Trump y la relación comercial México Estados Unidos. November 2016

Transcripción

1 Trump y la relación comercial México Estados Unidos November

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3 Manufacturing Empleo manufacturero employment EE.UU USA Participación de México en importaciones EE.UU NAFTA China OMC Great Recession Fuente: Bureau of Labor Statistics, US Census Bureau y INEGI 3

4 110 Empleo manufacturero EE.UU Empleo manufacturero México Fuente: Bureau of Labor Statistics e INEGI 4

5 Empleo manufacturero EE.UU México R² = Participación México importaciones EE.UU Fuente: Elaboración propia con Bureau of Labor Statistics y US Census Bureau 5

6 Empleo manufacturero EE.UU China R² = Participación China importaciones EE.UU Fuente: Elaboración propia con Bureau of Labor Statistics y US Census Bureau 6

7 Cuota de mercado de las importaciones de Estados-Unidos Mexico China Canada Japan Germany Fuente: Fuente: Elaboración propia con US Census Bureau 7

8 Cuota de mercado de las exportaciones de Estados-Unidos México China Canada Japón European Union Fuente: Fuente: Elaboración propia con US Census Bureau 8

9 Mexico exportador Part B Mexico Major markets Agricultural products 1. United States of America Exports to major trading partners and duties faced Bilateral imports Diversification MFN AVG of Pref. Duty-free imports 95% trade in no. in million traded TL margin TL Value of HS 2- HS 6- US$ Simple Weighted Weighted in % in % digit digit , Canada , European Union , Japan Venezuela Non agricultural products 1. United States of America , Canada , European Union , China , Brazil , Fuente: OMC 9

10 Fuente: OMC Estados Unidos importador UNITED STATES MFN applied duties Imports AVG Duty-free Max Share Duty-free Product groups in % in % in % Animal products Dairy products Fruit, vegetables, plants Coffee, tea Cereals & preparations Oilseeds, fats & oils Sugars and confectionery Beverages & tobacco Cotton Other agricultural products Fish & fish products Minerals & metals Petroleum Chemicals Wood, paper, etc Textiles Clothing Leather, footwear, etc Non-electrical machinery Electrical machinery Transport equipment Manufactures, n.e.s

11 Estados Unidos exportador Part B Major markets Exports to major trading partners and duties faced Bilateral imports Diversification MFN AVG of Pref. Duty-free imports in million 95% trade in no. of traded TL margin TL Value Agricultural products US$ HS 2-digit HS 6-digit Simple Weighted Weighted in % in % 1. China , Canada , Mexico , Japan , European Union , Non-agricultural products 1. Canada , , European Union , , Mexico , , China , Japan , , Fuente: OMC 11

12 Fuente: OMC Mexico importador México MFN applied duties Imports AVG Duty-free Max Share Duty-free Product groups in % in % in % Animal products Dairy products Fruit, vegetables, plants Coffee, tea Cereals & preparations Oilseeds, fats & oils Sugars and confectionery Beverages & tobacco Cotton Other agricultural products Fish & fish products Minerals & metals Petroleum Chemicals Wood, paper, etc Textiles Clothing Leather, footwear, etc Non-electrical machinery Electrical machinery Transport equipment Manufactures, n.e.s

13 North Dakota Oregon Texas Utah Arizona South Dakota Colorado Idaho Nevada California Wyoming New Hampshire North Carolina Washington Oklahoma Minnesota Massachusetts Georgia Nebraska Florida Iowa Virginia Maryland United States Arkansas Montana New York Vermont Tennessee New Mexico South Carolina Kansas Alabama Indiana Delaware Connecticut Wisconsin Rhode Island Pennsylvania Kentucky District of Columbia New Jersey Missouri Illinois Alaska Mississippi Ohio Louisiana Maine West Virginia Hawaii Michigan 6 Crecimiento promedio annual para el periodo Fuente: US Bureau Census 13

14 South Dakota Kansas Iowa Nebraska Idaho Hawaii Indiana Montana Wisconsin Utah Minnesota Michigan Missouri North Carolina South Carolina Maine Pennsylvania Colorado Maryland Kentucky Ohio Alabama Oregon Massachusetts Arizona Tennessee Rhode Island Vermont California Georgia Florida Mississippi Arkansas United States New Hampshire Connecticut Illinois Louisiana New Jersey District of Columbia Virginia Delaware Washington New York Nevada New Mexico Wyoming Texas Oklahoma Alaska West Virginia North Dakota Crecimiento anual T2-T Fuente: US Bureau Census 14

15 Alaska Illinois Louisiana West Virginia New Mexico District of Columbia Alabama Nevada Mississippi Washington Connecticut South Carolina Arizona Wyoming Pennsylvania Rhode Island Georgia California Kentucky North Carolina Ohio Indiana New Jersey United States Florida Michigan New York Oklahoma Maryland Oregon Texas Missouri Wisconsin Massachusetts Montana Tennessee Delaware Iowa Arkansas Virginia Minnesota Utah Kansas Idaho Maine Colorado Hawaii North Dakota Vermont Nebraska New Hampshire South Dakota Tasa de desempleo Mayo Fuente: Bureau of Labour Statistics 15

16 Cuota de mercado de las importaciones de autopartes de Estados-Unidos Other 20% Italy 2% Thailand 1% Taiwan 2% Korea 5% Germany 7% Mexico, 62,799, 28% Canada 9% Total NAFTA 37% Japan 9% China 17% Fuente: UN Comtrade

17 Cuota de mercado de las exportaciones de autopartes de Estados-Unidos Other 21% Australia 2% Korea 2% Brazil 2% Japan 2% United Kingdom 3% Germany 3% China 4% Mexico, 41,563, 32% Total NAFTA 61% Fuente: UN Comtrade Canada 29%

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