NORTH AMERICAN RAIL SHIPPERS ASSOCIATION 2017 ANNUAL MEETING

Transcripción

1 NORTH AMERICAN RAIL SHIPPERS ASSOCIATION 2017 ANNUAL MEETING San Francisco, California, 25th May IKER DE LUISA MEXICAN ASSOCIATION OF RAILROADS GENERAL DIRECTOR 1

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4 Contents 1.USA Canada Mexico trade 2.Modernization of NAFTA and railroads 3.Rail freight in Mexico: a) Performance measures b) Markets, commodities c) Economic regulation d) New opportunities: energy reform and special economic zones 4

5 1. USA Canada Mexico trade Trade in Goods by all Modes (Billion of current dollars) VAR % VAR % Source: Bureau of Transportation Statistics, TransBorder Freight Data, as of February

6 2. Modernization of NAFTA railroads Strong concern and uncertainty of the Mexican Government over the decisions the new US administration will take regading Mexico. High level executives from Mexican and US private companies are asking for a more cautious approach Some US exporters are lobbying its constituencies and representatives where employment can be affected by retaliation tariffs Tension between traditional Republican view on international trade and campaing proposals

7 2. Modernization of NAFTA railroads Mexico, US and Canada face global competition from China (Lanz Fritz, UP CEO) Supply chain is very interconnected between the US & Mexico (Patrick Ottensmeyer, KCS CEO) We recognize that NAFTA is optimum for the three countries and we should notstop investments (Lance Fritz, UP CEO) New US tariffs could have an impact on rail freight (Patrick Ottensmeyer, KCS CEO) Exporail Panel, Mexico City February 16th 2017

8 2. Modernization of NAFTA railroads US Freight Railroads and International Trade Source: Association of American Railroads. Report freight railroads and international trade; March

9 3.a Rail freight in Mexico: Performance measures Railroad vs. Truck Participation in Mexico 20 % 25 % 80 % 75 % 64% 36 % 54% 46 % *Billions 1999 *239 Tons-km 2015 *328 Tons-km USA CANADA Source: Anuarios Estadísticos Dirección General de Transporte Ferroviario y Multimodal, SCT Railroad Facts 2016, AAR 9

10 Investments Rail concessionaires have invested more than: 6.5 Billion USD Million USD* Infrastructure Capacity Equipment Telecommunications Business Development Other * Tipo de cambio FIX-21/04/2017= $ mn., Banco de México 1 0

11 Connectivity Northern Border : 7 SANDIEGO TIJUANA TECATE CALEXICO MEXICALI NOGALES CD.JUAREZ ELPASO More than 10,000 km. of track with 130 tons capacity NACOZARI HERMOSILLO CHIHUAHUA GUAYMAS CD.OBREGON OJINAGA ESCALON HERCULES PRESIDIO EL REY PIEDRAS NEGRAS AVANTE AHMSA MONCLOVA NVO. LAREDO EAGLEPASS LAREDO BROWNSVILLE TOPOLOBAMPO TORREON SALTILLO MATAMOROS CULIACAN DURANGO CHICALOTE TEPIC FELIPE PESCADOR LAGUNA SECA ALTAMIRA TAMPICO Ports: 13 PROGRESO KCSM FERROMEX FERROSUR MANZANILLO FERROVALLE COAHUILA DURANGO FERROCARRIL DE CHIAPAS Y MAYAB FERROCARRIL DEL ISTMO DE TEHUANTEPEC FERROCARRIL TIJUANA TECATE GUADALAJARA LAZAROCARDENAS IRAPUATO QUERETARO KCSM TOLUCA CUAUTLA OAXACA SALINACRUZ VERACRUZ EL CHAPO MEDIASAGUAS MERIDA CAMPECHE 1 1

12 Mexico ranks as the 11th largest freight railroad of the world, measured in Ton-Km 1 2

13 Performance Indicator %Var. %CAGR *Ton-km per Locomotive *Tonne-km per Employee Tonne-km per Liter of Fuel *Tonne-km 83,401 47, Carloads 2,142,012 1,317, Locomotives 1,280 1, Hp. Average per Locomotive 3,493 2, * Expressed in Millions Source: Anuarios Estadísticos Dirección General de Transporte Ferroviario y Multimodal, SCT 1 3

14 3.b Rail freight in Mexico: Markets and commodities Rail Freight Growth Combustóleo, oil Beer Assembled Automotive Iron and steel sheets and plates Containers Cement RawSodium Sulfate Iron ore Corn , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , % 361% 156% 10, , , , , , , TONNE-KM(MILLIONS) 2015 TONNE-KM(MILLIONS) Source: Anuarios Estadísticos Dirección General de Transporte Ferroviario y Multimodal, SCT 1 4

15 112 Intermodal Terminals and CrossDock 15

16 Mexico: Foreign Trade by Rail 160,000 Foreign Trade, 73, ,000 VAR: 35 % 120,000 TONELADAS (MILES) 100,000 80,000 60,000 40,000 20,000 Exports, 18,152 Imports, 54,878 VAR: 41 % VAR: 33 % Source: Anuarios Estadísticos Dirección General de Transporte Ferroviario y Multimodal, SCT

17 Border process improvement: electronic manifest Currently working at: Nogales, Sonora Nogales, Arizona Juarez, chihuahua El Paso, Texas Matamoros, Tamaulipas - Brownsville, Texas To be implemented at: Nuevo Laredo, Tamaulipas Laredo, Texas Piedras Negras, Coahuila Eagle Pass, Texas 17

18 INTERMODAL The Mexican Railroad System has double stack intermodal service on the main ports and border crossings. Mexico is one of the 6 countries in the world that has this service Transporting 1.4 millions TEU'S in 2015 Source: Anuario Estadístico, Terminales de Carga 2015,SCT 191 8

19 Intermodal service of double stack SANDIEGO TIJUANA TECATE CALEXICO MEXICALI NOGALES CD.JUAREZ ELPASO NACOZARI HERMOSILLO GUAYMAS CHIHUAHUA OJINAGA PRESIDIO PIEDRAS NEGRAS EAGLEPASS CD.OBREGON HERCULES AVANTE AHMSA NVO. LAREDO LAREDO ESCALON EL REY MONCLOVA BROWNSVILLE TOPOLOBAMPO TORREON SALTILLO MATAMOROS CULIACAN DURANGO FELIPE PESCADOR CHICALOTE TEPIC LAGUNA SECA ALTAMIRA TAMPICO PROGRESO KCSM FERROMEX FERROSUR MANZANILLO FERROVALLE COAHUILA DURANGO FERROCARRIL DE CHIAPAS Y MAYAB FERROCARRIL DEL ISTMO DE TEHUANTEPEC FERROCARRIL TIJUANA TECATE GUADALAJARA LAZAROCARDENA S IRAPUATO QUERETARO KCSM TOLUCA CUAUTLA OAXACA SALINACRUZ VERACRUZ EL CHAPO MEDIASAGUAS MERIDA CAMPECHE

20 Main rail freight related infrastructure projects Cd. Juárez Yard Extension Río Escondido New yard Sánchez Yard Extension Monterrey Bypass Matamoros Bypass and New Bridge Veracruz Port expansion Manzanillo New Acces to Port Celaya Bypass Chiapas-Mayab Rehabilitation 20

21 Automotive Sector Automotive Plants Tijuana Plant Hermosillo Plant Chihuahua Plant Ramos Arizpe Engine Plant Saltillo Plant Saltillo Plant 2013 Ramos Arizpe Plant Pesquería Nuevo León Plant 2016 Aguascalientes Plant SLP Plant Morelos Plant Puebla Plant 2016 Audi Plant 2016 SLP Plant 2019 Aguascalientes Plant 2013 El Salto Plant Salamanca Plant 2013 SALINA CRUZ Celaya Plant 2014 Silao Plant Engine Plant 2013 Guanajuato Plant Toluca Plant Toluca Plant Cuautitlán Plant 2 1

22 VEHICLE PRODUCTION AND PERSPECTIVE Millions of units ^ 2017^ 2018^ 2019^ 2020^ 2 2

23 AUTOMOTIVE FREIGHT FORECAST IN THE MEXICAN RAILROAD SYSTEM Ton-km (Millions) Automotive Forecast Source: Specialty Freight Railcars Project, WorleyParson 2015 Automotive: Assembled Vehicles 90% - Disarmed Vehicles 4% - Auto Parts 6% This forecast considers production capacity and new expansion plans for Audi, BMW, Ford Motor, Kia Motors, Nissan / Daimler 2 3 and Toyota.

24 3.c Rail freight in Mexico: Economic regulation Railroad Transport Regulatory Agency Objectives: ü To regulate, promote, monitor and verify the construction, operation, maintenance of railroad infrastructure and the provision of the public railroad transport service and its auxiliary services. ü Guarantee the interconnection in the rail track when it is general way of communication. ü Promote the interrelation of the railroad terminals with the multimodal operation. ü Sanction the conduct that contravenes applicable legal disposal 24

25 3.d Rail freight in Mexico: New opportunities Energy reform Gasoline, diesel, jetfuel, fuel oil LPG Crude 2 5

26 3.d Rail freight in Mexico: New opportunities Special Economic Zones Fiscal and Non-Fiscal Incentives Special Customs Regime One stop agency for government permits Competitive Infrastructure

27 THANK YOU 2 7