,943,204 12.5 482,192 0.0 7.1 718,243-4.2 2002 2,893,378 9.3 40.4 4,077,368 3.4 519,743 7.8 7.3 732,425 2.0 2003 3,261,306 12.7 42.4 4,420,088 8.4 558,049 7.4 7.3 756,330 3.3 2004 3,627,665 11.2 41.7 4,673,999 5.7 704,230 26.2 8.1 907,352 20.0 2005 4,209,729 16.0 44.6 5,249,012 12.3 888,523 26.2 9.4 1,107,879 22.1 2006 4,811,851 14.3 45.7 5,766,070 9.9 1,163,027 30.9 11.0 1,393,662 25.8 2007 5,289,910 9.9 46.4 6,109,281 6.0 1,485,885 27.8 13.0 1,716,039 23.1 2008 6,186,186 16.9 50.5 6,706,569 9.8 1,655,196 11.4 13.5 1,794,432 4.6 2009 6,589,749 6.5 54.5 6,897,592 2.8 1,615,013-2.4 13.4 1,690,459-5.8 2010 7,437,877 12.9 56.0 7,457,110 8.1 1,752,906 8.5 13.2 1,757,438 4.0 2011 8,664,657 16.5 59.6 8,367,526 12.2 2,050,155 17.0 14.1 1,979,851 12.7 2012 9,950,859 14.8 63.7 9,278,536 10.9 2,288,376 11.6 14.7 2,133,764 7.8 2013 10,872,132 9.3 67.5 9,750,048 5.1 2,506,651 9.5 15.6 2,247,946 5.4 2014 12,296,073 13.1 72.1 10,619,392 8.9 2,840,238 13.3 16.7 2,452,946 9.1 2015 14,142,595 15.0 77.3 11,803,374 11.1 3,316,293 16.8 18.1 2,767,770 12.8 2016 16,607,512 17.4 83.5 13,371,365 13.3 3,996,175 20.5 20.1 3,217,478 16.2 2017 19,877,082 19.7 90.8 15,363,738 14.9 5,004,793 25.2 22.9 3,868,391 20.2 2018 23,519,372 18.3 97.7 17,501,388 13.9 6,128,642 22.5 25.4 4,560,485 17.9 2019 27,434,004 16.6 104.4 19,670,021 12.4 7,380,836 20.4 28.1 5,292,016 16.0 2020 31,535,956 15.0 110.5 21,831,518 11.0 8,775,727 18.9 30.7 6,075,207 14.8 I-1
I-2. Base y Oferta Monetaria: Escenario Base 2014-2020 (Millones de pesos) Base Monetaria Por sus Fuentes Por sus Usos Años Saldo Nominal Saldo Real Reserva Crédito Billetes y monedas Depósitos Pesos Var.% Flujo Pesos Var.% BANXICO Interno Neto Público Bancos bancarios 1980 195 30.1 45 230,100 0.2 93 102 195 0 0 1981 282 44.8 87 258,892 12.5 132 150 282 0 0 1982 503 78.6 222 232,501-10.2 176 327 503 0 0 1983 678 34.7 175 173,219-25.5 709-31 678 0 0 1984 1,119 65.0 441 179,611 3.7 1,561-442 1,119 0 0 1985 2,741 145.0 1,622 268,705 49.6 2,061 680 1,732 156 853 1986 5,424 97.9 2,683 258,427-3.8 6,029-605 3,066 319 2,039 1987 11,031 103.4 5,607 202,794-21.5 28,814-17,783 7,318 747 2,966 1988 17,514 58.8 6,483 212,310 4.7 14,551 2,963 13,161 1,362 2,992 1989 22,225 26.9 4,710 225,075 6.0 17,484 4,740 17,992 1,668 2,564 1990 30,121 35.5 7,897 234,779 4.3 29,950 171 24,604 2,474 3,044 1991 38,581 28.1 8,460 253,142 7.8 53,886-15,304 32,418 3,754 2,409 1992 43,972 14.0 5,391 257,746 1.8 57,803-13,831 38,013 4,002 1,957 1993 47,193 7.3 3,220 256,110-0.6 76,211-29,018 43,231 3,962 0 1994 56,935 20.6 9,743 288,630 12.7 32,739 24,196 51,858 5,063 15 1995 66,809 17.3 9,873 222,866-22.8 120,301-53,492 60,658 6,151 0 1996 83,991 25.7 17,182 219,400-1.6 137,804-53,813 74,089 9,902 0 1997 108,891 29.6 24,900 245,807 12.0 225,930-117,039 94,196 14,540 156 1998 131,528 20.8 22,637 250,323 1.8 298,273-166,745 115,934 15,175 419 1999 188,718 43.5 57,190 319,775 27.7 291,925-103,206 164,195 24,523 0 2000 208,943 10.7 20,225 324,934 1.6 322,456-113,513 182,016 26,864 63 2001 225,580 8.0 16,637 336,011 3.4 374,848-149,268 198,919 26,304 358 2002 263,937 17.0 38,356 371,942 10.7 500,920-236,983 232,217 31,720 0 2003 303,614 15.0 39,677 411,492 10.6 645,407-341,793 263,595 40,019 0 2004 340,178 12.0 36,564 438,296 6.5 685,653-345,475 301,162 39,016 0 2005 380,034 11.7 39,856 473,855 8.1 730,253-350,219 336,171 43,863 0 2006 449,821 18.4 69,788 539,024 13.8 731,725-281,904 389,598 60,223 0 2007 494,743 10.0 44,922 571,376 6.0 851,324-356,580 430,084 64,660 0 2008 577,543 16.7 82,799 626,126 9.6 1,181,863-604,320 494,400 83,143 0 2009 632,032 9.4 54,490 661,558 5.7 1,186,878-554,845 537,070 94,868 95 2010 693,423 9.7 61,391 695,216 5.1 1,402,872-709,448 599,363 94,060 0 2011 763,492 10.1 70,069 737,310 6.1 1,987,191-1,223,699 665,916 97,575 1 2012 846,019 10.8 82,528 788,859 7.0 2,120,108-1,274,088 734,034 111,361 624 2013 917,876 8.5 71,856 823,144 4.3 2,309,662-1,391,787 792,928 124,947 1 2014 1,007,011 9.7 89,136 869,696 5.7 2,588,988-1,581,976 886,493 120,518 0 2015 1,098,113 9.0 91,101 916,482 5.4 2,842,180-1,744,068 964,505 133,608 0 2016 1,207,017 9.9 108,904 971,817 6.0 3,032,156-1,825,138 1,053,239 153,778 0 2017 1,341,661 11.2 134,644 1,037,019 6.7 3,186,844-1,845,184 1,155,403 186,257 0 2018 1,483,475 10.6 141,815 1,103,893 6.4 3,348,256-1,864,781 1,250,146 233,329 0 2019 1,627,366 9.7 143,891 1,166,812 5.7 3,504,440-1,877,074 1,345,157 282,209 0 2020 1,773,935 9.0 146,569 1,228,049 5.2 3,604,315-1,830,379 1,440,664 333,272 0 I-2 (Continúa)
(Continuación) Oferta Monetaria M1 Coeficiente de Multiplicador Velocidad de Coeficiente de % PIB Años Saldo Nominal Saldo Real Monetización Monetario Circulación Liquidez Base Oferta Pesos Var.% Flujo Pesos Var.% de la Economía M1/BM PIB/M1 M1/PIB Monetaria Monetaria 1980 492 33.4 123 581,603 2.7-8.24 2.528 11.953 0.0837 3.3 8.4 1981 656 33.3 164 602,570 3.6 3.67 2.327 12.288 0.0814 3.5 8.1 1982 1,011 54.1 355 466,887-22.5-9.72 2.008 12.841 0.0779 3.9 7.8 1983 1,430 41.4 419 365,280-21.8-22.81 2.109 16.353 0.0611 2.9 6.1 1984 2,321 62.3 891 372,609 2.0 0.27 2.075 16.606 0.0602 2.9 6.0 1985 3,447 48.5 1,126 337,921-9.3 46.40 1.258 18.138 0.0551 4.4 5.5 1986 5,698 65.3 2,251 271,492-19.7-0.77 1.051 18.010 0.0555 5.3 5.6 1987 12,759 123.9 7,061 234,569-13.6-22.86 1.157 19.868 0.0503 4.4 5.0 1988 21,434 68.0 8,675 259,829 10.8 3.37 1.224 24.011 0.0416 3.4 4.2 1989 30,835 43.9 9,401 312,277 20.2 1.83 1.387 22.034 0.0454 3.3 4.5 1990 50,959 65.3 20,124 397,198 27.2-0.82 1.692 17.977 0.0556 3.3 5.6 1991 113,636 123.0 62,677 745,596 87.7 3.46 2.945 10.370 0.0964 3.3 9.6 1992 131,733 15.9 18,097 772,157 3.6-1.66 2.996 10.637 0.0940 3.1 9.4 1993 157,047 19.2 25,314 852,275 10.4-2.99 3.328 9.998 0.1000 3.0 10.0 1994 163,816 4.3 6,769 830,451-2.6 7.61 2.877 10.864 0.0920 3.2 9.2 1995 171,642 4.8 7,826 572,577-31.1-18.07 2.569 12.858 0.0778 3.0 7.8 1996 245,260 42.9 73,619 640,665 11.9-7.02 2.920 12.314 0.0812 2.8 8.1 1997 325,760 32.8 80,500 735,358 14.8 4.74 2.992 11.681 0.0856 2.9 8.6 1998 388,240 19.2 62,480 738,896 0.5-2.74 2.952 11.813 0.0847 2.9 8.5 1999 489,943 26.2 101,703 830,189 12.4 24.43 2.596 11.307 0.0884 3.4 8.8 2000 565,014 15.3 75,071 878,671 5.8-3.50 2.704 11.441 0.0874 3.2 8.7 2001 680,706 20.5 115,692 1,013,938 15.4 4.04 3.018 9.946 0.1005 3.3 10.1 2002 766,486 12.6 85,780 1,080,137 6.5 10.55 2.904 9.342 0.1070 3.7 10.7 2003 857,692 11.9 91,206 1,162,440 7.6 9.08 2.825 8.972 0.1115 3.9 11.1 2004 946,567 10.4 88,875 1,219,587 4.9 2.13 2.783 9.184 0.1089 3.9 10.9 2005 1,068,500 12.9 121,933 1,332,288 9.2 4.93 2.812 8.836 0.1132 4.0 11.3 2006 1,218,520 14.0 150,020 1,460,159 9.6 8.34 2.709 8.648 0.1156 4.3 11.6 2007 1,350,053 10.8 131,534 1,559,167 6.8 2.77 2.729 8.447 0.1184 4.3 11.8 2008 1,482,920 9.8 132,867 1,607,664 3.1 8.07 2.568 8.265 0.1210 4.7 12.1 2009 1,614,642 8.9 131,722 1,690,071 5.1 10.87 2.555 7.490 0.1335 5.2 13.4 2010 1,833,317 13.5 218,675 1,838,058 8.8-0.02 2.644 7.245 0.1380 5.2 13.8 2011 2,083,179 13.6 249,862 2,011,742 9.4 1.93 2.728 6.985 0.1432 5.2 14.3 2012 2,280,049 9.5 196,870 2,125,999 5.7 2.89 2.695 6.849 0.1460 5.4 14.6 2013 2,513,758 10.3 233,709 2,254,319 6.0 3.24 2.739 6.407 0.1561 5.7 15.6 2014 2,868,037 14.1 354,279 2,476,954 9.9 2.64 2.848 5.943 0.1683 5.9 16.8 2015 3,225,303 12.5 357,266 2,691,830 8.7 1.19 2.937 5.671 0.1763 6.0 17.6 2016 3,644,741 13.0 419,438 2,934,525 9.0 0.76 3.020 5.459 0.1832 6.1 18.3 2017 4,136,754 13.5 492,013 3,197,451 9.0 0.64 3.083 5.294 0.1889 6.1 18.9 2018 4,674,848 13.0 538,094 3,478,678 8.8 0.57 3.151 5.152 0.1941 6.2 19.4 2019 5,266,215 12.6 591,367 3,775,845 8.5 0.47 3.236 4.990 0.2004 6.2 20.0 2020 5,909,598 12.2 643,383 4,091,060 8.3 0.38 3.331 4.831 0.2070 6.2 20.7 I-3 (Conclusión)
I-3. Agregados Monetarios: Escenario Base 2014-2020 Miles de Pesos Corrientes Billetes Cuenta de Cuenta de Depósitos Captación Valores Valores Fondos para Captación Valores Captación en el exterior AHORRO Años M1 y Cheques Cheques Corrientes M2 Bancaria Públicos Entidades la Vivienda M3 Bancaria no Públicos no M4 de Si de No FINANCIERO Monedas M.N. M.E. y otros Residentes Residentes Privadas y otros Residentes Residentes Residentes Residentes (M4-ByM) 1980 492 195 267 30. 1,246.... 1,285.. 1,399.. 1,204 1981 656 282 330 44. 1,907.... 1,975.. 2,076.. 1,794 1982 1,011 503 489 18. 3,265.... 3,526.. 3,649.. 3,146 1983 1,430 678 725 27. 5,275.... 5,691.. 6,095.. 5,417 1984 2,321 1,119 1,168 34. 8,971.... 9,695.. 10,390.. 9,271 1985 3,447 1,732 1,707 8. 14,653 9,567 1,457 181. 15,484 113. 15,730 205 42 13,998 1986 5,698 3,066 2,602 31. 29,940 19,929 3,710 603. 32,140 222. 32,980 732 109 29,914 1987 12,759 7,318 5,194 247. 74,635 46,666 14,347 862. 80,276 435. 84,050 2,884 890 76,732 1988 21,434 13,161 7,618 656. 114,400 56,760 34,687 1,519. 122,461 857. 127,751 3,622 1,668 114,591 1989 30,835 17,992 11,201 923 719 183,083 89,114 56,317 6,816. 191,640 858. 200,086 5,800 2,646 182,094 1990 50,959 24,604 22,482 1,333 2,541 262,666 124,439 76,491 10,777. 277,791 1,139 5,407 293,689 5,268 10,630 269,085 1991 113,636 32,418 74,474 2,012 4,732 334,366 143,671 58,155 18,904. 357,975 1,222 17,700 386,716 6,529 22,213 354,299 1992 131,733 38,013 84,651 2,912 6,156 380,488 190,433 30,156 22,654 5,512 426,853 929 45,436 458,385 7,057 24,475 420,372 1993 157,047 43,231 101,843 3,741 8,231 469,517 222,059 46,769 27,654 15,988 540,624 872 70,235 580,104 6,625 32,856 536,874 1994 163,816 51,858 95,001 7,028 9,929 554,782 293,942 41,932 26,272 28,820 656,954 2,502 99,671 724,056 16,863 50,238 672,198 1995 171,642 60,658 88,706 11,215 11,063 754,410 443,841 68,031 22,447 48,450 784,498 4,664 25,424 869,212 29,090 55,624 808,554 1996 245,258 74,089 134,132 17,833 19,204 995,164 534,023 104,944 31,683 79,256 1,025,833 5,401 25,268 1,116,077 40,343 49,901 1,041,988 1997 325,760 94,196 175,530 24,512 31,522 1,312,888 608,217 215,818 43,039 120,054 1,343,364 5,137 25,340 1,423,196 41,388 38,444 1,329,001 1998 388,240 115,934 193,832 37,181 41,293 1,675,591 765,882 326,893 58,646 135,930 1,702,126 4,265 22,270 1,788,015 41,598 44,291 1,672,082 1999 489,943 164,195 233,116 43,087 49,545 2,048,717 784,437 545,106 54,975 174,254 2,065,598 6,774 10,108 2,139,293 33,938 39,757 1,975,098 2000 565,014 182,016 266,939 48,914 67,145 2,351,286 694,437 786,021 85,048 220,766 2,379,664 19,576 8,802 2,436,045 35,700 20,681 2,254,029 2001 680,706 198,919 316,197 84,225 81,365 2,768,943 694,269 1,038,103 92,031 263,834 2,797,357 11,244 17,170 2,846,185 32,973 15,855 2,647,266 2002 766,486 232,217 352,339 84,289 97,641 3,056,567 646,033 1,224,062 131,860 288,127 3,081,821 7,685 17,569 3,125,595 30,257 13,517 2,893,378 2003 857,692 263,595 396,038 73,993 124,065 3,458,401 733,174 1,358,028 175,368 334,140 3,492,236 9,081 24,755 3,524,901 19,139 13,525 3,261,306 2004 946,567 301,162 408,726 96,836 139,842 3,800,700 808,297 1,459,194 204,259 382,384 3,889,855 10,787 78,368 3,928,827 29,375 9,597 3,627,665 2005 1,068,500 336,171 471,703 95,279 165,347 4,366,056 870,375 1,776,394 213,642 437,144 4,503,844 24,548 113,241 4,545,899 27,322 14,734 4,209,729 2006 1,218,520 389,598 532,663 97,698 198,561 4,972,338 874,047 2,131,531 248,396 499,845 5,149,697 32,587 144,772 5,201,449 42,812 8,940 4,811,851 2007 1,350,053 430,084 604,757 97,679 217,534 5,384,859 998,556 2,213,152 297,527 525,570 5,647,690 35,147 227,684 5,719,994 47,930 24,374 5,289,910 2008 1,482,920 494,400 623,403 117,784 247,334 6,269,942 1,253,636 2,422,824 307,751 802,810 6,596,618 48,018 278,658 6,680,585 53,559 30,409 6,186,186 2009 1,614,642 537,070 654,923 139,506 283,144 6,672,271 1,255,330 2,654,726 307,096 840,476 7,052,965 54,406 326,289 7,126,818 44,983 28,870 6,589,749 2010 1,833,317 599,363 794,128 128,134 311,693 7,207,837 1,260,108 2,873,783 332,008 908,620 7,952,033 108,118 636,078 8,037,240 43,146 42,060 7,437,877 2011 2,083,179 665,916 934,698 132,854 349,712 8,065,740 1,339,323 3,274,023 383,161 986,054 9,227,071 126,321 1,035,010 9,330,572 32,035 71,466 8,664,657 2012 2,280,049 734,034 979,413 163,611 402,991 8,740,157 1,441,523 3,583,883 391,875 1,042,827 10,573,933 119,812 1,713,964 10,684,893 22,552 88,408 9,950,859 2013 2,513,758 792,928 1,082,702 189,020 449,108 9,507,203 1,528,338 3,913,774 435,277 1,116,056 11,566,141 136,194 1,922,743 11,665,060 25,763 73,156 10,872,132 2014 2,868,037 886,493 1,246,190 229,092 506,262 10,613,506 1,731,607 4,352,407 458,346 1,203,108 13,084,988 157,032 2,314,450 13,182,566 26,690 70,889 12,296,073 2015 3,225,303 964,505 1,425,641 267,351 567,807 11,925,296 1,958,448 4,914,861 493,639 1,333,044 15,005,696 190,480 2,889,920 15,107,099 28,105 73,299 14,142,595 2016 3,644,741 1,053,239 1,639,487 313,068 638,947 13,622,625 2,244,381 5,645,552 546,952 1,540,999 17,550,318 248,767 3,678,926 17,660,751 30,831 79,602 16,607,512 2017 4,136,754 1,155,403 1,891,968 368,481 720,902 15,810,343 2,632,659 6,588,534 635,558 1,816,837 20,903,602 344,044 4,749,215 21,032,485 34,315 94,568 19,877,082 2018 4,674,848 1,250,146 2,177,655 435,176 811,870 18,117,990 3,038,089 7,558,637 733,434 2,112,982 24,622,555 461,363 6,043,202 24,769,519 37,644 109,320 23,519,372 2019 5,266,215 1,345,157 2,495,593 515,248 910,216 20,541,449 3,484,688 8,523,856 834,648 2,432,042 28,616,762 605,309 7,470,004 28,779,162 40,617 121,783 27,434,004 2020 5,909,598 1,440,664 2,839,985 612,115 1,016,834 23,029,699 3,958,605 9,485,706 937,310 2,738,480 32,800,335 764,505 9,006,131 32,976,619 43,176 133,109 31,535,956 (Continuación) I-4
I-3. Agregados Monetarios: Escenario Base 2014-2020 Variación % anual real Billetes Cuenta de Cuenta de Depósitos Captación Valores Valores Fondos para Captación Valores Captación en el exterior AHORRO Años M1 y Cheques Cheques Corrientes M2 Bancaria Públicos Entidades la Vivienda M3 Bancaria no Públicos no M4 de Si de No FINANCIERO Monedas M.N. M.E. y otros Residentes Residentes Privadas y otros Residentes Residentes Residentes Residentes (M4-ByM) 1980 2.7 0.2 4.5 4.0. 10.9.... 12.2.. 10.7.. 12.6 1981 3.6 12.5-4.0 13.6. 18.9.... 19.4.. 15.3.. 15.8 1982-22.5-10.2-25.4-79.2. -13.9.... -10.2.. -11.6.. -11.8 1983-21.8-25.5-18.1-18.1. -10.6.... -10.7.. -7.6.. -4.7 1984 2.0 3.7 1.3-20.5. 6.8.... 7.0.. 7.1.. 7.5 1985-9.3-5.5-10.8-85.1. -0.3.... -2.5.. -7.5.. -7.8 1986-19.7-14.0-25.9 77.2. -0.7 1.2 23.7 61.8. 0.9-4.6. 1.9 73.9 26.9 3.9 1987-13.6-7.9-23.0 211.5. -3.8-9.6 49.2-44.8. -3.6-24.4. -1.7 52.1 215.3-1.0 1988 10.8 18.6-3.3 75.1. 1.1-19.8 59.4 16.1. 0.6 29.7. 0.2-17.2 23.7-1.5 1989 20.2 14.2 22.8 17.5. 33.7 31.2 35.6 274.9. 30.7-16.3. 30.8 33.8 32.5 32.8 1990 27.2 5.2 54.5 11.2 172.0 10.4 7.5 4.5 21.7. 11.6 2.1. 13.0-30.1 209.2 13.7 1991 87.7 10.9 178.9 27.1 56.8 7.2-2.8-36.0 47.7. 8.5-9.7 175.5 10.8 4.3 75.9 10.8 1992 3.6 4.8 1.5 29.3 16.2 1.7 18.4-53.7 7.1. 6.5-32.1 129.3 5.9-3.4-1.6 6.0 1993 10.4 5.3 11.4 19.0 23.8 14.2 8.0 43.6 13.0 168.5 17.3-13.1 43.1 17.2-13.1 24.3 18.2 1994-2.6 12.1-12.9 75.5 12.7 10.4 23.7-16.2-11.3 68.4 13.5 168.1 32.6 16.6 137.8 42.8 17.0 1995-31.1-23.0-38.6 5.0-26.7-10.5-0.6 6.8-43.8 10.6-21.4 22.7-83.2-21.0 13.5-27.1-20.8 1996 11.9-4.4 18.4 24.5 35.9 3.3-5.8 20.8 10.5 28.1 2.4-9.3-22.2 0.5 8.6-29.8 0.9 1997 14.8 9.9 13.1 18.8 41.8 14.0-1.6 77.7 17.4 30.9 13.2-17.8-13.3 10.2-11.3-33.4 10.2 1998 0.5 3.8-6.9 27.9 10.4 7.6 6.2 27.7 14.9-4.5 6.8-30.0-25.9 5.9-15.3-2.9 6.1 1999 12.4 26.1 7.1 3.2 6.8 8.9-8.8 48.5-16.5 14.1 8.0 41.4-59.6 6.5-27.4-20.1 5.2 2000 5.8 1.7 5.1 4.2 24.4 5.3-18.8 32.3 42.0 16.3 5.7 165.2-20.1 4.5-3.5-52.3 4.7 2001 15.4 4.7 13.5 64.9 16.1 12.8-4.2 26.5 3.6 14.5 12.6-45.0 86.8 11.9-11.5-26.6 12.5 2002 6.5 10.4 5.4-5.3 13.5 4.4-12.0 11.6 35.6 3.3 4.2-35.3-3.2 3.9-13.2-19.3 3.4 2003 7.6 9.2 8.1-15.6 22.2 8.8 9.1 6.7 27.9 11.5 9.0 13.6 35.5 8.5-39.2-3.8 8.4 2004 4.9 8.6-1.9 24.4 7.2 4.5 4.8 2.1 10.7 8.8 5.9 12.9 201.0 6.0 45.9-32.5 5.7 2005 9.2 8.0 11.7-4.8 14.4 11.2 4.2 17.8 1.2 10.6 12.1 120.2 39.8 12.0-10.0 48.6 12.3 2006 9.6 11.4 8.5-1.5 15.4 9.4-3.5 15.3 11.7 9.9 9.9 27.6 22.9 10.0 50.6-41.7 9.9 2007 6.8 6.4 9.4-3.6 5.6 4.4 10.1 0.1 15.4 1.3 5.7 3.9 51.6 6.0 7.9 162.8 6.0 2008 3.1 7.9-3.2 13.2 6.7 9.3 17.9 2.8-2.9 43.4 9.6 28.2 14.9 9.6 4.9 17.1 9.8 2009 5.1 4.9 1.4 14.4 10.5 2.7-3.3 5.8-3.7 1.1 3.2 9.4 13.1 3.0-18.9-8.3 2.8 2010 8.8 6.9 16.1-12.0 5.4 3.5-3.9 3.7 3.6 3.5 8.0 90.3 86.7 8.0-8.1 39.5 8.1 2011 9.4 7.0 13.4-0.1 8.1 7.8 2.4 9.7 11.2 4.5 11.8 12.5 56.7 11.8-28.5 63.7 12.2 2012 5.7 6.4 1.2 18.9 11.3 4.6 3.9 5.7-1.2 2.1 10.6-8.4 59.9 10.6-32.0 19.4 10.9 2013 6.0 3.9 6.3 11.1 7.2 4.6 2.0 5.0 6.8 2.9 5.2 9.3 7.9 5.0 9.9-20.4 5.1 2014 9.9 7.7 10.8 16.7 8.6 7.5 9.1 7.1 1.4 3.8 8.9 11.0 15.9 8.8-0.2-6.7 8.9 2015 8.7 5.1 10.6 12.8 8.4 8.6 9.3 9.1 4.1 7.1 10.8 17.2 20.7 10.7 1.8-0.1 11.1 2016 9.0 5.3 10.9 13.0 8.6 10.2 10.6 10.8 6.9 11.5 12.8 26.0 22.8 12.8 5.8 4.8 13.3 2017 9.0 5.3 10.8 13.0 8.3 11.4 12.6 12.0 11.6 13.2 14.3 32.8 23.9 14.3 6.8 14.0 14.9 2018 8.8 4.2 10.8 13.7 8.4 10.3 11.1 10.4 11.1 12.0 13.4 29.1 22.5 13.4 5.6 11.3 13.9 2019 8.5 3.7 10.4 14.1 8.0 9.2 10.5 8.7 9.7 10.9 12.0 26.4 19.1 12.0 4.0 7.3 12.4 2020 8.3 3.4 9.9 14.7 7.9 8.2 9.7 7.4 8.4 8.7 10.7 21.9 16.4 10.6 2.6 5.5 11.0 I-5 (Continuación)
I-3. Agregados Monetarios: Escenario Base 2014-2020 % del PIB Billetes Cuenta de Cuenta de Depósitos Captación Valores Valores Fondos para Captación Valores Captación en el exterior AHORRO Años M1 y Cheques Cheques Corrientes M2 Bancaria Públicos Entidades la Vivienda M3 Bancaria no Públicos no M4 de Si de No FINANCIERO Monedas M.N. M.E. y otros Residentes Residentes Privadas y otros Residentes Residentes Residentes Residentes (M4-ByM) 1980 8.4 3.3 4.5 0.5. 21.2.... 21.8.. 23.8.. 20.5 1981 8.1 3.5 4.1 0.5. 23.7.... 24.5.. 25.8.. 22.3 1982 7.8 3.9 3.8 0.1. 25.1.... 27.2.. 28.1.. 24.2 1983 6.1 2.9 3.1 0.1. 22.6.... 24.3.. 26.1.. 23.2 1984 6.0 2.9 3.0 0.1. 23.3.... 25.2.. 27.0.. 24.1 1985 5.5 2.8 2.7 0.0. 23.4 15.3 2.3 0.3 0.0 24.8 0.2 0.0 25.2 0.3 0.1 22.4 1986 5.6 3.0 2.5 0.0. 29.2 19.4 3.6 0.6 0.0 31.3 0.2 0.0 32.1 0.7 0.1 29.1 1987 5.0 2.9 2.0 0.1. 29.4 18.4 5.7 0.3 0.0 31.7 0.2 0.0 33.2 1.1 0.4 30.3 1988 4.2 2.6 1.5 0.1. 22.2 11.0 6.7 0.3 0.0 23.8 0.2 0.0 24.8 0.7 0.3 22.3 1989 4.5 2.6 1.6 0.1 0.1 26.9 13.1 8.3 1.0 0.0 28.2 0.1 0.0 29.4 0.9 0.4 26.8 1990 5.6 2.7 2.5 0.1 0.3 28.7 13.6 8.3 1.2 0.0 30.3 0.1 0.6 32.1 0.6 1.2 29.4 1991 9.6 2.8 6.3 0.2 0.4 28.4 12.2 4.9 1.6 0.0 30.4 0.1 1.5 32.8 0.6 1.9 30.1 1992 9.4 2.7 6.0 0.2 0.4 27.2 13.6 2.2 1.6 0.4 30.5 0.1 3.2 32.7 0.5 1.7 30.0 1993 10.0 2.8 6.5 0.2 0.5 29.9 14.1 3.0 1.8 1.0 34.4 0.1 4.5 36.9 0.4 2.1 34.2 1994 9.2 2.9 5.3 0.4 0.6 31.2 16.5 2.4 1.5 1.6 36.9 0.1 5.6 40.7 0.9 2.8 37.8 1995 7.8 2.7 4.0 0.5 0.5 34.2 20.1 3.1 1.0 2.2 35.5 0.2 1.2 39.4 1.3 2.5 36.6 1996 8.1 2.5 4.4 0.6 0.6 33.0 17.7 3.5 1.0 2.6 34.0 0.2 0.8 37.0 1.3 1.7 34.5 1997 8.6 2.5 4.6 0.6 0.8 34.5 16.0 5.7 1.1 3.2 35.3 0.1 0.7 37.4 1.1 1.0 34.9 1998 8.5 2.5 4.2 0.8 0.9 36.5 16.7 7.1 1.3 3.0 37.1 0.1 0.5 39.0 0.9 1.0 36.5 1999 8.8 3.0 4.2 0.8 0.9 37.0 14.2 9.8 1.0 3.1 37.3 0.1 0.2 38.6 0.6 0.7 35.7 2000 8.7 2.8 4.1 0.8 1.0 36.4 10.7 12.2 1.3 3.4 36.8 0.3 0.1 37.7 0.6 0.3 34.9 2001 10.1 2.9 4.7 1.2 1.2 40.9 10.3 15.3 1.4 3.9 41.3 0.2 0.3 42.0 0.5 0.2 39.1 2002 10.7 3.2 4.9 1.2 1.4 42.7 9.0 17.1 1.8 4.0 43.0 0.1 0.2 43.7 0.4 0.2 40.4 2003 11.1 3.4 5.1 1.0 1.6 44.9 9.5 17.6 2.3 4.3 45.4 0.1 0.3 45.8 0.2 0.2 42.4 2004 10.9 3.5 4.7 1.1 1.6 43.7 9.3 16.8 2.3 4.4 44.7 0.1 0.9 45.2 0.3 0.1 41.7 2005 11.3 3.6 5.0 1.0 1.8 46.2 9.2 18.8 2.3 4.6 47.7 0.3 1.2 48.1 0.3 0.2 44.6 2006 11.6 3.7 5.1 0.9 1.9 47.2 8.3 20.2 2.4 4.7 48.9 0.3 1.4 49.4 0.4 0.1 45.7 2007 11.8 3.8 5.3 0.9 1.9 47.2 8.8 19.4 2.6 4.6 49.5 0.3 2.0 50.2 0.4 0.2 46.4 2008 12.1 4.0 5.1 1.0 2.0 51.2 10.2 19.8 2.5 6.5 53.8 0.4 2.3 54.5 0.4 0.2 50.5 2009 13.4 4.4 5.4 1.2 2.3 55.2 10.4 22.0 2.5 6.9 58.3 0.4 2.7 58.9 0.4 0.2 54.5 2010 13.8 4.5 6.0 1.0 2.3 54.3 9.5 21.6 2.5 6.8 59.9 0.8 4.8 60.5 0.3 0.3 56.0 2011 14.3 4.6 6.4 0.9 2.4 55.4 9.2 22.5 2.6 6.8 63.4 0.9 7.1 64.1 0.2 0.5 59.6 2012 14.6 4.7 6.3 1.0 2.6 56.0 9.2 23.0 2.5 6.7 67.7 0.8 11.0 68.4 0.1 0.6 63.7 2013 15.6 4.9 6.7 1.2 2.8 59.0 9.5 24.3 2.7 6.9 71.8 0.8 11.9 72.4 0.2 0.5 67.5 2014 16.8 5.2 7.3 1.3 3.0 62.3 10.2 25.5 2.7 7.1 76.8 0.9 13.6 77.3 0.2 0.4 72.1 2015 17.6 5.3 7.8 1.5 3.1 65.2 10.7 26.9 2.7 7.3 82.0 1.0 15.8 82.6 0.2 0.4 77.3 2016 18.3 5.3 8.2 1.6 3.2 68.5 11.3 28.4 2.7 7.7 88.2 1.3 18.5 88.8 0.2 0.4 83.5 2017 18.9 5.3 8.6 1.7 3.3 72.2 12.0 30.1 2.9 8.3 95.4 1.6 21.7 96.0 0.2 0.4 90.8 2018 19.4 5.2 9.0 1.8 3.4 75.2 12.6 31.4 3.0 8.8 102.2 1.9 25.1 102.8 0.2 0.5 97.7 2019 20.0 5.1 9.5 2.0 3.5 78.2 13.3 32.4 3.2 9.3 108.9 2.3 28.4 109.5 0.2 0.5 104.4 2020 20.7 5.0 9.9 2.1 3.6 80.7 13.9 33.2 3.3 9.6 114.9 2.7 31.5 115.5 0.2 0.5 110.5 (Conclusión) I-6
I-4. Crédito Otorgado por la Banca Comercial al Sector Privado: Escenario Base 2014-2020 Miles de Pesos Corrientes Total Consumo Vivienda Empresas y Personas Físicas con Actividad Empresarial Intermediarios Años Crédito Tarjetas Bienes Interés Media y Sector Industria Sector Sector Financieros Vigente Subtotal de Crédito Duraderos Otros Subtotal Social Residencial Subtotal Primario Manufacturera Construcción Servicios No Bancarios 1980 718.8.............. 617.1 80.6 190.2 53.8 292.5 26.8 1981 1,069.8.............. 928.0 120.1 296.8 80.3 430.8 40.1 1982 1,551.0.............. 1,319.9 153.9 581.6 121.6 462.7 73.3 1983 2,673.5.............. 2,242.3 229.7 1,013.4 168.2 831.0 177.4 1984 4,769.4.............. 3,997.7 474.4 1,679.2 274.0 1,570.1 218.7 1985 7,327.7.............. 5,779.5 716.8 2,524.0 322.9 2,215.8 409.8 1986 13,584.4.............. 10,488.0 1,015.3 5,095.2 437.0 3,940.4 1,203.1 1987 34,916.6.. 1,198.1.......... 26,690.7 2,487.3 12,748.0 790.7 10,664.7 3,329.3 1988 52,550.2.. 2,454.0.......... 39,327.7 5,432.8 17,913.1 1,111.1 14,870.8 2,638.6 1989 93,816.0.. 5,062.0.......... 72,976.3 9,569.7 29,171.7 3,242.0 30,992.8 4,169.9 1990 152,449.5.. 10,818.0.......... 113,477.9 15,291.1 38,818.7 8,666.6 50,701.5 8,459.2 1991 234,891.5.. 18,492.0.......... 168,353.7 22,952.6 53,521.5 17,955.7 73,923.9 16,020.9 1992 342,372.5.. 25,504.0.......... 248,236.8 29,610.7 67,692.8 35,536.7 115,396.6 18,710.4 1993 425,738.8.. 25,449.0.......... 305,542.9 33,143.0 76,530.0 50,262.3 145,607.6 20,067.1 1994 535,654.5 38,226.3 25,205.6 3,488.1 9,532.6 95,367.3 50,896.1 44,471.2 376,888.9 38,579.0 102,206.0 41,353.0 193,203.3 26,719.5 1995 591,162.0 30,925.9 20,380.1 2,838.2 7,707.6 141,945.6 50,032.9 91,912.6 394,252.5 29,808.5 109,632.5 42,840.0 188,914.3 47,095.3 1996 595,866.6 22,947.0 15,103.8 2,131.1 5,712.1 168,062.5 28,561.9 139,500.5 392,585.1 31,768.7 116,394.6 46,456.0 176,213.5 34,024.3 1997 579,246.7 23,261.7 15,304.0 2,164.5 5,793.2 163,816.5 26,503.4 137,313.1 386,418.4 27,687.8 123,018.9 44,849.7 171,637.8 24,974.4 1998 500,478.6 24,281.7 15,354.6 2,419.4 6,507.6 162,153.0 27,304.4 134,848.6 308,212.3 10,208.7 125,331.1 31,701.6 135,978.4 10,824.1 1999 470,400.6 28,779.1 18,969.4 2,631.1 7,178.6 153,717.4 26,549.9 127,167.5 271,432.5 8,028.1 112,767.7 21,510.8 127,483.0 18,114.4 2000 482,343.9 38,695.6 25,494.1 3,545.7 9,655.9 140,725.0 26,467.6 114,257.4 282,471.1 7,805.4 105,991.8 14,999.6 150,241.3 23,885.3 2001 482,191.6 53,517.5 33,887.6 10,250.6 9,379.3 133,410.4 25,782.6 107,627.8 267,886.1 9,523.5 95,945.4 15,459.1 137,610.1 36,725.6 2002 519,743.1 76,226.9 44,572.0 19,223.8 12,431.0 127,942.0 22,130.2 105,811.8 292,105.3 10,789.1 102,095.7 15,885.5 154,377.7 32,426.2 2003 558,048.7 113,806.4 57,924.8 36,730.3 19,151.4 116,534.6 19,234.3 97,300.4 301,165.7 11,200.1 107,990.2 20,501.2 157,036.9 30,979.2 2004 704,229.7 170,201.9 87,110.9 49,401.5 33,689.5 123,271.2 17,081.2 106,190.1 369,311.6 15,185.0 128,217.8 26,338.3 195,400.3 45,615.1 2005 888,523.5 259,924.5 142,278.5 71,851.6 45,794.4 169,131.3 26,532.1 142,599.3 401,312.1 19,800.3 118,118.5 36,062.5 226,864.9 58,621.4 2006 1,163,026.7 367,827.7 211,247.0 92,041.3 64,539.4 230,543.3 40,536.7 190,006.6 504,276.2 20,972.2 138,122.4 50,941.6 289,594.5 65,025.0 2007 1,485,885.4 455,834.9 279,355.2 64,603.1 111,876.6 275,171.5 39,184.1 235,987.3 682,374.6 29,142.1 168,751.4 126,387.7 358,014.1 72,583.8 2008 1,655,196.4 442,446.8 271,240.6 60,850.2 110,356.0 306,885.4 35,005.7 271,879.7 842,839.6 35,046.4 207,898.7 172,270.5 427,489.9 63,158.8 2009 1,615,012.7 370,518.9 207,504.8 54,558.5 108,455.5 330,424.8 42,279.8 288,145.0 859,779.9 31,877.0 216,405.9 181,660.4 429,540.4 54,585.3 2010 1,752,905.8 396,826.3 202,157.3 57,112.3 137,556.7 368,327.3 53,507.8 314,819.5 936,101.3 37,220.2 234,399.1 207,601.8 456,676.2 51,855.0 2011 2,050,155.1 493,342.0 228,783.1 61,693.2 202,865.7 397,478.9 61,444.4 336,034.5 1,086,220.7 44,834.3 269,508.2 229,581.8 542,289.9 73,120.1 2012 2,288,376.5 587,466.5 266,665.0 64,155.5 256,646.0 438,234.2 68,646.1 369,588.1 1,171,176.2 55,957.6 266,867.9 271,385.9 576,964.7 91,499.7 2013 2,506,651.4 649,881.2 292,352.7 65,973.6 291,555.0 472,010.4 76,693.7 395,316.7 1,273,892.4 57,230.3 305,752.5 253,625.5 657,284.2 110,867.3 2014 2,840,238.2 731,725.2 325,096.2 69,008.4 337,620.7 522,544.8 86,510.5 436,034.3 1,451,153.6 64,870.6 352,532.6 262,756.0 770,994.3 134,814.7 2015 3,316,293.2 868,626.1 378,086.9 74,253.0 416,286.3 591,568.9 102,774.4 488,794.5 1,693,242.1 70,753.2 417,046.0 298,753.5 906,689.3 162,856.1 2016 3,996,174.9 1,104,312.1 463,534.5 84,202.9 556,574.7 686,210.1 127,029.2 559,180.9 2,008,108.2 78,829.7 496,284.8 353,126.7 1,079,867.0 197,544.4 2017 5,004,792.5 1,482,675.7 591,006.5 99,106.8 792,562.4 819,532.8 163,613.6 655,919.2 2,460,197.0 90,705.3 608,941.4 446,352.1 1,314,198.1 242,387.0 2018 6,128,641.9 1,928,890.2 728,711.0 112,783.6 1,087,395.7 971,445.8 206,644.0 764,801.8 2,934,048.1 102,852.4 722,204.6 550,352.2 1,558,639.0 294,257.8 2019 7,380,836.1 2,465,285.6 891,942.2 127,107.1 1,446,236.2 1,134,437.7 256,445.2 877,992.4 3,422,706.8 118,706.1 843,534.9 657,120.5 1,803,345.3 358,406.0 2020 8,775,727.1 3,086,370.2 1,045,356.3 142,105.7 1,898,908.2 1,310,627.7 312,350.3 998,277.4 3,943,982.8 132,175.4 977,657.0 767,516.7 2,066,633.7 434,746.5 I-7 (Continuación)
I-4. Crédito Otorgado por la Banca Comercial al Sector Privado: Escenario Base 2014-2020 Variación % anual real Total Consumo Vivienda Empresas y Personas Físicas con Actividad Empresarial Intermediarios Años Crédito Tarjetas Bienes Interés Media y Sector Industria Sector Sector Financieros Vigente Subtotal de Crédito Duraderos Otros Subtotal Social Residencial Subtotal Primario Manufacturera Construcción Servicios No Bancarios 1980 10.0.............. 10.4 8.0 6.1 2.6 15.8 5.8 1981 15.7.............. 16.9 15.8 21.3 16.0 14.5 16.3 1982-27.1.............. -28.5-35.6-1.5-23.8-46.0-8.1 1983-4.6.............. -6.0-17.5-3.6-23.5-0.7 33.9 1984 12.1.............. 12.0 29.8 4.1 2.4 18.7-22.5 1985-6.2.............. -11.7-7.7-8.2-28.0-13.8 14.4 1986-9.9.............. -11.8-31.2-1.9-34.2-13.6 42.7 1987-0.8.............. -1.8-5.5-3.5-30.2 4.4 6.8 1988-0.8.. 35.1.......... -2.8 44.0-7.3-7.3-8.1-47.7 1989 49.1.. 72.3.......... 55.0 47.2 36.1 143.8 74.1 32.0 1990 25.1.. 64.5.......... 19.7 23.0 2.4 105.7 25.9 56.1 1991 29.7.. 43.9.......... 24.9 26.4 16.1 74.4 22.7 59.4 1992 30.2.. 23.2.......... 31.7 15.2 13.0 76.8 39.5 4.3 1993 15.1.. -7.6.......... 14.0 3.6 4.7 30.9 16.8-0.7 1994 17.5.. -7.5.......... 15.2 8.7 24.8-23.1 23.9 24.4 1995-27.4-46.8-46.8-46.5-46.8-2.1-35.3 36.0-31.2-49.2-29.4-31.8-35.7 16.0 1996-21.1-41.9-42.0-41.2-42.0-7.3-55.3 18.8-22.0-16.5-16.9-15.1-27.0-43.4 1997-16.0-12.4-12.4-12.2-12.4-15.8-19.8-14.9-14.9-24.7-8.7-16.6-15.8-36.6 1998-27.2-12.0-15.4-5.8-5.3-16.5-13.1-17.2-32.8-68.9-14.1-40.4-33.2-63.5 1999-16.3 5.5 10.0-3.2-1.8-15.6-13.4-16.0-21.6-30.0-19.9-39.6-16.5 49.0 2000-5.9 23.4 23.3 23.7 23.4-16.0-8.5-17.5-4.5-10.8-13.7-36.0 8.2 21.0 2001-4.2 32.5 27.3 176.9-7.0-9.2-6.7-9.8-9.2 16.9-13.3-1.3-12.3 47.3 2002 2.0 34.8 24.4 77.4 25.4-9.3-18.8-7.0 3.2 7.2 0.7-2.8 6.1-16.5 2003 3.3 43.6 25.0 83.8 48.2-12.4-16.4-11.6-0.8-0.2 1.7 24.1-2.2-8.1 2004 20.0 42.2 43.0 27.9 67.2 0.6-15.6 3.8 16.6 28.9 12.9 22.1 18.3 40.0 2005 22.1 47.8 58.1 40.8 31.5 32.8 50.3 30.0 5.2 26.2-10.8 32.5 12.4 24.4 2006 25.8 36.0 42.7 23.1 35.4 31.0 46.8 28.1 20.8 1.8 12.4 35.8 22.7 6.6 2007 23.1 19.4 27.5-32.4 67.1 15.0-6.8 19.7 30.4 33.9 17.7 139.1 19.1 7.6 2008 4.6-8.9-8.9-11.6-7.4 4.7-16.1 8.1 15.9 12.9 15.6 28.0 12.1-18.3 2009-5.8-19.1-26.1-13.4-5.1 4.0 16.6 2.3-1.5-12.2 0.5 1.8-3.0-16.6 2010 4.0 2.6-6.7 0.3 21.5 6.8 21.2 4.7 4.3 11.8 3.7 9.5 1.8-9.0 2011 12.7 19.7 9.0 4.0 42.1 3.9 10.6 2.8 11.8 16.0 10.7 6.5 14.4 35.8 2012 7.8 15.0 12.5 0.4 22.2 6.5 7.9 6.2 4.1 20.5-4.4 14.1 2.7 20.8 2013 5.4 6.4 5.4-1.1 9.3 3.6 7.5 2.9 4.6-1.6 10.2-10.1 9.6 16.5 2014 9.1 8.4 7.1 0.7 11.5 6.6 8.6 6.2 9.7 9.2 11.0-0.2 13.0 17.1 2015 12.8 14.7 12.4 4.0 19.2 9.4 14.8 8.3 12.8 5.4 14.3 9.9 13.6 16.7 2016 16.2 22.6 18.3 9.4 29.0 11.9 19.2 10.4 14.4 7.5 14.8 14.0 14.9 17.0 2017 20.2 28.9 22.4 13.0 36.7 14.7 23.6 12.6 17.6 10.5 17.8 21.3 16.8 17.8 2018 17.9 25.2 18.7 9.6 32.1 14.1 21.6 12.3 14.8 9.2 14.2 18.7 14.2 16.9 2019 16.0 23.1 17.9 8.6 28.2 12.5 19.6 10.6 12.4 11.2 12.5 15.0 11.5 17.4 2020 14.8 20.9 13.2 7.9 26.8 11.5 17.6 9.8 11.3 7.5 11.9 12.8 10.6 17.1 I-8 (Continuación)
I-4. Crédito Otorgado por la Banca Comercial al Sector Privado: Escenario Base 2014-2020 % del PIB Total Consumo Vivienda Empresas y Personas Físicas con Actividad Empresarial Intermediarios Años Crédito Tarjetas Bienes Interés Media y Sector Industria Sector Sector Financieros Vigente Subtotal de Crédito Duraderos Otros Subtotal Social Residencial Subtotal Primario Manufacturera Construcción Servicios No Bancarios 1980 12.2.............. 10.5 1.4 3.2 0.9 5.0 0.5 1981 13.3.............. 11.5 1.5 3.7 1.0 5.3 0.5 1982 11.9.............. 10.2 1.2 4.5 0.9 3.6 0.6 1983 11.4.............. 9.6 1.0 4.3 0.7 3.6 0.8 1984 12.4.............. 10.4 1.2 4.4 0.7 4.1 0.6 1985 11.7.............. 9.2 1.1 4.0 0.5 3.5 0.7 1986 13.2.............. 10.2 1.0 5.0 0.4 3.8 1.2 1987 13.8.. 0.5.......... 10.5 1.0 5.0 0.3 4.2 1.3 1988 10.2.. 0.5.......... 7.6 1.1 3.5 0.2 2.9 0.5 1989 13.8.. 0.7.......... 10.7 1.4 4.3 0.5 4.6 0.6 1990 16.6.. 1.2.......... 12.4 1.7 4.2 0.9 5.5 0.9 1991 19.9.. 1.6.......... 14.3 1.9 4.5 1.5 6.3 1.4 1992 24.4.. 1.8.......... 17.7 2.1 4.8 2.5 8.2 1.3 1993 27.1.. 1.6.......... 19.5 2.1 4.9 3.2 9.3 1.3 1994 30.1 2.1 1.4 0.2 0.5 5.4 2.9 2.5 21.2 2.2 5.7 2.3 10.9 1.5 1995 26.8 1.4 0.9 0.1 0.3 6.4 2.3 4.2 17.9 1.4 5.0 1.9 8.6 2.1 1996 19.7 0.8 0.5 0.1 0.2 5.6 0.9 4.6 13.0 1.1 3.9 1.5 5.8 1.1 1997 15.2 0.6 0.4 0.1 0.2 4.3 0.7 3.6 10.2 0.7 3.2 1.2 4.5 0.7 1998 10.9 0.5 0.3 0.1 0.1 3.5 0.6 2.9 6.7 0.2 2.7 0.7 3.0 0.2 1999 8.5 0.5 0.3 0.0 0.1 2.8 0.5 2.3 4.9 0.1 2.0 0.4 2.3 0.3 2000 7.5 0.6 0.4 0.1 0.1 2.2 0.4 1.8 4.4 0.1 1.6 0.2 2.3 0.4 2001 7.1 0.8 0.5 0.2 0.1 2.0 0.4 1.6 4.0 0.1 1.4 0.2 2.0 0.5 2002 7.3 1.1 0.6 0.3 0.2 1.8 0.3 1.5 4.1 0.2 1.4 0.2 2.2 0.5 2003 7.3 1.5 0.8 0.5 0.2 1.5 0.2 1.3 3.9 0.1 1.4 0.3 2.0 0.4 2004 8.1 2.0 1.0 0.6 0.4 1.4 0.2 1.2 4.2 0.2 1.5 0.3 2.2 0.5 2005 9.4 2.8 1.5 0.8 0.5 1.8 0.3 1.5 4.3 0.2 1.3 0.4 2.4 0.6 2006 11.0 3.5 2.0 0.9 0.6 2.2 0.4 1.8 4.8 0.2 1.3 0.5 2.7 0.6 2007 13.0 4.0 2.4 0.6 1.0 2.4 0.3 2.1 6.0 0.3 1.5 1.1 3.1 0.6 2008 13.5 3.6 2.2 0.5 0.9 2.5 0.3 2.2 6.9 0.3 1.7 1.4 3.5 0.5 2009 13.4 3.1 1.7 0.5 0.9 2.7 0.3 2.4 7.1 0.3 1.8 1.5 3.6 0.5 2010 13.2 3.0 1.5 0.4 1.0 2.8 0.4 2.4 7.0 0.3 1.8 1.6 3.4 0.4 2011 14.1 3.4 1.6 0.4 1.4 2.7 0.4 2.3 7.5 0.3 1.9 1.6 3.7 0.5 2012 14.7 3.8 1.7 0.4 1.6 2.8 0.4 2.4 7.5 0.4 1.7 1.7 3.7 0.6 2013 15.6 4.0 1.8 0.4 1.8 2.9 0.5 2.5 7.9 0.4 1.9 1.6 4.1 0.7 2014 16.7 4.3 1.9 0.4 2.0 3.1 0.5 2.6 8.5 0.4 2.1 1.5 4.5 0.8 2015 18.1 4.7 2.1 0.4 2.3 3.2 0.6 2.7 9.3 0.4 2.3 1.6 5.0 0.9 2016 20.1 5.5 2.3 0.4 2.8 3.4 0.6 2.8 10.1 0.4 2.5 1.8 5.4 1.0 2017 22.9 6.8 2.7 0.5 3.6 3.7 0.7 3.0 11.2 0.4 2.8 2.0 6.0 1.1 2018 25.4 8.0 3.0 0.5 4.5 4.0 0.9 3.2 12.2 0.4 3.0 2.3 6.5 1.2 2019 28.1 9.4 3.4 0.5 5.5 4.3 1.0 3.3 13.0 0.5 3.2 2.5 6.9 1.4 2020 30.7 10.8 3.7 0.5 6.7 4.6 1.1 3.5 13.8 0.5 3.4 2.7 7.2 1.5 I-9 (Conclusión)
Concepto! I-5. Agregados Monetarios y Actividad Financiera: Banco de Datos, 2013-2014 (Miles de millones de pesos) 2013 2014 Var. % anual real Mayo Mayo May.12/May.13 May.13/May.14 Base Monetaria 772.2 875.6-0.7 9.5 M1 2,172.9 2,492.0 2.5 10.8 Billetes y monedas en poder del público 689.2 777.9 0.3 9.0 Cuentas de cheques en MN 913.2 1,042.9-0.8 10.3 Cuentas de cheques en ME 165.7 209.3 14.3 22.0 Depósitos en cuenta corriente y otros 404.8 461.9 10.3 10.2 M2=M1 + activos financieros internos de residentes 8,963.7 9,945.3 2.9 7.2 Captación interna de bancos residentes y otros 1,463.9 1,633.8-0.2 7.8 Valores públicos en poder de residentes 3,807.1 4,222.9 4.7 7.2 Valores emitidos por el Gobierno Federal 2,501.7 2,716.4 5.6 4.9 Valores emitidos por el Banco de México 0.0 0.0 n.s. n.s. Valores emitidos por el IPAB 686.7 791.4 2.7 11.3 Otros valores públicos 618.7 715.2 3.0 11.7 Valores emitidos por entidades privadas 438.7 448.3 3.0-1.3 Fondos de ahorro para el retiro 1,081.1 1,148.3 1.6 2.6 M3=M2 + activos financieros internos de no residentes 11,001.0 12,141.2 8.5 6.6 Captación de bancos residentes 108.2 108.0 22.5-3.6 Valores públicos en poder de no residentes 1,929.1 2,087.8 43.9 4.6 M4=M3 + captación de bancos mexicanos en el exterior 11,102.1 12,248.8 8.4 6.6 Depósitos de residentes 24.1 36.6-12.2 46.5 Depósitos de no residentes 77.0 71.0 3.0-10.8 Ahorro Financiero 10,412.9 11,470.9 9.0 6.4 Residentes 7,609.4 8,426.1 3.3 7.0 No Residentes 2,114.3 2,266.9 40.6 3.6 Crédito vigente otorgado por la Banca Comercial 2,348.0 2,567.1 5.0 5.6 Consumo 605.6 659.7 10.5 5.2 Tarjetas de crédito 271.1 288.1 9.8 2.7 Bienes de consumo duradero 64.4 65.8-1.1-1.2 Otros 270.2 305.7 14.3 9.3 Vivienda 451.5 490.9 4.2 5.1 Interés social 75.0 80.3 8.6 3.4 Media y residencial 376.5 410.7 3.4 5.4 Empresa y personas físicas 1,193.2 1,300.3 1.8 5.3 Sector primario 56.0 57.3 14.4-1.1 Industria manufacturera 295.7 301.7 3.9-1.4 Construcción 257.7 246.5 0.1-7.6 Servicios y otras actividades 583.8 694.8 0.5 15.0 I-10
J. Comercio Exterior Cuadro J-1. Exportación e Importación Anual de Mercancías 1980-2020 Cuadro J-2. Exportación e Importación Mensual de Mercancías 2013-2014 Cuadro J-3. Exportación Anual de Petróleo Crudo 1980-2020 Cuadro J-4. Exportación Mensual de Petróleo Crudo 2013-2014
J-1. Exportación e Importación de Mercancías: Escenario Base 2014-2020 (Millones de dólares) Exportación de Mercancías Exportaciones Petroleras No Petroleras Años! Totales Suma Crudo Otras Suma Agropecuarias Extractivas Manufactureras! Dólares Var.% Dólares Var.% Dólares Var.% Dólares Var.% Dólares Var.% Dólares Var.% Dólares Var.% Dólares Dólares Var.% 1980 18,031 56.6 10,441 162.7 9,449 150.9 993 373.5 7,590 0.6 1,528-14.1 512 51.7 5,549 2.3 1981 23,307 29.3 14,573 39.6 13,305 40.8 1,268 27.8 8,734 15.1 1,482-3.0 686 33.9 6,566 18.3 1982 24,055 3.2 16,477 13.1 15,623 17.4 854-32.6 7,578-13.2 1,233-16.8 502-26.9 5,843-11.0 1983 25,953 7.9 16,017-2.8 14,793-5.3 1,224 43.3 9,936 31.1 1,189-3.6 524 4.4 8,224 40.7 1984 29,100 12.1 16,601 3.6 14,968 1.2 1,634 33.5 12,499 25.8 1,461 22.9 539 2.9 10,499 27.7 1985 26,757-8.1 14,767-11.1 13,309-11.1 1,458-10.8 11,991-4.1 1,409-3.6 510-5.3 10,071-4.1 1986 21,804-18.5 6,307-57.3 5,580-58.1 727-50.1 15,496 29.2 2,098 48.9 510-0.1 12,888 28.0 1987 27,600 26.6 8,630 36.8 7,877 41.2 753 3.6 18,970 22.4 1,543-26.5 576 13.0 16,851 30.7 1988 30,692 11.2 6,711-22.2 5,884-25.3 828 10.0 23,980 26.4 1,670 8.2 660 14.6 21,650 28.5 1989 35,171 14.6 7,876 17.4 7,292 23.9 584-29.4 27,295 13.8 1,754 5.0 605-8.4 24,936 15.2 1990 40,711 15.8 10,104 28.3 8,921 22.3 1,183 102.5 30,607 12.1 2,162 23.3 617 2.0 27,828 11.6 1991 42,688 4.9 8,166-19.2 7,265-18.6 902-23.8 34,521 12.8 2,373 9.7 547-11.4 31,602 13.6 1992 46,196 8.2 8,307 1.7 7,420 2.1 887-1.6 37,889 9.8 2,112-11.0 356-34.9 35,420 12.1 1993 51,856 12.3 7,685-7.5 6,485-12.6 1,200 35.2 44,171 16.6 2,790 32.1 308-13.5 41,074 16.0 1994 60,860 17.4 7,619-0.9 6,624 2.1 995-17.0 53,240 20.5 3,037 8.9 382 24.0 49,821 21.3 1995 79,536 30.7 8,638 13.4 7,420 12.0 1,218 22.4 70,898 33.2 4,573 50.6 536 40.3 65,789 32.1 1996 95,986 20.7 11,817 36.8 10,705 44.3 1,112-8.8 84,170 18.7 4,122-9.9 438-18.3 79,610 21.0 1997 110,411 15.0 11,455-3.1 10,334-3.5 1,122 0.9 98,955 17.6 4,436 7.6 464 5.9 94,055 18.1 1998 117,514 6.4 7,296-36.3 6,448-37.6 848-24.4 110,218 11.4 4,320-2.6 449-3.3 105,449 12.1 1999 136,333 16.0 9,959 36.5 8,830 36.9 1,130 33.2 126,374 14.7 4,438 2.7 421-6.1 121,515 15.2 2000 166,098 21.8 16,124 61.9 14,553 64.8 1,571 39.1 149,974 18.7 4,752 7.1 496 17.8 144,725 19.1 2001 158,761-4.4 13,191-18.2 11,928-18.0 1,263-19.6 145,570-2.9 4,435-6.7 386-22.2 140,748-2.7 2002 161,021 1.4 14,823 12.4 13,392 12.3 1,431 13.3 146,198 0.4 4,196-5.4 367-4.9 141,635 0.6 2003 164,748 2.3 18,597 25.5 16,676 24.5 1,921 34.2 146,151 0.0 5,023 19.7 496 35.2 140,632-0.7 2004 187,999 14.1 23,663 27.2 21,258 27.5 2,405 25.2 164,335 12.4 5,666 12.8 901 81.5 157,768 12.2 2005 214,233 14.0 31,889 34.8 28,329 33.3 3,559 48.0 182,344 11.0 5,981 5.6 1,168 29.6 175,196 11.0 2006 249,925 16.7 39,017 22.4 34,707 22.5 4,310 21.1 210,908 15.7 6,836 14.3 1,321 13.1 202,752 15.7 2007 271,875 8.8 43,014 10.2 37,937 9.3 5,077 17.8 228,861 8.5 7,415 8.5 1,737 31.5 219,709 8.4 2008 291,343 7.2 50,635 17.7 43,342 14.2 7,294 43.7 240,707 5.2 7,895 6.5 1,931 11.2 230,882 5.1 2009 229,704-21.2 30,831-39.1 25,614-40.9 5,217-28.5 198,872-17.4 7,726-2.1 1,448-25.0 189,698-17.8 2010 298,473 29.9 41,693 35.2 35,919 40.2 5,775 10.7 256,780 29.1 8,610 11.4 2,424 67.4 245,745 29.5 2011 349,433 17.1 56,443 35.4 49,381 37.5 7,063 22.3 292,990 14.1 10,309 19.7 4,063 67.6 278,617 13.4 2012 370,770 6.1 52,956-6.2 46,852-5.1 6,103-13.6 317,814 8.5 10,914 5.9 4,906 20.7 301,993 8.4 2013 380,027 2.5 49,493-6.5 42,723-8.8 6,770 10.9 330,534 4.0 11,246 3.0 4,714-3.9 314,573 4.2 2014 396,397 4.3 45,782-7.5 39,485-7.6 6,297-7.0 350,615 6.1 11,900 5.8 5,082 7.8 333,633 6.1 2015 429,765 8.4 46,785 2.2 40,259 2.0 6,526 3.6 382,980 9.2 12,415 4.3 5,670 11.6 364,894 9.4 2016 473,325 10.1 46,493-0.6 39,939-0.8 6,554 0.4 426,832 11.5 14,109 13.6 6,705 18.3 406,018 11.3 2017 543,915 14.9 51,550 10.9 44,184 10.6 7,366 12.4 492,365 15.4 15,263 8.2 8,314 24.0 468,789 15.5 2018 612,285 12.6 58,767 14.0 50,297 13.8 8,470 15.0 553,518 12.4 16,884 10.6 10,091 21.4 526,543 12.3 2019 679,582 11.0 65,092 10.8 55,668 10.7 9,425 11.3 614,490 11.0 18,180 7.7 11,530 14.3 584,779 11.1 2020 745,449 9.7 71,023 9.1 60,724 9.1 10,299 9.3 674,426 9.8 20,228 11.3 12,930 12.1 641,269 9.7 J-1 (Continúa)
(Continuación) Años!! Importación de Mercancías Balanza Comercial Importaciones Por Tipo de Bien (Fob-Fob) Totales Consumo Intermedio Capital Balanza Sin Sector Dólares Var.% Dólares Var.% Dólares Var.% Dólares Var.% Total Petrólero 1980 21,089 53.9 2,448 144.4 13,467 47.5 5,174 44.8-3,058-13,499.7 1981 27,184 28.9 2,808 14.7 16,801 24.8 7,574 46.4-3,877-18,450.0 1982 17,011-37.4 1,517-46.0 10,991-34.6 4,502-40.6 7,045-9,432.6 1983 11,848-30.3 614-59.5 9,038-17.8 2,197-51.2 14,105-1,912.3 1984 15,916 34.3 848 38.2 12,495 38.3 2,573 17.1 13,184-3,417.2 1985 18,359 15.3 1,082 27.6 14,113 12.9 3,165 23.0 8,398-6,368.5 1986 16,784-8.6 846-21.8 12,983-8.0 2,954-6.7 5,020-1,287.5 1987 18,812 12.1 768-9.3 15,414 18.7 2,631-11.0 8,787 157.3 1988 28,082 49.3 1,922 150.3 22,134 43.6 4,027 53.1 2,610-4,101.7 1989 34,766 23.8 3,499 82.1 26,499 19.7 4,769 18.4 405-7,470.9 1990 41,593 19.6 5,099 45.7 29,705 12.1 6,790 42.4-882 -10,986.0 1991 49,967 20.1 5,834 14.4 35,545 19.7 8,588 26.5-7,279-15,445.4 1992 62,129 24.3 7,744 32.7 42,830 20.5 11,556 34.6-15,934-24,240.3 1993 65,367 5.2 7,842 1.3 46,568 8.7 10,956-5.2-13,510-21,195.3 1994 79,346 21.4 9,510 21.3 56,514 21.4 13,322 21.6-18,486-26,105.8 1995 72,453-8.7 5,335-43.9 58,421 3.4 8,697-34.7 7,083-1,555.1 1996 89,469 23.5 6,657 24.8 71,890 23.1 10,922 25.6 6,518-5,299.2 1997 109,808 22.7 9,090 36.6 85,639 19.1 15,079 38.1 602-10,852.9 1998 125,373 14.2 11,108 22.2 96,935 13.2 17,329 14.9-7,859-15,154.7 1999 141,975 13.2 12,175 9.6 109,270 12.7 20,530 18.5-5,642-15,601.2 2000 174,458 22.9 16,691 37.1 133,637 22.3 24,130 17.5-8,360-24,484.3 2001 168,396-3.5 19,752 18.3 126,149-5.6 22,496-6.8-9,635-22,826.4 2002 168,679 0.2 21,178 7.2 126,508 0.3 20,992-6.7-7,658-22,481.2 2003 170,546 1.1 21,509 1.6 128,831 1.8 20,205-3.7-5,798-24,394.8 2004 196,810 15.4 25,409 18.1 148,804 15.5 22,597 11.8-8,811-32,474.2 2005 221,820 12.7 31,513 24.0 164,091 10.3 26,216 16.0-7,587-39,475.1 2006 256,058 15.4 36,901 17.1 188,632 15.0 30,525 16.4-6,133-45,150.1 2007 281,949 10.1 43,055 16.7 205,295 8.8 33,599 10.1-10,074-53,087.6 2008 308,603 9.5 47,941 11.3 221,565 7.9 39,097 16.4-17,261-67,896.0 2009 234,385-24.0 32,828-31.5 170,912-22.9 30,645-21.6-4,681-35,512.8 2010 301,482 28.6 41,423 26.2 229,812 34.5 30,247-1.3-3,009-44,702.1 2011 350,843 16.4 51,790 25.0 264,020 14.9 35,032 15.8-1,409-57,852.9 2012 370,752 5.7 54,272 4.8 277,911 5.3 38,568 10.1 18-52,937.4 2013 381,210 2.8 57,329 5.6 284,823 2.5 39,057 1.3-1,184-50,676.6 2014 400,687 5.1 60,036 4.7 300,644 5.6 40,007 2.4-4,290-50,072.2 2015 439,614 9.7 65,175 8.6 329,987 9.8 44,452 11.1-9,849-56,634.3 2016 492,492 12.0 72,820 11.7 368,694 11.7 50,978 14.7-19,167-65,659.9 2017 569,812 15.7 83,932 15.3 426,358 15.6 59,522 16.8-25,897-77,446.8 2018 644,275 13.1 95,968 14.3 479,482 12.5 68,825 15.6-31,990-90,757.0 2019 720,409 11.8 109,058 13.6 532,801 11.1 78,550 14.1-40,827-105,919.1 2020 796,638 10.6 123,050 12.8 585,015 9.8 88,573 12.8-51,189-122,212.2 J-2 (Conclusión)
J-2. Exportación e Importación Mensual de Mercancías: Escenario Base 2014 (Millones de dólares) Meses!! Exportación de Mercancías Exportaciones Petroleras No Petroleras Totales Suma Crudo Otras Suma Agropecuarias Extractivas Manufactureras Dólares Var.% Dólares Var.% Dólares Var.% Dólares Var.% Dólares Var.% Dólares Var.% Dólares Var.% Dólares Var.% 2013 380,026.6 2.5 49,493.0-6.5 42,723.2-8.8 6,769.8 10.9 330,533.6 4.0 11,245.8 3.0 4,714.4-3.9 314,573.4 4.2 Ene 27,298.5 0.1 4,549.4-1.7 4,021.1 0.3 528.3-14.8 22,749.1 0.4 990.2-7.1 288.7-23.5 21,470.3 1.2 Feb 29,091.5-3.1 4,084.9-10.6 3,599.9-8.3 485.0-24.6 25,006.6-1.7 1,043.7 0.5 318.4-21.7 23,644.5-1.5 Mar 31,838.1-1.5 4,157.8-19.5 3,521.3-21.6 636.5-5.9 27,680.3 2.0 1,161.5 3.2 447.0-4.1 26,071.8 2.0 Abr 32,729.1 5.9 4,439.1-2.1 3,791.6-5.9 647.5 28.3 28,290.0 7.3 1,195.7 6.6 427.3 51.6 26,667.0 6.8 May 32,845.3-0.9 3,679.0-15.1 3,148.6-17.1 530.4-1.3 29,166.2 1.3 1,122.9-6.6 363.1-20.4 27,680.2 2.0 Jun 31,088.3 2.7 3,726.6 1.2 3,199.1-2.8 527.5 34.9 27,361.7 2.9 884.8-1.5 426.2-0.4 26,050.7 3.1 Jul 32,252.2 6.5 4,303.8 13.6 3,786.8 14.1 517.0 10.2 27,948.4 5.4 710.9-3.1 314.9 9.5 26,922.7 5.6 Ago 32,677.3 3.2 4,174.5-13.2 3,615.7-14.7 558.8-2.3 28,502.8 6.2 586.4 2.8 471.9 6.8 27,444.5 6.2 Sep 31,377.7 7.2 4,014.6-12.2 3,575.6-12.8 439.0-7.1 27,363.1 10.8 595.6 4.8 390.7-29.1 26,376.8 11.8 Oct 35,082.3 3.4 4,340.1-6.5 3,512.0-16.4 828.1 87.6 30,742.2 4.9 838.3 10.4 357.5-10.9 29,546.4 5.0 Nov 31,679.5 0.7 3,644.0-15.6 3,229.4-17.9 414.6 8.2 28,035.5 3.2 984.2 12.4 399.7-9.8 26,651.6 3.2 Dic 32,066.8 6.1 4,379.3 12.0 3,722.1 5.8 657.2 67.5 27,687.6 5.3 1,131.6 18.4 509.1 39.2 26,046.9 4.3 2014 396,397.2 4.3 45,782.1-7.5 39,485.1-7.6 6,297.0-7.0 350,615.1 6.1 11,900.0 5.8 5,082.0 7.8 333,633.1 6.1 Ene 27,052.0-0.9 3,827.5-15.9 3,291.1-18.2 536.4 1.5 23,224.5 2.1 1,072.0 8.3 361.6 25.3 21,790.9 1.5 Feb 30,461.7 4.7 3,924.7-3.9 3,324.3-7.7 600.4 23.8 26,537.0 6.1 1,102.1 5.6 424.8 33.4 25,010.1 5.8 Mar 33,236.3 4.4 3,739.8-10.1 3,274.3-7.0 465.5-26.9 29,496.5 6.6 1,204.3 3.7 478.2 7.0 27,814.0 6.7 Abr 34,071.5 4.1 3,766.7-15.1 2,996.3-21.0 770.4 19.0 30,304.7 7.1 1,294.7 8.3 437.3 2.4 28,572.7 7.1 May 34,382.9 4.7 3,810.8 3.6 3,353.9 6.5 456.8-13.9 30,572.2 4.8 1,149.1 2.3 441.3 21.5 28,981.8 4.7 Jun e/ 32,661.6 5.1 3,702.7-0.6 3,244.5 1.4 458.1-13.1 28,959.0 5.8 1,002.1 13.3 421.3-1.2 27,535.6 5.7 Jul 33,639.9 4.3 3,699.7-14.0 3,226.1-14.8 473.6-8.4 29,940.2 7.1 862.7 21.4 431.8 37.1 28,645.7 6.4 Ago 34,145.8 4.5 3,667.0-12.2 3,200.6-11.5 466.3-16.5 30,478.9 6.9 654.3 11.6 376.6-20.2 29,448.0 7.3 Sep 31,461.3 0.3 3,746.9-6.7 3,270.6-8.5 476.2 8.5 27,714.5 1.3 657.3 10.4 469.4 20.1 26,587.8 0.8 Oct 37,091.0 5.7 3,987.1-8.1 3,458.9-1.5 528.2-36.2 33,103.9 7.7 864.8 3.2 417.6 16.8 31,821.5 7.7 Nov 34,415.0 8.6 3,866.8 6.1 3,349.1 3.7 517.8 24.9 30,548.2 9.0 970.3-1.4 439.7 10.0 29,138.2 9.3 Dic 33,778.0 5.3 4,042.5-7.7 3,495.1-6.1 547.3-16.7 29,735.5 7.4 1,066.3-5.8 382.3-24.9 28,286.9 8.6 p/ Cifras preliminares. e/ Empieza estimación Modelo Prospectivo de la Economía Mexicana MOPEM. (Continúa) J-3
(Continuación) Importación de Mercancías Balanza Comercial Meses! Importaciones Por Tipo de Bien (Fob-Fob) Totales Consumo Intermedio Capital Balanza Sin Sector Dólares Var.% Dólares Var.% Dólares Var.% Dólares Var.% Total Petrólero 2013 381,210.2 2.8 57,329.4 5.6 284,823.4 2.5 39,057.4 1.3-1,183.6-52,937.4 Ene 30,153.0 9.5 4,752.5 16.1 22,159.5 8.1 3,240.9 9.7-2,854.4-4,895.7 Feb 29,066.0-1.5 4,176.1-4.4 21,971.6-1.5 2,918.3 2.7 25.4-4,072.2 Mar 30,127.8-2.3 4,718.7 8.3 22,488.6-3.6 2,920.5-7.5 1,710.3-3,693.5 Abr 34,087.5 11.8 5,466.0 17.5 25,095.4 10.1 3,526.2 16.3-1,358.4-4,116.1 May 33,305.6 1.5 4,672.1 0.1 25,373.4 1.7 3,260.1 2.0-460.3-4,001.0 Jun 30,168.2 1.7 4,200.1 5.2 22,963.7 1.8 3,004.3-3.3 920.1-3,067.6 Jul 33,651.2 9.6 4,828.8 15.6 25,352.1 8.4 3,470.3 10.7-1,399.0-4,197.2 Ago 32,902.2 0.8 4,981.6 4.2 24,685.1 0.9 3,235.5-4.7-224.9-5,791.7 Sep 30,726.4 5.7 4,689.9 10.0 23,134.0 6.1 2,902.5-3.2 651.3-4,363.1 Oct 35,217.1-1.0 5,492.6 2.2 26,124.6-1.6 3,599.8-1.2-134.8-6,266.1 Nov 31,364.0-4.1 4,775.8-11.1 23,244.7-1.7 3,343.4-9.6 315.5-5,563.4 Dic 30,441.2 4.2 4,575.1 9.7 22,230.5 2.8 3,635.6 6.7 1,625.6-2,910.0 2014 400,687.2 5.1 60,035.8 4.7 300,644.0 5.6 40,007.4 2.4-4,290.1-50,676.6 Ene 30,233.5 0.3 4,745.5-0.1 22,325.4 0.7 3,162.7-2.4-3,181.6-7,403.8 Feb 29,543.5 1.6 4,184.4 0.2 22,471.7 2.3 2,887.4-1.1 918.2-4,059.5 Mar 32,287.4 7.2 4,335.1-8.1 24,793.0 10.2 3,159.3 8.2 949.0-2,447.5 Abr 33,561.9-1.5 5,082.5-7.0 25,275.2 0.7 3,204.2-9.1 509.6-5,797.5 May 34,251.1 2.8 4,545.7-2.7 26,438.6 4.2 3,266.9 0.2 131.8-4,139.3 Jun e/ 32,249.7 6.9 4,873.3 16.0 24,272.7 5.7 3,103.7 3.3 412.0-2,806.5 Jul 35,386.8 5.2 5,186.7 7.4 26,873.3 6.0 3,326.8-4.1-1,746.8-5,702.8 Ago 35,350.4 7.4 5,596.3 12.3 26,437.7 7.1 3,316.4 2.5-1,204.6-4,399.4 Sep 31,909.1 3.8 5,126.8 9.3 23,666.1 2.3 3,116.2 7.4-447.8-3,363.3 Oct 38,185.4 8.4 5,986.3 9.0 28,293.0 8.3 3,906.1 8.5-1,094.4-4,474.8 Nov 34,842.2 11.1 5,626.1 17.8 25,499.5 9.7 3,716.6 11.2-427.1-3,328.5 Dic 32,886.4 8.0 4,747.2 3.8 24,298.0 9.3 3,841.2 5.7 891.7-2,753.7 p/ Cifras preliminares. e/ Empieza estimación Modelo Prospectivo de la Economía Mexicana MOPEM. (Conclusión) J-4
J-3. Producción y Exportación de Petróleo Crudo: Escenario Base 2014-2020 (Volumen, valor y precio) Años! Producción Plataforma de Exportación del Sector Petrolero Precio de Referencia de Petróleo Volumen Valor Precio West Texas Intermediate Crudo Miles de Barriles Diarios Proporción Total Dólares por Barril Dólares por Barril (Mbd) Total Istmo Maya Olmeca Total Istmo Maya Olmeca Mills. Dls. Mezcla Istmo Maya Olmeca WTI WTI-Mezcla 1980 1,941 842 466 376.. 100.0 55.4 44.6.. 9,450 31.05 33.30 28.39.. 35.71-4.66 1981 2,312 1,113 494 619.. 100.0 44.4 55.6.. 13,307 33.18 36.23 30.76.. 34.04-0.86 1982 2,746 1,513 690 823.. 100.0 45.6 54.4.. 15,624 28.81 32.89 25.33.. 31.54-2.73 1983 2,666 1,581 710 871.. 100.0 44.9 55.1.. 14,794 26.46 29.57 23.99.. 29.47-3.01 1984 2,685 1,545 631 915.. 100.0 40.8 59.2.. 14,969 26.82 29.00 25.33.. 28.55-1.72 1985 2,669 1,458 615 843.. 100.0 42.2 57.8.. 13,309 25.38 27.21 24.05.. 27.37-1.99 1986 2,442 1,306 580 726.. 100.0 44.4 55.6.. 5,563 12.01 13.57 10.14.. 15.05-3.05 1987 2,541 1,364 534 830.. 100.0 39.1 60.9.. 7,918 16.00 17.52 15.20.. 19.20-3.20 1988 2,506 1,340 467 768 106 100.0 34.8 57.3 7.9 5,857 12.22 13.70 11.05 14.42 15.97-3.75 1989 2,513 1,278 344 786 148 100.0 26.9 61.5 11.5 7,281 15.62 17.15 14.36 18.73 19.64-4.02 1990 2,548 1,277 293 827 158 100.0 22.9 64.7 12.3 8,914 18.77 21.89 16.76 23.44 24.53-5.76 1991 2,676 1,369 329 877 163 100.0 24.0 64.1 11.9 7,286 14.57 18.12 12.23 20.04 21.54-6.97 1992 2,668 1,368 287 923 157 100.0 21.0 67.5 11.5 7,445 14.86 18.01 13.08 19.55 20.58-5.72 1993 2,673 1,337 262 857 218 100.0 19.6 64.1 16.3 6,442 13.21 15.82 11.40 17.28 18.43-5.22 1994 2,685 1,308 180 800 328 100.0 13.8 61.2 25.1 6,624 13.88 15.51 12.57 16.24 17.20-3.32 1995 2,618 1,305 158 719 429 100.0 12.1 55.1 32.9 7,480 15.72 16.79 14.39 17.51 18.43-2.71 1996 2,858 1,544 190 863 491 100.0 12.3 55.9 31.8 10,702 18.91 20.07 17.23 21.43 22.12-3.21 1997 3,022 1,720 216 1,019 486 100.0 12.5 59.2 28.2 10,341 16.51 18.30 14.69 19.52 20.61-4.10 1998 3,071 1,740 208 1,062 470 100.0 12.0 61.0 27.0 6,463 10.18 11.95 8.56 13.14 14.42-4.24 1999 2,906 1,554 190 929 436 100.0 12.2 59.8 28.0 8,858 15.70 17.10 14.37 17.97 19.34-3.64 2000 3,012 1,652 115 1,133 405 100.0 7.0 68.6 24.5 14,889 24.64 27.66 22.87 28.95 30.38-5.74 2001 3,127 1,711 82 1,319 309 100.0 4.8 77.1 18.1 11,592 18.57 22.16 17.16 23.78 25.98-7.41 2002 3,177 1,704 47 1,412 245 100.0 2.8 82.9 14.4 13,395 21.53 24.12 20.87 24.92 26.18-4.65 2003 3,370 1,844 25 1,603 216 100.0 1.4 86.9 11.7 16,676 24.75 18.82 24.08 29.33 31.08-6.33 2004 3,383 1,870 27 1,621 221 100.0 1.5 86.7 11.8 21,262 30.96 37.82 29.74 39.28 41.51-10.55 2005 3,334 1,818 81 1,521 216 100.0 4.4 83.7 11.9 28,329 42.76 49.91 40.82 53.93 56.64-13.88 2006 3,256 1,794 69 1,494 231 100.0 3.8 83.3 12.9 34,709 53.05 59.43 51.03 64.79 66.05-13.00 2007 3,077 1,688 41 1,473 173 100.0 2.4 87.3 10.2 37,938 61.71 67.39 60.33 72.52 72.34-10.63 2008 2,792 1,403 23 1,251 130 100.0 1.6 89.1 9.2 43,342 84.41 93.22 82.77 99.82 99.67-15.26 2009 2,602 1,222 14 1,065 143 100.0 1.2 87.1 11.7 25,603 57.56 57.57 56.88 62.62 61.65-4.10 2010 2,577 1,359 75 1,073 212 100.0 5.5 78.9 15.6 35,988 72.26 77.40 70.54 79.44 79.40-7.13 2011 2,552 1,337 99 1,035 203 100.0 7.4 77.4 15.2 49,380 101.21 105.40 99.10 109.81 94.87 6.33 2012 2,548 1,256 99 963 194 100.0 7.9 76.7 15.4 46,721 101.95 107.26 100.01 109.10 94.11 7.84 2013 2,522 1,189 102 988 99 100.0 8.5 83.2 8.3 42,725 98.56 105.32 96.99 107.10 97.91 0.65 2014 2,510 1,143 144 907 93 100.0 12.6 79.3 8.1 39,495 94.85 101.40 92.87 104.44 100.58-5.73 2015 2,543 1,228 161 960 106 100.0 13.1 78.2 8.7 40,259 89.86 94.96 87.90 97.51 95.16-5.30 2016 2,599 1,245 172 949 124 100.0 13.8 76.2 9.9 39,939 87.86 92.80 85.92 95.40 93.08-5.22 2017 2,750 1,285 156 1,000 129 100.0 12.2 77.8 10.0 44,184 94.19 99.09 92.36 101.60 98.65-4.46 2018 2,935 1,374 187 1,046 140 100.0 13.6 76.2 10.2 50,297 100.32 105.14 98.58 107.71 103.83-3.51 2019 3,005 1,461 304 1,002 154 100.0 20.8 68.6 10.6 55,668 104.38 108.97 102.66 111.74 107.64-3.26 2020 3,065 1,538 539 824 175 100.0 35.1 53.5 11.4 60,724 108.16 112.71 106.43 115.46 111.24-3.08 J-5
J-4. Producción y Exportación Mensual de Petróleo Crudo: Escenario Base 2014 (Volumen, valor y precio) Meses!! Producción Plataforma de Exportación del Sector Petrolero Precio de Referencia de Petróleo Volumen Valor Precio West Texas Intermediate Crudo Miles de Barriles Diarios Proporción Total Dólares por Barril Dólares por Barril (Mbd) Total Istmo Maya Olmeca Total Istmo Maya Olmeca Mills. Dls. Mezcla Istmo Maya Olmeca WTI WTI-Mezcla 2013 2,522 1,189 102 988 99 100.0 8.5 83.2 8.3 42,725 98.56 105.32 96.99 107.10 97.91 0.65 Ene 2,562 1,289 132 981 176 100.0 10.2 76.1 13.7 4,020 100.60 108.19 97.98 109.64 94.76 5.84 Feb 2,555 1,220 71 1,017 131 100.0 5.8 83.4 10.8 3,601 105.43 113.66 103.35 117.26 95.31 10.12 Mar 2,516 1,103 86 893 124 100.0 7.8 81.0 11.2 3,521 102.98 111.12 100.77 113.18 92.94 10.04 Abr 2,518 1,275 109 1,057 109 100.0 8.5 82.9 8.5 3,791 99.12 104.97 97.76 107.00 92.02 7.10 May 2,510 1,029 26 915 88 100.0 2.5 88.9 8.6 3,147 98.67 101.43 97.91 106.23 94.51 4.16 Jun 2,519 1,090 56 944 90 100.0 5.1 86.6 8.3 3,200 97.86 101.61 96.99 105.42 95.77 2.09 Jul 2,482 1,210 88 1,034 87 100.0 7.3 85.5 7.3 3,789 101.00 108.18 99.67 110.02 104.67-3.67 Ago 2,514 1,157 110 978 69 100.0 9.5 84.5 6.0 3,617 100.84 109.14 99.24 111.05 106.57-5.73 Sep 2,523 1,195 116 1,007 72 100.0 9.7 84.3 6.0 3,576 99.74 109.04 98.15 107.85 106.29-6.55 Oct 2,540 1,193 110 1,012 71 100.0 9.2 84.8 6.0 3,512 94.95 101.86 93.87 100.62 100.54-5.59 Nov 2,513 1,200 147 985 68 100.0 12.3 82.1 5.7 3,230 89.71 94.25 88.70 96.16 93.86-4.15 Dic 2,517 1,308 178 1,032 98 100.0 13.6 78.9 7.5 3,721 91.78 100.36 89.50 100.79 97.63-5.85 2014 2,510 1,143 144 907 93 100.0 12.6 79.3 8.1 39,495 94.85 101.40 92.87 104.44 100.58-5.73 Ene 2,506 1,171 178 893 100 100.0 15.2 76.3 8.5 3,291 90.65 98.20 88.31 99.14 94.62-3.97 Feb 2,501 1,275 175 1,006 95 100.0 13.7 78.9 7.4 3,323 93.09 101.71 90.82 102.40 100.82-7.73 Mar 2,469 1,133 156 891 86 100.0 13.8 78.6 7.6 3,283 93.48 101.29 91.40 102.31 100.80-7.32 Abr 2,478 1,051 122 859 70 100.0 11.6 81.7 6.7 3,000 95.14 102.17 93.31 106.64 102.07-6.93 May 2,490 1,116 122 901 93 100.0 10.9 80.7 8.3 3,353 96.92 103.52 95.09 107.18 102.18-5.26 Jun e/ 2,511 1,077 127 869 81 100.0 11.8 80.7 7.6 3,245 100.44 106.97 98.56 110.30 105.79-5.36 Jul 2,480 1,054 127 847 80 100.0 12.0 80.4 7.6 3,226 98.77 104.94 96.94 108.42 104.36-5.59 Ago 2,532 1,067 131 848 88 100.0 12.3 79.5 8.3 3,201 96.77 102.78 94.86 106.23 102.07-5.30 Sep 2,531 1,138 147 895 95 100.0 12.9 78.7 8.4 3,271 95.82 101.65 93.87 105.10 101.18-5.36 Oct 2,553 1,187 147 936 104 100.0 12.4 78.9 8.7 3,459 94.02 99.70 92.08 103.51 99.26-5.24 Nov 2,533 1,214 147 958 109 100.0 12.1 78.9 9.0 3,349 91.97 97.47 90.06 101.38 97.38-5.41 Dic 2,532 1,238 147 976 115 100.0 11.9 78.9 9.3 3,495 91.09 96.42 89.16 100.64 96.39-5.30 p/ Cifras preliminares. e/ Empieza estimación Modelo Prospectivo de la Economía Mexicana MOPEM. J-6
K. Balanza de Pagos de México Cuadro K-1. Cuenta Corriente, Cuenta de Capital y Reservas Internacionales del Banco de México 1980-2020 Cuadro K-2. Comportamiento Trimestral de la Balanza de Pagos 2013-2014 Cuadro K-3. Resumen Mensual de la Balanza de Pagos 2013-2014
K-1. Cuenta Corriente, de Capital y Reserva Internacional del Banco de México: Escenario Base 2014-2020 (Millones de dólares) Saldo Cuenta Corriente Años Cuenta Corriente Ingresos Egresos Dólares % PIB Suma Mercancías Turismo Remesas Intereses Otros Suma Mercancías Turismo Fletes y S. Intereses Otros 1980-10,434-4.1 24,861 18,031 3,201 699 1,022 1,907 35,295 21,089 3,062 950 6,147 4,046 1981-16,241-4.9 31,111 23,307 3,332 860 1,386 2,225 47,352 27,184 4,064 1,119 9,485 5,500 1982-5,890-2.6 30,972 24,055 2,660 845 1,325 2,087 36,862 17,011 2,208 620 12,203 4,820 1983 5,860 3.8 32,929 25,953 2,751 983 1,279 1,963 27,069 11,848 1,583 455 10,103 3,080 1984 4,183 2.0 37,831 29,100 3,323 1,127 2,074 2,206 33,647 15,916 2,169 534 11,715 3,313 1985 800 0.4 35,859 26,757 2,949 1,157 1,822 3,174 35,059 18,359 2,259 550 10,156 3,735 1986-1,374-0.9 29,928 21,804 3,027 1,290 1,462 2,345 31,301 16,784 2,178 486 8,342 3,511 1987 4,239 2.3 37,368 27,600 3,540 1,478 1,888 2,864 33,129 18,812 2,366 538 8,097 3,317 1988-2,376-1.1 42,096 30,691 4,048 1,898 2,507 2,951 44,471 28,082 3,201 822 8,639 3,727 1989-5,821-2.1 48,103 35,171 4,822 2,212 2,580 3,318 53,925 34,766 4,247 1,159 9,278 4,475 1990-7,451-2.3 56,071 40,711 5,526 2,494 2,667 4,673 63,522 41,593 5,519 1,531 9,222 5,657 1991-14,647-3.7 58,087 42,688 5,959 2,660 2,906 3,875 72,734 49,967 5,813 1,758 9,215 5,981 1992-24,438-5.4 61,669 46,196 6,085 3,070 2,160 4,159 86,107 62,129 6,107 2,084 9,611 6,176 1993-23,399-4.6 67,752 51,886 6,167 3,333 2,048 4,318 91,151 65,367 5,562 2,181 10,934 7,108 1994-29,662-5.6 78,372 60,882 6,363 3,475 2,700 4,952 108,034 79,346 5,338 2,640 11,807 8,903 1995-1,577-0.5 97,029 79,542 6,179 3,673 3,018 4,618 98,606 72,453 3,171 1,975 13,575 7,432 1996-2,508-0.6 115,316 96,000 6,756 4,224 3,307 5,030 117,824 89,469 3,387 2,510 13,361 9,097 1997-7,665-1.6 131,318 110,431 7,376 4,865 3,750 4,896 138,984 109,808 3,892 3,312 12,436 9,535 1998-15,993-3.2 140,148 117,539 7,493 5,627 4,034 5,455 156,141 125,373 4,209 3,699 12,482 10,378 1999-14,000-2.4 158,910 136,362 7,223 5,910 3,736 5,681 172,910 141,975 4,541 4,109 12,809 9,476 2000-18,752-2.7 192,876 166,121 8,294 6,573 5,025 6,864 211,628 174,458 5,499 5,006 13,695 12,970 2001-17,753-2.4 186,166 158,780 8,401 8,895 4,075 6,016 203,919 168,396 5,702 4,643 12,693 12,484 2002-14,842-2.0 188,178 161,046 8,858 9,814 2,835 5,624 203,019 168,679 6,060 4,408 11,966 11,907 2003-8,338-1.2 196,918 164,766 9,362 15,139 2,343 5,309 205,256 170,546 6,253 4,493 11,950 12,015 2004-7,007-0.9 226,548 187,999 10,796 18,332 2,211 7,211 233,555 196,810 6,959 5,450 11,601 12,736 2005-8,956-1.0 257,381 214,233 11,803 21,688 2,719 6,937 266,337 221,820 7,600 6,494 12,695 17,728 2006-7,795-0.8 297,842 249,925 12,177 25,567 4,431 5,742 305,638 256,058 8,108 7,418 14,731 19,323 2007-14,658-1.4 323,714 271,875 12,919 26,059 6,218 6,643 338,372 281,949 8,462 8,297 16,922 22,742 2008-20,015-1.8 343,686 291,343 13,370 25,145 6,128 7,701 363,700 308,603 8,568 10,000 16,763 19,766 2009-8,152-0.9 273,250 229,704 11,513 21,306 4,253 6,474 281,401 234,385 7,207 7,510 12,886 19,413 2010-3,886-0.4 346,529 298,473 11,992 21,304 3,388 11,373 350,415 301,482 7,255 8,723 14,161 18,794 2011-12,556-1.1 399,248 349,375 11,869 22,803 3,475 11,727 411,804 350,843 7,832 10,225 17,688 25,216 2012-15,058-1.3 423,446 370,706 12,739 22,438 2,671 14,891 438,504 370,752 8,449 9,726 20,296 29,282 2013-25,856-2.1 432,081 380,189 13,819 21,583 2,391 14,100 457,936 381,210 9,054 9,755 23,217 34,701 2014-22,909-1.8 453,659 396,519 15,592 22,937 2,415 16,196 476,567 400,687 9,981 11,170 26,650 28,079 2015-33,269-2.4 491,774 429,765 17,502 24,262 2,605 17,640 525,043 439,614 11,192 13,100 29,651 31,485 2016-45,797-3.1 541,438 473,325 19,887 25,873 2,896 19,456 587,235 492,492 12,569 16,400 32,711 33,064 2017-56,653-3.5 619,761 543,915 22,894 27,915 3,341 21,696 676,414 569,812 14,253 20,741 36,439 35,169 2018-66,849-3.9 695,692 612,285 25,792 29,824 3,796 23,994 762,541 644,275 15,835 24,805 40,095 37,531 2019-79,398-4.3 770,530 679,582 28,743 31,637 4,270 26,298 849,928 720,409 17,356 28,528 43,862 39,773 2020-93,116-4.7 843,746 745,449 31,681 33,374 4,735 28,507 936,862 796,638 18,848 31,627 47,767 41,982 K-1 (Continúa)
(Continuación) Años!! Cuenta! de! Capital!! Total! Pasivos!! Suma!! Endeudamiento Externo Neto Total Pasivos Inversión Extranjera Sector Sector Banca Banco Suma! Inversión Inversión de Cartera Público Privado Comercial de México! Directa Suma Acciones Dinero 1980 11,377 12,622 10,532 3,754 3,750 3,160-132 2,090 2,090 0 0 0-1,245 1981 26,597 30,857 27,781 18,282 3,851 5,647 0 3,076 3,076 0 0 0-4,260 1982 9,996 10,820 8,920 7,529 2,223-2,269 1,438 1,900 1,900 0 0 0-824 1983 339 4,025 1,834 2,886-2,309 1,415-158 2,192 2,192 0 0 0-3,686 1984 1,306 3,208 1,667 2,613-1,760-416 1,229 1,541 1,541 0 0 0-1,902 1985-316 1,060-923 954-1,231-939 293 1,984 1,984 0 0 0-1,377 1986 2,716 2,549 148 1,646-1,481-732 714 2,401 2,401 0 0 0 167 1987-1,242 3,556 921 3,101-2,654 47 428 2,635 2,635 0 0 0-4,798 1988-444 1,310-1,570-258 -2,598 1,380-94 2,880 2,880 0 0 0-1,754 1989 2,075 3,245-424 -829-2,251 980 1,677 3,669 3,176 493 493 0-1,170 1990 8,115 16,814 12,186 6,854 1,313 4,384-365 4,628 2,633 1,994 1,994 0-8,700 1991 24,786 25,785 11,286 1,754 4,142 5,609-220 14,500 4,761 9,738 6,332 3,406-1,000 1992 26,486 20,934 3,611-1,978 5,134 916-460 17,323 4,393 12,930 4,783 8,147 5,552 1993 32,341 35,944 13,433 2,664 7,271 4,673-1,175 22,511 4,389 18,122 10,717 7,406-3,603 1994 14,976 20,646 7,815 3,619 3,828 1,571-1,203 12,831 10,973 1,858 4,084-2,225-5,670 1995 15,332 22,689 26,503 14,446 2,833-4,108 13,333-3,814 9,526-13,340 519-13,860-7,358 1996 4,118 10,459-2,225-8 2,962-1,655-3,524 12,684 9,185 3,499 2,801 698-6,341 1997 16,574 9,858-6,707-6,716 5,365-1,869-3,487 16,565 12,830 3,736 3,215 520 6,716 1998 19,075 18,643 6,571 3,401 5,169-928 -1,072 12,073 12,757-684 -666-19 431 1999 14,644 18,648 1,889 2,588 4,708-1,723-3,685 16,760 13,940 2,820 3,769-949 -4,005 2000 20,057 12,958-5,715-2,975 3,991-2,446-4,286 18,673 18,302 371 447-76 7,099 2001 28,418 32,253 1,243 2,126 2,263-3,147 0 31,010 29,988 1,022 151 871-3,835 2002 23,547 19,704-4,217 808-2,061-2,965 0 23,921 23,996-75 -104 29 3,844 2003 23,033 21,953 2,419 1,871-2,676 3,224 0 19,534 18,898 636-123 760 1,080 2004 15,927 28,500 877 1,509-1,975 1,343 0 27,623 25,095 2,528-2,522 5,050-12,573 2005 12,320 36,257 5,530-1,344 4,166 2,708 0 30,727 24,680 6,046 3,353 2,693-23,937 2006 7,169 21,976-4,206-15,002 7,139 3,657 0 26,182 20,863 5,319 2,805 2,513-14,806 2007 22,295 64,669 25,087 6,278 7,375 11,434 0 39,582 32,253 7,329-482 7,811-42,374 2008 32,789 40,630 9,887 8,925 728 234 0 30,743 28,313 2,430-3,503 5,933-7,842 2009 16,907 34,998 10,033 10,432-3,711-3,918 7,229 24,965 17,331 7,634 4,155 3,479-18,091 2010 46,388 92,282 45,428 13,669 5,657 29,323-3,221 46,853 23,353 23,500 373 23,127-45,893 2011 50,787 61,515 13,075 5,628 8,401-953 0 48,440 23,354 25,086-6,566 31,651-10,728 2012 54,463 88,502 14,357 8,794 8,769-3,206 0 74,145 17,628 56,517 9,877 46,640-34,039 2013 59,460 101,907 42,591 8,630 18,849 15,112 0 59,316 38,286 21,030-943 21,973-42,447 2014 67,891 101,536 34,072 17,444 11,240 5,388 0 67,464 25,076 42,388 8,407 33,981-33,645 2015 65,035 103,777 28,578 11,935 12,685 3,958 0 75,199 29,066 46,133 8,537 37,596-38,742 2016 75,190 121,086 28,394 12,387 11,333 4,674 0 92,692 34,632 58,060 8,827 49,233-45,896 2017 84,911 141,544 32,494 13,062 13,699 5,734 0 109,050 38,938 70,112 9,392 60,720-56,633 2018 95,734 160,630 36,735 14,314 17,496 4,925 0 123,895 45,212 78,683 9,817 68,866-64,896 2019 111,991 168,278 38,491 14,383 19,682 4,426 0 129,788 49,371 80,416 8,976 71,440-56,287 2020 123,575 175,844 40,449 15,019 21,463 3,966 0 135,395 54,239 81,157 7,852 73,304-52,269 K-2 Total! Activos! (Continúa)
(Continuación) Años!! Otros Conceptos Banco de México Indicadores Estratégicos de la Balanza de Pagos Errores Ajustes Reserva Internacional Reserva Internacional Transferencia Neta de Inversión Extranjera y Oro-plata y Variación Saldo Como % del Como % de las Como % de la Recursos del Exterior Directa en América Latina Omisiones Valoración Anual Fin de Año PIB Importaciones Base Monetaria Dólares % PIB Dólares % México 1980-142 -218 1,019 3,766 2.0 17.9 4.8 4,953 2.7 5,631 37.1 1981-9,221 123 1,012 4,778 1.9 17.6 4.7 7,507 2.9 8,467 36.3 1982-7,406-115 -3,185 1,593 0.5 9.4 3.5-9,466-2.9 6,276 30.3 1983-3,081 17 3,101 4,694 2.1 39.6 10.4-11,765-5.3 5,033 43.5 1984-2,136 152 3,201 7,895 5.1 49.6 14.0-10,793-6.9 4,247 36.3 1985-2,907-95 -2,328 5,567 2.7 30.3 7.5-12,092-5.8 5,884 33.7 1986-739 -382 985 6,552 3.3 39.0 11.1-5,392-2.7 3,955 60.7 1987 3,103-824 6,924 13,476 8.3 71.6 26.1-4,729-2.9 5,665 46.5 1988-3,914 394-7,127 6,349 3.5 22.6 8.3-11,405-6.3 8,800 32.7 1989 4,142 124 272 6,620 2.9 19.0 7.9-1,891-0.8 7,347 43.2 1990 2,703-181 3,548 10,168 3.7 24.4 9.9 2,493 0.9 6,830 38.6 1991-2,445 316 7,378 17,547 5.4 35.1 14.0 14,067 4.4 11,499 41.4 1992-1,028 12 1,008 18,554 4.7 29.9 13.1 16,241 4.2 13,359 32.9 1993-3,001-43 5,983 24,538 5.4 37.5 16.1 18,303 4.0 8,863 49.5 1994-3,705-2 -18,389 6,148 1.2 7.7 5.8-1,100-0.2 23,872 46.0 1995-4,164-2 9,593 15,741 3.0 21.7 18.0-1,760-0.3 25,247 37.7 1996 163 5 1,768 17,509 5.1 19.6 16.4-9,425-2.7 39,788 23.1 1997 1,603 18 10,494 28,003 7.0 25.5 20.7 5,753 1.4 58,394 22.0 1998-944 2 2,137 30,140 6.3 24.0 22.7 5,175 1.1 62,560 20.4 1999-52 -1 594 30,733 6.1 21.6 15.5 2,197 0.4 82,502 16.9 2000 1,520 3 2,821 33,555 5.8 19.2 15.4 6,848 1.2 72,943 25.1 2001-3,341 0 7,325 40,880 6.0 24.3 16.6 11,497 1.7 69,501 43.1 2002-1,616-14 7,104 47,984 6.6 28.4 19.0 9,155 1.3 51,453 46.6 2003-5,257-13 9,451 57,435 7.8 33.7 21.3 4,832 0.7 40,446 46.7 2004-4,862-3 4,061 61,496 8.6 31.2 20.2 92 0.0 50,750 49.4 2005 3,801-8 7,173 68,669 8.9 31.0 19.2-878 -0.1 57,624 42.8 2006-377 -14-989 67,680 7.8 26.4 16.3-13,523-1.6 33,820 61.7 2007 2,649-25 10,311 77,991 8.1 27.7 17.2 1,583 0.2 94,883 34.0 2008-5,336-12 7,450 85,441 8.2 27.7 20.5 7,445 0.7 100,851 28.1 2009-3,422-63 5,397 90,838 8.3 38.8 18.8-1,534-0.1 69,961 24.8 2010-19,823-79 22,759 113,597 12.7 37.7 20.2 14,095 1.6 80,492 29.0 2011-9,793-441 28,879 142,475 13.5 40.6 26.0 21,068 2.0 126,850 18.4 2012-18,682-317 21,040 163,515 14.0 44.1 25.1 12,227 1.0 128,997 13.7 2013-15,960 4,639 13,006 176,522 14.9 46.3 25.2 8,579 0.7 154,681 24.8 2014-18,293 4,334 22,355 198,877 15.3 49.6 25.7 18,761 1.4 159,785 15.7 2015-14,197 3,741 13,828 212,705 15.5 48.4 25.9 15,260 1.1 168,733 17.2 2016-15,774 3,326 10,292 222,997 15.1 45.3 25.1 21,265 1.4 182,401 19.0 2017-16,863 3,688 7,707 230,704 14.4 40.5 23.8 26,732 1.7 207,937 18.7 2018-18,742 4,025 6,118 236,822 13.7 36.8 22.6 32,312 1.9 229,355 19.7 2019-21,258 3,752 7,583 244,405 13.3 33.9 21.5 42,800 2.3 249,079 19.8 2020-23,726 3,287 3,447 247,852 12.6 31.1 20.3 48,504 2.5 266,016 20.4 K-3 (Conclusión)
K-2. Cuenta Corriente, de Capital y Reserva Internacional del Banco de México Trimestral: Escenario Base 2014 (Millones de dólares) Saldo Cuenta Corriente Años Cuenta Corriente Ingresos Egresos Dólares % PIB Suma Mercancías Turismo Remesas Intereses Otros Suma Mercancías Turismo Fletes y S. Intereses Otros 2011-12,556-1.1 399,248 349,375 11,869 22,803 3,475 11,727 411,804 350,843 7,832 10,225 17,688 25,216 I -2,422-0.2 92,634 81,801 3,365 5,110 729 1,629 95,057 79,893 1,676 2,280 3,728 7,480 II -1,700-0.1 103,208 89,283 2,881 6,072 932 4,041 104,907 88,044 1,947 2,615 5,054 7,247 III -5,015-0.4 100,399 88,088 2,572 6,137 911 2,693 105,414 91,968 2,025 2,703 3,729 4,988 IV -3,419-0.3 103,007 90,204 3,051 5,485 903 3,365 106,426 90,939 2,183 2,627 5,178 5,500 2012-15,058-1.3 423,446 370,706 12,739 22,438 2,671 14,891 438,504 370,752 8,449 9,726 20,296 29,282 I -3,327-0.3 102,590 89,609 3,602 5,386 665 3,327 105,917 87,906 1,791 2,327 4,018 9,875 II -1,881-0.2 107,934 94,309 3,037 6,470 716 3,402 109,815 92,941 1,995 2,433 5,762 6,684 III -2,524-0.2 104,238 91,235 2,754 5,414 650 4,186 106,762 92,416 2,206 2,442 4,145 5,554 IV -7,326-0.6 108,683 95,552 3,347 5,168 640 3,976 116,009 97,489 2,457 2,523 6,371 7,169 2013-25,856-2.1 432,081 380,189 13,819 21,892 2,391 13,790 457,936 381,210 9,054 9,755 23,217 34,701 I -7,117-0.6 101,790 88,325 3,864 4,889 657 4,054 108,907 89,347 1,930 2,318 4,374 10,938 II -5,535-0.4 112,328 96,721 3,255 5,941 649 5,763 117,863 97,561 2,060 2,482 7,002 8,758 III -5,659-0.5 107,975 96,265 3,041 5,570 561 2,538 113,634 97,280 2,425 2,500 4,584 6,846 IV -7,545-0.6 109,988 98,877 3,659 5,493 524 1,435 117,532 97,022 2,639 2,456 7,256 8,159 2014-22,909-1.8 453,659 396,519 15,592 22,937 2,415 16,196 476,567 400,687 9,981 11,170 26,650 28,079 I -4,533-0.4 104,274 90,872 4,436 5,459 512 2,994 108,808 92,064 1,982 2,672 4,859 7,230 II e/ -2,120-0.2 118,314 101,116 3,890 6,182 679 6,446 120,434 100,063 2,269 2,712 8,033 7,357 III e/ -10,483-0.8 112,528 99,247 3,317 5,644 637 3,683 123,010 102,646 2,726 2,905 7,652 7,081 IV e/ -5,773-0.4 118,543 105,284 3,949 5,651 587 3,072 124,316 105,914 3,004 2,881 6,105 6,412 Fuente: Banco de México, Indicadores del Sector Externo. e/ Estimación Modelo Prospectivo de la Economía Mexicana MOPEM. (Continúa) K-4
(Continuación) Años!! Cuenta! de! Capital!! Total! Pasivos!! Suma!! Total Pasivos Endeudamiento Externo Neto Inversión Extranjera Sector Sector Banca Banco Suma! Inversión Inversión de Cartera Público Privado Comercial de México! Directa Suma Acciones Dinero Total! Activos! 2011 50,787 61,515 13,075 5,628 8,401-953 0 48,440 23,354 25,086-6,566 31,651-10,728 I 17,695 24,970 8,534-1,054 3,118 6,470 0 16,436 7,102 9,334-1,205 10,539-7,275 II 15,306 19,285 9,015 418 350 8,247 0 10,270 5,304 4,967-1,180 6,147-3,979 III 7,471-705 -10,838 2,901 3,900-17,640 0 10,134 4,464 5,670-1,748 7,418 8,176 IV 10,315 17,965 6,366 3,363 1,033 1,970 0 11,600 6,485 5,115-2,432 7,547-7,650 2012 54,463 88,502 14,357 8,794 8,769-3,206 0 74,145 17,628 56,517 9,877 46,640-34,039 I 23,433 23,753 2,076 4,387 1,045-3,357 0 21,677 6,013 15,664 2,021 13,643-320 II -9,525 20,332 8,701 1,448 1,292 5,962 0 11,631 4,948 6,682 1,034 5,648-29,857 III 18,626 17,034-2,732 434 4,532-7,697 0 19,766 5,400 14,366 1,212 13,155 1,592 IV 21,929 27,383 6,312 2,526 1,900 1,886 0 21,071 1,267 19,804 5,611 14,193-5,454 2013 59,460 101,907 42,591 8,630 18,849 15,112 0 59,316 38,286 21,030-943 21,973-42,447 I 15,530 35,512 18,015 1,234 368 16,413 0 17,497 8,129 9,368 27 9,341-19,983 II 6,845 12,394-4,473-1,101 3,212-6,584 0 16,867 20,062-3,195-4,939 1,744-5,549 III 17,000 22,815 12,529 3,725 8,005 799 0 10,287 3,586 6,701 3,669 3,032-5,816 IV 20,086 31,185 16,520 4,773 7,264 4,483 0 14,665 6,508 8,157 300 7,856-11,099 2014 67,891 101,536 34,072 17,444 11,240 5,388 0 67,464 25,076 42,388 8,407 33,981-33,645 I 10,504 15,171 4,565 7,786 2,267-5,488 0 10,605 5,821 4,784 282 4,503-4,666 II e/ 14,674 19,344 7,200 3,867 1,656 1,677 0 12,144 3,533 8,610 2,677 5,933-4,670 III e/ 22,337 26,180 8,169 1,520 3,287 3,362 0 18,012 6,916 11,096 2,103 8,992-3,844 IV e/ 20,376 40,842 14,138 4,272 4,030 5,837 0 26,704 8,806 17,897 3,345 14,553-20,466 Fuente: Banco de México, Indicadores del Sector Externo. e/ Estimación Modelo Prospectivo de la Economía Mexicana MOPEM. (Continúa) K-5
(Continuación) Años!! Otros Conceptos Banco de México Indicadores Estratégicos de la Balanza de Pagos Errores Ajustes Reserva Internacional Reserva Internacional Transferencia Neta de y Oro-plata y Variación Saldo Como % del Como % de las Como % de la Recursos del Exterior Omisiones Valoración Anual Fin de Año PIB Importaciones Base Monetaria Dólares % PIB 2011-9,793-441 28,879 142,475 12.2 40.6 26.0 21,068 1.8 I -6,287-126 9,112 122,708 10.6 38.4 23.0 4,031 0.3 II -7,193-227 6,641 129,349 10.7 36.7 23.9 2,753 0.2 III 5,767-390 8,613 137,962 11.7 37.5 29.6 10,667 0.9 IV -2,080 302 4,513 142,475 12.5 39.2 26.0 3,618 0.3 2012-18,682-317 21,040 163,515 13.8 44.1 25.1 12,227 1.0 I -12,381-64 7,789 150,264 12.8 42.7 26.6 2,959 0.3 II 18,333-146 7,073 157,337 13.8 42.3 28.2 2,478 0.2 III -13,108-1,551 4,545 161,882 13.7 43.8 28.6 2,873 0.2 IV -11,526 1,444 1,634 163,515 13.1 41.9 25.1 3,917 0.3 2013-15,960 4,639 13,006 176,522 14.0 46.3 25.2 8,579 0.7 I -3,617 1,348 3,447 166,962 13.5 46.7 25.7 3,377 0.3 II 1,818 3,560-432 166,530 13.1 42.7 28.1-116 0.0 III -6,810-1,033 5,563 172,094 13.8 44.2 29.5 3,930 0.3 IV -7,350 763 4,428 176,522 13.8 45.5 25.2 1,387 0.1 2014-18,293 4,334 22,355 198,877 15.3 49.6 25.7 18,761 1.4 I 49-218 6,238 182,759 14.7 49.6 27.8 4,258 0.3 II e/ -2,512 2,468 7,575 190,334 14.8 47.6 28.2 3,804 0.3 III e/ -6,237 988 4,629 194,963 14.8 47.5 30.5 7,334 0.6 IV e/ -9,594 1,096 3,913 198,877 14.6 46.9 25.7 3,365 0.2 Fuente: Elaborado con datos del Banco de México. e/ Estimación Modelo Prospectivo de la Economía Mexicana MOPEM. (Conclusión) K-6
K-3. Resumen Mensual de la Balanza de Pagos: Escenario Base 2014 (Millones de dólares) Meses!! Saldo Principales Rubros de Ingresos y Egresos de la Cuenta Corriente de la Balanza Comercial Balanza Turística Cuenta Exportación Mercancías Importación Mercancías Saldo Ingresos por Turismo Egresos por Turismo Saldo Corriente Dólares Var. % Dólares Var. % Comercial Dólares Var. % Dólares Var. % Turístico 2013-25,856 380,027 2.5 381,210 2.8-1,184 13,949 9.5 9,122 8.0 4,827 Ene -4,854 27,299 0.1 30,153 9.5-2,854 1,231 12.5 716 10.9 515 Feb -1,974 29,091-3.1 29,066-1.5 25 1,210 4.3 569 5.6 642 Mar -289 31,838-1.5 30,128-2.3 1,710 1,443 7.1 653 7.6 790 Abr -2,904 32,729 5.9 34,088 11.8-1,358 1,103 5.2 746 5.2 356 May -2,006 32,845-0.9 33,306 1.5-460 1,028 7.9 672-0.1 356 Jun -625 31,088 2.7 30,168 1.7 920 1,156 11.5 648 5.8 509 Jul -2,961 32,252 6.5 33,651 9.6-1,399 1,209 9.4 826 6.1 382 Ago -1,787 32,677 3.2 32,902 0.8-225 1,044 15.5 844 9.7 199 Sep -911 31,378 7.2 30,726 5.7 651 833 12.0 762 16.0 71 Oct -3,252 35,082 3.4 35,217-1.0-135 997 13.7 844 15.9 153 Nov -2,802 31,679 0.7 31,364-4.1 315 1,163 11.9 840-0.6 324 Dic -1,491 32,067 6.1 30,441 4.2 1,626 1,531 7.0 1,002 13.4 530 2014-22,909 396,397 4.3 400,687 5.1-4,290 15,581 11.7 10,074 10.4 5,506 Ene -4,255 27,052-0.9 30,234 0.3-3,182 1,389 12.9 808 12.8 582 Feb -155 30,462 4.7 29,543 1.6 918 1,377 13.7 607 6.8 769 Mar -124 33,236 4.4 32,287 7.2 949 1,659 15.0 660 1.1 999 Abr -548 34,071 4.1 33,562-1.5 510 1,334 21.0 785 5.2 549 May -926 34,383 4.7 34,251 2.8 132 1,263 22.9 749 11.4 515 Jun e/ -646 32,662 5.1 32,250 6.9 412 1,293 11.8 736 13.6 557 Jul -4,108 33,640 4.3 35,387 5.2-1,747 1,321 9.3 956 15.7 365 Ago -3,566 34,146 4.5 35,350 7.4-1,205 1,114 6.7 934 10.6 180 Sep -2,809 31,461 0.3 31,909 3.8-448 882 5.8 836 9.7 46 Oct -2,809 37,091 5.7 38,185 8.4-1,094 1,043 4.6 898 6.4 144 Nov -2,141 34,415 8.6 34,842 11.1-427 1,226 5.4 987 17.6 239 Dic -823 33,778 5.3 32,886 8.0 892 1,680 9.7 1,118 11.6 562 e/ Empieza estimación Modelo Prospectivo de la Economía Mexicana MOPEM. (Continúa) K-7
(Continuación) Meses!! Principales Rubros de Ingresos y Egresos de la Cuenta Corriente Saldo Banco de México Ingresos Ingresos Egresos Cuenta Reserva Pasivos Activos Remesas Familiares Diversos Conceptos Pago de Intereses y otros de Capital Internacional FMI Internacionales Dólares Var. % Dólares Var. % Dólares Var. % y otros Cambio Saldo y otros Cambio Saldo 2013 21,892-2.4 16,181-7.9 56,866 6.1 38,862 13,006 176,522 3,711 13,150 180,232 Ene 1,486-1.4 1,632 21.3 4,679 5.5 6,848 1,994 165,510 5,776 4,204 171,286 Feb 1,605-10.2 1,482 15.2 4,104 5.4 2,362 388 165,898 5,878 490 171,776 Mar 1,798-14.0 1,597 17.5 4,595 5.3 1,353 1,064 166,962 4,369-445 171,331 Abr 1,940-4.5 2,234 63.3 4,672 4.8 4,309 1,405 168,367 4,366 1,402 172,733 May 2,050-12.5 1,992 48.1 4,738 6.4 768-1,238 167,129 3,001-2,603 170,130 Jun 1,950-7.0 2,186 55.5 4,765 9.8 26-599 166,530 2,404-1,196 168,934 Jul 1,841-1.2 960-37.4 4,784 6.0 5,591 2,630 169,160 3,685 3,911 172,845 Ago 1,901 0.6 1,059-40.8 4,934 6.5 3,336 1,549 170,709 2,845 709 173,554 Sep 1,828 10.0 1,080-28.6 4,932 7.8 2,296 1,385 172,094 2,941 1,481 175,035 Oct 1,912 7.9 766-57.1 4,996 4.5 5,304 2,052 174,146 3,049 2,160 177,195 Nov 1,732 2.3 669-53.4 4,840 3.5 4,808 2,007 176,152 3,072 2,029 179,224 Dic 1,849 8.5 523-62.5 4,828 7.4 1,861 369 176,522 3,711 1,008 180,232 2014 22,937 4.8 18,610 15.0 60,463 6.3 45,264 22,355 198,877 3,155 21,799 202,031 Ene 1,642 10.5 1,294-20.8 4,836 3.4 7,303 3,048 179,570 3,467 2,804 183,037 Feb 1,719 7.1 1,087-26.6 4,194 2.2 1,440 1,285 180,855 2,942 761 183,797 Mar 2,098 16.7 1,125-29.6 4,771 3.8 2,028 1,904 182,759 2,740 1,702 185,499 Abr 1,976 1.9 2,387 6.9 4,922 5.4 3,838 3,289 186,049 2,824 3,374 188,873 May 2,145 4.6 2,497 25.4 5,088 7.4 3,143 2,217 188,266 2,363 1,755 190,628 Jun e/ 2,062 5.7 2,241 2.5 5,072 6.4 2,714 2,069 190,334 2,238 1,944 192,572 Jul 1,872 1.7 1,552 61.7 5,042 5.4 5,560 1,452 191,786 2,788 2,003 194,575 Ago 1,964 3.3 1,459 37.8 5,398 9.4 4,656 1,090 192,876 2,776 1,078 195,652 Sep 1,808-1.1 1,309 21.2 5,416 9.8 4,896 2,087 194,963 2,766 2,077 197,729 Oct 1,964 2.7 1,275 66.4 5,289 5.9 3,919 1,111 196,074 2,926 1,271 199,000 Nov 1,797 3.8 1,127 68.4 5,236 8.2 3,731 1,589 197,663 2,923 1,587 200,587 Dic 1,890 2.2 1,257 140.2 5,201 7.7 2,036 1,213 198,877 3,155 1,445 202,031 e/ Empieza estimación Modelo Prospectivo de la Economía Mexicana MOPEM. Nota: Los saldos mensuales de la cuenta corriente y de la cuenta de capital son estimaciones propias. En la cuenta de capital se incluyen los rubros de errores y omisiones, ajustes oro-plata y valoración. K-8
L. Deuda Externa de México!!!! Cuadro L-1.! Deuda Externa de México clasificada por Sectores Económicos 1980-2020!! Cuadro L-2.! Endeudamiento Externo Neto, Pago de Intereses! e Indicadores del Peso de la Deuda Externa 1980-2020!! Cuadro L-3.! SHCP: Deuda Externa Anual de México clasificada por Sectores,! Tipos de Crédito y Monedas, 2000-2013!! Cuadro L-4.! SHCP: Deuda Externa Trimestral de México clasificada por Sectores,! Tipos de Crédito y Monedas, 2011-2013!!!!!
L-1. Deuda Externa Total de México: Escenario Base 2014-2020 (Millones de dólares) Deuda Externa Deuda externa clasificada por sectores Años Total Sector Público Sector Privado Banca Comercial Banco de México Saldo Var. % % PIB Saldo % PIB Saldo % PIB Saldo % PIB Saldo % PIB 1980 54,426 35.2 19.3 33,813 12.0 16,900 6.0 3,713 1.3 0 0.0 1981 80,998 48.8 23.8 52,961 15.6 21,900 6.4 6,137 1.8 0 0.0 1982 90,103 11.2 54.1 58,874 35.4 23,031 13.8 7,958 4.8 240 0.1 1983 91,339 1.4 46.9 62,556 32.1 20,433 10.5 7,146 3.7 1,204 0.6 1984 96,667 5.8 41.9 69,378 30.1 17,631 7.7 7,225 3.1 2,433 1.1 1985 100,361 3.8 50.4 72,080 36.2 17,054 8.6 8,284 4.2 2,943 1.5 1986 103,480 3.1 73.5 75,351 53.5 16,284 11.6 7,818 5.6 4,028 2.9 1987 107,783 4.2 68.0 81,407 51.4 15,384 9.7 5,873 3.7 5,119 3.2 1988 100,088-7.1 40.5 81,003 32.8 8,015 3.2 6,283 2.5 4,786 1.9 1989 94,443-5.6 33.9 76,059 27.3 6,038 2.2 7,220 2.6 5,126 1.8 1990 106,074 12.3 30.0 77,770 22.0 7,697 2.2 14,098 4.0 6,508 1.8 1991 115,602 9.0 27.6 79,988 19.1 9,886 2.4 18,969 4.5 6,759 1.6 1992 114,508-0.9 23.7 75,755 15.7 13,298 2.8 19,497 4.0 5,957 1.2 1993 126,997 10.9 23.9 78,747 14.8 20,244 3.8 23,210 4.4 4,795 0.9 1994 135,507 6.7 38.4 85,436 24.2 22,075 6.3 24,136 6.8 3,860 1.1 1995 162,403 19.8 49.2 100,934 30.6 23,457 7.1 20,730 6.3 17,282 5.2 1996 153,317-5.6 35.6 98,285 22.8 23,286 5.4 18,468 4.3 13,279 3.1 1997 145,583-5.0 28.2 88,321 17.1 31,350 6.1 16,825 3.3 9,088 1.8 1998 156,461 7.5 31.2 92,295 18.4 39,965 8.0 15,821 3.2 8,380 1.7 1999 158,274 1.2 25.4 92,290 14.8 47,392 7.6 14,124 2.3 4,468 0.7 2000 137,690-13.0 19.6 84,600 12.0 41,887 6.0 11,203 1.6 0 0.0 2001 133,999-2.7 17.7 80,339 10.6 45,179 6.0 8,481 1.1 0 0.0 2002 128,713-3.9 17.8 78,818 10.9 44,245 6.1 5,650 0.8 0 0.0 2003 129,162 0.3 18.1 79,024 11.1 45,164 6.3 4,975 0.7 0 0.0 2004 128,001-0.9 15.8 79,226 9.8 43,005 5.3 5,770 0.7 0 0.0 2005 122,656-4.2 13.4 71,675 7.8 45,433 4.9 5,548 0.6 0 0.0 2006 107,641-12.2 10.7 54,766 5.5 47,536 4.7 5,339 0.5 0 0.0 2007 123,094 14.4 11.1 55,355 5.0 60,432 5.5 7,308 0.7 0 0.0 2008 129,883 5.5 14.3 56,939 6.3 66,817 7.3 6,127 0.7 0 0.0 2009 163,801 26.1 16.7 96,354 9.8 61,229 6.3 6,218 0.6 0 0.0 2010 190,143 16.1 16.8 110,428 9.7 64,707 5.7 15,008 1.3 0 0.0 2011 201,344 5.9 18.0 116,420 10.4 68,650 6.2 16,273 1.5 0 0.0 2012 213,410 6.0 17.1 125,726 10.1 72,025 5.8 15,659 1.3 0 0.0 2013 240,703 12.8 19.5 134,436 10.9 87,709 7.1 18,558 1.5 0 0.0 2014 275,104 14.3 21.0 151,147 11.5 101,736 7.8 22,221 1.7 0 0.0 2015 304,446 10.7 22.2 162,756 11.9 117,777 8.6 23,913 1.7 0 0.0 2016 333,662 9.6 22.8 174,501 11.9 131,732 9.0 27,429 1.9 0 0.0 2017 367,985 10.3 23.2 187,230 11.8 149,267 9.4 31,488 2.0 0 0.0 2018 405,227 10.1 23.8 200,886 11.8 169,186 9.9 35,155 2.1 0 0.0 2019 444,705 9.7 24.3 214,856 11.7 191,994 10.5 37,855 2.1 0 0.0 2020 486,069 9.3 24.8 229,279 11.7 216,856 11.0 39,934 2.0 0 0.0 L-1
L-2. Endeudamiento Externo Neto e Indicadores del Peso de la Deuda Externa: Escenario Base 2014-2020 (Millones de dólares) Endeudamiento Externo Neto Intereses Indicadores Peso Deuda Externa Total Años Neto Sector Sector Banca Banco de Pago Sector Sector Deuda Total Tasa de Intereses Deuda Total Total Público Privado Comercial México Total Público Privado % PIB Interés Exportación Exportación 1980 10,532 3,754 3,750 3,160-132 6,147 4,201 1,946 19.3 11.29 22.3 197.3 1981 27,781 18,282 3,851 5,647 0 9,485 5,939 3,547 23.8 11.71 26.6 227.2 1982 8,920 7,529 2,223-2,269 1,438 12,203 8,240 3,963 54.1 13.54 52.9 390.8 1983 1,834 2,886-2,309 1,415-158 10,103 6,784 3,319 46.9 11.06 61.9 559.6 1984 1,667 2,613-1,760-416 1,229 11,715 8,091 3,624 41.9 12.12 55.4 457.2 1985-923 954-1,231-939 293 10,156 7,321 2,835 50.4 10.12 42.5 420.4 1986 148 1,646-1,481-732 714 8,342 6,124 2,218 73.5 8.06 38.0 471.0 1987 921 3,101-2,654 47 428 8,097 6,015 2,082 68.0 7.51 33.6 446.9 1988-1,570-258 -2,598 1,380-94 8,639 7,258 1,381 40.5 8.63 25.1 291.3 1989-424 -829-2,251 980 1,677 9,278 8,061 1,217 33.9 9.82 21.8 221.5 1990 12,186 6,854 1,313 4,384-365 9,222 7,667 1,555 30.0 8.69 17.8 204.4 1991 11,286 1,754 4,142 5,609-220 9,215 7,342 1,874 27.6 7.97 15.1 189.8 1992 3,611-1,978 5,134 916-460 9,611 7,708 1,902 23.7 8.39 13.0 154.6 1993 13,433 2,664 7,271 4,673-1,175 10,934 8,293 2,642 23.9 8.61 14.1 164.1 1994 7,815 3,619 3,828 1,571-1,203 11,807 7,989 3,818 38.4 8.71 12.8 146.9 1995 26,503 14,446 2,833-4,108 13,333 13,575 9,229 4,347 49.2 8.36 16.6 198.2 1996-2,225-8 2,962-1,655-3,524 13,361 8,680 4,681 35.6 8.71 13.4 153.2 1997-6,707-6,716 5,365-1,869-3,487 12,436 7,443 4,993 28.2 8.54 10.2 119.2 1998 6,571 3,401 5,169-928 -1,072 12,482 7,114 5,368 31.2 7.98 9.0 113.2 1999 1,889 2,588 4,708-1,723-3,685 12,809 7,099 5,710 25.4 8.09 8.2 101.5 2000-5,715-2,975 3,991-2,446-4,286 13,695 7,528 6,167 19.6 9.95 7.2 72.1 2001 1,243 2,126 2,263-3,147 0 12,693 7,053 5,640 17.7 9.47 6.9 72.4 2002-4,217 808-2,061-2,965 0 11,966 6,575 5,391 17.8 9.30 6.4 69.1 2003 2,419 1,871-2,676 3,224 0 11,950 6,831 5,119 18.1 9.25 6.3 68.6 2004 877 1,509-1,975 1,343 0 11,601 6,684 4,916 15.8 9.06 5.4 59.1 2005 5,530-1,344 4,166 2,708 0 12,695 7,390 5,305 13.4 10.35 5.2 50.2 2006-4,206-15,002 7,139 3,657 0 14,731 8,144 6,586 10.7 13.68 5.3 38.5 2007 25,087 6,278 7,375 11,434 0 16,922 8,476 8,446 11.1 13.75 5.5 40.1 2008 9,887 8,925 728 234 0 16,763 8,410 8,353 14.3 12.91 5.0 38.8 2009 10,033 10,432-3,711-3,918 7,229 12,886 6,700 6,186 16.7 7.87 5.0 63.1 2010 45,428 13,669 5,657 29,323-3,221 14,161 7,507 6,653 16.8 7.45 4.3 58.1 2011 13,075 5,628 8,401-953 0 17,688 9,557 8,132 18.0 8.79 4.6 52.8 2012 14,357 8,794 8,769-3,206 0 20,296 11,728 8,568 17.1 9.51 5.1 53.1 2013 42,591 8,630 18,849 15,112 0 23,217 13,264 9,952 19.5 9.65 5.6 58.2 2014 34,072 17,444 11,240 5,388 0 26,650 14,948 11,702 21.0 9.69 6.1 63.2 2015 28,578 11,935 12,685 3,958 0 29,651 16,162 13,489 22.2 9.74 6.2 63.8 2016 28,394 12,387 11,333 4,674 0 32,711 17,415 15,295 22.8 9.80 6.1 62.3 2017 32,494 13,062 13,699 5,734 0 36,439 18,779 17,660 23.2 9.90 5.9 59.4 2018 36,735 14,314 17,496 4,925 0 40,095 20,008 20,087 23.8 9.89 5.7 57.9 2019 38,491 14,383 19,682 4,426 0 43,862 21,314 22,548 24.3 9.86 5.6 56.8 2020 40,449 15,019 21,463 3,966 0 47,767 22,653 25,114 24.8 9.83 5.5 56.3 L-2
L-3. Deuda Externa Total Anual de México clasificada por Sectores, Tipos de Crédito y Monedas, 2000-2013 (Millones de dólares) Concepto! 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 A. SECTOR PUBLICO 84,600 80,339 78,818 79,024 79,226 71,675 54,766 55,355 56,939 96,354 110,428 116,420 125,726 134,436 1. CON ACREEDORES PRIVADOS 39,886 45,793 45,654 51,673 53,510 48,917 40,136 38,518 37,442 66,523 73,810 78,692 87,788 96,480 MERCADO DE CAPITALES 36,091 42,532 42,668 48,806 51,107 46,462 38,558 36,964 34,688 58,731 63,591 68,914 79,394 90,302 Bonos 36,091 42,532 42,668 48,806 51,107 46,462 38,558 36,964 34,688 58,731 63,591 68,914 79,394 90,302 MERCADO BANCARIO 3,795 3,261 2,986 2,867 2,403 2,455 1,578 1,554 2,754 7,791 10,219 9,779 8,395 6,178 Directos 2,102 1,952 1,764 1,120 1,310 964 815 1,096 892 5,708 1,625 2,726 3,511 3,829 Sindicados 1,343 959 1,222 1,747 1,093 1,491 763 457 1,862 2,084 8,594 7,053 4,884 2,349 Papel Comercial C/Garantía Bancaria 350 350 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 2. ACREEDORES MULTILATERALES 16,326 16,043 16,883 17,451 16,703 16,625 8,201 9,155 10,673 17,144 21,134 23,428 25,309 27,350 B I D 5,840 5,974 6,755 7,217 7,473 7,631 4,032 4,603 4,791 7,047 8,779 9,810 10,580 12,202 B I R F 10,486 10,069 10,128 10,234 9,230 8,994 4,168 4,552 5,882 10,097 12,355 13,618 14,729 15,148 3. COMERCIO EXTERIOR 8,097 7,591 7,318 6,161 5,148 3,311 3,139 2,933 3,065 12,288 15,151 14,014 12,312 10,321 Eximbaks 2,994 2,515 2,427 2,238 1,879 1,714 1,679 1,280 1,263 2,217 3,399 4,006 3,949 3,688 Bancos Comerciales 3,776 3,779 3,325 2,626 3,020 1,596 1,461 1,643 1,794 8,932 9,851 8,136 6,707 5,542 Proveedores 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 10 8 1,139 1,902 1,872 1,656 1,092 Sindicados 880 785 785 540 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 Papel Comercial C/Garantía Bancaria 447 512 781 757 249 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 4. DEUDAS REESTRUCTURADAS 19,658 9,999 7,545 1,453 827 450 131 77 77 77 0 0 0 0 Brady's 16,065 7,340 5,573 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 MYRA'S 1,051 723 458 311 156 78 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 Comercio Ext. (Club de París) 14 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 New Money 452 362 260 147 30 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 Otros 2,076 1,574 1,254 996 641 372 131 77 77 77 0 0 0 0 5. PIDIREGAS 633 913 1,418 2,286 3,038 2,372 3,159 4,674 5,683 323 333 286 316 285 6. COMPOSICION TOTAL DEL SECTOR PUBLICO POR MONEDAS 84,600 80,339 78,818 79,024 79,226 71,675 54,766 55,355 56,939 96,354 110,428 116,420 125,726 134,436 Dólar Americano 71,065 69,933 69,804 70,520 71,220 65,480 50,250 44,309 47,851 77,919 90,882 97,048 105,836 111,647 Euro 0 104 744 317 1,355 1,201 1,341 6,888 5,475 10,830 9,421 9,377 9,530 11,489 Canasta de Monedas 4,272 3,979 3,996 3,721 3,293 2,752 1,903 1,538 1,421 367 9 14 18 17 Libra Esterlina 144 140 156 173 186 80 91 1,040 688 1,981 1,920 1,906 1,993 1,369 Yen Japonés 5,878 4,708 3,849 4,013 2,937 1,990 1,006 1,157 1,095 4,541 6,864 6,793 6,847 5,519 Franco Suizo 27 135 173 184 236 171 176 423 410 716 953 910 961 969 Otras 3,214 1,340 96 98 0 0 0 0 0 0 379 371 541 3,426 B. SECTOR PRIVADO NO BANCARIO 41,887 45,178 44,245 45,164 43,005 45,433 47,535 60,432 66,817 61,229 64,707 68,650 72,025 87,709 1. MERCADO DE CAPITALES 20,644 20,186 19,085 18,794 15,419 19,442 19,389 22,680 19,973 21,525 29,997 38,355 50,016 66,856 Bonos 20,644 20,186 19,085 18,794 15,419 19,442 19,389 22,680 19,973 21,525 29,997 38,355 50,016 66,856 2. COMERCIO EXTERIOR 7,480 9,497 3,473 2,556 2,124 1,834 1,438 1,093 1,115 1,099 905 811 225 171 Eximbak 313 691 2,197 1,630 1,797 1,435 1,250 903 939 936 746 656 222 171 Banca Comercial 7,167 8,806 1,276 927 327 399 188 190 177 164 159 154 4 0 3. MERCADO BANCARIO 13,763 15,495 21,687 23,814 25,462 24,157 26,709 36,658 45,728 38,605 33,805 29,484 21,784 20,682 Directos 13,763 15,495 21,687 23,814 25,462 24,157 26,709 36,658 45,728 38,605 33,805 29,484 21,784 20,682 C. SECTOR PRIVADO BANCARIO 11,203 8,481 5,650 4,975 5,770 5,548 5,339 7,308 6,127 6,218 15,008 16,273 15,659 18,558 1. Banca Comercial 7,242 5,496 3,577 3,002 3,975 2,509 2,829 2,860 1,386 1,196 5,570 5,119 2,720 4,372 2. Otros Pasivos con el Público 3,961 2,985 2,074 1,973 1,795 3,039 2,510 4,448 4,741 5,022 9,438 11,154 12,939 14,186 D. TOTAL DEUDA EXTERNA 137,690 133,998 128,713 129,163 128,001 122,656 107,640 123,094 129,883 163,801 190,143 201,344 213,410 240,703 FUENTE: CAMACRO, con datos de la Secretaría de Hacienda y Crédito Público. L-3
L-4. Deuda Externa Total Trimestral de México clasificada por Sectores, Tipos de Crédito y Monedas, 2011-2013 (Millones de dólares) Concepto! 2011 2012 2013 I II III IV I II III IV I II III IV A. SECTOR PUBLICO 110,185 111,130 113,469 116,420 121,081 122,132 123,669 125,726 126,403 125,129 129,518 134,436 1. CON ACREEDORES PRIVADOS 73,631 75,049 77,778 78,692 83,860 85,427 87,162 87,788 88,746 88,121 92,924 96,480 MERCADO DE CAPITALES 63,501 66,750 68,212 68,914 75,002 77,613 79,490 79,394 80,943 81,143 86,021 90,302 Bonos 63,501 66,750 68,212 68,914 75,002 77,613 79,490 79,394 80,943 81,143 86,021 90,302 MERCADO BANCARIO 10,130 8,300 9,566 9,779 8,859 7,815 7,672 8,395 7,802 6,978 6,903 6,178 Directos 1,551 1,226 2,508 2,726 2,572 2,908 2,782 3,511 2,934 2,991 3,432 3,829 Sindicados 8,579 7,074 7,058 7,053 6,287 4,906 4,890 4,884 4,868 3,987 3,471 2,349 Papel Comercial C/Garantía Bancaria 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 2. ACREEDORES MULTILATERALES 21,325 21,635 21,526 23,428 23,249 23,653 23,752 25,309 25,409 25,640 25,556 27,350 B I D 8,699 9,572 9,483 9,810 9,726 10,009 9,962 10,580 10,681 10,679 10,676 12,202 B I R F 12,626 12,063 12,044 13,618 13,524 13,644 13,790 14,729 14,728 14,961 14,880 15,148 3. COMERCIO EXTERIOR 14,726 13,997 13,800 14,014 13,453 12,598 12,373 12,312 11,718 10,938 10,695 10,321 Eximbaks 3,384 3,318 3,482 4,006 3,952 3,814 4,073 3,949 3,840 3,789 3,747 3,688 Bancos Comerciales 9,515 8,924 8,576 8,136 7,825 6,962 6,682 6,707 6,390 5,892 5,681 5,542 Proveedores 1,827 1,756 1,742 1,872 1,677 1,821 1,618 1,656 1,488 1,257 1,267 1,092 Sindicados 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 Papel Comercial C/Garantía Bancaria 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 4. DEUDAS REESTRUCTURADAS 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 Brady's 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 MYRA'S 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 Comercio Ext. (Club de París) 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 New Money 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 Otros 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 5. PIDIREGAS 503 448 364 286 519 455 382 316 530 431 343 285 6. COMPOSICION TOTAL DEL SECTOR PUBLICO POR MONEDAS 110,185 111,130 113,469 116,420 121,081 122,132 123,669 125,726 126,403 125,129 129,518 134,436 Dólar Americano 90,207 91,090 93,860 97,048 101,800 102,080 103,236 105,836 107,617 103,256 106,855 111,647 Euro 9,957 10,062 9,532 9,377 9,631 9,136 9,305 9,530 9,199 9,810 9,529 11,489 Canasta de Monedas 9 11 10 14 13 12 13 18 16 18 17 17 Libra Esterlina 1,968 1,963 1,909 1,906 1,960 1,924 1,980 1,993 1,853 1,876 1,986 1,369 Yen Japonés 6,680 6,576 6,854 6,793 6,335 7,514 7,642 6,847 6,246 5,897 6,753 5,519 Franco Suizo 976 1,036 963 910 942 938 946 961 916 908 971 969 Otras 388 391 341 371 401 528 547 541 557 3,365 3,407 3,426 B. SECTOR PRIVADO NO BANCARIO 64,336 66,766 69,469 68,650 68,262 71,782 72,640 72,025 72,939 75,474 82,994 87,709 1. MERCADO DE CAPITALES 31,323 32,795 37,102 38,355 40,410 39,952 46,470 50,016 51,318 54,266 61,701 66,856 Bonos 31,323 32,795 37,102 38,355 40,410 39,952 46,470 50,016 51,318 54,266 61,701 66,856 2. COMERCIO EXTERIOR 888 862 836 811 786 545 464 225 202 189 188 171 Eximbak 730 706 680 656 639 541 460 222 199 186 188 171 Banca Comercial 158 157 156 154 147 3 4 4 3 3 0 0 3. MERCADO BANCARIO 32,125 33,108 31,531 29,484 27,067 31,286 25,707 21,784 21,419 21,020 21,106 20,682 Directos 32,125 33,108 31,531 29,484 27,067 31,286 25,707 21,784 21,419 21,020 21,106 20,682 C. SECTOR PRIVADO BANCARIO 17,633 19,278 16,822 16,273 16,183 14,976 13,481 15,659 13,087 15,200 13,364 18,558 1. Banca Comercial 7,234 7,442 7,240 5,119 6,081 4,666 3,881 2,720 3,904 3,754 2,931 4,372 2. Otros Pasivos con el Público 10,399 11,835 9,582 11,154 10,101 10,310 9,600 12,939 9,183 11,446 10,433 14,186 D. TOTAL DEUDA EXTERNA 192,154 197,173 199,760 201,344 205,526 208,890 209,790 213,410 212,429 215,804 225,876 240,703 FUENTE: CAMACRO, con datos de la Secretaría de Hacienda y Crédito Público. L-4
M. Finanzas Públicas de México Cuadro M-1. Ingreso Presupuestal del Sector Público 1980-2020 Cuadro M-2. Gasto Neto Presupuestal del Sector Público 1980-2020 Cuadro M-3. Balance Presupuestal del Sector Público 1980-2020 Cuadro M-4. Ley de Ingresos y Presupuesto de Egresos de la Federación para 2013 Cuadro M-5. Ley de Ingresos y Presupuesto de Egresos de la Federación para 2014 Cuadro M-6. Evolución de la Deuda Interna del Gobierno Federal 2013-2014 Cuadro M-7. Evolución de la Deuda Externa del Sector Público 2013-2014 Cuadro M-8. Requerimientos Financieros del Sector Público 1990-2013 Cuadro M-9. Evolución de las Tasa Impositivas en México 1980-2014 Cuadro M-10. Tasas de ISR e IVA en Países Avanzados y Economías Emergentes 2009-2012 Cuadro M-11. Reforma Fiscal 2014
M-1. Ingreso Presupuestal del Sector Público: Escenario Base 2014-2020 (Millones de pesos) Ingreso Presupuestal del Sector Público Sector Petrolero Sector No Petrolero Años Gobierno Federal Organismos Total! Gobierno! Total Pemex Total Tributarios No y Federal!! Suma! Suma ISR IVA IEPS IMP Otros Tributarios Empresas!! 1980 1,150 371 191 181 779 503 468 247 120 31 44 26 35 276 1981 1,524 471 216 255 1,054 681 626 339 159 42 67 20 54 373 1982 2,688 1,090 517 574 1,598 959 852 465 217 61 83 26 107 639 1983 5,679 2,832 1,396 1,436 2,847 1,745 1,562 727 543 151 93 48 183 1,102 1984 9,183 4,278 2,133 2,145 4,904 2,830 2,599 1,213 943 212 154 78 231 2,075 1985 15,336 7,060 3,665 3,395 8,276 4,596 4,183 1,923 1,478 345 327 111 413 3,680 1986 25,057 10,478 6,057 4,421 14,579 8,250 7,482 3,365 2,498 690 688 240 768 6,329 1987 57,062 22,106 8,759 13,347 34,956 19,627 17,545 7,655 6,266 1,585 1,565 474 2,082 15,329 1988 115,507 36,969 16,320 20,649 78,538 47,366 40,108 19,468 14,024 3,611 1,819 1,187 7,258 31,172 1989 141,550 42,835 17,114 25,720 98,715 64,484 53,152 25,909 17,024 4,645 4,006 1,567 11,333 34,231 1990 186,938 56,618 25,501 31,118 130,320 86,593 74,088 32,972 26,636 6,039 6,381 2,060 12,505 43,727 1991 252,818 63,149 25,191 37,958 189,669 139,414 94,690 42,991 32,533 5,759 9,916 3,492 44,724 50,255 1992 296,456 72,505 25,598 46,907 223,951 163,539 114,095 57,945 30,452 5,521 12,884 7,293 49,444 60,412 1993 290,724 76,191 27,930 48,261 214,533 146,552 129,755 69,221 33,125 5,918 12,684 8,808 16,797 67,981 1994 328,798 85,218 32,409 52,809 243,580 167,574 138,541 72,900 38,537 6,168 12,708 8,227 29,033 76,006 1995 418,883 138,997 49,299 89,699 279,886 190,446 152,977 73,706 51,785 7,381 11,145 8,960 37,469 89,440 1996 580,722 206,599 73,353 133,246 374,123 259,320 205,594 97,162 72,110 9,283 14,855 12,185 53,726 114,803 1997 731,991 248,982 85,040 163,941 483,010 339,613 277,732 135,101 97,742 10,967 18,103 15,819 61,881 143,397 1998 783,046 233,063 82,066 150,997 549,983 394,179 342,604 169,476 119,871 14,977 21,488 16,791 51,575 155,804 1999 956,495 286,215 101,166 185,050 670,280 489,299 434,221 216,123 151,184 19,243 27,303 20,369 55,077 180,981 2000 1,187,704 393,138 108,583 284,555 794,566 583,713 515,493 258,754 189,606 15,333 32,861 18,938 68,220 210,854 2001 1,271,377 386,579 103,524 283,055 884,798 656,059 567,682 285,523 208,408 23,500 28,902 21,348 88,378 228,738 2002 1,387,236 410,038 150,032 260,006 977,198 729,347 616,062 318,380 218,442 24,036 27,233 27,972 113,285 247,851 2003 1,600,286 533,421 175,777 357,644 1,066,866 775,341 679,003 337,016 254,433 30,179 26,898 30,478 96,338 291,525 2004 1,771,314 637,360 190,772 446,588 1,133,954 823,623 716,785 345,218 285,023 31,911 29,521 25,113 106,838 310,331 2005 1,947,816 726,537 185,529 541,008 1,221,280 871,498 793,007 384,522 318,432 34,441 26,821 28,792 78,491 349,782 2006 2,263,603 861,279 317,655 543,624 1,402,323 1,015,184 930,686 448,100 380,576 36,976 31,726 33,308 84,498 387,140 2007 2,485,785 880,698 374,840 505,858 1,605,087 1,205,362 1,047,256 527,184 409,013 41,532 32,188 37,339 158,107 399,725 2008 2,860,926 1,054,626 362,531 692,096 1,806,300 1,357,841 1,207,721 626,509 457,248 49,284 35,783 38,897 150,120 448,460 2009 2,817,185 874,164 381,953 492,211 1,943,022 1,508,237 1,125,429 594,796 407,795 47,364 30,196 45,277 382,809 434,784 2010 2,960,443 973,038 385,437 587,601 1,987,405 1,492,412 1,314,282 679,622 504,509 60,617 24,531 45,003 178,130 494,993 2011 3,271,080 1,101,879 395,232 706,647 2,169,201 1,613,595 1,436,715 759,168 537,143 69,246 26,881 44,278 176,880 555,606 2012 3,514,530 1,183,895 463,121 720,774 2,330,634 1,731,760 1,516,951 803,897 579,988 72,953 27,906 32,208 214,809 598,875 2013 3,800,191 1,261,702 482,936 778,766 2,538,489 1,924,585 1,644,313 946,515 556,794 78,572 29,260 33,171 280,272 613,905 2014 4,113,595 1,439,856 558,880 880,976 2,673,739 2,013,089 1,767,580 992,888 598,788 115,042 31,718 29,144 245,509 660,650 2015 4,399,223 1,502,865 578,529 924,336 2,896,358 2,181,900 1,932,065 1,093,464 655,807 119,814 34,444 28,536 249,835 714,458 2016 4,786,129 1,572,808 610,594 962,214 3,213,321 2,429,434 2,165,253 1,233,690 730,199 131,324 37,607 32,433 264,181 783,887 2017 5,357,758 1,700,844 651,570 1,049,274 3,656,914 2,785,919 2,492,281 1,426,592 838,079 147,608 41,895 38,106 293,638 870,995 2018 5,976,387 1,835,831 703,267 1,132,564 4,140,556 3,180,207 2,843,969 1,640,133 954,043 164,730 46,288 38,774 336,238 960,349 2019 6,570,409 1,942,704 754,516 1,188,188 4,627,706 3,577,425 3,196,615 1,855,213 1,067,908 182,370 50,919 40,205 380,811 1,050,280 2020 7,204,737 2,105,766 809,887 1,295,878 5,098,971 3,959,139 3,542,832 2,071,387 1,179,014 196,705 55,186 40,540 416,307 1,139,833 M-1
M-1. Ingreso Presupuestal del Sector Público: Escenario Base 2014-2020 (% del PIB) Ingreso Presupuestal del Sector Público Sector Petrolero Sector No Petrolero Años Gobierno Federal Organismos Total! Gobierno! Total Pemex Federal! Total Tributarios No y Suma!!! Suma ISR IVA IEPS IMP Otros Tributarios Empresas 1980 19.56 6.31 3.24 3.07 13.24 8.55 7.96 4.19 2.04 0.52 0.75 0.45 0.60 4.69 1981 18.91 5.84 2.68 3.16 13.07 8.44 7.77 4.20 1.97 0.52 0.83 0.25 0.67 4.63 1982 20.71 8.40 3.98 4.42 12.31 7.39 6.56 3.58 1.67 0.47 0.64 0.20 0.83 4.92 1983 24.29 12.11 5.97 6.14 12.18 7.46 6.68 3.11 2.32 0.65 0.40 0.21 0.78 4.71 1984 23.82 11.10 5.53 5.56 12.72 7.34 6.74 3.15 2.45 0.55 0.40 0.20 0.60 5.38 1985 24.53 11.29 5.86 5.43 13.24 7.35 6.69 3.08 2.36 0.55 0.52 0.18 0.66 5.89 1986 24.42 10.21 5.90 4.31 14.21 8.04 7.29 3.28 2.43 0.67 0.67 0.23 0.75 6.17 1987 22.51 8.72 3.46 5.26 13.79 7.74 6.92 3.02 2.47 0.63 0.62 0.19 0.82 6.05 1988 22.44 7.18 3.17 4.01 15.26 9.20 7.79 3.78 2.72 0.70 0.35 0.23 1.41 6.06 1989 20.83 6.30 2.52 3.79 14.53 9.49 7.82 3.81 2.51 0.68 0.59 0.23 1.67 5.04 1990 20.41 6.18 2.78 3.40 14.23 9.45 8.09 3.60 2.91 0.66 0.70 0.22 1.37 4.77 1991 21.45 5.36 2.14 3.22 16.10 11.83 8.04 3.65 2.76 0.49 0.84 0.30 3.80 4.26 1992 21.16 5.17 1.83 3.35 15.98 11.67 8.14 4.14 2.17 0.39 0.92 0.52 3.53 4.31 1993 18.52 4.85 1.78 3.07 13.66 9.33 8.26 4.41 2.11 0.38 0.81 0.56 1.07 4.33 1994 18.47 4.79 1.82 2.97 13.69 9.42 7.78 4.10 2.17 0.35 0.71 0.46 1.63 4.27 1995 18.98 6.30 2.23 4.06 12.68 8.63 6.93 3.34 2.35 0.33 0.50 0.41 1.70 4.05 1996 19.23 6.84 2.43 4.41 12.39 8.59 6.81 3.22 2.39 0.31 0.49 0.40 1.78 3.80 1997 19.24 6.54 2.23 4.31 12.69 8.92 7.30 3.55 2.57 0.29 0.48 0.42 1.63 3.77 1998 17.07 5.08 1.79 3.29 11.99 8.59 7.47 3.70 2.61 0.33 0.47 0.37 1.12 3.40 1999 17.27 5.17 1.83 3.34 12.10 8.83 7.84 3.90 2.73 0.35 0.49 0.37 0.99 3.27 2000 18.37 6.08 1.68 4.40 12.29 9.03 7.97 4.00 2.93 0.24 0.51 0.29 1.06 3.26 2001 18.78 5.71 1.53 4.18 13.07 9.69 8.38 4.22 3.08 0.35 0.43 0.32 1.31 3.38 2002 19.37 5.73 2.10 3.63 13.65 10.19 8.60 4.45 3.05 0.34 0.38 0.39 1.58 3.46 2003 20.79 6.93 2.28 4.65 13.86 10.08 8.82 4.38 3.31 0.39 0.35 0.40 1.25 3.79 2004 20.38 7.33 2.19 5.14 13.04 9.47 8.25 3.97 3.28 0.37 0.34 0.29 1.23 3.57 2005 20.63 7.70 1.97 5.73 12.94 9.23 8.40 4.07 3.37 0.36 0.28 0.30 0.83 3.70 2006 21.48 8.17 3.01 5.16 13.31 9.63 8.83 4.25 3.61 0.35 0.30 0.32 0.80 3.67 2007 21.80 7.72 3.29 4.44 14.08 10.57 9.18 4.62 3.59 0.36 0.28 0.33 1.39 3.51 2008 23.34 8.60 2.96 5.65 14.74 11.08 9.85 5.11 3.73 0.40 0.29 0.32 1.22 3.66 2009 23.29 7.23 3.16 4.07 16.07 12.47 9.31 4.92 3.37 0.39 0.25 0.37 3.17 3.60 2010 22.29 7.33 2.90 4.42 14.96 11.24 9.90 5.12 3.80 0.46 0.18 0.34 1.34 3.73 2011 22.48 7.57 2.72 4.86 14.91 11.09 9.87 5.22 3.69 0.48 0.18 0.30 1.22 3.82 2012 22.51 7.58 2.97 4.62 14.93 11.09 9.71 5.15 3.71 0.47 0.18 0.21 1.38 3.84 2013 23.60 7.83 3.00 4.84 15.76 11.95 10.21 5.88 3.46 0.49 0.18 0.21 1.74 3.81 2014 24.14 8.45 3.28 5.17 15.69 11.81 10.37 5.83 3.51 0.68 0.19 0.17 1.44 3.88 2015 24.05 8.22 3.16 5.05 15.83 11.93 10.56 5.98 3.59 0.66 0.19 0.16 1.37 3.91 2016 24.05 7.90 3.07 4.84 16.15 12.21 10.88 6.20 3.67 0.66 0.19 0.16 1.33 3.94 2017 24.46 7.77 2.98 4.79 16.70 12.72 11.38 6.51 3.83 0.67 0.19 0.17 1.34 3.98 2018 24.82 7.62 2.92 4.70 17.19 13.20 11.81 6.81 3.96 0.68 0.19 0.16 1.40 3.99 2019 25.00 7.39 2.87 4.52 17.61 13.61 12.16 7.06 4.06 0.69 0.19 0.15 1.45 4.00 2020 25.24 7.38 2.84 4.54 17.86 13.87 12.41 7.26 4.13 0.69 0.19 0.14 1.46 3.99 M-2
M-1. Ingreso Presupuestal del Sector Público: Escenario Base 2014-2020 (Variación % anual real) Ingreso Presupuestal del Sector Público Sector Petrolero Sector No Petrolero Años Gobierno Federal Organismos Total! Gobierno!! Total Pemex Total Tributarios No y Federal! Suma!! Suma ISR IVA IEPS IMP Otros Tributarios Empresas 1980 21.1 53.9 15.1 139.2 9.9 12.8 11.3 12.7 29.7-23.8 28.4-23.2 36.5 5.1 1981 3.6-0.9-11.3 10.1 5.7 5.7 4.6 7.4 3.4 5.8 17.9-40.3 21.3 5.7 1982 10.9 45.7 50.4 41.7-4.6-11.4-14.4-13.8-14.0-7.3-22.2-18.3 24.1 7.8 1983 4.7 28.7 33.8 24.1-11.7-9.9-9.2-22.5 23.8 22.1-44.2-8.7-15.3-14.5 1984-2.3-8.7-7.6-9.7 4.1-2.0 0.6 0.9 5.0-15.6 0.0-2.6-23.8 13.8 1985 5.9 4.6 8.9 0.3 7.0 3.0 2.0 0.4-0.6 3.3 34.8-9.3 13.3 12.5 1986-12.3-20.3-11.3-30.1-5.4-3.6-4.0-6.0-9.3 7.6 13.0 16.2 0.0-7.7 1987-1.8-9.0-37.6 30.2 3.4 2.6 1.2-1.9 8.2-1.0-1.9-14.8 16.9 4.5 1988-5.5-21.9-13.0-27.8 4.9 12.7 6.7 18.7 4.5 6.4-45.7 16.9 62.8-5.0 1989 2.1-3.5-12.6 3.8 4.7 13.4 10.4 10.9 1.1 7.2 83.6 10.1 30.1-8.5 1990 4.3 4.4 17.6-4.5 4.2 6.0 10.1 0.5 23.5 2.7 25.8 3.7-12.9 0.9 1991 10.3-9.1-19.5-0.6 18.7 31.3 4.2 6.3-0.4-22.3 26.7 38.2 191.6-6.3 1992 1.5-0.6-12.0 7.0 2.2 1.6 4.3 16.7-19.0-17.0 12.5 80.8-4.3 4.1 1993-10.6-4.3-0.6-6.3-12.7-18.3 3.6 8.8-0.9-2.3-10.3 10.0-69.0 2.5 1994 5.7 4.6 8.5 2.3 6.1 6.9-0.2-1.5 8.8-2.6-6.3-12.7 61.6 4.5 1995-5.6 20.8 12.7 25.8-14.9-15.8-18.2-25.1-0.5-11.4-35.0-19.3-4.4-12.8 1996 3.2 10.6 10.7 10.5-0.5 1.3 0.0-1.9 3.6-6.4-0.8 1.2 6.7-4.5 1997 4.5-0.1-3.9 2.0 7.0 8.6 12.0 15.3 12.4-2.1 1.0 7.6-4.5 3.5 1998-7.7-19.3-16.8-20.6-1.8 0.1 6.4 8.2 5.8 17.8 2.4-8.4-28.1-6.3 1999 4.8 5.3 5.7 5.1 4.5 6.5 8.7 9.4 8.2 10.2 9.0 4.1-8.4-0.4 2000 13.4 25.5-2.0 40.4 8.3 9.0 8.4 9.3 14.5-27.2 9.9-15.1 13.1 6.4 2001 0.6-7.6-10.4-6.5 4.7 5.7 3.5 3.7 3.3 44.1-17.3 6.0 21.8 2.0 2002 3.9 1.0 38.0-12.5 5.2 5.8 3.3 6.2-0.2-2.6-10.3 24.7 22.0 3.2 2003 10.3 24.4 12.1 31.6 4.4 1.7 5.4 1.2 11.4 20.1-5.5 4.2-18.7 12.5 2004 5.7 14.1 3.7 19.3 1.5 1.5 0.8-2.2 7.0 1.0 4.8-21.3 5.9 1.7 2005 5.7 9.6-6.5 16.5 3.6 1.8 6.4 7.1 7.4 3.8-12.6 10.2-29.4 8.4 2006 12.1 14.4 65.2-3.0 10.8 12.4 13.3 12.5 15.3 3.6 14.1 11.6 3.9 6.8 2007 5.6-1.6 13.5-10.5 10.1 14.2 8.2 13.2 3.4 8.0-2.4 7.8 80.0-0.7 2008 9.5 13.9-8.0 30.1 7.0 7.2 9.7 13.0 6.3 12.9 5.7-0.9-9.7 6.7 2009-6.5-21.3 0.1-32.5 2.2 5.5-11.5-9.8-15.3-8.7-19.9 10.5 142.2-7.9 2010 0.9 6.9-3.1 14.6-1.8-5.0 12.1 9.7 18.8 22.9-22.0-4.6-55.3 9.3 2011 6.9 9.5-0.8 16.3 5.6 4.6 5.7 8.0 3.0 10.5 6.0-4.9-4.0 8.5 2012 3.2 3.2 12.5-2.0 3.2 3.1 1.4 1.7 3.7 1.2-0.3-30.1 16.6 3.5 2013 4.2 2.7 0.5 4.1 4.9 7.1 4.4 13.4-7.5 3.8 1.0-0.8 25.7-1.2 2014 4.1 9.7 11.3 8.8 1.3 0.6 3.3 0.9 3.4 40.8 4.2-15.5-15.8 3.5 2015 3.2 0.7-0.1 1.2 4.5 4.6 5.4 6.2 5.7 0.5 4.8-5.5-1.8 4.3 2016 4.9 1.0 1.8 0.4 7.0 7.4 8.1 8.8 7.4 5.7 5.3 9.6 2.0 5.8 2017 7.6 3.9 2.6 4.8 9.4 10.2 10.6 11.1 10.3 8.0 7.1 12.9 6.8 6.8 2018 7.2 3.7 3.7 3.7 8.8 9.7 9.6 10.4 9.4 7.2 6.1-2.2 10.0 5.9 2019 5.8 1.9 3.3 1.0 7.6 8.3 8.2 8.9 7.8 6.6 5.9-0.2 9.0 5.3 2020 5.7 4.5 3.5 5.2 6.2 6.7 6.9 7.7 6.5 4.0 4.5-2.8 5.4 4.6 M-3
M-1. Ingreso Presupuestal del Sector Público: Escenario Básico 2014-2020 (Estructura Porcentual) Ingreso Presupuestal del Sector Público Sector Petrolero Sector No Petrolero Años Gobierno Federal Organismos Total! Gobierno! Total Pemex Total Tributarios No y! Federal! Suma!!! Suma ISR IVA IEPS IMP Otros Tributarios Empresas 1980 100.0 32.3 16.6 15.7 67.7 43.7 40.7 21.4 10.4 2.7 3.9 2.3 3.0 24.0 1981 100.0 30.9 14.2 16.7 69.1 44.6 41.1 22.2 10.4 2.7 4.4 1.3 3.6 24.5 1982 100.0 40.6 19.2 21.3 59.4 35.7 31.7 17.3 8.1 2.3 3.1 1.0 4.0 23.8 1983 100.0 49.9 24.6 25.3 50.1 30.7 27.5 12.8 9.6 2.7 1.6 0.8 3.2 19.4 1984 100.0 46.6 23.2 23.4 53.4 30.8 28.3 13.2 10.3 2.3 1.7 0.8 2.5 22.6 1985 100.0 46.0 23.9 22.1 54.0 30.0 27.3 12.5 9.6 2.2 2.1 0.7 2.7 24.0 1986 100.0 41.8 24.2 17.6 58.2 32.9 29.9 13.4 10.0 2.8 2.7 1.0 3.1 25.3 1987 100.0 38.7 15.4 23.4 61.3 34.4 30.7 13.4 11.0 2.8 2.7 0.8 3.6 26.9 1988 100.0 32.0 14.1 17.9 68.0 41.0 34.7 16.9 12.1 3.1 1.6 1.0 6.3 27.0 1989 100.0 30.3 12.1 18.2 69.7 45.6 37.5 18.3 12.0 3.3 2.8 1.1 8.0 24.2 1990 100.0 30.3 13.6 16.6 69.7 46.3 39.6 17.6 14.2 3.2 3.4 1.1 6.7 23.4 1991 100.0 25.0 10.0 15.0 75.0 55.1 37.5 17.0 12.9 2.3 3.9 1.4 17.7 19.9 1992 100.0 24.5 8.6 15.8 75.5 55.2 38.5 19.5 10.3 1.9 4.3 2.5 16.7 20.4 1993 100.0 26.2 9.6 16.6 73.8 50.4 44.6 23.8 11.4 2.0 4.4 3.0 5.8 23.4 1994 100.0 25.9 9.9 16.1 74.1 51.0 42.1 22.2 11.7 1.9 3.9 2.5 8.8 23.1 1995 100.0 33.2 11.8 21.4 66.8 45.5 36.5 17.6 12.4 1.8 2.7 2.1 8.9 21.4 1996 100.0 35.6 12.6 22.9 64.4 44.7 35.4 16.7 12.4 1.6 2.6 2.1 9.3 19.8 1997 100.0 34.0 11.6 22.4 66.0 46.4 37.9 18.5 13.4 1.5 2.5 2.2 8.5 19.6 1998 100.0 29.8 10.5 19.3 70.2 50.3 43.8 21.6 15.3 1.9 2.7 2.1 6.6 19.9 1999 100.0 29.9 10.6 19.3 70.1 51.2 45.4 22.6 15.8 2.0 2.9 2.1 5.8 18.9 2000 100.0 33.1 9.1 24.0 66.9 49.1 43.4 21.8 16.0 1.3 2.8 1.6 5.7 17.8 2001 100.0 30.4 8.1 22.3 69.6 51.6 44.7 22.5 16.4 1.8 2.3 1.7 7.0 18.0 2002 100.0 29.6 10.8 18.7 70.4 52.6 44.4 23.0 15.7 1.7 2.0 2.0 8.2 17.9 2003 100.0 33.3 11.0 22.3 66.7 48.5 42.4 21.1 15.9 1.9 1.7 1.9 6.0 18.2 2004 100.0 36.0 10.8 25.2 64.0 46.5 40.5 19.5 16.1 1.8 1.7 1.4 6.0 17.5 2005 100.0 37.3 9.5 27.8 62.7 44.7 40.7 19.7 16.3 1.8 1.4 1.5 4.0 18.0 2006 100.0 38.0 14.0 24.0 62.0 44.8 41.1 19.8 16.8 1.6 1.4 1.5 3.7 17.1 2007 100.0 35.4 15.1 20.4 64.6 48.5 42.1 21.2 16.5 1.7 1.3 1.5 6.4 16.1 2008 100.0 36.9 12.7 24.2 63.1 47.5 42.2 21.9 16.0 1.7 1.3 1.4 5.2 15.7 2009 100.0 31.0 13.6 17.5 69.0 53.5 39.9 21.1 14.5 1.7 1.1 1.6 13.6 15.4 2010 100.0 32.9 13.0 19.8 67.1 50.4 44.4 23.0 17.0 2.0 0.8 1.5 6.0 16.7 2011 100.0 33.7 12.1 21.6 66.3 49.3 43.9 23.2 16.4 2.1 0.8 1.4 5.4 17.0 2012 100.0 33.7 13.2 20.5 66.3 49.3 43.2 22.9 16.5 2.1 0.8 0.9 6.1 17.0 2013 100.0 33.2 12.7 20.5 66.8 50.6 43.3 24.9 14.7 2.1 0.8 0.9 7.4 16.2 2014 100.0 35.0 13.6 21.4 65.0 48.9 43.0 24.1 14.6 2.8 0.8 0.7 6.0 16.1 2015 100.0 34.2 13.2 21.0 65.8 49.6 43.9 24.9 14.9 2.7 0.8 0.6 5.7 16.2 2016 100.0 32.9 12.8 20.1 67.1 50.8 45.2 25.8 15.3 2.7 0.8 0.7 5.5 16.4 2017 100.0 31.7 12.2 19.6 68.3 52.0 46.5 26.6 15.6 2.8 0.8 0.7 5.5 16.3 2018 100.0 30.7 11.8 19.0 69.3 53.2 47.6 27.4 16.0 2.8 0.8 0.6 5.6 16.1 2019 100.0 29.6 11.5 18.1 70.4 54.4 48.7 28.2 16.3 2.8 0.8 0.6 5.8 16.0 2020 100.0 29.2 11.2 18.0 70.8 55.0 49.2 28.8 16.4 2.7 0.8 0.6 5.8 15.8 M-4
M-2. Gasto Neto Presupuestal del Sector Público: Escenario Base 2014-2020 (Millones de pesos) Gasto Programable Gasto Neto Presupuestal del Sector Público Gasto No Programable Años Total! Gasto Corriente Gasto de Capital Costo Financiero Participación Adefas Sub Total Servicios Otros Inversión Inversión Sub Total Pago de IPAB y a Estados y Ajenas! Suma! Suma! Suma! Personales Gastos Física Financiera Intereses Otros y Municipios Netas! 1980 1,401 1,072 705 268 437 368 355 13 329 145 145 0 102 82 1981 2,251 1,672 998 385 613 674 657 17 579 287 287 0 153 139 1982 4,066 2,428 1,592 676 916 836 790 46 1,638 1,157 1,157 0 218 263 1983 6,991 3,932 2,817 1,026 1,791 1,116 1,040 76 3,059 2,265 2,265 0 499 294 1984 11,070 6,139 4,520 1,661 2,859 1,620 1,504 116 4,931 3,658 3,658 0 843 430 1985 18,698 11,259 7,877 2,725 5,152 3,382 2,561 820 7,440 5,554 5,554 0 1,275 610 1986 35,729 19,264 15,297 4,440 10,857 3,966 3,222 744 16,149 13,389 13,389 0 2,042 717 1987 84,401 39,611 29,725 11,089 18,636 9,886 7,876 2,010 44,790 38,375 38,375 0 5,133 1,282 1988 151,485 71,250 56,356 20,019 36,338 14,894 12,797 2,097 77,726 66,938 66,938 0 11,132-345 1989 167,894 85,711 69,423 26,028 43,395 16,288 14,186 2,101 82,183 67,109 67,109 0 14,499 575 1990 203,452 112,868 85,468 33,102 52,366 27,400 22,843 4,557 90,584 67,118 67,118 0 20,717 2,749 1991 226,368 144,259 109,338 44,979 64,358 34,922 31,836 3,085 82,109 48,227 48,227 0 26,741 7,142 1992 250,265 172,333 130,460 56,289 74,171 41,873 37,833 4,040 77,933 40,847 40,847 0 32,972 4,113 1993 282,178 201,968 163,163 71,720 91,443 38,805 36,080 2,725 80,210 33,333 33,333 0 37,692 9,185 1994 328,191 244,630 192,270 85,378 106,892 52,360 47,771 4,589 83,560 32,920 32,920 0 41,608 9,033 1995 422,057 282,615 223,357 116,925 106,432 59,258 51,891 7,367 139,442 84,769 69,769 15,000 49,159 5,514 1996 583,982 396,132 303,020 156,995 146,025 93,113 75,884 17,229 187,850 110,463 89,401 21,062 70,901 6,487 1997 751,526 516,317 405,675 216,821 188,854 110,642 101,055 9,587 235,164 130,187 90,401 39,786 94,529 10,448 1998 830,610 595,276 476,414 265,733 210,682 118,861 112,217 6,645 235,247 111,264 101,158 10,107 113,578 10,405 1999 1,009,346 704,684 575,623 337,176 238,448 129,061 117,367 11,694 304,661 164,346 140,554 23,792 140,671-356 2000 1,248,157 860,920 714,572 392,122 322,450 146,349 139,356 6,992 387,237 201,017 140,499 60,518 178,136 8,084 2001 1,311,670 925,257 774,389 423,009 351,381 150,868 141,276 9,592 386,413 188,062 148,212 39,850 196,931 1,419 2002 1,459,951 1,060,772 862,714 478,172 384,542 198,058 146,276 51,782 399,179 178,375 134,392 43,983 214,910 5,895 2003 1,648,243 1,216,023 1,006,575 506,355 500,220 209,448 186,830 22,618 432,220 190,863 160,452 30,411 225,228 16,129 2004 1,792,297 1,317,011 1,044,632 517,897 526,735 272,379 227,633 44,745 475,286 206,830 161,895 44,935 239,890 28,565 2005 1,958,012 1,458,540 1,171,191 557,422 613,769 287,350 234,545 52,805 499,472 210,186 182,731 27,455 278,892 10,393 2006 2,255,221 1,656,938 1,321,397 610,652 710,745 335,541 273,340 62,201 598,283 250,065 211,465 38,600 329,337 18,881 2007 2,482,504 1,894,953 1,489,976 653,560 836,416 404,977 338,764 66,213 587,551 238,956 210,943 28,013 332,758 15,837 2008 2,872,608 2,210,197 1,678,214 709,820 968,393 531,983 373,961 158,022 662,411 227,113 197,070 30,043 423,455 11,844 2009 3,088,877 2,436,549 1,829,909 765,431 1,064,478 606,640 549,325 57,315 652,328 262,813 231,736 31,076 375,717 13,798 2010 3,333,948 2,618,907 1,958,839 800,072 1,158,767 660,069 622,501 37,568 715,041 255,755 242,034 13,721 437,328 21,958 2011 3,631,316 2,860,941 2,157,393 861,401 1,295,992 703,548 650,135 53,414 770,375 273,931 258,485 15,446 477,256 19,187 2012 3,920,305 3,102,198 2,360,695 926,102 1,434,593 741,503 680,976 60,528 818,107 305,119 291,789 13,330 494,265 18,724 2013 4,178,322 3,316,609 2,440,772 963,100 1,477,671 875,837 735,501 140,337 861,713 314,551 300,846 13,705 532,456 14,706 2014 4,737,412 3,806,624 2,828,705 1,026,374 1,802,331 977,919 863,478 114,441 930,788 371,072 357,045 14,027 539,946 19,770 2015 4,991,587 4,000,222 2,976,632 1,099,757 1,876,875 1,023,591 899,744 123,847 991,364 424,096 409,949 14,148 544,037 23,231 2016 5,366,201 4,315,732 3,203,549 1,198,266 2,005,283 1,112,183 975,322 136,861 1,050,468 482,381 468,037 14,344 542,619 25,469 2017 5,920,590 4,734,627 3,496,407 1,325,436 2,170,971 1,238,220 1,077,731 160,489 1,185,962 551,335 536,619 14,716 605,500 29,127 2018 6,493,919 5,176,824 3,810,028 1,459,971 2,350,056 1,366,796 1,181,193 185,603 1,317,095 626,483 611,287 15,196 659,063 31,549 2019 7,131,280 5,704,821 4,149,866 1,595,642 2,554,224 1,554,955 1,346,560 208,395 1,426,459 706,786 691,097 15,688 685,774 33,899 2020 7,821,424 6,242,316 4,551,380 1,742,125 2,809,256 1,690,936 1,459,671 231,265 1,579,108 793,198 776,975 16,222 749,653 36,258 M-5
M-2. Gasto Neto Presupuestal del Sector Público: Escenario Básico 2014-2020 (% del PIB) Gasto Programable Gasto Neto Presupuestal del Sector Público Gasto No Programable Años Total! Gasto Corriente Gasto de Capital Costo Financiero Participación Adefas Sub Total Servicios Otros Inversión Inversión Sub Total Pago de IPAB y a Estados y Ajenas! Suma! Suma! Suma! Personales Gastos Física Financiera Intereses Otros y Municipios Netas!! 1980 23.82 18.23 11.98 4.55 7.43 6.25 6.03 0.22 5.59 2.46 2.46 0.00 1.74 1.39 1981 27.92 20.74 12.38 4.77 7.61 8.36 8.15 0.21 7.18 3.56 3.56 0.00 1.90 1.73 1982 31.32 18.70 12.26 5.20 7.06 6.44 6.09 0.35 12.62 8.91 8.91 0.00 1.68 2.03 1983 29.90 16.82 12.05 4.39 7.66 4.77 4.45 0.32 13.08 9.69 9.69 0.00 2.14 1.26 1984 28.72 15.93 11.72 4.31 7.42 4.20 3.90 0.30 12.79 9.49 9.49 0.00 2.19 1.12 1985 29.91 18.01 12.60 4.36 8.24 5.41 4.10 1.31 11.90 8.88 8.88 0.00 2.04 0.98 1986 34.82 18.77 14.91 4.33 10.58 3.86 3.14 0.73 15.74 13.05 13.05 0.00 1.99 0.70 1987 33.29 15.63 11.73 4.37 7.35 3.90 3.11 0.79 17.67 15.14 15.14 0.00 2.02 0.51 1988 29.43 13.84 10.95 3.89 7.06 2.89 2.49 0.41 15.10 13.01 13.01 0.00 2.16-0.07 1989 24.71 12.62 10.22 3.83 6.39 2.40 2.09 0.31 12.10 9.88 9.88 0.00 2.13 0.08 1990 22.21 12.32 9.33 3.61 5.72 2.99 2.49 0.50 9.89 7.33 7.33 0.00 2.26 0.30 1991 19.21 12.24 9.28 3.82 5.46 2.96 2.70 0.26 6.97 4.09 4.09 0.00 2.27 0.61 1992 17.86 12.30 9.31 4.02 5.29 2.99 2.70 0.29 5.56 2.92 2.92 0.00 2.35 0.29 1993 17.97 12.86 10.39 4.57 5.82 2.47 2.30 0.17 5.11 2.12 2.12 0.00 2.40 0.58 1994 18.44 13.75 10.80 4.80 6.01 2.94 2.68 0.26 4.70 1.85 1.85 0.00 2.34 0.51 1995 19.12 12.81 10.12 5.30 4.82 2.69 2.35 0.33 6.32 3.84 3.16 0.68 2.23 0.25 1996 19.34 13.12 10.03 5.20 4.84 3.08 2.51 0.57 6.22 3.66 2.96 0.70 2.35 0.21 1997 19.75 13.57 10.66 5.70 4.96 2.91 2.66 0.25 6.18 3.42 2.38 1.05 2.48 0.27 1998 18.11 12.98 10.39 5.79 4.59 2.59 2.45 0.14 5.13 2.43 2.21 0.22 2.48 0.23 1999 18.22 12.72 10.39 6.09 4.30 2.33 2.12 0.21 5.50 2.97 2.54 0.43 2.54-0.01 2000 19.31 13.32 11.05 6.07 4.99 2.26 2.16 0.11 5.99 3.11 2.17 0.94 2.76 0.13 2001 19.37 13.67 11.44 6.25 5.19 2.23 2.09 0.14 5.71 2.78 2.19 0.59 2.91 0.02 2002 20.39 14.81 12.05 6.68 5.37 2.77 2.04 0.72 5.57 2.49 1.88 0.61 3.00 0.08 2003 21.42 15.80 13.08 6.58 6.50 2.72 2.43 0.29 5.62 2.48 2.08 0.40 2.93 0.21 2004 20.62 15.15 12.02 5.96 6.06 3.13 2.62 0.51 5.47 2.38 1.86 0.52 2.76 0.33 2005 20.74 15.45 12.40 5.90 6.50 3.04 2.48 0.56 5.29 2.23 1.94 0.29 2.95 0.11 2006 21.40 15.72 12.54 5.79 6.74 3.18 2.59 0.59 5.68 2.37 2.01 0.37 3.13 0.18 2007 21.77 16.62 13.07 5.73 7.33 3.55 2.97 0.58 5.15 2.10 1.85 0.25 2.92 0.14 2008 23.44 18.03 13.69 5.79 7.90 4.34 3.05 1.29 5.40 1.85 1.61 0.25 3.45 0.10 2009 25.54 20.15 15.13 6.33 8.80 5.02 4.54 0.47 5.39 2.17 1.92 0.26 3.11 0.11 2010 25.10 19.72 14.75 6.02 8.72 4.97 4.69 0.28 5.38 1.93 1.82 0.10 3.29 0.17 2011 24.96 19.66 14.83 5.92 8.91 4.84 4.47 0.37 5.29 1.88 1.78 0.11 3.28 0.13 2012 25.11 19.87 15.12 5.93 9.19 4.75 4.36 0.39 5.24 1.95 1.87 0.09 3.17 0.12 2013 25.95 20.59 15.16 5.98 9.18 5.44 4.57 0.87 5.35 1.95 1.87 0.09 3.31 0.09 2014 27.80 22.33 16.60 6.02 10.58 5.74 5.07 0.67 5.46 2.18 2.09 0.08 3.17 0.12 2015 27.29 21.87 16.27 6.01 10.26 5.60 4.92 0.68 5.42 2.32 2.24 0.08 2.97 0.13 2016 26.97 21.69 16.10 6.02 10.08 5.59 4.90 0.69 5.28 2.42 2.35 0.07 2.73 0.13 2017 27.03 21.62 15.97 6.05 9.91 5.65 4.92 0.73 5.42 2.52 2.45 0.07 2.76 0.13 2018 26.96 21.50 15.82 6.06 9.76 5.68 4.90 0.77 5.47 2.60 2.54 0.06 2.74 0.13 2019 27.14 21.71 15.79 6.07 9.72 5.92 5.12 0.79 5.43 2.69 2.63 0.06 2.61 0.13 2020 27.40 21.87 15.94 6.10 9.84 5.92 5.11 0.81 5.53 2.78 2.72 0.06 2.63 0.13 M-6
M-2. Gasto Neto Presupuestal del Sector Público: Escenario Base 2014-2020 (Variación % anual real) Gasto Programable Gasto Neto Presupuestal del Sector Público Gasto No Programable Años Gasto Corriente Gasto de Capital Costo Financiero Participación Adefas Total! Sub Total Servicios Otros Inversión Inversión Sub Total Pago de IPAB y a Estados y Ajenas! Suma! Suma! Suma! Personales Gastos Física Financiera Intereses Otros y Municipios Netas!! 1980 20.8 16.1 17.8 8.5 24.4 12.8 37.9-81.0 39.3 21.3 21.3 0.0 64.2 50.4 1981 25.6 21.9 10.7 12.4 9.7 43.2 44.8-0.4 37.7 54.9 54.9 0.0 17.1 33.0 1982 13.7-8.6 0.4 10.5-6.0-21.9-24.3 72.6 78.0 153.8 153.8 0.0-10.2 18.8 1983-14.8-19.8-12.3-24.8-3.2-33.9-34.8-18.0-7.5-3.0-3.0 0.0 13.4-44.6 1984-4.3-5.6-3.0-2.1-3.5-12.2-12.6-7.7-2.6-2.4-2.4 0.0 2.0-11.7 1985 7.1 16.3 10.5 4.0 14.2 32.4 8.0 349.4-4.4-3.7-3.7 0.0-4.1-10.1 1986 2.6-8.1 4.3-12.5 13.2-37.0-32.5-51.3 16.6 29.4 29.4 0.0-14.0-36.9 1987 1.9-11.3-16.2 7.7-26.0 7.5 5.4 16.5 19.6 23.6 23.6 0.0 8.4-22.9 1988-16.2-16.0-11.5-15.7-9.0-29.7-24.1-51.3-19.0-18.6-18.6 0.0 1.3-112.6 1989-7.6 0.2 2.6 8.3-0.5-8.9-7.6-16.5-11.9-16.5-16.5 0.0 8.5-239.0 1990-4.3 4.0-2.8 0.4-4.7 32.8 27.1 71.2-13.0-21.0-21.0 0.0 12.8 277.5 1991-9.3 4.2 4.3 10.8 0.2 3.9 13.6-44.8-26.1-41.4-41.4 0.0 5.2 111.8 1992-4.3 3.4 3.3 8.3-0.2 3.8 2.9 13.4-17.8-26.7-26.7 0.0 6.7-50.1 1993 2.7 6.8 14.0 16.1 12.3-15.6-13.1-38.5-6.2-25.6-25.6 0.0 4.2 103.5 1994 8.7 13.2 10.2 11.3 9.3 26.1 23.8 57.5-2.6-7.7-7.7 0.0 3.2-8.1 1995-4.7-14.4-13.9 1.4-26.2-16.2-19.5 18.9 23.6 90.7 57.0 0.0-12.5-54.8 1996 3.0 4.3 1.0-0.1 2.1 16.9 8.8 74.0 0.3-3.0-4.6 4.5 7.3-12.5 1997 6.7 8.1 11.0 14.5 7.2-1.5 10.4-53.9 3.8-2.3-16.2 56.6 10.5 33.5 1998-4.7-0.5 1.3 5.7-3.8-7.3-4.2-40.2-13.7-26.3-3.5-78.1 3.6-14.1 1999 4.2 1.5 3.6 8.8-2.9-6.9-10.3 51.0 11.1 26.7 19.2 101.9 6.2-102.9 2000 12.9 11.6 13.4 6.2 23.5 3.6 8.4-45.4 16.1 11.7-8.7 132.3 15.7-2,176.2 2001-1.2 1.0 1.9 1.4 2.4-3.1-4.7 29.0-6.2-12.0-0.8-38.1 3.9-83.5 2002 6.0 9.2 6.1 7.6 4.2 25.0-1.4 414.0-1.6-9.7-13.7 5.1 3.9 295.4 2003 8.0 9.7 11.6 1.3 24.4 1.2 22.2-58.2 3.6 2.3 14.2-33.9 0.2 161.7 2004 3.9 3.5-0.9-2.3 0.6 24.2 16.4 89.0 5.0 3.5-3.6 41.1 1.7 69.2 2005 5.1 6.5 7.8 3.5 12.1 1.5-0.9 13.5 1.1-2.3 8.5-41.2 11.8-65.0 2006 11.1 9.6 8.9 5.7 11.7 12.7 12.5 13.7 15.6 14.8 11.7 35.7 14.0 75.3 2007 5.9 10.0 8.5 2.9 13.2 16.1 19.2 2.4-5.5-8.1-4.1-30.2-2.8-19.3 2008 10.1 10.9 7.1 3.3 10.1 25.0 5.0 127.0 7.2-9.6-11.1 2.0 21.1-28.9 2009 2.1 4.7 3.6 2.4 4.4 8.3 39.5-65.6-6.5 9.9 11.7-1.8-15.7 10.6 2010 3.6 3.2 2.8 0.4 4.5 4.5 8.8-37.1 5.2-6.6 0.3-57.6 11.8 52.8 2011 5.3 5.6 6.5 4.1 8.2 3.1 1.0 37.5 4.2 3.6 3.3 8.9 5.5-15.5 2012 3.7 4.2 5.1 3.3 6.3 1.2 0.6 8.8 2.0 7.0 8.4-17.1-0.5-6.3 2013 2.7 3.0-0.4 0.2-0.8 13.8 4.0 123.4 1.5-0.7-0.7-1.0 3.8-24.3 2014 9.0 10.3 11.4 2.5 17.3 7.3 12.9-21.6 3.8 13.4 14.1-1.6-2.5 29.2 2015 1.6 1.4 1.5 3.4 0.5 1.0 0.5 4.4 2.7 10.3 10.8-2.7-2.8 13.4 2016 3.7 4.1 3.8 5.1 3.1 4.8 4.6 6.6 2.2 9.7 10.1-2.2-3.8 5.8 2017 6.0 5.4 4.9 6.3 4.0 7.0 6.2 12.7 8.5 9.8 10.2-1.4 7.2 9.9 2018 5.4 5.0 4.7 5.8 4.0 6.0 5.3 11.1 6.7 9.2 9.4-0.8 4.6 4.1 2019 5.7 6.1 4.9 5.2 4.6 9.5 9.8 8.1 4.3 8.6 8.8-0.6 0.2 3.4 2020 5.7 5.5 5.7 5.3 6.0 4.9 4.5 7.0 6.7 8.2 8.4-0.3 5.4 3.1 M-7
M-2. Gasto Neto Presupuestal del Sector Público: Escenario Base 2014-2020 (Estructura Porcentual) Gasto Programable Gasto Neto Presupuestal del Sector Público Gasto No Programable Años Gasto Corriente Gasto de Capital Costo Financiero Participación Adefas Total! Sub Total Servicios Otros Inversión Inversión Sub Total Pago de IPAB y a Estados y Ajenas! Suma! Suma! Suma! Personales Gastos Física Financiera Intereses Otros y Municipios Netas!!! 1980 100.0 76.5 50.3 19.1 31.2 26.3 25.3 0.9 23.5 10.3 10.3 0.0 7.3 5.8 1981 100.0 74.3 44.3 17.1 27.2 29.9 29.2 0.7 25.7 12.7 12.7 0.0 6.8 6.2 1982 100.0 59.7 39.1 16.6 22.5 20.6 19.4 1.1 40.3 28.4 28.4 0.0 5.4 6.5 1983 100.0 56.2 40.3 14.7 25.6 16.0 14.9 1.1 43.8 32.4 32.4 0.0 7.1 4.2 1984 100.0 55.5 40.8 15.0 25.8 14.6 13.6 1.0 44.5 33.0 33.0 0.0 7.6 3.9 1985 100.0 60.2 42.1 14.6 27.6 18.1 13.7 4.4 39.8 29.7 29.7 0.0 6.8 3.3 1986 100.0 53.9 42.8 12.4 30.4 11.1 9.0 2.1 45.2 37.5 37.5 0.0 5.7 2.0 1987 100.0 46.9 35.2 13.1 22.1 11.7 9.3 2.4 53.1 45.5 45.5 0.0 6.1 1.5 1988 100.0 47.0 37.2 13.2 24.0 9.8 8.4 1.4 51.3 44.2 44.2 0.0 7.3-0.2 1989 100.0 51.1 41.3 15.5 25.8 9.7 8.4 1.3 48.9 40.0 40.0 0.0 8.6 0.3 1990 100.0 55.5 42.0 16.3 25.7 13.5 11.2 2.2 44.5 33.0 33.0 0.0 10.2 1.4 1991 100.0 63.7 48.3 19.9 28.4 15.4 14.1 1.4 36.3 21.3 21.3 0.0 11.8 3.2 1992 100.0 68.9 52.1 22.5 29.6 16.7 15.1 1.6 31.1 16.3 16.3 0.0 13.2 1.6 1993 100.0 71.6 57.8 25.4 32.4 13.8 12.8 1.0 28.4 11.8 11.8 0.0 13.4 3.3 1994 100.0 74.5 58.6 26.0 32.6 16.0 14.6 1.4 25.5 10.0 10.0 0.0 12.7 2.8 1995 100.0 67.0 52.9 27.7 25.2 14.0 12.3 1.7 33.0 20.1 16.5 3.6 11.6 1.3 1996 100.0 67.8 51.9 26.9 25.0 15.9 13.0 3.0 32.2 18.9 15.3 3.6 12.1 1.1 1997 100.0 68.7 54.0 28.9 25.1 14.7 13.4 1.3 31.3 17.3 12.0 5.3 12.6 1.4 1998 100.0 71.7 57.4 32.0 25.4 14.3 13.5 0.8 28.3 13.4 12.2 1.2 13.7 1.3 1999 100.0 69.8 57.0 33.4 23.6 12.8 11.6 1.2 30.2 16.3 13.9 2.4 13.9 0.0 2000 100.0 69.0 57.3 31.4 25.8 11.7 11.2 0.6 31.0 16.1 11.3 4.8 14.3 0.6 2001 100.0 70.5 59.0 32.2 26.8 11.5 10.8 0.7 29.5 14.3 11.3 3.0 15.0 0.1 2002 100.0 72.7 59.1 32.8 26.3 13.6 10.0 3.5 27.3 12.2 9.2 3.0 14.7 0.4 2003 100.0 73.8 61.1 30.7 30.3 12.7 11.3 1.4 26.2 11.6 9.7 1.8 13.7 1.0 2004 100.0 73.5 58.3 28.9 29.4 15.2 12.7 2.5 26.5 11.5 9.0 2.5 13.4 1.6 2005 100.0 74.5 59.8 28.5 31.3 14.7 12.0 2.7 25.5 10.7 9.3 1.4 14.2 0.5 2006 100.0 73.5 58.6 27.1 31.5 14.9 12.1 2.8 26.5 11.1 9.4 1.7 14.6 0.8 2007 100.0 76.3 60.0 26.3 33.7 16.3 13.6 2.7 23.7 9.6 8.5 1.1 13.4 0.6 2008 100.0 76.9 58.4 24.7 33.7 18.5 13.0 5.5 23.1 7.9 6.9 1.0 14.7 0.4 2009 100.0 78.9 59.2 24.8 34.5 19.6 17.8 1.9 21.1 8.5 7.5 1.0 12.2 0.4 2010 100.0 78.6 58.8 24.0 34.8 19.8 18.7 1.1 21.4 7.7 7.3 0.4 13.1 0.7 2011 100.0 78.8 59.4 23.7 35.7 19.4 17.9 1.5 21.2 7.5 7.1 0.4 13.1 0.5 2012 100.0 79.1 60.2 23.6 36.6 18.9 17.4 1.5 20.9 7.8 7.4 0.3 12.6 0.5 2013 100.0 79.4 58.4 23.0 35.4 21.0 17.6 3.4 20.6 7.5 7.2 0.3 12.7 0.4 2014 100.0 80.4 59.7 21.7 38.0 20.6 18.2 2.4 19.6 7.8 7.5 0.3 11.4 0.4 2015 100.0 80.1 59.6 22.0 37.6 20.5 18.0 2.5 19.9 8.5 8.2 0.3 10.9 0.5 2016 100.0 80.4 59.7 22.3 37.4 20.7 18.2 2.6 19.6 9.0 8.7 0.3 10.1 0.5 2017 100.0 80.0 59.1 22.4 36.7 20.9 18.2 2.7 20.0 9.3 9.1 0.2 10.2 0.5 2018 100.0 79.7 58.7 22.5 36.2 21.0 18.2 2.9 20.3 9.6 9.4 0.2 10.1 0.5 2019 100.0 80.0 58.2 22.4 35.8 21.8 18.9 2.9 20.0 9.9 9.7 0.2 9.6 0.5 2020 100.0 79.8 58.2 22.3 35.9 21.6 18.7 3.0 20.2 10.1 9.9 0.2 9.6 0.5 M-8
M-3. Balance Financiero del Sector Público: Escenario Base 2014-2020 (Millones de Pesos) Balance Tradicional Posición Financiera del Sector Público Requerimientos Financieros del Sector Público Años Balance Público Balance RFSP Ingresos RFSP Balance Balance Balance MAS: Inversión Balance Primario Sin Ingresos No Con Ingresos Presupuestal No Presupuestal Económico sin PEMEX PEMEX Económico con PEMEX Económico Recurrentes Recurrentes Recurrentes 1980-251 -42-293 0-293 -135-364 0 0 1981-727 -70-797 0-797 -492-790 0 0 1982-1,378-153 -1,532 0-1,532-351 -1,618 0 0 1983-1,312-143 -1,455 0-1,455 867-2,078 0 0 1984-1,888-218 -2,106 0-2,106 1,610-2,794 0 0 1985-3,363-539 -3,902 0-3,902 1,752-4,787 0 0 1986-10,673-1,110-11,783 0-11,783 2,069-12,569 0 0 1987-27,339-1,721-29,061 0-29,061 10,914-29,575 0 0 1988-35,978-6,502-42,479 0-42,479 31,359-48,303 0 0 1989-26,344 1,076-25,268 0-25,268 42,449-29,379 0 0 1990-16,514-2,752-19,266 0-19,266 52,965-32,052 5,138-26,914 1991 26,450-1,261 25,189 0 25,189 45,564-17,062 33,664 16,602 1992 46,191 294 46,485 0 46,485 58,159-10,249 40,147 29,899 1993 8,546-303 8,243 0 8,243 42,003-30,884 5,872-25,012 1994 608 2,739 3,346 0 3,346 29,458-55,830 13,698-42,132 1995-3,174 2,974-201 0-201 85,803-72,690 17,101-55,589 1996-3,260 3,543 283 0 283 109,563-140,784 20,733-120,051 1997-19,535-3,477-23,011 0-23,011 111,434-178,069 33,978-144,091 1998-47,564-355 -47,919 0-47,919 65,667-243,446 14,898-228,548 1999-52,851 863-51,988 0-51,988 115,110-294,870 17,827-277,043 2000-60,453-143 -60,596 0-60,596 143,439-208,074 22,712-185,362 2001-40,293-1,902-42,195 0-42,195 148,728-225,238 40,883-184,356 2002-72,716-2,891-75,607 0-75,607 107,995-221,070 43,700-177,370 2003-47,957 5,491-42,466 0-42,466 143,850-184,016 46,764-137,252 2004-20,983 1,774-19,208 0-19,208 191,577-160,042 115,054-44,988 2005-10,196 71-10,125 0-10,125 201,564-141,464 20,187-121,277 2006 8,381 1,552 9,934 0 9,934 260,294-157,663 31,668-125,995 2007 3,282 1,528 4,810 0 4,810 247,004-188,350 72,641-115,709 2008-11,682 3,736-7,946 0-7,946 216,501-284,728 87,732-196,996 2009-271,691-1,795-22,076 251,410-273,486-7,692-634,652 321,201-313,451 2010-373,505 2,985-102,006 268,515-370,521-113,725-543,728 92,046-451,681 2011-360,236 6,778-86,197 267,261-353,458-81,093-493,493 104,506-388,987 2012-405,776 2,566-91,216 311,993-403,210-97,486-596,179 94,053-502,126 2013-377,906 3,675-45,659 328,572-374,231-60,221-639,998 156,284-483,714 2014-623,816 4,090-265,225 354,501-619,726-252,245-817,430 93,652-723,778 2015-592,364 2,927-203,471 385,966-589,437-167,768-762,507 78,971-683,535 2016-580,071 5,671-152,570 421,830-574,400-97,190-736,732 71,697-665,035 2017-562,831-1,511-102,247 462,095-564,343-10,997-709,893 67,598-642,295 2018-517,532 4,504-2,461 510,568-513,029 109,450-642,521 63,129-579,392 2019-560,870-3,258-4,407 559,722-564,129 146,415-680,433 52,741-627,692 2020-616,687 2,370-3,362 610,956-614,318 177,010-716,969 42,988-673,981 M-9
M-3. Balance Financiero del Sector Público: Escenario Básico 2014-2020 (% del PIB) Balance Tradicional Posición Financiera del Sector Público Requerimientos Financieros del Sector Público Años Balance Público Balance RFSP Ingresos RFSP Balance Balance Balance MAS: Inversión Balance Primario Sin Ingresos No Con Ingresos Presupuestal No Presupuestal Económico sin PEMEX PEMEX Económico con PEMEX Económico Recurrentes Recurrentes Recurrentes 1980-4.26-0.71-4.97 0.00-4.97-2.30-6.18 0.00 0.00 1981-9.01-0.87-9.89 0.00-9.89-6.10-9.80 0.00 0.00 1982-10.62-1.18-11.80 0.00-11.80-2.71-12.46 0.00 0.00 1983-5.61-0.61-6.22 0.00-6.22 3.71-8.89 0.00 0.00 1984-4.90-0.57-5.46 0.00-5.46 4.18-7.25 0.00 0.00 1985-5.38-0.86-6.24 0.00-6.24 2.80-7.66 0.00 0.00 1986-10.40-1.08-11.48 0.00-11.48 2.02-12.25 0.00 0.00 1987-10.78-0.68-11.46 0.00-11.46 4.31-11.67 0.00 0.00 1988-6.99-1.26-8.25 0.00-8.25 6.09-9.39 0.00 0.00 1989-3.88 0.16-3.72 0.00-3.72 6.25-4.32 0.00 0.00 1990-1.80-0.30-2.10 0.00-2.10 5.78-3.50 0.56-2.94 1991 2.24-0.11 2.14 0.00 2.14 3.87-1.45 2.86 1.41 1992 3.30 0.02 3.32 0.00 3.32 4.15-0.73 2.87 2.13 1993 0.54-0.02 0.52 0.00 0.52 2.68-1.97 0.37-1.59 1994 0.03 0.15 0.19 0.00 0.19 1.66-3.14 0.77-2.37 1995-0.14 0.13-0.01 0.00-0.01 3.89-3.29 0.77-2.52 1996-0.11 0.12 0.01 0.00 0.01 3.63-4.66 0.69-3.98 1997-0.51-0.09-0.60 0.00-0.60 2.93-4.68 0.89-3.79 1998-1.04-0.01-1.04 0.00-1.04 1.43-5.31 0.32-4.98 1999-0.95 0.02-0.94 0.00-0.94 2.08-5.32 0.32-5.00 2000-0.94 0.00-0.94 0.00-0.94 2.22-3.22 0.35-2.87 2001-0.60-0.03-0.62 0.00-0.62 2.20-3.33 0.60-2.72 2002-1.02-0.04-1.06 0.00-1.06 1.51-3.09 0.61-2.48 2003-0.62 0.07-0.55 0.00-0.55 1.87-2.39 0.61-1.78 2004-0.24 0.02-0.22 0.00-0.22 2.20-1.84 1.32-0.52 2005-0.11 0.00-0.11 0.00-0.11 2.13-1.50 0.21-1.28 2006 0.08 0.01 0.09 0.00 0.09 2.47-1.50 0.30-1.20 2007 0.03 0.01 0.04 0.00 0.04 2.17-1.65 0.64-1.01 2008-0.10 0.03-0.06 0.00-0.06 1.77-2.32 0.72-1.61 2009-2.25-0.01-0.18 2.08-2.26-0.06-5.25 2.66-2.59 2010-2.81 0.02-0.77 2.02-2.79-0.86-4.09 0.69-3.40 2011-2.48 0.05-0.59 1.84-2.43-0.56-3.39 0.72-2.67 2012-2.60 0.02-0.58 2.00-2.58-0.62-3.82 0.60-3.22 2013-2.35 0.02-0.28 2.04-2.32-0.37-3.97 0.97-3.00 2014-3.66 0.02-1.56 2.08-3.64-1.48-4.80 0.55-4.25 2015-3.24 0.02-1.11 2.11-3.22-0.92-4.17 0.43-3.74 2016-2.92 0.03-0.77 2.12-2.89-0.49-3.70 0.36-3.34 2017-2.57-0.01-0.47 2.11-2.58-0.05-3.24 0.31-2.93 2018-2.15 0.02-0.01 2.12-2.13 0.45-2.67 0.26-2.41 2019-2.13-0.01-0.02 2.13-2.15 0.56-2.59 0.20-2.39 2020-2.16 0.01-0.01 2.14-2.15 0.62-2.51 0.15-2.36 M-10
Concepto! M-4. Ley de Ingresos y Presupuesto de Egresos de la Federación para 2013 (Millones de Pesos) Proyecto de Presupuesto Presupuesto Aprobado Ajuste 2012 2013 Variación % anual % de Pesos %PIB Pesos %PIB Presupuestal Enero-Diciembre Nominal Real Avance Ingreso Presupuestal 3,576,000 21.39 3,601,072 21.54 25,072 3,514,530 3,800,416 8.1 4.2 105.5 Sector Petrolero 1,238,066 7.41 1,243,000 7.44 4,933 1,183,895 1,261,702 6.6 2.7 101.5 Pemex 474,984 2.84 478,433 2.86 3,448 463,121 482,936 4.3 0.5 100.9 Gobierno Federal 763,082 4.57 764,567 4.57 1,485 720,774 778,766 8.0 4.1 101.9 Sector No Petrolero 2,337,934 13.99 2,358,072 14.11 20,139 2,330,634 2,538,714 8.9 4.9 107.7 Gobierno Federal 1,713,941 10.25 1,734,079 10.37 20,139 1,731,760 1,924,809 11.1 7.1 111.0 Tributarios 1,621,177 9.70 1,628,202 9.74 7,025 1,516,951 1,644,537 8.4 4.4 101.0 ISR/IETU/IDE 864,325 5.17 866,624 5.18 2,299 803,897 946,515 17.7 13.4 109.2 IVA 617,900 3.70 622,626 3.72 4,726 579,988 556,794-4.0-7.5 89.4 IEPS 77,477 0.46 77,477 0.46 0 72,953 78,572 7.7 3.8 101.4 Importaciones 28,082 0.17 28,082 0.17 0 27,906 29,260 4.8 1.0 104.2 Otros 33,392 0.20 33,392 0.20 0 32,208 33,171 3.0-0.8 99.3 No Tributarios 92,764 0.55 105,878 0.63 13,114 214,809 280,272 30.5 25.7 264.7 Organismos y Empresas 623,993 3.73 623,993 3.73 0 598,875 613,905 2.5-1.2 98.4 Gasto Neto Presupuestal 3,902,324 23.35 3,927,396 23.50 25,072 3,920,305 4,178,322 6.6 2.7 106.4 Gasto Programable 2,995,118 17.92 3,031,810 18.14 36,692 3,102,198 3,316,609 6.9 3.0 109.4 Corriente 2,305,210 13.79 2,330,282 13.94 25,072 2,360,695 2,440,772 3.4-0.4 104.7 Servicios personales 963,690 5.77 963,690 5.77 0 926,102 963,100 4.0 0.2 99.9 Otros 1,341,520 8.03 1,366,592 8.18 25,072 1,434,593 1,477,671 3.0-0.8 108.1 Capital 689,908 4.13 701,527 4.20 11,619 741,503 875,837 18.1 13.8 124.8 Inversión física 669,263 4.00 680,883 4.07 11,619 680,976 735,501 8.0 4.0 108.0 Inversión financiera 20,645 0.12 20,645 0.12 0 60,528 140,337 131.9 123.4 679.8 Gasto No Programable 907,206 5.43 895,586 5.36-11,619 818,107 861,713 5.3 1.5 96.2 Costo financiero 350,387 2.10 345,387 2.07-5,000 305,119 314,551 3.1-0.7 91.1 Participaciones a Edos. y Mun. 533,646 3.19 535,116 3.20 1,469 494,265 532,456 7.7 3.8 99.5 Adefas y Ajenas Netas 23,173 0.14 15,084 0.09-8,089 18,724 14,706-21.5-24.3 97.5 Balance Económico sin PEMEX 0 0.00 0 0.00 0-91,216-45,659 Inversión PEMEX 326,324 1.95 326,324 1.95 0 311,993 328,572 5.3 1.5 100.7 Balance Económico -326,324-1.95-326,324-1.95 0-403,209-374,231 Superávit Económico Primario 24,563 0.15 19,563 0.12-5,000-97,486-60,221 Fuente: CAMACRO, cuadro elaborado con datos de la SHCP, Criterios Generales de Política Económica para 2013 y Ley de Ingresos y Proyecto de Presupuesto de Egresos de la Federación para 2013. M-11
Concepto! M-5. Ley de Ingresos y Presupuesto de Egresos de la Federación para 2014 (Millones de Pesos) Proyecto de Presupuesto Presupuesto Aprobado Ajuste 2013 2014 Variación % anual % de Pesos %PIB Pesos %PIB Presupuestal Enero-Mayo Nominal Real Avance Ingreso Presupuestal 3,829,476 21.77 3,816,748 21.70-12,728 1,501,979 1,610,080 7.2 3.2 42.2 Sector Petrolero 1,224,734 6.96 1,265,725 7.19 40,991 474,805 491,042 3.4-0.5 38.8 Pemex 443,173 2.52 462,358 2.63 19,185 166,513 165,784-0.4-4.2 35.9 Gobierno Federal 781,561 4.44 803,367 4.57 21,806 308,292 325,258 5.5 1.5 40.5 Sector No Petrolero 2,604,742 14.81 2,551,023 14.50-53,720 1,027,174 1,119,038 8.9 4.9 43.9 Gobierno Federal 1,960,313 11.14 1,906,594 10.84-53,720 802,227 873,551 8.9 4.8 45.8 Tributarios 1,808,188 10.28 1,752,179 9.96-56,009 708,281 799,535 12.9 8.7 45.6 ISR 1,039,026 5.91 1,006,377 5.72-32,649 420,430 445,168 5.9 1.9 44.2 IVA 632,369 3.59 609,393 3.46-22,976 224,852 281,081 25.0 20.3 46.1 IEPS 118,300 0.67 117,959 0.67-341 34,409 48,542 41.1 35.8 41.2 Importaciones 26,759 0.15 26,759 0.15 0 11,135 12,872 15.6 11.3 48.1 Otros -8,265-0.05-8,308-0.05-43 17,456 11,872-32.0-34.5-142.9 No Tributarios 152,125 0.86 154,415 0.88 2,290 93,946 74,016-21.2-24.2 47.9 Organismos y Empresas 644,429 3.66 644,429 3.66 0 224,947 245,487 9.1 5.0 38.1 Gasto Neto Presupuestal 4,449,891 25.30 4,437,163 25.22-12,728 1,465,728 1,714,048 16.9 12.6 38.6 Gasto Programable 3,456,822 19.65 3,463,609 19.69 6,787 1,159,986 1,377,653 18.8 14.3 39.8 Corriente 2,649,411 15.06 2,656,198 15.10 6,787 913,561 1,041,288 14.0 9.7 39.2 Servicios personales 1,028,125 5.84 1,028,125 5.84 0 383,612 410,707 7.1 3.0 39.9 Otros 1,651,349 9.39 1,658,136 9.43 6,787 529,949 630,581 19.0 14.5 38.0 Capital 807,411 4.59 807,411 4.59 0 246,424 336,365 36.5 31.4 41.7 Inversión física 783,534 4.45 783,534 4.45 0 225,957 323,779 43.3 37.9 41.3 Inversión financiera 23,877 0.14 23,877 0.14 0 20,468 12,586-38.5-40.8 52.7 Gasto No Programable 993,069 5.65 973,554 5.53-19,516 305,742 336,395 10.0 5.9 34.6 Costo financiero 383,365 2.18 380,365 2.16-3,000 62,280 60,120-3.5-7.1 15.8 Participaciones a Edos. y Mun. 585,654 3.33 577,639 3.28-8,016 224,857 258,172 14.8 10.5 44.7 Adefas y Ajenas Netas 24,050 0.14 15,550 0.09-8,500 18,605 18,103-2.7-6.3 116.4 Balance Económico sin PEMEX -262,888-1.49-262,888-1.49 0 162,539 58,181 Inversión PEMEX 357,527 2.03 357,527 2.03 0 106,497 149,861 40.7 35.4 41.9 Balance Económico -620,415-3.53-620,415-3.53 0 56,042-91,679 Superávit Económico Primario -236,550-1.34-239,550-1.36-3,000 108,979-25,989 Fuente: CAMACRO, cuadro elaborado con datos de la SHCP, Criterios Generales de Política Económica para 2014, Ley de Ingresos y Proyecto de Presupuesto de Egresos de la Federación para 2014. M-12
M-6. Evolución de la Deuda Interna del Gobierno Federal, 2013-2014 (Saldo en Millones de Pesos) Saldo Saldo Concepto Diciembre Endeudamiento acumulado Mayo 2013 Disposición Amortización Neto Ajustes 2014 Deuda Neta 3,893,929.4 3,959,102.9 Activos 169,255.0 435,518.0 Deuda Bruta 4,063,184.4 1,201,029.7 889,670.0 311,359.7 20,076.8 4,394,620.9 Valores 3,734,084.5 1,119,399.0 790,370.3 329,028.7 13,662.4 4,076,775.6 Cetes 635,638.8 786,041.4 761,084.6 24,956.8 0.0 660,595.6 Bondes 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 Bondes D 216,594.6 31,911.9 29,285.7 2,626.2 0.0 219,220.8 Bonos de desarrollo 1,989,572.8 219,373.9 0.0 219,373.9 0.0 2,208,946.7 Udibonos 888,664.5 81,176.1 0.0 81,176.1 13,602.2 983,442.8 Udibonos Udis 175,669.5 15,842.8 0.0 15,842.8 0.0 191,512.3 Udibonos Segregados 3,613.8 895.7 0.0 895.7 60.2 4,569.7 Udibonos Segregados Udis 714.4 175.5 0.0 175.5 0.0 889.9 Fondo de Ahorro SAR 99,920.1 80,804.5 87,733.9-6,929.4 3,012.6 96,003.3 Obligaciones por Ley del ISSSTE 165,506.3 43.2 9,948.5-9,905.3 2,444.3 158,045.3 Otros 63,673.5 783.0 1,617.3-834.3 957.5 63,796.7 Fuente: CAMACRO, con datos de la Secretaría de Hacienda y Crédito Público. M-13
M-7. Evolución de la Deuda Externa del Sector Público, 2013-2014 (Saldo en Millones de Dólares) Saldo Concepto Diciembre Endeudamiento acumulado Mayo Saldo 2013 Disposición Amortización Neto Ajustes 2014 Deuda Neta 130,949.7 143,696.9 Activos Financieros en moneda extranjera 3,486.2 2,846.9 Deuda Bruta 134,435.9 25,499.1 13,634.7 11,864.4 243.5 146,543.8 Estructura por plazo 134,435.9 25,499.1 13,634.7 11,864.4 243.5 146,543.8 Largo plazo 130,908.7 16,916.1 5,263.7 11,652.4 241.8 142,802.9 Corto plazo 3,527.2 8,583.0 8,371.0 212.0 1.7 3,740.9 Estructura por Usuario 134,435.9 25,499.1 13,634.7 11,864.4 243.5 146,543.8 Gobierno Federal 72,180.4 8,583.6 4,402.0 4,181.6 280.5 76,642.5 Largo plazo 72,180.4 8,583.6 4,402.0 4,181.6 280.5 76,642.5 Corto plazo 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 Organismos y Empresas 53,358.1 8,551.7 882.6 7,669.1-117.9 60,909.3 Largo plazo 53,358.1 8,264.8 789.4 7,475.4-117.9 60,715.6 Corto plazo 0.0 286.9 93.2 193.7 0.0 193.7 Banca de Desarrollo 8,897.4 8,363.8 8,350.1 13.7 80.9 8,992.0 Largo plazo 5,370.2 67.7 72.3-4.6 79.2 5,444.8 Corto plazo 3,527.2 8,296.1 8,277.8 18.3 1.7 3,547.2 Por fuentes de financiamiento 134,435.9 25,499.1 13,634.7 11,864.4 243.5 146,543.8 Mercado Bancario 6,178.1 10,563.8 8,456.3 2,107.5 8.1 8,293.7 Comercio Exterior 10,321.3 673.9 639.8 34.1 4.9 10,360.3 Mercado de Capitales 90,301.7 13,826.5 4,132.0 9,694.5 256.9 100,253.1 Organismos Financieros internacionales (OFIS) 27,350.1 148.0 313.4-165.4 63.6 27,248.3 Pidiregas 284.7 286.9 93.2 193.7-90.0 388.4 Fuente: CAMACRO, con datos de la Secretaría de Hacienda y Crédito Público. M-14
Años! M-8. Requerimientos Financieros del Sector Público y Deuda Neta del Sector Público, 1990-2013 (Millones de Pesos) Requerimientos Financieros del Sector Público Deuda Neta Total Con ingresos Ingresos Sin ingresos del Sector Público extraordinarios extraordinarios extraordinarios Saldo Como porcentaje del PIB Saldo en Pesos %PIB Saldo en Pesos %PIB Saldo en Pesos %PIB en Pesos Deuda Total Deuda Interna Deuda Externa 1990-26,914-2.94 5,138 0.56-32,052-3.50 382,666 36.70 16.57 20.13 1991 16,602 1.41 33,664 2.86-17,062-1.45 365,696 28.41 12.79 15.63 1992 29,899 2.13 40,147 2.87-10,249-0.73 347,595 23.08 9.54 13.55 1993-25,012-1.59 5,872 0.37-30,884-1.97 360,732 21.88 9.25 12.63 1994-42,132-2.37 13,698 0.77-55,830-3.14 600,867 31.96 10.91 21.04 1995-55,589-2.52 17,101 0.77-72,690-3.29 916,641 36.37 10.47 25.90 1996-120,051-3.98 20,733 0.69-140,784-4.66 1,049,545 31.03 12.93 18.10 1997-144,091-3.79 33,978 0.89-178,069-4.68 1,317,989 31.63 16.98 14.65 1998-228,548-4.98 14,898 0.32-243,446-5.31 1,745,600 35.25 19.19 16.06 1999-277,043-5.00 17,827 0.32-294,870-5.32 2,164,906 36.52 22.89 13.64 2000-185,362-2.87 22,712 0.35-208,074-3.22 2,051,002 30.51 19.31 11.20 2001-184,356-2.72 40,883 0.60-225,238-3.33 2,185,277 31.61 21.10 10.52 2002-177,370-2.48 43,700 0.61-221,070-3.09 2,473,944 33.17 21.20 11.97 2003-137,252-1.78 46,764 0.61-184,016-2.39 2,738,362 34.21 21.10 13.10 2004-44,988-0.52 115,054 1.32-160,042-1.84 2,854,592 31.23 19.19 12.05 2005-121,277-1.28 20,187 0.21-141,464-1.50 2,974,208 30.04 19.92 10.12 2006-125,995-1.20 31,668 0.30-157,663-1.50 3,135,439 28.77 20.48 8.29 2007-115,709-1.01 72,641 0.64-188,350-1.65 3,314,463 27.55 20.30 7.25 2008-196,996-1.61 87,732 0.72-284,728-2.32 4,063,364 32.95 24.31 8.64 2009-313,451-2.59 321,201 2.66-634,652-5.25 4,382,263 34.31 25.03 9.28 2010-451,681-3.40 92,046 0.69-543,728-4.09 4,813,211 34.39 25.52 8.87 2011-388,987-2.67 104,506 0.72-493,493-3.39 5,450,590 34.93 25.05 9.88 2012-502,126-3.22 94,053 0.60-596,179-3.82 5,890,846 36.38 26.92 9.45 2013-483,714-3.00 156,284 0.97-639,998-3.97 6,504,319 38.89 29.03 9.86 2012 I -71,146-0.47 4,531 0.03-75,677-0.50 5,432,742 35.56 26.12 9.44 II -176,587-1.15 38,895 0.25-215,481-1.40 5,644,903 36.64 26.32 10.32 III -243,839-1.58 59,483 0.39-303,322-1.97 5,607,099 35.98 26.10 9.87 IV -502,126-3.22 94,053 0.60-596,179-3.82 5,890,846 36.38 26.92 9.45 2013 I 8,239 0.05 22,738 0.15-14,499-0.09 5,828,238 37.22 27.75 9.47 II -135,074-0.86 37,620 0.24-172,694-1.09 6,062,003 38.07 28.25 9.82 III -265,659-1.67 44,037 0.28-309,695-1.95 6,170,526 38.30 28.33 9.97 IV -483,714-3.00 156,284 0.97-639,998-3.97 6,504,319 38.89 29.03 9.86 2014 I -96,552-0.59 12,247 0.07-108,799-0.66 6,629,753 40.30 29.69 10.61 II e/ -161,963-0.98 64,689 0.39-226,652-1.36 6,699,739 39.95 29.57 10.38 III e/ -338,743-2.02 79,779 0.47-418,522-2.49 6,931,284 40.37 29.43 10.94 IV e/ -723,778-4.25 93,652 0.55-817,430-4.80 7,441,888 41.85 29.96 11.89 e/ Estimación CAMACRO. Fuente: CAMACRO, con datos de la Secretaría de Hacienda y Crédito Público. M-15
M-9. Evolución de las Tasas Impositivas en México, 1980-2018 (Porcentajes, salvo indicación contraria) Tasas del ISR Tasas del IVA Años Empresas Personas Físicas IVA IVA Transporte Público Goma de Venta de Alimento para Importaciones Temporales ISR ISR Tasa Máxima Tasa General Tasa Fronteriza Terrestre Foráneo Mascar Mascotas Mascotas de Bienes para Maquila 1980 42.0 55.0 10.0 6.0 1981 42.0 55.0 10.0 6.0 1982 42.0 55.0 10.0 6.0 1983 42.0 60.5 15.0 6.0 1984 42.0 55.0 15.0 6.0 1985 42.0 55.0 15.0 6.0 1986 42.0 60.5 15.0 6.0 1987 40.6 55.0 15.0 6.0 1988 39.2 50.0 15.0 6.0 1989 37.0 40.0 15.0 6.0 1990 36.0 35.0 15.0 6.0 1991 35.0 35.0 15.0 6.0 1992 35.0 35.0 10.0 10.0 1993 34.8 35.0 10.0 10.0 1994 34.0 35.0 10.0 10.0 1995 34.0 35.0 15.0 10.0 1996 34.0 35.0 15.0 10.0 1997 34.0 35.0 15.0 10.0 1998 34.0 35.0 15.0 10.0 1999 35.0 40.0 15.0 10.0 2000 35.0 40.0 15.0 10.0 2001 35.0 40.0 15.0 10.0 2002 35.0 35.0 15.0 10.0 2003 34.0 34.0 15.0 10.0 2004 33.0 33.0 15.0 10.0 2005 30.0 30.0 15.0 10.0 2006 29.0 29.0 15.0 10.0 2007 28.0 28.0 15.0 10.0 2008 28.0 28.0 15.0 10.0 2009 28.0 28.0 15.0 10.0 2010 30.0 30.0 16.0 11.0 2011 30.0 30.0 16.0 11.0 2012 30.0 30.0 16.0 11.0 2013 30.0 30.0 16.0 11.0 2014 30.0 35.0 16.0 16.0 16.0 16.0 16.0 16.0 Se grava con IVA 2015 30.0 35.0 16.0 16.0 16.0 16.0 16.0 16.0 Se grava con IVA 2016 30.0 35.0 16.0 16.0 16.0 16.0 16.0 16.0 Se grava con IVA 2017 30.0 35.0 16.0 16.0 16.0 16.0 16.0 16.0 Se grava con IVA 2018 30.0 35.0 16.0 16.0 16.0 16.0 16.0 16.0 Se grava con IVA Continúa M-16
Continuación Tasas del Impuesto Especial Sobre Producción y Servicios IEPS Derechos Impuestos Años Bebidas Bebidas Alimentos y bebidas con Juegos sobre a los Dividendos Cerveza Alcohólicas Azucaradas alto contenido calórico Telecomunicaciones y Sorteos Minería (Accionistas BMV) 1980 1981 18.0+CF 40.0 60.0 1982 21.5 40.0 60.0 1983 21.5 40.0 60.0 1984 21.5 40.0 60.0 1985 21.5 40.0 60.0 1986 25.0 50.0 72.0 1987 25.0 50.0 72.0 1988 25.0 50.0 72.0 1989 25.0 50.0 60.0 1990 25.0 50.0 1991 25.0 50.0 1992 25.0 44.5 1993 23.5 44.5 1994 22.0 44.5 1995 20.5 44.5 y 60.0 1996 22.0 44.5 y 60.1 1997 22.0 44.5 y 60.2 1998 25.0 60.0 1999 25.0 60.0 2000 25.0 60.0 2001 25.0 60.0 2002 25.0 60.0 10.0 2003 25.0 60.0 10.0 2004 25.0 50.0 2005 25.0 50.0 2006 25.0 50.0 2007 25.0 50.0 2008 25.0 50.0 20.0 2009 25.0 50.0 20.0 2010 26.5 53.0 3.0 30.0 2011 26.5 53.0 3.0 30.0 2012 26.5 53.0 3.0 30.0 2013 26.5 53.0 3.0 30.0 2014 26.5 53.0 $ 1.00 por litro 8.0 3.0 30.0 7.50 10.0% de ISR 2015 26.5 53.0 $ 1.00 por litro 8.0 3.0 30.0 7.50 10.0% de ISR 2016 26.5 53.0 $ 1.00 por litro 8.0 3.0 30.0 7.50 10.0% de ISR 2017 26.5 53.0 $ 1.00 por litro 8.0 3.0 30.0 7.50 10.0% de ISR 2018 26.5 53.0 $ 1.00 por litro 8.0 3.0 30.0 7.50 10.0% de ISR Notas sobre el ISR a las empresas: 1986: Hasta este año en el ISR a las empresas se aplicaba una tarifa. 1987 y 1988: Tasa combinada de aplicar las dos bases existentes. 1993: La tasa corresponde al promedio de hacer retroactiva la reducción de la tasa de 34% a partir del 1o. de octubre de 1993. Conclusión 1999, 2000 y 2001: Adicionalmente se aplicaba un gravamen de 5% a los dividendos distribuidos, a fin de alcanzar la tasa marginal de 40% aplicable en la tarifa del ISR de personas físicas. Nota sobre Bebidas Alcohólicas: Bebidas con graduación alcohólica de más de 20 GL. Nota: El Gobierno Federal se compromete a no modificar la estructura tributaria de 2014 a 2018 según el "Acuerdo para la Certidumbre en Materia Tributaria" publicado el 27 de febrero de 2014. Fuente: Cuadro elaborado por CAMACRO, con datos de la Secretaría de Hacienda y Crédito Público. M-17
M-1O. Tasas de ISR e IVA en Países Avanzados y Economías Emergentes, 2009-2012 (Porcentajes) Tasa Máxima del ISR Tasa Máxima del ISR Tasa de Impuestos Indirectos Países Personas Morales Personas Físicas IVA 2009 2010 2011 2012 2009 2010 2011 2012 2009 2010 2011 2012 Alemania 29.44 29.41 29.37 29.48 45.00 45.00 45.00 45.00 19.00 19.00 19.00 19.00 Canadá 33.00 31.00 28.00 26.00 29.00 29.00 29.00 29.00 5.00 5.00 5.00 5.00 Francia 33.33 33.33 33.33 33.33 40.00 41.00 41.00 45.00 19.60 19.60 19.60 19.60 Japón 40.69 40.69 40.69 38.01 50.00 50.00 50.00 50.00 5.00 5.00 5.00 5.00 Italia 31.40 31.40 31.40 31.40 43.00 43.00 43.00 43.00 20.00 20.00 21.00 21.00 Reino Unido 28.00 28.00 26.00 26.00 40.00 50.00 50.00 50.00 15.00 17.50 20.00 20.00 Estados Unidos 40.00 40.00 40.00 40.00 35.00 35.00 35.00 35.00 Suiza 26.30 26.30 26.30 26.30 56.74 56.56 56.55 56.60 25.00 25.00 25.00 25.00 Austria 25.00 25.00 25.00 25.00 50.00 50.00 50.00 50.00 20.00 20.00 20.00 20.00 Dinamarca 25.00 25.00 25.00 25.00 62.25 55.38 55.38 55.38 25.00 25.00 25.00 25.00 Noruega 28.00 28.00 28.00 28.00 47.80 47.80 47.80 47.80 25.00 25.00 25.00 25.00 Holanda 25.50 25.50 25.00 25.00 52.00 52.00 52.00 52.00 19.00 19.00 19.00 19.00 Bélgica 33.99 33.99 33.99 33.99 50.00 50.00 50.00 50.00 21.00 21.00 21.00 21.00 Portugal 25.00 25.00 25.00 25.00 42.00 45.88 46.50 46.50 20.00 21.00 23.00 23.00 Argentina 35.00 35.00 35.00 35.00 35.00 35.00 35.00 35.00 21.00 21.00 21.00 21.00 Chile 17.00 17.00 20.00 18.50 40.00 40.00 40.00 40.00 19.00 19.00 19.00 19.00 Brasil 34.00 34.00 34.00 34.00 27.50 27.50 27.50 27.50 19.00 19.00 19.00 19.00 MÉXICO 28.00 30.00 30.00 30.00 28.00 30.00 30.00 30.00 15.00 16.00 16.00 16.00 Colombia 33.00 33.00 33.00 33.00 33.00 33.00 33.00 33.00 16.00 16.00 16.00 16.00 Costa Rica 30.00 30.00 30.00 30.00 15.00 15.00 15.00 15.00 13.00 13.00 13.00 13.00 Ecuador 25.00 25.00 24.00 23.00 35.00 35.00 35.00 35.00 12.00 12.00 12.00 12.00 R. Dominicana 25.00 25.00 29.00 29.00 16.00 16.00 16.00 16.00 Guatemala 31.00 31.00 31.00 31.00 31.00 31.00 31.00 31.00 12.00 12.00 12.00 12.00 Honduras 30.00 25.00 35.00 35.00 25.00 25.00 25.00 25.00 12.00 12.00 12.00 12.00 Panamá 30.00 27.50 25.00 25.00 27.00 25.00 25.00 25.00 5.00 7.00 7.00 7.00 Paraguay 10.00 10.00 10.00 10.00 10.00 10.00 10.00 10.00 Perú 30.00 30.00 30.00 30.00 30.00 30.00 30.00 30.00 19.00 19.00 18.00 18.00 Venezuela 34.00 34.00 34.00 34.00 34.00 34.00 34.00 34.00 9.00 12.00 12.00 12.00 China 25.00 25.00 25.00 25.00 45.00 45.00 45.00 45.00 17.00 17.00 17.00 17.00 India 33.99 33.99 32.44 32.44 30.00 30.00 30.00 30.00 12.50 12.50 12.50 12.50 Promedio: África 28.65 28.65 28.45 29.22 26.64 26.82 26.82 26.82 14.09 13.91 14.17 14.17 Norte América 36.50 35.50 34.00 33.00 32.00 32.00 32.00 28.65 5.00 5.00 5.00 5.00 Asia 25.73 23.96 23.10 23.12 28.29 28.29 27.83 34.76 11.70 11.64 11.84 12.20 Europa 21.70 21.52 20.88 20.60 34.22 34.73 34.49 34.76 18.88 19.67 19.71 19.86 América Latina 27.96 27.52 29.02 28.30 31.30 31.96 31.30 31.30 14.08 14.37 12.78 12.83 Oceanía 29.20 29.00 28.60 28.60 39.00 38.38 37.75 37.75 11.25 11.25 12.92 12.92 Países OECD 25.73 25.79 25.50 25.37 39.93 40.46 40.08 40.58 17.57 18.21 18.53 18.66 Global 25.35 24.66 24.47 24.47 31.45 31.75 31.40 31.76 15.39 15.70 15.33 15.42 Fuente: KPMG International. M-18
M-11. Reforma Social y Hacendaria 2014 Efectos Recaudatorios de la Reforma Social y Hacendaria para 2014 Propuesta del Poder Ejecutivo y Ley Aprobada por el Congreso de la Unión Proyecto del Ejecutivo 2014 Decreto Congreso de la Unión 2014 %PIB MMP %PIB MMP ISR Empresarial 0.7 131.0 ISR Personal 0.3 58.6 IVA 0.3 54.0 IEPS no petrolero 0.2 33.8 IEPS gasolinas 0.4 61.7 Derechos 0.1 15.1 Desaparición IETU -0.7-114.5 Total 1.4 239.7 1.1 186.0 Nuevos Impuestos 2014 IEPS Impuesto Especial sobre Productos y Servicios Impuesto 1.- Alimentos y bebidas con alto contenido calórico (275 kilocalorías por cada 100 gramos) 8.0% 2.- Bebidas azucaradas 1 peso por cada litro vendido IVA Impuesto al Valor Agregado Impuesto 1.- Transporte público terrestre foráneo de personas 16.0% IVA 2.- Goma de mascar 16.0% IVA 3.- Venta de mascotas 16.0% IVA 4.- Alimento para mascotas 16.0% IVA 5.- Importaciones temporales de bienes para maquila Ahora causan IVA Derechos sobre Minería Impuesto 1.- Ganancias por el aprovechamiento de los recursos naturales 7.50% Impuestos a Dividendos Impuesto 1.- Los accionistas que reciban dividendos 10.0% de ISR Se crea el Régimen Opcional de Grupos de Sociedades 1.- Los conglomerados ya no podrán compensar las ganancias de algunas de sus empresas con las pérdidas de otras, y librarse de pagar el ISR por cinco años. Ahora sólo podrán hacerlo por tres años. Reducción de Deducciones 1.- Ahora sólo se admitirá que se reduzca hasta 47% de las prestaciones (previsión social, cajas y fondos de ahorro, horas extras, reparto de utilidades), o hasta 53% siempre que las prestaciones no se reduzcan. M-19
N. Economía de los Estado unidos de América Cuadro N-1. PIB Real y Producto por Habitante 1980-2020 Cuadro N-2. Población Ocupada, Tasa de Desempleo y Productividad Laboral 1980-2020 Cuadro N-3. Oferta y Demanda Agregada Anual 1980-2020 Cuadro N-4. Oferta y Demanda Agregada Trimestral 2013-2014 Cuadro N-5. Balanza de Pagos Anual y Trimestral de los EUA 1980-2020 Cuadro N-6. Índice de Precios al Consumidor en EUA 1980-2020 Cuadro N-7. Tasas de Interés Nominales y Reales en EUA 1980-2020 Cuadro N-8. Producción Industrial en EUA 1980-2020 Cuadro N-9. Finanzas Públicas en los EUA 1980-2020
N-1. Producto Interno Bruto y PIB Per Cápita de Estados Unidos: Escenario Base 2014-2020 (Miles de Millones de Dólares) Producto Interno Bruto PIB Per Cápita Años PIB Nominal Deflactor del PIB PIB Real Nominal Real Dólares Var.% 2009=100 Var.% Dls. 2009 Var.% Dólares Var.% Dls. 2009 Var.% 1980 2,862.5 8.8 44.4 9.0 6,443.4-0.2 12,455 7.7 28,036-1.2 1981 3,210.9 12.2 48.6 9.3 6,610.6 2.6 13,838 11.1 28,490 1.6 1982 3,345.0 4.2 51.6 6.2 6,484.3-1.9 14,279 3.2 27,680-2.8 1983 3,638.1 8.8 53.6 3.9 6,784.7 4.6 15,382 7.7 28,687 3.6 1984 4,040.7 11.1 55.5 3.5 7,277.2 7.3 16,921 10.0 30,475 6.2 1985 4,346.7 7.6 57.3 3.2 7,585.7 4.2 18,027 6.5 31,460 3.2 1986 4,590.1 5.6 58.5 2.0 7,852.1 3.5 18,851 4.6 32,247 2.5 1987 4,870.2 6.1 59.9 2.6 8,123.9 3.5 19,804 5.1 33,035 2.4 1988 5,252.6 7.9 62.0 3.5 8,465.4 4.2 21,147 6.8 34,082 3.2 1989 5,657.7 7.7 64.5 3.9 8,777.0 3.7 22,553 6.6 34,988 2.7 1990 5,979.6 5.7 66.8 3.7 8,945.4 1.9 23,603 4.7 35,310 0.9 1991 6,174.0 3.3 69.1 3.3 8,938.9-0.1 24,135 2.3 34,944-1.0 1992 6,539.3 5.9 70.6 2.3 9,256.7 3.6 25,319 4.9 35,840 2.6 1993 6,878.7 5.2 72.3 2.4 9,510.8 2.7 26,375 4.2 36,467 1.7 1994 7,308.7 6.3 73.9 2.1 9,894.7 4.0 27,740 5.2 37,555 3.0 1995 7,664.0 4.9 75.4 2.1 10,163.7 2.7 28,777 3.7 38,163 1.6 1996 8,100.2 5.7 76.8 1.8 10,549.5 3.8 30,068 4.5 39,160 2.6 1997 8,608.5 6.3 78.1 1.7 11,022.9 4.5 31,574 5.0 40,430 3.2 1998 9,089.1 5.6 78.9 1.1 11,513.4 4.4 32,933 4.3 41,717 3.2 1999 9,665.7 6.3 80.1 1.4 12,071.4 4.8 34,607 5.1 43,220 3.6 2000 10,289.7 6.5 81.9 2.3 12,565.2 4.1 36,424 5.3 44,479 2.9 2001 10,625.3 3.3 83.8 2.3 12,684.4 0.9 37,211 2.2 44,422-0.1 2002 10,980.2 3.3 85.1 1.5 12,909.7 1.8 38,064 2.3 44,753 0.7 2003 11,512.2 4.8 86.8 2.0 13,270.0 2.8 39,521 3.8 45,556 1.8 2004 12,277.0 6.6 89.1 2.7 13,774.0 3.8 41,750 5.6 46,840 2.8 2005 13,095.4 6.7 92.0 3.2 14,235.6 3.4 44,119 5.7 47,960 2.4 2006 13,857.9 5.8 94.8 3.1 14,615.2 2.7 46,260 4.9 48,788 1.7 2007 14,480.3 4.5 97.3 2.7 14,876.8 1.8 47,903 3.6 49,215 0.9 2008 14,720.3 1.7 99.2 2.0 14,833.6-0.3 48,265 0.8 48,636-1.2 2009 14,417.9-2.1 100.0 0.8 14,417.9-2.8 46,859-2.9 46,859-3.7 2010 14,958.3 3.7 101.2 1.2 14,779.4 2.5 48,193 2.8 47,617 1.6 2011 15,533.8 3.8 103.2 2.0 15,052.4 1.8 49,615 3.0 48,078 1.0 2012 16,244.6 4.6 105.0 1.7 15,470.7 2.8 51,441 3.7 48,990 1.9 2013 16,799.7 3.4 106.6 1.5 15,761.3 1.9 52,747 2.5 49,486 1.0 2014 17,426.0 3.7 108.2 1.5 16,102.5 2.2 54,253 2.9 50,133 1.3 2015 18,234.6 4.6 110.0 1.7 16,570.0 2.9 56,300 3.8 51,160 2.0 2016 19,174.7 5.2 112.1 1.9 17,102.5 3.2 58,717 4.3 52,372 2.4 2017 20,307.6 5.9 114.6 2.2 17,725.1 3.6 61,684 5.1 53,840 2.8 2018 21,447.2 5.6 117.1 2.2 18,317.1 3.3 64,626 4.8 55,194 2.5 2019 22,475.7 4.8 119.4 2.0 18,822.3 2.8 67,193 4.0 56,271 2.0 2020 23,501.0 4.6 121.7 1.9 19,317.5 2.6 69,715 3.8 57,305 1.8 N-1
N-2. Población Total, Ocupación y Tasa de Desempleo en Estados Unidos: Escenario Base 2014-2020 (Miles de personas) Población Fuerza de Trabajo Empleo No Agrícola Empleo Años Total Total Ocupada Nuevos Sin Empleo Tasa de Total Minería Construcción Manufacturas Servicios Agrícola Personas Var.% Personas Personas Var.% Empleos Personas Desempleo Var.% Anual Var.% Anual Var.% Anual Var.% Anual Var.% Anual Var.% Anual 1980 229,825 1.0 106,940 99,303 0.5 479 7,637 7.1 0.7 6.8-2.4-3.6 2.1-1.4 1981 232,035 1.0 108,670 100,397 1.1 1,094 8,273 7.6 0.8 9.6-3.4-0.5 1.4 3.8 1982 234,261 1.0 110,204 99,526-0.9-871 10,678 9.7-1.8-1.4-6.5-6.8-0.1 8.1 1983 236,511 1.0 111,550 100,834 1.3 1,308 10,717 9.6 0.7-14.3 1.0-1.8 1.6 7.1 1984 238,794 1.0 113,544 105,005 4.1 4,171 8,539 7.5 4.7 1.7 10.7 5.1 4.3-0.8 1985 241,120 1.0 115,461 107,150 2.0 2,145 8,312 7.2 3.2-3.9 6.5-0.6 4.0-8.0 1986 243,496 1.0 117,834 109,597 2.3 2,447 8,237 7.0 2.0-14.9 3.0-1.5 3.0 5.0 1987 245,921 1.0 119,865 112,440 2.6 2,843 7,425 6.2 2.6-7.0 3.1 0.3 3.2 2.2 1988 248,382 1.0 121,669 114,968 2.2 2,528 6,701 5.5 3.2-0.1 2.8 1.7 3.6-7.1 1989 250,858 1.0 123,869 117,342 2.1 2,374 6,528 5.3 2.5-2.6 1.5 0.4 3.1-3.1 1990 253,339 1.0 125,840 118,793 1.2 1,451 7,047 5.6 1.4 2.0-0.9-1.6 2.1-0.3 1991 255,807 1.0 126,346 117,718-0.9-1,075 8,628 6.8-1.0-3.4-9.2-3.5 0.0 0.3 1992 258,276 1.0 128,105 118,492 0.7 774 9,613 7.5 0.3-6.8-3.6-1.6 1.0 4.3 1993 260,803 1.0 129,200 120,259 1.5 1,767 8,940 6.9 2.0-3.3 3.7-0.1 2.3-3.8 1994 263,469 1.0 131,056 123,060 2.3 2,801 7,996 6.1 3.1-1.1 6.6 1.5 3.3-7.1 1995 266,324 1.1 132,304 124,900 1.5 1,840 7,404 5.6 2.6-2.7 3.5 1.3 2.9-13.5 1996 269,394 1.2 133,943 126,708 1.4 1,808 7,236 5.4 2.1-0.6 5.0 0.0 2.3-8.3 1997 272,643 1.2 136,297 129,558 2.2 2,850 6,739 4.9 2.6 2.7 5.0 1.1 2.7-3.8 1998 275,986 1.2 137,673 131,463 1.5 1,905 6,210 4.5 2.6-1.4 5.8 0.8 2.8-19.7 1999 279,300 1.2 139,368 133,488 1.5 2,025 5,880 4.2 2.4-7.3 6.4-1.4 2.9-19.9 2000 282,496 1.1 142,583 136,891 2.5 3,403 5,692 4.0 2.2 0.2 3.7-0.3 2.5 14.7 2001 285,545 1.1 143,734 136,933 0.0 42 6,801 4.7 0.0 1.2 0.6-4.8 0.8-0.2 2002 288,467 1.0 144,863 136,485-0.3-448 8,378 5.8-1.1-3.8-1.6-7.2-0.1 20.5 2003 291,291 1.0 146,510 137,736 0.9 1,251 8,774 6.0-0.2-1.9 0.3-4.9 0.4 26.7 2004 294,063 1.0 147,401 139,252 1.1 1,516 8,149 5.5 1.1 3.3 3.6-1.3 1.3 1.1 2005 296,820 0.9 149,320 141,730 1.8 2,478 7,591 5.1 1.7 6.3 5.2-0.6 1.8 3.0 2006 299,564 0.9 151,428 144,427 1.9 2,697 7,001 4.6 1.8 8.9 4.8-0.5 1.8 3.9 2007 302,285 0.9 153,124 146,047 1.1 1,620 7,078 4.6 1.1 5.8-0.8-1.9 1.6 1.0 2008 304,989 0.9 154,287 145,362-0.5-685 8,924 5.8-0.6 5.9-6.1-3.4 0.1 1.0 2009 307,687 0.9 154,142 139,877-3.8-5,485 14,265 9.3-4.3-9.5-16.0-11.6-2.7 5.5 2010 310,384 0.9 153,889 139,064-0.6-813 14,825 9.6-0.7 1.6-8.3-2.7-0.1 1.7 2011 313,085 0.9 153,617 139,869 0.6 805 13,747 8.9 1.2 11.8 0.3 1.7 1.1-8.7 2012 315,791 0.9 154,975 142,469 1.9 2,600 12,506 8.1 1.7 7.6 2.0 1.7 1.7 4.2 2013 318,498 0.9 155,389 143,929 1.0 1,460 11,460 7.4 1.7 2.4 3.2 0.7 1.7-9.6 2014 321,197 0.8 156,363 146,573 1.8 2,644 9,790 6.3 1.9 5.0 3.7 1.2 1.8 1.2 2015 323,885 0.8 158,714 149,366 1.9 2,793 9,348 5.9 1.9 1.6 3.9 0.6 2.0 1.3 2016 326,560 0.8 161,493 152,456 2.1 3,091 9,037 5.6 2.1 2.2 4.1 0.2 2.1 2.2 2017 329,222 0.8 164,570 155,746 2.2 3,290 8,823 5.4 2.3 3.3 6.2-0.3 2.4-1.3 2018 331,868 0.8 167,157 158,520 1.8 2,774 8,637 5.2 1.8 2.2 4.3-0.4 1.8 2.1 2019 334,496 0.8 169,427 160,768 1.4 2,248 8,659 5.1 1.7 1.8 4.0-0.5 1.7-3.2 2020 337,102 0.8 171,471 162,892 1.3 2,124 8,578 5.0 1.3 1.3 3.2-0.8 1.4 1.2 N-2
Años! N-3. Oferta y Demanda Anual de Estados Unidos: Escenario Base 2014-2020 (Miles de Millones de Dólares a Precios de 2009) Oferta Global Demanda Global Producto Importación de TOTAL Consumo Consumo e Inversión Interno Bruto Bienes y Servicios Privado del Gobierno Dólares Var.% Dólares Var.% Dólares Var.% Dólares Var.% Dólares Var.% 1980 6,443.4-0.2 370.3-6.6 6,813.7-0.6 3,991.6-0.3 1,612.5 1.9 1981 6,610.6 2.6 380.0 2.6 6,990.6 2.6 4,050.8 1.5 1,628.0 1.0 1982 6,484.3-1.9 375.2-1.3 6,859.5-1.9 4,108.4 1.4 1,658.0 1.8 1983 6,784.7 4.6 422.6 12.6 7,207.3 5.1 4,342.6 5.7 1,721.6 3.8 1984 7,277.2 7.3 525.4 24.3 7,802.6 8.3 4,571.6 5.3 1,783.2 3.6 1985 7,585.7 4.2 559.5 6.5 8,145.2 4.4 4,812.0 5.3 1,904.0 6.8 1986 7,852.1 3.5 607.3 8.5 8,459.4 3.9 5,014.1 4.2 2,007.7 5.4 1987 8,123.9 3.5 643.3 5.9 8,767.2 3.6 5,183.7 3.4 2,066.9 2.9 1988 8,465.4 4.2 668.6 3.9 9,134.0 4.2 5,400.5 4.2 2,094.8 1.3 1989 8,777.0 3.7 698.0 4.4 9,475.0 3.7 5,558.2 2.9 2,155.1 2.9 1990 8,945.4 1.9 723.0 3.6 9,668.4 2.0 5,672.7 2.1 2,224.3 3.2 1991 8,938.9-0.1 721.9-0.2 9,660.8-0.1 5,685.7 0.2 2,250.9 1.2 1992 9,256.7 3.6 772.5 7.0 10,029.2 3.8 5,896.6 3.7 2,262.1 0.5 1993 9,510.8 2.7 839.3 8.6 10,350.1 3.2 6,101.5 3.5 2,243.3-0.8 1994 9,894.7 4.0 939.5 11.9 10,834.2 4.7 6,338.1 3.9 2,245.5 0.1 1995 10,163.7 2.7 1,014.6 8.0 11,178.3 3.2 6,527.7 3.0 2,257.5 0.5 1996 10,549.5 3.8 1,102.9 8.7 11,652.4 4.2 6,755.7 3.5 2,279.2 1.0 1997 11,022.9 4.5 1,251.4 13.5 12,274.3 5.3 7,010.0 3.8 2,322.0 1.9 1998 11,513.4 4.4 1,397.7 11.7 12,911.1 5.2 7,384.8 5.3 2,370.5 2.1 1999 12,071.4 4.8 1,556.4 11.4 13,627.8 5.6 7,788.1 5.5 2,451.7 3.4 2000 12,565.2 4.1 1,755.1 12.8 14,320.3 5.1 8,182.1 5.1 2,498.2 1.9 2001 12,684.4 0.9 1,704.7-2.9 14,389.1 0.5 8,387.5 2.5 2,592.4 3.8 2002 12,909.7 1.8 1,763.0 3.4 14,672.7 2.0 8,600.4 2.5 2,705.8 4.4 2003 13,270.0 2.8 1,838.8 4.3 15,108.8 3.0 8,866.2 3.1 2,764.3 2.2 2004 13,774.0 3.8 2,041.2 11.0 15,815.2 4.7 9,205.6 3.8 2,808.2 1.6 2005 14,235.6 3.4 2,165.5 6.1 16,401.1 3.7 9,527.8 3.5 2,826.2 0.6 2006 14,615.2 2.7 2,298.6 6.1 16,913.8 3.1 9,814.9 3.0 2,869.3 1.5 2007 14,876.8 1.8 2,350.9 2.3 17,227.7 1.9 10,035.5 2.2 2,914.4 1.6 2008 14,833.6-0.3 2,288.7-2.6 17,122.3-0.6 9,999.2-0.4 2,994.8 2.8 2009 14,417.9-2.8 1,976.0-13.7 16,393.9-4.3 9,842.9-1.6 3,089.1 3.1 2010 14,779.4 2.5 2,228.1 12.8 17,007.5 3.7 10,035.9 2.0 3,091.4 0.1 2011 15,052.4 1.8 2,336.4 4.9 17,388.8 2.2 10,291.3 2.5 2,992.3-3.2 2012 15,470.7 2.8 2,388.2 2.2 17,858.9 2.7 10,517.6 2.2 2,963.1-1.0 2013 15,761.3 1.9 2,422.3 1.4 18,183.6 1.8 10,727.9 2.0 2,897.0-2.2 2014 16,102.5 2.2 2,546.8 5.1 18,649.2 2.6 11,010.9 2.6 2,865.1-1.1 2015 16,570.0 2.9 2,743.6 7.7 19,313.7 3.6 11,325.8 2.9 2,843.9-0.7 2016 17,102.5 3.2 3,007.4 9.6 20,109.9 4.1 11,667.3 3.0 2,828.5-0.5 2017 17,725.1 3.6 3,352.9 11.5 21,078.1 4.8 12,043.7 3.2 2,818.9-0.3 2018 18,317.1 3.3 3,710.1 10.7 22,027.2 4.5 12,392.0 2.9 2,820.6 0.1 2019 18,822.3 2.8 4,041.1 8.9 22,863.4 3.8 12,712.5 2.6 2,825.1 0.2 2020 19,317.5 2.6 4,329.4 7.1 23,646.9 3.4 12,998.1 2.2 2,832.5 0.3 N-3 Continúa
(Continuación) Años! Demanda Global Formación Bruta de Capital Fijo Exportación de Total Residencial No Residencial Variación Bienes y Servicios Dólares Var.% Dólares Var.% Dólares Var.% Existencias Dólares Var.% 1980 881.2-10.1 333.1-20.9 585.0 0.0-36.9 280.8 22.0 1981 958.7 8.8 305.7-8.2 620.9 6.1 32.2 305.2 8.7 1982 833.7-13.0 250.3-18.1 598.6-3.6-15.2 283.2-7.2 1983 911.5 9.3 355.4 42.0 596.0-0.4-39.9 277.0-2.2 1984 1,160.3 27.3 407.8 14.8 695.3 16.7 57.1 302.4 9.2 1985 1,159.5-0.1 417.2 2.3 741.2 6.6 1.1 303.2 0.3 1986 1,161.3 0.2 468.9 12.4 728.4-1.7-36.0 321.0 5.9 1987 1,194.4 2.9 478.2 2.0 729.1 0.1-12.8 363.9 13.4 1988 1,223.8 2.5 473.9-0.9 765.5 5.0-15.7 444.6 22.2 1989 1,273.4 4.1 458.6-3.2 808.9 5.7 5.9 504.3 13.4 1990 1,240.6-2.6 419.7-8.5 817.6 1.1 3.4 551.9 9.4 1991 1,158.8-6.6 382.3-8.9 785.5-3.9-9.0 594.9 7.8 1992 1,243.7 7.3 435.0 13.8 808.4 2.9 0.3 633.0 6.4 1993 1,343.1 8.0 470.5 8.2 869.0 7.5 3.6 654.8 3.4 1994 1,502.3 11.9 512.8 9.0 937.6 7.9 51.9 720.9 10.1 1995 1,550.8 3.2 495.4-3.4 1,028.5 9.7 26.9 812.8 12.7 1996 1,686.7 8.8 535.9 8.2 1,122.1 9.1 28.8 867.6 6.7 1997 1,879.0 11.4 548.9 2.4 1,242.9 10.8 87.3 953.8 9.9 1998 2,058.3 9.5 596.3 8.6 1,376.5 10.8 85.5 952.9-0.1 1999 2,231.4 8.4 633.8 6.3 1,510.1 9.7 75.5 989.2 3.8 2000 2,375.5 6.5 637.9 0.6 1,647.7 9.1 66.2 1,094.3 10.6 2001 2,231.4-6.1 643.7 0.9 1,608.4-2.4-46.2 1,028.8-6.0 2002 2,218.2-0.6 682.7 6.1 1,498.0-6.9 22.5 1,004.7-2.3 2003 2,308.7 4.1 744.5 9.1 1,526.1 1.9 22.6 1,043.4 3.9 2004 2,511.3 8.8 818.9 10.0 1,605.4 5.2 71.4 1,183.1 13.4 2005 2,672.6 6.4 872.6 6.6 1,717.4 7.0 64.3 1,310.4 10.8 2006 2,730.0 2.1 806.6-7.6 1,839.6 7.1 71.6 1,478.5 12.8 2007 2,644.1-3.1 654.8-18.8 1,948.4 5.9 35.5 1,665.7 12.7 2008 2,396.0-9.4 497.7-24.0 1,934.4-0.7-33.7 1,843.1 10.7 2009 1,878.1-21.6 392.2-21.2 1,633.4-15.6-147.6 1,583.8-14.1 2010 2,120.4 12.9 382.4-2.5 1,673.8 2.5 58.2 1,843.5 16.4 2011 2,224.6 4.9 384.3 0.5 1,800.5 7.6 33.6 2,101.2 14.0 2012 2,436.0 9.5 433.7 12.9 1,931.8 7.3 57.6 2,195.9 4.5 2013 2,566.4 5.4 486.6 12.2 1,984.4 2.7 81.6 2,010.1-8.5 2014 2,702.6 5.3 503.3 3.4 2,064.8 4.1 116.8 2,108.9 4.9 2015 2,895.9 7.2 555.1 10.3 2,203.2 6.7 121.0 2,260.9 7.2 2016 3,165.7 9.3 606.2 9.2 2,414.7 9.6 126.6 2,468.9 9.2 2017 3,510.1 10.9 656.5 8.3 2,699.6 11.8 138.3 2,736.2 10.8 2018 3,838.1 9.3 706.4 7.6 2,977.7 10.3 137.4 3,003.1 9.8 2019 4,118.3 7.3 749.5 6.1 3,218.9 8.1 131.8 3,250.3 8.2 2020 4,382.9 6.4 784.7 4.7 3,450.6 7.2 127.5 3,476.5 7.0 N-4 (Continúa)
(Continuación) Estructura Porcentual del Producto Interno Bruto Años PIB Consumo Gasto Inversión Bruta Fija Privada Variación de Balanza de Bienes y Servicios Ajuste Real Privado Gobierno Total Residencial Otras Existencias Saldo Exportación Importación Residual 1980 100.0 61.9 25.0 13.7 5.2 9.1-0.6-1.4 4.4 5.7 0.7 1981 100.0 61.3 24.6 14.5 4.6 9.4 0.5-1.1 4.6 5.7 0.7 1982 100.0 63.4 25.6 12.9 3.9 9.2-0.2-1.4 4.4 5.8-0.4 1983 100.0 64.0 25.4 13.4 5.2 8.8-0.6-2.1 4.1 6.2-0.7 1984 100.0 62.8 24.5 15.9 5.6 9.6 0.8-3.1 4.2 7.2-0.2 1985 100.0 63.4 25.1 15.3 5.5 9.8 0.0-3.4 4.0 7.4-0.4 1986 100.0 63.9 25.6 14.8 6.0 9.3-0.5-3.6 4.1 7.7-0.6 1987 100.0 63.8 25.4 14.7 5.9 9.0-0.2-3.4 4.5 7.9-0.5 1988 100.0 63.8 24.7 14.5 5.6 9.0-0.2-2.6 5.3 7.9-0.4 1989 100.0 63.3 24.6 14.5 5.2 9.2 0.1-2.2 5.7 8.0-0.2 1990 100.0 63.4 24.9 13.9 4.7 9.1 0.0-1.9 6.2 8.1-0.2 1991 100.0 63.6 25.2 13.0 4.3 8.8-0.1-1.4 6.7 8.1-0.3 1992 100.0 63.7 24.4 13.4 4.7 8.7 0.0-1.5 6.8 8.3-0.1 1993 100.0 64.2 23.6 14.1 4.9 9.1 0.0-1.9 6.9 8.8 0.1 1994 100.0 64.1 22.7 15.2 5.2 9.5 0.5-2.2 7.3 9.5 0.3 1995 100.0 64.2 22.2 15.3 4.9 10.1 0.3-2.0 8.0 10.0 0.3 1996 100.0 64.0 21.6 16.0 5.1 10.6 0.3-2.2 8.2 10.5 0.6 1997 100.0 63.6 21.1 17.0 5.0 11.3 0.8-2.7 8.7 11.4 1.0 1998 100.0 64.1 20.6 17.9 5.2 12.0 0.7-3.9 8.3 12.1 1.3 1999 100.0 64.5 20.3 18.5 5.3 12.5 0.6-4.7 8.2 12.9 1.4 2000 100.0 65.1 19.9 18.9 5.1 13.1 0.5-5.3 8.7 14.0 1.4 2001 100.0 66.1 20.4 17.6 5.1 12.7-0.4-5.3 8.1 13.4 1.2 2002 100.0 66.6 21.0 17.2 5.3 11.6 0.2-5.9 7.8 13.7 1.1 2003 100.0 66.8 20.8 17.4 5.6 11.5 0.2-6.0 7.9 13.9 1.0 2004 100.0 66.8 20.4 18.2 5.9 11.7 0.5-6.2 8.6 14.8 0.8 2005 100.0 66.9 19.9 18.8 6.1 12.1 0.5-6.0 9.2 15.2 0.5 2006 100.0 67.2 19.6 18.7 5.5 12.6 0.5-5.6 10.1 15.7 0.1 2007 100.0 67.5 19.6 17.8 4.4 13.1 0.2-4.6 11.2 15.8-0.2 2008 100.0 67.4 20.2 16.2 3.4 13.0-0.2-3.0 12.4 15.4-0.7 2009 100.0 68.3 21.4 13.0 2.7 11.3-1.0-2.7 11.0 13.7 0.0 2010 100.0 67.9 20.9 14.3 2.6 11.3 0.4-2.6 12.5 15.1-0.6 2011 100.0 68.4 19.9 14.8 2.6 12.0 0.2-1.6 14.0 15.5-1.5 2012 100.0 68.0 19.2 15.7 2.8 12.5 0.4-1.2 14.2 15.4-1.6 2013 100.0 68.1 18.4 16.3 3.1 12.6 0.5-2.6 12.8 15.4-0.1 2014 100.0 68.4 17.8 16.8 3.1 12.8 0.7-2.7 13.1 15.8-0.2 2015 100.0 68.4 17.2 17.5 3.4 13.3 0.7-2.9 13.6 16.6-0.1 2016 100.0 68.2 16.5 18.5 3.5 14.1 0.7-3.1 14.4 17.6-0.1 2017 100.0 67.9 15.9 19.8 3.7 15.2 0.8-3.5 15.4 18.9-0.2 2018 100.0 67.7 15.4 21.0 3.9 16.3 0.8-3.9 16.4 20.3-0.1 2019 100.0 67.5 15.0 21.9 4.0 17.1 0.7-4.2 17.3 21.5-0.2 2020 100.0 67.3 14.7 22.7 4.1 17.9 0.7-4.4 18.0 22.4-0.2 N-5 (Continuación)
N-4. Oferta y Demanda Trimestral de Estados Unidos: Escenario Base 2014 (Miles de millones de dólares a precios de 2009 y variación % trimestral anualizada) Años! Oferta Global Demanda Global Producto Importación de TOTAL Consumo Consumo e Inversión Interno Bruto Bienes y Servicios Privado del Gobierno Dólares Var.% Dólares Var.% Dólares Var.% Dólares Var.% Dólares Var.% 2011 15,052.4 1.8 2,336.4 4.9 17,388.8 2.2 10,291.3 2.5 2,992.3-3.2 I 14,894.0-1.3 2,311.3 2.8 17,205.3-0.7 10,221.3 2.1 3,012.0-7.5 II 15,011.3 3.2 2,315.2 0.7 17,326.5 2.8 10,258.9 1.5 3,002.4-1.3 III 15,062.1 1.4 2,342.8 4.9 17,404.9 1.8 10,311.9 2.1 2,983.2-2.5 IV 15,242.1 4.9 2,376.4 5.9 17,618.5 4.9 10,373.1 2.4 2,971.7-1.5 2012 15,470.7 2.8 2,388.2 2.2 17,858.9 2.7 10,517.6 2.2 2,963.1-1.0 I 15,381.6 3.7 2,380.6 0.7 17,762.2 3.3 10,447.8 2.9 2,961.3-1.4 II 15,427.7 1.2 2,395.1 2.5 17,822.8 1.4 10,496.8 1.9 2,963.5 0.3 III 15,534.0 2.8 2,398.0 0.5 17,932.0 2.5 10,541.0 1.7 2,988.8 3.5 IV 15,539.6 0.1 2,379.1-3.1 17,918.7-0.3 10,584.8 1.7 2,938.8-6.5 2013 15,761.3 1.9 2,422.3 1.4 18,183.6 1.8 10,727.9 2.0 2,897.0-2.2 I 15,583.9 1.1 2,382.7 0.6 17,966.6 1.1 10,644.0 2.3 2,907.4-4.2 II 15,679.7 2.5 2,422.9 6.9 18,102.6 3.0 10,691.9 1.8 2,904.5-0.4 III 15,839.3 4.1 2,437.3 2.4 18,276.6 3.8 10,744.2 2.0 2,907.4 0.4 IV 15,942.3 2.6 2,446.4 1.5 18,388.7 2.5 10,831.5 3.3 2,868.5-5.2 2014 16,102.5 2.2 2,546.8 5.1 18,649.2 2.6 11,010.9 2.6 2,865.1-1.1 I 15,824.2-2.9 2,457.4 1.8 18,281.6-2.3 10,859.2 1.0 2,863.0-0.8 II e/ 15,986.3 4.1 643.3 15.2 18,537.2 5.6 10,915.1 2.1 2,867.3 0.6 III e/ 16,215.4 5.7 645.5 3.9 18,791.1 5.5 11,054.8 5.1 2,873.2 0.8 IV e/ 16,383.9 4.2 654.8 4.4 18,987.8 4.2 11,183.5 4.7 2,846.7-3.7 Fuente: Cuadro elaborado por CAMACRO con datos del Departament of Commerce, Bureau of Economic Analysis. e/ Estimación Modelo Prospectivo de la Economía Mexicana MOPEM. (Continúa) N-6
(Continuación) Años! Demanda Global Formación Bruta de Capital Fijo Exportación de Total Residencial No Residencial Variación Bienes y Servicios Dólares Var.% Dólares Var.% Dólares Var.% Existencias Dólares Var.% 2011 2,224.6 4.9 384.3 0.5 1,800.5 7.6 33.6 2,101.2 14.0 I 2,124.3-7.5 376.7 1.7 1,724.1-0.9 22.0 1,854.7 3.8 II 2,196.1 14.2 379.2 2.7 1,765.3 9.9 42.9 1,876.9 4.9 III 2,209.9 2.5 384.9 6.1 1,835.0 16.7-11.0 1,908.9 7.0 IV 2,368.2 31.9 396.2 12.2 1,877.3 9.5 80.6 1,921.7 2.7 2012 2,436.0 9.5 433.7 12.9 1,931.8 7.3 57.6 2,195.9 4.5 I 2,427.8 10.5 417.2 23.0 1,903.8 5.8 89.2 1,941.4 4.2 II 2,418.0-1.6 423.0 5.7 1,925.0 4.5 56.8 1,959.8 3.8 III 2,456.5 6.5 437.3 14.1 1,926.4 0.3 77.2 1,961.6 0.4 IV 2,441.8-2.4 457.5 19.8 1,971.9 9.8 7.3 1,967.0 1.1 2013 2,566.4 5.4 486.6 12.2 1,984.4 2.7 81.6 2,010.1-8.5 I 2,470.1 4.7 471.2 12.5 1,949.0-4.6 42.2 1,960.5-1.3 II 2,524.9 9.2 487.1 14.2 1,971.3 4.7 56.6 1,998.4 8.0 III 2,627.2 17.2 499.2 10.3 1,994.7 4.8 115.7 2,017.6 3.9 IV 2,643.3 2.5 489.0-7.9 2,022.5 5.7 111.7 2,063.7 9.5 2014 2,702.6 5.3 503.3 3.4 2,064.8 4.1 116.8 2,108.9 4.9 I 2,562.1-11.7 483.8-4.2 2,016.6-1.2 45.9 2,016.3-8.9 II e/ 2,684.8 19.2 494.9 9.2 2,050.9 6.8 124.7 2,099.2 16.4 III e/ 2,753.5 10.2 512.7 14.4 2,078.4 5.4 144.7 2,138.2 7.4 IV e/ 2,806.2 7.6 521.8 7.1 2,113.4 6.7 151.8 2,182.1 8.2 Fuente: Cuadro elaborado por CAMACRO con datos del Departament of Commerce, Bureau of Economic Analysis. e/ Empieza estimación Modelo Prospectivo de la Economía Mexicana MOPEM. N-7
N-5. Balanza de Pagos de los Estados Unidos: Escenario Base 2014-2020 (Millones de dólares) Bienes Servicios Ingresos, Balanza Años Exportaciones Importaciones Saldo Exportaciones Importaciones Saldo Pagos y Cuenta Corriente Mills. Dls. Var.% Mills. Dls. Var.% Bienes Mills. Dls. Var.% Mills. Dls. Var.% Servicios Transferencias Mills. Dls. %PIB 1980 224,250 21.6-249,750 17.8-25,500 47,584 19.9-41,491 13.1 6,093 21,725 2,317 0.1 1981 237,044 5.7-265,067 6.1-28,023 57,354 20.5-45,503 9.7 11,851 21,201 5,030 0.2 1982 211,157-10.9-247,642-6.6-36,485 64,079 11.7-51,749 13.7 12,330 18,620-5,536-0.2 1983 201,799-4.4-268,901 8.6-67,102 64,307 0.4-54,973 6.2 9,334 19,076-38,691-1.1 1984 219,926 9.0-332,418 23.6-112,492 71,168 10.7-67,748 23.2 3,420 14,728-94,344-2.3 1985 215,915-1.8-338,088 1.7-122,173 73,155 2.8-72,862 7.5 293 3,725-118,155-2.7 1986 223,344 3.4-368,425 9.0-145,081 86,689 18.5-80,147 10.0 6,542-8,639-147,177-3.2 1987 250,208 12.0-409,765 11.2-159,557 98,661 13.8-90,787 13.3 7,874-8,972-160,655-3.3 1988 320,230 28.0-447,189 9.1-126,959 110,919 12.4-98,526 8.5 12,393-6,587-121,153-2.3 1989 359,916 12.4-477,665 6.8-117,749 127,087 14.6-102,479 4.0 24,608-6,345-99,486-1.8 1990 387,401 7.6-498,438 4.3-111,037 147,832 16.3-117,659 14.8 30,173 1,896-78,968-1.3 1991 414,083 6.9-491,020-1.5-76,937 164,261 11.1-118,459 0.7 45,802 34,034 2,898 0.0 1992 439,631 6.2-536,528 9.3-96,897 177,252 7.9-119,566 0.9 57,686-12,401-51,613-0.8 1993 456,943 3.9-589,394 9.9-132,451 185,920 4.9-123,779 3.5 62,141-14,496-84,806-1.2 1994 502,859 10.0-668,690 13.5-165,831 200,395 7.8-133,057 7.5 67,338-23,119-121,612-1.7 1995 575,204 14.4-749,374 12.1-174,170 219,183 9.4-141,397 6.3 77,786-17,183-113,567-1.5 1996 612,113 6.4-803,113 7.2-191,000 239,489 9.3-152,554 7.9 86,935-20,699-124,764-1.5 1997 678,366 10.8-876,794 9.2-198,428 256,087 6.9-165,932 8.8 90,155-32,453-140,726-1.6 1998 670,416-1.2-918,637 4.8-248,221 262,758 2.6-180,677 8.9 82,081-48,922-215,062-2.4 1999 698,218 4.1-1,035,592 12.7-337,374 269,079 2.4-190,323 5.3 78,756-36,914-295,531-3.1 2000 784,781 12.4-1,231,722 18.9-446,941 287,474 6.8-213,049 11.9 74,425-38,240-410,756-4.0 2001 731,189-6.8-1,153,701-6.3-422,512 271,348-5.6-210,347-1.3 61,001-33,817-395,328-3.7 2002 697,439-4.6-1,173,281 1.7-475,842 277,169 2.1-220,281 4.7 56,888-39,132-458,087-4.2 2003 729,816 4.6-1,272,089 8.4-542,273 287,650 3.8-239,267 8.6 48,383-27,452-521,341-4.5 2004 821,986 12.6-1,488,349 17.0-666,363 335,975 16.8-279,494 16.8 56,481-23,885-633,768-5.2 2005 911,686 10.9-1,695,820 13.9-784,134 371,411 10.5-301,523 7.9 69,888-31,190-745,436-5.7 2006 1,039,406 14.0-1,878,194 10.8-838,788 413,442 11.3-336,370 11.6 77,072-45,010-806,726-5.8 2007 1,163,605 11.9-1,986,347 5.8-822,742 484,631 17.2-367,263 9.2 117,368-13,268-718,644-5.0 2008 1,307,329 12.4-2,141,287 7.8-833,958 527,199 8.8-401,969 9.4 125,230 22,085-686,643-4.7 2009 1,069,534-18.2-1,580,025-26.2-510,491 505,204-4.2-378,486-5.8 126,718 2,982-380,791-2.6 2010 1,289,862 20.6-1,938,950 22.7-649,088 559,064 10.7-404,633 6.9 154,431 50,727-443,931-3.0 2011 1,498,729 16.2-2,239,886 15.5-741,157 622,705 11.4-430,174 6.3 192,531 89,281-459,346-3.0 2012 1,561,123 4.2-2,303,785 2.9-742,662 649,871 4.4-444,815 3.4 205,056 76,856-460,749-2.8 2013 1,592,168 2.0-2,294,453-0.4-702,285 682,248 5.0-456,355 2.6 225,893 76,138-400,254-2.4 2014 1,661,820 4.4-2,406,247 4.9-744,427 709,165 3.9-479,895 5.2 229,269 70,478-444,680-2.6 2015 1,783,797 7.3-2,571,315 6.9-787,518 747,034 5.3-509,841 6.2 237,193 62,097-488,228-2.7 2016 1,959,323 9.8-2,811,219 9.3-851,896 796,039 6.6-547,263 7.3 248,776 62,727-540,393-2.8 2017 2,197,968 12.2-3,139,007 11.7-941,039 852,558 7.1-591,044 8.0 261,514 63,266-616,258-3.0 2018 2,440,624 11.0-3,472,997 10.6-1,032,373 905,076 6.2-630,644 6.7 274,432 70,873-687,069-3.2 2019 2,666,626 9.3-3,790,429 9.1-1,123,804 950,873 5.1-664,699 5.4 286,174 80,903-756,727-3.4 2020 2,868,223 7.6-4,069,405 7.4-1,201,182 991,380 4.3-695,275 4.6 296,105 88,695-816,383-3.5 N-8 (Continúa)
(Continuación) Bienes Servicios Ingresos, Balanza Años Exportaciones Importaciones Saldo Exportaciones Importaciones Saldo Pagos y Cuenta Corriente Mills. Dls. Var.% Mills. Dls. Var.% Bienes Mills. Dls. Var.% Mills. Dls. Var.% Servicios Transferencias Mills. Dls. %PIB 2011 1,498,730 16.2-2,239,886 15.5-741,156 622,706 11.4-430,174 6.3 192,532 89,281-459,343-3.0 I 360,040 18.3-541,686 18.6-181,646 150,615 13.5-103,288 5.3 47,327 15,738-118,581-3.1 II 373,127 18.4-559,978 16.6-186,851 155,907 14.5-107,935 8.3 47,972 18,271-120,608-3.1 III 382,064 17.5-565,490 14.5-183,426 159,371 12.1-109,906 7.1 49,465 25,983-107,978-2.8 IV 383,499 11.1-572,732 12.8-189,233 156,813 5.9-109,045 4.6 47,768 29,289-112,176-2.8 2012 1,561,124 4.2-2,303,784 2.9-742,660 649,871 4.4-444,815 3.4 205,056 76,854-460,750-2.8 I 387,473 7.6-581,054 7.3-193,581 158,887 5.5-109,760 6.3 49,127 20,492-123,962-3.1 II 391,640 5.0-580,003 3.6-188,363 160,997 3.3-110,670 2.5 50,327 19,161-118,875-2.9 III 391,835 2.6-570,941 1.0-179,106 161,942 1.6-111,355 1.3 50,587 16,387-112,132-2.7 IV 390,176 1.7-571,786-0.2-181,610 168,045 7.2-113,030 3.7 55,015 20,814-105,781-2.6 2013 1,592,168 2.0-2,294,452-0.4-702,284 682,247 5.0-456,356 2.6 225,891 76,138-400,255-2.4 I 392,456 1.3-570,164-1.9-177,708 168,690 6.2-111,930 2.0 56,760 15,461-105,487-2.6 II 394,819 0.8-572,071-1.4-177,252 169,182 5.1-113,730 2.8 55,452 15,653-106,147-2.5 III 397,939 1.6-576,024 0.9-178,085 171,271 5.8-114,382 2.7 56,889 19,892-101,304-2.4 IV 406,954 4.3-576,193 0.8-169,239 173,104 3.0-116,314 2.9 56,790 25,132-87,317-2.0 2014 1,661,820 4.4-2,406,247 4.9-744,427 709,165 3.9-479,895 5.2 229,269 70,478-444,680-2.6 I 399,514 1.8-581,998 2.1-182,484 172,818 2.4-117,148 4.7 55,670 15,658-111,156-2.6 II e/ 411,412 4.2-601,036 5.1-189,624 176,249 4.2-119,682 5.2 56,567 13,960-119,097-2.8 III e/ 421,120 5.8-607,479 5.5-186,359 178,622 4.3-120,567 5.4 58,055 18,112-110,191-2.5 IV e/ 429,774 5.6-615,734 6.9-185,961 181,476 4.8-122,499 5.3 58,977 22,748-104,235-2.3 e/ Estimación Modelo Prospectivo de la Economía Mexicana MOPEM. (Conclusión) N-9
N-6. Indice de Precios al Consumidor en EUA: Escenario Base 2014-2020 (Indice 1982-84=100) Inflación Inflación sin Precios Precios de la Energía Precios de la Precios de Años General Alimentos y Energía de los Alimentos Energía Gasolina Asistencia Médica los Transportes Indice Var. % Indice Var. % Indice Var. % Indice Var. % Indice Var. % Indice Var. % Indice Var. % 1980 82.4 13.5 80.8 12.4 86.8 8.6 86.0 30.9 103.1 38.5 74.9 11.0 83.1 17.8 1981 90.9 10.3 89.2 10.5 93.6 7.8 97.7 13.6 114.2 10.8 82.9 10.8 93.2 12.1 1982 96.5 6.1 95.9 7.4 97.4 4.1 99.2 1.5 108.1-5.3 92.6 11.6 97.0 4.1 1983 99.6 3.2 99.6 3.9 99.4 2.1 99.9 0.8 103.4-4.4 100.6 8.7 99.3 2.4 1984 103.9 4.3 104.5 4.9 103.2 3.8 100.9 1.0 101.1-2.2 106.9 6.2 103.7 4.4 1985 107.6 3.5 109.1 4.4 105.6 2.3 101.6 0.7 100.9-0.1 113.5 6.2 106.5 2.6 1986 109.6 1.9 113.5 4.0 108.9 3.2 88.2-13.2 78.6-22.1 122.0 7.5 102.3-3.9 1987 113.6 3.7 118.2 4.1 113.5 4.2 88.6 0.4 80.8 2.8 130.1 6.6 105.4 3.0 1988 118.3 4.1 123.4 4.4 118.2 4.1 89.3 0.8 81.3 0.7 138.6 6.5 108.7 3.1 1989 124.0 4.8 129.0 4.5 125.1 5.8 94.3 5.7 89.5 10.0 149.3 7.7 114.1 5.0 1990 130.7 5.4 135.5 5.0 132.4 5.8 102.1 8.2 102.8 14.8 162.8 9.1 120.5 5.6 1991 136.2 4.2 142.1 4.9 136.3 2.9 102.5 0.4 101.0-1.7 177.0 8.7 123.8 2.8 1992 140.3 3.0 147.3 3.7 137.9 1.2 103.0 0.5 100.4-0.6 190.1 7.4 126.5 2.2 1993 144.5 3.0 152.2 3.3 140.9 2.2 104.2 1.1 99.0-1.4 201.4 6.0 130.4 3.0 1994 148.2 2.6 156.5 2.9 144.3 2.4 104.6 0.5 99.1 0.1 211.0 4.8 134.3 3.0 1995 152.4 2.8 161.2 3.0 148.4 2.9 105.2 0.6 101.7 2.7 220.5 4.5 139.1 3.6 1996 156.9 2.9 165.6 2.7 153.3 3.3 110.1 4.6 108.7 6.9 228.2 3.5 143.0 2.8 1997 160.5 2.3 169.5 2.4 157.3 2.6 111.5 1.3 109.0 0.3 234.6 2.8 144.3 0.9 1998 163.0 1.6 173.4 2.3 160.7 2.2 102.9-7.7 94.2-13.6 242.1 3.2 141.6-1.9 1999 166.6 2.2 177.0 2.1 164.1 2.1 106.6 3.6 103.1 9.5 250.6 3.5 144.4 2.0 2000 172.2 3.4 181.3 2.4 167.8 2.3 124.6 16.9 131.9 28.0 260.8 4.1 153.3 6.2 2001 177.1 2.8 186.1 2.7 173.1 3.1 129.3 3.8 129.3-2.0 272.8 4.6 154.3 0.6 2002 179.9 1.6 190.5 2.3 176.2 1.8 121.7-5.9 121.6-5.9 285.6 4.7 152.9-0.9 2003 184.0 2.3 193.2 1.5 180.0 2.1 136.5 12.2 138.3 13.7 297.1 4.0 157.6 3.1 2004 188.9 2.7 196.6 1.8 186.2 3.4 151.4 10.9 162.3 17.4 310.1 4.4 163.1 3.5 2005 195.3 3.4 200.9 2.2 190.7 2.4 177.1 16.9 197.3 21.6 323.2 4.2 173.9 6.6 2006 201.6 3.2 205.9 2.5 195.2 2.3 196.9 11.2 222.4 12.7 336.2 4.0 180.9 4.0 2007 207.3 2.9 210.7 2.3 202.9 4.0 207.7 5.5 240.5 8.2 351.1 4.4 184.7 2.1 2008 215.3 3.8 215.6 2.3 214.1 5.5 236.7 13.9 280.0 16.4 364.1 3.7 195.5 5.9 2009 214.5-0.4 219.2 1.7 218.0 1.8 193.1-18.4 202.7-27.6 375.6 3.2 179.3-8.3 2010 218.1 1.6 221.3 1.0 219.6 0.8 211.4 9.5 239.4 18.1 388.4 3.4 193.4 7.9 2011 224.9 3.2 225.0 1.7 227.8 3.7 243.9 15.4 301.7 26.0 400.3 3.0 212.4 9.8 2012 229.6 2.1 229.8 2.1 233.8 2.6 246.1 0.9 311.5 3.2 414.9 3.7 217.3 2.3 2013 233.0 1.5 233.8 1.8 237.0 1.4 244.4-0.7 302.6-2.9 425.1 2.5 217.4 0.0 2014 237.3 1.9 238.5 2.0 242.5 2.3 245.6 0.5 301.3-0.4 436.2 2.6 218.2 0.4 2015 242.0 2.0 243.6 2.1 247.7 2.1 246.4 0.3 299.5-0.6 449.0 2.9 221.7 1.6 2016 247.2 2.2 248.9 2.2 253.0 2.2 250.7 1.7 308.1 2.9 463.1 3.1 226.9 2.3 2017 253.2 2.4 254.5 2.3 259.0 2.4 260.3 3.8 324.1 5.2 478.9 3.4 234.7 3.4 2018 259.2 2.3 260.2 2.2 264.8 2.2 268.2 3.0 338.7 4.5 496.1 3.6 240.8 2.6 2019 264.6 2.1 265.5 2.0 270.1 2.0 275.6 2.8 350.5 3.5 513.2 3.4 245.9 2.1 2020 269.9 2.0 270.6 1.9 275.2 1.9 282.3 2.4 359.8 2.7 529.7 3.2 250.8 2.0 N-10
N-7. Tasas de Interés Nominales y Reales en EUA: Escenario Base 2014-2020 (Promedio porcentual anual) Tasa de Interés Tasa de Fondos Letras del Tesoro Papel Depósitos en Londres Años Preferencial Federales de EE.UU. a 3 meses Comercial a 1 mes Eurodólares a 1 mes Libor a 3 meses Nominal Real Nominal Real Nominal Real Nominal Real Nominal Real Nominal Real 1980 15.26 3.43 13.35 1.49 11.43-0.41 12.72 0.86 13.81 1.96 13.96 2.11 1981 18.87 10.71 16.39 8.04 14.03 5.55 15.71 7.32 16.72 8.40 16.79 8.47 1982 14.85 11.63 12.24 8.78 10.61 7.05 11.84 8.35 12.78 9.37 12.95 9.55 1983 10.79 7.27 9.09 5.48 8.61 4.98 8.87 5.25 9.37 5.77 9.50 5.91 1984 12.04 8.45 10.23 6.52 9.52 5.77 10.07 6.35 10.43 6.73 10.60 6.91 1985 9.93 6.35 8.10 4.44 7.48 3.80 7.94 4.27 8.12 4.46 8.20 4.54 1986 8.33 7.48 6.80 5.85 5.98 4.99 6.61 5.65 6.79 5.84 6.90 5.96 1987 8.21 3.92 6.66 2.33 5.78 1.43 6.74 2.41 6.88 2.55 7.18 2.86 1988 9.32 5.08 7.57 3.27 6.67 2.35 7.58 3.28 7.69 3.40 7.97 3.69 1989 10.87 6.48 9.21 4.74 8.11 3.61 9.11 4.64 9.16 4.69 9.28 4.82 1990 10.01 4.12 8.10 2.17 7.49 1.55 8.15 2.22 8.16 2.22 8.28 2.35 1991 8.46 5.56 5.69 2.69 5.38 2.37 5.89 2.90 5.82 2.82 5.98 2.99 1992 6.25 3.43 3.52 0.66 3.43 0.57 3.71 0.85 3.63 0.76 3.83 0.97 1993 6.00 3.33 3.02 0.31 3.00 0.28 3.17 0.45 3.07 0.35 3.30 0.59 1994 7.15 4.59 4.21 1.58 4.25 1.61 4.43 1.80 4.34 1.71 4.74 2.12 1995 8.83 6.49 5.83 3.36 5.49 3.02 5.93 3.46 5.86 3.39 6.04 3.58 1996 8.27 5.11 5.30 2.05 5.01 1.75 5.43 2.19 5.32 2.07 5.51 2.28 1997 8.44 6.95 5.46 3.83 5.06 3.42 5.55 3.93 5.52 3.89 5.74 4.12 1998 8.35 6.95 5.35 3.81 4.78 3.22 5.42 3.88 5.45 3.91 5.56 4.02 1999 8.00 5.47 4.97 2.34 4.64 2.00 5.11 2.48 5.14 2.51 5.41 2.79 2000 9.23 6.04 6.24 2.94 5.82 2.50 6.27 2.97 6.32 3.02 6.53 3.23 2001 6.91 5.50 3.88 2.36 3.39 1.86 3.79 2.27 3.80 2.27 3.78 2.26 2002 4.67 2.34 1.67-0.68 1.60-0.74 1.68-0.67 1.70-0.64 1.79-0.55 2003 4.12 2.28 1.13-0.73 1.01-0.85 1.13-0.73 1.14-0.72 1.22-0.65 2004 4.34 1.13 1.35-1.84 1.37-1.82 1.40-1.79 1.43-1.76 1.62-1.57 2005 6.19 2.86 3.22-0.14 3.15-0.22 3.27-0.09 3.33-0.04 3.56 0.19 2006 7.96 5.57 4.97 2.48 4.73 2.23 5.00 2.51 5.09 2.60 5.19 2.71 2007 8.05 4.10 5.02 1.01 4.35 0.35 5.07 1.06 5.28 1.27 5.30 1.29 2008 5.09 5.11 1.92 1.84 1.37 1.28 2.38 2.31 3.02 2.97 2.91 2.86 2009 3.25 0.56 0.16-2.49 0.15-2.50 0.26-2.39 0.61-2.05 0.69-1.97 2010 3.25 1.78 0.18-1.30 0.14-1.34 0.20-1.28 0.34-1.13 0.34-1.14 2011 3.25 0.33 0.10-2.78 0.05-2.83 0.13-2.75 0.30-2.59 0.34-2.55 2012 3.25 1.53 0.14-1.57 0.09-1.63 0.11-1.60 0.31-1.41 0.43-1.29 2013 3.25 1.77 0.11-1.37 0.11-1.37 0.09-1.39 0.22-1.26 0.27-1.22 2014 3.25 1.28 0.09-1.87 0.03-1.92 0.08-1.88 0.20-1.76 0.24-1.72 2015 3.45 1.36 0.31-1.76 0.23-1.84 0.31-1.76 0.41-1.66 0.45-1.62 2016 4.24 1.77 1.12-1.35 1.02-1.44 1.15-1.32 1.22-1.25 1.26-1.21 2017 5.23 3.29 2.11 0.13 2.01 0.03 2.25 0.27 2.22 0.24 2.26 0.28 2018 6.23 3.58 3.12 0.43 3.01 0.31 3.27 0.58 3.23 0.54 3.27 0.58 2019 6.27 4.61 3.18 1.44 3.05 1.30 3.35 1.61 3.28 1.54 3.32 1.58 2020 5.65 3.64 2.58 0.51 2.43 0.37 2.77 0.71 2.68 0.62 2.72 0.66 N-11
N-8. Producción Industrial en EUA: Escenario Base 2014-2020 (Indice 2007=100) Producción Manufacturas Electricidad Adendum Años Total Total Bienes Durables Bienes No Durables Otros Bienes Minería y Gas Natural Vehículos y Partes Indice Var. % Indice Var. % Indice Var. % Indice Var. % Indice Var. % Indice Var. % Indice Var. % Indice Var. % 1980 50.2-2.5 43.8-3.8 32.1-4.3 65.7-3.0 91.9 3.5 114.5 1.8 57.3 0.7 37.9-26.3 1981 50.9 1.3 44.2 1.0 32.5 1.1 66.3 0.9 94.1 2.4 117.5 2.6 58.1 1.4 36.9-2.5 1982 48.3-5.2 41.7-5.7 29.7-8.5 65.3-1.5 95.2 1.1 111.7-4.9 56.2-3.2 33.3-9.8 1983 49.6 2.7 43.8 4.9 31.2 5.0 68.4 4.7 97.8 2.8 105.8-5.3 56.7 0.8 42.5 27.6 1984 54.0 8.9 48.1 10.0 35.6 14.1 71.5 4.6 102.3 4.6 112.6 6.5 60.0 5.8 50.9 19.8 1985 54.7 1.2 48.9 1.5 36.4 2.2 71.9 0.6 106.3 3.9 110.4-1.9 61.3 2.2 52.9 3.8 1986 55.2 1.0 50.0 2.2 37.0 1.7 74.0 2.9 108.4 2.0 102.4-7.2 61.8 0.9 52.8-0.1 1987 58.1 5.2 52.8 5.7 39.2 5.9 78.0 5.4 114.7 5.8 103.4 0.9 64.7 4.7 54.7 3.6 1988 61.1 5.2 55.8 5.6 42.1 7.4 80.6 3.4 114.2-0.4 106.0 2.5 68.4 5.7 58.5 6.8 1989 61.6 0.9 56.3 0.9 42.6 1.1 81.1 0.6 112.6-1.4 104.8-1.2 70.6 3.2 57.9-1.0 1990 62.2 1.0 56.8 0.9 42.7 0.3 82.4 1.6 111.2-1.2 106.3 1.5 71.9 1.9 54.4-6.0 1991 61.3-1.5 55.7-1.8 41.4-3.1 82.1-0.4 106.7-4.1 104.0-2.2 73.7 2.4 52.0-4.4 1992 63.0 2.8 57.9 3.9 43.5 5.1 84.2 2.6 104.5-2.0 101.7-2.2 73.6-0.1 59.2 13.8 1993 65.1 3.3 60.0 3.6 45.9 5.5 85.4 1.4 105.3 0.8 101.7 0.0 76.2 3.6 65.4 10.5 1994 68.5 5.3 63.8 6.3 49.8 8.5 88.4 3.5 104.4-0.9 104.0 2.3 77.7 2.0 75.1 14.9 1995 71.8 4.7 67.3 5.5 54.0 8.5 89.9 1.8 104.4 0.0 103.9-0.1 80.5 3.5 77.3 2.9 1996 74.9 4.4 70.7 5.1 58.9 8.9 90.2 0.3 103.4-0.9 105.6 1.7 82.8 2.9 77.9 0.8 1997 80.4 7.2 76.7 8.4 65.9 12.0 93.5 3.7 112.1 8.4 107.6 1.8 82.8 0.0 84.0 7.8 1998 85.0 5.8 81.8 6.7 72.9 10.5 94.9 1.5 118.8 5.9 105.6-1.8 84.9 2.6 88.4 5.1 1999 88.7 4.3 86.0 5.1 78.9 8.4 95.5 0.6 122.2 2.9 100.1-5.3 87.4 2.9 98.1 11.0 2000 92.2 4.0 89.8 4.5 84.8 7.4 95.9 0.5 121.9-0.2 102.8 2.7 89.9 2.9 97.4-0.7 2001 89.1-3.4 86.3-3.9 80.9-4.6 93.1-3.0 114.0-6.5 103.2 0.4 89.5-0.5 88.8-8.9 2002 89.3 0.2 86.7 0.5 80.8 0.0 94.2 1.2 110.1-3.4 98.4-4.7 92.3 3.1 97.6 9.9 2003 90.4 1.2 88.0 1.5 82.9 2.6 94.4 0.2 106.9-2.9 98.5 0.1 94.1 1.9 101.1 3.6 2004 92.5 2.3 90.6 2.9 86.2 4.0 95.9 1.6 107.8 0.8 98.2-0.3 95.3 1.4 101.7 0.5 2005 95.5 3.2 94.4 4.2 91.2 5.8 98.3 2.5 107.4-0.4 97.0-1.3 97.3 2.1 102.3 0.6 2006 97.6 2.2 97.0 2.7 95.4 4.6 98.8 0.6 106.1-1.1 99.2 2.4 96.7-0.6 100.8-1.5 2007 100.0 2.5 100.0 3.1 100.0 4.8 100.0 1.2 100.0-5.8 100.0 0.8 100.0 3.4 100.0-0.8 2008 96.6-3.4 95.4-4.6 96.6-3.4 94.1-5.9 93.5-6.5 101.2 1.2 99.9-0.1 80.0-20.0 2009 85.7-11.3 82.4-13.6 78.6-18.6 86.9-7.7 80.7-13.7 95.7-5.4 97.5-2.5 58.6-26.8 2010 90.6 5.7 87.9 6.6 87.2 11.0 88.7 2.2 76.4-5.3 100.7 5.2 101.0 3.6 77.8 32.7 2011 93.6 3.3 91.1 3.6 93.2 6.8 88.9 0.2 74.3-2.8 106.8 6.1 100.8-0.2 84.8 9.0 2012 97.1 3.8 95.1 4.4 100.0 7.3 90.0 1.2 72.8-2.0 113.5 6.3 98.7-2.1 97.4 14.8 2013 99.9 2.9 97.9 2.9 104.4 4.4 91.2 1.3 68.9-5.3 118.9 4.7 100.7 2.1 105.0 7.8 2014 103.8 3.8 101.4 3.7 109.6 4.9 93.5 2.5 67.3-2.3 128.5 8.1 100.1-0.6 110.3 5.1 2015 107.7 3.8 105.6 4.1 115.7 5.6 96.0 2.7 68.1 1.1 132.1 2.8 102.5 2.4 121.2 9.9 2016 112.1 4.1 110.5 4.6 122.8 6.2 99.0 3.1 69.2 1.7 135.2 2.4 105.4 2.8 134.6 11.0 2017 117.5 4.8 116.4 5.3 130.9 6.6 103.2 4.2 70.7 2.1 139.7 3.3 108.9 3.4 154.5 14.8 2018 122.7 4.4 122.2 5.0 139.1 6.3 107.1 3.8 71.9 1.7 143.4 2.7 112.3 3.1 173.6 12.4 2019 127.8 4.2 127.9 4.7 147.4 6.0 111.0 3.6 72.9 1.4 146.6 2.3 115.3 2.7 191.7 10.5 2020 132.6 3.8 133.4 4.3 155.6 5.6 114.5 3.2 73.7 1.1 149.2 1.8 118.0 2.4 209.1 9.0 N-12
N-9. Finanzas Públicas de Estados Unidos: Escenario Base 2014-2020 (Billones de dólares; año fiscal) Ingresos Egresos Déficit o Deuda Bruta Años Nominal Real Nominal Real Superávit Fiscal Federal Dólares Var. % % PIB Dólares 2009 Var. % Dólares Var. % % PIB Dólares 2009 Var. % Dólares % PIB Dólares % PIB 1980 517 11.6 18.1 1,327 0.9 591 17.2 20.6 1,517 6.0-73.8-2.6 909 31.8 1981 599 15.9 18.7 1,387 4.5 678 14.8 21.1 1,570 3.5-79.0-2.5 995 31.0 1982 618 3.1 18.5 1,333-3.9 746 10.0 22.3 1,609 2.5-128.0-3.8 1,137 34.0 1983 601-2.8 16.5 1,234-7.4 808 8.4 22.2 1,661 3.2-207.8-5.7 1,372 37.7 1984 666 11.0 16.5 1,301 5.4 852 5.4 21.1 1,663 0.1-185.4-4.6 1,565 38.7 1985 734 10.1 16.9 1,386 6.5 946 11.1 21.8 1,787 7.4-212.3-4.9 1,817 41.8 1986 769 4.8 16.8 1,416 2.1 990 4.7 21.6 1,823 2.0-221.2-4.8 2,121 46.2 1987 854 11.1 17.5 1,524 7.7 1,004 1.4 20.6 1,791-1.7-149.7-3.1 2,346 48.2 1988 909 6.4 17.3 1,575 3.3 1,064 6.0 20.3 1,844 2.9-155.2-3.0 2,601 49.5 1989 991 9.0 17.5 1,655 5.1 1,144 7.5 20.2 1,910 3.6-152.6-2.7 2,868 50.7 1990 1,032 4.1 17.3 1,672 1.0 1,253 9.6 21.0 2,030 6.3-221.0-3.7 3,206 53.6 1991 1,055 2.2 17.1 1,632-2.4 1,324 5.7 21.4 2,049 0.9-269.2-4.4 3,598 58.3 1992 1,091 3.4 16.7 1,626-0.4 1,382 4.3 21.1 2,059 0.5-290.3-4.4 4,002 61.2 1993 1,154 5.8 16.8 1,675 3.0 1,409 2.0 20.5 2,045-0.7-255.1-3.7 4,351 63.3 1994 1,259 9.0 17.2 1,793 7.0 1,462 3.7 20.0 2,082 1.8-203.2-2.8 4,643 63.5 1995 1,352 7.4 17.6 1,874 4.5 1,516 3.7 19.8 2,102 0.9-164.0-2.1 4,921 64.2 1996 1,453 7.5 17.9 1,967 5.0 1,560 3.0 19.3 2,113 0.5-107.4-1.3 5,181 64.0 1997 1,579 8.7 18.3 2,094 6.4 1,601 2.6 18.6 2,123 0.5-21.9-0.3 5,369 62.4 1998 1,722 9.0 18.9 2,262 8.0 1,652 3.2 18.2 2,171 2.2 69.3 0.8 5,478 60.3 1999 1,827 6.1 18.9 2,367 4.7 1,702 3.0 17.6 2,204 1.6 125.6 1.3 5,606 58.0 2000 2,025 10.8 19.7 2,560 8.1 1,789 5.1 17.4 2,261 2.6 236.2 2.3 5,629 54.7 2001 1,991-1.7 18.7 2,455-4.1 1,863 4.1 17.5 2,296 1.6 128.2 1.2 5,770 54.3 2002 1,853-6.9 16.9 2,248-8.4 2,011 7.9 18.3 2,439 6.2-157.8-1.4 6,198 56.5 2003 1,782-3.8 15.5 2,107-6.3 2,160 7.4 18.8 2,553 4.7-377.6-3.3 6,760 58.7 2004 1,880 5.5 15.3 2,161 2.6 2,293 6.2 18.7 2,635 3.2-412.7-3.4 7,355 59.9 2005 2,154 14.5 16.4 2,387 10.5 2,472 7.8 18.9 2,740 4.0-318.3-2.4 7,905 60.4 2006 2,407 11.8 17.4 2,577 7.9 2,655 7.4 19.2 2,842 3.7-248.2-1.8 8,451 61.0 2007 2,568 6.7 17.7 2,675 3.8 2,729 2.8 18.8 2,842 0.0-160.7-1.1 8,951 61.8 2008 2,524-1.7 17.1 2,536-5.2 2,983 9.3 20.3 2,997 5.4-458.6-3.1 9,986 67.8 2009 2,105-16.6 14.6 2,105-17.0 3,518 17.9 24.4 3,518 17.4-1,412.7-9.8 11,876 82.4 2010 2,163 2.7 14.5 2,137 1.5 3,457-1.7 23.1 3,416-2.9-1,294.4-8.7 13,529 90.4 2011 2,303 6.5 14.8 2,216 3.7 3,603 4.2 23.2 3,466 1.4-1,299.6-8.4 14,764 95.0 2012 2,450 6.4 15.1 2,306 4.1 3,537-1.8 21.8 3,329-3.9-1,087.0-6.7 16,051 98.8 2013 2,775 13.3 16.5 2,576 11.7 3,455-2.3 20.6 3,206-3.7-679.5-4.0 16,719 99.5 2014 3,032 9.3 17.4 2,770 7.5 3,523 2.0 20.2 3,218 0.4-491.0-2.8 17,735 101.8 2015 3,305 9.0 18.1 2,966 7.1 3,774 7.1 20.7 3,387 5.2-469.0-2.6 18,405 100.9 2016 3,475 5.1 18.1 3,057 3.1 4,011 6.3 20.9 3,529 4.2-536.0-2.8 19,140 99.8 2017 3,621 4.2 17.8 3,111 1.8 4,197 4.6 20.7 3,606 2.2-576.0-2.8 19,948 98.2 2018 3,764 3.9 17.6 3,167 1.8 4,391 4.6 20.5 3,695 2.5-627.0-2.9 20,815 97.1 2019 3,927 4.3 17.5 3,240 2.3 4,649 5.9 20.7 3,835 3.8-722.0-3.2 21,743 96.7 2020 4,099 4.4 17.4 3,322 2.5 4,903 5.5 20.9 3,973 3.6-804.0-3.4 22,742 96.8 N-13
O. Tratado de Libre Comercio de América del Norte TLCAN Cuadro O-1. Indicadores Básicos del Tratado de Libre Comercio TLCAN 1980-2020 Cuadro O-2. Tratado de Libre Comercio entre Estados Unidos y México 1980-2020 Cuadro O-3. Tratado de Libre Comercio entre México y Estados Unidos 1980-2020 Cuadro O-4. Comercio Exterior de México por Países 2013-2014 Cuadro O-5. Comercio Exterior de Estados Unidos por Países 2013-2014 Cuadro O-6. Participación de México, Canadá y China en el Mercado de Estados Unidos 1994-2014
Años! O-1. Indicadores Básicos del TLC: Escenario Base 2014-2020 (Personas, dólares y porcentajes) Población Producto Interno Bruto Millones de Personas % Población Mundial Billones de Dólares Internacionales PPP % PIB Mundial Total Países Miembros del TLC Países Miembros del TLC Total Países Miembros del TLC Países Miembros del TLC Mundo TLC EUA CAN MEX TLC EUA CAN MEX Mundo TLC EUA CAN MEX TLC EUA CAN MEX 1980 4,453.0 325.4 229.8 24.5 71.1 7.3 5.2 0.6 1.6 11,476 3,494 2,863 283 348 30.4 24.9 2.5 3.0 1981 4,531.8 329.5 232.0 24.8 72.7 7.3 5.1 0.5 1.6 12,812 3,945 3,211 321 413 30.8 25.1 2.5 3.2 1982 4,612.1 333.5 234.3 25.0 74.2 7.2 5.1 0.5 1.6 13,683 4,113 3,345 331 437 30.1 24.4 2.4 3.2 1983 4,694.1 337.4 236.5 25.3 75.7 7.2 5.0 0.5 1.6 14,610 4,429 3,638 353 438 30.3 24.9 2.4 3.0 1984 4,777.8 341.5 238.8 25.5 77.2 7.1 5.0 0.5 1.6 15,859 4,897 4,041 387 469 30.9 25.5 2.4 3.0 1985 4,863.3 345.7 241.1 25.8 78.7 7.1 5.0 0.5 1.6 17,009 5,260 4,347 418 495 30.9 25.6 2.5 2.9 1986 4,950.6 350.0 243.5 26.2 80.3 7.1 4.9 0.5 1.6 17,937 5,516 4,590 437 489 30.8 25.6 2.4 2.7 1987 5,039.5 354.5 245.9 26.6 82.0 7.0 4.9 0.5 1.6 19,085 5,848 4,870 467 510 30.6 25.5 2.4 2.7 1988 5,129.1 359.0 248.4 26.9 83.7 7.0 4.8 0.5 1.6 20,631 6,295 5,253 508 535 30.5 25.5 2.5 2.6 1989 5,218.4 363.6 250.9 27.3 85.4 7.0 4.8 0.5 1.6 22,243 6,778 5,658 541 578 30.5 25.4 2.4 2.6 1990 5,306.4 368.1 253.3 27.7 87.1 6.9 4.8 0.5 1.6 23,810 7,173 5,980 563 631 30.1 25.1 2.4 2.6 1991 5,392.9 372.5 255.8 28.1 88.6 6.9 4.7 0.5 1.6 25,100 7,422 6,174 569 679 29.6 24.6 2.3 2.7 1992 5,478.0 376.8 258.3 28.4 90.1 6.9 4.7 0.5 1.6 28,187 7,846 6,539 587 719 27.8 23.2 2.1 2.6 1993 5,561.7 381.1 260.8 28.7 91.6 6.9 4.7 0.5 1.6 29,457 8,249 6,879 615 755 28.0 23.4 2.1 2.6 1994 5,644.4 385.5 263.5 29.0 93.1 6.8 4.7 0.5 1.6 31,040 8,775 7,309 659 808 28.3 23.5 2.1 2.6 1995 5,726.2 390.1 266.3 29.3 94.5 6.8 4.7 0.5 1.7 32,855 9,132 7,664 691 777 27.8 23.3 2.1 2.4 1996 5,807.2 394.9 269.4 29.6 95.9 6.8 4.6 0.5 1.7 34,699 9,653 8,100 715 838 27.8 23.3 2.1 2.4 1997 5,887.3 399.7 272.6 29.9 97.2 6.8 4.6 0.5 1.7 36,763 10,278 8,609 758 912 28.0 23.4 2.1 2.5 1998 5,966.5 404.6 276.0 30.1 98.5 6.8 4.6 0.5 1.7 38,112 10,852 9,089 798 965 28.5 23.8 2.1 2.5 1999 6,044.9 409.4 279.3 30.4 99.7 6.8 4.6 0.5 1.6 40,038 11,521 9,666 850 1,005 28.8 24.1 2.1 2.5 2000 6,122.8 414.1 282.5 30.7 100.9 6.8 4.6 0.5 1.6 42,875 12,286 10,290 914 1,082 28.7 24.0 2.1 2.5 2001 6,200.0 418.6 285.5 31.0 102.1 6.8 4.6 0.5 1.6 44,837 12,676 10,625 951 1,100 28.3 23.7 2.1 2.5 2002 6,276.7 423.2 288.5 31.3 103.4 6.7 4.6 0.5 1.6 46,781 13,091 10,980 992 1,119 28.0 23.5 2.1 2.4 2003 6,353.2 427.6 291.3 31.6 104.7 6.7 4.6 0.5 1.6 49,523 13,701 11,512 1,032 1,157 27.7 23.2 2.1 2.3 2004 6,429.8 432.0 294.1 31.9 106.0 6.7 4.6 0.5 1.6 53,443 14,620 12,277 1,094 1,249 27.4 23.0 2.0 2.3 2005 6,506.6 436.3 296.8 32.3 107.2 6.7 4.6 0.5 1.6 57,652 15,582 13,095 1,162 1,324 27.0 22.7 2.0 2.3 2006 6,584.0 440.6 299.6 32.6 108.4 6.7 4.5 0.5 1.6 62,474 16,520 13,858 1,230 1,433 26.4 22.2 2.0 2.3 2007 6,661.6 445.0 302.3 33.0 109.8 6.7 4.5 0.5 1.6 67,466 17,285 14,480 1,287 1,517 25.6 21.5 1.9 2.2 2008 6,739.6 449.6 305.0 33.3 111.3 6.7 4.5 0.5 1.7 70,558 17,617 14,720 1,328 1,569 25.0 20.9 1.9 2.2 2009 6,817.7 454.2 307.7 33.7 112.9 6.7 4.5 0.5 1.7 70,627 17,226 14,418 1,302 1,506 24.4 20.4 1.8 2.1 2010 6,895.9 458.7 310.4 34.0 114.3 6.7 4.5 0.5 1.7 75,099 17,923 14,958 1,362 1,603 23.9 19.9 1.8 2.1 2011 6,974.0 463.1 313.1 34.3 115.7 6.6 4.5 0.5 1.7 79,381 18,657 15,534 1,424 1,699 23.5 19.6 1.8 2.1 2012 7,052.1 467.5 315.8 34.7 117.1 6.6 4.5 0.5 1.7 83,258 19,514 16,245 1,474 1,796 23.4 19.5 1.8 2.2 2013 7,130.0 471.9 318.5 35.0 118.4 6.6 4.5 0.5 1.7 86,995 20,168 16,800 1,526 1,843 23.2 19.3 1.8 2.1 2014 7,207.5 476.2 321.2 35.3 119.7 6.6 4.5 0.5 1.7 90,765 20,935 17,426 1,583 1,926 23.1 19.2 1.7 2.1 2015 7,284.3 480.5 323.9 35.6 121.0 6.6 4.4 0.5 1.7 96,038 21,927 18,235 1,651 2,041 22.8 19.0 1.7 2.1 2016 7,360.4 484.8 326.6 35.9 122.3 6.6 4.4 0.5 1.7 102,025 23,096 19,175 1,733 2,188 22.6 18.8 1.7 2.1 2017 7,435.8 489.0 329.2 36.2 123.5 6.6 4.4 0.5 1.7 108,267 24,501 20,308 1,828 2,365 22.6 18.8 1.7 2.2 2018 7,510.3 493.2 331.9 36.6 124.7 6.6 4.4 0.5 1.7 114,953 25,923 21,447 1,923 2,553 22.6 18.7 1.7 2.2 2019 7,583.9 497.3 334.5 36.9 125.9 6.6 4.4 0.5 1.7 121,900 27,228 22,476 2,013 2,739 22.3 18.4 1.7 2.2 2020 7,656.5 501.4 337.1 37.2 127.1 6.5 4.4 0.5 1.7 129,171 28,535 23,501 2,104 2,930 22.1 18.2 1.6 2.3 O-1 (Continuación)
(Continúa) Años! Exportación de Mercancías Miles de Millones de Dólares Crecimiento % anual Participación % en el Comercio Mundial Total Países Miembros del TLC Resto Total Países Miembros del TLC Resto Total Países Miembros del TLC Resto Mundo TLC EUA CAN MEX Mundo Mundo TLC EUA CAN MEX Mundo Mundo TLC EUA CAN MEX Mundo 1980 2,034.0 310.0 224.3 67.7 18.0 1,705.9 22.6 21.9 21.6 16.2 56.6 22.6 100.0 15.2 11.0 3.3 0.9 84.8 1981 2,010.0 333.1 237.0 72.7 23.3 1,654.9-1.2 7.4 5.7 7.4 29.3-3.0 100.0 16.6 11.8 3.6 1.2 83.4 1982 1,883.0 306.4 211.2 71.2 24.1 1,554.2-6.3-8.0-10.9-2.1 3.2-6.1 100.0 16.3 11.2 3.8 1.3 83.7 1983 1,846.0 304.5 201.8 76.7 26.0 1,519.3-2.0-0.6-4.4 7.7 7.9-2.2 100.0 16.5 10.9 4.2 1.4 83.5 1984 1,956.0 339.3 219.9 90.3 29.1 1,590.6 6.0 11.4 9.0 17.6 12.1 4.7 100.0 17.3 11.2 4.6 1.5 82.7 1985 1,954.0 333.6 215.9 91.0 26.8 1,593.0-0.1-1.7-1.8 0.8-8.1 0.2 100.0 17.1 11.0 4.7 1.4 82.9 1986 2,138.0 335.5 223.3 90.3 21.8 1,771.6 9.4 0.6 3.4-0.7-18.5 11.2 100.0 15.7 10.4 4.2 1.0 84.3 1987 2,516.0 376.0 250.2 98.2 27.6 2,100.6 17.7 12.1 12.0 8.7 26.6 18.6 100.0 14.9 9.9 3.9 1.1 85.1 1988 2,869.0 468.0 320.2 117.1 30.7 2,353.5 14.0 24.5 28.0 19.3 11.2 12.0 100.0 16.3 11.2 4.1 1.1 83.7 1989 3,098.0 516.9 359.9 121.8 35.2 2,528.5 8.0 10.4 12.4 4.0 14.6 7.4 100.0 16.7 11.6 3.9 1.1 83.3 1990 3,449.0 555.7 387.4 127.6 40.7 2,831.2 11.3 7.5 7.6 4.8 15.8 12.0 100.0 16.1 11.2 3.7 1.2 83.9 1991 3,516.0 583.9 414.1 127.2 42.7 2,860.2 1.9 5.1 6.9-0.4 4.9 1.0 100.0 16.6 11.8 3.6 1.2 83.4 1992 3,767.0 620.3 439.6 134.4 46.2 3,061.8 7.1 6.2 6.2 5.7 8.2 7.1 100.0 16.5 11.7 3.6 1.2 83.5 1993 3,783.0 654.0 456.9 145.2 51.9 3,037.2 0.4 5.4 3.9 8.0 12.3-0.8 100.0 17.3 12.1 3.8 1.4 82.7 1994 4,327.0 729.1 502.9 165.4 60.9 3,476.9 14.4 11.5 10.0 13.9 17.3 14.5 100.0 16.9 11.6 3.8 1.4 83.1 1995 5,166.0 846.9 575.2 192.2 79.5 4,170.3 19.4 16.2 14.4 16.2 30.6 19.9 100.0 16.4 11.1 3.7 1.5 83.6 1996 5,404.0 909.7 612.1 201.6 96.0 4,343.2 4.6 7.4 6.4 4.9 20.7 4.1 100.0 16.8 11.3 3.7 1.8 83.2 1997 5,593.0 1,003.2 678.4 214.4 110.4 4,407.0 3.5 10.3 10.8 6.3 15.0 1.5 100.0 17.9 12.1 3.8 2.0 82.1 1998 5,503.0 1,002.3 670.4 214.3 117.5 4,317.0-1.6-0.1-1.2 0.0 6.4-2.0 100.0 18.2 12.2 3.9 2.1 81.8 1999 5,714.0 1,073.0 698.2 238.4 136.4 4,446.0 3.8 7.1 4.1 11.3 16.0 3.0 100.0 18.8 12.2 4.2 2.4 81.2 2000 6,459.0 1,227.5 784.8 276.6 166.1 4,982.3 13.0 14.4 12.4 16.0 21.8 12.1 100.0 19.0 12.2 4.3 2.6 81.0 2001 6,195.0 1,149.8 731.2 259.9 158.8 4,779.1-4.1-6.3-6.8-6.1-4.4-4.1 100.0 18.6 11.8 4.2 2.6 81.4 2002 6,495.0 1,110.9 697.4 252.4 161.0 5,058.5 4.8-3.4-4.6-2.9 1.4 5.8 100.0 17.1 10.7 3.9 2.5 82.9 2003 7,589.0 1,167.3 729.8 272.7 164.8 5,983.5 16.8 5.1 4.6 8.1 2.3 18.3 100.0 15.4 9.6 3.6 2.2 84.6 2004 9,222.0 1,326.7 822.0 316.8 188.0 7,301.9 21.5 13.7 12.6 16.1 14.1 22.0 100.0 14.4 8.9 3.4 2.0 85.6 2005 10,412.0 1,486.4 911.7 360.5 214.2 8,163.7 12.9 12.0 10.9 13.8 14.0 11.8 100.0 14.3 8.8 3.5 2.1 85.7 2006 12,050.1 1,677.5 1,039.4 388.2 249.9 9,403.6 15.7 12.9 14.0 7.7 16.7 15.2 100.0 13.9 8.6 3.2 2.1 86.1 2007 13,907.8 1,856.2 1,163.6 420.7 271.9 10,831.2 15.4 10.7 11.9 8.4 8.8 15.2 100.0 13.3 8.4 3.0 2.0 86.7 2008 16,020.9 2,055.1 1,307.3 456.5 291.3 12,535.1 15.2 10.7 12.4 8.5 7.2 15.7 100.0 12.8 8.2 2.8 1.8 87.2 2009 12,414.3 1,615.3 1,069.5 316.1 229.7 9,597.3-22.5-21.4-18.2-30.8-21.2-23.4 100.0 13.0 8.6 2.5 1.9 87.0 2010 15,163.2 1,975.8 1,289.9 387.5 298.5 11,609.7 22.1 22.3 20.6 22.6 29.9 21.0 100.0 13.0 8.5 2.6 2.0 87.0 2011 18,157.0 2,300.2 1,498.7 452.1 349.4 13,958.4 19.7 16.4 16.2 16.7 17.1 20.2 100.0 12.7 8.3 2.5 1.9 87.3 2012 18,172.5 2,386.6 1,561.1 454.8 370.7 13,737.2 0.1 3.8 4.2 0.6 6.1-1.6 100.0 13.1 8.6 2.5 2.0 86.9 2013 18,549.1 2,430.6 1,592.2 458.4 380.0 13,909.5 2.1 1.8 2.0 0.8 2.5 1.3 100.0 13.1 8.6 2.5 2.0 86.9 2014 19,111.3 2,531.9 1,661.8 473.7 396.4 14,243.3 3.0 4.2 4.4 3.3 4.3 2.4 100.0 13.2 8.7 2.5 2.1 86.8 2015 20,091.0 2,717.6 1,783.8 504.0 429.8 14,813.1 5.1 7.3 7.3 6.4 8.4 4.0 100.0 13.5 8.9 2.5 2.1 86.5 2016 21,865.1 2,982.1 1,959.3 549.4 473.3 16,012.9 8.8 9.7 9.8 9.0 10.1 8.1 100.0 13.6 9.0 2.5 2.2 86.4 2017 24,696.9 3,353.4 2,198.0 611.5 543.9 18,094.6 13.0 12.5 12.2 11.3 14.9 13.0 100.0 13.6 8.9 2.5 2.2 86.4 2018 27,589.0 3,726.8 2,440.6 673.9 612.3 20,211.7 11.7 11.1 11.0 10.2 12.6 11.7 100.0 13.5 8.8 2.4 2.2 86.5 2019 30,277.5 4,079.4 2,666.6 733.2 679.6 22,143.9 9.7 9.5 9.3 8.8 11.0 9.6 100.0 13.5 8.8 2.4 2.2 86.5 2020 32,729.3 4,399.3 2,868.2 785.7 745.4 23,880.0 8.1 7.8 7.6 7.2 9.7 7.8 100.0 13.4 8.8 2.4 2.3 86.6 O-2 (Conclusión)
O-2. Tratado de Libre Comercio entre Estados Unidos y México: Escenario Base 2014-2020 (Millones de dólares) Comercio Exterior de Estados Unidos Años Exportación de Mercancías Importación de Mercancías Balanza Comercial Total Var.% A México Var.% % Total Total Var.% De México Var.% % Total Total Con México Resto Mundo 1980 225,566 21.0 15,234 53.2 6.75-245,262 16.6-12,640 43.5 5.15-19,696 2,594-22,290 1981 238,715 5.8 18,207 19.5 7.63-260,982 6.4-13,768 8.9 5.28-22,267 4,439-26,706 1982 216,442-9.3 11,736-35.5 5.42-243,952-6.5-15,556 13.0 6.38-27,510-3,820-23,690 1983 205,639-5.0 9,093-22.5 4.42-258,048 5.8-16,595 6.7 6.43-52,409-7,502-44,907 1984 223,976 8.9 12,020 32.2 5.37-330,678 28.1-18,077 8.9 5.47-106,702-6,057-100,645 1985 218,815-2.3 13,635 13.4 6.23-336,526 1.8-19,132 5.8 5.69-117,711-5,497-112,214 1986 227,159 3.8 12,392-9.1 5.46-365,438 8.6-17,302-9.6 4.73-138,279-4,910-133,369 1987 254,122 11.9 14,582 17.7 5.74-406,241 11.2-20,271 17.2 4.99-152,119-5,689-146,431 1988 322,426 26.9 20,629 41.5 6.40-440,952 8.5-23,260 14.7 5.27-118,526-2,631-115,895 1989 363,812 12.8 24,982 21.1 6.87-473,211 7.3-27,162 16.8 5.74-109,399-2,180-107,219 1990 393,572 8.2 28,279 13.2 7.19-495,311 4.7-30,157 11.0 6.09-101,738-1,878-99,861 1991 421,730 7.2 33,277 17.7 7.89-488,453-1.4-31,130 3.2 6.37-66,723 2,148-68,871 1992 448,165 6.3 40,592 22.0 9.06-532,662 9.1-35,211 13.1 6.61-84,497 5,381-89,878 1993 465,090 3.8 41,581 2.4 8.94-580,656 9.0-39,918 13.4 6.87-115,566 1,663-117,230 1994 512,625 10.2 50,844 22.3 9.92-663,252 14.2-49,494 24.0 7.46-150,627 1,350-151,977 1995 584,740 14.1 46,292-9.0 7.92-743,545 12.1-62,100 25.5 8.35-158,805-15,808-142,996 1996 625,073 6.9 56,792 22.7 9.09-795,287 7.0-74,297 19.6 9.34-170,213-17,506-152,708 1997 689,180 10.3 71,389 25.7 10.36-869,703 9.4-85,938 15.7 9.88-180,523-14,549-165,974 1998 682,139-1.0 78,773 10.3 11.55-911,897 4.9-94,629 10.1 10.38-229,758-15,856-213,902 1999 695,797 2.0 86,909 10.3 12.49-1,024,616 12.4-109,721 15.9 10.71-328,819-22,812-306,007 2000 781,918 12.4 111,349 28.1 14.24-1,218,023 18.9-135,926 23.9 11.16-436,105-24,577-411,527 2001 729,101-6.8 101,297-9.0 13.89-1,140,998-6.3-131,338-3.4 11.51-411,898-30,041-381,856 2002 693,101-4.9 97,470-3.8 14.06-1,161,366 1.8-134,616 2.5 11.59-468,265-37,146-431,119 2003 724,771 4.6 97,412-0.1 13.44-1,257,121 8.2-138,060 2.6 10.98-532,350-40,648-491,702 2004 814,875 12.4 110,731 13.7 13.59-1,469,705 16.9-155,902 12.9 10.61-654,830-45,170-609,660 2005 901,082 10.6 120,248 8.6 13.34-1,673,454 13.9-170,109 9.1 10.17-772,372-49,861-722,511 2006 1,025,968 13.9 133,722 11.2 13.03-1,853,938 10.8-198,253 16.5 10.69-827,971-64,531-763,439 2007 1,148,199 11.9 135,918 1.6 11.84-1,956,961 5.6-210,714 6.3 10.77-808,762-74,796-733,967 2008 1,287,442 12.1 151,220 11.3 11.75-2,103,641 7.5-215,942 2.5 10.27-816,199-64,722-751,477 2009 1,056,043-18.0 128,892-14.8 12.21-1,559,625-25.9-176,654-18.2 11.33-503,582-47,762-455,820 2010 1,278,495 21.1 163,473 26.8 12.79-1,913,857 22.7-229,908 30.1 12.01-635,362-66,435-568,927 2011 1,480,290 15.8 198,378 21.4 13.40-2,208,055 15.4-262,864 14.3 11.90-727,765-64,487-663,278 2012 1,545,709 4.4 215,931 8.8 13.97-2,275,320 3.0-277,570 5.6 12.20-729,611-61,639-667,972 2013 1,579,593 2.2 226,079 4.7 14.31-2,268,321-0.3-280,529 1.1 12.37-688,728-54,450-634,279 2014 1,647,764 4.3 246,293 8.9 14.95-2,432,121 7.2-295,991 5.5 12.17-784,356-49,697-734,659 2015 1,771,429 7.5 271,415 10.2 15.32-2,545,679 4.7-317,894 7.4 12.49-774,250-46,479-727,771 2016 1,945,800 9.8 303,171 11.7 15.58-2,787,193 9.5-356,359 12.1 12.79-841,393-53,188-788,205 2017 2,182,227 12.2 345,008 13.8 15.81-3,115,133 11.8-411,951 15.6 13.22-932,906-66,943-865,963 2018 2,426,026 11.2 387,100 12.2 15.96-3,449,365 10.7-465,917 13.1 13.51-1,023,339-78,818-944,522 2019 2,651,154 9.3 430,068 11.1 16.22-3,767,842 9.2-520,429 11.7 13.81-1,116,689-90,362-1,026,327 2020 2,853,897 7.6 473,934 10.2 16.61-4,047,442 7.4-576,636 10.8 14.25-1,193,545-102,701-1,090,844 O-3
O-3. Tratado de Libre Comercio entre México y Estados Unidos: Escenario Base 2014-2020 (Millones de dólares) Comercio Exterior de México Años Exportación de Mercancías Importación de Mercancías Balanza Comercial Total Var.% A EE.UU. Var.% % Total Total Var.% De EE.UU. Var.% % Total Total Con EE.UU. Resto Mundo 1980 18,031 56.6 12,640 43.5 70.10-21,089 53.9-15,234 53.2 72.24-3,058-2,594-464 1981 23,307 29.3 13,768 8.9 59.07-27,184 28.9-18,207 19.5 66.98-3,877-4,439 562 1982 24,055 3.2 15,556 13.0 64.67-17,011-37.4-11,736-35.5 68.99 7,045 3,820 3,225 1983 25,953 7.9 16,595 6.7 63.94-11,848-30.3-9,093-22.5 76.75 14,105 7,502 6,603 1984 29,100 12.1 18,077 8.9 62.12-15,916 34.3-12,020 32.2 75.52 13,184 6,057 7,127 1985 26,757-8.1 19,132 5.8 71.50-18,359 15.3-13,635 13.4 74.27 8,398 5,497 2,901 1986 21,804-18.5 17,302-9.6 79.35-16,784-8.6-12,392-9.1 73.83 5,020 4,910 110 1987 27,600 26.6 20,271 17.2 73.45-18,812 12.1-14,582 17.7 77.51 8,787 5,689 3,099 1988 30,692 11.2 23,260 14.7 75.79-28,082 49.3-20,629 41.5 73.46 2,610 2,631-22 1989 35,171 14.6 27,162 16.8 77.23-34,766 23.8-24,982 21.1 71.86 405 2,180-1,775 1990 40,711 15.8 30,157 11.0 74.08-41,593 19.6-28,279 13.2 67.99-882 1,878-2,760 1991 42,688 4.9 31,130 3.2 72.92-49,967 20.1-33,277 17.7 66.60-7,279-2,148-5,131 1992 46,196 8.2 35,211 13.1 76.22-62,129 24.3-40,592 22.0 65.34-15,934-5,381-10,553 1993 51,856 12.3 42,912 21.9 82.75-65,367 5.2-45,295 11.6 69.29-13,510-2,383-11,127 1994 60,860 17.4 51,619 20.3 84.82-79,346 21.4-54,834 21.1 69.11-18,486-3,216-15,271 1995 79,536 30.7 66,274 28.4 83.33-72,453-8.7-53,902-1.7 74.40 7,083 12,371-5,288 1996 95,986 20.7 80,570 21.6 83.94-89,469 23.5-67,536 25.3 75.49 6,518 13,034-6,516 1997 110,411 15.0 94,377 17.1 85.48-109,808 22.7-82,002 21.4 74.68 602 12,375-11,772 1998 117,514 6.4 103,002 9.1 87.65-125,373 14.2-93,258 13.7 74.38-7,859 9,743-17,602 1999 136,333 16.0 120,262 16.8 88.21-141,975 13.2-105,267 12.9 74.15-5,642 14,995-20,636 2000 166,098 21.8 147,400 22.6 88.74-174,458 22.9-127,534 21.2 73.10-8,360 19,866-28,226 2001 158,761-4.4 140,564-4.6 88.54-168,396-3.5-113,767-10.8 67.56-9,635 26,798-36,433 2002 161,021 1.4 141,898 0.9 88.12-168,679 0.2-106,557-6.3 63.17-7,658 35,341-42,999 2003 164,748 2.3 144,293 1.7 87.58-170,546 1.1-105,361-1.1 61.78-5,798 38,933-44,730 2004 187,999 14.1 164,522 14.0 87.51-196,810 15.4-110,827 5.2 56.31-8,811 53,695-62,506 2005 214,233 14.0 183,563 11.6 85.68-221,820 12.7-118,547 7.0 53.44-7,587 65,016-72,602 2006 249,925 16.7 211,799 15.4 84.75-256,058 15.4-130,311 9.9 50.89-6,133 81,488-87,622 2007 271,875 8.8 223,133 5.4 82.07-281,949 10.1-139,473 7.0 49.47-10,074 83,660-93,734 2008 291,343 7.2 233,523 4.7 80.15-308,603 9.5-151,335 8.5 49.04-17,261 82,188-99,449 2009 229,704-21.2 185,101-20.7 80.58-234,385-24.0-112,434-25.7 47.97-4,681 72,667-77,349 2010 298,473 29.9 238,684 28.9 79.97-301,482 28.6-145,007 29.0 48.10-3,009 93,677-96,686 2011 349,433 17.1 274,427 15.0 78.53-350,843 16.4-174,356 20.2 49.70-1,409 100,070-101,480 2012 370,770 6.1 287,842 4.9 77.63-370,752 5.7-185,110 6.2 49.93 18 102,732-102,714 2013 380,027 2.5 299,439 4.0 78.79-381,210 2.8-187,262 1.2 49.12-1,184 112,178-113,361 2014 396,397 4.3 316,223 5.6 79.77-400,687 5.1-197,438 5.4 49.27-4,290 118,786-123,076 2015 429,765 8.4 345,837 9.4 80.47-439,614 9.7-218,488 10.7 49.70-9,849 127,349-137,198 2016 473,325 10.1 382,776 10.7 80.87-492,492 12.0-247,576 13.3 50.27-19,167 135,200-154,367 2017 543,915 14.9 441,856 15.4 81.24-569,812 15.7-290,433 17.3 50.97-25,897 151,423-177,320 2018 612,285 12.6 498,756 12.9 81.46-644,275 13.1-332,188 14.4 51.56-31,990 166,567-198,557 2019 679,582 11.0 555,204 11.3 81.70-720,409 11.8-375,621 13.1 52.14-40,827 179,583-220,410 2020 745,449 9.7 611,283 10.1 82.00-796,638 10.6-420,147 11.9 52.74-51,189 191,135-242,325 O-4
O-4. Comercio Exterior de México por Países: Banco de Datos 2013-2014 (Millones de dólares) Exportaciones de México Importaciones de México Balanza Comercial Países Enero-Mayo Variación Estructura Porcentual Enero-Mayo Variación Estructura Porcentual Enero-Mayo 2013 2014 % 2013 2014 2013 2014 % 2013 2014 2013 2014 Total 153,803 159,204 3.5 100.0 100.0 156,740 159,877 2.0 100.0 100.0-2,937-673 América 135,891 141,257 3.9 88.4 88.7 88,327 89,843 1.7 56.4 56.2 47,563 51,413 América del Norte 124,657 130,739 4.9 81.1 82.1 81,984 83,348 1.7 52.3 52.1 42,673 47,392 Estados Unidos 120,492 126,501 5.0 78.3 79.5 77,846 79,417 2.0 49.7 49.7 42,645 47,084 Canadá 4,165 4,238 1.7 2.7 2.7 4,138 3,931-5.0 2.6 2.5 28 307 Centro y Sudamérica 11,234 10,518-6.4 7.3 6.6 6,343 6,496 2.4 4.0 4.1 4,891 4,022 Argentina 742 550-25.9 0.5 0.3 498 379-23.9 0.3 0.2 244 172 Brasil 2,051 2,075 1.2 1.3 1.3 1,948 1,716-11.9 1.2 1.1 103 359 Colombia 1,937 1,831-5.5 1.3 1.2 389 408 4.7 0.2 0.3 1,547 1,423 Chile 867 843-2.7 0.6 0.5 644 591-8.2 0.4 0.4 223 253 Perú 758 722-4.7 0.5 0.5 239 391 63.1 0.2 0.2 518 332 Venezuela 857 624-27.3 0.6 0.4 55 22-59.8 0.0 0.0 802 601 Otros países 4,021 3,872-3.7 2.6 2.4 2,569 2,990 16.4 1.6 1.9 1,452 882 Europa 9,656 9,514-1.5 6.3 6.0 19,807 19,923 0.6 12.6 12.5-10,151-10,409 Unión Europea 8,729 8,706-0.3 5.7 5.5 18,080 17,731-1.9 11.5 11.1-9,351-9,025 Alemania 1,875 1,532-18.3 1.2 1.0 5,815 5,645-2.9 3.7 3.5-3,940-4,113 España 3,063 2,903-5.2 2.0 1.8 1,754 1,960 11.8 1.1 1.2 1,310 943 Francia 501 696 39.0 0.3 0.4 1,543 1,537-0.4 1.0 1.0-1,042-840 Países Bajos 743 823 10.7 0.5 0.5 1,628 1,418-12.9 1.0 0.9-885 -595 Italia 418 751 79.7 0.3 0.5 2,507 2,180-13.0 1.6 1.4-2,089-1,429 Portugal 25 20-17.9 0.0 0.0 174 194 11.6 0.1 0.1-149 -173 Reino Unido 662 644-2.7 0.4 0.4 1,072 975-9.1 0.7 0.6-410 -331 Otros países de la UE 1,442 1,336-7.3 0.9 0.8 3,587 3,822 6.6 2.3 2.4-2,145-2,486 Otros países 927 808-12.8 0.6 0.5 1,727 2,192 26.9 1.1 1.4-800 -1,384 Asia 7,480 7,597 1.6 4.9 4.8 47,584 49,055 3.1 30.4 30.7-40,104-41,459 China 2,652 2,563-3.3 1.7 1.6 23,850 25,043 5.0 15.2 15.7-21,199-22,480 Corea 508 833 64.1 0.3 0.5 5,641 5,455-3.3 3.6 3.4-5,133-4,622 Hong Kong 369 422 14.5 0.2 0.3 110 113 2.9 0.1 0.1 259 309 India 1,649 1,159-29.7 1.1 0.7 1,218 1,552 27.4 0.8 1.0 431-393 Japón 909 1,219 34.1 0.6 0.8 7,357 6,983-5.1 4.7 4.4-6,448-5,764 Malasia 69 89 29.0 0.0 0.1 1,903 2,466 29.6 1.2 1.5-1,834-2,377 Singapur 261 201-23.0 0.2 0.1 594 456-23.3 0.4 0.3-333 -255 Taiwán 198 180-9.3 0.1 0.1 2,724 2,483-8.8 1.7 1.6-2,526-2,304 Otros países 865 931 7.6 0.6 0.6 4,187 4,505 7.6 2.7 2.8-3,321-3,574 Resto del Mundo 776 837 7.9 0.5 0.5 1,022 1,056 3.3 0.7 0.7-246 -219 Fuente: CAMACRO, con datos del Banco de México O-5
O-5. Comercio Exterior de Estados Unidos por Países: Banco de Datos 2013-2014 (Millones de dólares) Exportaciones de Estados Unidos Importaciones de Estados Unidos Balanza Comercial Países Enero-Mayo Variación Estructura Porcentual Enero-Mayo Variación Estructura Porcentual Enero-Mayo 2013 2014 porcentual 2013 2014 2013 2014 porcentual 2013 2014 2013 2014 Total 645,899 665,176 3.0 100.0 100.0 924,650 948,249 2.6 100.0 100.0-278,751-283,073 North America 218,215 225,258 3.2 33.8 33.9 254,900 259,947 2.0 27.6 27.4-36,685-34,689 Canada 125,486 127,001 1.2 19.4 19.1 139,279 140,971 1.2 15.1 14.9-13,793-13,970 Mexico 92,729 98,256 6.0 14.4 14.8 115,621 118,976 2.9 12.5 12.5-22,892-20,720 Europe 134,728 140,493 4.3 20.9 21.1 188,561 202,049 7.2 20.4 21.3-53,833-61,556 European Union 106,896 114,652 7.3 16.5 17.2 157,563 170,408 8.2 17.0 18.0-50,667-55,756 Belgium 12,895 14,037 8.9 2.0 2.1 7,749 8,716 12.5 0.8 0.9 5,146 5,321 France 12,564 13,116 4.4 1.9 2.0 17,941 19,731 10.0 1.9 2.1-5,377-6,615 Germany 19,862 21,052 6.0 3.1 3.2 45,361 50,241 10.8 4.9 5.3-25,499-29,189 Ireland 2,761 3,256 17.9 0.4 0.5 13,496 13,359-1.0 1.5 1.4-10,735-10,103 Italy 6,905 7,387 7.0 1.1 1.1 15,385 16,441 6.9 1.7 1.7-8,480-9,054 Netherlands 16,182 17,884 10.5 2.5 2.7 8,802 9,115 3.6 1.0 1.0 7,380 8,769 Spain 4,140 4,171 0.7 0.6 0.6 4,966 5,728 15.3 0.5 0.6-826 -1,557 United Kingdom 19,924 21,251 6.7 3.1 3.2 21,468 22,447 4.6 2.3 2.4-1,544-1,196 Other 11,663 12,498 7.2 1.8 1.9 22,395 24,630 10.0 2.4 2.6-10,732-12,132 Other Europe 27,832 25,841-7.2 4.3 3.9 30,998 31,641 2.1 3.4 3.3-3,166-5,800 Pacific Rim Countries 153,226 161,522 5.4 23.7 24.3 304,017 312,528 2.8 32.9 33.0-150,791-151,006 Australia 10,368 10,810 4.3 1.6 1.6 3,905 4,146 6.2 0.4 0.4 6,463 6,664 China 45,748 49,314 7.8 7.1 7.4 166,986 174,472 4.5 18.1 18.4-121,238-125,158 Indonesia 3,529 3,753 6.3 0.5 0.6 7,893 8,064 2.2 0.9 0.9-4,364-4,311 Japan 26,568 27,660 4.1 4.1 4.2 57,515 55,273-3.9 6.2 5.8-30,947-27,613 Malaysia 5,197 5,086-2.1 0.8 0.8 11,009 11,510 4.6 1.2 1.2-5,812-6,424 Philippines 3,463 3,543 2.3 0.5 0.5 3,651 3,961 8.5 0.4 0.4-188 -418 Newly Industrialized Countries 56,893 59,390 4.4 8.8 8.9 51,383 53,369 3.9 5.6 5.6 5,510 6,021 Hong Kong 16,653 16,835 1.1 2.6 2.5 2,210 2,335 5.7 0.2 0.2 14,443 14,500 Korea 16,867 18,799 11.5 2.6 2.8 26,268 27,933 6.3 2.8 2.9-9,401-9,134 Singapore 12,423 12,582 1.3 1.9 1.9 7,504 6,445-14.1 0.8 0.7 4,919 6,137 Taiwan 10,950 11,174 2.0 1.7 1.7 15,400 16,656 8.2 1.7 1.8-4,450-5,482 Other Pacific Rim 1,461 1,965 34.5 0.2 0.3 1,676 1,733 3.4 0.2 0.2-215 232 South/Central America 74,327 75,519 1.6 11.5 11.4 66,870 63,318-5.3 7.2 6.7 7,457 12,201 Argentina 3,967 4,453 12.3 0.6 0.7 1,818 1,749-3.8 0.2 0.2 2,149 2,704 Brazil 17,128 17,740 3.6 2.7 2.7 10,817 11,227 3.8 1.2 1.2 6,311 6,513 Chile 7,003 6,659-4.9 1.1 1.0 5,452 4,506-17.4 0.6 0.5 1,551 2,153 Colombia 7,447 8,252 10.8 1.2 1.2 9,449 8,082-14.5 1.0 0.9-2,002 170 OPEC 36,698 32,293-12.0 5.7 4.9 64,310 61,051-5.1 7.0 6.4-27,612-28,758 Africa 14,906 16,193 8.6 2.3 2.4 22,419 14,765-34.1 2.4 1.6-7,513 1,428 Other Countries 26,599 26,024-2.2 4.1 3.9 54,967 58,661 6.7 5.9 6.2-28,368-32,637 India 8,734 7,802-10.7 1.4 1.2 17,957 19,161 6.7 1.9 2.0-9,223-11,359 Thailand 5,082 4,557-10.3 0.8 0.7 10,518 10,663 1.4 1.1 1.1-5,436-6,106 Other 12,783 13,665 6.9 2.0 2.1 26,492 28,837 8.9 2.9 3.0-13,709-15,172 Fuente: CAMACRO, con datos del Departamente of Commerce de Estados Unidos. O-6
O-6. Participación de México, Canadá y China en el Mercado de EUA: Banco de Datos 1994-2014 (Millones de dólares) Importación Total de Mercancías de Estados Unidos Periodo Total Importado por EUA De México De Canadá De China De Resto Mundo Dólares Var. % % Total Dólares Var. % % EUA Dólares Var. % % EUA Dólares Var. % % EUA Dólares Var. % % EUA 1994 663,252 14.2 100.00 49,494 24.0 7.46 128,406 15.5 19.36 38,787 23.0 5.85 446,565 12.2 67.33 1995 743,545 12.1 100.00 62,100 25.5 8.35 144,370 12.4 19.42 45,543 17.4 6.13 491,532 10.1 66.11 1996 795,287 7.0 100.00 74,297 19.6 9.34 155,893 8.0 19.60 51,513 13.1 6.48 513,584 4.5 64.58 1997 869,703 9.4 100.00 85,938 15.7 9.88 167,234 7.3 19.23 62,558 21.4 7.19 553,974 7.9 63.70 1998 911,897 4.9 100.00 94,629 10.1 10.38 173,256 3.6 19.00 71,169 13.8 7.80 572,843 3.4 62.82 1999 1,024,616 12.4 100.00 109,721 15.9 10.71 198,711 14.7 19.39 81,788 14.9 7.98 634,396 10.7 61.92 2000 1,218,023 18.9 100.00 135,926 23.9 11.16 230,838 16.2 18.95 100,018 22.3 8.21 751,240 18.4 61.68 2001 1,140,998-6.3 100.00 131,338-3.4 11.51 216,268-6.3 18.95 102,278 2.3 8.96 691,114-8.0 60.57 2002 1,161,366 1.8 100.00 134,616 2.5 11.59 209,088-3.3 18.00 125,193 22.4 10.78 692,470 0.2 59.63 2003 1,257,121 8.2 100.00 138,060 2.6 10.98 221,595 6.0 17.63 152,436 21.8 12.13 745,030 7.6 59.26 2004 1,469,705 16.9 100.00 155,902 12.9 10.61 256,360 15.7 17.44 196,682 29.0 13.38 860,762 15.5 58.57 2005 1,673,454 13.9 100.00 170,109 9.1 10.17 290,384 13.3 17.35 243,470 23.8 14.55 969,491 12.6 57.93 2006 1,853,938 10.8 100.00 198,253 16.5 10.69 302,438 4.2 16.31 287,774 18.2 15.52 1,065,473 9.9 57.47 2007 1,956,961 5.6 100.00 210,714 6.3 10.77 317,057 4.8 16.20 321,443 11.7 16.43 1,107,747 4.0 56.61 2008 2,103,641 7.5 100.00 215,942 2.5 10.27 339,491 7.1 16.14 337,773 5.1 16.06 1,210,435 9.3 57.54 2009 1,559,625-25.9 100.00 176,654-18.2 11.33 226,249-33.4 14.51 296,374-12.3 19.00 860,348-28.9 55.16 2010 1,913,857 22.7 100.00 229,908 30.1 12.01 277,637 22.7 14.51 364,953 23.1 19.07 1,041,359 21.0 54.41 2011 2,208,055 15.4 100.00 262,864 14.3 11.90 315,367 13.6 14.28 399,379 9.4 18.09 1,230,445 18.2 55.73 2012 2,275,320 3.0 101.00 277,570 5.6 12.20 323,937 2.7 14.24 425,579 6.6 18.70 1,248,235 1.4 54.86 2013 2,268,321-0.3 102.00 280,456 1.0 12.36 332,553 2.7 14.66 440,448 3.5 19.42 1,214,865-2.7 53.56 2014 2,432,121 7.2 100.00 295,991 5.5 12.17 350,528 5.4 14.41 465,814 5.8 19.15 1,319,788 8.6 54.26 Enero 184,701-0.3 100.00 21,903 1.6 11.86 26,707-4.8 14.46 38,197 2.7 20.68 97,894-0.5 53.00 Febrero 169,665-0.4 100.00 22,321 1.1 13.16 25,401-1.7 14.97 30,741-6.1 18.12 91,203 1.7 53.75 Marzo 193,346 6.3 100.00 24,956 7.8 12.91 29,426 3.8 15.22 31,234 14.4 16.15 107,731 4.5 55.72 Abril 200,517 5.2 100.00 24,481 0.5 12.21 29,213 2.4 14.57 36,310 9.6 18.11 110,513 5.7 55.11 Mayo 200,019 1.7 100.00 25,315 3.4 12.66 30,224 6.0 15.11 37,992 3.7 18.99 106,488-0.6 53.24 Junio e/ 204,587 10.6 100.00 25,223 10.0 12.33 29,263 8.0 14.30 39,236 9.3 19.18 110,865 11.9 54.19 Julio 211,377 7.1 100.00 25,007 6.2 11.83 29,532 12.5 13.97 41,332 6.5 19.55 115,506 6.2 54.64 Agosto 214,156 10.9 100.00 25,736 7.3 12.02 29,702 6.9 13.87 41,256 5.3 19.26 117,462 15.0 54.85 Septiembre 211,636 10.2 100.00 24,633 5.8 11.64 29,696 5.4 14.03 42,352 5.5 20.01 114,955 14.5 54.32 Octubre 224,874 9.6 100.00 26,752 5.7 11.90 31,896 7.7 14.18 44,452 6.2 19.77 121,774 12.4 54.15 Noviembre 216,379 14.7 100.00 26,636 12.3 12.31 30,858 12.7 14.26 43,752 9.1 20.22 115,133 18.1 53.21 Diciembre 200,863 10.1 100.00 23,028 4.1 11.46 28,610 6.1 14.24 38,962 3.9 19.40 110,263 15.0 54.89 Ene.-May. 2013 924,650-1.7 100.00 115,621-1.0 12.50 139,279 1.3 15.06 166,986 3.1 18.06 502,765-4.1 54.37 2014 948,249 2.6 100.00 118,976 2.9 12.55 140,971 1.2 14.87 174,472 4.5 18.40 513,830 2.2 54.19 e/ Empieza estimación Modelo Prospectivo de la Economía Mexicana MOPEM. Fuente: CAMACRO, con datos del Departamente of Commerce de Estados Unidos. O-7
P. Economía Mundial Cuadro P-1. Principales Indicadores de la Economía Mundial 1980-2020 Cuadro P-2. Indice Relativo del Grado de Desarrollo Económico de México, EUA y Canadá 1980-2020 Cuadro P-3. Población Mundial por Regiones Económicas y Países Seleccionados 1980-2020 Cuadro P-4. Distribución Porcentual de la Población por Regiones Económicas y Países Seleccionados 1980-2020 Cuadro P-5. PIB Mundial por Regiones Económicas y Países Seleccionados 1980-2020 Cuadro P-6. Distribución Porcentual del PIB Mundial por Regiones Económicas y Países Seleccionados 1980-2020 Cuadro P-7. PIB Per Cápita por Regiones Económicas y Países Seleccionados 1980-2020 Cuadro P-8. Crecimiento del PIB Real por Regiones Económicas y Países Seleccionados 1980-2020 Cuadro P-9. Inflación Mundial por Regiones Económicas y Países Seleccionados 1980-2020 Cuadro P-10. Indice Relativo de Desarrollo Económico por Regiones Económicas y Países Seleccionados 1980-2020